1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:03,080 Speaker 1: Mike, we're missing you over here on six thirty Keep 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:05,560 Speaker 1: forgetting to tune in at two pm catch the show. 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:09,160 Speaker 1: Still traumatized by Ryan showing having that spot. Now he's 4 00:00:09,160 --> 00:00:11,639 Speaker 1: just ruined in my mornings. We sure do miss you. 5 00:00:11,920 --> 00:00:14,360 Speaker 2: I hope you're doing well. Well, We're doing well. And 6 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 2: trust me, now I had think about this. I didn't 7 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:20,760 Speaker 2: have to see Ryan before, you know, I would come 8 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:22,720 Speaker 2: in at oh dark thirty and you know, and he 9 00:00:22,880 --> 00:00:27,800 Speaker 2: was still you know, passed out, probably hung over cigarette butts, 10 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: hanging over the futon, and so I never had to 11 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:32,400 Speaker 2: deal with him anyway. It was wonderful, didn't have to 12 00:00:32,440 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 2: deal with him at all. And now I come in here. 13 00:00:35,159 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 2: You know, I've had a leisurely morning. I've walked the 14 00:00:37,200 --> 00:00:39,720 Speaker 2: dogs and maybe sometimes I meet sometimes not. But I've 15 00:00:39,960 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 2: done a little show prep, I've done a little reading, 16 00:00:41,800 --> 00:00:44,000 Speaker 2: I've got, you know, everything that I come in here, 17 00:00:44,800 --> 00:00:49,479 Speaker 2: and not only do I have to face him back there, Hi, Hi, 18 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:54,680 Speaker 2: but then he'll come out and it's always well, oh, 19 00:00:54,720 --> 00:01:01,800 Speaker 2: good morning, mister Brown. Right, But you can tune in 20 00:01:01,920 --> 00:01:06,080 Speaker 2: at two pm on six point thirty KL and you 21 00:01:06,080 --> 00:01:10,440 Speaker 2: can listen to the situation with Michael Brown reloaded. 22 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:12,720 Speaker 3: The situation reloaded, the situation reloaded. 23 00:01:12,760 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 2: All right, they don't put my name in there. 24 00:01:14,959 --> 00:01:15,959 Speaker 3: Who cares about your name? 25 00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 2: Jimminy Christmas? What kind of marketing people? Marketing? Come on? 26 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:27,679 Speaker 3: But it's you. 27 00:01:27,680 --> 00:01:29,600 Speaker 2: You know, I'd really like to talk about right now. 28 00:01:29,640 --> 00:01:33,080 Speaker 2: Don't you what the thing that I told you that 29 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:34,800 Speaker 2: finally popped up? 30 00:01:34,880 --> 00:01:36,199 Speaker 3: Oh? Yeah, yeah, finally. 31 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:37,839 Speaker 2: How long we've been over here? 32 00:01:38,920 --> 00:01:39,440 Speaker 3: Four months? 33 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: Four months? 34 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:41,119 Speaker 3: Five? 35 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:44,760 Speaker 2: You know, four months and then five and I'm like, 36 00:01:44,840 --> 00:01:46,840 Speaker 2: I keep waiting and waiting and waiting, and then finally 37 00:01:46,920 --> 00:01:49,280 Speaker 2: I think somebody and pingo. 38 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:52,360 Speaker 3: This shows up within minute, within minutes. 39 00:01:52,960 --> 00:01:55,560 Speaker 2: Now of course, now it's going through the execution process, 40 00:01:56,320 --> 00:02:01,520 Speaker 2: and so I approve the terms. Uh on whatever day 41 00:02:01,560 --> 00:02:03,280 Speaker 2: that was that Monday we did that, Yeah, I think 42 00:02:03,280 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: it was Monday. So I am I immediately get the 43 00:02:06,920 --> 00:02:09,960 Speaker 2: thing from the lawyers and I sign off on it. 44 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,520 Speaker 2: I don't sign off on it. I approve it, but 45 00:02:13,560 --> 00:02:17,560 Speaker 2: then it goes back to San Antonio and then it 46 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 2: goes to the lawyers to then put it in the 47 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:24,639 Speaker 2: final form, which I thought, that's what I looked at 48 00:02:25,760 --> 00:02:29,760 Speaker 2: the one that right, and then you and then you 49 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 2: get the the next day you get the DOCU signed, 50 00:02:33,200 --> 00:02:35,679 Speaker 2: and so I the minute it comes in my inbox, 51 00:02:35,800 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 2: I do the DOCU sign and send it right back 52 00:02:39,400 --> 00:02:42,240 Speaker 2: within you know, I mean less than a minute, because 53 00:02:42,480 --> 00:02:45,160 Speaker 2: all I did was because it's just an addendum. So 54 00:02:45,200 --> 00:02:47,079 Speaker 2: I just went through the paragraphs. Yes, it's all the 55 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:49,679 Speaker 2: same that I approved yesterday. I DOCU sign it, send 56 00:02:49,720 --> 00:02:51,639 Speaker 2: it back, and now I'm waiting on. 57 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 4: And then oh yeah, oh maybe by the time I 58 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:03,520 Speaker 4: read higher, I'll get it. 59 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:07,240 Speaker 2: Anyway, A listener asked me about Greg Phillips. Do you 60 00:03:07,400 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 2: Greg Phillips is Dragon Greg Phillips? 61 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:11,959 Speaker 5: Oh? 62 00:03:12,040 --> 00:03:15,320 Speaker 3: Is it the Masterpiece guy, the cake shop guy? No? 63 00:03:15,320 --> 00:03:19,520 Speaker 2: No, but what his name, miss Phillips? Yeah, yeah, yeah, no, no, no, no. 64 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:22,720 Speaker 2: This is the new head of FEMA's Office of Response 65 00:03:22,760 --> 00:03:28,480 Speaker 2: and Recovery. Now, the Office of Response and Recovery is 66 00:03:28,240 --> 00:03:31,560 Speaker 2: is a direct report to the uh what used to 67 00:03:31,560 --> 00:03:33,920 Speaker 2: be the Undersecretary of Homeland Security, but now they just 68 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:36,240 Speaker 2: call the FEMA Administrator. And I'm not really sure that 69 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 2: they don't give him an undersecret title anymore. 70 00:03:38,480 --> 00:03:38,760 Speaker 3: I don't. 71 00:03:38,960 --> 00:03:42,000 Speaker 2: They downgraded everything, so who knows what they're doing. They're 72 00:03:42,040 --> 00:03:46,040 Speaker 2: rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic for the King time. 73 00:03:47,320 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 2: He's a direct report to the director of FEMA, and 74 00:03:50,520 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 2: whenever there is a natural disaster, it is that office 75 00:03:53,920 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 2: that is in charge of guests. White's called the Office 76 00:03:56,360 --> 00:03:59,240 Speaker 2: of Response and Recovery because they're in charge of the 77 00:03:59,280 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 2: response and recovery. So that guy is, you know, essentially 78 00:04:05,760 --> 00:04:10,440 Speaker 2: the plate person that's in charge of billions of dollars 79 00:04:10,040 --> 00:04:16,560 Speaker 2: in disaster relief dollars. And the listener who sent me 80 00:04:16,600 --> 00:04:19,440 Speaker 2: to text message wants to know whether I have insight 81 00:04:20,160 --> 00:04:26,280 Speaker 2: on his quote teleporting. I'd love to be able to teleport, 82 00:04:27,120 --> 00:04:29,440 Speaker 2: you know, just just me and the dogs would just 83 00:04:29,520 --> 00:04:31,240 Speaker 2: get in the jeep and rather than have to make 84 00:04:31,279 --> 00:04:33,279 Speaker 2: the drive because like right now, Loan Tree is doing 85 00:04:33,320 --> 00:04:35,800 Speaker 2: a one of those super enforcement things. That's all I 86 00:04:35,800 --> 00:04:36,600 Speaker 2: heard about in the news. 87 00:04:36,680 --> 00:04:37,080 Speaker 3: I've heard. 88 00:04:37,160 --> 00:04:41,160 Speaker 2: There's only two things in the news today. It's hotter 89 00:04:41,240 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 2: than hades. We're all gonna die, We're all gonna burn 90 00:04:43,520 --> 00:04:47,560 Speaker 2: to death today. And number two, Loan Tree is apparently 91 00:04:47,600 --> 00:04:50,360 Speaker 2: doing one of those super enforcement things on their little 92 00:04:50,360 --> 00:04:53,760 Speaker 2: section of I twenty five. So as my my public 93 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:57,440 Speaker 2: service announcement today is if you're driving anywhere, I guess 94 00:04:57,520 --> 00:05:02,080 Speaker 2: say from uh it, let's see park medals is just 95 00:05:02,360 --> 00:05:04,760 Speaker 2: south well let's see, No, it's technically just north of 96 00:05:04,800 --> 00:05:08,000 Speaker 2: four seventy ah that junction. But if you're driving anywhere 97 00:05:08,120 --> 00:05:11,280 Speaker 2: let's say, from County Line Road on on the twenty five, 98 00:05:11,760 --> 00:05:14,680 Speaker 2: either north or south down to I don't know Castle 99 00:05:14,760 --> 00:05:17,719 Speaker 2: Pines that some of that's park or two, but any 100 00:05:17,839 --> 00:05:21,520 Speaker 2: somewhere in that area is Loan Tree and they're doing 101 00:05:21,520 --> 00:05:25,760 Speaker 2: one of these super enforcements. So don't don't give anybody 102 00:05:25,760 --> 00:05:30,480 Speaker 2: the middle finger. Uh, don't speed, Uh, don't drive slowly 103 00:05:30,520 --> 00:05:33,800 Speaker 2: in the left lane. In other words, did use your 104 00:05:33,839 --> 00:05:38,080 Speaker 2: turn signals? What am I saying? Drive like you're supposed to? 105 00:05:39,120 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 2: Because the Loan Tree Police Department and the Color of 106 00:05:42,880 --> 00:05:47,479 Speaker 2: State Patrol are doing an intense enforcement effort there, which 107 00:05:47,480 --> 00:05:51,400 Speaker 2: I always found interesting, because is that supposed to if 108 00:05:51,440 --> 00:05:54,120 Speaker 2: you if you do intend, is that that's clearly a 109 00:05:54,160 --> 00:05:57,400 Speaker 2: revenue driving thing. Now they'll tell you it's all about safety, 110 00:05:57,920 --> 00:06:00,120 Speaker 2: But if it's all about safety, wouldn't you be doing 111 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:04,080 Speaker 2: that all of the time all wouldn't you've always been 112 00:06:04,120 --> 00:06:06,680 Speaker 2: doing that? No, because they loved enough people so you 113 00:06:06,839 --> 00:06:08,840 Speaker 2: just randomly get picked up. But today there's gonna be 114 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:13,039 Speaker 2: enough people there, which which means you're gonna see state 115 00:06:13,080 --> 00:06:16,919 Speaker 2: troopers and police cars and wuty sheriff's cars. I assume, 116 00:06:17,360 --> 00:06:19,280 Speaker 2: all up and down the little stretch of I twenty five. 117 00:06:20,000 --> 00:06:23,000 Speaker 2: So everybody's gonna be obeying the law. And then tomorrow 118 00:06:23,040 --> 00:06:24,919 Speaker 2: they'll go back to the regular thing. Everybody will be 119 00:06:24,920 --> 00:06:28,640 Speaker 2: back doing the same thing again. It's why is everything 120 00:06:28,640 --> 00:06:29,640 Speaker 2: in the world so stupid? 121 00:06:30,560 --> 00:06:30,880 Speaker 5: Why? 122 00:06:31,440 --> 00:06:32,080 Speaker 3: Why is it? 123 00:06:32,160 --> 00:06:36,400 Speaker 2: I mean, you know my contract, the cockroaches that I 124 00:06:36,400 --> 00:06:39,159 Speaker 2: said I did, I left here for Mandy. But Mandy 125 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:41,159 Speaker 2: didn't say you know, she didn't say anything about her. 126 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:44,040 Speaker 2: I didn't hear about it. But Gina comes in this 127 00:06:44,080 --> 00:06:48,040 Speaker 2: morning and Gina gets shocked by the cockroaches. I told 128 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:50,720 Speaker 2: her she sat right there. I know she's out there 129 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,880 Speaker 2: listing right now. Gina, I told you what I was doing. 130 00:06:53,960 --> 00:06:56,400 Speaker 2: I was putting a fake cockroach under here, and then 131 00:06:56,440 --> 00:06:58,200 Speaker 2: you come in at three o'clock this morning and you're 132 00:06:58,240 --> 00:06:59,480 Speaker 2: shocked by a cockroach. 133 00:07:01,080 --> 00:07:02,240 Speaker 3: Oh. 134 00:07:02,279 --> 00:07:04,279 Speaker 2: I gotta do something with that girl. Yeah, I gotta 135 00:07:04,320 --> 00:07:06,960 Speaker 2: do something with her. She's got to learn that. You know, 136 00:07:08,680 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 2: we don't do radio the normal way. 137 00:07:11,200 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 3: They say, be nice to her. She's the only professional 138 00:07:13,320 --> 00:07:14,120 Speaker 3: amongst all of us. 139 00:07:14,360 --> 00:07:16,440 Speaker 2: No, so she's got to lurk. She's got to come 140 00:07:16,480 --> 00:07:20,160 Speaker 2: down to our standards. We can't have this high fluten 141 00:07:20,360 --> 00:07:22,680 Speaker 2: you know, news anchor kind of bull crap going on. 142 00:07:22,760 --> 00:07:26,480 Speaker 2: You gotta come down to our standards. So anyway, everything 143 00:07:26,520 --> 00:07:28,880 Speaker 2: is stupid. So let's go back to the listener text. 144 00:07:30,520 --> 00:07:32,360 Speaker 2: The guy wants to the listener wants to know if 145 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:35,720 Speaker 2: I have any insight into Greg Phillips, the new head 146 00:07:35,840 --> 00:07:39,200 Speaker 2: of FEMA's Office Response and Recovery. He's in charge of 147 00:07:39,240 --> 00:07:44,080 Speaker 2: billions of your tax dollars, and his quote teleporting, do 148 00:07:44,120 --> 00:07:49,760 Speaker 2: I have insight? I used to run that place. I 149 00:07:49,840 --> 00:07:53,600 Speaker 2: have insight the way maybe a fish has insight about water. 150 00:07:54,360 --> 00:07:57,800 Speaker 2: Here's what we know. Greg Phillips was appointed in December 151 00:07:57,840 --> 00:08:01,720 Speaker 2: to head FEMA's Office of Response and Recovery. You can 152 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:03,600 Speaker 2: figure out what that is just by the title. It's 153 00:08:03,640 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 2: one of the it's one of the same things that 154 00:08:05,320 --> 00:08:07,000 Speaker 2: you know. It's one of the same titles in d C. 155 00:08:08,320 --> 00:08:12,840 Speaker 2: He rose to prominence not through emergency management but as 156 00:08:12,880 --> 00:08:17,920 Speaker 2: a far right wing activist who spread conspiracy theories about 157 00:08:18,040 --> 00:08:21,680 Speaker 2: voter fraud. Now, don't get me wrong, I do believe 158 00:08:21,680 --> 00:08:25,440 Speaker 2: there is voter fraud, and I do believe that. Sometimes 159 00:08:25,480 --> 00:08:27,640 Speaker 2: I question machines, and I question a lot of things, 160 00:08:27,640 --> 00:08:29,520 Speaker 2: but I'm not sure. I've got a tinfoil hat on. 161 00:08:30,480 --> 00:08:35,520 Speaker 2: You may know him from the cinematic masterpiece two thousand Mules, 162 00:08:36,000 --> 00:08:39,440 Speaker 2: Remember the nest to shoot the Seuss two thousand Mules 163 00:08:39,800 --> 00:08:41,720 Speaker 2: over on the other station when we were over there, 164 00:08:41,720 --> 00:08:44,800 Speaker 2: we ripped that in movie apart. There is just so 165 00:08:45,120 --> 00:08:50,480 Speaker 2: there were so many conclusions drawn from facts not in evidence, 166 00:08:50,600 --> 00:08:54,080 Speaker 2: that it was just horrible, just horrible. But here's where 167 00:08:54,080 --> 00:08:58,440 Speaker 2: it gets fun. Phillips has spoken on multiple podcasts about 168 00:08:58,480 --> 00:09:03,200 Speaker 2: being teleported against his will, which he describes as evil. 169 00:09:04,640 --> 00:09:06,960 Speaker 2: I don't know, when you die you get teleported to heaven? 170 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:09,839 Speaker 2: Is that against your will? And is that evil? I 171 00:09:09,880 --> 00:09:12,040 Speaker 2: don't think going to heaven is evil? He claims have 172 00:09:12,080 --> 00:09:16,440 Speaker 2: been involuntarily teleported to a where would dragon if like 173 00:09:16,520 --> 00:09:18,319 Speaker 2: I want to, I'd like to be able to get 174 00:09:18,320 --> 00:09:20,760 Speaker 2: the dogs, getting the jeep and be teleported, you know, 175 00:09:20,920 --> 00:09:24,040 Speaker 2: instantaneously to the ends little location in New Mexico. 176 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:25,040 Speaker 3: Yeah, that sounds grand. 177 00:09:25,240 --> 00:09:27,079 Speaker 2: You, I assume, would like to be teleported to I 178 00:09:27,080 --> 00:09:28,240 Speaker 2: don't know, a panda express. 179 00:09:29,240 --> 00:09:30,280 Speaker 3: Sure that sounds great. 180 00:09:30,360 --> 00:09:32,559 Speaker 2: Is there any other place you'd like to be teleported. 181 00:09:32,040 --> 00:09:33,040 Speaker 3: To away from you. 182 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:36,840 Speaker 2: Well, we can both agree on that, but I'm disappointed 183 00:09:36,920 --> 00:09:39,360 Speaker 2: because this is right in your this is right near wheelhouse. 184 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:43,240 Speaker 2: He claimed that he was teleported to a waffle house 185 00:09:43,400 --> 00:09:44,240 Speaker 2: in Georgia. 186 00:09:45,360 --> 00:09:46,880 Speaker 3: I mean, I've never been to a waffle house, but 187 00:09:47,040 --> 00:09:49,360 Speaker 3: you've ever been to a waffle house? 188 00:09:49,559 --> 00:09:52,240 Speaker 2: Oh my god, that's what that's the next outing for you, 189 00:09:52,720 --> 00:09:53,800 Speaker 2: me and missus Redbeard. 190 00:09:55,360 --> 00:09:57,000 Speaker 3: Mostly okay, but mostly terrible. 191 00:09:57,320 --> 00:09:59,840 Speaker 2: It's gonna be mostly terrible, but oh my gosh, will 192 00:09:59,880 --> 00:10:03,760 Speaker 2: you stories to tell? The man was teleported, according to him, 193 00:10:03,760 --> 00:10:06,880 Speaker 2: to a waffle house, of course in Georgia, too right, 194 00:10:07,920 --> 00:10:11,000 Speaker 2: You can't wait in place, he says. Teleporting is no fun. 195 00:10:11,400 --> 00:10:14,040 Speaker 2: You don't really know what you're doing. These are quotes 196 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,040 Speaker 2: from him. You don't really understand it. It's scary but 197 00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:19,760 Speaker 2: yet so real, and you know it's happening, but you 198 00:10:19,800 --> 00:10:22,280 Speaker 2: can't do anything about it, so you just go along 199 00:10:22,280 --> 00:10:29,600 Speaker 2: with the ride. With all due respect, Greg Phillips, I 200 00:10:29,600 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 2: don't think that's teleportation. I think that's what most of 201 00:10:33,520 --> 00:10:40,520 Speaker 2: us call a blackout, hungover, taken too many foreign substances. 202 00:10:41,240 --> 00:10:44,000 Speaker 2: Now there's a support groupe, and the first step is 203 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:48,240 Speaker 2: admitting you ended up somewhere with scattered, smothered and covered 204 00:10:48,679 --> 00:10:53,280 Speaker 2: hash browns or fake eggs, fake pancakes, and you can't 205 00:10:53,320 --> 00:10:57,280 Speaker 2: explain why. He also claims that his car was once 206 00:10:57,600 --> 00:11:01,440 Speaker 2: lifted up and tran supported forty miles to a ditch 207 00:11:01,480 --> 00:11:05,440 Speaker 2: near a church. So we've got waffle house and a 208 00:11:05,480 --> 00:11:10,199 Speaker 2: ditch by a church. I think there's a country song 209 00:11:10,280 --> 00:11:15,040 Speaker 2: there somewhere, not a supernatural event, but I think that 210 00:11:15,120 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 2: we need, you know, we need some country artists to 211 00:11:19,520 --> 00:11:22,880 Speaker 2: come out and do a song. Now Here's theme is 212 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:26,280 Speaker 2: official response, the agency said the quote. Many of the 213 00:11:26,320 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 2: comments cited they're taken out of context or represent personal, informal, 214 00:11:31,040 --> 00:11:35,360 Speaker 2: jovial or somewhat spiritual discussions maye in the context of 215 00:11:35,480 --> 00:11:40,000 Speaker 2: barely surviving cancer and a private capacity, private prior to 216 00:11:40,040 --> 00:11:43,600 Speaker 2: his current role. So if he's a cancer survivor maybe 217 00:11:43,640 --> 00:11:46,240 Speaker 2: he was blacked out on chemo or something, I don't know, 218 00:11:48,120 --> 00:11:52,520 Speaker 2: jovial and somewhat spiritual. That is the greatest sentence ever 219 00:11:52,559 --> 00:11:57,040 Speaker 2: written in the English language by a federal bureaucrat. Somebody, 220 00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:00,400 Speaker 2: how to put that on your tombstone. Many the comments 221 00:12:00,440 --> 00:12:04,360 Speaker 2: cited or taken out of context or represent personal, informal, 222 00:12:04,480 --> 00:12:08,199 Speaker 2: jovial and somewhat spiritual discussions made in the context of 223 00:12:08,240 --> 00:12:11,800 Speaker 2: barely surviving cancer in a private capacity prior to his 224 00:12:11,920 --> 00:12:17,480 Speaker 2: current role. Wow, that's that's amazing to me. Now here's 225 00:12:17,480 --> 00:12:20,400 Speaker 2: where it gets better. Look, here's I got to put 226 00:12:20,400 --> 00:12:23,000 Speaker 2: my former undersecretary hat on for just a moment and 227 00:12:23,040 --> 00:12:27,360 Speaker 2: be straight with you, because this isn't actually funny. Phillips 228 00:12:27,400 --> 00:12:31,320 Speaker 2: doesn't have any documented experience none, zero, and as director 229 00:12:31,360 --> 00:12:34,800 Speaker 2: of the Office Response and Recovery, he oversees billions in 230 00:12:34,840 --> 00:12:39,000 Speaker 2: disaster relief funds and is deeply involved in rapid response 231 00:12:39,080 --> 00:12:43,040 Speaker 2: efforts in the aftermath of disasters. I know what the 232 00:12:43,120 --> 00:12:46,160 Speaker 2: job requires. When a cat form makes landfall at two 233 00:12:46,160 --> 00:12:49,160 Speaker 2: o'clock in the morning, a wildfire jumps a containment line 234 00:12:49,600 --> 00:12:52,440 Speaker 2: and three towns are in the path, that office is 235 00:12:52,480 --> 00:12:55,880 Speaker 2: the tip of the spear. People are alive or dead 236 00:12:55,960 --> 00:13:00,000 Speaker 2: based on decisions made in the room. Now, to be fair, 237 00:13:00,679 --> 00:13:06,520 Speaker 2: multiple FEMA officials told CNN that phillips hands on involvement 238 00:13:06,679 --> 00:13:10,480 Speaker 2: during the winter storms had kind of softened some of 239 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:15,560 Speaker 2: their initial doubts. One high ranking officials said Greg Phillips 240 00:13:15,600 --> 00:13:18,720 Speaker 2: is thema's best hope at this moment, I can't believe 241 00:13:18,760 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 2: I'm saying that. Well, I don't know what to say here. 242 00:13:25,320 --> 00:13:28,920 Speaker 2: I can believe it because career professionals at FEMA truly 243 00:13:28,960 --> 00:13:31,800 Speaker 2: are extraordinary. They and they tend to pull people up 244 00:13:31,840 --> 00:13:36,720 Speaker 2: to their level, but better than expected. It's not quite 245 00:13:36,760 --> 00:13:42,120 Speaker 2: the same as qualified and jovial and spiritual doesn't cut 246 00:13:42,120 --> 00:13:45,720 Speaker 2: it when someone's house is underwater in Ashville. The wolf 247 00:13:45,760 --> 00:13:49,480 Speaker 2: of House story is funny, the job is not. And 248 00:13:49,520 --> 00:13:55,880 Speaker 2: it just fascinates me that I don't know teleportation. You know, 249 00:13:56,280 --> 00:13:58,720 Speaker 2: people ask me, why why don't you run for governor, Mike, 250 00:13:58,960 --> 00:14:01,839 Speaker 2: Why don't you run for Connor? Why don't you do 251 00:14:01,240 --> 00:14:03,079 Speaker 2: what you know? If they ask you to go back 252 00:14:03,080 --> 00:14:06,440 Speaker 2: to d C, would you like to go. I've always 253 00:14:06,480 --> 00:14:08,480 Speaker 2: said this, I would go back to d C under 254 00:14:08,480 --> 00:14:11,200 Speaker 2: one condition. I'm not making. 255 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:11,840 Speaker 3: A lateral move. 256 00:14:11,960 --> 00:14:13,520 Speaker 2: I would go back to d C only if I 257 00:14:13,559 --> 00:14:16,240 Speaker 2: get to be the Secretary of Homeland Security. But apparently 258 00:14:16,320 --> 00:14:18,680 Speaker 2: Mark Wayne wulland another Okie is already taking that job, 259 00:14:18,760 --> 00:14:21,120 Speaker 2: So I'm not going back, and I don't think anybody. 260 00:14:21,160 --> 00:14:23,320 Speaker 2: I'm not sure there's any of the other job I want. 261 00:14:23,480 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 2: I can't be a Marco Rubio. I can't fulfill all 262 00:14:26,360 --> 00:14:28,360 Speaker 2: the things that he's doing. I don't want to be 263 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:30,400 Speaker 2: the Secretary of Commerce. I don't want be the Secretary 264 00:14:30,400 --> 00:14:33,960 Speaker 2: of bag So you know, I'm kind of limit and 265 00:14:33,960 --> 00:14:35,960 Speaker 2: I'm not qualified to be the Secretary of Defense. So 266 00:14:36,000 --> 00:14:38,880 Speaker 2: I'm not going back. But even if they were to 267 00:14:38,920 --> 00:14:43,160 Speaker 2: ask me, can you imagine they've got almost twenty years 268 00:14:43,640 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 2: of radio and things that Dragon said to me to 269 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:50,720 Speaker 2: which I've responded, or things that I've said to Dragon 270 00:14:50,760 --> 00:14:53,480 Speaker 2: to which she's responded, or things that I've said on 271 00:14:53,480 --> 00:14:56,800 Speaker 2: my own, things that I have said that if you 272 00:14:56,920 --> 00:15:01,960 Speaker 2: took you could probably take any given day's program and 273 00:15:02,080 --> 00:15:05,479 Speaker 2: take it out, take take words or comments or sentences 274 00:15:05,520 --> 00:15:09,480 Speaker 2: out of context, and you could bury me alive, bury 275 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:14,760 Speaker 2: me alive. And yet, guess what, I don't give a rat's. 276 00:15:14,520 --> 00:15:17,520 Speaker 1: Ask Michael, mister Phillips took over a job that you 277 00:15:17,600 --> 00:15:22,680 Speaker 1: got fired from that doesn't speak very highly of you. 278 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:26,640 Speaker 2: No, actually that's incorrect. He took over a job that 279 00:15:27,000 --> 00:15:30,760 Speaker 2: reported to me, and by the way, I didn't get fired. 280 00:15:31,080 --> 00:15:34,760 Speaker 2: I quit. The most significant development in the past twenty 281 00:15:34,800 --> 00:15:37,920 Speaker 2: four hours is a I wonder if that was six one? 282 00:15:40,480 --> 00:15:47,120 Speaker 2: Can you tell he jokes the record chekes, the evident 283 00:15:47,160 --> 00:15:50,440 Speaker 2: was not okay. That's interesting. The most significant development in 284 00:15:50,440 --> 00:15:53,000 Speaker 2: the past twenty four hours is what I would call 285 00:15:53,000 --> 00:15:59,000 Speaker 2: a striking strategic paradox. So, the Trump administration has ostensibly 286 00:15:59,040 --> 00:16:04,840 Speaker 2: offered a fifteen point cease fire plan. They've to Iran obviously, 287 00:16:05,200 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 2: they've done it through Pakistani intermediaries. Even as they've offered 288 00:16:10,040 --> 00:16:13,080 Speaker 2: this peace plan, even as the military is preparing to 289 00:16:13,120 --> 00:16:15,880 Speaker 2: call up at least a thousand troops, maybe more, to 290 00:16:15,880 --> 00:16:19,400 Speaker 2: supplement the roughly fifty thousand troops that we already have 291 00:16:19,640 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 2: in that region. That's not a contradiction. I think that's leverage. 292 00:16:25,400 --> 00:16:28,600 Speaker 2: What Trump is doing is exactly what he did during 293 00:16:28,640 --> 00:16:32,640 Speaker 2: his business career. He's negotiating with one hand while oppressuring 294 00:16:32,840 --> 00:16:36,600 Speaker 2: applying pressure with the other hand. Now, whether it works 295 00:16:36,680 --> 00:16:39,320 Speaker 2: or not is a question that we ought to be asking. 296 00:16:40,160 --> 00:16:43,040 Speaker 2: Let's think about the fifteen point cease fire plan and 297 00:16:43,120 --> 00:16:46,240 Speaker 2: what we think is in it, because nobody really knows 298 00:16:46,240 --> 00:16:51,200 Speaker 2: what's in it. Sensibly, the plan demands that the Iranians 299 00:16:51,240 --> 00:16:57,160 Speaker 2: dismantle their nuclear capabilities, halt all uranium enrichment, and make 300 00:16:57,200 --> 00:17:02,400 Speaker 2: a permanent commitment not to pursue nuclear weapons. Why would 301 00:17:02,400 --> 00:17:04,200 Speaker 2: we trust them when they had anything like that for 302 00:17:04,320 --> 00:17:07,040 Speaker 2: the past forty seven years, but nonetheless that's something that 303 00:17:07,080 --> 00:17:11,480 Speaker 2: ostensibly is in this plan. It would also require Tehran 304 00:17:11,560 --> 00:17:14,760 Speaker 2: to end funding and armed supplies to all of their 305 00:17:14,800 --> 00:17:19,119 Speaker 2: allied proxy groups across the region, and then finally ensure 306 00:17:19,160 --> 00:17:21,920 Speaker 2: that the Strait of hor Moves remains open to international shipping. 307 00:17:22,640 --> 00:17:25,680 Speaker 2: And then Iran would be required to curb missile production, 308 00:17:26,280 --> 00:17:29,960 Speaker 2: limit any future used strictly to self defense, and in return, 309 00:17:30,600 --> 00:17:33,480 Speaker 2: the quid pro quo would be we would offer full 310 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:38,880 Speaker 2: sanctioned relief support for a civilian nuclear energy program at 311 00:17:38,920 --> 00:17:43,120 Speaker 2: the bush Air Nuclear Power Plant and then remove all 312 00:17:43,200 --> 00:17:49,119 Speaker 2: the United Nations snapback mechanisms. One Egyptian official that's involved 313 00:17:49,119 --> 00:17:52,440 Speaker 2: in the mediation described the fifteen point plan as kind 314 00:17:52,440 --> 00:17:55,560 Speaker 2: of like a comprehensive deal. I would say it's probably 315 00:17:55,640 --> 00:17:59,440 Speaker 2: comparable one scope to the Gozz of CeaseFire's twenty point framework. 316 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:03,439 Speaker 2: The Gosin's got twenty points, the Iranians get fifteen points, 317 00:18:04,760 --> 00:18:07,640 Speaker 2: and the same Egyptian officials said it would require immense 318 00:18:07,840 --> 00:18:11,320 Speaker 2: efforts to hammer out the details even if both sides 319 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:16,320 Speaker 2: agree to sit down. Now, the Iranian officials, whether you 320 00:18:16,320 --> 00:18:18,160 Speaker 2: believe them or not. I'm just telling you what they 321 00:18:18,200 --> 00:18:21,439 Speaker 2: say that they're very skeptical of the Trump administration, so 322 00:18:21,800 --> 00:18:26,240 Speaker 2: we're skeptical of them, and they're skeptical of us. And 323 00:18:26,800 --> 00:18:31,320 Speaker 2: the Iranians public response has been this what I would 324 00:18:31,359 --> 00:18:38,080 Speaker 2: call theatrical contempt. Iranian military spokesperson Lieutenant Colonel Ibrahim zo 325 00:18:38,240 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 2: Fargi or I don't know, whatever it is. There was 326 00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:43,640 Speaker 2: a pre recorded video put out last night on state 327 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:49,119 Speaker 2: television declaring that the strategic power you mean us, you 328 00:18:49,200 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 2: used to talk about has turned into a strategic failure. 329 00:18:52,560 --> 00:18:55,399 Speaker 2: Someone like us will never come to terms with someone 330 00:18:55,560 --> 00:19:01,000 Speaker 2: like you. Now, the Uranian parliament speaker that any talks 331 00:19:01,000 --> 00:19:07,160 Speaker 2: are occurring, and the foreign minister said nothing. Two Pakistani officials, 332 00:19:07,240 --> 00:19:12,320 Speaker 2: again acting as intermediaries, confirmed to the Associated Press that 333 00:19:12,359 --> 00:19:16,080 Speaker 2: Iran did receive a proposal. So Iran has a plan, 334 00:19:16,560 --> 00:19:20,400 Speaker 2: Iran is reading it. Iran is publicly saying it won't negotiate. Well, 335 00:19:20,440 --> 00:19:23,320 Speaker 2: that's just nothing more than a negotiating posture. That's not 336 00:19:23,400 --> 00:19:26,920 Speaker 2: a final answer, and we ought to recognize that there 337 00:19:26,960 --> 00:19:30,600 Speaker 2: is a difference. But this is the story where I 338 00:19:30,640 --> 00:19:34,760 Speaker 2: think we get the most speculation and probably the most confusion. 339 00:19:35,800 --> 00:19:39,359 Speaker 2: Here's what the facts actually support somewhere between two and 340 00:19:39,400 --> 00:19:43,160 Speaker 2: three thousand paratroopers from the eighty second Airborne Division's Immediate 341 00:19:43,200 --> 00:19:47,240 Speaker 2: Response Force their IRF. That's the unit that can mobilize 342 00:19:47,600 --> 00:19:52,440 Speaker 2: anywhere in the world within eighteen hours. They are trained 343 00:19:52,440 --> 00:19:57,000 Speaker 2: to literally parachute into hostile or contested territory to do 344 00:19:57,080 --> 00:20:01,600 Speaker 2: things like secure airfields and key terrain. They've gotten their 345 00:20:01,600 --> 00:20:05,160 Speaker 2: written deployment orders to the Middle East. Now combine that, 346 00:20:05,200 --> 00:20:08,840 Speaker 2: because we've already had the deployment of the Marine expeditionary 347 00:20:08,920 --> 00:20:12,440 Speaker 2: units who are already en route, so the total edition 348 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:15,320 Speaker 2: could bring some six to eight thousand US ground troops 349 00:20:15,359 --> 00:20:20,440 Speaker 2: into close proximity to the battlefield at a time when 350 00:20:20,440 --> 00:20:24,320 Speaker 2: Trump has ultimately said he will not put boots on 351 00:20:24,359 --> 00:20:27,119 Speaker 2: the ground at the same time that he's not ruled 352 00:20:27,160 --> 00:20:31,600 Speaker 2: it out. Typical Trump, right, But what are these forces 353 00:20:32,000 --> 00:20:36,399 Speaker 2: actually being deployed? Four? I came up with what I 354 00:20:36,400 --> 00:20:39,680 Speaker 2: think are three plausible explanations, and I don't think they're 355 00:20:39,800 --> 00:20:46,320 Speaker 2: usually exclusive. Option one embassy and base security. The Marines 356 00:20:46,320 --> 00:20:49,960 Speaker 2: are trained for exactly that with US embassies and bases 357 00:20:50,000 --> 00:20:54,240 Speaker 2: in Baghdad, Dubai, Bhan, Bahrain. They've already been struck plus 358 00:20:54,240 --> 00:20:57,440 Speaker 2: embassy is in all the other countries, a force protection 359 00:20:57,600 --> 00:21:02,160 Speaker 2: mission would be entirely legitimate. That's sung greed. That might 360 00:21:02,200 --> 00:21:04,320 Speaker 2: presuppose that there's gonna be some sort of invasion, but 361 00:21:04,359 --> 00:21:07,440 Speaker 2: I'm not sure about that, So maybe they're just there to, 362 00:21:08,080 --> 00:21:10,800 Speaker 2: you know, protect the embassies. I do think that's an 363 00:21:10,800 --> 00:21:15,800 Speaker 2: option option to carg Island. You know, that's where something 364 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:19,920 Speaker 2: like ninety percent of the Ranian oil is eventually put 365 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:25,000 Speaker 2: onto ships to be dispersed to formerly Venezuela, China, Russia 366 00:21:25,080 --> 00:21:31,720 Speaker 2: other places. The marine deployment has raised speculation, at least 367 00:21:31,720 --> 00:21:34,960 Speaker 2: that I found online, that we may attempt to seize 368 00:21:35,000 --> 00:21:38,639 Speaker 2: Carg Island, which kind of makes sense because it's vital 369 00:21:38,680 --> 00:21:43,240 Speaker 2: to Iran's oil export network. Now, we bomb the island's 370 00:21:43,240 --> 00:21:47,240 Speaker 2: defenses for more than a week, but left oil infrastructure 371 00:21:47,240 --> 00:21:51,359 Speaker 2: itself intact. I don't think that is accidental. Taking Carg 372 00:21:51,440 --> 00:21:58,040 Speaker 2: Island physically would give us the stranglehold on Iran's oil 373 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:04,440 Speaker 2: revenue without destroyer all that oil infrastructure. That would create 374 00:22:04,480 --> 00:22:08,800 Speaker 2: an enormous economic pressure point and quite frankly, a huge 375 00:22:09,320 --> 00:22:12,600 Speaker 2: negotiating chip. So I think that's option two. So option 376 00:22:12,680 --> 00:22:15,960 Speaker 2: one's embassyen based security. Option two is carg Island. Option 377 00:22:16,040 --> 00:22:19,240 Speaker 2: three I think is just maximum flexibility, and that's what's 378 00:22:19,320 --> 00:22:24,359 Speaker 2: being tell that's what's being televised to us. A person 379 00:22:24,400 --> 00:22:27,439 Speaker 2: briefed on the situation. Again, according to the Associated Press 380 00:22:28,480 --> 00:22:34,040 Speaker 2: that a simultaneous ceasefire proposal and troop deployment is being 381 00:22:34,080 --> 00:22:38,359 Speaker 2: framed internally as Trump giving himself maximum flexibility on what 382 00:22:38,440 --> 00:22:41,000 Speaker 2: he might do next. I think that's probably the most 383 00:22:41,040 --> 00:22:45,359 Speaker 2: honest read. This is what I would describe as deliberate 384 00:22:45,640 --> 00:22:50,920 Speaker 2: ambiguity designed to keep the Iranians guessing. So I think 385 00:22:50,960 --> 00:22:53,200 Speaker 2: that while and again that's why I point out these 386 00:22:53,240 --> 00:22:57,200 Speaker 2: are not mutually exclusive. It could be one, two, three, 387 00:22:57,440 --> 00:23:00,000 Speaker 2: or all of the above. It could be two and three, 388 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:04,359 Speaker 2: one and three, it could be any of them. But 389 00:23:04,520 --> 00:23:06,280 Speaker 2: let's go to the straggle from Moose for a moment 390 00:23:07,800 --> 00:23:12,159 Speaker 2: partial movement, but there's no resolution now. Trump gave it 391 00:23:13,119 --> 00:23:17,160 Speaker 2: an ultimatum to open the strait by March twenty third, 392 00:23:17,920 --> 00:23:21,280 Speaker 2: that was Monday. He since backed off that deadline. He 393 00:23:21,359 --> 00:23:25,360 Speaker 2: extended it to the end of the week that's Friday. Now, 394 00:23:25,520 --> 00:23:29,000 Speaker 2: the Iranians have allowed ships from countries that it deems 395 00:23:29,080 --> 00:23:32,760 Speaker 2: neutral to pass through the straits. Ships linked to Pakistan 396 00:23:32,840 --> 00:23:36,160 Speaker 2: and India have been waved through, and China and Iraq 397 00:23:36,320 --> 00:23:40,160 Speaker 2: are in negotiations with Tehran for safe passages of ships 398 00:23:40,160 --> 00:23:44,080 Speaker 2: flying of ships traveling either to them or under their flags. 399 00:23:44,760 --> 00:23:49,840 Speaker 2: About ninety percent of crude oil destined for Asia, meaning 400 00:23:50,119 --> 00:23:53,800 Speaker 2: not just China, but South Korea which is now rationing 401 00:23:53,840 --> 00:23:58,719 Speaker 2: gas and the Japanese that passes through her moos. So 402 00:23:58,760 --> 00:24:01,399 Speaker 2: the bottom line is the straight is not open. It 403 00:24:01,520 --> 00:24:06,600 Speaker 2: is selectively permeable for friends of the Iranians. That's not 404 00:24:06,720 --> 00:24:11,640 Speaker 2: freedom of navigation. That is the Iranians rationing access as 405 00:24:11,720 --> 00:24:18,040 Speaker 2: a geopolitical weapon. There's apparently a UN Security Council resolution 406 00:24:18,160 --> 00:24:21,960 Speaker 2: that's been drafted circulating around They would call on countries 407 00:24:22,000 --> 00:24:25,480 Speaker 2: to use all necessary means to keep the straight of 408 00:24:25,480 --> 00:24:28,960 Speaker 2: Her moves open. Now that resolution is not going to pass, 409 00:24:29,040 --> 00:24:30,879 Speaker 2: it's not going anywhere because the Russians are going to 410 00:24:30,960 --> 00:24:35,800 Speaker 2: veto it, but its circulation signals the degree of international alarm. 411 00:24:36,680 --> 00:24:39,760 Speaker 2: And there are photos. Whether they're real or AI I 412 00:24:39,920 --> 00:24:42,800 Speaker 2: really haven't been able to determine, but there are photos 413 00:24:42,840 --> 00:24:47,800 Speaker 2: of the Brits have what three ships maybe four anyway, 414 00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:51,040 Speaker 2: there are photos of British ships on their way to 415 00:24:51,160 --> 00:24:53,560 Speaker 2: the Strait of Horror moves, or I should say at 416 00:24:53,640 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 2: least maybe to the Mediterranean or somewhere in that area. 417 00:24:57,600 --> 00:25:01,520 Speaker 2: I don't know, but I think Straight and carg Island 418 00:25:01,920 --> 00:25:08,040 Speaker 2: are two of the most important items that are being 419 00:25:08,160 --> 00:25:14,040 Speaker 2: leveraged to either bring an into this the conflict, or 420 00:25:14,080 --> 00:25:18,160 Speaker 2: to bring it into the Iranian regime. But well, what 421 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:24,440 Speaker 2: about the golf the Gulf States? What about their council? 422 00:25:25,200 --> 00:25:26,320 Speaker 2: What's happening there? 423 00:25:26,840 --> 00:25:31,720 Speaker 5: So, Michael, if the current Iranian leadership won't negotiate with us, 424 00:25:32,480 --> 00:25:35,280 Speaker 5: how many of them can we keep killing between US 425 00:25:35,320 --> 00:25:38,840 Speaker 5: and Israel until we finally find someone who will sit 426 00:25:38,920 --> 00:25:42,399 Speaker 5: down and we can make an agreement with Or is 427 00:25:42,640 --> 00:25:44,000 Speaker 5: any of that become a war crime? 428 00:25:45,280 --> 00:25:45,320 Speaker 3: No? 429 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,320 Speaker 2: You just yeah. I mean, if you're a member of 430 00:25:48,320 --> 00:25:52,480 Speaker 2: the IRGC or the Bashir whatever it is, that security force, 431 00:25:52,640 --> 00:25:55,360 Speaker 2: they're all legitimate military targets. So we just keep killing them. 432 00:25:55,480 --> 00:25:58,200 Speaker 2: We just keep killing them until somebody, you know, either 433 00:25:58,560 --> 00:26:02,280 Speaker 2: either out of the population rises up or somebody in 434 00:26:02,280 --> 00:26:05,560 Speaker 2: the diaspora rises up, whether that be the exiled crown 435 00:26:05,640 --> 00:26:07,560 Speaker 2: Prince or somebody else. I don't know, I don't care, 436 00:26:08,280 --> 00:26:12,199 Speaker 2: but that whole question really goes to the heart of 437 00:26:12,280 --> 00:26:14,040 Speaker 2: an entire other segment that I want to do at 438 00:26:14,040 --> 00:26:17,080 Speaker 2: some point about the Iranian people and what's happening with them, 439 00:26:17,119 --> 00:26:20,040 Speaker 2: but I'm not quite ready to do that yet. And 440 00:26:20,040 --> 00:26:22,720 Speaker 2: then Goober number forty five nineteen writes and says, Michael, 441 00:26:22,720 --> 00:26:27,240 Speaker 2: to be fair, they meaning the cabal could take anything 442 00:26:27,320 --> 00:26:31,919 Speaker 2: you say in context and decimate you just saying and 443 00:26:32,160 --> 00:26:33,120 Speaker 2: probably true, isn't it drug? 444 00:26:33,280 --> 00:26:34,000 Speaker 3: Yeah it's not wrong. 445 00:26:34,080 --> 00:26:37,760 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not wrong at all. And then Goober number 446 00:26:37,800 --> 00:26:41,879 Speaker 2: four thousand, great phone number four thousand, Michael us Gooper's 447 00:26:41,880 --> 00:26:45,800 Speaker 2: would bury you too. Wow. You know what, when your 448 00:26:45,800 --> 00:26:47,760 Speaker 2: audience hates you as much as you hate the audience, 449 00:26:48,760 --> 00:26:51,439 Speaker 2: that's love right there. I mean that that is a 450 00:26:51,520 --> 00:26:59,159 Speaker 2: code dependent, that is a that's abusive relationships with that 451 00:26:59,320 --> 00:27:03,240 Speaker 2: is it shows up in the numbers and we're happy 452 00:27:03,280 --> 00:27:07,400 Speaker 2: about it. That's what's great. So an objective assessment where 453 00:27:07,440 --> 00:27:12,240 Speaker 2: things actually stand. The military were ahead of schedule, Colm 454 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:15,760 Speaker 2: reports having destroyed more than nine thousand targets since the 455 00:27:15,800 --> 00:27:20,840 Speaker 2: conflict began. Iranian state media claims that their air defense 456 00:27:20,920 --> 00:27:23,560 Speaker 2: is shot down one hundred and thirty drones and several 457 00:27:23,600 --> 00:27:27,600 Speaker 2: fighter jets nearly four weeks. Really well, I didn't know that, 458 00:27:27,640 --> 00:27:30,560 Speaker 2: which measured against more than six thousand sorties and nine 459 00:27:30,600 --> 00:27:33,520 Speaker 2: thousand targets strucks, tells you the interception rate is not 460 00:27:33,600 --> 00:27:38,320 Speaker 2: stopping the campaign, if those numbers are even true. Diplomatically, 461 00:27:39,359 --> 00:27:43,120 Speaker 2: it's active but fragile. The fifteen point plan I think 462 00:27:43,200 --> 00:27:46,360 Speaker 2: must be real. Pakistan really is acting as an intermediary. 463 00:27:46,400 --> 00:27:50,000 Speaker 2: That's a pretty clever choice. Islama band has a mutual 464 00:27:50,000 --> 00:27:54,359 Speaker 2: defense agreement with Saudi Arabia. Pakistani is a nuclear power 465 00:27:54,400 --> 00:27:57,640 Speaker 2: with existing relationships in Tehran, and it's not a party 466 00:27:57,640 --> 00:28:01,320 Speaker 2: of this conflict. But whether the Uranians negotiating good faith 467 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,920 Speaker 2: or uses the process to buy time for reconstitution, that's 468 00:28:05,960 --> 00:28:13,399 Speaker 2: the unknown. Economically mounting damage globally, oil above one hundred 469 00:28:13,400 --> 00:28:17,200 Speaker 2: dollars a barrel, global food prices rising, cutters, LNG exports, 470 00:28:17,320 --> 00:28:20,879 Speaker 2: twenty percent of global market still shut down. That's not 471 00:28:20,920 --> 00:28:23,480 Speaker 2: a regional problem. That's a global problem. That's a global 472 00:28:23,520 --> 00:28:26,760 Speaker 2: economic event that has consequences that you are going to 473 00:28:26,880 --> 00:28:28,960 Speaker 2: fill that are going to feel every time that we 474 00:28:29,400 --> 00:28:31,960 Speaker 2: fill up our tanks or by groceries. So there is 475 00:28:32,600 --> 00:28:39,640 Speaker 2: mounting political damage and economic damage. Politically inside Iran contested 476 00:28:39,760 --> 00:28:44,480 Speaker 2: but not suppressed. The people went out, but the IRGC 477 00:28:44,720 --> 00:28:49,120 Speaker 2: still has enough coursive capacity to keep them inside, I 478 00:28:49,200 --> 00:28:54,320 Speaker 2: mean literally inside and outside their homes. The one that 479 00:28:54,440 --> 00:28:58,080 Speaker 2: Emir of VV the Retirers Railely Brigadier General raised last 480 00:28:58,120 --> 00:29:03,960 Speaker 2: week is this whether the combination of military decapitation and 481 00:29:04,200 --> 00:29:09,160 Speaker 2: economic strangulation will reach a tipping point. Here's what he said. 482 00:29:09,960 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 2: It's a matter of weeks before the United States and 483 00:29:13,320 --> 00:29:17,640 Speaker 2: Israel assess whether the regime is weak enough for internal 484 00:29:17,760 --> 00:29:25,640 Speaker 2: forces to finish the job. Iran attacked every single Gulf 485 00:29:25,720 --> 00:29:29,480 Speaker 2: state that had spent years telling us don't start this war. 486 00:29:30,360 --> 00:29:32,760 Speaker 2: Then Iran fired on the countries as I promised to 487 00:29:32,760 --> 00:29:37,200 Speaker 2: Tehran that they would stay neutral. Iran targeted civilian airports, hotels, 488 00:29:37,240 --> 00:29:41,440 Speaker 2: residential buildings in Doha, Dubai, read the Nama Kuwait City, 489 00:29:41,680 --> 00:29:45,520 Speaker 2: and then Iran had the strategic acumen to be surprised 490 00:29:45,880 --> 00:29:49,520 Speaker 2: that those same Gulf states now want the war to 491 00:29:49,600 --> 00:29:55,240 Speaker 2: continue until the Iranians are militarily defined. It was a strategic, 492 00:29:56,000 --> 00:30:00,840 Speaker 2: I think suicidal mistake. Now you can't bomb your way 493 00:30:01,040 --> 00:30:05,120 Speaker 2: into negotiating advantage when your adversary has just written a 494 00:30:05,120 --> 00:30:08,280 Speaker 2: fifteen point plan is deploying the eighty second Airborne to 495 00:30:08,360 --> 00:30:11,959 Speaker 2: make you understand what happens if you say no, that 496 00:30:12,120 --> 00:30:17,200 Speaker 2: is not us blinking. That's America keeping every I should 497 00:30:17,200 --> 00:30:21,160 Speaker 2: say Trump. We got to give Trump credit for this. 498 00:30:21,800 --> 00:30:25,520 Speaker 2: He's keeping every option on the table with one hand 499 00:30:26,000 --> 00:30:29,760 Speaker 2: while offering a way out with the other hand. And 500 00:30:29,840 --> 00:30:33,880 Speaker 2: I think the people of Iran understand this. They're putting 501 00:30:33,880 --> 00:30:36,760 Speaker 2: pictures of Trump and Net new Haw Net and Yahoo 502 00:30:37,240 --> 00:30:40,320 Speaker 2: on their New Year dinner tables. They're going through their 503 00:30:40,480 --> 00:30:43,800 Speaker 2: Persian New Year. The only people in Iran who don't 504 00:30:43,880 --> 00:30:46,360 Speaker 2: understand it are the ones that are still in power. 505 00:30:47,160 --> 00:30:52,360 Speaker 2: And that calculation may be changing every single day. And 506 00:30:52,400 --> 00:30:56,880 Speaker 2: as the Expeditionary Force and the eighty second Airborne get closer, 507 00:30:57,280 --> 00:30:59,800 Speaker 2: as we continue the sorties and we continue the strike, 508 00:31:01,080 --> 00:31:05,440 Speaker 2: I think the calculation will change. And I'm going to 509 00:31:05,560 --> 00:31:09,120 Speaker 2: keep watching what the diaspora's doing and what those people 510 00:31:09,160 --> 00:31:12,040 Speaker 2: in country are doing, because I think at some point 511 00:31:12,080 --> 00:31:15,720 Speaker 2: there is I think the General's exactly right, just as 512 00:31:15,880 --> 00:31:18,680 Speaker 2: Malcolm Gladwell said in his book, the tipping point in 513 00:31:18,920 --> 00:31:22,280 Speaker 2: every cycle of every kind of thing you can imagine, 514 00:31:22,720 --> 00:31:26,120 Speaker 2: there is a tipping point. And I think we'll reach 515 00:31:26,200 --> 00:31:27,480 Speaker 2: that with the Iranians too,