WEBVTT - 11-25-25 America's Truckin' Network

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<v Speaker 1>This is America's trunck and Network with Kevin Gordon.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome aboard, Thanks for tuning in on this Thanksgiving Eve.

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<v Speaker 2>There is a lot of economic news that it was

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<v Speaker 2>dumped on us over the last couple of days, which

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<v Speaker 2>is kind of as a result of the shut down

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<v Speaker 2>and some of these reports being delayed in the tract

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<v Speaker 2>on which they normally come out has been pushed up

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<v Speaker 2>or pushed back, depending upon what report it is, and

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<v Speaker 2>so we got a lot of these reports now. The

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<v Speaker 2>American Transportation Research Institute a couple months ago, actually actually

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<v Speaker 2>I think last month published a report talking about what

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<v Speaker 2>was the most important thing as far as the truck's

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<v Speaker 2>trucking industry is concerned. And of course from the owner

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<v Speaker 2>operator standpoint is different from the truck drive themselves versus

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<v Speaker 2>the trucking executives. But as far as the trucking people

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<v Speaker 2>out there, you out in the public that out there

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<v Speaker 2>on the road on a day to day basis, the

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<v Speaker 2>number one thing on your mind is the economy. And

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<v Speaker 2>that's one of the reasons why I spend a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of time talking about the economy, because again, what we

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<v Speaker 2>are hearing from the spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media,

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<v Speaker 2>and what we're hearing in terms of these numbers, in

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<v Speaker 2>terms of the headlines, even the difference in the headlines

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<v Speaker 2>for the same story when you go from one report

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<v Speaker 2>to another is just incredible.

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<v Speaker 1>Let me give you an example here.

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<v Speaker 2>All right, three separate companies are three separate reporting agencies.

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<v Speaker 2>Core wholesale prices rose lesson expected in September, which is good,

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<v Speaker 2>right now, that's the NBC from Reuters rising energy costs

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<v Speaker 2>lift producer prices, lift producer prices in September. That would

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<v Speaker 2>say that, okay, well, gee, whiz prices are going up.

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<v Speaker 2>According to another I think this is ap producer price

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<v Speaker 2>to climb in September as gasoline costs surge, wholesale goods

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<v Speaker 2>lead inflation, while service prices hold steady. Now, during those

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<v Speaker 2>three different headlines, you get three different impressions of what's

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<v Speaker 2>going on. Let's start off with c NBC Producer price

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<v Speaker 2>index increase they seasonally adjusted point three percent for September,

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<v Speaker 2>in line with the Dow Jones consensus estment. However, excluding

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<v Speaker 2>energy and food, the index rows just zero point one

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<v Speaker 2>percent below the point two percent estimate. Retail sales increase

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<v Speaker 2>point two percent in September a bit softer than the

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<v Speaker 2>point three percent forecast. However, sales excluding autos rowse point

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<v Speaker 2>three percent. Basically to cut through all the crap there

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<v Speaker 2>in terms of what they're saying, is that the bottom

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<v Speaker 2>line as far as what inflation is doing. As far

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<v Speaker 2>as the producer price index, now this is different than

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<v Speaker 2>the consumer price index. Producer price index. The amount is

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<v Speaker 2>the prices going into these different wholesalers, the manufacturers, etc.

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<v Speaker 2>Going into the production of these items, and then on

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<v Speaker 2>the other end, when that goes out to the consumer,

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<v Speaker 2>that would be those price increases there. So this is

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<v Speaker 2>the increase in prices going to the actual assembly or

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<v Speaker 2>the actual wholesale prices that are affecting the wholesale prices,

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<v Speaker 2>and so when you see those prices go up, that's.

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<v Speaker 1>Kind of an indicator, a leading indicator.

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<v Speaker 2>Of what you're going to expect as far as consumer prices.

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<v Speaker 2>On the other end, but every one of these things,

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<v Speaker 2>they talk about energy costs, they talk about rising gasoline prices. Now,

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<v Speaker 2>the gasoline prices you would expect again during the summer

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<v Speaker 2>driving season, during the tail end when people are on vacation,

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<v Speaker 2>you're going to have a lot of people out on

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<v Speaker 2>the road, And what happens when you have a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of consumers out there, when you have a lot of demand,

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<v Speaker 2>you have the normal amount of supply, you're going to

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<v Speaker 2>have rising prices. Now, if you notice going into this

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<v Speaker 2>Thanksgiving season, they're talking about gasoline prices being the lowest

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<v Speaker 2>they've been in a very long time. As a matter

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<v Speaker 2>of fact, national average for gasoline prices right now well

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<v Speaker 2>as of today, was three dollars and six cents, which

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<v Speaker 2>is a little bit below of where it was a

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<v Speaker 2>year ago, and a couple of pennies below where it

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<v Speaker 2>was a week ago or so. But when you're looking

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<v Speaker 2>at these prices, and again, if you're looking at gasoline prices,

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<v Speaker 2>the same gasoline prices, if they're even within a couple

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<v Speaker 2>of pennies of last year, basically indicates no inflation in

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<v Speaker 2>those prices over that period of time. But if you're

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<v Speaker 2>focusing just on the month of the particular month, especially

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<v Speaker 2>during the summer driving season, when you've got a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of people out there on the road and a lot

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<v Speaker 2>of consumption, you're going to have rising up prices. And

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<v Speaker 2>when you look back over the years, that generally is

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<v Speaker 2>the latter part of and then in August, when people

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<v Speaker 2>are mostly on vacation, is when you see gas prices

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<v Speaker 2>going up during the summer. And then of course at

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<v Speaker 2>the end of the summer there you start switching away

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<v Speaker 2>and some of these refining refineries shut down a little

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<v Speaker 2>bit or closed down for maintenance because they're converting from

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<v Speaker 2>the summer blends to the winter blends. And so when

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<v Speaker 2>you've got that going into it, that shouldn't be a

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<v Speaker 2>situation where people are hitting the panic button. That is

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<v Speaker 2>the seasonality type of thing, and it's a typical thing

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<v Speaker 2>on a regular basis, But in so many instances, the

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<v Speaker 2>spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media just can't help

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<v Speaker 2>themselves that they want to portray this economy as terrible

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<v Speaker 2>and that prices are rising, that people are panicking because

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<v Speaker 2>of inflation. As we talked about yesterday, we were talking

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<v Speaker 2>about this story, and in the story itself, they said

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<v Speaker 2>people are frustrated after more than five years of increase inflation. Okay,

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<v Speaker 2>where was the panic four years ago? Where was the

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<v Speaker 2>panic three years ago? Where were these stories two years ago?

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<v Speaker 2>Where were these stories a year ago? But we want

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<v Speaker 2>to focus on the last eleven months because somebody can't

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<v Speaker 2>wave a magic wand and bring prices down considerably. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>we've talked in terms of every time they've talked about tariffs,

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<v Speaker 2>the tariffs are going to rise and raise inflation, that

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<v Speaker 2>they're going to add to inflation, and yet we don't

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<v Speaker 2>see it in the numbers.

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<v Speaker 1>It's not reflected in the numbers.

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<v Speaker 2>And then when we looked at the individual costs behind

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<v Speaker 2>these things, one of the things too, let me step

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<v Speaker 2>back a minute, and as far as these gasoline prices

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<v Speaker 2>are concerned, let's not forget the heavy hand of government.

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<v Speaker 2>There have been we've reported on here a couple of

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<v Speaker 2>times over the summer that as of July or as

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<v Speaker 2>of a certain period of time, the gasoline tax from

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<v Speaker 2>these individual states have gone up. So if you take

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<v Speaker 2>a if you take a three dollars gallon of gasoline

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<v Speaker 2>and you add a state sales tax on that or

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<v Speaker 2>a gasoline tax on that from a state of three cents,

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<v Speaker 2>that's basically a one percent increase in that cost of gasoline.

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<v Speaker 2>But see, nobody ever wants to talk about, you know,

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<v Speaker 2>we always want to talk about how companies and the

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<v Speaker 2>corporations are ripping off the American public. That they're gouging

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<v Speaker 2>us as far as prices and concerned. Why doesn't anybody

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<v Speaker 2>ever concern themselves with the gouging that we get from

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<v Speaker 2>the federal government thirty nine percent top end of the

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<v Speaker 2>tax incre of taxes, sales taxes, seven percent, seven percent

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<v Speaker 2>in the state of Kentucky. I think in New York

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<v Speaker 2>or so it's like nine percent. Where is Why don't

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<v Speaker 2>people get concerned about the confiscation of our wealth from

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<v Speaker 2>the federal government or from these governmental agencies. Why don't

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<v Speaker 2>they talk about government greed in terms of wanting our money.

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<v Speaker 2>If you talk to some of these people in the government,

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<v Speaker 2>they will talk about, well, you know we let this,

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<v Speaker 2>you know we have this, we allow this deduction for people,

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<v Speaker 2>and that that really costs the federal I've actually heard

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<v Speaker 2>people talk in terms of the interest rate. You know,

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<v Speaker 2>when you get your taxes and you figure out your

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<v Speaker 2>mortgage and then the interest deduction that you get to

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<v Speaker 2>take on your mortgage, the interest that you get to

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<v Speaker 2>take in deduction from your taxes.

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<v Speaker 1>People talk in terms of that.

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<v Speaker 2>Do you realize that that interest rate deduction on your

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<v Speaker 2>income tax cost the federal government X number of dollars?

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<v Speaker 2>What do you mean you mean where the government has

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<v Speaker 2>to send us back that money or where we reduct

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<v Speaker 2>we deduct that from our taxes. We pay attention to

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<v Speaker 2>what the laws have been created by Congress, and we

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<v Speaker 2>take advantage of that in terms of reducing our taxes,

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<v Speaker 2>and that costs the government. See in that mentality, their

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<v Speaker 2>thought is is that every dime you earn is theirs.

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<v Speaker 1>They own.

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<v Speaker 2>Every dime you earn, what you take home, your take

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<v Speaker 2>home pay. That's not the amount of money that after

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<v Speaker 2>they confiscate your wealth, after they confiscate your taxes, that's

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<v Speaker 2>the money you're left with. No, that is the money

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<v Speaker 2>they let you keep. In their mind, all the money

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<v Speaker 2>you earn is actually theirs. And so when you hear

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<v Speaker 2>them talking about, well we need this for that and

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<v Speaker 2>all this sort of stuff. Again, why doesn't anybody ever

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<v Speaker 2>concentrate on or talk about the greed of government? Anyway,

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<v Speaker 2>we'll pick this story up coming up. I'm Kevin Gordon,

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<v Speaker 2>America's Trucking Network, seven hundred WLW. I'm Kevin Gordon, America'structing Network,

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<v Speaker 2>seven hundred WLW. Talking about these energy prices and talking

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<v Speaker 2>about the producer Price Index and so on and they're

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<v Speaker 2>talking about how energy prices are increasing and so on, Well.

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<v Speaker 1>Where are the tariffs? As far as that is concerned.

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<v Speaker 2>Aren't some of these energy prices as a result of

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<v Speaker 2>the regulations that the government has put on these and

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<v Speaker 2>the restrictions they put on that creates the tight supply.

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<v Speaker 2>The fact that we haven't built a new refinery in

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<v Speaker 2>the United States in over forty seven years. Forty seven years,

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<v Speaker 2>When was the last time you heard that? Oh, well,

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<v Speaker 2>any manufacturing company hasn't changed their manufacturing process in over

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<v Speaker 2>forty seven years. How many times have you heard that

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<v Speaker 2>a particular company hasn't expanded in forty seven years? Well,

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<v Speaker 2>the refining industry with and again when you look at

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<v Speaker 2>forty seven years, how our population has grown, how many

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<v Speaker 2>more people are out on the highways driving these days,

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<v Speaker 2>And the fact that we have our refining capabilities running

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<v Speaker 2>about ninety five ninety six percent. I don't know that

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<v Speaker 2>there's a business out there that runs at ninety six

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<v Speaker 2>percent efficiency. Now, well, accept americastructure network. We generally operate

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<v Speaker 2>around well, I'd say about ninety nine percent efficiency. But again,

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<v Speaker 2>when you look at different businesses, they don't operate that high.

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<v Speaker 2>And yet the petroleum industry, refining industry, they are operating

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<v Speaker 2>at ninety five ninety six percent capacity and efficiency. So

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<v Speaker 2>when you look at these energy prices, there's a reason

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<v Speaker 2>for them. We explain in the for a previous segment,

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<v Speaker 2>the fact that when you've got these summer blends that

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<v Speaker 2>are in there, they are called they cost more to produce.

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<v Speaker 2>They cost because there's more additives in there to reduce pollution,

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<v Speaker 2>especially during the summer months. So when those additives are

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<v Speaker 2>in there, that increases the cost of gasoline. And of

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<v Speaker 2>course during the summer driving season tail end of the

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<v Speaker 2>summer driving season, you're going to see more people out

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<v Speaker 2>on the road, more people having a vacation, more people

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<v Speaker 2>out there, which is a good sign for the economy,

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<v Speaker 2>which isn't a bad sign because if there's more consumption

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<v Speaker 2>and there's more more consuming of gasoline, that means people

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<v Speaker 2>are out there driving, That means that they're out having fun,

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<v Speaker 2>they're on vacation, they're spending money make keeping the wheels

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<v Speaker 2>of the economy moving along. The cost of energy in

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<v Speaker 2>terms of transportation, as far as diesel prices are concerned,

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<v Speaker 2>or the diesel amount that's consumed, those indicates that there's

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<v Speaker 2>more and more trucks on the road, more and more

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<v Speaker 2>stuff being delivered to stores, more and more stuff being

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<v Speaker 2>delivered all around the country, and so that would be

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<v Speaker 2>a good sign. But these are just seasonal types of things,

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<v Speaker 2>and it seems like as though that they want to

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<v Speaker 2>concentrate on that. And yet when they look at the

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<v Speaker 2>overall producer price index, it is basically unchanged from what

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<v Speaker 2>it was back in August. So when you look at that,

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<v Speaker 2>it's not going up, it may not be going down.

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<v Speaker 2>It's basically the same, and that is not a bad

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<v Speaker 2>thing in the overall context of everything. But I just

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<v Speaker 2>find it interesting when you look at the individual headlines

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<v Speaker 2>rising energy costs, lift producer prices or core or a

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<v Speaker 2>better summary core Core wholesale prices rose less than expected

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<v Speaker 2>in September.

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<v Speaker 1>Retail s also gain.

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<v Speaker 2>Now I saw another headline that people are encouraged or

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<v Speaker 2>talking about despite the tepid retail sales gains. Well, if

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<v Speaker 2>retail sales are going and again it depends on how.

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<v Speaker 1>They are viewing this.

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<v Speaker 2>Are they viewing this as a glass half empty or

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<v Speaker 2>a glass half full? It depends on the news agency.

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<v Speaker 2>When they're looking at the individual prices in terms of

0:13:27.880 --> 0:13:31.080
<v Speaker 2>retail sales and what's going on there. There's been some

0:13:31.160 --> 0:13:35.160
<v Speaker 2>good news there. Let's see core wholesale prices rose far

0:13:35.240 --> 0:13:39.400
<v Speaker 2>listening expected retail sales gain retail sales, I believe we're

0:13:39.480 --> 0:13:42.560
<v Speaker 2>up two tenths of a percentage point in September, a

0:13:42.600 --> 0:13:45.440
<v Speaker 2>bit softer than the three tenths of a percentage point

0:13:45.480 --> 0:13:50.360
<v Speaker 2>that they expected. However, sales excluding autos rose point three percent,

0:13:50.559 --> 0:13:54.480
<v Speaker 2>in line with estimates. Misscellaneous retailers saw a two point

0:13:54.640 --> 0:13:58.360
<v Speaker 2>nine percent increase on the month, while gas stations, owing

0:13:58.400 --> 0:14:02.840
<v Speaker 2>to the higher prices, increased two percent. Sporting goods, hobby

0:14:02.880 --> 0:14:06.200
<v Speaker 2>and music stores saw two point five percent decline, and

0:14:06.520 --> 0:14:09.880
<v Speaker 2>online sales were off by eight point seven percent. The

0:14:09.920 --> 0:14:13.640
<v Speaker 2>fact the gasoline prices that the gasoline stations are selling

0:14:13.640 --> 0:14:16.600
<v Speaker 2>more gasoline, that's a good indication in terms of the

0:14:16.600 --> 0:14:19.920
<v Speaker 2>strength of the economy. Sales at eating and drinking establishment

0:14:20.000 --> 0:14:24.400
<v Speaker 2>and indicator of discretionary spending, increased a solid point seven

0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:27.920
<v Speaker 2>percent on the month and were up six point seven

0:14:28.000 --> 0:14:31.640
<v Speaker 2>percent from a year ago. Retail sales, which are adjusted

0:14:31.680 --> 0:14:36.240
<v Speaker 2>for seasonality but not inflation, increased four point three percent

0:14:36.480 --> 0:14:39.960
<v Speaker 2>from a year ago, ahead of the three percent CPI

0:14:40.160 --> 0:14:44.640
<v Speaker 2>rate for the month. So the retail sales because of

0:14:44.680 --> 0:14:47.720
<v Speaker 2>that one number, because they were expecting it to go

0:14:47.840 --> 0:14:51.440
<v Speaker 2>up point three percent over all and it only went

0:14:51.520 --> 0:14:54.400
<v Speaker 2>up two point two percent, they were saying that there's

0:14:54.800 --> 0:14:59.200
<v Speaker 2>soft retail sales one tenth of a percentage point. In

0:14:59.320 --> 0:15:03.000
<v Speaker 2>terms of what the sales are versus what people are

0:15:03.040 --> 0:15:06.640
<v Speaker 2>anticipating in terms of an increase that is not that

0:15:06.800 --> 0:15:10.560
<v Speaker 2>far off, and to only concentrate on the negative is

0:15:10.640 --> 0:15:12.720
<v Speaker 2>one of the things that I talk about in terms

0:15:12.720 --> 0:15:16.440
<v Speaker 2>of how the spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media

0:15:16.520 --> 0:15:20.520
<v Speaker 2>are trying to manufacture a recession. They are trying to

0:15:20.720 --> 0:15:24.160
<v Speaker 2>downplay the economy. They're trying to put the idea in

0:15:24.200 --> 0:15:27.720
<v Speaker 2>people's head that things are worse than they actually are.

0:15:27.920 --> 0:15:28.200
<v Speaker 1>Now.

0:15:28.720 --> 0:15:32.240
<v Speaker 2>I know that on a regular basis, when you're talking

0:15:32.280 --> 0:15:37.000
<v Speaker 2>about lower income people, they are definitely affected more by

0:15:37.040 --> 0:15:40.560
<v Speaker 2>some of these rising prices. But if you're talking about

0:15:40.800 --> 0:15:47.320
<v Speaker 2>rising gasoline prices, when you're talking about increase regulatory mandates

0:15:47.320 --> 0:15:52.120
<v Speaker 2>on the energy production and that increases the cost, that

0:15:52.320 --> 0:15:54.760
<v Speaker 2>is some of the stuff that's affecting the lower end.

0:15:54.840 --> 0:15:57.800
<v Speaker 2>Because those people on the lower end of the scale

0:15:58.080 --> 0:16:00.480
<v Speaker 2>can't afford that. But when you look at the food

0:16:00.560 --> 0:16:03.440
<v Speaker 2>prices overall and what they're doing, and especially at this

0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:06.840
<v Speaker 2>time of the year, during the holidays and during Thanksgiving,

0:16:07.440 --> 0:16:09.520
<v Speaker 2>as I've said, I'm you know, being out in the

0:16:09.520 --> 0:16:12.360
<v Speaker 2>grocery stores and looking at the numbers from last year

0:16:12.640 --> 0:16:15.960
<v Speaker 2>that we spent in the Gordon household versus what we're

0:16:15.960 --> 0:16:19.240
<v Speaker 2>spending this year. We are below what we were spending

0:16:19.360 --> 0:16:22.520
<v Speaker 2>last year. We were a full seventy cents per pound

0:16:22.640 --> 0:16:25.680
<v Speaker 2>on the on the turkey that we bought, and instead

0:16:25.680 --> 0:16:29.040
<v Speaker 2>of a frozen turkey this year, we bought actually a

0:16:29.160 --> 0:16:34.600
<v Speaker 2>fresh organic turkey, which should have pushed that price higher.

0:16:34.880 --> 0:16:37.560
<v Speaker 2>But because of the turkey prices and the prices that

0:16:37.680 --> 0:16:41.400
<v Speaker 2>are being offered and trying to woo people into the stores,

0:16:41.520 --> 0:16:44.680
<v Speaker 2>these stores have actually been reducing their prices to try

0:16:44.680 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 2>to accommodate people in these in these times. And when

0:16:47.200 --> 0:16:50.640
<v Speaker 2>you look at Walmart's earnings being up, then you know,

0:16:50.840 --> 0:16:54.640
<v Speaker 2>is it, you know, if they're just trying to if

0:16:54.680 --> 0:16:57.360
<v Speaker 2>the thinking is is that any of the increases and

0:16:57.480 --> 0:17:01.720
<v Speaker 2>prices of stuff from Whole, from Walmart or some of

0:17:01.760 --> 0:17:05.680
<v Speaker 2>these retailers are to cover the increased prices to them

0:17:06.160 --> 0:17:10.480
<v Speaker 2>in terms of tariffs or increasing prices. Wouldn't you think

0:17:10.760 --> 0:17:16.040
<v Speaker 2>that their sales or that their revenue increases would be flat.

0:17:16.920 --> 0:17:20.359
<v Speaker 2>But if their prices are going up, that means that

0:17:20.400 --> 0:17:24.959
<v Speaker 2>they're charging more for their goods that they can Actually

0:17:24.960 --> 0:17:28.600
<v Speaker 2>they've got a bigger cushion because their sales are going up.

0:17:28.960 --> 0:17:31.160
<v Speaker 2>I don't know in terms of the number of items

0:17:31.160 --> 0:17:35.159
<v Speaker 2>that are being sold, but their retail sales are up significantly,

0:17:35.640 --> 0:17:38.840
<v Speaker 2>And so if they are raising their prices, are they

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:42.280
<v Speaker 2>raising their prices as a result of saying that, Oh well,

0:17:42.320 --> 0:17:45.200
<v Speaker 2>you know, people are talking about terraffs, people are talking

0:17:45.240 --> 0:17:48.439
<v Speaker 2>about the possibility of inflation from that. So if we

0:17:48.560 --> 0:17:51.800
<v Speaker 2>increase prices and blame it on tariffs, we'll have some

0:17:51.880 --> 0:17:52.440
<v Speaker 2>cover there.

0:17:53.200 --> 0:17:54.640
<v Speaker 1>And I think that's what's going on.

0:17:55.200 --> 0:17:57.920
<v Speaker 2>You know, going back to the pandemic, there was things

0:17:57.960 --> 0:18:02.320
<v Speaker 2>going on in the food service industry and different businesses

0:18:02.440 --> 0:18:05.080
<v Speaker 2>where they were blaming things on the supply chain issues.

0:18:05.359 --> 0:18:08.400
<v Speaker 2>But it was a matter of basically not being able

0:18:08.440 --> 0:18:11.280
<v Speaker 2>to get the employees back from being laid off and

0:18:11.359 --> 0:18:14.960
<v Speaker 2>being terminated and so on building back the infrastructure there

0:18:15.000 --> 0:18:17.840
<v Speaker 2>as far as your employees, plus the fact of having

0:18:17.840 --> 0:18:21.600
<v Speaker 2>to retrain people in terms of doing the retail sales

0:18:21.640 --> 0:18:26.560
<v Speaker 2>and so on at being short short staffed, and the

0:18:26.640 --> 0:18:29.080
<v Speaker 2>fact that some of these items that you don't know

0:18:29.520 --> 0:18:31.760
<v Speaker 2>where how much volume were going to have, so you

0:18:31.840 --> 0:18:35.000
<v Speaker 2>didn't order enough, and so when you run out, blame

0:18:35.040 --> 0:18:38.000
<v Speaker 2>it on supply chain issues, when in fact it was.

0:18:38.000 --> 0:18:40.240
<v Speaker 1>Just well, we made a mistake, we didn't order enough.

0:18:40.520 --> 0:18:43.040
<v Speaker 2>And so this business of what I'm seeing in terms

0:18:43.080 --> 0:18:45.119
<v Speaker 2>of some of these profits and as far as some

0:18:45.160 --> 0:18:48.280
<v Speaker 2>of these companies are concerned, when they're talking about, oh, well,

0:18:48.320 --> 0:18:50.680
<v Speaker 2>we had to raise prices because of Terriff's, but they're

0:18:50.680 --> 0:18:53.240
<v Speaker 2>making more of a profit than they did last year,

0:18:53.440 --> 0:18:57.399
<v Speaker 2>that tells me that they're trying to sneak in some increases.

0:18:56.920 --> 0:18:59.600
<v Speaker 1>That aren't related to terroriffts and that aren't related to.

0:18:59.600 --> 0:19:03.159
<v Speaker 2>Inflation, that they're just artificially raising prices just for the

0:19:03.160 --> 0:19:06.200
<v Speaker 2>sake of raising prices. So anyway, that's my two cents worth.

0:19:06.280 --> 0:19:08.440
<v Speaker 2>I keep saying two cents worth, and I can't say

0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:11.720
<v Speaker 2>that anymore because you know, they stop printing pennings. I'm

0:19:11.760 --> 0:19:26.200
<v Speaker 2>Kevin Gordon, america'struck in network. Seven hundred WLW, seven hundred WLW.

0:19:26.280 --> 0:19:29.160
<v Speaker 2>I'm Kevin Gordon. This is America's truck in network. Missing

0:19:29.160 --> 0:19:31.280
<v Speaker 2>any part of our program, any part of our shows.

0:19:31.720 --> 0:19:34.400
<v Speaker 2>Hit up that iHeartRadio app and of course that's brought

0:19:34.440 --> 0:19:36.600
<v Speaker 2>to you by our friends at Rest Truck Center. Another

0:19:36.640 --> 0:19:40.240
<v Speaker 2>story that I just saw September retail sales rise despite

0:19:40.280 --> 0:19:45.560
<v Speaker 2>consumer caution. They talk about US retail sales rose modestly

0:19:45.600 --> 0:19:49.480
<v Speaker 2>in September, suggesting some consumers hit the pause button after

0:19:49.960 --> 0:19:55.720
<v Speaker 2>several months of robust spending. Sometimes, you know, when people

0:19:55.760 --> 0:19:59.239
<v Speaker 2>are spending money at certain times, they just hit the

0:19:59.320 --> 0:20:03.639
<v Speaker 2>pause button. And let's not forget that we just had

0:20:03.920 --> 0:20:08.959
<v Speaker 2>the back to school, back to school sales and the

0:20:09.000 --> 0:20:12.920
<v Speaker 2>back to school spending by people getting their kids back

0:20:12.960 --> 0:20:15.320
<v Speaker 2>to school. Let's not for I mean, if you're talking

0:20:15.320 --> 0:20:18.280
<v Speaker 2>about retail sales, if you're talking about luxury items, if

0:20:18.280 --> 0:20:23.159
<v Speaker 2>you're talking about what they call about income that you

0:20:23.280 --> 0:20:27.320
<v Speaker 2>have after you've paid all your discretionary income, the money

0:20:27.359 --> 0:20:29.520
<v Speaker 2>that you have left over, if you have any money

0:20:29.560 --> 0:20:32.720
<v Speaker 2>left over, have to pay all the requirements you spend

0:20:32.720 --> 0:20:35.000
<v Speaker 2>on leisure stuff as far as going out to dinner

0:20:35.080 --> 0:20:37.760
<v Speaker 2>or movies or any of those kinds of things. Well,

0:20:37.800 --> 0:20:40.360
<v Speaker 2>let's not forget the fact. And I'm not seeing any

0:20:40.400 --> 0:20:43.040
<v Speaker 2>of that reflected in these numbers, the fact that you

0:20:43.119 --> 0:20:46.920
<v Speaker 2>had back to school expenses coming into play. You had

0:20:47.080 --> 0:20:49.439
<v Speaker 2>new clothes for the kids, you had the backpacks, you

0:20:49.440 --> 0:20:52.320
<v Speaker 2>had the school supplies, you had the school fees, you

0:20:52.320 --> 0:20:54.440
<v Speaker 2>had some of these other things. You know, every time

0:20:54.800 --> 0:20:57.880
<v Speaker 2>I remember when our kids were young, when they were

0:20:57.880 --> 0:21:02.240
<v Speaker 2>in school, it would always surprise me every year that, Okay,

0:21:03.880 --> 0:21:07.399
<v Speaker 2>here are the school fees that come up that you

0:21:07.440 --> 0:21:09.920
<v Speaker 2>have to pay at the beginning of the year and thereabouts.

0:21:10.440 --> 0:21:13.720
<v Speaker 2>And I was always surprised at how much that went.

0:21:13.720 --> 0:21:15.560
<v Speaker 1>Up year after year after year.

0:21:16.200 --> 0:21:19.200
<v Speaker 2>And it's like you kind of expected, where are you

0:21:19.280 --> 0:21:21.399
<v Speaker 2>going to go to complain about it? What are the

0:21:21.400 --> 0:21:23.760
<v Speaker 2>fees for? What are they spent on any of this

0:21:23.880 --> 0:21:27.359
<v Speaker 2>type of thing. And again, it may be where they're

0:21:27.400 --> 0:21:32.840
<v Speaker 2>trying to because of maybe tax rates not going up

0:21:32.880 --> 0:21:35.280
<v Speaker 2>as much as they'd like them, or a school having

0:21:35.400 --> 0:21:38.159
<v Speaker 2>not being passed, so they're passing along this stuff to

0:21:38.200 --> 0:21:40.919
<v Speaker 2>the to the actual you know, the people that are

0:21:40.920 --> 0:21:43.520
<v Speaker 2>going to the schools, they pass that along to the parents.

0:21:43.880 --> 0:21:47.360
<v Speaker 2>But if going to the back to school and you're

0:21:47.440 --> 0:21:50.040
<v Speaker 2>paying all this stuff as far as again, all the

0:21:50.080 --> 0:21:52.879
<v Speaker 2>supplies going in, the new clothes, all that sort of

0:21:52.880 --> 0:21:56.040
<v Speaker 2>thing that's going to take away from other areas in

0:21:56.119 --> 0:21:58.960
<v Speaker 2>the economy where you would normally be spending your money.

0:21:59.240 --> 0:22:02.320
<v Speaker 2>So if they make a pause in terms of what

0:22:02.440 --> 0:22:06.120
<v Speaker 2>they're saying here, it may be just simply because it's

0:22:06.160 --> 0:22:07.520
<v Speaker 2>the back to school effect.

0:22:07.880 --> 0:22:08.240
<v Speaker 1>And so.

0:22:09.880 --> 0:22:12.359
<v Speaker 2>That's why it's so important to dig into these numbers

0:22:12.400 --> 0:22:15.320
<v Speaker 2>and explain them, because again, if you just go off

0:22:15.359 --> 0:22:18.520
<v Speaker 2>the headlines from the spoon fed regurgitators in the mainstream media,

0:22:18.920 --> 0:22:21.480
<v Speaker 2>I think you're getting a false sense of what's going

0:22:21.520 --> 0:22:24.359
<v Speaker 2>on as far as the economic data is concerned. And

0:22:24.400 --> 0:22:28.600
<v Speaker 2>I find that I find it, how should I say,

0:22:28.720 --> 0:22:32.919
<v Speaker 2>journalistic malpractice so to speak. One of the reports that

0:22:33.000 --> 0:22:35.920
<v Speaker 2>came out also with consumer confidence, and that was from

0:22:35.920 --> 0:22:40.760
<v Speaker 2>the Conference Board, which is the different from the consumer

0:22:40.840 --> 0:22:44.840
<v Speaker 2>Sentiment report we talked about yesterday from the University of Michigan.

0:22:45.400 --> 0:22:51.840
<v Speaker 2>Consumer confidence report comes from the Consumer Confidence Index comes

0:22:51.840 --> 0:22:55.520
<v Speaker 2>from this Census Bureau, and that is the arm of

0:22:55.560 --> 0:22:57.760
<v Speaker 2>the federal government and they come up with their own

0:22:57.960 --> 0:23:02.040
<v Speaker 2>idea in terms of consumer confidence and so on. So

0:23:02.320 --> 0:23:04.200
<v Speaker 2>the interesting thing here is that some of the key

0:23:04.200 --> 0:23:08.639
<v Speaker 2>pieces consumers soured on the current economy and their prospects

0:23:08.680 --> 0:23:11.800
<v Speaker 2>for future with worries growing over the ability to find

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:15.560
<v Speaker 2>a job. According to the Conference Board survey released on Tuesday,

0:23:15.920 --> 0:23:19.760
<v Speaker 2>the Board's consumer confidence index for November slumped to eighty

0:23:19.760 --> 0:23:23.400
<v Speaker 2>eight point seven, a drop of six point eight points

0:23:23.520 --> 0:23:27.359
<v Speaker 2>from the prior month, for its lowest reading in seven months. Now,

0:23:27.680 --> 0:23:30.480
<v Speaker 2>why would that be, do you suppose could it possibly

0:23:30.480 --> 0:23:34.040
<v Speaker 2>have been this drum beat from the spoon federal gurgitators

0:23:34.040 --> 0:23:37.639
<v Speaker 2>in mainstream media when the Schumer shutdown was going on,

0:23:38.280 --> 0:23:42.359
<v Speaker 2>When this shutdown that should never have been in the

0:23:42.400 --> 0:23:45.600
<v Speaker 2>first place. But as we saw some of the Democrats

0:23:45.640 --> 0:23:48.879
<v Speaker 2>actually talking about this and saying, well, this is the

0:23:48.920 --> 0:23:53.960
<v Speaker 2>only leverage we've got in order to have our issues

0:23:54.080 --> 0:23:58.240
<v Speaker 2>paid attention to. So they admitted that they were causing

0:23:58.320 --> 0:24:02.159
<v Speaker 2>pain as far as some of these food stamp numbers,

0:24:02.160 --> 0:24:05.959
<v Speaker 2>the snap money going out, that they wanted to cause

0:24:06.080 --> 0:24:09.400
<v Speaker 2>pain with certain people, hoping that they wouldn't be blamed

0:24:09.400 --> 0:24:12.760
<v Speaker 2>for it, that they would blame the administration for that

0:24:13.160 --> 0:24:16.800
<v Speaker 2>and not Congress, that they wanted to make a point,

0:24:17.080 --> 0:24:20.119
<v Speaker 2>they wanted to show their leverage. Yes, it's going to

0:24:20.200 --> 0:24:23.399
<v Speaker 2>cause pain, but it's good for us. And as a

0:24:23.440 --> 0:24:26.359
<v Speaker 2>matter of fact, Chuck Show, wasn't it Chuck Schumer that said,

0:24:27.600 --> 0:24:31.720
<v Speaker 2>this shutdown is having a very we're winning on this,

0:24:31.960 --> 0:24:33.680
<v Speaker 2>We're it's having.

0:24:33.560 --> 0:24:35.240
<v Speaker 1>A positive effect on us.

0:24:35.520 --> 0:24:37.920
<v Speaker 2>So that the hell with you and me, the hell

0:24:37.960 --> 0:24:41.119
<v Speaker 2>with the people out there that depended on the snap benefits.

0:24:41.359 --> 0:24:44.320
<v Speaker 2>They wanted to make sure that whatever, and really it

0:24:44.359 --> 0:24:48.679
<v Speaker 2>boiled down to, they wanted one point five trillion dollars

0:24:48.680 --> 0:24:53.440
<v Speaker 2>of additional spending or spending in the budget to take

0:24:53.480 --> 0:24:58.439
<v Speaker 2>care of illegal immigrants and the illegal immigrants healthcare. Now,

0:24:58.760 --> 0:25:01.800
<v Speaker 2>if we are a U, a Senate, a US Congress,

0:25:02.000 --> 0:25:04.679
<v Speaker 2>wouldn't you think the priority would be the American people,

0:25:05.040 --> 0:25:08.000
<v Speaker 2>But instead they shut the federal government down for forty

0:25:08.040 --> 0:25:12.760
<v Speaker 2>three days, a record, I might add from just for

0:25:12.880 --> 0:25:16.440
<v Speaker 2>them to prove a point. Now, if with the constant

0:25:16.560 --> 0:25:20.359
<v Speaker 2>drum beat from the spoon feder regurgitators and mainstream media

0:25:20.600 --> 0:25:23.400
<v Speaker 2>talking about how this is going to affect families, how

0:25:23.400 --> 0:25:26.320
<v Speaker 2>this is going to change things over here, how this

0:25:26.400 --> 0:25:29.040
<v Speaker 2>is going to affect and especially when you hear about

0:25:29.359 --> 0:25:32.480
<v Speaker 2>air traffic controllers going to work and not getting a paycheck,

0:25:32.680 --> 0:25:35.720
<v Speaker 2>our military not getting a paycheck as a result of

0:25:35.720 --> 0:25:39.159
<v Speaker 2>the government shut down, The number of furloughed workers that

0:25:39.240 --> 0:25:41.680
<v Speaker 2>were out on this, you know that were laid off

0:25:41.760 --> 0:25:44.800
<v Speaker 2>during the government shutdown. You know, those are the things

0:25:44.800 --> 0:25:46.560
<v Speaker 2>that are going to be drawing on people's mind. And

0:25:46.560 --> 0:25:49.359
<v Speaker 2>of course their confidence in terms of the economy is

0:25:49.400 --> 0:25:52.920
<v Speaker 2>going to be going down, because again when they look

0:25:52.960 --> 0:25:55.840
<v Speaker 2>at that, and they constantly hear bad news from the

0:25:55.880 --> 0:25:59.520
<v Speaker 2>spoon federal regurgitators, of course they're going to have a

0:25:59.600 --> 0:26:02.639
<v Speaker 2>sour effect. When they looked at the numbers here, let

0:26:02.680 --> 0:26:05.920
<v Speaker 2>me see the slump to eighty seven eighty eight point

0:26:06.000 --> 0:26:08.800
<v Speaker 2>seven drop a point is six point eight percent points

0:26:08.800 --> 0:26:12.000
<v Speaker 2>from the prior month, lowest reading since April econdom a

0:26:12.119 --> 0:26:14.879
<v Speaker 2>survey by Dow Jones. We're looking for a reading of

0:26:15.160 --> 0:26:19.200
<v Speaker 2>ninety three point two. In addition, the expectations index tumbled

0:26:19.240 --> 0:26:22.720
<v Speaker 2>eight point six percent to sixty three point two, the

0:26:22.760 --> 0:26:25.600
<v Speaker 2>present situation index, and so on. They go on to

0:26:25.680 --> 0:26:28.520
<v Speaker 2>explain the numbers, where the numbers come from, and then

0:26:28.920 --> 0:26:32.760
<v Speaker 2>but also in here and I find this interesting that

0:26:32.800 --> 0:26:37.320
<v Speaker 2>they made a big deal about a job creation and

0:26:37.440 --> 0:26:42.640
<v Speaker 2>jobs going on. Looking at this, they were talking about

0:26:42.760 --> 0:26:49.000
<v Speaker 2>the ADP payrolls the private employers that those results, let

0:26:49.040 --> 0:26:51.639
<v Speaker 2>me see, talking about the share of workers and jobs

0:26:51.720 --> 0:26:55.119
<v Speaker 2>are plentiful, That number was down. People didn't think jobs

0:26:55.119 --> 0:26:58.440
<v Speaker 2>were plentiful. Well, again, they're not because we've been in

0:26:58.160 --> 0:27:02.560
<v Speaker 2>this situation for the last seven months where corporations are

0:27:02.600 --> 0:27:06.240
<v Speaker 2>not firing and they're not hiring, and that's been the case.

0:27:06.440 --> 0:27:09.320
<v Speaker 2>But we're not seeing big swings as far as unemployment

0:27:09.400 --> 0:27:12.720
<v Speaker 2>numbers on a weekly basis. But the ADP numbers came

0:27:12.760 --> 0:27:16.000
<v Speaker 2>out as far as jobs are concerned, the results come

0:27:16.040 --> 0:27:20.160
<v Speaker 2>in the same day that payrolls processing firm ADP reported

0:27:20.200 --> 0:27:23.800
<v Speaker 2>that private companies shed an average of thirteen thousand, five

0:27:23.880 --> 0:27:28.520
<v Speaker 2>hundred jobs over the last four weeks. So thirteen thousand,

0:27:28.640 --> 0:27:31.560
<v Speaker 2>five hundred jobs were lost over the last four weeks. Now,

0:27:32.160 --> 0:27:36.560
<v Speaker 2>every other month, when they talk about ADP and they

0:27:36.600 --> 0:27:39.399
<v Speaker 2>come out with those numbers, they'll say something to the

0:27:39.440 --> 0:27:43.960
<v Speaker 2>effect of, well, these numbers are what are being reported,

0:27:44.160 --> 0:27:46.840
<v Speaker 2>but they are not a good gauge to look on

0:27:47.000 --> 0:27:50.040
<v Speaker 2>because they have not been an indicator of what's going

0:27:50.080 --> 0:27:53.880
<v Speaker 2>on in the economy as much as the jobs report

0:27:54.000 --> 0:27:56.280
<v Speaker 2>that is going to be done the next day by

0:27:56.359 --> 0:27:59.760
<v Speaker 2>the federal government. But nowhere in here in this particular

0:27:59.760 --> 0:28:03.639
<v Speaker 2>story do they talk about that this is not a

0:28:03.760 --> 0:28:06.560
<v Speaker 2>reliable report in order to.

0:28:06.600 --> 0:28:08.359
<v Speaker 1>Gauge the strength of the economy.

0:28:08.600 --> 0:28:10.960
<v Speaker 2>Yet they'll throw it in here, they'll say that there's

0:28:11.040 --> 0:28:16.280
<v Speaker 2>thirteen thirteen, five hundred less jobs over the last four

0:28:16.320 --> 0:28:17.360
<v Speaker 2>weeks and just.

0:28:17.400 --> 0:28:18.000
<v Speaker 1>Leave it at that.

0:28:18.359 --> 0:28:20.960
<v Speaker 2>So what kind of impression does that leave in somebody's

0:28:21.000 --> 0:28:24.080
<v Speaker 2>mind when they're thinking about the economy and the strength

0:28:24.119 --> 0:28:29.359
<v Speaker 2>of the economy. This, again, in my opinion, is journalistic malpractice,

0:28:29.480 --> 0:28:32.679
<v Speaker 2>and it just infuriates me the fact that there are

0:28:32.720 --> 0:28:35.679
<v Speaker 2>people out there that will cause pain and suffering for

0:28:35.800 --> 0:28:40.239
<v Speaker 2>other people and worrisome for people that is unnecessary. I'm

0:28:40.320 --> 0:28:47.920
<v Speaker 2>Kevin Gordon, America's Trucking Network seven hundred WLW. This is

0:28:47.960 --> 0:28:52.280
<v Speaker 2>America's Trucking Networks seven hundred WLWI and Kevin Gordon one

0:28:52.320 --> 0:28:54.320
<v Speaker 2>of the other reports that came out the other day.

0:28:54.480 --> 0:28:58.600
<v Speaker 2>And it's interesting you go to some of these websites

0:28:58.640 --> 0:29:03.240
<v Speaker 2>that are towards the trucking industry and what they're talking

0:29:03.280 --> 0:29:06.360
<v Speaker 2>about on there. It's interesting that a lot of this

0:29:06.560 --> 0:29:09.840
<v Speaker 2>economic news is more and more being filtered through their

0:29:09.880 --> 0:29:14.040
<v Speaker 2>websites and being released in terms of their audience so

0:29:14.080 --> 0:29:17.400
<v Speaker 2>that people know what's going on. And I dig into

0:29:17.440 --> 0:29:20.960
<v Speaker 2>these numbers, I dig into the stuff behind the numbers,

0:29:21.320 --> 0:29:23.760
<v Speaker 2>I dig into to find the bits and pieces of

0:29:23.800 --> 0:29:26.840
<v Speaker 2>the stuff that they're leaving out of these stories that

0:29:27.000 --> 0:29:30.200
<v Speaker 2>really kind of either change what the headline is saying

0:29:30.600 --> 0:29:35.360
<v Speaker 2>or that makes that headline meaningless. And so many times

0:29:35.400 --> 0:29:37.840
<v Speaker 2>what we've done over the last several months is looking

0:29:37.840 --> 0:29:40.440
<v Speaker 2>at some of these stories and some of the headlines

0:29:40.480 --> 0:29:43.440
<v Speaker 2>just don't match the story. And I can't emphasize that enough.

0:29:44.040 --> 0:29:46.760
<v Speaker 2>I was looking at this one particular report today. It

0:29:46.840 --> 0:29:52.760
<v Speaker 2>talked about home prices. They were talking about the national

0:29:52.960 --> 0:29:57.200
<v Speaker 2>growth and home values continues to accelerate, but in some

0:29:57.240 --> 0:30:00.440
<v Speaker 2>of these areas, all they did was focus on home

0:30:00.480 --> 0:30:03.920
<v Speaker 2>prices go up one point three percent. That was their

0:30:03.960 --> 0:30:07.520
<v Speaker 2>big headline, the headline. And what was interesting is, as

0:30:07.560 --> 0:30:09.959
<v Speaker 2>I was looking through this, I thought, well, you know what,

0:30:10.680 --> 0:30:14.360
<v Speaker 2>I wonder what the realtor dot com or what the

0:30:14.480 --> 0:30:16.400
<v Speaker 2>National Association Realtors.

0:30:16.680 --> 0:30:18.280
<v Speaker 1>Because if you're.

0:30:18.000 --> 0:30:22.120
<v Speaker 2>Depending upon Bloomberg Er, you're depending upon Reuters or AP,

0:30:22.880 --> 0:30:26.280
<v Speaker 2>Fox Business or any of these, they are interpreting the

0:30:26.360 --> 0:30:30.560
<v Speaker 2>news themselves. But when you're looking at something like home

0:30:30.640 --> 0:30:34.360
<v Speaker 2>sale prices, go to the source in terms of the realtors,

0:30:34.600 --> 0:30:37.560
<v Speaker 2>because they're the ones that are seeing on a regular basis,

0:30:37.800 --> 0:30:40.880
<v Speaker 2>and they will indicate what's a problem and what's not

0:30:40.960 --> 0:30:44.400
<v Speaker 2>necessarily a problem. So, going through this particular story from

0:30:44.400 --> 0:30:48.360
<v Speaker 2>realtor dot com, national growth and home sales continues to accelerate,

0:30:49.320 --> 0:30:52.640
<v Speaker 2>with prices now falling in more than half of the

0:30:52.680 --> 0:30:56.680
<v Speaker 2>twenty metro areas tracked by a key index. Now, what

0:30:56.760 --> 0:30:59.440
<v Speaker 2>do we keep hearing about over and all, over and over.

0:30:59.800 --> 0:31:02.240
<v Speaker 2>We have seen and we talked about this last week

0:31:03.200 --> 0:31:07.440
<v Speaker 2>one of the sales reports, one of the stories focusing

0:31:07.480 --> 0:31:11.240
<v Speaker 2>on the housing sector. The fact that where you saw

0:31:11.400 --> 0:31:14.440
<v Speaker 2>after the pandemic, or as I call it, the plandemic,

0:31:14.920 --> 0:31:17.680
<v Speaker 2>how you saw some of these cities that are in

0:31:17.720 --> 0:31:22.280
<v Speaker 2>the South that people move there because during the pandemic,

0:31:22.680 --> 0:31:26.200
<v Speaker 2>if people could work remotely and weren't going to be

0:31:26.280 --> 0:31:29.280
<v Speaker 2>called back into the office, they could work from anywhere,

0:31:29.600 --> 0:31:32.200
<v Speaker 2>and so they decided that, well, rather than living in

0:31:32.240 --> 0:31:35.480
<v Speaker 2>an area that's extremely cold, will move to a southern

0:31:35.760 --> 0:31:39.280
<v Speaker 2>climate or to a more of a resort area such

0:31:39.320 --> 0:31:42.400
<v Speaker 2>as Denver or something. So you saw this big influx

0:31:42.440 --> 0:31:46.680
<v Speaker 2>of people going into those particular markets, and those markets

0:31:46.720 --> 0:31:50.840
<v Speaker 2>were rising five, ten, fifteen percent on a yearly basis

0:31:51.080 --> 0:31:54.560
<v Speaker 2>because of all the people coming in. Again, a situation

0:31:54.680 --> 0:31:57.400
<v Speaker 2>a supply and demand. You have only a certain number

0:31:57.440 --> 0:31:59.960
<v Speaker 2>of houses that are available, you have a bigger amount

0:31:59.960 --> 0:32:02.520
<v Speaker 2>of demand for that. So those prices are going to

0:32:02.520 --> 0:32:05.640
<v Speaker 2>go up tremendously, and then after a while, those prices

0:32:05.680 --> 0:32:07.840
<v Speaker 2>are going to come down. The story we had last

0:32:07.920 --> 0:32:11.520
<v Speaker 2>week that showed that since the last time a person

0:32:11.600 --> 0:32:14.640
<v Speaker 2>sold a house, they had seen a sixty seven percent

0:32:14.800 --> 0:32:19.560
<v Speaker 2>increase in their home value. Now they were talking about

0:32:19.600 --> 0:32:23.040
<v Speaker 2>in that same story, and the big headline was nationally,

0:32:24.240 --> 0:32:28.840
<v Speaker 2>home sales or home prices are down in nearly fifty

0:32:28.920 --> 0:32:32.200
<v Speaker 2>three percent of all the more than fifty three percent

0:32:32.240 --> 0:32:34.800
<v Speaker 2>of all homes are now worth less than they were

0:32:34.840 --> 0:32:38.400
<v Speaker 2>a couple of months ago. Again, a correction or return,

0:32:38.520 --> 0:32:42.360
<v Speaker 2>as somebody pointed out in that article, a return to normalization.

0:32:42.840 --> 0:32:47.000
<v Speaker 2>When you have, as I said, into these individual cities

0:32:47.160 --> 0:32:49.960
<v Speaker 2>that were very popular during the pandemic and people were

0:32:50.000 --> 0:32:55.280
<v Speaker 2>working from home, they were working remotely and weren't working

0:32:55.360 --> 0:32:58.160
<v Speaker 2>in the office. They could work from anywhere. So again,

0:32:58.480 --> 0:33:00.880
<v Speaker 2>if they move into these areas and those home prices

0:33:00.920 --> 0:33:03.760
<v Speaker 2>go up tremendously, at some point in time they're going

0:33:03.800 --> 0:33:05.800
<v Speaker 2>to come back down. There's going to be, you know,

0:33:05.880 --> 0:33:09.840
<v Speaker 2>basically a market correction like we see in the stock

0:33:09.920 --> 0:33:13.400
<v Speaker 2>market from time to time. Sometimes the stock market just

0:33:13.440 --> 0:33:15.640
<v Speaker 2>gets hot and people just jump in there because they're

0:33:15.840 --> 0:33:18.040
<v Speaker 2>making money and they think we'll shoot. Everybody's got to

0:33:18.080 --> 0:33:20.600
<v Speaker 2>jump in here. And then those prices go up, and

0:33:20.680 --> 0:33:23.160
<v Speaker 2>at some point in time they level off. People take

0:33:23.200 --> 0:33:25.680
<v Speaker 2>some of their earnings off the table, they sell some

0:33:25.760 --> 0:33:28.239
<v Speaker 2>of the stock, which then reduces the price, and then

0:33:28.280 --> 0:33:30.680
<v Speaker 2>you see a market correction. You're seeing that in the

0:33:30.720 --> 0:33:33.640
<v Speaker 2>housing industry. So where you see the single family home

0:33:33.880 --> 0:33:36.560
<v Speaker 2>going down in value in some of these cities, it's

0:33:36.600 --> 0:33:40.720
<v Speaker 2>because of the rapid increase. And as that story pointed

0:33:40.720 --> 0:33:44.200
<v Speaker 2>out last week, the fact that these home values have

0:33:44.240 --> 0:33:47.080
<v Speaker 2>gone up about one hundred and sixty seven percent since

0:33:47.120 --> 0:33:51.280
<v Speaker 2>the I'm sorry, sixty seven percent since the last time

0:33:51.320 --> 0:33:54.200
<v Speaker 2>that home has been sold, and that if the price

0:33:54.320 --> 0:33:58.000
<v Speaker 2>reduced by five to seven percent, people are.

0:33:58.040 --> 0:34:00.800
<v Speaker 1>Still way ahead of where they were before.

0:34:00.960 --> 0:34:04.480
<v Speaker 2>So it's not time to be as they kept stressing

0:34:04.760 --> 0:34:07.200
<v Speaker 2>in that story, it's not a matter of a panic.

0:34:07.440 --> 0:34:11.040
<v Speaker 2>It's not a matter of going back to the housing

0:34:11.040 --> 0:34:13.239
<v Speaker 2>crisis like we saw back in two thousand and eight,

0:34:13.480 --> 0:34:16.600
<v Speaker 2>two thousand and nine. This is a normalization of what's

0:34:16.640 --> 0:34:19.480
<v Speaker 2>going on in the market value single family homes the

0:34:19.600 --> 0:34:23.440
<v Speaker 2>US as a measure of repeat transaction rose one point

0:34:23.440 --> 0:34:26.720
<v Speaker 2>three percent in September compared to a year earlier. According

0:34:26.719 --> 0:34:32.120
<v Speaker 2>to the data from S and P Coe Tilly Cooda

0:34:32.200 --> 0:34:38.040
<v Speaker 2>Lidy Case Shiller Index. It marked the weakest annual gain

0:34:38.239 --> 0:34:41.719
<v Speaker 2>in home prices since mid twenty twenty three, and was

0:34:41.840 --> 0:34:46.080
<v Speaker 2>down from the one point four percent annual gain recorded

0:34:46.120 --> 0:34:49.240
<v Speaker 2>in August. So they went up one point three percent

0:34:49.480 --> 0:34:54.239
<v Speaker 2>from last from the previous period, but was down one

0:34:54.680 --> 0:34:58.120
<v Speaker 2>tenth of a percent from the increase that they had expected.

0:34:58.480 --> 0:35:01.640
<v Speaker 2>That is not an in casion the roof is caving

0:35:01.719 --> 0:35:04.880
<v Speaker 2>in or the sky is falling. Among the twenty major

0:35:04.920 --> 0:35:09.400
<v Speaker 2>metro areas tracked by Case Shiller, home prices fell on

0:35:09.440 --> 0:35:14.120
<v Speaker 2>an annual basis in eleven. In eleven, all located in

0:35:14.160 --> 0:35:18.120
<v Speaker 2>the south and west. Tampa, Florida. Phoenix continued to see

0:35:18.120 --> 0:35:22.279
<v Speaker 2>the largest ever year over year declines in homes prices,

0:35:22.440 --> 0:35:27.560
<v Speaker 2>with prices falling four point one four percent. Again, you

0:35:27.640 --> 0:35:31.520
<v Speaker 2>have these areas Tampa Phoenix, where people flocked to during

0:35:31.520 --> 0:35:36.600
<v Speaker 2>the pandemic. Prices rose exponentially there, way above what the

0:35:36.600 --> 0:35:39.840
<v Speaker 2>industry average was at the time, and now there's a

0:35:39.880 --> 0:35:43.120
<v Speaker 2>certain amount of correction coming into the play, had nothing

0:35:43.160 --> 0:35:45.880
<v Speaker 2>to panic about. And of course, if you bought that

0:35:45.960 --> 0:35:48.880
<v Speaker 2>home last year and you now are finding in that

0:35:48.960 --> 0:35:52.200
<v Speaker 2>it's four percent less than what it was last year

0:35:52.320 --> 0:35:56.720
<v Speaker 2>in terms of value, again it's a matter of well,

0:35:57.000 --> 0:35:59.440
<v Speaker 2>when you bought the home, you know, you watch these

0:35:59.480 --> 0:36:01.480
<v Speaker 2>shows from time to time and you see these people

0:36:01.520 --> 0:36:06.040
<v Speaker 2>going in and you've got the asking price, and then

0:36:06.400 --> 0:36:10.560
<v Speaker 2>because there's such a demand that they actually get over

0:36:10.640 --> 0:36:14.040
<v Speaker 2>the asking price for that home. Well, if you're getting me,

0:36:14.120 --> 0:36:16.680
<v Speaker 2>and generally the home is valued when they put the

0:36:17.040 --> 0:36:19.680
<v Speaker 2>house on the market at what the comps are going

0:36:19.760 --> 0:36:22.880
<v Speaker 2>to say that that house is worth. And then because

0:36:22.960 --> 0:36:25.319
<v Speaker 2>of people being in a bidding war, they drive that

0:36:25.400 --> 0:36:27.759
<v Speaker 2>price up. And if people can afford that, you know,

0:36:27.760 --> 0:36:30.120
<v Speaker 2>if they've got the amount of down payment, because it

0:36:30.160 --> 0:36:32.920
<v Speaker 2>all is all based on you know, the banks looking

0:36:32.920 --> 0:36:35.200
<v Speaker 2>at it and appraising it for what it's worth. And

0:36:35.239 --> 0:36:38.839
<v Speaker 2>then you know, if people are bidding that up and

0:36:38.880 --> 0:36:41.600
<v Speaker 2>having to pay more for it, they're paying an inflated

0:36:41.640 --> 0:36:44.560
<v Speaker 2>amount for that item. But it's simply because of something

0:36:44.600 --> 0:36:47.400
<v Speaker 2>they want. And unless you're planning on selling that house

0:36:47.400 --> 0:36:50.520
<v Speaker 2>you bought last year, right now, you're going to be

0:36:50.560 --> 0:36:53.279
<v Speaker 2>in good shape going forward because eventually this price is

0:36:53.320 --> 0:36:56.319
<v Speaker 2>going to come back up. So this report, you know,

0:36:57.280 --> 0:37:01.279
<v Speaker 2>the way they indicated, at least as far as on

0:37:01.320 --> 0:37:03.360
<v Speaker 2>some of the websites that I was looking at, it

0:37:03.400 --> 0:37:05.960
<v Speaker 2>was almost like, oh, you know, there's a real panic

0:37:06.040 --> 0:37:10.480
<v Speaker 2>going on now again. Tampa is down four percent, Phoenix

0:37:10.560 --> 0:37:15.760
<v Speaker 2>is down two percent. But you have certain areas like Minneapolis, Cleveland, Boston,

0:37:16.160 --> 0:37:20.959
<v Speaker 2>New York, and Chicago those prices are up. So again, overall,

0:37:21.239 --> 0:37:25.000
<v Speaker 2>it seems like things are balancing out. Things are moving

0:37:25.040 --> 0:37:28.000
<v Speaker 2>along in the way that they do seasonally within these

0:37:28.040 --> 0:37:31.040
<v Speaker 2>certain areas. And because the influx in some of these

0:37:31.160 --> 0:37:35.040
<v Speaker 2>more populated areas, more popular areas I should say, during

0:37:35.040 --> 0:37:38.640
<v Speaker 2>the pandemic and because of remote work, those things are

0:37:38.719 --> 0:37:42.439
<v Speaker 2>leveling off. So again, nothing too much to panic about there.

0:37:42.960 --> 0:37:45.800
<v Speaker 2>Gas prices, oil prices, and gas prices. As I said,

0:37:46.080 --> 0:37:50.239
<v Speaker 2>going into this holiday season, current average current average of

0:37:50.480 --> 0:37:53.080
<v Speaker 2>gasoline is about three dollars and six cents a gallon.

0:37:53.160 --> 0:37:56.200
<v Speaker 2>Diesel is at three dollars and seventy nine cents a gallon.

0:37:56.440 --> 0:38:00.200
<v Speaker 2>When you look at the last year, diesel prices are

0:38:00.200 --> 0:38:03.279
<v Speaker 2>actually up about twenty five cents from this time last year,

0:38:03.640 --> 0:38:07.960
<v Speaker 2>while gasoline prices are down about a penny and a half,

0:38:08.320 --> 0:38:11.200
<v Speaker 2>so overall they're pretty much the same as they were

0:38:11.280 --> 0:38:14.640
<v Speaker 2>last year. And I keep mentioning this the fact that

0:38:14.920 --> 0:38:18.200
<v Speaker 2>when you look at the petroleum prices, what is going

0:38:18.280 --> 0:38:24.160
<v Speaker 2>into the actual refineries. At the beginnings oil prices are down.

0:38:24.560 --> 0:38:27.920
<v Speaker 2>West Texas intermediate crud is down nineteen dollars and ten

0:38:28.040 --> 0:38:30.399
<v Speaker 2>cents from the beginning of the year, a twenty five

0:38:30.440 --> 0:38:34.720
<v Speaker 2>percent decrease. Brent crude is down seventeen dollars and sixty

0:38:34.760 --> 0:38:38.600
<v Speaker 2>cents a barrel, and that's down twenty two percent since

0:38:38.640 --> 0:38:40.839
<v Speaker 2>the beginning of the year. I wish some of those

0:38:40.920 --> 0:38:45.480
<v Speaker 2>energy costs were reflected into the gasoline prices and bring

0:38:45.480 --> 0:38:49.720
<v Speaker 2>those prices down. So again, a lot of economic news

0:38:49.719 --> 0:38:53.719
<v Speaker 2>out there, but sorting through it depending upon what the

0:38:53.760 --> 0:38:55.799
<v Speaker 2>headline is saying as opposed to