WEBVTT - The Future of Bitcoin ETFs with Patrick Daugherty

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<v S1>With Bitcoin ETFs now active, you might be feeling slightly

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<v S1>sheepish to ask what exactly is a Bitcoin ETF? No

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<v S1>need for you to feel sheepish. We're going to ask

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<v S1>the question for you as we welcome Patrick Doherty to

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<v S1>the show. A teacher of digital assets at Cornell Law School, Mr.

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<v S1>Doherty has contributed several books on securities regulation and new

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<v S1>financial products. He was with the SEC during the Reagan

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<v S1>Bush years and helped craft regulations, which are used today

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<v S1>to sell tokens and compliance with US securities law. Asking

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<v S1>questions sheepishly doesn't make you a sheep, just an inquisitive person.

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<v S1>So join the herd at the Republic of Bad Cryptopia

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<v S1>as we discover everything you wanted to know about Bitcoin ETFs,

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<v S1>but we're afraid to ask on episode number 710. Of

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<v S1>the Bad Crypto Podcast 54310.

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<v UU>It's insane. Who's bad? And.

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<v S1>I am feeling she is telling me how to vote.

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<v S2>Man. Are you. Are you too scared to ask?

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<v S1>Man, I'm too afraid to question authority. Hey.

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<v S2>Very good. Well, welcome to episode number 710 of the

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<v S2>Bad Crypto Podcast. We got a good one today, folks.

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<v S2>We're talking about Bitcoin ETFs and all the things around

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<v S2>that thing that you might not know about.

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<v S1>And we're going to make it really sexy because Bitcoin

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<v S1>ETFs can be you know this whenever you talk about

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<v S1>financial instruments it can be really boring. But Patrick is

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<v S1>not boring. And we are super sexy. So all the

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<v S1>questions will be asked with more male music going in

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<v S1>the background.

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<v S2>Patrick Doherty.

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<v S1>Oh, yeah. Oh, and stay tuned on the other side

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<v S1>because all of the crypto bull dragons you guys bought them,

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<v S1>they're gone. You own them. 24 of them are now

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<v S1>in the firm hands of those who own a crypto

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<v S1>bull dragon. And we're going to announce when you're going

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<v S1>to be able to join us. Only those 24 are

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<v S1>going to be able to join us for a special

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<v S1>two hour meeting with myself. Sir. Lord Travis are going

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<v S1>to be there. So we're going to share that with

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<v S1>you on the other end of this interview that happens

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<v S1>to be coming up well right now ETFs ETFs ETFs

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<v S1>Bitcoin spot. It's all the rage right now. Of course

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<v S1>we've covered this in the form of the latest news

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<v S1>on our show. But what does it all mean. And

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<v S1>here with us today to help break it down we've

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<v S1>got an Irishman. His name is Patrick Doherty. Yes. And

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<v S1>he is. He conceived and directs the digital assets practice

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<v S1>of Foley and Lardner LLP, based in Chicago. He also

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<v S1>teaches digital assets at Cornell Law School. He's got a

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<v S1>whole litany of things that he's done, including working for

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<v S1>the SEC during the Reagan Bush years, all those years ago.

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<v S1>And he's got a lot to say about what these

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<v S1>ETFs might possibly mean for the future of crypto, Bitcoin,

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<v S1>our economy and blockchain in general. Patrick, welcome to the

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<v S1>Bad Crypto podcast.

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<v S3>Thanks for having me Joel. Yeah, Travis as.

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<v S1>Well. And other guy Travis to you guy over here.

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<v S2>This is me. Yeah, yeah.

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<v S1>Don't forget the other guy. Um, just so we have

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<v S1>a firm foundation to go on so people understand the

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<v S1>the credibility of the thoughts you're going to share, the

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<v S1>words you're going to say, and perhaps the jokes that

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<v S1>you'll make with us along the way. Uh, go ahead

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<v S1>and fill in. Put a little bit more meat on

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<v S1>the bones of your bio for me.

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<v S3>Yeah. Well, um. As you can tell if you're looking

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<v S3>at this, I've got some age. I'm well into my

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<v S3>60s now, and for 40 years I was a trad

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<v S3>fi lawyer doing IPOs, takeovers, that sort of thing. I

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<v S3>still do that work, but about seven years ago, I

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<v S3>went down the rabbit hole of crypto and have been

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<v S3>since then been advising prop traders, exchanges, token issuers, funds,

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<v S3>really everyone across the entire, uh, ecosystem. Uh, and I

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<v S3>do some. Volunteer work on the legislation that's coursing through

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<v S3>Congress right now. I teach at Cornell, as you mentioned,

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<v S3>and I live in Chicago. I also lecture at Northwestern

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<v S3>Law School in Chicago and several others when I'm not

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<v S3>at Cornell.

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<v S1>Is the law school in Evanston as well, or is, uh,

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<v S1>is it actually located?

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<v S3>No, it's it's it's it's downtown in Cedarville. Mhm. Uh,

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<v S3>and uh, uh, you know, along with the medical school,

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<v S3>it's near the hospital.

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<v S1>Got it. All right. Well, let's let's, uh, let's start

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<v S1>at a really high level and then we can drill

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<v S1>down on this, these ETFs of course. Long anticipated. Uh,

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<v S1>turns out the price of Bitcoin had the anticipation built

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<v S1>into the rumor. The news hit Bitcoin's currently down. Um, explain.

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<v S1>For those of us that think on a 12 year

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<v S1>old level what these mean.

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<v S3>Oh, well, you can think of it as, uh. Uh,

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<v S3>a pot of Bitcoin that's held, you know, by a fund,

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<v S3>by a sponsor. Uh, the fund issues shares in, in it,

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<v S3>in it, uh, and those shares trade on a stock

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<v S3>exchange in this case NYSE Arca. So you buy and

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<v S3>sell the shares which represent interests in in Bitcoin instead

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<v S3>of owning Bitcoin directly or in addition to that if

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<v S3>you so desire.

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<v S2>So we just assuming that they're holding it then. Right.

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<v S2>So we. So it seems like the regulation it seems

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<v S2>like they have to be holding it. And so as

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<v S2>the price of Bitcoin goes, the more that they hold

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<v S2>like the like for example, to me it seems like wow,

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<v S2>what if MicroStrategy did a Bitcoin ETF right. They have

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<v S2>so many bitcoin like that could be.

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<v S3>Well that's that that's that's a really good point I

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<v S3>mean these are audited. So yeah the Bitcoin's really there

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<v S3>because auditors confirm it. And you're right MicroStrategy owns an

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<v S3>awful lot of Bitcoin. It is kind of sort of

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<v S3>like an ETF. It does have other business. It doesn't

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<v S3>only hold Bitcoin. So it's not a pure play the

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<v S3>way these funds are. These funds are pure plays. If

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<v S3>you own shares of a Bitcoin ETP exchange traded product

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<v S3>you own an indirect indirect interest in bitcoin and and

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<v S3>nothing else. Mhm. Uh. So it is as if you

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<v S3>held the, uh, you held the, the cash product itself.

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<v S1>So how do, um, how are we assured via these audits?

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<v S1>We know that audits are only as reliable as the

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<v S1>people who are auditing them, that the same thing that's

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<v S1>happened with the precious metals market, uh, silver and gold

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<v S1>being traded heavily on paper and thereby manipulating the price

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<v S1>of metals to be as low as they are. How

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<v S1>do we know that same thing won't or perhaps can't

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<v S1>happen with the Bitcoin ETFs? Well.

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<v S3>Smart question because you know that's been a concern of

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<v S3>the SEC all along. Uh you know these these have

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<v S3>been proposed now for more than ten years. That's how

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<v S3>long it took to get one through the SEC. We

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<v S3>can talk about that too. But, uh, how do we

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<v S3>know it's not manipulated? We don't know for sure, but

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<v S3>there are surveillance agreements between the sponsors. Well, between the

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<v S3>listing exchange on the one hand and, uh, the CME

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<v S3>on the other, which is where the where the futures

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<v S3>contracts trade and those surveillance agreements, uh, you know, help

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<v S3>detect possible manipulation. Uh, is it perfect? No. Is it

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<v S3>pretty good? Yeah. Probably is. Um. Uh, all I won't say. Oh, commodities.

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<v S3>But many commodities are susceptible to manipulation because the cash

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<v S3>markets are very thinly regulated. Um, so it is an issue.

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<v S3>It is a concern. And but that's something that investors

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<v S3>take into account in making up their minds whether they

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<v S3>want to buy this or not. I mean, if these

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<v S3>are spelled out as risk factors in the prospectus, you know,

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<v S3>this could be this product could be manipulated or the

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<v S3>underlying the underlying market could be manipulated. And if it is,

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<v S3>you could suffer for that. So you take your chances

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<v S3>if you buy. Mm.

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<v S2>It does sound like the, the potential for, you know,

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<v S2>some corruptions seems to be because it's so weird to me, Patrick,

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<v S2>about how, you know, uh, Larry Fink of Blackrock was

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<v S2>like no big con. And then all of a sudden

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<v S2>he's like, oh my God, I'm a big believer in Bitcoin.

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<v S2>Yeah well Bitcoin like what what is going what has

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<v S2>changed his mind. It's weird to me.

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<v S3>There are a lot of new converts uh in the

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<v S3>trad fi institutions right. The big asset managers, the investment banks. Uh.

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<v S3>You know what changed their mind? I don't know, but

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<v S3>I know it's a big market. Possibly the ability to

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<v S3>sell a lot of product here has got to be

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<v S3>a motivation for some. Um. Uh, the, uh, you know,

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<v S3>the the the chairman of, uh, Morgan Stanley, I should

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<v S3>say the recently retired CEO of Morgan Stanley, still on

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<v S3>the board, um, said, uh, I think just last week

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<v S3>that he thinks that, um, you know, Bitcoin has a place,

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<v S3>albeit a very small place. Those are the words he used.

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<v S3>Very small place in the portfolio of wealthy people. Um,

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<v S3>but that is highly speculative. Um, uh, instrument and, uh,

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<v S3>needs to be understood that way. Uh, so. I'm not

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<v S3>a finance guy. I don't give financial advice, but I

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<v S3>think a lot of asset managers are saying something like 1%

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<v S3>of a portfolio might be in crypto assets and particularly Bitcoin.

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<v S3>Some say 1 to 5%. Again, that's not advice from me.

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<v S3>I'm just saying that's what they're saying on the street now. Um,

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<v S3>and then others say 0%. Vanguard apparently has decided that

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<v S3>they're not going to allow their customers to buy any

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<v S3>of these Bitcoin. Uh, exchange traded products. And so if

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<v S3>you're a Vanguard customer and you don't like it, you

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<v S3>got to open an account somewhere else.

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<v S1>I think they are too. I mean, at least I

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<v S1>noticed on X that people are very verbal. They're like, okay, fine.

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<v S1>I just tell you, yeah, that's fine. I want us

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<v S1>to be your customer.

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<v S3>You know, you don't want to sell it. I'll go

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<v S3>to fidelity or I'll go somewhere else. So, um, there

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<v S3>is an awful lot of demand for this product when

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<v S3>when grayscale proposed to list and got denied and then sued.

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<v S3>And then one. That's a great story in itself. But

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<v S3>when they did that, there were thousands of comment letters

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<v S3>to the SEC saying, please approve this. That came from

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<v S3>people who really wanted to buy the product. And the

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<v S3>SEC wasn't let them letting them buy it. Uh, because

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<v S3>the SEC is you basically was in so many words,

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<v S3>we understand this better than you. We know what's good

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<v S3>for you better than you do. And we don't think

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<v S3>this is something you should invest in. That's called merit regulation.

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<v S3>And they're not supposed to do that.

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<v S1>It's so nice that they're there to protect us. Uh,

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<v S1>you know, I mean, meanwhile, they issue a, uh, a

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<v S1>fake tweet saying that the ETFs are approved, Bitcoin goes

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<v S1>up a thousand, and then they retracted 20 minutes later

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<v S1>saying that that wasn't an official tweet. And 90 million

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<v S1>in Bitcoin were liquidated. Yeah. We're supposed to trust that

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<v S1>these people really not only are interested in protecting us,

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<v S1>but are capable.

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<v S3>Well that that that was uh, there's a federal investigation

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<v S3>into that, as you can imagine. And, um. Congressional leadership, uh,

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<v S3>sent sent letters to the FCC the same day saying,

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<v S3>what's going on here? And, oh, by the way, you demand, uh,

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<v S3>a great cybersecurity from the list of companies who whose stocks, uh, uh,

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<v S3>you oversee, whose stock trading you oversee. But you can't

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<v S3>do it yourself. So, um. It. I mean, I don't

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<v S3>know what happened there yet. I don't think any of

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<v S3>us know yet. It's under investigation. But you're right, it did, cause.

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<v S3>Damage in the market because people transacted based on bad

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<v S3>information that, it turns out, didn't really come from the SEC,

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<v S3>but it sure looked like it had.

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<v S2>Mm. So let me ask this. So how do you

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<v S2>think that these um the Bitcoin ETF. How do you

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<v S2>think that that it's going to be overall considering that

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<v S2>you know Satoshi Nakamoto. He doesn't he doesn't really want

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<v S2>more intermediary involvement from big you know big thing. So

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<v S2>it's like a I don't know it's a paradox.

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<v S3>It is. Uh, you're spot on, correct. Travis. I mean, uh.

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<v S3>It's ironic that, uh, the, uh, this product which is

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<v S3>going to lead, is leading, I believe, into deeper retail, uh,

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<v S3>investment in the asset. Is, uh, involves all these centralized institutions.

0:15:00.000 --> 0:15:03.840
<v S3>I mean, Satoshi's idea was peer to peer. You know,

0:15:03.840 --> 0:15:08.520
<v S3>it was, you know, I sell Bitcoin to you. You

0:15:08.520 --> 0:15:12.540
<v S3>sell it to Joel using our, you know, our handheld

0:15:12.540 --> 0:15:18.840
<v S3>devices and, you know, without any custodian other than ourselves

0:15:18.840 --> 0:15:27.570
<v S3>and certainly without any, uh, exchange or investment bank or

0:15:27.570 --> 0:15:32.760
<v S3>brokerage fee firm charging a commission, by the way. Uh, so, yeah,

0:15:32.760 --> 0:15:35.640
<v S3>I guess I need to own a ledger or a

0:15:35.640 --> 0:15:38.730
<v S3>trazer or something like that. And I can buy one

0:15:38.730 --> 0:15:41.880
<v S3>for 50 bucks, a hundred bucks to do it. But

0:15:41.880 --> 0:15:45.240
<v S3>I shouldn't have to pay, you know, an an AUM

0:15:45.240 --> 0:15:48.930
<v S3>fee to do that. So. So that was his idea, right.

0:15:48.930 --> 0:15:52.380
<v S3>And that but that's not where we are now. And

0:15:52.380 --> 0:15:55.800
<v S3>the reason we are now is because it's so incredibly

0:15:55.800 --> 0:16:03.030
<v S3>convenient to use a stock broker. And for the stock

0:16:03.030 --> 0:16:07.290
<v S3>broker to be, uh, a member of a stock exchange

0:16:07.290 --> 0:16:11.750
<v S3>where the shares trade. And oh, by the way, notice

0:16:11.750 --> 0:16:14.990
<v S3>this carefully. The SEC is very involved in all of that.

0:16:15.690 --> 0:16:21.600
<v S3>So part of the Satoshi's vision was decentralised, not just

0:16:21.600 --> 0:16:27.720
<v S3>away from the banking industry, but also away from the government. Mm. And,

0:16:27.720 --> 0:16:30.600
<v S3>and so some people look at this and they say,

0:16:30.600 --> 0:16:34.500
<v S3>you know, this is a Trojan horse. Uh, Chair Gensler

0:16:34.500 --> 0:16:40.020
<v S3>has brought us this slew of ETFs, and I'm not

0:16:40.020 --> 0:16:43.110
<v S3>sure he really wanted to, but the D.C. Circuit Court

0:16:43.110 --> 0:16:45.900
<v S3>of Appeals basically said you kind of sort of need

0:16:45.900 --> 0:16:46.920
<v S3>to do this.

0:16:47.040 --> 0:16:48.990
<v S2>Maybe part of the Trojan horse, though, to make it

0:16:48.990 --> 0:16:51.000
<v S2>seem like you don't really want to do this. We

0:16:51.000 --> 0:16:53.370
<v S2>don't really we don't want to do this. Right?

0:16:54.210 --> 0:16:58.890
<v S3>Right. But but notice the SEC is going to regulate

0:16:58.890 --> 0:17:03.750
<v S3>these products. That's certainly the case. So I mean he

0:17:03.750 --> 0:17:09.620
<v S3>wanted the power to regulate crypto assets. Uh, from Congress.

0:17:09.619 --> 0:17:11.870
<v S3>They never gave it to him. I mean, I think

0:17:11.869 --> 0:17:16.010
<v S3>he claims it was given to him in 1934. But,

0:17:16.250 --> 0:17:18.679
<v S3>you know, the reason Congress, uh, kind of sort of

0:17:18.680 --> 0:17:23.959
<v S3>disagrees with that. So, um, he didn't hasn't gotten it

0:17:23.960 --> 0:17:26.030
<v S3>that way. They've been fighting it out in the courts.

0:17:26.030 --> 0:17:30.290
<v S3>And then meanwhile they introduced these products. And there he is,

0:17:30.470 --> 0:17:38.960
<v S3>I should say. There they are. The agency is. Regulating? Um, probably. Well,

0:17:38.960 --> 0:17:41.060
<v S3>I don't know how big this is going to get,

0:17:41.060 --> 0:17:44.120
<v S3>but this is a big financial product that a lot

0:17:44.119 --> 0:17:48.890
<v S3>of retail and investors are coming into, and that's all

0:17:48.890 --> 0:17:52.459
<v S3>SEC regulated. And that may well be for the, you know,

0:17:52.520 --> 0:17:56.090
<v S3>the good that may be the best result I don't know.

0:17:56.150 --> 0:17:59.090
<v S2>So not necessarily regulating crypto per se. They're right. No

0:17:59.090 --> 0:18:01.550
<v S2>they're not they're not. Yes. Right. So it's like they're.

0:18:01.550 --> 0:18:02.090
<v S3>Regulating.

0:18:02.150 --> 0:18:03.530
<v S2>Some separation of state right.

0:18:03.530 --> 0:18:07.129
<v S3>That's right. They regulate the share trading and they regulate the,

0:18:07.430 --> 0:18:13.820
<v S3>the sponsors who who bring these products. Um, I mean,

0:18:13.820 --> 0:18:16.370
<v S3>the exchanges do that too, by the way. I mean,

0:18:16.369 --> 0:18:19.250
<v S3>it's not only the SEC, there's some self regulation by

0:18:19.250 --> 0:18:23.060
<v S3>the exchanges and there's self regulation by the brokerage community,

0:18:23.060 --> 0:18:25.760
<v S3>because the brokers and the investment banks who buy and

0:18:25.760 --> 0:18:28.520
<v S3>sell this, they all have supervision. They all have, uh,

0:18:28.520 --> 0:18:34.550
<v S3>regulatory responsibilities. So, uh, I'm not saying it's a bad thing,

0:18:34.550 --> 0:18:38.780
<v S3>but it is not what Satoshi had in mind. How's that?

0:18:38.869 --> 0:18:39.890
<v S1>An ultimately not.

0:18:39.890 --> 0:18:42.020
<v S3>Decentralized. It's not decentralized.

0:18:42.260 --> 0:18:46.580
<v S1>We we always encourage people to use exchanges as exchanges

0:18:46.580 --> 0:18:48.679
<v S1>and then take your take it off, put it in

0:18:48.680 --> 0:18:52.790
<v S1>a ledger or Trezor. This is like one step beyond that.

0:18:52.790 --> 0:18:56.210
<v S1>You know, on an exchange, at least you have access

0:18:56.210 --> 0:18:59.929
<v S1>to the wallet. But they're custodial here. You're not actually

0:18:59.930 --> 0:19:06.410
<v S1>owning Bitcoin. You can't send somebody bitcoin if you're the ETF.

0:19:06.590 --> 0:19:09.980
<v S3>That's exactly right. You own shares in a trust that

0:19:09.980 --> 0:19:14.960
<v S3>holds bitcoin. You do not own bitcoin directly. You have.

0:19:15.800 --> 0:19:19.340
<v S3>The economics of Bitcoin ownership for the most part. I mean,

0:19:19.340 --> 0:19:24.220
<v S3>Bitcoin doesn't, um. Bitcoin. You know there are no staking

0:19:24.220 --> 0:19:27.430
<v S3>fees for Bitcoin. It doesn't pay interest. But if there

0:19:27.430 --> 0:19:31.030
<v S3>were any distributions you would not get that. Um, but

0:19:31.030 --> 0:19:33.460
<v S3>it doesn't matter because they don't have it anyway. Uh

0:19:33.460 --> 0:19:39.460
<v S3>Bitcoin doesn't have it anyway. Um, but uh, but you're right,

0:19:39.460 --> 0:19:44.290
<v S3>you have claim against the trust. You do not own bitcoin.

0:19:44.290 --> 0:19:46.720
<v S3>And oh by the way you can do it both ways.

0:19:46.720 --> 0:19:50.950
<v S3>I mean there's there's no law that says having bought

0:19:51.760 --> 0:19:57.400
<v S3>shares in one of these ETFs you cannot buy Bitcoin

0:19:57.400 --> 0:20:01.119
<v S3>in the cash market. You certainly can. You can certainly

0:20:01.119 --> 0:20:07.270
<v S3>go to the crypto exchanges and become customers there. Yes

0:20:07.270 --> 0:20:09.850
<v S3>they're being sued. I'm not going to get into that.

0:20:10.030 --> 0:20:15.550
<v S3>But um, they're certainly still very much in business. Um,

0:20:15.550 --> 0:20:18.790
<v S3>and uh, you know, one of them is, uh, a

0:20:18.790 --> 0:20:23.200
<v S3>custodian for about, you know, 8 or 10 of these products.

0:20:23.200 --> 0:20:26.470
<v S3>So they're making money that way, too, and nothing wrong

0:20:26.470 --> 0:20:31.030
<v S3>with that. But that, that, that, um, uh, you can

0:20:31.030 --> 0:20:34.030
<v S3>own you can own Bitcoin in several different ways. This

0:20:34.030 --> 0:20:37.540
<v S3>is an additional option. And by the way, you can

0:20:37.540 --> 0:20:40.450
<v S3>also say it's not for me. I don't want it.

0:20:40.450 --> 0:20:43.899
<v S3>You know, I uh, I, you know, I, I, I,

0:20:43.900 --> 0:20:46.660
<v S3>I think like Warren Buffett I think it's worthless. It

0:20:46.660 --> 0:20:50.200
<v S3>has no value, you know, or the chairman of Chase,

0:20:50.200 --> 0:20:56.949
<v S3>Jamie Diamond, is worthless. It says no value. Um, and, um, uh,

0:20:56.950 --> 0:21:02.320
<v S3>you know, there's there's no mandatory investments in America. You know,

0:21:02.470 --> 0:21:05.500
<v S3>you it can be an all cash all day long,

0:21:05.500 --> 0:21:06.400
<v S3>if that's what you want.

0:21:06.460 --> 0:21:08.530
<v S2>So this mine, it seems to me it might make

0:21:08.530 --> 0:21:12.580
<v S2>more people aware of crypto realizing. Oh, yes, an entry

0:21:12.580 --> 0:21:16.240
<v S2>point into it. It's it's finally been validated in the

0:21:16.240 --> 0:21:19.240
<v S2>eye of the SEC. So now we're going to be

0:21:19.240 --> 0:21:20.889
<v S2>more well, I want to ask this because I was

0:21:20.890 --> 0:21:22.030
<v S2>trying to you might've heard me.

0:21:22.270 --> 0:21:25.210
<v S3>I think you're right about that, Travis. I think it will.

0:21:25.359 --> 0:21:29.560
<v S3>It's it's I don't mean to give it a bad connotation,

0:21:29.560 --> 0:21:31.600
<v S3>but it's kind of like a gateway drug. You know,

0:21:31.600 --> 0:21:34.570
<v S3>if you buy some shares of this, that may lead

0:21:34.570 --> 0:21:36.459
<v S3>to other involvement in the crypto in.

0:21:36.460 --> 0:21:38.470
<v S2>This coin right here, man, I got some. Yeah.

0:21:38.740 --> 0:21:40.090
<v S1>He's mainlining it.

0:21:40.090 --> 0:21:43.210
<v S2>Mainline. Yes I want to ask about this. So you

0:21:43.210 --> 0:21:45.040
<v S2>know I don't know if you know what the numbers are.

0:21:45.040 --> 0:21:47.320
<v S2>I was over here frantically typing to try to figure

0:21:47.320 --> 0:21:50.470
<v S2>it out. So I know that the global real estate

0:21:50.470 --> 0:21:56.290
<v S2>market is maybe somewhere 3 to $400 trillion, right? Stock markets.

0:21:56.290 --> 0:21:58.690
<v S2>The numbers that I'm finding is somewhere last year around

0:21:58.690 --> 0:22:03.250
<v S2>100 to $200 trillion. So let's just say for the

0:22:03.250 --> 0:22:07.120
<v S2>sake of it all, it's $500 trillion are in those assets.

0:22:07.119 --> 0:22:09.460
<v S2>So are they saying 1% of that, which would be

0:22:09.460 --> 0:22:13.659
<v S2>5 trillion should go into Bitcoin. And if that's the case,

0:22:13.660 --> 0:22:17.949
<v S2>then Bitcoin is is worth freaking $250,000.

0:22:18.880 --> 0:22:25.719
<v S3>There's, there's saying, uh, that 1% of your portfolio. Right.

0:22:25.720 --> 0:22:28.390
<v S2>So if everybody's got 1% of their portfolio.

0:22:28.570 --> 0:22:32.170
<v S3>Right, right, right. But but not for all retail investors,

0:22:32.170 --> 0:22:37.600
<v S3>for those for whom it's suitable. Okay. Uh, and and that's,

0:22:37.600 --> 0:22:43.900
<v S3>you know, and that's not everyone. Um, uh, it's well

0:22:43.900 --> 0:22:49.480
<v S3>beyond the accredited investor category, but, you know, it's probably

0:22:49.480 --> 0:22:55.750
<v S3>not suitable for everyone. And, uh, you know, 1 to 5%

0:22:55.960 --> 0:22:58.420
<v S3>is a is a is a rule of thumb that

0:22:58.420 --> 0:23:01.180
<v S3>you're starting to hear. I think 5% is pretty high,

0:23:01.180 --> 0:23:05.409
<v S3>but that's but that's just that's just me. Oh, unless,

0:23:05.410 --> 0:23:12.010
<v S3>by the way, you're a professional trader or you consider

0:23:12.010 --> 0:23:16.960
<v S3>yourself very sophisticated regarding crypto assets, and there are many

0:23:16.960 --> 0:23:24.280
<v S3>such people and I have, um. Yeah. So, uh, I

0:23:24.280 --> 0:23:29.229
<v S3>think for a novice 1 to 5% and probably on

0:23:29.230 --> 0:23:32.740
<v S3>the low end of that makes more sense. But but, uh,

0:23:33.609 --> 0:23:38.990
<v S3>but if you're a fan and you follow this carefully. Um,

0:23:40.130 --> 0:23:41.960
<v S3>and if you do, by the way, you're probably not

0:23:41.960 --> 0:23:45.470
<v S3>just interested in Bitcoin exchange traded funds. You're probably all

0:23:45.470 --> 0:23:50.390
<v S3>over the crypto sphere, right? Um, and those are not

0:23:50.390 --> 0:23:53.450
<v S3>exchange traded funds yet. You can't even get an Eath

0:23:53.450 --> 0:23:58.100
<v S3>ETF yet. Um, but I suspect that'll come soon.

0:23:58.310 --> 0:24:01.430
<v S1>Well, whatever we think of Gary Gensler, fortunately, there are

0:24:01.430 --> 0:24:04.820
<v S1>some voices in the SEC that are voices of reason.

0:24:04.820 --> 0:24:07.910
<v S1>One of them is a crypto mom, Hester Pierce, former

0:24:07.910 --> 0:24:13.850
<v S1>guest on this show. And she has been spot on about, uh, crypto, uh,

0:24:13.850 --> 0:24:18.350
<v S1>for the long haul here. And, uh, you've suggested, I think,

0:24:18.350 --> 0:24:21.740
<v S1>in some of the writings that she should be the, uh,

0:24:21.740 --> 0:24:26.540
<v S1>chair of the SEC, uh, in any administration, but especially

0:24:26.540 --> 0:24:27.770
<v S1>in a Republican administration.

0:24:27.800 --> 0:24:32.810
<v S3>Well, yeah, I think so. I don't think, um. You

0:24:32.810 --> 0:24:35.840
<v S3>know I'm I'm not in Washington insider but I don't

0:24:35.840 --> 0:24:38.600
<v S3>think the Biden administration is likely to pick or they

0:24:38.600 --> 0:24:42.290
<v S3>like Gary Gensler and and the direction he is going.

0:24:42.650 --> 0:24:46.190
<v S2>Well, they also like SBF and FDX donate.

0:24:47.480 --> 0:24:50.450
<v S3>I didn't say they don't make errors. Jeffrey Epstein and

0:24:50.450 --> 0:24:55.250
<v S3>I didn't say they don't make errors. Uh, yeah. You know,

0:24:55.820 --> 0:24:59.210
<v S3>I love Commissioner Peirce. I think if she didn't exist,

0:24:59.210 --> 0:25:01.879
<v S3>we'd have to invent her. I think no one in

0:25:01.880 --> 0:25:06.590
<v S3>government understands the digital assets industry better than she does.

0:25:06.590 --> 0:25:10.730
<v S3>No one cares more about the limitations on federal power

0:25:10.730 --> 0:25:14.120
<v S3>than she does. And, you know, she's been in that

0:25:14.119 --> 0:25:16.640
<v S3>job for six years. She's been right about it from

0:25:16.640 --> 0:25:20.780
<v S3>the start. You see this very clearly in her frequent

0:25:20.780 --> 0:25:26.930
<v S3>dissents from SEC attempts to expand its jurisdiction by making

0:25:26.930 --> 0:25:31.879
<v S3>unsupportable claims that are ultimately fought about in court and

0:25:31.880 --> 0:25:36.550
<v S3>rebuffed by the courts. The courts have been. Pushing back

0:25:36.550 --> 0:25:41.379
<v S3>against the SEC's claims. Um, you see it most obviously

0:25:41.380 --> 0:25:45.970
<v S3>in her dissents to the SEC's decisions to reject Bitcoin

0:25:45.970 --> 0:25:51.460
<v S3>ETF applications. Um, including one in which I was involved

0:25:51.460 --> 0:25:55.990
<v S3>as counsel to the applicant. Um, but you need to

0:25:55.990 --> 0:25:58.480
<v S3>be living under a rock not to see and hear

0:25:58.480 --> 0:26:02.350
<v S3>her presence felt across the broad expanse of the SEC's

0:26:02.350 --> 0:26:06.400
<v S3>war on crypto that Congress never declared. The SEC declared it.

0:26:07.230 --> 0:26:10.109
<v S3>And and not just on crypto. That's what this show

0:26:10.109 --> 0:26:14.550
<v S3>is about. But she, uh, you know, the SEC is

0:26:14.550 --> 0:26:19.560
<v S3>also undertaking to regulate commerce through climate change disclosure rulemaking,

0:26:20.130 --> 0:26:25.590
<v S3>which is what, uh, progressive politicians want to see. But

0:26:25.590 --> 0:26:30.180
<v S3>as far beyond the SEC statutory mandate to protect investors,

0:26:30.180 --> 0:26:35.369
<v S3>she has been critical of that initiative, too. Like I said,

0:26:35.369 --> 0:26:41.790
<v S3>she is very focused on the limitations on federal power. Uh,

0:26:41.790 --> 0:26:47.580
<v S3>that the agencies have in the law is a national treasure.

0:26:47.760 --> 0:26:51.540
<v S3>And in a in a Republican administration, she ought to

0:26:51.540 --> 0:26:54.750
<v S3>be chairman. And, uh, by the way, that's not an

0:26:54.750 --> 0:26:56.669
<v S3>endorsement of any particular candidate.

0:26:56.700 --> 0:26:58.620
<v S2>No, no, that's an endorsement that we're taking.

0:26:59.369 --> 0:27:03.090
<v S3>No, I mean, I it's an endorsement of her. Okay,

0:27:03.090 --> 0:27:12.900
<v S3>but I'm not endorsing anyone for president. Okay. Uh, and, uh, and, uh, and, uh, uh,

0:27:12.900 --> 0:27:16.830
<v S3>you know, uh, I'm not going there, but it would

0:27:16.830 --> 0:27:20.129
<v S3>be one benefit of a change of administration in a

0:27:20.130 --> 0:27:23.219
<v S3>libertarian direction. I am a libertarian. I'll say that much.

0:27:23.580 --> 0:27:28.490
<v S3>And she is too, so I, uh. Uh, you know,

0:27:28.490 --> 0:27:30.920
<v S3>can't say enough good things about her. And we would

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:35.980
<v S3>this industry would be. Hurt if she were not in

0:27:35.980 --> 0:27:39.670
<v S3>the job she's doing now. It's got to be tough

0:27:39.670 --> 0:27:43.600
<v S3>to be always in the minority on these things. Almost always,

0:27:43.600 --> 0:27:48.470
<v S3>almost always. The chairman voted with her this time. But, um.

0:27:49.460 --> 0:27:52.580
<v S3>I'm awfully glad that she is continued in that role.

0:27:53.520 --> 0:27:55.109
<v S2>I want to ask. I want to ask you something

0:27:55.109 --> 0:27:57.630
<v S2>about this, because I did some research on some stuff

0:27:57.630 --> 0:28:01.590
<v S2>earlier today, and it was talking about the tokenization of

0:28:01.590 --> 0:28:06.810
<v S2>other assets. Right. You start seeing more tokenization of assets.

0:28:06.810 --> 0:28:09.810
<v S2>And it was one of the articles that Joel deleted.

0:28:09.810 --> 0:28:11.850
<v S2>But I thought it was interesting because there's some cool

0:28:11.850 --> 0:28:14.129
<v S2>stuff that's going on with these things. And it's like

0:28:14.130 --> 0:28:18.450
<v S2>I've always thought like security traded tokens, right? Like instead

0:28:18.450 --> 0:28:20.729
<v S2>of stocks, like more of these things. Seems like they're

0:28:20.730 --> 0:28:23.400
<v S2>going to be tokenized over time. And it seems like

0:28:23.400 --> 0:28:26.010
<v S2>that this is one of those first steps. The ETF

0:28:26.010 --> 0:28:29.399
<v S2>is maybe one of the more official first steps into

0:28:29.400 --> 0:28:32.520
<v S2>moving more towards tokenization of more assets.

0:28:32.970 --> 0:28:36.060
<v S3>I think that's right. And I think that's what, uh,

0:28:36.869 --> 0:28:43.560
<v S3>institutional investors and what the investment banks think as well. Um,

0:28:43.560 --> 0:28:47.490
<v S3>they're talking about securities tokens. They're talking about, you know,

0:28:47.940 --> 0:28:54.870
<v S3>for example, uh, it's just the digitization of the financial instrument. So,

0:28:55.080 --> 0:28:58.500
<v S3>I mean, the classic example, the classic example is, is

0:28:58.500 --> 0:29:01.290
<v S3>real estate, you know, putting, you know, buying and selling

0:29:01.290 --> 0:29:05.790
<v S3>real estate in digital format, uh, or ownership interest in

0:29:05.790 --> 0:29:10.260
<v S3>real estate in digital format, much more liquid than the

0:29:10.260 --> 0:29:14.370
<v S3>classic way of doing it all on paper, um, much

0:29:14.370 --> 0:29:19.140
<v S3>more economical, much quicker to trade and settle, for example.

0:29:19.320 --> 0:29:21.540
<v S3>But you can do this with common stocks too. You

0:29:21.540 --> 0:29:24.120
<v S3>can do it with bonds. There have been tokenized bond

0:29:24.120 --> 0:29:28.380
<v S3>offerings in Europe. Um, and I expect those to come

0:29:28.380 --> 0:29:33.990
<v S3>to America soon. Uh, uh, as well. It's part of.

0:29:35.040 --> 0:29:39.660
<v S3>I mean, this is internet money, right? So part of

0:29:39.660 --> 0:29:46.410
<v S3>internet money includes tokenized stock and tokenized bonds, um, which

0:29:46.410 --> 0:29:50.100
<v S3>the SEC would regulate because those are securities. No one

0:29:50.100 --> 0:29:53.640
<v S3>doubts that stocks and bonds are securities. No one fights

0:29:53.640 --> 0:29:58.740
<v S3>over that. We fight over crypto assets because many of

0:29:58.740 --> 0:30:02.760
<v S3>them look more like commodities and securities to to us. Mhm.

0:30:02.970 --> 0:30:04.080
<v S3>But to some of us.

0:30:04.080 --> 0:30:05.460
<v S1>So how far behind.

0:30:06.180 --> 0:30:11.010
<v S2>It's actually magical internet mining.

0:30:12.330 --> 0:30:16.020
<v S1>So how far behind are we then on uh Ethereum ETFs.

0:30:16.020 --> 0:30:19.980
<v S1>Because certainly uh Ethereum is price is held perhaps on

0:30:19.980 --> 0:30:22.890
<v S1>the same rumor that it's next.

0:30:24.020 --> 0:30:28.820
<v S3>Uh, yes. There's at least one application pending that I

0:30:28.820 --> 0:30:32.780
<v S3>think comes due in May. If I'm not wrong. It's

0:30:32.780 --> 0:30:35.480
<v S3>not mine. It's not my client. I'd love to do

0:30:35.480 --> 0:30:40.280
<v S3>one of these, but I haven't started on one yet, and. And, um.

0:30:41.520 --> 0:30:45.570
<v S3>I think it's although the chair Gensler said, look, don't

0:30:45.570 --> 0:30:48.780
<v S3>think that approving the Bitcoin fund means we're going to

0:30:48.780 --> 0:30:53.190
<v S3>approve anything else. He he did say that, but I

0:30:53.190 --> 0:30:55.590
<v S3>think they're going to be driven to do it because

0:30:55.590 --> 0:31:00.120
<v S3>the same reasoning that applies to the Bitcoin fund probably

0:31:00.120 --> 0:31:03.990
<v S3>applies to to the ETH funds as well. There are

0:31:04.200 --> 0:31:09.570
<v S3>futures markets that are regulated by the CFTC and the

0:31:09.570 --> 0:31:11.520
<v S3>CME and other exchanges.

0:31:11.790 --> 0:31:16.050
<v S1>Well, it's necessarily because, you know, crypto according to Gary, uh,

0:31:16.050 --> 0:31:19.140
<v S1>you know, there's all kinds of, uh, criminal enterprises that

0:31:19.140 --> 0:31:22.800
<v S1>are funded by. Yeah. And that never happens with, with

0:31:22.800 --> 0:31:26.370
<v S1>cash or, you know, other that just that doesn't happen

0:31:26.370 --> 0:31:27.240
<v S1>at all. Yeah.

0:31:27.270 --> 0:31:33.450
<v S3>Yeah. Right. You know, I mean, I, you know, $100 bills,

0:31:33.450 --> 0:31:35.220
<v S3>you know, I don't know how many of them have

0:31:35.220 --> 0:31:37.470
<v S3>traces of cocaine, but it's a very high point.

0:31:37.470 --> 0:31:39.300
<v S2>Oh my God. I saw a statistic on that the

0:31:39.300 --> 0:31:40.410
<v S2>other day. And I was like.

0:31:40.770 --> 0:31:43.710
<v S3>And I, and I take I take that personally because

0:31:43.710 --> 0:31:50.010
<v S3>I'm a descendant of Ben Franklin, but uh, but uh, but, uh, uh, look,

0:31:50.010 --> 0:31:52.950
<v S3>I don't mean to make light of the criminal use

0:31:52.950 --> 0:31:55.740
<v S3>of crypto assets.

0:31:55.740 --> 0:31:58.230
<v S1>We'll do that for you. We'll we'll.

0:31:58.230 --> 0:32:01.830
<v S3>Hear. But but notice this. It's almost always bitcoin. No

0:32:01.830 --> 0:32:06.240
<v S3>one uses ether that way. And uh, so if you're

0:32:06.240 --> 0:32:12.480
<v S3>concerned about that and and you're right to be somewhat

0:32:12.480 --> 0:32:18.540
<v S3>concerned about it. Um it's really. Probably not a big

0:32:18.540 --> 0:32:23.100
<v S3>deal for ether. Um, and it is something that Gensler

0:32:23.100 --> 0:32:25.650
<v S3>mentioned in his separate statement. He said, you know, these

0:32:25.740 --> 0:32:28.230
<v S3>it's these are not this is not like oil. It's

0:32:28.230 --> 0:32:31.620
<v S3>not like precious metals or real uses for that. The

0:32:31.620 --> 0:32:34.650
<v S3>real use is for Bitcoin. He says, you know, our,

0:32:35.040 --> 0:32:41.460
<v S3>our criminal uses, which is an overstatement of, of the

0:32:41.460 --> 0:32:43.950
<v S3>I mean, I own Bitcoin and I'm not a criminal

0:32:44.190 --> 0:32:47.730
<v S3>so I'm just a hodler, right. So there are plenty

0:32:47.730 --> 0:32:53.800
<v S3>of hodlers out there. Uh, who don't do, uh, anything

0:32:53.800 --> 0:32:57.430
<v S3>inappropriate with their Bitcoin holdings. Holdings?

0:32:57.940 --> 0:32:59.560
<v S2>That's good. I just want to say this. So I

0:32:59.560 --> 0:33:02.080
<v S2>asked grok. Joel, I asked grok, I said, what percentage

0:33:02.080 --> 0:33:04.810
<v S2>of paper money has traces of cocaine on it, and

0:33:04.810 --> 0:33:06.910
<v S2>it says it's been found. Studies have shown that up

0:33:06.910 --> 0:33:10.660
<v S2>to 90% of banknotes in circulation in the US have

0:33:10.660 --> 0:33:14.290
<v S2>found traces of cocaine. That's a pretty high number. Imagine

0:33:14.290 --> 0:33:16.900
<v S2>all these bills passing around tiny amounts of the white stuff.

0:33:16.900 --> 0:33:19.810
<v S2>It's like a never ending party for your wallet.

0:33:21.040 --> 0:33:24.250
<v S3>Right? So I guess we're supposed to shut down all

0:33:24.250 --> 0:33:27.760
<v S3>the banks because they traffic in dollar bills, right?

0:33:27.850 --> 0:33:30.160
<v S1>You stick those in a counter, and those little traces

0:33:30.160 --> 0:33:32.800
<v S1>of powder gets all over everything, right?

0:33:32.800 --> 0:33:36.100
<v S3>I mean, again, that's making light of a serious subject.

0:33:36.100 --> 0:33:38.410
<v S3>There are things you can do with crypto assets you

0:33:38.410 --> 0:33:41.320
<v S3>cannot do with money. For example, you can send it

0:33:41.320 --> 0:33:46.120
<v S3>very far, very fast to an account that is, if

0:33:46.120 --> 0:33:54.110
<v S3>not anonymous, is at least pseudonymous. And now you can

0:33:54.110 --> 0:33:59.209
<v S3>be found, though. Um. Uh, I mean, there are several

0:33:59.210 --> 0:34:04.700
<v S3>companies that are very, very good at tracking down, uh, uh,

0:34:04.700 --> 0:34:10.100
<v S3>the proceeds of, uh, of ransomware. Uh, very, very good

0:34:10.100 --> 0:34:17.510
<v S3>at it. The government itself is quite good at it. Uh, so, uh, yeah,

0:34:17.510 --> 0:34:20.210
<v S3>the crime is committed, but you may not get away

0:34:20.210 --> 0:34:22.550
<v S3>with it. And, uh.

0:34:22.880 --> 0:34:26.180
<v S2>Around this. So you were talking about, you know, potentially

0:34:26.180 --> 0:34:29.540
<v S2>an Ethereum ETF. Does that mean that it's quite possible

0:34:29.540 --> 0:34:32.330
<v S2>down the road we could be having a Binance ETF.

0:34:32.330 --> 0:34:34.969
<v S2>There could be a Solana ETF polka dot ETF.

0:34:35.510 --> 0:34:40.460
<v S3>I absolutely like yes I think it's quite possible that

0:34:40.460 --> 0:34:44.870
<v S3>they if you take the top 20 tokens or so, uh,

0:34:44.870 --> 0:34:48.529
<v S3>and you and you omit the stablecoins because, you know,

0:34:48.530 --> 0:34:55.130
<v S3>why would you make an ETF out of that then? Um. Then, uh,

0:34:55.130 --> 0:35:00.590
<v S3>several of those could be could come. Um, the it helps.

0:35:00.590 --> 0:35:03.830
<v S3>It might even be necessary under current law, but it

0:35:03.830 --> 0:35:07.310
<v S3>would certainly help if they already traded in a regulated

0:35:07.310 --> 0:35:10.220
<v S3>futures market. And I think the only two for that

0:35:10.219 --> 0:35:14.600
<v S3>are Bitcoin and ether moment. But there are futures markets

0:35:14.600 --> 0:35:20.000
<v S3>that are, uh, you know, away from the regulated agencies,

0:35:20.570 --> 0:35:23.839
<v S3>away from the regulators as well. And there are foreign

0:35:24.200 --> 0:35:32.149
<v S3>exchanges that that count. Um, so I wouldn't say that's impossible. Uh,

0:35:32.150 --> 0:35:36.620
<v S3>there could also be, uh, a fund that holds multiple coins,

0:35:36.830 --> 0:35:42.319
<v S3>you know, some kind of diversified portfolio, if you will, of, uh,

0:35:42.320 --> 0:35:43.250
<v S3>crypto assets.

0:35:43.610 --> 0:35:44.480
<v S2>Tokens. That's. Yeah.

0:35:44.480 --> 0:35:45.620
<v S3>Travel tokens.

0:35:45.739 --> 0:35:49.069
<v S1>Why not an NFT f right?

0:35:49.280 --> 0:35:52.580
<v S3>So, uh, and I know of at least one out

0:35:52.580 --> 0:35:56.630
<v S3>there now, actually. Um, and so I don't think it

0:35:56.630 --> 0:36:01.190
<v S3>trades on a major exchange yet, but it certainly trades over-the-counter. Um,

0:36:01.190 --> 0:36:06.049
<v S3>so that could come to, um. Uh, the other thing

0:36:06.050 --> 0:36:13.009
<v S3>we'll see is just more fund development, private funds, you know, um, uh,

0:36:13.070 --> 0:36:16.100
<v S3>I think we'll see more private funds and different kinds

0:36:16.100 --> 0:36:23.450
<v S3>of private funds because of, because of this thawing, uh,

0:36:23.450 --> 0:36:27.770
<v S3>by the SEC and the fund area. And the SEC

0:36:28.310 --> 0:36:31.880
<v S3>actually doesn't regulate private funds very much. Uh, it doesn't

0:36:31.880 --> 0:36:36.110
<v S3>have the authority to very much, uh, so that you

0:36:36.110 --> 0:36:38.300
<v S3>can be more creative there. Um.

0:36:39.730 --> 0:36:42.730
<v S1>Well, I think we have a better understanding of what's

0:36:42.730 --> 0:36:46.060
<v S1>going on now, Patrick, thanks to you, I want to, uh. Uh,

0:36:46.060 --> 0:36:49.840
<v S1>as we wrap up here, ask you to prognosticate just

0:36:49.840 --> 0:36:52.660
<v S1>a little bit. I know this is not financial advice.

0:36:52.660 --> 0:36:55.660
<v S1>We have the, uh, you know, these ETFs are out there. Now,

0:36:55.660 --> 0:36:58.990
<v S1>the Bitcoin halving is upon us in April, right? Uh,

0:36:58.989 --> 0:37:00.760
<v S1>so I'm going to ask you a question. We ask

0:37:00.760 --> 0:37:03.340
<v S1>many guests and of course not holding you to it,

0:37:03.340 --> 0:37:06.970
<v S1>but what do you think are all time high? If

0:37:06.969 --> 0:37:08.980
<v S1>you are going to be a guessing man is going

0:37:08.980 --> 0:37:11.410
<v S1>to be on this, uh, bull run.

0:37:12.340 --> 0:37:13.750
<v S3>On this bull run. Yeah.

0:37:13.750 --> 0:37:18.400
<v S1>24 to 25, 2024 to 2025. What do you think?

0:37:19.510 --> 0:37:21.220
<v S3>I don't have a view on that. I will not

0:37:21.219 --> 0:37:25.239
<v S3>be surprised if it tests the all time high and.

0:37:26.410 --> 0:37:31.760
<v S3>I don't think about it much because. But I view

0:37:31.760 --> 0:37:36.020
<v S3>Bitcoin mainly as insurance rather than an investment. I view

0:37:36.020 --> 0:37:39.800
<v S3>it as if prices get very, very high in Bitcoin.

0:37:40.190 --> 0:37:45.049
<v S3>That means something terrible has happened. Probably that means that

0:37:45.080 --> 0:37:45.680
<v S3>what's very.

0:37:45.680 --> 0:37:47.509
<v S1>Very high, I mean.

0:37:47.510 --> 0:37:54.100
<v S3>Well, you know, it's. $200,000 or more. You know, $1 million,

0:37:54.370 --> 0:37:59.259
<v S3>if that. If that happens. That means we have fiscal

0:37:59.260 --> 0:38:03.580
<v S3>and monetary chaos in the United States. In my view,

0:38:03.580 --> 0:38:06.760
<v S3>that's what it means. And I don't want that to happen. Right.

0:38:07.690 --> 0:38:11.200
<v S3>Because I have a lot of dollars denominated investments.

0:38:11.200 --> 0:38:13.540
<v S2>Yeah, I was I was watching a guy. He was

0:38:13.540 --> 0:38:17.590
<v S2>talking about the the overall price of Bitcoin. He was like, dude,

0:38:17.590 --> 0:38:20.259
<v S2>you know, if you're talking about the total value of gold,

0:38:20.260 --> 0:38:23.350
<v S2>you know, it's trillions five, seven, ten. I don't know

0:38:23.350 --> 0:38:26.260
<v S2>what the number was because Bitcoin's like at the time

0:38:26.260 --> 0:38:29.770
<v S2>Bitcoin was worth half half a trillion. He was like

0:38:29.770 --> 0:38:32.230
<v S2>this could go easily to 3 to 5 trillion. I

0:38:32.230 --> 0:38:34.359
<v S2>mean if you start getting the right mechanisms in it,

0:38:34.390 --> 0:38:35.200
<v S2>that's true.

0:38:35.590 --> 0:38:38.859
<v S3>I think that's right. I think that's like around 200,000.

0:38:39.070 --> 0:38:43.660
<v S3>That's what happened with exchange traded funds generally I, I,

0:38:44.320 --> 0:38:46.810
<v S3>I was on teams that invented some of the earlier

0:38:46.810 --> 0:38:50.080
<v S3>exchange traded funds. And at the time everyone said these

0:38:50.080 --> 0:38:53.470
<v S3>are ridiculous. They're never going to get any traction against

0:38:53.469 --> 0:38:56.319
<v S3>mutual funds. Why would anyone buy an exchange rate? But

0:38:56.320 --> 0:39:00.279
<v S3>now everyone owns exchange traded funds. And that was only

0:39:00.280 --> 0:39:06.669
<v S3>1520 years ago. So yes, 3 trillion wouldn't surprise me

0:39:06.670 --> 0:39:11.080
<v S3>in the least. We were at 3 trillion, uh, before

0:39:11.080 --> 0:39:16.180
<v S3>Sam happened. Okay. Uh, we were at 3 trillion, so

0:39:16.180 --> 0:39:20.470
<v S3>that wouldn't surprise me. Um, but if it goes up

0:39:20.469 --> 0:39:26.020
<v S3>by several magnitudes, that's because of fiscal irresponsibility and because

0:39:26.020 --> 0:39:28.900
<v S3>the United States has become a banana republic. And I

0:39:28.900 --> 0:39:30.310
<v S3>don't want that to happen.

0:39:30.400 --> 0:39:34.600
<v S1>Well, we've certainly seen signs of it. Uh, yes. And

0:39:34.600 --> 0:39:37.840
<v S1>I think that's, uh, cause for concern for everybody. I

0:39:37.840 --> 0:39:39.759
<v S1>do want to ask you this. You were with the

0:39:39.760 --> 0:39:43.000
<v S1>SEC during the Reagan Bush. Did you have any interactions

0:39:43.000 --> 0:39:44.380
<v S1>with President Reagan?

0:39:46.510 --> 0:39:52.630
<v S3>One time as he was leaving office. Uh huh. Uh,

0:39:52.630 --> 0:39:57.610
<v S3>I remember it vividly. I was just in an audience,

0:39:57.760 --> 0:40:00.250
<v S3>and we waved back and forth, and I saw him,

0:40:00.250 --> 0:40:03.640
<v S3>and I was never in the white House. And, you know,

0:40:03.640 --> 0:40:08.440
<v S3>I wish I'd had that opportunity, but I viewed myself as.

0:40:09.260 --> 0:40:11.420
<v S3>You know, I was a young lawyer in an important

0:40:11.420 --> 0:40:14.930
<v S3>regulatory agency, but I worked directly for a man who

0:40:14.930 --> 0:40:18.110
<v S3>was appointed by President Reagan. But I wasn't appointed by

0:40:18.110 --> 0:40:18.740
<v S3>him myself.

0:40:19.040 --> 0:40:20.750
<v S1>One degree of separation.

0:40:20.900 --> 0:40:24.200
<v S3>One degree of several. But I had just in. Immense

0:40:24.200 --> 0:40:28.609
<v S3>respect for him, and, uh. And, uh, I miss him.

0:40:29.690 --> 0:40:32.540
<v S1>Where, uh uh, where should people stalk you? What website

0:40:32.540 --> 0:40:33.080
<v S1>or social?

0:40:33.080 --> 0:40:37.370
<v S3>Oh. Oh, well, on Twitter, uh, or X, I'm at

0:40:37.370 --> 0:40:41.720
<v S3>Doherty lawyer. That's a at d a u g h

0:40:41.719 --> 0:40:46.430
<v S3>e r t y lawyer. Uh, but I'm also on LinkedIn.

0:40:46.430 --> 0:40:49.700
<v S3>I'm the Patrick Doherty in Chicago. If you go to

0:40:49.700 --> 0:40:54.350
<v S3>Patrick Doherty in Chicago and maybe you type in Cornell,

0:40:54.350 --> 0:40:57.920
<v S3>something like that, because I teach at Cornell Law School. Uh,

0:40:58.010 --> 0:41:00.290
<v S3>I post a lot of material there, actually.

0:41:00.590 --> 0:41:03.350
<v S1>Excellent. Well, we will, uh, we'll definitely link to that.

0:41:03.380 --> 0:41:05.360
<v S1>We appreciate you coming on and sharing with us today.

0:41:05.360 --> 0:41:07.430
<v S1>It's been a very enlightening.

0:41:07.730 --> 0:41:12.710
<v S3>Thanks for having me, guys. This is an important development. And, uh, so, um,

0:41:13.219 --> 0:41:15.020
<v S3>you know, I'm happy to spend the time with you.

0:41:16.910 --> 0:41:19.040
<v S2>Thank you so much to Patrick Doherty. And you can

0:41:19.040 --> 0:41:23.060
<v S2>follow him on the Twitter x at Doherty Lawyer. Make

0:41:23.060 --> 0:41:25.879
<v S2>sure to connect with him. Really smart dude, doing some

0:41:25.880 --> 0:41:29.719
<v S2>interesting things and teaching the youngins over there at Cornell

0:41:29.719 --> 0:41:33.710
<v S2>Law School all about the digital assets. And we saw,

0:41:33.710 --> 0:41:37.010
<v S2>you know, Bitcoin and the whole crypto market has gone down.

0:41:37.010 --> 0:41:41.240
<v S2>It's like $1.6 trillion right now, up from down from

0:41:41.239 --> 0:41:44.900
<v S2>1.8 something. So, you know, it looks like that ETF

0:41:44.900 --> 0:41:49.009
<v S2>was actually something where oh sell the news. And um,

0:41:49.010 --> 0:41:52.219
<v S2>but uh that's the way it goes. The having is

0:41:52.219 --> 0:41:54.230
<v S2>coming up folks. We're going to be seeing that in

0:41:54.230 --> 0:41:57.680
<v S2>early May. So a lot of great stuff happening. And

0:41:57.680 --> 0:42:00.590
<v S2>it's just calm before the storm. Kind of seems to me.

0:42:00.620 --> 0:42:05.180
<v S1>You have to be in the know as the having approaches.

0:42:05.180 --> 0:42:08.420
<v S1>And uh, for those of you watching the video version

0:42:08.420 --> 0:42:10.790
<v S1>of the show, you'll be able to follow along with

0:42:10.790 --> 0:42:14.210
<v S1>the visuals here. The crypto bull dragons are gone here

0:42:14.210 --> 0:42:16.790
<v S1>they all are. Uh, and each one is a one

0:42:16.790 --> 0:42:19.910
<v S1>of one that has an owner. Might be bulls Aldrin.

0:42:19.910 --> 0:42:22.610
<v S1>It might be the bull market baron. It could be

0:42:22.610 --> 0:42:26.870
<v S1>opulent onyx. They are all in the diamond hands of

0:42:26.870 --> 0:42:30.169
<v S1>24 people. And, uh, each one of you is going

0:42:30.170 --> 0:42:33.650
<v S1>to receive an airdrop of this NFT.

0:42:33.830 --> 0:42:36.770
<v S4>Prospero Draconis, this is.

0:42:37.280 --> 0:42:40.100
<v S1>What is this guy? Look at him. He's just golden

0:42:40.100 --> 0:42:41.630
<v S1>bitcoins everywhere.

0:42:41.989 --> 0:42:44.930
<v S2>So the whole thought of this is, you know, let's

0:42:44.930 --> 0:42:48.410
<v S2>create some fun amulet stuff of power for this next

0:42:48.410 --> 0:42:50.570
<v S2>bull run. Right. This is the year of the Dragon.

0:42:50.570 --> 0:42:52.489
<v S2>It's the crypto bull run is up here for the

0:42:52.489 --> 0:42:56.120
<v S2>next 18 months or so in theory. And so hopefully,

0:42:56.120 --> 0:42:59.870
<v S2>if you possess this, then, uh, the the crypto gods

0:42:59.870 --> 0:43:01.520
<v S2>will shine down upon thee.

0:43:01.520 --> 0:43:04.310
<v S1>So along with this NFT that we're going to drop

0:43:04.310 --> 0:43:08.420
<v S1>to the 24 holders, uh, when you click on your NFT,

0:43:08.420 --> 0:43:12.200
<v S1>if you are a holder, you'll see a place in there, uh,

0:43:12.200 --> 0:43:14.120
<v S1>which I can't from this account because this is the

0:43:14.120 --> 0:43:16.910
<v S1>master account. If you hold it, then you will be

0:43:16.910 --> 0:43:20.300
<v S1>able to see a link that says Bonus content. And

0:43:20.300 --> 0:43:24.110
<v S1>that bonus content is only viewable through Bad Crypto Dot

0:43:24.110 --> 0:43:27.890
<v S1>uncut network. That's going to give you a link to

0:43:27.890 --> 0:43:30.410
<v S1>the zoom. When are we doing the zoom? It's going

0:43:30.410 --> 0:43:32.600
<v S1>to happen at Travis came up with this and it

0:43:32.600 --> 0:43:36.170
<v S1>makes perfect sense. Since it's 2024, it's going to happen

0:43:36.170 --> 0:43:42.859
<v S1>on two for 2024. February 4th, 2024. That is a Sunday.

0:43:42.860 --> 0:43:47.930
<v S1>What time? 2 to 4 p.m. Eastern Standard Time makes

0:43:47.930 --> 0:43:50.750
<v S1>perfect sense, except that I'm Atlantic Standard Time and it's

0:43:50.750 --> 0:43:53.239
<v S1>3 to 5 for me. Uh, and Travis.

0:43:53.270 --> 0:43:54.060
<v S2>Is it's 1 to.

0:43:54.060 --> 0:43:56.630
<v S1>3 for 1 to 3, but it makes for a

0:43:56.630 --> 0:44:00.950
<v S1>great copy. So on February 4th, two for 2024, from

0:44:00.950 --> 0:44:04.490
<v S1>2 to 4 eastern, a link to the private zoom

0:44:04.489 --> 0:44:06.140
<v S1>where you'll be able to join us. And we're going

0:44:06.140 --> 0:44:07.520
<v S1>to talk about all kinds of stuff. It's going to

0:44:07.520 --> 0:44:10.609
<v S1>be very spontaneous. We'll answer your questions, we'll drop some

0:44:10.610 --> 0:44:16.009
<v S1>knowledge and, uh, we'll maybe give some advice, not financial. Um,

0:44:16.010 --> 0:44:18.290
<v S1>it's going to be a good time. So I want

0:44:18.290 --> 0:44:19.550
<v S1>to be there. It's going to be great.

0:44:20.060 --> 0:44:23.690
<v S2>We're going to talk about Bitcoin ETFs and the implications

0:44:23.690 --> 0:44:26.360
<v S2>for decentralization. You guys.

0:44:26.480 --> 0:44:28.969
<v S1>Know. And so this should be encouragement for all of you.

0:44:28.969 --> 0:44:33.020
<v S1>All that don't yet have the bad crypto Nifty Club

0:44:33.020 --> 0:44:37.009
<v S1>NFT that gets you entry into this whole world of

0:44:37.010 --> 0:44:41.120
<v S1>free airdrops. And a bonus stuff that we're releasing. You

0:44:41.120 --> 0:44:44.810
<v S1>go to bad crypto dot uncut dot network, and the

0:44:44.810 --> 0:44:47.509
<v S1>last NFT on there is the first one we created.

0:44:47.510 --> 0:44:51.980
<v S1>It is the spinny bad Crypto Nifty Club card. Um,

0:44:51.980 --> 0:44:54.020
<v S1>you can pay for it with a credit card if

0:44:54.020 --> 0:44:57.469
<v S1>you don't want to, you know, pay Ethereum or use gas.

0:44:57.469 --> 0:45:02.270
<v S1>And right now it is $4.43. It's pegged to, I think,

0:45:02.270 --> 0:45:06.049
<v S1>0.002 ETH. And once you have this in your wallet,

0:45:06.050 --> 0:45:09.350
<v S1>it's yours. You'll start getting airdrops as we create cool

0:45:09.350 --> 0:45:14.030
<v S1>stuff and your world will open to new bad opportunities.

0:45:14.450 --> 0:45:16.580
<v S2>There you go, there you go. And we're grateful for

0:45:16.580 --> 0:45:18.680
<v S2>you guys for tuning in to the show. Uh, we're

0:45:18.680 --> 0:45:20.600
<v S2>extra grateful for the 24 that want to be a

0:45:20.600 --> 0:45:23.150
<v S2>part of the little mastermind group. All the rest of

0:45:23.150 --> 0:45:25.250
<v S2>you guys do. Not nearly as cool, but that's okay.

0:45:25.250 --> 0:45:28.279
<v S2>You can become cooler. Uh, because all you really need

0:45:28.280 --> 0:45:30.320
<v S2>to do is to. What is it? What do they

0:45:30.320 --> 0:45:31.040
<v S2>need to do.

0:45:31.130 --> 0:45:33.890
<v S1>Buy the NFT? Oh, no, not that one. That will

0:45:33.890 --> 0:45:36.230
<v S1>make them cooler, though, if they own the bad Crypto

0:45:36.530 --> 0:45:37.250
<v S1>Club NFT.

0:45:37.250 --> 0:45:39.500
<v S2>You don't have the NFT. What you can do instead

0:45:39.500 --> 0:45:40.520
<v S2>is just stay back.

0:45:41.950 --> 0:46:00.299
<v S1>Yeah. That's all you got to do. Who's bad. The

0:46:00.300 --> 0:46:03.839
<v S1>Bad Crypto Podcast is a production of Bad Crypto LLC.

0:46:03.870 --> 0:46:06.690
<v S1>The content of the show, the videos and the website

0:46:06.690 --> 0:46:10.830
<v S1>is provided for educational, informational and entertainment purposes only. It's

0:46:10.830 --> 0:46:14.730
<v S1>not intended to be and does not constitute financial investment

0:46:14.730 --> 0:46:17.790
<v S1>or trading advice of any kind. You shouldn't make any

0:46:17.790 --> 0:46:21.420
<v S1>decisions as to finances, investing, trading or anything else based

0:46:21.420 --> 0:46:25.950
<v S1>on this information without undertaking independent due diligence and consultation

0:46:25.950 --> 0:46:29.370
<v S1>with a professional financial advisor. Please understand that the trading

0:46:29.370 --> 0:46:34.439
<v S1>of bitcoins and alternative cryptocurrencies have potential risks involved. Anyone

0:46:34.440 --> 0:46:36.840
<v S1>wishing to invest in any of the currencies or tokens

0:46:36.840 --> 0:46:40.200
<v S1>mentioned on this podcast should first seek their own independent,

0:46:40.200 --> 0:46:46.460
<v S1>professional financial advisor. All you gotta do is to stay

0:46:46.460 --> 0:46:51.740
<v S1>bad and buy a NFT. You won't be sad then.

0:46:52.969 --> 0:46:53.629
<v S5>Wow.

0:46:55.620 --> 0:46:57.419
<v S1>Who did that? All I want to do is have

0:46:57.420 --> 0:46:58.560
<v S1>some fun. That. What was that.

0:46:58.560 --> 0:46:59.370
<v S6>Song? Crow?

0:46:59.370 --> 0:47:03.690
<v S1>Sheryl Crow, eat some, eat crow. Sheryl just busted you

0:47:03.690 --> 0:47:04.170
<v S1>out there.

0:47:04.290 --> 0:47:05.549
<v S2>That was by Joel.

0:47:05.550 --> 0:47:08.250
<v S1>No, that song would have been a huge hit for us.

0:47:08.250 --> 0:47:10.560
<v S1>Why are you stealing our melodies, Sheryl Crow?

0:47:12.360 --> 0:47:12.690
<v S6>That's not.

0:47:12.690 --> 0:47:13.920
<v S1>Nice. Don't do that.

0:47:14.760 --> 0:47:16.529
<v S2>For future melodies that we're going to come up with

0:47:16.530 --> 0:47:17.850
<v S2>in our heads years down the road.

0:47:18.360 --> 0:47:18.779
<v S6>That's right.

0:47:28.320 --> 0:47:33.239
<v S7>Come, lend me your ears. Girls and boys. Bout those

0:47:33.239 --> 0:47:40.259
<v S7>magic little kernels of joy. Versatile in the kitchen. Every

0:47:40.260 --> 0:47:43.440
<v S7>day I'm wishing for that plant that we love so

0:47:43.440 --> 0:47:50.890
<v S7>much more than soy. Yes, it's corn syrup or. Boil. Grinder.

0:47:50.890 --> 0:47:58.830
<v S7>Pop it. Grilled or boiled? Yes. It's. Need it today.

0:47:59.040 --> 0:48:00.899
<v S7>It'll remind you.

0:48:01.140 --> 0:48:03.570
<v UU>On down the way.