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Speaker 1: The Mark Belling Podcast is presented by you Line for

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Speaker 1: quality shipping and industrial supplies. You Line has everything in stock.

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Speaker 1: Visit you line dot com. The Markbelling Podcast is a

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Speaker 1: production of iHeartRadio Podcasts.

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Speaker 2: We have a quote of the day on Today's podcast.

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Speaker 2: Every now and then we have a quote of the day.

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Speaker 2: We don't have one every day because I don't find

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Speaker 2: a good enough quote every day. Plus my own quotes.

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Speaker 2: The things that I just come out with could all

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Speaker 2: be quotes of the day. But I have a quote

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Speaker 2: of the day. The quote of the day, my definition

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Speaker 2: comes from somebody else, and we're going to actually lead

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Speaker 2: with it. I found this in one of the aggregator

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Speaker 2: services that I subscribe to to help me find material

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Speaker 2: for the program. It's from somebody named Charles Bukowski. By

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Speaker 2: the way, I would bet almost ever anything you don't

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Speaker 2: know who that is, I wouldn't. I'm glad I didn't

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Speaker 2: say a dollar about what if you actually shocked me

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Speaker 2: and came up with this. He was He was a

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Speaker 2: poet in the era in which some poets actually were

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Speaker 2: not hoody twitty but were, you know, halfway bums, an

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Speaker 2: old era when Alan Ginsburg and the Beat poets came

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Speaker 2: out Bukowski, he just looked like a slob and he

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Speaker 2: was like he was he was. He wore punchy, short

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Speaker 2: little things, and I just back when I was in college,

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Speaker 2: like people were into that stuff kind of. Bukowski was

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Speaker 2: not like one of these flowing you know. His stuff

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Speaker 2: would be like about whinos, and he was more of

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Speaker 2: a Muhammad Ali type poet, if you know what I mean,

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Speaker 2: except very punchy stuff. This is a line from Charles Bukowski.

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Speaker 2: The problem with the world is that the intelligent people

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Speaker 2: are full of doubts. Well the stupid one. Stupid ones

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Speaker 2: are full of confidence. Boy does that nail it. I

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Speaker 2: go back to COVID, in which I was simply rejecting

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Speaker 2: the official line that we were getting from the government,

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Speaker 2: from Fauci, the drug companies. But I didn't embrace the

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Speaker 2: line from all of the skeptics who said the vaccines

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Speaker 2: were terrible. That people said they there's some people said

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Speaker 2: COVID is gonna kill us all, and as they're saying

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Speaker 2: it's just a common cold, I said, I didn't know

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Speaker 2: that something like this is going to require an open

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Speaker 2: mind and evidence. There are a lot of things that

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Speaker 2: are like that the people who do the true damage

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Speaker 2: in our country are people who are convinced they're right

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Speaker 2: when they don't know what damn thing. The people who

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Speaker 2: usually turn out to be right are those who think

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Speaker 2: things through and are not biased in advanced in Advanced

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Speaker 2: by some conclusion that they want to hold. Great quote,

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Speaker 2: and I'm opening with it because it applies to the

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Speaker 2: first segment of today's program, which we're just gonna underline.

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Speaker 2: I think that what we're gonna get into here following

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Speaker 2: my sharing of information about our title sponsor you Line

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Speaker 2: is particularly important. It covers two or three issues, and

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Speaker 2: I'm just underlining and drawing my attention.

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Speaker 3: So.

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Speaker 2: You give it some thought, particularly if you're in that

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Speaker 2: first group in which you do have some doubts when

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Speaker 2: it comes to shipping packaging, industrial supplies, and equipment. Many

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Speaker 2: suppliers offer endlessiles of product. You Line knows what you

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Speaker 2: each product and sure everything is in socc and ready

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Speaker 2: to ship the same day, and have a team available

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Speaker 2: twenty four to seven to answer your product questions. You

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Speaker 2: Line only carries supplies and equipment they have tested prime

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Speaker 2: I hadn't often used in their own business experience. The

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Speaker 2: you line difference today visit you line dot com. There

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Speaker 2: are a couple of issues that I think are tied together,

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Speaker 2: and I think almost nobody has picked up on this.

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Speaker 2: What I want to do is focus initially on one

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Speaker 2: of the issues is my way of getting into the other.

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Speaker 2: So that's a little bit of a setup. President Trump

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Speaker 2: did the interview on Sunday night. We talked about a

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Speaker 2: podcast earlier in the week with Nora O'Donnell on sixty Minutes,

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Speaker 2: and I thought that it was Trump at his best, because,

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Speaker 2: first of all, Nora o'donna wanted to carve him up

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Speaker 2: and interrupt him. But CBS is under new ownership and

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Speaker 2: she was under I think instructions to be a agressive

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Speaker 2: with Trump, but to let him get his answers in.

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Speaker 2: And Trump got his answers in anyway. One of the

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Speaker 2: areas that they discussed is I think an area in

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Speaker 2: which Trump has been shockingly successful. One of the things

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Speaker 2: that we just don't pay enough attention to our problems

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Speaker 2: that we avert. For example, you may hear the authorities

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Speaker 2: in a case, say we foiled a plot of somebody

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Speaker 2: who is going to blow up a school, you didn't

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Speaker 2: think anything about it, Well, imagine if they didn't. We

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Speaker 2: have the world a world right now that's on edge.

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Speaker 2: There's a lot of reasons for it. The radicalization of Islam,

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Speaker 2: factional dispear in many parts of the world, the fact

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Speaker 2: that the world is increasingly nuclear, the abrogation of American

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Speaker 2: power during Biden, a lot of factors. It is extraordinary

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Speaker 2: to me how much peace Trump is bringing to the

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Speaker 2: world now. The critics of Trump just want to say, well,

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Speaker 2: what about Russian Ukraine? And undeniably that war is still

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Speaker 2: going on, and in the response that Trump gives here,

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Speaker 2: it's going to be addressed. And it's the point that

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Speaker 2: Nora O'Donnell is raising. But we don't pay enough attention

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Speaker 2: to the fact that it was only a few months

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Speaker 2: ago that Indian and Pakistan were closed. This is one

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Speaker 2: of those issues that I talked earlier about Pukowski back

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Speaker 2: when we're in college, you know, and I don't know

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Speaker 2: about today. Nobody discusses ideas. When you're around other guys

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Speaker 2: in the front, we would discuss the issues. You know.

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Speaker 2: One of the things was debated is when World War

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Speaker 2: three breaks out. Whenever it is where will it be

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Speaker 2: or better put, what's the most dangerous part of the world.

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Speaker 2: A lot of people say the Middle East, but there

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Speaker 2: were many people this goes back decades that said Indian Pakistan.

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Speaker 2: They're both no clear and the level of hatred is

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Speaker 2: as great as Israel in the Arab nations, It's as

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Speaker 2: great as anything. It's religiously driven, it's border driven. There's

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Speaker 2: a time in which there was a separate country called

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Speaker 2: East Pakistan, since changed its name. India is predominantly hiddenu

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Speaker 2: and Pakistan is virtually entirely Muslim. You know. British colonialism

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Speaker 2: kept it all in order. But when they gained their independence.

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Speaker 2: It goes back to Gandhi, who is the great pacifist

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Speaker 2: at the time and probably averted in his era the

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Speaker 2: Great War between India and Pakistan. They were ready to

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Speaker 2: go to nuclear war. We managed to talk them off

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Speaker 2: the edge, as we've done again and again and again

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Speaker 2: under Trump. One of the things that simply can't be

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Speaker 2: processed by people who hate promp he's a warmonger in

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Speaker 2: the world. Trump is pacifist. Isn't the right term. Trump

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Speaker 2: believes in bringing peace to the world without American military intervention.

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Speaker 2: And yesterday's podcast, I talked briefly about the legacy of

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Speaker 2: Dick Cheney. He was an interventionist. Trump is not someone

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Speaker 2: who says, what doesn't involve us, to hell with it,

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Speaker 2: Let the world go to hell, let them figure it out.

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Speaker 2: We can't have that attitude. And I'm somebody that has

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Speaker 2: gone from being an interventionist, which I clearly was in

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Speaker 2: the Bush era. I considered myself a Neocon, but have

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Speaker 2: enough of an open mind to see it didn't work.

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Speaker 2: We're sticking our beaks into all sorts of things and

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Speaker 2: just getting our people killed, wasting a ton of money,

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Speaker 2: and nothing was ever gonna g anny better. And some

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Speaker 2: of the conservative movement had gone to being isolationist. I'm

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Speaker 2: not that either. We live on a planet that if

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Speaker 2: a nuclear war starts out, it doesn't really matter if

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Speaker 2: it starts in Norway or Kardosha. The radiation's gonna kill

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Speaker 2: us all, not to mention the fact that a decent

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Speaker 2: human being wants peace in the world. I think the

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Speaker 2: reason Trump has been so successful in so many of

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Speaker 2: these areas is he doesn't view the world the same

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Speaker 2: way the conventional leaders of both political parties do. There's

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Speaker 2: another part of this that I'm going to get to.

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Speaker 2: I said it was a two pronged discussion in a moment.

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Speaker 2: But here's the exchange with Norah O'Donnell, and I need

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Speaker 2: to set it up because she had rupted him a

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Speaker 2: couple of times. She's just jumping on. You know. Trump

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Speaker 2: said he was going to get the war between Ukraine

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Speaker 2: and Russia ended, and I thought he was going to

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Speaker 2: get it ended prior to this. It's the one nut

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Speaker 2: that he hasn't cracked. And it's I just think because

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Speaker 2: the leaders of the two nations want war, but look

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Speaker 2: at all the others that he stopped. So at any words,

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Speaker 2: that becomes her premise. And Trump has a retort. You know,

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Speaker 2: the term now is bring receipts. The term just came

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Speaker 2: out of nowhere three years ago. In other words, he

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Speaker 2: has the documentation to prove his point, and he's going

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Speaker 2: to go through I don't want to get the whole

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Speaker 2: thing away. He pulls out a piece of paper and

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Speaker 2: he talks about all of the wars that were on

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Speaker 2: the verge of starting or underway that he's ended. And

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Speaker 2: he's only but this is let's see ten months, not

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Speaker 2: quite ten. It would be ten months. Yeah, ten months

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Speaker 2: on November twentieth. So here's this exchange. But it'll with

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Speaker 2: this a little back and forth about Russian Ukraine and

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Speaker 2: why he hasn't solved this, and he goes into some

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Speaker 2: of the others, and I want you to listen to

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Speaker 2: this because a point that he makes at the end

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Speaker 2: is work is the subject that I'm linking to. So

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Speaker 2: this is again Trump from sixty minutes on Sunday.

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Speaker 4: Nd Nora, that was Joe Biden's war, not.

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Speaker 2: I need to Can you take it back to the beginning,

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Speaker 2: Paul or not? Yeah, take it back. I need to

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Speaker 2: set that up again. Her question that she's asking is

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Speaker 2: about Russia and Ukraine. So when he said, Joe, but Ace,

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Speaker 2: you know she's tried it, Why haven't read of the war?

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Speaker 2: Why haven't you had an end of the war? And

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Speaker 2: his the answer that he's giving here is starting with

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Speaker 2: this didn't start on me. I'm trying to clean up

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Speaker 2: a mess that somebody else let happen. Now, that's so

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Speaker 2: that's the context that we're the answer will start. Let's

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Speaker 2: play it.

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Speaker 4: Again, Nora, that was Joe Biden's war, not my war.

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Speaker 4: I inherited that stupid war. That should not have been

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Speaker 4: a war that would have never happened if I were president,

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Speaker 4: and by the way, for four years it didn't happen.

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Speaker 2: There was never even a doubt.

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Speaker 4: Then the election was rigged and stolen, and all of

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Speaker 4: a sudden, you see them forming up at the line.

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Speaker 4: And now I come back and I'm going to get

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Speaker 4: that one solved too. But I brought I mean, just

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Speaker 4: a little list of Look at this wars. How many

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Speaker 4: did I solve? Cambodia, this is Cambodia, Thailand, Costovo, Serbia, Congo,

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Speaker 4: the Congo and Rwanda, Pakistan and India. That was going

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Speaker 4: to be a beauty. They shot down seven planes. Israel

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Speaker 4: and Iran, you've heard about that one. Egypt and Ethiopia.

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Speaker 4: That's another beauty. Ethiopia built a big damn where there's

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Speaker 4: no water going to the Nile. Armenia and Azerbaijan. And

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Speaker 4: if you take a look Israel and Hamas, which is

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Speaker 4: a rough little situation, but it's going to be I.

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Speaker 2: Do want to talk about. I mean, you have branded

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Speaker 2: yourself the peace President.

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Speaker 4: Well, I think I did pretty good. I solved Those

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Speaker 4: are eight of the nine wars I solved. You know

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Speaker 4: how I solved them. I said, in many cases, in

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Speaker 4: sixty percent, I said, if you don't stop fighting, I'm

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Speaker 4: putting tarif from both of your countries and you're not

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Speaker 4: going to be able to do business.

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Speaker 3: Why isn't that working with Putin?

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Speaker 4: It is working with Putin. I think I did different

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Speaker 4: with him because we don't do very much business with Russia.

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Speaker 2: For one thing.

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Speaker 4: You know, he's not like somebody that buys a lot

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Speaker 4: from US because of foolishness, and I think he'd like

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Speaker 4: to be. I think he wants to come in and

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Speaker 4: he wants to trade with US, and he wants to

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Speaker 4: make a lot of money for Russia. And I think

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Speaker 4: that's great.

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Speaker 2: That's what we get it done in a couple of months.

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Speaker 4: To you, I think we're going to get it done yet,

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Speaker 4: I think he really wants to do business with the US.

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Speaker 4: But it did work with India, and it did work

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Speaker 4: with Pakistan, and it did work with sixty percent of

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Speaker 4: those countries. I can tell you if it wasn't for

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Speaker 4: tariffs and trade, I wouldn't have been able to make

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Speaker 4: the deals. But I stopped. As an example, India does

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Speaker 4: a lot of business with US. They were going to work,

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Speaker 4: they were going to have a nuclear war with Pakistan.

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Speaker 4: The Prime Minister Pakistan stood up the other day and

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Speaker 4: he said, if Donald Trump didn't get involved, many millions

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Speaker 4: of people would be dead right now. That was a

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Speaker 4: bad war. He's ready to shut down aeroplanes all over

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Speaker 4: the place. That was going to be a bad war.

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Speaker 4: And I told both of them, I said, if you

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Speaker 4: guys don't work out a deal fast, you're not going

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Speaker 4: to do any business with the United States. And they

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Speaker 4: do a lot of business with the United States. And

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Speaker 4: they were both great leaders, and they worked out a

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Speaker 4: deal and they stopped the war that would have been

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Speaker 4: a bad war, would have been a nuclear war. No.

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Speaker 2: One of the things that bad interviewers do is they

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Speaker 2: focus on the questions that they want to ask and

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Speaker 2: they don't listen. She kept prodding down, but what about this,

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Speaker 2: what about this? What about this? And I think that

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Speaker 2: she was missing where Trump was going with this answer,

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Speaker 2: which is really interesting. Prior to Trump, in prior to

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Speaker 2: Trump's first term, prior to a second term, people have

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Speaker 2: had positions on tariffs, and going back to that quote

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Speaker 2: from Pokowski, not enough people have doubts my position on tariffs,

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Speaker 2: as you know, has been mixed. I want to step

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Speaker 2: back for a moment and then get to where Trump

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Speaker 2: was going with this. One of my criticisms that you

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Speaker 2: heard me express. I used to be a free trader,

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Speaker 2: I would say during the years I did this program

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Speaker 2: in the nineties and the early Zeros, I was a

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Speaker 2: free trader. And then I said, I'm not an isolationist,

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Speaker 2: but I'm something other than a free trader. Fear trader

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Speaker 2: isn't really the right term either. I believe that free

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Speaker 2: trade versus protection is and free trade is better. But

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Speaker 2: the mistake that we have made in our foreign policy,

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Speaker 2: and this goes back decades of past presidents, is we

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Speaker 2: have treated foreign policy and trade policy as separate. One

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Speaker 2: of the reasons China has walked all over US ever

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Speaker 2: since events Nixon went to China in nineteen seventy two

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Speaker 2: three whatever it was fifty years ago and opened the

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Speaker 2: door to us having a relationship with China is we

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Speaker 2: have had certain desires for China to behave in certain

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Speaker 2: ways with regard to foreign policy, but we didn't use

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Speaker 2: our best lever, which is trade. China's economy has grown

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Speaker 2: largely because of the business it does with the United States.

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Speaker 2: We could have used that business and the threat to

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Speaker 2: do less of it as leverage to get China to

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Speaker 2: do what we wanted them to do in other areas.

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Speaker 2: But we've kept the two separate because, oh, don't mess

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Speaker 2: up trade. Don' messuprade. They're too many American companies that

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Speaker 2: better from trade. Trump Trump has said, screw that, I

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Speaker 2: got a tool here in any dealing that we have

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Speaker 2: in life. You use the leverage you have. Trade and

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Speaker 2: foreign policy under Trump have become connected. Without regard to

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Speaker 2: your view of trade and tariff. Oh, it's raising prices

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Speaker 2: for Americans. Well, whether it is or it isn't. First

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Speaker 2: of all, I think that the evidence is is that

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Speaker 2: it actually isn't, which is surprising. But maybe it is,

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Speaker 2: maybe it will. There are other components to this. Trump said,

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Speaker 2: when India and Pakistan, we're ready to go nukate one

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Speaker 2: another member. Both are nuclear. He said he's gonna slap

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Speaker 2: tariffs on the both of them. India felt as though

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Speaker 2: it was aggrieved and it was going to hit Pakistan.

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Speaker 2: Do you understand how important the United States is to

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Speaker 2: India's economy. It's right there with China. Trump said, I'm

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Speaker 2: gonna tariff you to death if you hit Pakistan, and

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Speaker 2: he told Pakistan the same thing that got them off

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Speaker 2: what could have been a terrible world war. No, why

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Speaker 2: is it working with Russia? Trump at an interesting point,

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Speaker 2: We actually don't trade much with Russia versus all. Russia

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Speaker 2: doesn't have many exports. They got vodka, and they've got energy. Well,

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Speaker 2: we have a lot of energy ourselves. We don't need

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Speaker 2: their energy. A lot of other nations do. And now

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Speaker 2: they figured out how to make vodka from damn near everything.

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Speaker 2: I swear when I find is there anything you can't

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Speaker 2: make vodka from? You basically let something rot and it

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Speaker 2: then turns into vogue. Anyway, we don't do a lot

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Speaker 2: of business with them, So therefore Trump has not had

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Speaker 2: the ability to tear a Russia to death because they

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Speaker 2: don't sell that much stuff to us. The point though,

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Speaker 2: that Trump was making in all of these high spots

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Speaker 2: that he's averted, he's used not terrafts but the threat

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Speaker 2: of tariffs to make a more peaceful world. Here's where

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Speaker 2: Trump's I love the term fresh eyes because it just

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Speaker 2: works when you see something you know. The cops use

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Speaker 2: it all the time. If two detectives are stimied in

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Speaker 2: a case, they'll move off to something else, So they're

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Speaker 2: bringing two others. Because you just look at it something

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Speaker 2: so long you miss the obvious. One of the things

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Speaker 2: that I do when I kill time on a plane

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Speaker 2: is I'll do a crosser puzzle stuff like that. When

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Speaker 2: I get stalled in an area, I moved to another

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Speaker 2: part of the puzzle. Come back ten minutes later to

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Speaker 2: the part that I was like, It's amazing how I

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Speaker 2: get the answer. It's amazing. Your mind gets cleared, and

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Speaker 2: you know the things that you were flummocks on fresh eyes.

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Speaker 2: Trump has had fresh eyes. If Trump's good at anything

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Speaker 2: in life, it's understanding what his strengths and weaknesses are.

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Speaker 2: It's how he's done all of these It's how he

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Speaker 2: built Atlantic City, It's how he built his casinos in

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Speaker 2: some of these bond deals in which frankly, he got

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Speaker 2: the better of a lot of these negotiations because he

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Speaker 2: figured out the strengths and weaknesses. He's very good at

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Speaker 2: understanding leverage and pressure. The United States is a massive

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Speaker 2: consumer nation, and it is also still a massive producer

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Speaker 2: of product, particularly technology. Lots of nations in the world

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Speaker 2: need our stuff and they need us to buy their stuff.

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Speaker 2: So he's put that on the table, and he's using it,

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Speaker 2: and I think so far to great success. You can't

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Speaker 2: look at trade in a vacuum. Are we getting screwed

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Speaker 2: by other countries? Are the tariff's going to raise prices

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Speaker 2: on us? And the other point the Trump makes look

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Speaker 2: at all the money we're making off the tariffs. That

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Speaker 2: is one component of it. But the other component of

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Speaker 2: it is we can use the threat of slapping you

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Speaker 2: with a terraf for not selling our stuff to you,

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Speaker 2: or blocking you from selling to what is selling to us,

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Speaker 2: et cetera, to achieve all sorts of other important goals

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Speaker 2: we have, including world peace. Unrelated to tariff. Trump mentioned

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Speaker 2: Israel and Iran. Well, we know he settled that. Trump

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Speaker 2: just sized this up. Iran's ason. The hole is we're

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Speaker 2: building nukes and we can threaten to nuke out Israel.

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Speaker 2: Trump knocked out at RAN's nukes, and now Iran is

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Speaker 2: probably going to spend all of its time going back

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Speaker 2: to square one and rebuilding its nukes. And so Iran,

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Speaker 2: we're not going to support Hamas anymore. We got bigger

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Speaker 2: problems here. Trump's solved two problems there. First of all,

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Speaker 2: he looked the other way as Israel bombed Iran and

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Speaker 2: took out Iran's defenses, so when we came in to bomb,

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Speaker 2: they couldn't shoot any of our bombers down because Israel

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Speaker 2: had pummeled all of their anti aircraft on the ground.

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Speaker 2: Let them do all of that. So we went in untouched,

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Speaker 2: dropped these bombs, wipe out the nuclear program. How can

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Speaker 2: anyone argue that hasn't made for him our peaceful world.

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Speaker 2: It may result in peace throughout the Middle East, which

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Speaker 2: brings you to myn X point. The Supreme Court is

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Speaker 2: hearing oral arguments this hazard or oral arguments this week

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Speaker 2: on whether or not Trump has the ability to unilaterally

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Speaker 2: imposed heroffs. Trump says it's the most important ruling the

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Speaker 2: Supreme Court will make one hundred years. I'd say at

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Speaker 2: least seventy five Brown versus Board of Education. Separate but

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Speaker 2: equal is unconstitutionally really important. It's huge. The fear is

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Speaker 2: the two moderates who lean conservative, the Chief Justice and

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Speaker 2: the law professor from Notre Dame. Are they going to

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Speaker 2: rule that Trump doesn't have this authority. I think it

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Speaker 2: is critical that the Court get this right. Trump is

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Speaker 2: using not tariffs alone, but the threat of tariffs. You

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Speaker 2: can't go to the Congress and pass a bill setting

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Speaker 2: a tariff if you're then going to take a change

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Speaker 2: it back. He wants to be able to threaten alter

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Speaker 2: moves so he can utilize this power to exercise American

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Speaker 2: foreign policy. The one thing the Constitution is clear on

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Speaker 2: is that foreign policy is the exclusive role of the

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Speaker 2: executive branch, not declaration of war but everything else. Marco

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Speaker 2: Rubio has made this point clear. The Supreme Court can't

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Speaker 2: tell Trump anything on foreign policy. The concert is clear

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Speaker 2: it is the domain of the executive. The question is

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Speaker 2: trade foreign policy. Constitution doesn't say it's a gray area.

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Speaker 2: I think it is critical that they get this right.

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Speaker 2: If you don't want us to use trade as a leverage,

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Speaker 2: you simply a fight not only the world to walk

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Speaker 2: all over us, but you limit our ability to do

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Speaker 2: good in the world. It used to be that the

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Speaker 2: do gooder is the ones who wanted to save the

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Speaker 2: whole world were the left, and it used to be

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Speaker 2: the people on the right. It didn't give a crap

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Speaker 2: if people were killing one another. And it's some two

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Speaker 2: remote parts of the world like Africa, that's all changed.

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Speaker 2: The left doesn't seem to care at all about awful

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Speaker 2: things going on in the world, because many of the

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Speaker 2: awful people doing awful things are on their side, the

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Speaker 2: Venezuelan dictators and drug lords, the Muslim terrorists, the people

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Speaker 2: practicing genocide in Central Africa. I don't think that the

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Speaker 2: United States needs to focus all that much on things

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Speaker 2: that aren't our vital interest. But if we can make

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Speaker 2: for a more peaceful world when that also benefits us,

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Speaker 2: of course we should do it. You have to use

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Speaker 2: what you have, and the United States not using trade.

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Speaker 2: It's kind of a bad reference to make because of

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Speaker 2: the awful loss of Tucker Craft, but it would have

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Speaker 2: been like if the Packers never threw the ball to

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Speaker 2: Tucker Craft once they realized he was one of the

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Speaker 2: great titans. You use what you have. Can I tell

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Speaker 2: a funny story about this? It's good, it's good. I

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Speaker 2: have this really powerful, high minded segment here, and I'm

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Speaker 2: just gonna take it straight into the gutter. But that's

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Speaker 2: kind of what I'm known for, isn't it. I just

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Speaker 2: it's just one of the you get every now and

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Speaker 2: then something happens. I mean, I forget everything, you forget

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Speaker 2: even more than me. I hope Paul lives next door

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Speaker 2: to me in the nursing home. Because A, it means

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Speaker 2: I've been a good one given the fact that he's

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Speaker 2: got somehow has managed to a mass, massive amounts of money,

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Speaker 2: we would have sitting there and you know, and you

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Speaker 2: start to lose it as people do you imagine the

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Speaker 2: two of us. We aren't gonna have one damn thing right.

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Speaker 2: We're both gonna know that we were sort of a

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Speaker 2: big deal in radio, but we'll have all the details wrong.

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Speaker 2: You're gonna somehow turn it into you were the host

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Speaker 2: of the show. And and I was like, anyway, this

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Speaker 2: is back when I was in Madison. I can at

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Speaker 2: least place this. I love being able to tell anything

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Speaker 2: that happened prior to Milwaukee is a good story to

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00:26:13,480 --> 00:26:15,359
Speaker 2: tell because ain't nobody's gonna know who it is. And

432
00:26:15,400 --> 00:26:17,199
Speaker 2: b it means the story so long ago that you

433
00:26:17,240 --> 00:26:19,480
Speaker 2: can't hold it against me. Statue of the limitations is

434
00:26:19,480 --> 00:26:27,359
Speaker 2: read out there was all right, now understand that I'm

435
00:26:27,520 --> 00:26:33,919
Speaker 2: right in the age of being you know, frisky. I

436
00:26:33,920 --> 00:26:38,200
Speaker 2: was in Madison from eighty six to eighty nine. Madison

437
00:26:38,320 --> 00:26:41,240
Speaker 2: was stupid then, but it was not is like there

438
00:26:41,240 --> 00:26:43,680
Speaker 2: were tons of attractive women at that time in Madison.

439
00:26:43,680 --> 00:26:45,960
Speaker 2: I don't think that there are any now. For example,

440
00:26:46,440 --> 00:26:49,280
Speaker 2: there are also tons of heterosexual women in Madison at

441
00:26:49,280 --> 00:26:52,560
Speaker 2: the time. And remember also my generation, the baby boom,

442
00:26:52,560 --> 00:26:55,120
Speaker 2: you know, we were you know, it was in that era,

443
00:26:57,160 --> 00:27:00,920
Speaker 2: all right. I was, I was some friends and we

444
00:27:00,920 --> 00:27:02,680
Speaker 2: were in one of these But I just I have

445
00:27:02,800 --> 00:27:05,000
Speaker 2: not gone to a happy hour at a bar in decades,

446
00:27:05,000 --> 00:27:07,520
Speaker 2: but I did then, and it was one of those

447
00:27:07,560 --> 00:27:10,280
Speaker 2: places that I could even mention the name of it.

448
00:27:11,920 --> 00:27:13,640
Speaker 2: I might get this. I think it was the Bombay

449
00:27:13,640 --> 00:27:15,920
Speaker 2: Bicycle Club in Madison, but they had like a happy

450
00:27:15,960 --> 00:27:18,280
Speaker 2: hour on Fridays that the place was just mobbed, and

451
00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,160
Speaker 2: it was all people of my age, men and women,

452
00:27:21,200 --> 00:27:23,040
Speaker 2: and it was it was. It was like a hangout,

453
00:27:23,080 --> 00:27:24,840
Speaker 2: but not a late night hangout. It was an after

454
00:27:24,880 --> 00:27:27,320
Speaker 2: It was just what was what it was. I think

455
00:27:27,359 --> 00:27:29,040
Speaker 2: that was the name of the place. I might be wrong,

456
00:27:29,080 --> 00:27:37,919
Speaker 2: but I think that was it. And Okay, you're talking

457
00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:39,639
Speaker 2: to people that it's crowded in there and guys are

458
00:27:39,640 --> 00:27:42,679
Speaker 2: talking to women and so on. So I'm talking to

459
00:27:42,720 --> 00:27:51,520
Speaker 2: this woman and she's got big boobs. Well, we I

460
00:27:51,560 --> 00:27:56,160
Speaker 2: asked throughout. We went on a date not. Nothing happened

461
00:27:56,200 --> 00:27:57,879
Speaker 2: that night. But I then I said, well, you know,

462
00:27:58,160 --> 00:27:59,880
Speaker 2: you do the thing of that was in the days

463
00:28:00,040 --> 00:28:02,480
Speaker 2: which you actually had to get somebody's phone number. You

464
00:28:02,560 --> 00:28:05,240
Speaker 2: don't remember those days because you've never dated anybody like

465
00:28:05,280 --> 00:28:07,080
Speaker 2: your first girlfriend, I think was your wife?

466
00:28:07,240 --> 00:28:07,480
Speaker 4: Was it it?

467
00:28:08,760 --> 00:28:10,600
Speaker 2: Oh, you have been around while, see you? Well, an

468
00:28:10,920 --> 00:28:13,720
Speaker 2: I never got married. But but you had to get

469
00:28:13,760 --> 00:28:15,560
Speaker 2: the phone number. There was no other way to no

470
00:28:15,680 --> 00:28:18,640
Speaker 2: other way to contact. There was no texting or any

471
00:28:18,680 --> 00:28:23,879
Speaker 2: of that stuff. So we went out. So I go

472
00:28:24,000 --> 00:28:25,560
Speaker 2: to pick her up. That's what we did at the time.

473
00:28:25,560 --> 00:28:27,160
Speaker 2: I don't even think that's what you did. The guy

474
00:28:27,160 --> 00:28:31,119
Speaker 2: would pick up the woman, right, and she's got this

475
00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:35,240
Speaker 2: low cut thing on. I remember, I said, she's got

476
00:28:36,080 --> 00:28:40,200
Speaker 2: so anyway, hours passed her in the date and I must.

477
00:28:40,320 --> 00:28:42,240
Speaker 2: I mean, it's hard not you know. It's like, first

478
00:28:42,240 --> 00:28:43,400
Speaker 2: of all, you're on a date with a woman and

479
00:28:43,400 --> 00:28:45,040
Speaker 2: she's got big moves and she's got a little cut

480
00:28:45,040 --> 00:28:48,080
Speaker 2: thing on. Well, it's just you know, if you look,

481
00:28:48,240 --> 00:28:52,040
Speaker 2: you're a latch. On the other hand, but she evidently

482
00:28:52,080 --> 00:28:54,480
Speaker 2: wants you to look, or the thing wouldn't be low cut, right,

483
00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:58,000
Speaker 2: I mean, And it's one thing you know, I try

484
00:28:58,000 --> 00:29:00,680
Speaker 2: to be polite when you're like and regularly, but it's

485
00:29:00,720 --> 00:29:02,880
Speaker 2: a date, so I'm thinking, there's nothing wrong with me

486
00:29:02,960 --> 00:29:04,920
Speaker 2: kind of looking because she said we're on a date.

487
00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:08,160
Speaker 2: So I well, I wasn't peeking. I was looking, and

488
00:29:08,200 --> 00:29:13,160
Speaker 2: I made a cod I just brought it up. And anyway,

489
00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:15,200
Speaker 2: this the whole point of this. It gets back to

490
00:29:15,240 --> 00:29:17,400
Speaker 2: this other subject she said. It just stuck with me.

491
00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:23,480
Speaker 2: She said, Mark, you use what you have.

492
00:29:25,680 --> 00:29:25,760
Speaker 4: There.

493
00:29:26,200 --> 00:29:29,040
Speaker 2: She's thinking, big boos, Why would I hate him? I'm

494
00:29:29,080 --> 00:29:32,160
Speaker 2: on the make, I'm a single woman. That's what she's thinking.

495
00:29:34,080 --> 00:29:37,040
Speaker 2: As I recall, she was above average attractive, but I

496
00:29:37,080 --> 00:29:40,640
Speaker 2: mean her general other thing was not equaled by the

497
00:29:40,680 --> 00:29:44,920
Speaker 2: great body that she had. Paul said, Sidney Sweeney said

498
00:29:44,960 --> 00:29:46,960
Speaker 2: the same thing this week, and we like her now

499
00:29:47,000 --> 00:29:49,840
Speaker 2: because she's Republican. So anyway, nothing ever came, and there's

500
00:29:49,840 --> 00:29:53,320
Speaker 2: nothing bad about the story or anything other than it's

501
00:29:53,360 --> 00:29:55,600
Speaker 2: one of the few times a woman really actually I've

502
00:29:55,640 --> 00:29:57,800
Speaker 2: ever heard end basically her joking around and I brought

503
00:29:57,840 --> 00:30:01,080
Speaker 2: it up actually came out. And it's the same thing.

504
00:30:01,080 --> 00:30:02,640
Speaker 2: If a woman's got great legs, she's gonna wear a

505
00:30:02,680 --> 00:30:04,880
Speaker 2: short skirt and so on. Use what you have. It

506
00:30:04,960 --> 00:30:07,760
Speaker 2: was just a common sense answer the chief. And this

507
00:30:07,840 --> 00:30:10,360
Speaker 2: is my point with regard to trade, you use what

508
00:30:10,400 --> 00:30:15,520
Speaker 2: you have. And the incredible success that Trump has had

509
00:30:15,560 --> 00:30:19,560
Speaker 2: in terms of international policies. People grumbling about this, that

510
00:30:19,720 --> 00:30:21,800
Speaker 2: or the other thing, but undeniably the world is a

511
00:30:21,840 --> 00:30:23,640
Speaker 2: safer and better place than it was when he came

512
00:30:23,680 --> 00:30:26,080
Speaker 2: in office nine months ago. And it's because he using

513
00:30:26,160 --> 00:30:29,680
Speaker 2: what he has. And that's this whole key on trade

514
00:30:29,720 --> 00:30:32,080
Speaker 2: and tariffs and the whole thing and being locked into

515
00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:35,320
Speaker 2: your well. Milton Friedman said this and this sad or

516
00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:37,480
Speaker 2: the other thing. We got to use that we have,

517
00:30:40,840 --> 00:30:42,960
Speaker 2: and in the case of these theraffs and Trump's being

518
00:30:43,000 --> 00:30:45,000
Speaker 2: able to use it to avoid war, we're using it

519
00:30:45,040 --> 00:30:50,640
Speaker 2: for good and not for bad. I do run the risk.

520
00:30:51,600 --> 00:30:54,040
Speaker 2: Nobody is gonna remember all of the high minded points

521
00:30:54,040 --> 00:30:57,560
Speaker 2: about how Trump has linked trade policy and war prevention

522
00:30:57,640 --> 00:31:00,560
Speaker 2: and foreign policy into the same thing, because but if

523
00:31:00,600 --> 00:31:03,080
Speaker 2: they remember the moral of the story about the woman

524
00:31:03,120 --> 00:31:07,960
Speaker 2: with the well, I don't remember her name. It's been decades.

525
00:31:08,080 --> 00:31:11,800
Speaker 2: I don't remember the line. I think we only went

526
00:31:11,840 --> 00:31:13,560
Speaker 2: on the one time. We didn't, you know, just it

527
00:31:13,680 --> 00:31:15,800
Speaker 2: was just the thing. But I remember that line it

528
00:31:15,840 --> 00:31:18,400
Speaker 2: was just just so act. You know, every now and

529
00:31:18,440 --> 00:31:21,040
Speaker 2: then you'll hear something in which it's just like words

530
00:31:21,040 --> 00:31:24,360
Speaker 2: of wisdom, and everybody should apply that to their own career.

531
00:31:25,480 --> 00:31:28,600
Speaker 2: You use what you have, not if it's not if

532
00:31:28,600 --> 00:31:30,640
Speaker 2: you've got it flawned and it's that's a similar thing.

533
00:31:30,680 --> 00:31:32,800
Speaker 2: But you know, in terms of the skills I have

534
00:31:32,880 --> 00:31:34,720
Speaker 2: as a talk show host, some things I'm good at.

535
00:31:34,760 --> 00:31:37,200
Speaker 2: Other things that I'm not good at. The decision that

536
00:31:37,240 --> 00:31:38,960
Speaker 2: you make about what field to go into when you're

537
00:31:38,960 --> 00:31:42,240
Speaker 2: a younger person, use what you have. You have musical ability,

538
00:31:42,360 --> 00:31:44,560
Speaker 2: I don't, so of course you got into a bad

539
00:31:44,680 --> 00:31:47,800
Speaker 2: I wish I had it. I don't. I've got all

540
00:31:47,840 --> 00:31:50,800
Speaker 2: sorts of analytical powers and I'm extremely intuitive. You use that,

541
00:31:53,000 --> 00:32:01,640
Speaker 2: You use what you have got. One other topic I

542
00:32:01,680 --> 00:32:05,080
Speaker 2: want to cover in this segment. The stock market has

543
00:32:05,080 --> 00:32:09,120
Speaker 2: gotten hinky this week. I made a comment on Monday's

544
00:32:09,120 --> 00:32:11,680
Speaker 2: podcast that I want to reaffirm here. I just and

545
00:32:11,920 --> 00:32:13,600
Speaker 2: I said it last week too. I just think the

546
00:32:13,640 --> 00:32:18,760
Speaker 2: market is frighteningly overvalued. The thing about anything I say

547
00:32:18,760 --> 00:32:21,120
Speaker 2: about the stock market is I always throw in going

548
00:32:21,120 --> 00:32:23,480
Speaker 2: back to that line from Charles Bukowski, filled with doubts

549
00:32:23,520 --> 00:32:24,240
Speaker 2: I might be wrong.

550
00:32:25,080 --> 00:32:25,240
Speaker 4: You know.

551
00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:29,560
Speaker 2: Predicting the stock market's very, very hard, in part because

552
00:32:29,600 --> 00:32:31,640
Speaker 2: the market tends to do the opposite of what most

553
00:32:31,640 --> 00:32:34,080
Speaker 2: people think. And there's the reason for that is fairly obvious.

554
00:32:34,360 --> 00:32:36,760
Speaker 2: If everybody thinks it's going down, that means everybody has

555
00:32:36,800 --> 00:32:39,080
Speaker 2: already sold, Meaning there's nowhere else for it to go

556
00:32:39,960 --> 00:32:42,640
Speaker 2: but up, because if you've all sold everything you're gonna

557
00:32:42,680 --> 00:32:47,440
Speaker 2: have can't go donnity farther. People confuse the stock market

558
00:32:47,440 --> 00:32:50,120
Speaker 2: with the health of the economy. What the market tends

559
00:32:50,160 --> 00:32:53,000
Speaker 2: to do is overreact on the upside of the downside.

560
00:32:53,760 --> 00:32:57,680
Speaker 2: I remember one of I still think it's the first

561
00:32:57,760 --> 00:33:00,920
Speaker 2: time I ever actually kneeled a higher low in the

562
00:33:00,920 --> 00:33:03,520
Speaker 2: stock market. And I remember when it was. It was

563
00:33:03,560 --> 00:33:05,240
Speaker 2: we were on one of my cruises. It was early

564
00:33:05,280 --> 00:33:07,360
Speaker 2: in Obama, so it was the cruise of two thousand

565
00:33:07,360 --> 00:33:09,520
Speaker 2: and nine. I guess it would have been March depending

566
00:33:09,520 --> 00:33:11,920
Speaker 2: I don't remember where we were, but probably early on,

567
00:33:12,360 --> 00:33:16,320
Speaker 2: and the stock market had fallen apart at the end

568
00:33:16,720 --> 00:33:18,920
Speaker 2: of the bush here I remember the housing crisis and

569
00:33:18,960 --> 00:33:25,000
Speaker 2: so on, and there was a positive economic report in

570
00:33:25,040 --> 00:33:29,160
Speaker 2: which growth had reversed. We had negative growth, negative growth,

571
00:33:29,240 --> 00:33:32,320
Speaker 2: negative growth, and it's a very good report. And I

572
00:33:32,320 --> 00:33:35,440
Speaker 2: remember saying to the group, I think the stock market

573
00:33:35,480 --> 00:33:39,240
Speaker 2: just bottomed out. And it did. The market, as you know,

574
00:33:39,440 --> 00:33:42,440
Speaker 2: rallied extremely during Obama. A lot of it was simply

575
00:33:42,760 --> 00:33:45,320
Speaker 2: everything had over sold. The same I didn't say it

576
00:33:45,320 --> 00:33:48,080
Speaker 2: about housing, but the housing bottomed out as well, and

577
00:33:48,120 --> 00:33:51,400
Speaker 2: that's when the tremendous explosion in housing occurred. The same thing.

578
00:33:51,400 --> 00:33:53,360
Speaker 2: I wasn't smart enough to realize that it would apply

579
00:33:53,400 --> 00:33:56,200
Speaker 2: to housing and everything else, although I did believe that

580
00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,600
Speaker 2: housing was grotesquely undervalued. After the housing market. In other words,

581
00:33:59,600 --> 00:34:01,640
Speaker 2: what happened and is the market had gone housing, real

582
00:34:01,760 --> 00:34:04,560
Speaker 2: estate stocks, everything had gone down way more than it

583
00:34:04,640 --> 00:34:06,800
Speaker 2: needed to after the housing market collapsed. And I think

584
00:34:06,840 --> 00:34:09,239
Speaker 2: that what's happened with the dot com thing and so on,

585
00:34:10,040 --> 00:34:13,560
Speaker 2: not dot Com with AI is mirroring what happened with

586
00:34:13,640 --> 00:34:17,279
Speaker 2: dot Com in ninety eight, ninety nine and zero, in

587
00:34:17,320 --> 00:34:20,600
Speaker 2: which the stock market collapsed. They called it the dot

588
00:34:20,640 --> 00:34:23,560
Speaker 2: com bust. And people look back at that and they

589
00:34:23,600 --> 00:34:25,920
Speaker 2: learned the wrong message. It wasn't the dot com that

590
00:34:25,960 --> 00:34:29,040
Speaker 2: the Internet wasn't going to be a big thing. It's

591
00:34:29,080 --> 00:34:32,520
Speaker 2: that the wrong companies got overvalued. We just don't know

592
00:34:32,600 --> 00:34:34,760
Speaker 2: which companies are going to be the ones that become

593
00:34:34,800 --> 00:34:38,040
Speaker 2: the next in Nvidia and Microsoft and Alphabet in AI.

594
00:34:38,680 --> 00:34:40,239
Speaker 2: It might be the ones I just said, or it

595
00:34:40,320 --> 00:34:43,520
Speaker 2: might be others. But in the meantime, the anticipation that

596
00:34:43,560 --> 00:34:45,239
Speaker 2: this is going to be huge has just gotten a

597
00:34:45,280 --> 00:34:51,320
Speaker 2: lot of companies to be overvalued. I think it's dangerous

598
00:34:51,320 --> 00:34:52,800
Speaker 2: for Trump to crow about the stock mark, because I

599
00:34:52,840 --> 00:34:55,600
Speaker 2: think the stock market's going to turn down some indicators,

600
00:34:55,719 --> 00:34:59,960
Speaker 2: gold and bitcoin have really turned downward after roaring ahead

601
00:35:00,480 --> 00:35:02,920
Speaker 2: the last several weeks. I am not one who believes

602
00:35:02,920 --> 00:35:04,759
Speaker 2: that we're headed for a period of inflation. I think

603
00:35:04,760 --> 00:35:08,120
Speaker 2: that the greater threat is that of an economic slow down,

604
00:35:08,160 --> 00:35:10,080
Speaker 2: and I agree with Trump that the FED needs to ease.

605
00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:13,320
Speaker 2: I think that the inflation fears are almost non existent.

606
00:35:13,400 --> 00:35:17,480
Speaker 2: The tariffs haven't caused inflation. The cost of living increase

607
00:35:17,600 --> 00:35:20,200
Speaker 2: now for social securities two point eight percent, that's based

608
00:35:20,200 --> 00:35:23,520
Speaker 2: on the CPI. We've gotten that under control. I think

609
00:35:23,520 --> 00:35:25,239
Speaker 2: that there's going to be a downturn, however, in the

610
00:35:25,280 --> 00:35:27,600
Speaker 2: stock market. My caveat on that is, and I say

611
00:35:27,640 --> 00:35:29,440
Speaker 2: this all the time, I am not an expit of

612
00:35:29,480 --> 00:35:31,880
Speaker 2: the stock market I don't understand technicals and all of

613
00:35:31,920 --> 00:35:35,319
Speaker 2: that stuff, and I might be wrong. I've thought the

614
00:35:35,360 --> 00:35:37,799
Speaker 2: stock market's been overvalued for like eight months and it's

615
00:35:37,840 --> 00:35:41,680
Speaker 2: done nothing but go up. But I do think that

616
00:35:41,760 --> 00:35:44,520
Speaker 2: it's overvalued, and when it's overvalued, it tends to correct

617
00:35:44,600 --> 00:35:47,880
Speaker 2: very very badly. And history tells us that those then

618
00:35:47,920 --> 00:35:50,839
Speaker 2: are spectacular buying opportunities. But I just think there needs

619
00:35:50,880 --> 00:35:53,879
Speaker 2: to be a shakeout. I look at open AI, which

620
00:35:53,920 --> 00:35:57,560
Speaker 2: is on the cutting edge. I just wonder if fifteen

621
00:35:57,640 --> 00:35:59,920
Speaker 2: years from now there's going to be five ten companies

622
00:36:00,560 --> 00:36:02,799
Speaker 2: that are worth trillions of dollars because of AI. I

623
00:36:02,920 --> 00:36:04,640
Speaker 2: just don't know that we know which ones they are.

624
00:36:06,320 --> 00:36:08,440
Speaker 2: And you know, you look back at the dot com thing.

625
00:36:08,520 --> 00:36:19,480
Speaker 2: The big winners were Amazon, Microsoft because of the cloud, Facebook,

626
00:36:20,200 --> 00:36:22,560
Speaker 2: some of the others. But look at the companies that

627
00:36:22,600 --> 00:36:25,400
Speaker 2: were incredibly valuable that went to bust and went zero.

628
00:36:25,520 --> 00:36:30,200
Speaker 2: Sun Microsystems, Yahoo became a nothing, was just bought up.

629
00:36:31,280 --> 00:36:34,479
Speaker 2: Broadcast dot Com the company founded by Cuban. He sold

630
00:36:34,520 --> 00:36:37,560
Speaker 2: it to Yahoo, which then itself got sold. A lot

631
00:36:37,600 --> 00:36:39,719
Speaker 2: of the early on companies that you think are going

632
00:36:39,760 --> 00:36:42,600
Speaker 2: to be the future turnout to be zeros because technological

633
00:36:42,680 --> 00:36:48,880
Speaker 2: advances trump them and make them irrelevant. I think the

634
00:36:48,960 --> 00:36:53,440
Speaker 2: problem here is this, so much of the NASDAQ one

635
00:36:53,560 --> 00:36:56,880
Speaker 2: hundred and the S and P five hundred, the top

636
00:36:57,040 --> 00:36:59,440
Speaker 2: six or seven stocks in the S and P five hundred,

637
00:36:59,520 --> 00:37:01,680
Speaker 2: I think, make more than half the market cap of

638
00:37:01,719 --> 00:37:05,520
Speaker 2: the all other four hundred ninety three stocks combined. So

639
00:37:05,600 --> 00:37:08,000
Speaker 2: if some of those stocks that are high flying correct,

640
00:37:09,000 --> 00:37:11,359
Speaker 2: all of the market averages go down, even though many

641
00:37:11,400 --> 00:37:13,719
Speaker 2: other companies in the market may do just fine because

642
00:37:13,760 --> 00:37:17,440
Speaker 2: they didn't get to the point of being as overvalued

643
00:37:17,440 --> 00:37:20,239
Speaker 2: as they are. And again I might be wrong about this,

644
00:37:20,400 --> 00:37:23,160
Speaker 2: but the one thing I can tell you about stocks

645
00:37:23,200 --> 00:37:26,520
Speaker 2: based on living for a number of decades is stocks

646
00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,640
Speaker 2: go up, and they go down, and whenever people think

647
00:37:29,680 --> 00:37:32,759
Speaker 2: they can't go down, they're guaranteed to go down. The

648
00:37:32,800 --> 00:37:34,600
Speaker 2: one thing about this is I'm not the only guy

649
00:37:34,680 --> 00:37:36,800
Speaker 2: saying this. Zillions of people think the market's going to

650
00:37:36,880 --> 00:37:39,560
Speaker 2: turn down yet, so maybe it is still months away

651
00:37:39,600 --> 00:37:41,720
Speaker 2: and we're not at that point because so many people

652
00:37:41,760 --> 00:37:44,920
Speaker 2: seem to be expecting that that's what's going to occur.

653
00:37:45,480 --> 00:37:47,160
Speaker 2: You have no opinion of what's going to happen with

654
00:37:47,160 --> 00:37:52,640
Speaker 2: the stock market, do you don't you think it's overvalued. Well,

655
00:37:52,800 --> 00:37:55,080
Speaker 2: you say, I bet, I see. I mean, I just remember,

656
00:37:55,400 --> 00:37:58,280
Speaker 2: as younger, a pe of eighteen or nineteen was considered

657
00:37:58,320 --> 00:38:02,200
Speaker 2: fair valuation the eighties nineties one hundred, one hundred and ten.

658
00:38:02,239 --> 00:38:05,319
Speaker 2: Now in part these companies are growing at forty and

659
00:38:05,360 --> 00:38:10,359
Speaker 2: fifty and sixty percent as well, so it would I

660
00:38:10,440 --> 00:38:12,880
Speaker 2: just think there's a lot of overvaluation in there, and

661
00:38:16,120 --> 00:38:20,879
Speaker 2: I think that if there is a correction, it could

662
00:38:20,880 --> 00:38:24,080
Speaker 2: be pretty sharp. I also wonder if we're looking at

663
00:38:24,080 --> 00:38:26,560
Speaker 2: two to three to four years of just kind of

664
00:38:26,600 --> 00:38:29,600
Speaker 2: blog growth in the market, because see the stock market

665
00:38:29,600 --> 00:38:31,799
Speaker 2: looks ahead that all of this growth has occurred, and

666
00:38:31,840 --> 00:38:35,080
Speaker 2: it's going to take corporate earnings years to catch up

667
00:38:35,080 --> 00:38:40,400
Speaker 2: with where some of the valuations are my completely worthless thoughts.

668
00:38:40,640 --> 00:38:43,120
Speaker 2: And again, if you disagree with me, that's just fine.

669
00:38:43,160 --> 00:38:44,879
Speaker 2: I'm just telling you what I think here, and it's

670
00:38:44,920 --> 00:38:48,840
Speaker 2: based on not emotion but my objective view that some

671
00:38:48,960 --> 00:38:52,000
Speaker 2: of these companies I just think. I mean, I've held

672
00:38:52,000 --> 00:38:54,319
Speaker 2: in Vidia forever and ever and ever I've sold it

673
00:38:54,360 --> 00:38:56,440
Speaker 2: to I just it scares me, right, how I this is.

674
00:38:56,480 --> 00:38:58,280
Speaker 2: You don't want to see a stock go up forever

675
00:38:58,320 --> 00:39:00,719
Speaker 2: and ever and ever and then go down eighty percent

676
00:39:00,760 --> 00:39:03,799
Speaker 2: and you blow everything that you you had. And you know,

677
00:39:03,880 --> 00:39:06,400
Speaker 2: if it does keep going up, okay, you missed output.

678
00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:09,120
Speaker 2: And the other thing is a lot of this depends

679
00:39:09,120 --> 00:39:11,359
Speaker 2: on your view of this, your age, and what your

680
00:39:11,400 --> 00:39:13,600
Speaker 2: time spectrum is. If you're eighty years old, I would

681
00:39:13,640 --> 00:39:16,560
Speaker 2: not want to have ninety percent of my life savings

682
00:39:16,560 --> 00:39:20,000
Speaker 2: in tech stocks, because you need all that cash right now.

683
00:39:20,040 --> 00:39:21,920
Speaker 2: But if you're thirty five, what the hell do you care?

684
00:39:22,000 --> 00:39:23,400
Speaker 2: It's going to go up and down and over the

685
00:39:23,440 --> 00:39:27,320
Speaker 2: long hold, et cetera. This is the Mark Belling podcast.

686
00:39:30,800 --> 00:39:34,560
Speaker 2: This is the Mark Belling Podcast. I found an interesting

687
00:39:34,680 --> 00:39:36,840
Speaker 2: stat here. This is one of those things that I

688
00:39:36,920 --> 00:39:39,480
Speaker 2: think we probably sort of knew, but I've never saw

689
00:39:39,520 --> 00:39:44,800
Speaker 2: it actually put into a number. The median. What's median.

690
00:39:45,760 --> 00:39:47,640
Speaker 2: There's all these things, the media and the mode, the

691
00:39:47,719 --> 00:39:50,160
Speaker 2: average and so on. The median that's right in the middle.

692
00:39:51,040 --> 00:39:54,200
Speaker 2: The median age of first time home buyers in twenty

693
00:39:54,239 --> 00:39:59,480
Speaker 2: twenty five is age forty. It means there were as

694
00:39:59,520 --> 00:40:01,680
Speaker 2: many young than forty as there are over than forty.

695
00:40:01,719 --> 00:40:05,120
Speaker 2: But that's the median age for first time home buyers.

696
00:40:06,520 --> 00:40:12,400
Speaker 2: In nineteen eighty five, it was twenty nine. There's so

697
00:40:12,680 --> 00:40:20,919
Speaker 2: much in that number. The people who were twenty nine

698
00:40:21,040 --> 00:40:24,960
Speaker 2: and nineteen eighty five were baby boomers. Baby Boomers are

699
00:40:25,000 --> 00:40:29,360
Speaker 2: people who they had their lives on the accelerator pedal

700
00:40:29,560 --> 00:40:31,839
Speaker 2: all along. When they were in grade school, they wanted

701
00:40:31,840 --> 00:40:33,279
Speaker 2: to be in high school. When in high school, they

702
00:40:33,280 --> 00:40:35,040
Speaker 2: wanted to either be free or in college. When they

703
00:40:35,040 --> 00:40:36,600
Speaker 2: were in college, they wanted to be out of college,

704
00:40:36,600 --> 00:40:40,919
Speaker 2: and they wanted to be working. The Generation Z's, I think,

705
00:40:40,960 --> 00:40:43,040
Speaker 2: were closer to the Baby Boomers than they were to

706
00:40:43,080 --> 00:40:45,600
Speaker 2: the Millennials, the one after them. The Millennials became the

707
00:40:45,640 --> 00:40:47,640
Speaker 2: generation in which their lies are on the brake pedal.

708
00:40:48,360 --> 00:40:51,080
Speaker 2: They wanted to slow everything down. They didn't want independence,

709
00:40:51,120 --> 00:40:55,400
Speaker 2: they wanted to live with mom and dad. They've not

710
00:40:55,480 --> 00:40:58,640
Speaker 2: wanted to make commitments. And one of the things that

711
00:40:58,640 --> 00:41:03,400
Speaker 2: that's manifested itself in it was this delay in purchasing

712
00:41:03,400 --> 00:41:09,040
Speaker 2: a home. The other component of it is almost every

713
00:41:09,040 --> 00:41:11,120
Speaker 2: baby Boomer that I recall from the twenties, none of

714
00:41:11,200 --> 00:41:13,719
Speaker 2: us had anybody because we were starting to save it

715
00:41:13,960 --> 00:41:16,600
Speaker 2: and we weren't making enough then. Whereas you think of

716
00:41:16,600 --> 00:41:18,520
Speaker 2: the millennials when they were in their twenties, they were

717
00:41:18,520 --> 00:41:20,839
Speaker 2: all going on trips and posting on Facebook, and they're

718
00:41:20,840 --> 00:41:23,400
Speaker 2: at life experiences and all of this stuff that they

719
00:41:23,440 --> 00:41:26,040
Speaker 2: were doing now, so none of them have money for

720
00:41:26,080 --> 00:41:28,759
Speaker 2: a down payment. The price of housing has gone up

721
00:41:28,760 --> 00:41:30,520
Speaker 2: because we're in the middle of a housing boom, and

722
00:41:30,560 --> 00:41:33,600
Speaker 2: so on. But that number, I think explains a lot

723
00:41:33,640 --> 00:41:39,040
Speaker 2: of things. I do think it will go down. I

724
00:41:39,080 --> 00:41:42,400
Speaker 2: think that the Generation z's as a group seemed to

725
00:41:42,400 --> 00:41:46,319
Speaker 2: strike me as a group again, not individually, more of

726
00:41:46,360 --> 00:41:49,560
Speaker 2: them are interested in settling down and having houses and

727
00:41:49,600 --> 00:41:52,160
Speaker 2: so on, And that number will go down a bit

728
00:41:52,320 --> 00:41:54,840
Speaker 2: just because it's gotten so high. I mean, imagine not

729
00:41:55,160 --> 00:41:58,360
Speaker 2: the average person not having a home until they're owning

730
00:41:58,400 --> 00:42:00,759
Speaker 2: a house until each four. It seems to be an

731
00:42:00,800 --> 00:42:02,759
Speaker 2: extremely high number. I'll pull back some, but I don't

732
00:42:02,760 --> 00:42:04,719
Speaker 2: know that I'll ever go back to the days of

733
00:42:04,760 --> 00:42:07,480
Speaker 2: the twenty nine and so on with a simple expectation

734
00:42:07,680 --> 00:42:09,440
Speaker 2: with There's a lot of other things that have changed it.

735
00:42:09,480 --> 00:42:12,080
Speaker 2: In many cities, property taxation and so on have changed

736
00:42:12,080 --> 00:42:15,319
Speaker 2: the equation with regard to home ownership and so on.

737
00:42:15,440 --> 00:42:18,000
Speaker 2: But that number, you can go look at that number

738
00:42:18,000 --> 00:42:21,680
Speaker 2: and take it in any number of different Paul mentions

739
00:42:21,840 --> 00:42:24,240
Speaker 2: both of his daughter's own homes and they're in their twenties.

740
00:42:24,280 --> 00:42:26,880
Speaker 2: Now your family is in real estate. You understand the

741
00:42:27,000 --> 00:42:29,080
Speaker 2: value of it. So I'm just saying they've thought it

742
00:42:29,200 --> 00:42:32,480
Speaker 2: through and they understand the advantage of it, and they

743
00:42:32,480 --> 00:42:35,719
Speaker 2: also understand how you know you can pull this what

744
00:42:35,880 --> 00:42:37,480
Speaker 2: kind of as you did pull it off two or

745
00:42:37,520 --> 00:42:39,680
Speaker 2: three times. Buy a house, sell it for more, get

746
00:42:39,680 --> 00:42:41,319
Speaker 2: a better one, buy itself, sell it for more, and

747
00:42:41,360 --> 00:42:44,680
Speaker 2: it just it becomes that becomes your savings plan rather

748
00:42:44,719 --> 00:42:47,840
Speaker 2: than having to set money aside. I mean, the perfect

749
00:42:47,880 --> 00:42:50,040
Speaker 2: storm is when you buy a house, you have a

750
00:42:50,080 --> 00:42:52,880
Speaker 2: place to live in and it goes up in value,

751
00:42:52,920 --> 00:42:56,719
Speaker 2: so you're actually earning money by living somewhere, where as

752
00:42:56,719 --> 00:42:58,880
Speaker 2: opposed to rent, where you're paying money out and you

753
00:42:58,920 --> 00:43:03,120
Speaker 2: have no for whatsoever. I like I say, I just

754
00:43:03,160 --> 00:43:05,799
Speaker 2: think the Millennials were an anomaly generation in which their

755
00:43:05,800 --> 00:43:09,120
Speaker 2: priorities were different in it's almost entirely the result of

756
00:43:09,160 --> 00:43:14,760
Speaker 2: baby boomers overly protecting them and mothering them and creating

757
00:43:14,760 --> 00:43:16,719
Speaker 2: a generation. And I just think it was it's in

758
00:43:16,800 --> 00:43:18,920
Speaker 2: reaction to the way we baby boomers were. We all

759
00:43:18,920 --> 00:43:21,120
Speaker 2: wanted to get into the world. The older the baby

760
00:43:21,160 --> 00:43:23,640
Speaker 2: boomers were sent off to Vietnam. They had no choice

761
00:43:23,680 --> 00:43:25,160
Speaker 2: but to get into the world. The rest of us

762
00:43:25,200 --> 00:43:28,399
Speaker 2: just wanted our independence and rock and roll and sex

763
00:43:28,440 --> 00:43:31,560
Speaker 2: and love and all of that stuff. And perhaps we

764
00:43:31,640 --> 00:43:34,200
Speaker 2: looked upon our kids, and I didn't have kids, but

765
00:43:34,239 --> 00:43:36,680
Speaker 2: the baby was looked upon their kids. Is they wanted

766
00:43:36,719 --> 00:43:38,799
Speaker 2: them to be more dependent on mom and dad. End

767
00:43:39,600 --> 00:43:45,520
Speaker 2: it just became the opposite thing. Not exactly related, but

768
00:43:45,600 --> 00:43:49,279
Speaker 2: an interesting little anecdote here. Found this on one of

769
00:43:49,320 --> 00:43:52,279
Speaker 2: my news aggregated sites. It's from a post on the web. Well,

770
00:43:53,000 --> 00:43:56,440
Speaker 2: this whole discussion of the Snap Benefits food stamp program

771
00:43:57,040 --> 00:43:59,680
Speaker 2: being cut off or slowed down because the government shut down.

772
00:44:00,040 --> 00:44:02,480
Speaker 2: A woman from New Mexico admits to being on Snap

773
00:44:02,560 --> 00:44:05,839
Speaker 2: benefits for over thirty years. She says that delays our

774
00:44:05,920 --> 00:44:08,479
Speaker 2: quote detrimental to her life if she doesn't get them.

775
00:44:08,800 --> 00:44:11,840
Speaker 2: When I heard zero dollars, my chest went into my throat.

776
00:44:11,880 --> 00:44:15,040
Speaker 2: I have depended on those benefits since the nineteen nineties.

777
00:44:17,080 --> 00:44:25,120
Speaker 2: That's the problem. The welfare state went awry when we

778
00:44:25,280 --> 00:44:32,200
Speaker 2: made it long term sustainable. When we created all of

779
00:44:32,239 --> 00:44:35,000
Speaker 2: these programs, they were supposed to be lifelines for people

780
00:44:35,000 --> 00:44:39,839
Speaker 2: who had fallen on hard times. If somebody has been

781
00:44:39,880 --> 00:44:43,520
Speaker 2: on enough government assistance programs, food stamps, and all of

782
00:44:43,560 --> 00:44:46,799
Speaker 2: the others that are out there that that has been

783
00:44:46,840 --> 00:44:50,879
Speaker 2: their entire life. By definition, they're too high and we've

784
00:44:50,920 --> 00:44:54,520
Speaker 2: done them no favors. Now, obviously there are unique circumstances.

785
00:44:54,520 --> 00:44:57,440
Speaker 2: Some people have a physical disability, others have mental issues,

786
00:44:57,480 --> 00:45:01,320
Speaker 2: the drugs and so on. But if you're otherwise generally

787
00:45:01,400 --> 00:45:03,680
Speaker 2: able bodied and you spent your entire life on an

788
00:45:03,680 --> 00:45:09,440
Speaker 2: assistance program, we haven't done you any favors. By essentially

789
00:45:09,520 --> 00:45:13,880
Speaker 2: letting you waste your entire life, it never make an

790
00:45:13,880 --> 00:45:19,000
Speaker 2: effort to really improve what's going on with you. I'm

791
00:45:19,040 --> 00:45:22,400
Speaker 2: guessing that that number of people who've been on SNAP

792
00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:24,000
Speaker 2: or food stamps, whatever you want to call it, for

793
00:45:24,040 --> 00:45:30,279
Speaker 2: three decades is a larger number than many may be

794
00:45:30,360 --> 00:45:37,040
Speaker 2: aware of. And now this libs of TikTok is actually

795
00:45:37,040 --> 00:45:40,640
Speaker 2: a conservative site that posts on the internet. So woman

796
00:45:40,680 --> 00:45:43,200
Speaker 2: that does it, she's very very good, she knows an

797
00:45:43,320 --> 00:45:46,840
Speaker 2: entire staff. They have a huge following. They monetized it.

798
00:45:46,920 --> 00:45:49,560
Speaker 2: What they do is they run around and scour era

799
00:45:49,719 --> 00:45:53,719
Speaker 2: for examples of liberal idiocy, and they found this one.

800
00:45:55,920 --> 00:45:58,720
Speaker 2: There's a course being taught at the University of Maryland.

801
00:45:59,239 --> 00:46:01,600
Speaker 2: This is one of those deals that could I used

802
00:46:01,600 --> 00:46:03,160
Speaker 2: to do up and on the radio show and bring

803
00:46:03,200 --> 00:46:05,600
Speaker 2: something up, and then I'd ask, am I making this up?

804
00:46:05,640 --> 00:46:09,160
Speaker 2: Or is it true? And you could always There are

805
00:46:09,200 --> 00:46:11,040
Speaker 2: so many things that are crazy that you can all

806
00:46:11,200 --> 00:46:13,440
Speaker 2: now almost make anything up and people would think that

807
00:46:13,480 --> 00:46:16,560
Speaker 2: it is true. This one, however, is true. Here's the

808
00:46:16,560 --> 00:46:20,880
Speaker 2: title of the class at the University of Maryland, intro

809
00:46:21,239 --> 00:46:30,080
Speaker 2: to fat Studies, Fatness, Blackness and their Intersections. You don't

810
00:46:30,360 --> 00:46:34,800
Speaker 2: think that this was racist, that it's an actual teacher,

811
00:46:34,840 --> 00:46:38,319
Speaker 2: it's a lefty and the store and the course. It's

812
00:46:38,320 --> 00:46:44,600
Speaker 2: an actual academic course into I'll quote again, Fatness, Blackness

813
00:46:45,440 --> 00:46:47,920
Speaker 2: and their Intersections. Now it sounds as though this is

814
00:46:47,960 --> 00:46:50,160
Speaker 2: a course about why are black people fat? And that

815
00:46:50,320 --> 00:46:52,440
Speaker 2: seems to be what they're saying. Well, we have the

816
00:46:52,480 --> 00:46:57,920
Speaker 2: course description. The course description reads like a parody someone

817
00:46:57,960 --> 00:47:01,839
Speaker 2: would write to mock academia, except it's real and taxpayer

818
00:47:01,840 --> 00:47:08,600
Speaker 2: funded for liberation as a social justice movement. The teacher

819
00:47:08,600 --> 00:47:12,720
Speaker 2: of the course is Sidney Lewis, a self described LGBTQ

820
00:47:13,440 --> 00:47:19,319
Speaker 2: black liberation activist. For those of you who have any

821
00:47:19,400 --> 00:47:24,160
Speaker 2: doubt that a college education is inappropriate for any number

822
00:47:24,160 --> 00:47:27,600
Speaker 2: of people, and much, not all, of what is being

823
00:47:27,600 --> 00:47:30,799
Speaker 2: taught in college is a waste of money. That course

824
00:47:30,880 --> 00:47:32,640
Speaker 2: is an example. Now people on left keep saying, you

825
00:47:32,760 --> 00:47:34,600
Speaker 2: cherry picked this out and you find this example. Well,

826
00:47:34,640 --> 00:47:36,920
Speaker 2: of course for cherry picking out and finding that example,

827
00:47:37,120 --> 00:47:39,160
Speaker 2: But that example is there, and this is not some

828
00:47:39,320 --> 00:47:43,600
Speaker 2: excuse the University of Maryland. They're hiring some quack who's

829
00:47:43,640 --> 00:47:46,239
Speaker 2: going out and teaching crap like this, for passing it

830
00:47:46,280 --> 00:47:50,320
Speaker 2: off as education. Now in there somewhere, there's actually a

831
00:47:50,440 --> 00:47:56,080
Speaker 2: legitimate area of inquiry. The health problems that African Americans

832
00:47:56,120 --> 00:47:58,239
Speaker 2: have because of poor diet and so on. A lot

833
00:47:58,239 --> 00:48:00,759
Speaker 2: of the things that Kennedy Junior has been pushing with

834
00:48:00,800 --> 00:48:03,799
Speaker 2: the MAHA movement, that we're eating so much stuff that

835
00:48:03,960 --> 00:48:06,080
Speaker 2: ends up with us sick and have poor quality of

836
00:48:06,080 --> 00:48:08,400
Speaker 2: life and so on, they're legitimate areas of study that

837
00:48:08,440 --> 00:48:10,480
Speaker 2: are in there. But I'm sure that she's not looking

838
00:48:10,520 --> 00:48:12,880
Speaker 2: into any of those things whatsoever. I'm sure in the

839
00:48:12,960 --> 00:48:14,600
Speaker 2: end the conclusion of all of this is going to

840
00:48:14,680 --> 00:48:18,040
Speaker 2: have something to do with racism and the terribly unjust

841
00:48:18,040 --> 00:48:22,200
Speaker 2: society that we all live in. This is the Markdelling Podcast.

842
00:48:26,840 --> 00:48:29,120
Speaker 2: This is the Mark Belling Podcast and it's time for

843
00:48:29,160 --> 00:48:32,880
Speaker 2: the Mark Belling Weekly football preview and some point spread picks,

844
00:48:32,880 --> 00:48:35,280
Speaker 2: and as always, were joined by Mike Murlett off American

845
00:48:35,320 --> 00:48:40,480
Speaker 2: Sports Analysts and Madison ASA wins dot com. We're getting

846
00:48:40,480 --> 00:48:43,120
Speaker 2: into the important part of the college football season and

847
00:48:44,280 --> 00:48:47,279
Speaker 2: kind of the hard to figure out middle part of

848
00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:50,399
Speaker 2: the NFL season. Anything you'd like to share about what's

849
00:48:50,440 --> 00:48:54,320
Speaker 2: going on this weekend at ASA, Mike, and I'll remind

850
00:48:54,360 --> 00:48:57,320
Speaker 2: you that tough our podcast is airing on Thursday.

851
00:48:58,320 --> 00:49:02,160
Speaker 3: Yep, same as usual. Check our website ASA wins dot

852
00:49:02,200 --> 00:49:05,960
Speaker 3: com on Friday for anything we've got going on. Well,

853
00:49:06,040 --> 00:49:07,600
Speaker 3: if we have a top game in college we'll have

854
00:49:07,640 --> 00:49:10,759
Speaker 3: it up at that point and weekend stuff. And we're

855
00:49:10,760 --> 00:49:12,960
Speaker 3: coming off back to back bad weekends. I'll be honest.

856
00:49:12,960 --> 00:49:16,800
Speaker 3: We had a good season, going weeks have not been good. Yeah,

857
00:49:16,920 --> 00:49:19,160
Speaker 3: I mean I lost my tick on the air, and

858
00:49:19,200 --> 00:49:21,080
Speaker 3: it wouldn't have mattered what pick I took, all three

859
00:49:21,120 --> 00:49:22,600
Speaker 3: of them that I considered lost. So it was one

860
00:49:22,640 --> 00:49:24,279
Speaker 3: of those weekends. I think we'll bounce back and have

861
00:49:24,320 --> 00:49:25,320
Speaker 3: a good weekend this weekend.

862
00:49:25,440 --> 00:49:28,279
Speaker 2: I had the same result with my own picks. I

863
00:49:28,320 --> 00:49:30,440
Speaker 2: could have gone through my top twenty seven picks, and

864
00:49:30,480 --> 00:49:32,600
Speaker 2: I think it would have been wrong out all of them. Anyway,

865
00:49:32,640 --> 00:49:35,680
Speaker 2: It's a very interesting weekend and both college and pro football,

866
00:49:35,800 --> 00:49:39,560
Speaker 2: and I want to preview three separate games in college football.

867
00:49:39,560 --> 00:49:44,160
Speaker 2: They're all interesting for different reasons. The first one, this

868
00:49:44,320 --> 00:49:47,839
Speaker 2: is a fascinating game to me. You have two teams here,

869
00:49:48,840 --> 00:49:52,799
Speaker 2: one is unbeaten and the other has only lost one game.

870
00:49:53,320 --> 00:49:55,440
Speaker 2: And I don't think anybody would have talked about them

871
00:49:55,560 --> 00:49:59,200
Speaker 2: as being national championship contenders or even playoff teams before

872
00:49:59,280 --> 00:50:04,640
Speaker 2: the beginning of the BYU is playing Texas Tech. The

873
00:50:04,680 --> 00:50:09,279
Speaker 2: games in the Big twelve. BYU is unbeaten, Texas Tech

874
00:50:09,320 --> 00:50:12,239
Speaker 2: has only one loss, and you have a curious situation here.

875
00:50:12,280 --> 00:50:15,400
Speaker 2: We're not early of the season. BYU's played eight games,

876
00:50:15,480 --> 00:50:20,719
Speaker 2: they're unbeaten, but they're a ten point underdog. And you

877
00:50:20,800 --> 00:50:24,160
Speaker 2: can't say, well, BYU's unbeaten because they've had a crappy schedule.

878
00:50:24,480 --> 00:50:28,240
Speaker 2: They beat Utah, and Utah is really good. They've played

879
00:50:28,280 --> 00:50:30,920
Speaker 2: some pretty good teams. Texas Tech, on the other hand,

880
00:50:31,360 --> 00:50:34,080
Speaker 2: is probably the most controversial team in college football. It's

881
00:50:34,080 --> 00:50:37,279
Speaker 2: a team that's just built on massive nil money and

882
00:50:37,360 --> 00:50:41,040
Speaker 2: it's worked interesting matchup and Texas Tech at home favored

883
00:50:41,040 --> 00:50:42,800
Speaker 2: by a lot. What do you think about that game?

884
00:50:43,320 --> 00:50:45,400
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean there's a reason that Tech's favored. You

885
00:50:45,400 --> 00:50:49,320
Speaker 3: mentioned Utah BYU beat Utah at home by three. Got

886
00:50:49,320 --> 00:50:51,719
Speaker 3: all gained by you. Tech beat Utah by twenty five

887
00:50:51,760 --> 00:50:55,680
Speaker 3: points at Utah. I mean Tech would win the national championship.

888
00:50:56,080 --> 00:51:00,839
Speaker 3: Their one loss was at Arizona State by four. Tech

889
00:51:00,960 --> 00:51:04,160
Speaker 3: was missing their starting quarterback and Arizona State had to

890
00:51:04,160 --> 00:51:07,200
Speaker 3: score with thirty seconds left to win that game. You

891
00:51:07,280 --> 00:51:09,920
Speaker 3: saw what played out last week against Kansas HUT.

892
00:51:09,880 --> 00:51:12,920
Speaker 2: I used my radio pick last week to go against

893
00:51:13,000 --> 00:51:15,920
Speaker 2: Texas Tech. They were a seven point favorite and his

894
00:51:16,080 --> 00:51:20,120
Speaker 2: terrible peck. Texas Tech destroyed a pretty good Kansas State team.

895
00:51:20,800 --> 00:51:23,040
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Kansas State was peaking. They're playing really well.

896
00:51:23,080 --> 00:51:24,719
Speaker 3: I agreed one hundred percent with your pick, and I

897
00:51:24,760 --> 00:51:26,880
Speaker 3: watched the game and there was no comparison between those

898
00:51:26,920 --> 00:51:30,680
Speaker 3: two teams you mentioned BYU is eight. No, they're coming

899
00:51:30,719 --> 00:51:32,280
Speaker 3: off a buye, which is a good situation.

900
00:51:33,280 --> 00:51:34,680
Speaker 2: They have a great coach too.

901
00:51:35,280 --> 00:51:37,840
Speaker 3: They do have a great coach, they really do, but

902
00:51:37,880 --> 00:51:39,320
Speaker 3: they haven't been great on the road. I mean to

903
00:51:39,440 --> 00:51:43,080
Speaker 3: beat Colorado by three, who's bad Colorado.

904
00:51:43,360 --> 00:51:46,319
Speaker 2: By the way, the Sanders thing, the verdict is.

905
00:51:46,360 --> 00:51:48,200
Speaker 3: It that it has failed.

906
00:51:48,560 --> 00:51:51,239
Speaker 2: I mean, Dion Sanders did one thing at Colorado. He

907
00:51:51,280 --> 00:51:53,959
Speaker 2: brought his son and he brought Travis Hunter there. They're

908
00:51:53,960 --> 00:51:57,719
Speaker 2: both gone. Colorado's gone and Dion's going to be gone.

909
00:51:57,760 --> 00:51:59,800
Speaker 2: I don't even know what his buyout it is. It

910
00:52:00,040 --> 00:52:03,000
Speaker 2: has to be pretty big. But in Colorado, well, you know,

911
00:52:03,040 --> 00:52:05,279
Speaker 2: they were terrible before he got there. But boy, has

912
00:52:05,320 --> 00:52:07,239
Speaker 2: that just fallen apart. It's in a side but.

913
00:52:07,280 --> 00:52:10,879
Speaker 3: Anyway, yeah, no, I agree, it's falling apart fast after one,

914
00:52:11,040 --> 00:52:14,319
Speaker 3: one or two years. So but yeah, YU struggled down

915
00:52:14,360 --> 00:52:16,680
Speaker 3: the road this year. Again they beat Arizona and overtime,

916
00:52:16,680 --> 00:52:18,160
Speaker 3: but they had that they were down ten with like

917
00:52:18,200 --> 00:52:20,800
Speaker 3: four minutes to go in that game, so they've struggled

918
00:52:20,800 --> 00:52:22,840
Speaker 3: a little bit on the road. I think Text definitely

919
00:52:22,840 --> 00:52:24,879
Speaker 3: the better team and that's why that's why they're laying

920
00:52:24,920 --> 00:52:27,600
Speaker 3: ten in this game. I've had other people asking, how

921
00:52:27,680 --> 00:52:30,760
Speaker 3: can how can a top ten team that's undefeated beginning

922
00:52:30,800 --> 00:52:33,440
Speaker 3: ten points and you know, Text the better team here,

923
00:52:33,440 --> 00:52:34,600
Speaker 3: and that's why they're favored by ten.

924
00:52:34,960 --> 00:52:38,319
Speaker 2: Let's go to another very interesting game. It's another game

925
00:52:38,360 --> 00:52:43,960
Speaker 2: involving an unbeaten team. Texas A and M is playing Missouri.

926
00:52:44,520 --> 00:52:47,080
Speaker 2: Texas A and M largely because they made a great

927
00:52:47,160 --> 00:52:50,560
Speaker 2: hire with their head coach a few years ago. They're unbeaten.

928
00:52:51,000 --> 00:52:54,200
Speaker 2: Missouri is six and two, but a good six and two.

929
00:52:54,280 --> 00:52:57,560
Speaker 2: Their losses were against tough teams. They're both teams that

930
00:52:57,600 --> 00:53:00,120
Speaker 2: are playing in the SEC. It's hard to imagine in

931
00:53:00,120 --> 00:53:02,600
Speaker 2: the Texas A and M and Missouri are in the SEC,

932
00:53:03,040 --> 00:53:05,920
Speaker 2: but they're there. The game is at Missouri. Texas A

933
00:53:06,040 --> 00:53:08,080
Speaker 2: and M is favored by a touchdown, and I think

934
00:53:08,080 --> 00:53:12,480
Speaker 2: that that's largely because Missouri's quarterback is hurt and out

935
00:53:12,520 --> 00:53:15,840
Speaker 2: for the game. I sniff an upset here and I

936
00:53:15,880 --> 00:53:19,319
Speaker 2: think Missouri can win the game. But here again a

937
00:53:19,440 --> 00:53:21,400
Speaker 2: larger line than you think. Texas A and M on

938
00:53:21,440 --> 00:53:24,680
Speaker 2: the road is favored by seven points. What do you think, Mike?

939
00:53:25,320 --> 00:53:27,840
Speaker 3: Yeah, the tough part to handicap in this game. You

940
00:53:27,880 --> 00:53:31,359
Speaker 3: talked about it. Missouri's quarterback is out, so and their

941
00:53:31,360 --> 00:53:33,279
Speaker 3: second string quarterbacks out, so they're not on a third

942
00:53:33,320 --> 00:53:34,040
Speaker 3: string quarterback.

943
00:53:34,440 --> 00:53:37,120
Speaker 2: But he did play against Vanderbilt and didn't play bad.

944
00:53:37,480 --> 00:53:39,560
Speaker 3: He didn't play bad, but he's a true freshman it's

945
00:53:39,560 --> 00:53:40,200
Speaker 3: his first start.

946
00:53:40,880 --> 00:53:42,840
Speaker 2: I don't Texas A and M's head coach is a

947
00:53:42,920 --> 00:53:46,840
Speaker 2: defensive coordinator with a defensive background. I'm sure he relishes that.

948
00:53:46,920 --> 00:53:49,960
Speaker 2: But Missouri's at home, and Missouri's got a chance for

949
00:53:51,120 --> 00:53:53,640
Speaker 2: a big upset. And you know, Texas A and M's

950
00:53:53,640 --> 00:53:55,560
Speaker 2: got a target on their back now every week because

951
00:53:55,600 --> 00:53:59,600
Speaker 2: they're an unbeaten team, and everybody focuses on the unbeaten team.

952
00:54:00,320 --> 00:54:03,120
Speaker 3: Yeah, and Missouri is good. I mean they're good. I

953
00:54:03,200 --> 00:54:05,200
Speaker 3: just don't know how they're gonna play with this quarterback.

954
00:54:05,320 --> 00:54:08,759
Speaker 3: We'll see what happens, and might might be the best

955
00:54:08,760 --> 00:54:11,239
Speaker 3: team in the SEC right now. I mean everyone talks

956
00:54:11,239 --> 00:54:13,520
Speaker 3: about Georgia and Alabama and those type of teams that

957
00:54:13,920 --> 00:54:15,960
Speaker 3: you got to remember. A and M beat Notre Dame

958
00:54:16,000 --> 00:54:18,800
Speaker 3: on the road, good win. They beat LSU by twenty

959
00:54:18,800 --> 00:54:21,080
Speaker 3: four points on the road. And while LSU isn't great,

960
00:54:21,200 --> 00:54:24,200
Speaker 3: they're pretty darn good and they killed LSU. You talked

961
00:54:24,200 --> 00:54:27,759
Speaker 3: about Elko. Their coach came over from Duke. When he

962
00:54:27,840 --> 00:54:30,319
Speaker 3: took over at Duke the two previous years they were

963
00:54:30,400 --> 00:54:33,319
Speaker 3: five and eighteen, and he turned to around and head

964
00:54:33,360 --> 00:54:35,600
Speaker 3: back to back winning season sixteen and seven in two

965
00:54:35,640 --> 00:54:39,400
Speaker 3: years at Duke. He's really good. Missouri has much better number.

966
00:54:39,440 --> 00:54:40,360
Speaker 2: It has the better.

967
00:54:40,239 --> 00:54:42,760
Speaker 3: Numbers in this game, but they played the much weaker schedule.

968
00:54:42,960 --> 00:54:45,680
Speaker 3: They're the only team in the SEC that's who strengths

969
00:54:45,680 --> 00:54:48,920
Speaker 3: the schedules outside the top twenty five. It'll be an

970
00:54:48,960 --> 00:54:52,719
Speaker 3: interesting game. With Missouri's freshman quarterback plays well, they can

971
00:54:52,760 --> 00:54:53,760
Speaker 3: definitely win that game.

972
00:54:54,600 --> 00:54:58,800
Speaker 2: Wisconsin comes off the by after finally playing a decent

973
00:54:58,880 --> 00:55:01,680
Speaker 2: enough game defensive, at least when they played very, very

974
00:55:01,719 --> 00:55:05,720
Speaker 2: tough against Oregon. The offense has been non existent all season.

975
00:55:06,120 --> 00:55:08,480
Speaker 2: They come home and again it Wisconsin just plays a

976
00:55:08,520 --> 00:55:11,520
Speaker 2: strong team every week they play Washington, and while Washington's

977
00:55:11,560 --> 00:55:14,480
Speaker 2: a strong team, they're actually not as good as the

978
00:55:14,600 --> 00:55:19,360
Speaker 2: last three teams Wisconsin has played. The line is not

979
00:55:19,560 --> 00:55:21,719
Speaker 2: calling for a blow out. I believe it's Washington by

980
00:55:21,760 --> 00:55:26,319
Speaker 2: about eleven or twelve points at Wisconsin. Wisconsin is off

981
00:55:26,360 --> 00:55:28,960
Speaker 2: to buy a chance to physically recover a little bit.

982
00:55:29,400 --> 00:55:32,240
Speaker 2: But you know the problem is Wisconsin just can't score.

983
00:55:32,400 --> 00:55:34,360
Speaker 2: What are your thoughts on Washington and Wisconsin.

984
00:55:35,120 --> 00:55:38,560
Speaker 3: Yeah, first to quick you mentioned Washington's favored by eleven

985
00:55:38,640 --> 00:55:40,680
Speaker 3: eleven and a half in this game. Just a quick

986
00:55:40,719 --> 00:55:44,320
Speaker 3: note on that. So Wisconsin has now been a double

987
00:55:44,320 --> 00:55:48,120
Speaker 3: digit home underdog five times in the last sixteen home games,

988
00:55:48,680 --> 00:55:50,640
Speaker 3: so that dates back to the middle of the twenty

989
00:55:50,680 --> 00:55:54,200
Speaker 3: twenty three season. Prior to that, from nineteen ninety seven

990
00:55:54,600 --> 00:55:56,520
Speaker 3: to the middle of twenty twenty three, they were a

991
00:55:56,520 --> 00:55:59,279
Speaker 3: home dog of more than ten one time, and they've

992
00:55:59,320 --> 00:56:01,400
Speaker 3: been five times in the last sixteen home games. So

993
00:56:01,480 --> 00:56:04,799
Speaker 3: that's that shows how quickly they've fallen fallen off the

994
00:56:04,840 --> 00:56:08,879
Speaker 3: map unfortunately. But you mentioned Washington's a top twenty five team.

995
00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:11,520
Speaker 3: They're fringe. I don't think they're top twenty five team.

996
00:56:11,560 --> 00:56:13,840
Speaker 3: They're not great on the road. They're one in six

997
00:56:13,920 --> 00:56:16,200
Speaker 3: on the road in the Big Ten since joining last year.

998
00:56:16,200 --> 00:56:19,000
Speaker 3: Their one win was this year against Maryland by four,

999
00:56:19,040 --> 00:56:21,240
Speaker 3: and they were losing twenty to zero in that game.

1000
00:56:22,000 --> 00:56:24,880
Speaker 3: The problem is, like you said, Wisconsin, in order to

1001
00:56:24,920 --> 00:56:28,000
Speaker 3: score against Washington, you need to pass. They don't have

1002
00:56:28,040 --> 00:56:31,080
Speaker 3: a good pass defense. Wisconsin hasn't passed for one hundred

1003
00:56:31,160 --> 00:56:33,880
Speaker 3: yards in over a month. I mean, they they're going

1004
00:56:33,960 --> 00:56:37,720
Speaker 3: to start O'Neal in this game. Sounds like and Smith,

1005
00:56:37,760 --> 00:56:41,239
Speaker 3: their freshman's going to get some time too. They need

1006
00:56:41,280 --> 00:56:42,960
Speaker 3: to put up some points. You can't rely on the

1007
00:56:43,040 --> 00:56:45,320
Speaker 3: defense to hold teams to fourteen or lest have a

1008
00:56:45,400 --> 00:56:47,960
Speaker 3: chance to win. Eventually, they're going to break. They need

1009
00:56:47,960 --> 00:56:49,279
Speaker 3: to find a way to get some points, and I

1010
00:56:49,320 --> 00:56:50,279
Speaker 3: don't know if they can do it.

1011
00:56:50,680 --> 00:56:55,360
Speaker 2: Yeah, Washington's had some of their games. They pounded Illinois

1012
00:56:55,840 --> 00:56:59,360
Speaker 2: game that surprised me. They're good at all, by seventeen

1013
00:56:59,400 --> 00:57:01,640
Speaker 2: point two to twenty five, but the week before they

1014
00:57:01,640 --> 00:57:04,359
Speaker 2: put up only seven against Michigan. And as you're right,

1015
00:57:04,640 --> 00:57:06,720
Speaker 2: they're a schizoig team in which they seem to play

1016
00:57:07,280 --> 00:57:10,000
Speaker 2: better at home, I mean each week. And I was

1017
00:57:10,000 --> 00:57:13,120
Speaker 2: certainly wrong last week when I two weeks ago when

1018
00:57:13,120 --> 00:57:15,839
Speaker 2: I thought Oregon would kill Wisconsin each week. I look

1019
00:57:15,880 --> 00:57:17,760
Speaker 2: at the Wisconsin spread and I expect them to be

1020
00:57:17,880 --> 00:57:20,320
Speaker 2: more of an underdog than they are. And I thought

1021
00:57:20,400 --> 00:57:23,000
Speaker 2: the same thing in looking at the line here. On

1022
00:57:23,040 --> 00:57:26,800
Speaker 2: the other hand, Wisconsin's defense is just playing I think,

1023
00:57:26,880 --> 00:57:30,760
Speaker 2: spectacularly well when you consider the pressure that is on

1024
00:57:30,840 --> 00:57:34,600
Speaker 2: them and being on the field constantly because the offense

1025
00:57:34,920 --> 00:57:38,160
Speaker 2: isn't moving the ball. And you know anything about football,

1026
00:57:38,240 --> 00:57:40,160
Speaker 2: if you have a it's like hockey. If you have

1027
00:57:40,200 --> 00:57:42,520
Speaker 2: a great goalie, you have a chance no matter how

1028
00:57:42,520 --> 00:57:44,120
Speaker 2: bad the rest of the team is in football. If

1029
00:57:44,120 --> 00:57:46,480
Speaker 2: your defense is outstanding, I guess you have a chance.

1030
00:57:46,560 --> 00:57:49,160
Speaker 2: Let's turn our attention to the NFL and I only

1031
00:57:49,160 --> 00:57:51,080
Speaker 2: want to discuss one game this week, and that's the

1032
00:57:51,120 --> 00:57:53,720
Speaker 2: Packers and the Eagles, one of the marquee games of

1033
00:57:53,760 --> 00:57:56,600
Speaker 2: the weekend. First, starting before we get to the game itself,

1034
00:57:57,520 --> 00:57:59,800
Speaker 2: the Packers we talked about last week just being a

1035
00:58:00,120 --> 00:58:02,400
Speaker 2: hard team to get a feel for because they've looked

1036
00:58:02,440 --> 00:58:06,800
Speaker 2: both good and bad. I think the Tucker Craft injury

1037
00:58:07,640 --> 00:58:12,160
Speaker 2: is devastating. I think he is the best tight end

1038
00:58:12,160 --> 00:58:15,400
Speaker 2: in the NFL or was this year. Without him, the

1039
00:58:15,440 --> 00:58:18,240
Speaker 2: passing game is I think going to suffer. I think

1040
00:58:18,280 --> 00:58:21,440
Speaker 2: it's a massive loss for the team. In addition to that,

1041
00:58:22,000 --> 00:58:25,440
Speaker 2: the Packers made no trades at the trading deadline this week.

1042
00:58:25,720 --> 00:58:29,080
Speaker 2: They didn't address the cornerback problem, which has gotten even worse.

1043
00:58:29,160 --> 00:58:31,560
Speaker 2: Nate Hobbs, who was having a terrible season, is now

1044
00:58:31,640 --> 00:58:34,800
Speaker 2: out probably for most of the year. He has not

1045
00:58:34,880 --> 00:58:37,800
Speaker 2: an ACL, it's the other one with the MCL he's

1046
00:58:37,840 --> 00:58:42,760
Speaker 2: having surgery on that. The cornerback position's been bad. The

1047
00:58:42,800 --> 00:58:46,200
Speaker 2: Packers made no moves whatsoever. Before we get to the game,

1048
00:58:46,280 --> 00:58:48,600
Speaker 2: ILF MIC They're still in first place, but boy, they

1049
00:58:48,640 --> 00:58:50,680
Speaker 2: don't look like a first place team to be. What

1050
00:58:50,680 --> 00:58:52,960
Speaker 2: are your thoughts on Green Bay before we discuss how

1051
00:58:52,960 --> 00:58:55,920
Speaker 2: they match up against Philadelphia there.

1052
00:58:57,640 --> 00:58:59,520
Speaker 3: As you said last week, they're kind of all over

1053
00:58:59,560 --> 00:59:03,120
Speaker 3: the board. They're a hard team to handicap. They lose

1054
00:59:03,240 --> 00:59:06,600
Speaker 3: to Cleveland, they lose to Caroline as almost a two

1055
00:59:06,640 --> 00:59:10,280
Speaker 3: touchdown favorite. And you know, they beat Detroit early in

1056
00:59:10,320 --> 00:59:12,560
Speaker 3: the season. They beat Washington, which we thought was a

1057
00:59:12,600 --> 00:59:15,360
Speaker 3: really good win, but you know, it's not not great

1058
00:59:15,400 --> 00:59:17,640
Speaker 3: this year. But they beat Pittsburgh on the road, which

1059
00:59:17,680 --> 00:59:19,720
Speaker 3: is hard to do, and they handled them pretty. They're

1060
00:59:19,800 --> 00:59:22,400
Speaker 3: they're all over the board. They're a hard team to handicap.

1061
00:59:22,560 --> 00:59:24,360
Speaker 3: I think Craft is a huge loss as well. I

1062
00:59:24,360 --> 00:59:26,720
Speaker 3: mean it's like losing that'd be like Kansas City losing

1063
00:59:26,800 --> 00:59:28,720
Speaker 3: kelsere who you know, He's.

1064
00:59:28,800 --> 00:59:30,400
Speaker 2: Like losing Kelsey and his prime.

1065
00:59:31,480 --> 00:59:32,880
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, I think.

1066
00:59:32,760 --> 00:59:34,960
Speaker 2: Kansas City could handle the loss of Kelsey now, but

1067
00:59:35,280 --> 00:59:38,320
Speaker 2: imagine if they had lost them. If you just a

1068
00:59:38,440 --> 00:59:42,400
Speaker 2: brilliant tight end, most tight ends, eh, doesn't make much

1069
00:59:42,440 --> 00:59:46,360
Speaker 2: of a difference. A brilliant tight end changes an offense.

1070
00:59:46,480 --> 00:59:49,040
Speaker 2: And the thing with Craft is he always got open,

1071
00:59:49,320 --> 00:59:51,520
Speaker 2: and it always run for ten yards after each catch

1072
00:59:51,560 --> 00:59:54,760
Speaker 2: and just extended things and it puts tremendous pressure on

1073
00:59:54,800 --> 00:59:57,240
Speaker 2: the defense. Now it's going to be a test to

1074
00:59:57,280 --> 00:59:59,800
Speaker 2: see whether or not Luke Uscape could a stay healthy

1075
00:59:59,840 --> 01:00:02,880
Speaker 2: and be step up. He has played better, but now

1076
01:00:02,920 --> 01:00:04,680
Speaker 2: he's in the featured role as the tight end. But

1077
01:00:05,800 --> 01:00:08,880
Speaker 2: it's quite a lost. Paul mentions Fitzpatrick the other tight end,

1078
01:00:08,880 --> 01:00:11,520
Speaker 2: But I mean, this is the drop off is enormous. Now,

1079
01:00:11,560 --> 01:00:13,600
Speaker 2: let's get to the game between the Packers and the Eagles.

1080
01:00:13,640 --> 01:00:17,200
Speaker 2: It's in green Bay, National Game at night. The whole thing.

1081
01:00:17,720 --> 01:00:20,520
Speaker 2: The Eagles are another team a lot of teams like

1082
01:00:20,560 --> 01:00:22,800
Speaker 2: this in the NFL this year. The Eagles are another

1083
01:00:22,840 --> 01:00:25,880
Speaker 2: team that's really hard to get a redot. Green Bay

1084
01:00:25,960 --> 01:00:30,480
Speaker 2: is actually favored in the game against Philadelphia, and I

1085
01:00:30,480 --> 01:00:33,400
Speaker 2: think that's as much because people don't have a strong

1086
01:00:33,480 --> 01:00:35,920
Speaker 2: feel for whether or not the Eagles are a Super

1087
01:00:35,920 --> 01:00:39,040
Speaker 2: Bowl type team again or not. What are your thoughts

1088
01:00:39,040 --> 01:00:39,479
Speaker 2: in the game.

1089
01:00:40,480 --> 01:00:42,320
Speaker 3: Yeah, First of all, if you look at these two teams,

1090
01:00:42,360 --> 01:00:44,520
Speaker 3: they're the only two teams in the NFL that have

1091
01:00:44,560 --> 01:00:45,680
Speaker 3: been favored in every game.

1092
01:00:46,160 --> 01:00:46,320
Speaker 4: Now.

1093
01:00:46,360 --> 01:00:48,000
Speaker 3: Green Bay is the only team that's been favored in

1094
01:00:48,040 --> 01:00:52,880
Speaker 3: every game. So let's quick look last week, you just

1095
01:00:52,920 --> 01:00:55,360
Speaker 3: can't lose that game against Carolina. It's different if you

1096
01:00:55,400 --> 01:00:57,560
Speaker 3: get out played at home, and you look at the

1097
01:00:57,560 --> 01:01:01,080
Speaker 3: stats and Green Bay didn't punt, they scored thirteen points.

1098
01:01:01,120 --> 01:01:05,120
Speaker 3: They outgain Carolina by one yard per play, which is

1099
01:01:05,120 --> 01:01:08,000
Speaker 3: pretty dramatic, and you can't lose that game at home.

1100
01:01:08,280 --> 01:01:09,720
Speaker 3: You have to find a way to win that game

1101
01:01:09,760 --> 01:01:12,200
Speaker 3: at home in this situation. But the good thing for.

1102
01:01:12,160 --> 01:01:14,600
Speaker 2: The past one thing I will say, and I made

1103
01:01:14,600 --> 01:01:17,800
Speaker 2: a comment last week we're discussing Carolina is always bad,

1104
01:01:17,880 --> 01:01:22,400
Speaker 2: and I retract that Carolina's now won four or five games,

1105
01:01:22,440 --> 01:01:26,120
Speaker 2: and they're better than I thought that they were. They're

1106
01:01:26,160 --> 01:01:29,320
Speaker 2: just everything in the NFC South forever to me has

1107
01:01:29,360 --> 01:01:33,440
Speaker 2: seemed terrible, And I guess I need to acknowledge that

1108
01:01:33,560 --> 01:01:37,680
Speaker 2: Tampa Bay this year is very good, and Carolina is

1109
01:01:37,720 --> 01:01:42,040
Speaker 2: pretty good. Atlanta, who I thought would be very good, stinks,

1110
01:01:42,480 --> 01:01:44,000
Speaker 2: and New Orleans might be the worst team in the

1111
01:01:44,080 --> 01:01:47,640
Speaker 2: nationally in the National Football League. So I've just misread

1112
01:01:48,520 --> 01:01:51,640
Speaker 2: that division. So every now and then a loss will

1113
01:01:51,680 --> 01:01:53,160
Speaker 2: come in and it turns out not to be as

1114
01:01:53,240 --> 01:01:54,880
Speaker 2: terrible a loss as you think. But You're right, they

1115
01:01:54,920 --> 01:01:57,960
Speaker 2: should have won the game, but probably in retrospect they

1116
01:01:57,960 --> 01:01:59,840
Speaker 2: should not have been that large of a favorite because

1117
01:02:00,000 --> 01:02:02,200
Speaker 2: Maryline has been playing very good football.

1118
01:02:03,040 --> 01:02:05,480
Speaker 3: Yeah, the Carolina is decent, they have a winning record. Now,

1119
01:02:05,520 --> 01:02:08,360
Speaker 3: they're not great, But the way Green Bay outplayed them

1120
01:02:08,720 --> 01:02:11,040
Speaker 3: on the field as far as yards yards for play,

1121
01:02:11,400 --> 01:02:13,560
Speaker 3: didn't punt, you just can't lose that. You gotta find

1122
01:02:13,600 --> 01:02:15,680
Speaker 3: a way to miss the field goal to turnovers, you

1123
01:02:15,680 --> 01:02:19,960
Speaker 3: can't lose that game. The one situationally, the Packers are

1124
01:02:19,920 --> 01:02:22,040
Speaker 3: in a really good spot coming into this week. If

1125
01:02:22,040 --> 01:02:25,840
Speaker 3: you NFL teams that are double digit favorites that lose

1126
01:02:25,880 --> 01:02:29,120
Speaker 3: outright the following week, if they're back at home, they're

1127
01:02:29,160 --> 01:02:31,600
Speaker 3: forty eight and thirty four against the spread. Now if

1128
01:02:31,600 --> 01:02:34,080
Speaker 3: they lost at home as a double digit favorite and

1129
01:02:34,120 --> 01:02:37,000
Speaker 3: then they're home again next week, now they're twenty six

1130
01:02:37,040 --> 01:02:39,480
Speaker 3: and thirteen against the spread, And it makes sense, right,

1131
01:02:39,520 --> 01:02:43,240
Speaker 3: a good team, big favorite loses embarrassing, they bounce back

1132
01:02:43,280 --> 01:02:46,320
Speaker 3: and play well the next week, as I would expect great,

1133
01:02:46,360 --> 01:02:46,720
Speaker 3: But in.

1134
01:02:46,600 --> 01:02:49,520
Speaker 2: Those stats you don't contain did you lose your best

1135
01:02:49,520 --> 01:02:55,000
Speaker 2: offensive player? And I you know, I actually wonder would

1136
01:02:55,000 --> 01:02:57,120
Speaker 2: the loss of Jordan Love be greater than the loss

1137
01:02:57,560 --> 01:03:00,360
Speaker 2: of Tucker of Tucker Craft. I just think that has

1138
01:03:00,400 --> 01:03:03,720
Speaker 2: been such a difference maker. But maybe I'm overreacting to that,

1139
01:03:03,840 --> 01:03:05,800
Speaker 2: But you're right, there's all those things in there that

1140
01:03:05,840 --> 01:03:09,080
Speaker 2: screen bounce back in the meantime. Who knows what to

1141
01:03:09,080 --> 01:03:10,600
Speaker 2: make of the Eagles. They could be one of those

1142
01:03:10,640 --> 01:03:12,480
Speaker 2: teams that kind of kicks it into the second half

1143
01:03:12,520 --> 01:03:16,320
Speaker 2: of the season, and they might be stronger. It's just

1144
01:03:16,400 --> 01:03:18,600
Speaker 2: I think a really tough game to get a read on.

1145
01:03:18,680 --> 01:03:20,760
Speaker 2: Speaking of games that have been tough to get a

1146
01:03:20,800 --> 01:03:23,920
Speaker 2: read on, every pick we've been making on this program

1147
01:03:23,960 --> 01:03:26,760
Speaker 2: for the last two weeks. We all got skunked two

1148
01:03:26,760 --> 01:03:31,360
Speaker 2: weeks ago, and we all got skunk this past week.

1149
01:03:32,200 --> 01:03:34,840
Speaker 2: Paul took the Lions to beat the Vikings by nine

1150
01:03:34,920 --> 01:03:37,760
Speaker 2: or more, a terrible pick. I agreed with his pick,

1151
01:03:38,160 --> 01:03:40,120
Speaker 2: but the way I was wrong about everything last week,

1152
01:03:40,280 --> 01:03:42,720
Speaker 2: Minnesota won the game straight up still to me a

1153
01:03:42,760 --> 01:03:47,000
Speaker 2: shocking result. Mike said that Dallas and Arizona would score

1154
01:03:47,080 --> 01:03:49,360
Speaker 2: more than fifty four and a half points. But you

1155
01:03:49,400 --> 01:03:53,640
Speaker 2: talk about confusing teams, what has happened to Dallas? I

1156
01:03:53,680 --> 01:03:57,160
Speaker 2: mean the Dallas offense a few weeks ago looked unstoppable,

1157
01:03:57,560 --> 01:04:01,640
Speaker 2: and they couldn't do a dog one thing against Arizona.

1158
01:04:01,760 --> 01:04:07,640
Speaker 2: So Mike's pick, let's see, Yeah, you don't have an

1159
01:04:07,680 --> 01:04:10,760
Speaker 2: Ellen there, but that's right. And I took Kansas State

1160
01:04:10,800 --> 01:04:14,640
Speaker 2: a seven and a half point underdog against Texas Tech

1161
01:04:14,680 --> 01:04:16,840
Speaker 2: and they got killed by twenty three points. So we're

1162
01:04:16,880 --> 01:04:19,800
Speaker 2: all wrong and just put that in the all in

1163
01:04:19,800 --> 01:04:22,320
Speaker 2: the rearview mirror. I got a dilemma this week. And

1164
01:04:22,320 --> 01:04:25,600
Speaker 2: then there's actually six games that I like, but every

1165
01:04:25,600 --> 01:04:27,840
Speaker 2: one of them has one problem. So I have to

1166
01:04:27,840 --> 01:04:29,919
Speaker 2: go and grab one of those games despite the fact

1167
01:04:29,920 --> 01:04:32,840
Speaker 2: that I've got a problem in each pick. They're all good,

1168
01:04:32,960 --> 01:04:36,680
Speaker 2: except they both have one drawback on them. Anyway, Paul,

1169
01:04:36,720 --> 01:04:39,560
Speaker 2: who's having an atrocious season, I was having a good

1170
01:04:39,600 --> 01:04:42,240
Speaker 2: one in pill I drove right into a brick wall

1171
01:04:42,280 --> 01:04:44,720
Speaker 2: two weeks ago and have not recovered from it. Paul

1172
01:04:44,800 --> 01:04:49,960
Speaker 2: needs a win. Where are we going here? The Bear

1173
01:04:50,080 --> 01:04:54,120
Speaker 2: Giants game? Now you have a interesting game there. The

1174
01:04:54,160 --> 01:04:57,720
Speaker 2: Bears suddenly another team. The Bears started the season with

1175
01:04:57,720 --> 01:04:59,680
Speaker 2: a pretty good defense and the offense was a working

1176
01:04:59,760 --> 01:05:02,360
Speaker 2: fry Chris, the Bears defense is falling apart, and the

1177
01:05:02,360 --> 01:05:05,280
Speaker 2: Bears offenses now they are what the Cowboys were a

1178
01:05:05,280 --> 01:05:07,480
Speaker 2: few weeks ago. Three and a half. The game is

1179
01:05:07,520 --> 01:05:10,400
Speaker 2: in Chicago. The Bears are favored by the infernal number

1180
01:05:10,400 --> 01:05:14,640
Speaker 2: of three and a half. He's going to take the Bears,

1181
01:05:14,680 --> 01:05:16,360
Speaker 2: even though he doesn't like the half. Now, tell us

1182
01:05:16,360 --> 01:05:18,600
Speaker 2: why you're taking the Bears?

1183
01:05:20,720 --> 01:05:20,880
Speaker 4: You know?

1184
01:05:23,520 --> 01:05:26,959
Speaker 2: Did I see the end of the Bears? E There's

1185
01:05:26,960 --> 01:05:28,680
Speaker 2: so many things that I saw this week. I don't

1186
01:05:28,720 --> 01:05:30,680
Speaker 2: remember it. Ag Oh that was the forty seven to

1187
01:05:30,760 --> 01:05:36,840
Speaker 2: forty two game. Yeah, yes, I did little momentum after

1188
01:05:36,880 --> 01:05:44,720
Speaker 2: the Caleb Williams touchdown last week when Paul made his pick,

1189
01:05:45,120 --> 01:05:48,200
Speaker 2: I said I was going to pick that game too,

1190
01:05:48,280 --> 01:05:50,840
Speaker 2: but I'm not going to because when we go together,

1191
01:05:51,400 --> 01:05:54,240
Speaker 2: it's just doomed. That's one of the games that I

1192
01:05:54,320 --> 01:05:57,040
Speaker 2: was considering. The only hang up I have I agree

1193
01:05:57,080 --> 01:05:59,640
Speaker 2: with Paul entirely. The only hang up on that game

1194
01:05:59,800 --> 01:06:02,760
Speaker 2: is I hate three and a half. I hate three

1195
01:06:02,760 --> 01:06:04,920
Speaker 2: and a half. I hate three and a half. I

1196
01:06:04,960 --> 01:06:07,000
Speaker 2: did take a three and a half game earlier this

1197
01:06:07,080 --> 01:06:09,640
Speaker 2: year and it did win. But I think Paul's right.

1198
01:06:09,680 --> 01:06:12,520
Speaker 2: I think the Bears are a now team and the

1199
01:06:12,960 --> 01:06:15,840
Speaker 2: Giants surprising of the Giants defense is not very good.

1200
01:06:15,880 --> 01:06:18,120
Speaker 2: What do you think about the game, Mike, Yeah.

1201
01:06:18,120 --> 01:06:20,120
Speaker 3: The only thing I don't like about the Bears in

1202
01:06:20,160 --> 01:06:22,400
Speaker 3: their record, I'll be honest with you. They're five and three,

1203
01:06:23,200 --> 01:06:28,439
Speaker 3: but their last five wins, all their five wins, they're

1204
01:06:28,480 --> 01:06:32,320
Speaker 3: plus fourteen in turnover margin in those games. Yeah, when

1205
01:06:32,320 --> 01:06:35,640
Speaker 3: they had four wins in a row, they were creating

1206
01:06:35,680 --> 01:06:38,040
Speaker 3: like four turnovers every game, and you win in the

1207
01:06:38,120 --> 01:06:40,240
Speaker 3: NFL when you do that. The one time they didn't,

1208
01:06:40,640 --> 01:06:42,920
Speaker 3: then they turn around and lose. And then last week

1209
01:06:43,240 --> 01:06:46,040
Speaker 3: against the bad Cincinnati team, they were plus three and

1210
01:06:46,080 --> 01:06:48,439
Speaker 3: turnovers again and barely won the game. So I don't

1211
01:06:48,440 --> 01:06:50,320
Speaker 3: know what to make of Chicago. I don't like the Giants,

1212
01:06:50,320 --> 01:06:52,080
Speaker 3: but I don't know what to make of Chicago, to

1213
01:06:52,120 --> 01:06:52,640
Speaker 3: be honest with you.

1214
01:06:53,280 --> 01:06:56,000
Speaker 2: And Cincinnati is just I mean, Flacco didn't do anything

1215
01:06:56,040 --> 01:07:00,000
Speaker 2: for Cleveland's they did. Cincinnati had no offense at all.

1216
01:07:00,200 --> 01:07:02,520
Speaker 2: Flackel goes over there and they put up a zillion points.

1217
01:07:02,880 --> 01:07:07,720
Speaker 2: But the Bengals defense. Yeah, you just you wonder if

1218
01:07:07,720 --> 01:07:09,480
Speaker 2: we're having a hard time right now. I'm just sizing

1219
01:07:09,560 --> 01:07:11,080
Speaker 2: up a lot of things in the NFL, and it's

1220
01:07:11,120 --> 01:07:13,360
Speaker 2: just hard to make heads or tails of them. Okay,

1221
01:07:13,360 --> 01:07:14,960
Speaker 2: time to get a pick from Mike. Where are we going.

1222
01:07:15,920 --> 01:07:19,400
Speaker 3: Let's look at first in Colin, you told me, all right,

1223
01:07:19,440 --> 01:07:21,520
Speaker 3: the Texas Tech BYU game you said was ten.

1224
01:07:21,600 --> 01:07:23,720
Speaker 2: You said, I want to confirm that it's ten. That's

1225
01:07:23,720 --> 01:07:25,160
Speaker 2: what I had in my notes.

1226
01:07:26,560 --> 01:07:31,720
Speaker 3: Texas Tech and you would number one sixty five, one

1227
01:07:31,800 --> 01:07:32,520
Speaker 3: sixty six of.

1228
01:07:33,040 --> 01:07:38,120
Speaker 2: You said that, all right? Ten, Yes, Texas Tech at

1229
01:07:38,120 --> 01:07:39,240
Speaker 2: home is favored by ten.

1230
01:07:40,400 --> 01:07:48,760
Speaker 3: Okay, let's look in NFL the Sunday night game, Pittsburgh Chargers.

1231
01:07:48,120 --> 01:07:54,320
Speaker 2: Steelers and the Chargers. I believe that's three. Yes, the

1232
01:07:54,400 --> 01:07:57,640
Speaker 2: Chargers at home are favored by three over Pittsburgh.

1233
01:07:58,440 --> 01:08:02,400
Speaker 3: Okay, I'm gonna go. I'm gonna take Texas Tech.

1234
01:08:02,760 --> 01:08:06,000
Speaker 2: You're gonna take Texas Tech. You're gonna well, that's that's

1235
01:08:06,040 --> 01:08:08,120
Speaker 2: an out there pick. You're gonna go and lay ten

1236
01:08:08,160 --> 01:08:11,880
Speaker 2: points against the team that is unbeaten. Texas Tech does

1237
01:08:11,960 --> 01:08:15,280
Speaker 2: look like a steamroller. I grant you that, and we

1238
01:08:15,600 --> 01:08:17,479
Speaker 2: discussed several of the reasons for that, so I don't

1239
01:08:17,479 --> 01:08:19,680
Speaker 2: think that we need to add anymore. It's time to

1240
01:08:19,680 --> 01:08:22,040
Speaker 2: get a pick from me. And as I said, that,

1241
01:08:22,200 --> 01:08:26,040
Speaker 2: just a problem with every I really really really wanted

1242
01:08:26,040 --> 01:08:29,559
Speaker 2: to take Texas over Jacksonville, but c J. Stroud, the

1243
01:08:29,640 --> 01:08:33,759
Speaker 2: Texans quarterback, as a concussion, he's in the protocol, probably

1244
01:08:33,840 --> 01:08:36,120
Speaker 2: won't play. I still think they're gonna win, but they're

1245
01:08:36,160 --> 01:08:37,920
Speaker 2: laying a point and a half, so I can't pull

1246
01:08:37,960 --> 01:08:40,160
Speaker 2: the trigger on that. I mentioned the problem that I

1247
01:08:40,160 --> 01:08:42,400
Speaker 2: have with the Beers pick of the three and a

1248
01:08:42,479 --> 01:08:47,120
Speaker 2: half and some of the factors that Mike mentioned, and

1249
01:08:47,160 --> 01:08:49,280
Speaker 2: I also kind of leaned to Philadelphia getting two and

1250
01:08:49,320 --> 01:08:51,880
Speaker 2: a half against green Bay. But my prob but my

1251
01:08:52,000 --> 01:08:55,800
Speaker 2: problem there is all the things that Mike mentioned. Green

1252
01:08:55,840 --> 01:08:59,519
Speaker 2: Bay is a team that has gone back and forth,

1253
01:08:59,560 --> 01:09:02,240
Speaker 2: and after a poor performance, they tend to step up.

1254
01:09:02,520 --> 01:09:07,400
Speaker 2: So I have to reject all of those games. We

1255
01:09:07,400 --> 01:09:09,559
Speaker 2: were talking about. One of the games of Missouri. I

1256
01:09:09,640 --> 01:09:11,840
Speaker 2: like Missouri. I think they have a very very good

1257
01:09:11,920 --> 01:09:15,080
Speaker 2: chance against Texas A and M all these teams from

1258
01:09:15,120 --> 01:09:18,000
Speaker 2: Texas that aren't the University of Texas, but there's the

1259
01:09:18,040 --> 01:09:22,120
Speaker 2: backup quarterback, so that that's not a perfect situation. I

1260
01:09:23,280 --> 01:09:26,280
Speaker 2: see a game that's out there this weekend. Mike talks

1261
01:09:26,280 --> 01:09:29,320
Speaker 2: a lot about trap games, and I've come to think

1262
01:09:29,400 --> 01:09:35,120
Speaker 2: that years ago people did not give enough credence to

1263
01:09:35,439 --> 01:09:39,200
Speaker 2: there's a letdown situation. Now. I think everybody says every

1264
01:09:39,200 --> 01:09:41,519
Speaker 2: game is a trap game, and it's an overused thing.

1265
01:09:41,840 --> 01:09:44,160
Speaker 2: But there's a trap game on the schedule this week.

1266
01:09:44,200 --> 01:09:46,360
Speaker 2: That's the I think the biggest trap game that in

1267
01:09:46,400 --> 01:09:48,439
Speaker 2: the history of college at least this year, in the

1268
01:09:48,520 --> 01:09:51,080
Speaker 2: entire college football season. Which game do you think that is, Mike,

1269
01:09:51,120 --> 01:09:53,480
Speaker 2: there's a game in which a team is just screaming

1270
01:09:53,520 --> 01:09:58,240
Speaker 2: to let down. You'll get it. You get these always.

1271
01:10:00,160 --> 01:10:02,400
Speaker 3: Uhh, I don't know.

1272
01:10:03,720 --> 01:10:11,200
Speaker 2: Yukon and Virginia. I mean Yukon is they're an independent team,

1273
01:10:11,320 --> 01:10:13,080
Speaker 2: so no game is a conference game.

1274
01:10:13,200 --> 01:10:15,519
Speaker 3: And Yukon Duke you mean Ukon Duke.

1275
01:10:15,560 --> 01:10:18,839
Speaker 2: I'm sorry, I said Virginia Duke last week be Clemson

1276
01:10:18,960 --> 01:10:22,920
Speaker 2: by one point in a thrilling just a thrilling game.

1277
01:10:23,160 --> 01:10:25,719
Speaker 2: Now they play a non conference game and they have Virginia.

1278
01:10:25,760 --> 01:10:28,240
Speaker 2: That's Virginia on my mind, Virginia, who's eight and one

1279
01:10:28,320 --> 01:10:29,880
Speaker 2: next week, so they have to go play a non

1280
01:10:29,920 --> 01:10:33,080
Speaker 2: conference game against Connecticut. Jim Mora Junior is the coach

1281
01:10:33,120 --> 01:10:35,639
Speaker 2: of Connecticut, and he took just a terrible program there

1282
01:10:35,640 --> 01:10:39,960
Speaker 2: and he's winning, getting ten points. My problem is Duke's

1283
01:10:40,200 --> 01:10:43,400
Speaker 2: ten points better than Connecticut. So I can't make that pick,

1284
01:10:43,680 --> 01:10:47,280
Speaker 2: so I've rejected all of these, and here's where I'm going.

1285
01:10:48,520 --> 01:10:52,559
Speaker 2: There's a very weird team called Oregon State. They're in

1286
01:10:52,640 --> 01:10:55,519
Speaker 2: a conference, but there's only two teams in the conference.

1287
01:10:55,880 --> 01:10:58,960
Speaker 2: They were orphaned when the PAC twelve fell apart. So

1288
01:10:59,040 --> 01:11:01,200
Speaker 2: the only other team in the PAC twelve, which is

1289
01:11:01,200 --> 01:11:04,400
Speaker 2: now the PAC two, is Washington State. Washington State and

1290
01:11:04,479 --> 01:11:07,400
Speaker 2: Oregon State are kind of looking for a conference to

1291
01:11:07,479 --> 01:11:09,720
Speaker 2: attach themselves to. They's talk that they're going to end

1292
01:11:09,760 --> 01:11:13,000
Speaker 2: up in the Mountain West and so on, so they're

1293
01:11:13,040 --> 01:11:17,479
Speaker 2: really an independent, even though they're technically not listed as

1294
01:11:17,520 --> 01:11:20,679
Speaker 2: it independent. They fired the coach earlier this season after

1295
01:11:20,680 --> 01:11:23,200
Speaker 2: they started to seven, and they started to seven because

1296
01:11:23,200 --> 01:11:26,360
Speaker 2: everybody's transferry out of the program because you know, they're

1297
01:11:26,400 --> 01:11:29,479
Speaker 2: not at a conference, they're not in anything. They fired

1298
01:11:29,520 --> 01:11:31,759
Speaker 2: the coach, but they're not. Coming off of two straight

1299
01:11:31,800 --> 01:11:34,320
Speaker 2: wins and they beat They all have a rival in

1300
01:11:34,479 --> 01:11:36,840
Speaker 2: Washington State, the other team in the Pack two. They

1301
01:11:36,840 --> 01:11:39,000
Speaker 2: beat them last week, and I love this. They're one

1302
01:11:39,000 --> 01:11:40,960
Speaker 2: and seven and the fans storm the field when they

1303
01:11:40,960 --> 01:11:45,040
Speaker 2: got their second win. This week, they're laying twenty and

1304
01:11:45,080 --> 01:11:48,360
Speaker 2: a half points at home. Two and seven. They're laying

1305
01:11:48,439 --> 01:11:51,080
Speaker 2: twenty and a half and that's because they're playing Sam Houston,

1306
01:11:51,520 --> 01:11:54,200
Speaker 2: who is a contender for the worst team in college football.

1307
01:11:54,240 --> 01:11:57,120
Speaker 2: There's a real battle here. It's either Sam Houston or

1308
01:11:57,160 --> 01:12:01,000
Speaker 2: Massachusetts in fact. But he's gonna believe me on this.

1309
01:12:01,360 --> 01:12:03,920
Speaker 2: If the schedule had worked out, I was this week

1310
01:12:04,080 --> 01:12:07,559
Speaker 2: going to take go against Massachusetts and our pick. They

1311
01:12:07,560 --> 01:12:10,000
Speaker 2: played last night and they lost by thirty four points

1312
01:12:10,320 --> 01:12:14,080
Speaker 2: to Accrid. Accord's not very good, but Massachusetts is atrocious,

1313
01:12:14,120 --> 01:12:17,040
Speaker 2: So unfortunately I couldn't do that twenty and a half points.

1314
01:12:17,160 --> 01:12:19,760
Speaker 2: Sam Houston is coached by Phil Longo, who destroyed the

1315
01:12:19,800 --> 01:12:22,240
Speaker 2: Wisconsin offense during the couple of years he was the

1316
01:12:22,240 --> 01:12:25,800
Speaker 2: offensive coordinator. Here, they're terrible this year. They haven't won

1317
01:12:25,840 --> 01:12:28,080
Speaker 2: a game. They're losing but twenty five and thirty points

1318
01:12:28,120 --> 01:12:30,600
Speaker 2: every week. The one downside for Oregon State is it

1319
01:12:30,680 --> 01:12:32,880
Speaker 2: is a letdown after they beat Washington State and the

1320
01:12:32,880 --> 01:12:36,280
Speaker 2: fans storm the field. But Oregon State's terrible. Their offense

1321
01:12:36,320 --> 01:12:38,960
Speaker 2: isn't very good and their defense is atrocious. They haven't

1322
01:12:38,960 --> 01:12:41,479
Speaker 2: played anybody and they're ower to seven. The only team

1323
01:12:41,520 --> 01:12:43,839
Speaker 2: that they played is Texas, which has shown no offense

1324
01:12:43,880 --> 01:12:45,920
Speaker 2: all you're in Texas put up fifty five on them.

1325
01:12:46,280 --> 01:12:49,400
Speaker 2: I think Oregon State's program, the kids that are there,

1326
01:12:49,720 --> 01:12:52,200
Speaker 2: you know, beaten down. There's all sorts of reasons to

1327
01:12:52,200 --> 01:12:55,120
Speaker 2: be depressed. They're not at a conference, the coach got fired,

1328
01:12:55,160 --> 01:12:57,280
Speaker 2: but they' feeling good about themselves. They won two games.

1329
01:12:57,280 --> 01:12:59,320
Speaker 2: Now they're at home and they get to play a

1330
01:12:59,360 --> 01:13:01,240
Speaker 2: team in which they destroy him. And I'm gonna lay

1331
01:13:01,240 --> 01:13:03,400
Speaker 2: twenty and a half points and take Oregon State over

1332
01:13:03,960 --> 01:13:07,439
Speaker 2: Sam Houston In. Phil Longo's another Phil Longo's another candidate

1333
01:13:07,479 --> 01:13:09,360
Speaker 2: to be one and done and be fired at the

1334
01:13:09,439 --> 01:13:11,920
Speaker 2: end of the year. I mean, he screwed up Wisconsin

1335
01:13:11,960 --> 01:13:14,840
Speaker 2: and now he's screwed up Sam Houston In. Just an

1336
01:13:14,840 --> 01:13:17,080
Speaker 2: overrated coach. What do you think about my pick, Mike.

1337
01:13:17,600 --> 01:13:19,519
Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean that's a game that's on my radar

1338
01:13:19,600 --> 01:13:22,400
Speaker 3: this week as well. Wash It Oregon State and one

1339
01:13:22,560 --> 01:13:25,640
Speaker 3: the one fear. I mean, you're you're laying twenty with

1340
01:13:25,680 --> 01:13:28,560
Speaker 3: a team that averages nineteen points a game. So and

1341
01:13:28,960 --> 01:13:31,679
Speaker 3: granted they're playing Sam Houston State as a horrible defense.

1342
01:13:31,680 --> 01:13:34,280
Speaker 3: In fact, they give up I believe forty points per game.

1343
01:13:34,320 --> 01:13:37,120
Speaker 3: I think they're last in the country in points allowed

1344
01:13:37,160 --> 01:13:40,080
Speaker 3: and they get creamed every game long travel.

1345
01:13:40,360 --> 01:13:42,559
Speaker 2: I don't it's their second road game in a row

1346
01:13:42,640 --> 01:13:45,080
Speaker 2: two for a team that's yeah, stinks and it is

1347
01:13:45,160 --> 01:13:48,639
Speaker 2: probably they're overmatched and they've quit. Sam Houston last week

1348
01:13:48,680 --> 01:13:53,400
Speaker 2: played Louisiana Tech. Louisiana Tech Okay, Louisiana Tech beat him

1349
01:13:53,400 --> 01:13:56,160
Speaker 2: fifty five to fourteen, and that was Sam Houston's game

1350
01:13:56,720 --> 01:13:59,840
Speaker 2: off the by the week before that, Sam Houston played UTEP,

1351
01:14:00,080 --> 01:14:01,680
Speaker 2: team that I thought was going to be better this

1352
01:14:01,760 --> 01:14:05,320
Speaker 2: year than they are. UTEP's offense is awful. They put

1353
01:14:05,400 --> 01:14:09,280
Speaker 2: up thirty five points against them. I mean, you know,

1354
01:14:09,280 --> 01:14:11,600
Speaker 2: as I mentioned, they lost fifty five to nothing to

1355
01:14:11,680 --> 01:14:14,120
Speaker 2: Texas when they played there, and they're getting worse every week,

1356
01:14:14,120 --> 01:14:17,120
Speaker 2: probably because they're an overmatch team and beaten down. In

1357
01:14:17,160 --> 01:14:19,720
Speaker 2: the meantime, Oregon State's played some pretty good teams. They

1358
01:14:20,240 --> 01:14:23,639
Speaker 2: played Oregon, they played Texas Tech, and they actually gave

1359
01:14:23,680 --> 01:14:26,439
Speaker 2: Texas Tech. You know, they came within thirty against them,

1360
01:14:26,439 --> 01:14:29,280
Speaker 2: which that's more than most people most teams are able

1361
01:14:29,320 --> 01:14:32,679
Speaker 2: to do. I just think it's a chance for them

1362
01:14:32,720 --> 01:14:35,200
Speaker 2: to put up forty nine points on a team that's

1363
01:14:35,200 --> 01:14:37,720
Speaker 2: only going to score ten against them, and as I

1364
01:14:37,720 --> 01:14:39,240
Speaker 2: say there's a problem with every one of the picks,

1365
01:14:39,280 --> 01:14:41,880
Speaker 2: but that's where I go. So recapping everybody's picks. Let's see,

1366
01:14:42,240 --> 01:14:46,160
Speaker 2: I don't have anything. Oh, Paul brought it in for me. No,

1367
01:14:46,400 --> 01:14:49,679
Speaker 2: this is coming in right now. I'd see. Paul says,

1368
01:14:50,040 --> 01:14:52,000
Speaker 2: take the Bears. I don't disagree with Paul. Take the

1369
01:14:52,000 --> 01:14:54,479
Speaker 2: Bears to beat the Giants by four or more. Mike says,

1370
01:14:54,520 --> 01:14:57,280
Speaker 2: Texas Tech will beat BYU my more than ten, and

1371
01:14:57,360 --> 01:15:01,200
Speaker 2: I'm taking Oregon State to beat Sam Houston. Paul wrote

1372
01:15:01,240 --> 01:15:03,120
Speaker 2: down twenty. I need a win, so I should go

1373
01:15:03,120 --> 01:15:05,720
Speaker 2: with it's actually twenty and a half. Twenty and a half.

1374
01:15:05,720 --> 01:15:09,360
Speaker 2: Watch them now be twenty and over Sam Houston. Anyway,

1375
01:15:09,479 --> 01:15:11,240
Speaker 2: if you want to see more about what ASA has

1376
01:15:11,280 --> 01:15:15,120
Speaker 2: to offer, asawins dot com is Mike's website. Check it

1377
01:15:15,160 --> 01:15:18,040
Speaker 2: out over there and we'll be back in another podcast next week.

1378
01:15:21,439 --> 01:15:26,000
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1379
01:15:26,080 --> 01:15:29,519
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1380
01:15:29,520 --> 01:15:33,400
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1381
01:15:33,479 --> 01:15:37,120
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1382
01:15:37,400 --> 01:15:40,920
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1383
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