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Speaker 1: This is a podcast from WOR. Back now to the

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Speaker 1: WR Saturday Morning Show with Larry Minty, Joe Neumaier, film journalist,

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Speaker 1: WOOR Movie Minute hosts predictions. Joe, before you get to

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Speaker 1: your predictions, how well have you done in the past.

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Speaker 2: Yeah, what I gotta say Larry. First of all, Hello

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Speaker 2: Larry and morning curtis great to be on with you,

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Speaker 2: as with Larry for our Friday morning call in. I

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Speaker 2: have a spotty record when it comes to oscar predictions.

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Speaker 2: And the reason is I tend to think that like,

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Speaker 2: these people are going to go for a little bit

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Speaker 2: more emotion, or they're going to go for a little

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Speaker 2: bit more of like somebody's oh they're due for an

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Speaker 2: oscar or something like that, and it tends to be

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Speaker 2: a little bit different. I think there's a little bit

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Speaker 2: more politics going into it, or I think there's a

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Speaker 2: little bit more like, oh, this person got a little

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Speaker 2: bit more attention this year. So unfortunately, I kind of

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Speaker 2: I'm about fifty to fifty I'll say, so take my

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Speaker 2: advice with a little bit of a grain of salt,

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Speaker 2: but don't bet the don't put the farm on all

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Speaker 2: my predictions. I'll say that.

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Speaker 1: Okay, So give us your predictions.

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Speaker 2: Okay, here we go. I'm gonna say the Sinners is

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Speaker 2: gonna win Best Picture. It looked like one bad laughter

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Speaker 2: another until a couple of weeks ago, and then I

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Speaker 2: think that the surge for Sinners because it was such

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Speaker 2: a huge hit, which is something that Hollywood takes into account,

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Speaker 2: such a huge hit and across the board, young people

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Speaker 2: like it. I think that is going to be the

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Speaker 2: big winner this this Sunday on ABC. I think that

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Speaker 2: there's gonna be a surge for that, and it's going

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Speaker 2: to also bring in Michael B. Jordan for Best Actor.

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Speaker 2: Timothy Shalamaane, which you and I have been talking about

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Speaker 2: for a couple of months now, I think he's lost

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Speaker 2: total steam for Marty Supreme. So I think it's gonna

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Speaker 2: be Michael B. Jordan as Best Actor and Sinners for

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Speaker 2: Best Pictures. That's not what do you think about that?

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Speaker 2: I think that's kind of an off the board prediction,

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Speaker 2: but I'm thinking it's right. I'm thinking it's right. Actress Actress.

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Speaker 2: I think it's gonna you know, all season, everybody has

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Speaker 2: said that it's going to be the actress from Hamnet

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Speaker 2: Jesse Buckley, Irish actress who played Shakespeare's wife and Hamnet.

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Speaker 2: I agree with that it's kind of a weak performance.

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Speaker 2: My sentimental favorite. I would love Kate Hudson to win

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Speaker 2: it for a movie called Song Sung Blue. I think

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Speaker 2: she's really terrific in it. It's been twenty five years

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Speaker 2: since your last nomination. But Jesse Buckley's got this heat

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Speaker 2: going for Hannet, which is really based on I have

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Speaker 2: to say the last fifteen minutes. He's good in the movie,

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Speaker 2: but last fifteen minutes are a real tear jerker. So

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Speaker 2: but I think that's that's the safest bed of the night.

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Speaker 2: It's turned out to be kind of a nail bier

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Speaker 2: in a lot of categories that the actress is the

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Speaker 2: one that that the only one that's solid, only one

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Speaker 2: that's solid.

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Speaker 1: Every single year, I hear these predictions, and you just

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Speaker 1: admitted about fifty percent you've been on these predictions. Every

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Speaker 1: single year. I hear this, and every single year there's

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Speaker 1: at least one surprise, Right, what's the surprise this year?

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Speaker 2: I think the surprise this year is gonna be Amy

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Speaker 2: Madigan is going to win for weapons and it's a

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Speaker 2: horror film. Those tend to not win by the way,

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Speaker 2: if Finners wins, it's the first time that a vampire

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Speaker 2: movie has won Best Pictures, So you know, I guess

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Speaker 2: woohoo for the vampires at that point. But I think

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Speaker 2: Amy Madigan is going to win for playing a witch

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Speaker 2: in Weapons, which I thought was an okay horror film

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Speaker 2: that was fine. There's a lot of different, you know,

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Speaker 2: actresses in that Best Supporting Actress category, but I think

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Speaker 2: that's the one that's going to be a bit surprise,

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Speaker 2: is that Amy Maddy is gonna wins. It's been forty

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Speaker 2: years since her last OSCAR nomination. They take that into account.

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Speaker 2: Support surprise supporting actors, Supporting actors. Supporting Actor I think

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Speaker 2: is going to be the He's a Norwegian actor for

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Speaker 2: sentimental values, Stellan Scarsgard. He's great, but I think he

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Speaker 2: you know, he's been in some of the Marvel flicks,

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Speaker 2: he's been in art films. I think he's going to

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Speaker 2: get Best Supporting Actor for sentimental Value. Some people think

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Speaker 2: it'll be Sean Penn. I don't think so. I think

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Speaker 2: Penn's going twice before. I think this time they're going

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Speaker 2: to go with a guy that has turned in great performance,

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Speaker 2: so all for I got thirty five years, forty years,

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Speaker 2: and that's Dellan Scarsgart first Norwegian actor to win to

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Speaker 2: win an Oscar If that counts for anything. That in

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Speaker 2: the Vampires, I think those are the big record centers.

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Speaker 1: Let's talk about Conan O'Brien. I thought, I know, they

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Speaker 1: all raved about him, they all fawned over him. Last year.

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Speaker 1: I thought he was okay. I thought he was I

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Speaker 1: thought pretty good, but he wasn't great, and he's coming

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Speaker 1: back this year.

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Speaker 2: He's no Billy Crystal. I liked Conan. I will say

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Speaker 2: that he was solid. I liked him more than Jimmy Kimmel.

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Speaker 2: I liked him more than Chris Rock and a lot

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Speaker 2: of these guys, I think, and more than you know,

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Speaker 2: Jon Stewart. I think that the thing that Conan has

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Speaker 2: is he has some distance. He kind of he can

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Speaker 2: make fun of it without necessarily being really mean. And

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Speaker 2: I think that's the key for my money. I mean,

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Speaker 2: if he ever doesn't want to do it, or if

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Speaker 2: they want to go with somebody else, get Jeff Goldblum.

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Speaker 2: Wouldn't Jeff Goldblum be a great Oscar host? I mean,

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Speaker 2: he'd be so fun and he'd be kind of savvy,

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Speaker 2: and he kind of you know, everyone loves him. I

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Speaker 2: think that's an opportunity that's right there. I also think

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Speaker 2: that you know, actors doing it, it's a little tricky,

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Speaker 2: but Codin O'Brien I did think they'd a fine job

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Speaker 2: last year. He's a little he's a little weird though,

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Speaker 2: which is part of the fun. If you can't be

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Speaker 2: too weird like Letterman, you gotta be just a little

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Speaker 2: weird like Crystal, I think.

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Speaker 1: But I mean it, Okay, yeah, exactly, that's the word

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Speaker 1: he did. Okay, it wasn't great. You don't tune in

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Speaker 1: just for him, which you did in the past, but

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Speaker 1: not him. Joe Neumeyer. We'll see if you're right this year.

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Speaker 1: Film journalist w R Movie Minute host have a good weekend,

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Speaker 1: help you enjoy the Oscars.

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Speaker 2: Thanks guys too. This has been a podcast from wo

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Speaker 2: R