WEBVTT - The not-so-super tax change that is dividing Australia

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<v Speaker 1>The Australian Financial Review.

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<v Speaker 2>The government's super tax change has been hugely divisive. Jim

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<v Speaker 2>Chalmers insists it's prudent policy that affects only the richest Australians.

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<v Speaker 3>This is a change which is modest and it makes

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<v Speaker 3>a meaningful difference to the budget.

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<v Speaker 2>Opponents say it's confusing, unfair and will eventually capture those

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<v Speaker 2>in their early twenties just starting out in the workforce. Today,

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<v Speaker 2>after a resounding election victory, Labor together with the Greens,

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<v Speaker 2>has the numbers to get the change through Parliament and

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<v Speaker 2>those Australians with large superbalances are already preparing. But ahead

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<v Speaker 2>of the vote, critics are becoming louder, warning there may

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<v Speaker 2>be more taxes on wealth to come.

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<v Speaker 4>The reality is that we do have a problem in

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<v Speaker 4>our tax system. There is an overreliance on income taxes

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<v Speaker 4>and young people pay very great proportion of the taxes

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<v Speaker 4>and that problem is going to get more acute.

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<v Speaker 2>Welcome to the Finn. I'm Lisa Murray. Today, Wealth editor

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<v Speaker 2>jo Animes and reporter Michelle bows on how the new

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<v Speaker 2>tax will work, why it's so controversial, and what people

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<v Speaker 2>are doing to get ready for it. It's Thursday, June five,

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<v Speaker 2>Hi Joe, Hi Michelle, thanks for coming on the podcast.

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<v Speaker 1>Hi there, thanks for having us Joe.

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<v Speaker 2>This super tax change was proposed just over two years ago,

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<v Speaker 2>back in early twenty twenty three. At the time, Jim

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<v Speaker 2>Chalmers and Anthony Albanizi said it would make the superannuation

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<v Speaker 2>system more equitable, and they made a point of noting

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<v Speaker 2>that seventeen people had superbalances worth more than one hundred

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<v Speaker 2>million dollars. How did they pitch land.

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<v Speaker 4>The language was really direct and incendjury. They challenged mister

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<v Speaker 4>Dutton to take to the next election opposition to this

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<v Speaker 4>policy and sort of in which case he would be

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<v Speaker 4>standing on the side of millionaires. So in late February

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<v Speaker 4>twenty twenty three, Gin Chalmers and Anthony Albanezi called a

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<v Speaker 4>press conference. They were there to commemorate a year since

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<v Speaker 4>the devastating floods in the Northern Rivers. But then came

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<v Speaker 4>this surprise announcement.

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<v Speaker 5>The Cabinet has met this morning and had a discussion

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<v Speaker 5>about superannuation.

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<v Speaker 4>They talked about the idea that this was really necessary

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<v Speaker 4>because the government had inherited a trillion dollars worth of

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<v Speaker 4>debt and you know, they had no choice but to

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<v Speaker 4>try and find money from somewhere.

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<v Speaker 5>And today I'm announcing the earnings on superbalances above three

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<v Speaker 5>million dollars will have a concessional rate of thirty percent

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<v Speaker 5>rather than fifteen percent.

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<v Speaker 4>And straight away they made the point that it wasn't

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<v Speaker 4>going to affect many people. They stressed that point a lot.

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<v Speaker 5>This proposal does not changed the fundamentals of our superannuation system.

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<v Speaker 5>Ninety nine point five percent of people with superannuation are

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<v Speaker 5>unaffected by this reform.

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<v Speaker 4>It was only going to be zero point five percent

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<v Speaker 4>of zuper account holders, the wealthiest Austraians. And they made

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<v Speaker 4>a real point of noting how some of the big

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<v Speaker 4>account balances in the system were worth many hundreds of

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<v Speaker 4>millions of dollars and that super had kind of gone

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<v Speaker 4>beyond the remit of retirement savings for a dignified retirement

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<v Speaker 4>and all this sort of language we use.

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<v Speaker 5>And with seventeen people having over one hundred million dollars

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<v Speaker 5>in their superannuation accounts, the individual who has over four

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<v Speaker 5>hundred million dollars in heesel or her account, most Australians

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<v Speaker 5>would agree that that's not what superannuation was for.

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<v Speaker 4>Straight Away, the proposed tax change became a political issue

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<v Speaker 4>and the Coalition said the government was leaving retirees in

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<v Speaker 4>the cold.

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<v Speaker 6>I think every Australians should be unsettled by what the

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<v Speaker 6>Labor Party's doing at the moment. They went to an

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<v Speaker 6>election and the Prime Minister promised and looked the Australian

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<v Speaker 6>public in the eye and said that it wouldn't change superinuation.

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<v Speaker 4>There was a month's long battle and the government was

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<v Speaker 4>unable to get this change through the Senate. The expectation

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<v Speaker 4>now is that with Labour's thumping victory and the Greens

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<v Speaker 4>holding the balance of power in the Senate, that this

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<v Speaker 4>will go through. The start date for this is July one,

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<v Speaker 4>so there is some time to prepare for this for

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<v Speaker 4>people who are affected, but it also gives us plenty

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<v Speaker 4>of time to have a lot more debate and for

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<v Speaker 4>detractors to stir discontent.

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<v Speaker 2>So, Michelle, you've been writing a lot about this, the

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<v Speaker 2>ins and outs of the tax, how it's going to

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<v Speaker 2>affect people. Can you explain exactly how the change will

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<v Speaker 2>work and who it's going to affect.

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<v Speaker 7>Sure, Lisa, Well, it's effectively a plan to increase the

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<v Speaker 7>tax on the earnings of superbalances above three million from

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<v Speaker 7>fifteen percent to thirty percent. But for many people there's

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<v Speaker 7>an actual misconception about how that will work because it's

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<v Speaker 7>not a flat tax rate. So, for example, if your

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<v Speaker 7>balance was three point two million, the amount above three million,

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<v Speaker 7>is that two hundred thousand dollars and thirty percent of

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<v Speaker 7>that would be sixty.

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<v Speaker 1>Thousand, sixty thousand dollars.

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<v Speaker 7>Yeah, correct, But that is not the tax that that

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<v Speaker 7>person would pay. It's actually a proportional tax, and it

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<v Speaker 7>only applies to the proportion of earnings above three million dollars,

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<v Speaker 7>the proportion that that makes up of someone's total superballance. So,

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<v Speaker 7>for example, imagine someone starts the year with a three

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<v Speaker 7>million dollars superballance and ends it with our three point

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<v Speaker 7>two million in super The change is that two hundred

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<v Speaker 7>thousand dollars, But that only represents just over six percent

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<v Speaker 7>of their total superbalance of three point two million. So

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<v Speaker 7>the tax levied on the t two hundred thousand dollars

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<v Speaker 7>works out to one eight hundred and seventy five dollars.

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<v Speaker 2>So it's quite complicated, but the tax is a lot

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<v Speaker 2>less than that thirty percent figure that we think about

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<v Speaker 2>at the outset.

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<v Speaker 1>Yes, that's right.

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<v Speaker 7>And look, I think it's also worth saying here that

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<v Speaker 7>when we've spoken to many many people about this tax

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<v Speaker 7>that will be personally affected, it's not the idea of

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<v Speaker 7>paying more tax on their super that they are against

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<v Speaker 7>per se. It's the calculation of this tax, because it'll

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<v Speaker 7>be calculated at the end of each financial year based

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<v Speaker 7>on all those gains that they are considered to have made,

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<v Speaker 7>whether or not they've sold assets and realized those gains.

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<v Speaker 7>So it's effectively taxing paper profits.

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<v Speaker 1>And that's the major.

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<v Speaker 7>Complaint about this tax. And for example, there if one

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<v Speaker 7>year you make a gain, you pay the tax, but

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<v Speaker 7>then if the following year the value of your assets

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<v Speaker 7>in super drops and you make an unrealized loss, there's

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<v Speaker 7>no refund.

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<v Speaker 2>For you don't get that money back, that's right.

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<v Speaker 7>Instead, you get a credit that could potentially be used

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<v Speaker 7>against a future game. But if you've passed away in

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<v Speaker 7>that time or closed your superfund, the credit's lost. And

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<v Speaker 7>in terms of who this effects, the people that seem

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<v Speaker 7>to be most agitated about the change were farmers and

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<v Speaker 7>small business owners because they often own their property, their

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<v Speaker 7>farm or the business premises they operate out of. In

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<v Speaker 7>a self managed superfund. So if a superfund owns listed shares,

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<v Speaker 7>those are liquid assets.

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<v Speaker 1>They're easy to sell, that's right.

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<v Speaker 7>If they get that tax bill on the paper profits,

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<v Speaker 7>they can sell some shares to pay the tax. But

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<v Speaker 7>if you haven't a liquid asset, much harder to sell,

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<v Speaker 7>like a farm or a commercial premises, and the value

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<v Speaker 7>of that goes up and you need to pay.

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<v Speaker 1>Tax on it.

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<v Speaker 7>It's pretty difficult to sell a paddock of a farm

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<v Speaker 7>or a bathroom of a property to pay that. So

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<v Speaker 7>the government is expecting to generate two point three billion

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<v Speaker 7>in the first full year of collection, and of course

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<v Speaker 7>we know charmers keep saying it's only to affect eighty

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<v Speaker 7>thousand people or zero point five percent of taxpayers at first,

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<v Speaker 7>But then we get to the other major criticism of

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<v Speaker 7>this plan is that the three million dollar threshold isn't indexed,

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<v Speaker 7>and due to bracket creep, which is essentially the tax

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<v Speaker 7>thresholds not rising with inflation and wage increases, Treasury projects

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<v Speaker 7>that if that threshold doesn't change over thirty years, some

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<v Speaker 7>one point two million people, or actually ten percent of

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<v Speaker 7>taxpayers will eventually be hit, and young people particularly will

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<v Speaker 7>be in the firing line. So AMP Deputy chief economist

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<v Speaker 7>Diana Messina estimates that today's typical twenty two year old

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<v Speaker 7>worker will definitely accumulate more than three million in SUPER

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<v Speaker 7>by the time they hit sixty four. And that's only

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<v Speaker 7>if they ever earned the average wage. That's just due

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<v Speaker 7>to wage inflation and the power of compound interest in super.

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<v Speaker 2>So Joe Michelle's picked up there on the two main

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<v Speaker 2>contentious issues with this tax. One is that it's not indexed,

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<v Speaker 2>which means the threshold for the tax that three million

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<v Speaker 2>dollars doesn't rise in line with inflation, so it captures

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<v Speaker 2>more and more people every year, and as Michelle said,

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<v Speaker 2>it will eventually capture young people who've started paying souper today.

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<v Speaker 2>And the other big criticism is that it includes unrealized gains.

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<v Speaker 2>So where's most of the opposition coming from.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, so, as Michelle said, the farmers aren't happy. It's

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<v Speaker 4>estimated that about three thousand and five hundred farms we affected.

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<v Speaker 4>When the government announced this measure, it did give those

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<v Speaker 4>sort of figures about who would be affected, but it's

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<v Speaker 4>been silent since, so there's been sort of quite a

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<v Speaker 4>bit of speculation or modeling that's filled the void. So

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<v Speaker 4>there's also smsfs who are obviously vocal critics. Some of

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<v Speaker 4>them own residential property that may have appreciated significantly. They

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<v Speaker 4>might own commercial property. They might also have invested in

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<v Speaker 4>sort of private companies or startup businesses whereby the shares

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<v Speaker 4>have grown significantly over time, sort of these lumpy, unlisted assets.

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<v Speaker 4>They're the people who will be affected. Of course, the

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<v Speaker 4>newly elected Tim Wilson and funds manager Jeff Wilson, who

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<v Speaker 4>runs money on all retirees, have leapt in and started

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<v Speaker 4>a campaign to sort of get rid of this proposal,

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<v Speaker 4>as they did for the franking credits in the twenty

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<v Speaker 4>nineteen elections, So they're going to be pretty noisy going forward.

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<v Speaker 4>There's opposition from tax purists who argue that it's bad policy.

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<v Speaker 4>We don't tax unrealized gains anywhere else, why should we

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<v Speaker 4>do this here. Of course, there are others who point

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<v Speaker 4>out that the income tax scales aren't indexed either. Paul Keating,

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<v Speaker 4>the father of superannuation, is apparently a critic of the proposal.

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<v Speaker 4>Or let's just say the unrealized gains and the indexation issues.

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<v Speaker 2>And Keating is obviously a mentor to Jim Chalmers, So

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<v Speaker 2>it'll be interesting if his criticisms have any influence on

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<v Speaker 2>the treasurer.

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<v Speaker 4>Yeah, Jim Chalmers will definitely be sensitive to what Paul

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<v Speaker 4>Keating has to say.

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<v Speaker 2>Michelle, you've been talking to financial advisors and investors about

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<v Speaker 2>the change. How are people starting to prepare? Are they

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<v Speaker 2>trying to get around this change before it's even been introduced?

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<v Speaker 7>Well, as one financial adviser put it to me, he's

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<v Speaker 7>advising clients to be alert but not alarmed. So what

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<v Speaker 7>he was sort of alluding to there is they're definitely

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<v Speaker 7>modeling scenarios. They're definitely looking at their options and what

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<v Speaker 7>it might mean for their clients' tax bills. But until

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<v Speaker 7>this law actually passes, they're not taking action just yet.

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<v Speaker 7>If they do decide that they do need to take action,

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<v Speaker 7>there are several strategies that we hear that people are

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<v Speaker 7>looking at. So for some that might mean bringing forward

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<v Speaker 7>inheritances by gifting money to kids or even grandkids.

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<v Speaker 1>Which is a tax free that's right.

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<v Speaker 7>And that would help them lower their superbalances below three

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<v Speaker 7>million dollars. Or another option would be taking some money

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<v Speaker 7>out of super and putting it into other structures they

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<v Speaker 7>may have, like a family trust or an investment company. However,

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<v Speaker 7>there would be a capital gains tax payable in the

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<v Speaker 7>moving of that money, so for some people, the modeling

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<v Speaker 7>might show that they're just better off leaving it in

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<v Speaker 7>SUPER and paying the tax. Of course, another way to

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<v Speaker 7>lower the balance could be to split SUPER with a spouse,

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<v Speaker 7>if your spouse has a much lower balance than three million,

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<v Speaker 7>so there's that option. I think the ones that are

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<v Speaker 7>really stuck, though, are the people that are younger than

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<v Speaker 7>sixty who haven't reached preservation age yet and they can't

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<v Speaker 7>withdraw any money from SUPER, so they're much more limited

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<v Speaker 7>in what they can do to adjust their balance, and

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<v Speaker 7>their best option is probably to change the asset mix

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<v Speaker 7>in SUPER, looking to hold more liquid, lower growth assets

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<v Speaker 7>inside SUPER, like bonds like larger amounts of cash or

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<v Speaker 7>even dividend paying blue chip shares that don't move too

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<v Speaker 7>much in value, and owning those higher growth assets outside

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<v Speaker 7>of SUPER. So that's things like property, cryptocurrency, or any

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<v Speaker 7>speculative shares because they obviously have a bit more price volatility.

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<v Speaker 7>Of course, there are some potentially what might be considered

0:13:03.600 --> 0:13:07.240
<v Speaker 7>anyway slightly dodgy strategies that might be a focus for

0:13:07.320 --> 0:13:10.960
<v Speaker 7>the ATO, such as people moving money offshore or seeking

0:13:11.120 --> 0:13:15.280
<v Speaker 7>more conservative valuations for unlisted assets such as property, and

0:13:15.320 --> 0:13:18.600
<v Speaker 7>the ATO is putting wealthy families on notice that it

0:13:18.600 --> 0:13:21.560
<v Speaker 7>will be watching what they're doing in preparation for this

0:13:21.679 --> 0:13:30.000
<v Speaker 7>tax going forward. But ultimately, Lisa, all of those scheming

0:13:30.040 --> 0:13:32.040
<v Speaker 7>about what they're going to do in response to this

0:13:32.200 --> 0:13:35.400
<v Speaker 7>tax might actually be missing the.

0:13:35.360 --> 0:13:36.240
<v Speaker 1>Bigger picture here.

0:13:37.040 --> 0:13:41.240
<v Speaker 7>Because government debt isn't getting any smaller, there's more and

0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:45.160
<v Speaker 7>more speculation building that there will be other taxes introduced

0:13:45.200 --> 0:13:50.120
<v Speaker 7>on wealth by this government. Historically, Australia's relied largely on

0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:53.120
<v Speaker 7>income tax revenue to fund the budget, but there's a

0:13:53.120 --> 0:13:55.000
<v Speaker 7>bit of a push away from that and it looks

0:13:55.080 --> 0:14:17.280
<v Speaker 7>like the wealthy could be in the crosshairs.

0:14:19.640 --> 0:14:23.240
<v Speaker 2>We're talking about the proposed super tax change, why there's

0:14:23.240 --> 0:14:27.720
<v Speaker 2>opposition to it, and how people are preparing for it. Joe,

0:14:27.720 --> 0:14:30.680
<v Speaker 2>there's speculation that this might just be the start. It

0:14:30.760 --> 0:14:34.000
<v Speaker 2>could lead to other wealth taxes. What do you think

0:14:34.120 --> 0:14:36.360
<v Speaker 2>the government might look at, Well.

0:14:36.200 --> 0:14:39.920
<v Speaker 4>We know that Treasury's hot trot on looking at trusts,

0:14:40.280 --> 0:14:43.680
<v Speaker 4>but I think you know, the problems are obvious to everybody,

0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:47.600
<v Speaker 4>including the people who oppose this tax, who say people

0:14:47.640 --> 0:14:51.479
<v Speaker 4>with high superannuation balances need to pay more tax. Superannuation

0:14:51.600 --> 0:14:55.320
<v Speaker 4>death benefits are projected to increase from about seventeen billion

0:14:55.480 --> 0:14:58.520
<v Speaker 4>in twenty nineteen to about one hundred and thirty billion

0:14:58.560 --> 0:15:01.480
<v Speaker 4>by twenty fifty nine, so obviously a lot of super

0:15:01.640 --> 0:15:04.240
<v Speaker 4>is being passed to the next generation rather than being

0:15:04.320 --> 0:15:10.360
<v Speaker 4>spent for a retirement income. The tax system undoubtedly favors wealthier,

0:15:10.400 --> 0:15:14.840
<v Speaker 4>older Australians. The system is increasingly generous to people aged

0:15:14.840 --> 0:15:17.560
<v Speaker 4>over sixty five, who have an average tax rate of

0:15:17.560 --> 0:15:20.800
<v Speaker 4>about seven point five percent, which is much lower than

0:15:21.080 --> 0:15:23.840
<v Speaker 4>the people who are building families, trying to buy homes,

0:15:23.880 --> 0:15:27.480
<v Speaker 4>building careers. So there's always speculation. You know, would the

0:15:27.520 --> 0:15:31.720
<v Speaker 4>government reintroduce an inheritance tax? Australia abolish those taxes in

0:15:31.720 --> 0:15:35.280
<v Speaker 4>the nineteen seventies, but we're an outlier, listen. I have

0:15:35.400 --> 0:15:38.480
<v Speaker 4>no idea, but it would be a pretty brave government

0:15:38.760 --> 0:15:42.360
<v Speaker 4>who introduced inheritance taxes. The thing about all this is,

0:15:42.360 --> 0:15:46.760
<v Speaker 4>of course, this measure, when taken alone, is easy to pose.

0:15:47.520 --> 0:15:49.360
<v Speaker 4>What a lot of the experts say is that a

0:15:49.400 --> 0:15:51.560
<v Speaker 4>government needs to come to the people with a tax

0:15:51.600 --> 0:15:54.840
<v Speaker 4>package that has trade offs it has winners, it has looters,

0:15:55.120 --> 0:15:57.640
<v Speaker 4>but it sort of rewrites the tax system in a

0:15:57.680 --> 0:16:00.440
<v Speaker 4>way that can be sold to the public other than

0:16:00.480 --> 0:16:03.680
<v Speaker 4>just doing one small tax change. At the time, of course,

0:16:03.920 --> 0:16:06.400
<v Speaker 4>Labor is a bit gun shy. It went to the

0:16:06.400 --> 0:16:10.440
<v Speaker 4>twenty nineteen election, the unlosable election, with some pretty bold

0:16:10.480 --> 0:16:14.560
<v Speaker 4>tax reform related to capital gains tax, negative gearing and

0:16:14.840 --> 0:16:17.840
<v Speaker 4>franking credits. They were met with a scare campaign from

0:16:17.840 --> 0:16:19.080
<v Speaker 4>the Liberals.

0:16:19.600 --> 0:16:23.240
<v Speaker 8>Vote Labor and a retiree taxes on the horizon Bill.

0:16:23.280 --> 0:16:26.200
<v Speaker 8>Shorten's new housing tax would take a wrecking ball to

0:16:26.240 --> 0:16:30.160
<v Speaker 8>the economy. Labor's billions of dollars in higher taxes will

0:16:30.160 --> 0:16:32.560
<v Speaker 8>put the squeeze on all Australians India.

0:16:33.280 --> 0:16:36.440
<v Speaker 4>And as we all know, that election defeat was very bruising.

0:16:36.760 --> 0:16:38.200
<v Speaker 1>They are inventing attacks.

0:16:38.680 --> 0:16:41.800
<v Speaker 5>They're inventing just completely fabricating attacks.

0:16:42.080 --> 0:16:44.560
<v Speaker 1>This does not exist and will not exist.

0:16:44.960 --> 0:16:47.920
<v Speaker 4>So within the party they're very keen not to repeat that.

0:16:48.760 --> 0:16:54.000
<v Speaker 2>And as you say, the tax treatment of superannuation is

0:16:54.160 --> 0:16:58.320
<v Speaker 2>very generous, isn't fair to say it's becoming a real problem.

0:16:58.440 --> 0:17:02.040
<v Speaker 2>Last week the Financial Review Rewindow column broke the news

0:17:02.120 --> 0:17:05.920
<v Speaker 2>that two Wise Tech directors have more than two billion

0:17:05.960 --> 0:17:10.960
<v Speaker 2>dollars combined sitting in their self managed super funds. That's

0:17:11.000 --> 0:17:13.800
<v Speaker 2>a bit more than you need for a dignified retirement.

0:17:14.640 --> 0:17:17.240
<v Speaker 4>Yeah, and the AFI has been putting in freedom of

0:17:17.320 --> 0:17:19.800
<v Speaker 4>information request to the tax Office for a number of

0:17:19.880 --> 0:17:23.679
<v Speaker 4>years now to find out what the biggest funds are worth.

0:17:24.400 --> 0:17:27.000
<v Speaker 4>We know that forty two smsfs have more than one

0:17:27.080 --> 0:17:29.680
<v Speaker 4>hundred million dollars in assets. And obviously this is actually

0:17:29.720 --> 0:17:31.640
<v Speaker 4>one of the first times that we've actually known who

0:17:31.720 --> 0:17:35.440
<v Speaker 4>these people are. These are the egregious examples that sort

0:17:35.440 --> 0:17:38.600
<v Speaker 4>of get people fired up. So the rear window column

0:17:38.600 --> 0:17:41.920
<v Speaker 4>revealed that Wise Tech director Charles Gibbon sold shares worth

0:17:41.920 --> 0:17:44.679
<v Speaker 4>two hundred million in December last year, saying at the

0:17:44.680 --> 0:17:48.320
<v Speaker 4>time that it was for personal estate planning purposes. They

0:17:48.359 --> 0:17:51.359
<v Speaker 4>were sold by the trustee for the Gibbons Ubranuation Fund,

0:17:51.720 --> 0:17:54.920
<v Speaker 4>trustees of which are mister Gibbon and his wife, which

0:17:54.960 --> 0:17:57.359
<v Speaker 4>meant they paid something like ten percent of in capital

0:17:57.400 --> 0:17:59.960
<v Speaker 4>gains tax, which is far lower than you would pay

0:18:00.080 --> 0:18:02.919
<v Speaker 4>outside of super in your own name, which in their

0:18:02.960 --> 0:18:05.520
<v Speaker 4>case would likely be forty five percent top marginal rate

0:18:05.560 --> 0:18:08.639
<v Speaker 4>plus the MIDI care levy. Even after the sale of

0:18:08.680 --> 0:18:10.800
<v Speaker 4>those shares. He still has wise Tech stock in his

0:18:11.080 --> 0:18:13.520
<v Speaker 4>SMSF and it would probably be worth we think about

0:18:13.560 --> 0:18:16.480
<v Speaker 4>one point seven billion dollars, and then another and then

0:18:16.640 --> 0:18:19.359
<v Speaker 4>to compound sort of the situation. Another Wise Tech director,

0:18:19.400 --> 0:18:22.440
<v Speaker 4>Michael greg we found had shares worth five hundred and

0:18:22.480 --> 0:18:25.840
<v Speaker 4>sixty eight million. So these were the kinds of examples

0:18:25.840 --> 0:18:27.879
<v Speaker 4>that really people get fired up about.

0:18:28.320 --> 0:18:32.639
<v Speaker 2>I guess both directors have been with wise Tech and

0:18:32.720 --> 0:18:36.120
<v Speaker 2>invested in wise Tech from early on, and that's.

0:18:35.960 --> 0:18:36.720
<v Speaker 1>What people do.

0:18:36.840 --> 0:18:40.520
<v Speaker 2>They have the shares in their fund before at IPOs

0:18:40.600 --> 0:18:43.160
<v Speaker 2>and then you get that huge escalation. But it still

0:18:43.200 --> 0:18:47.359
<v Speaker 2>is a pretty strong example of superfunds that have built

0:18:47.480 --> 0:18:49.000
<v Speaker 2>up too much in assets.

0:18:49.560 --> 0:18:51.760
<v Speaker 4>It is and opponents would say, well, this is a

0:18:51.760 --> 0:18:56.280
<v Speaker 4>tax on aspiration people who have ostensibly worked hard and

0:18:56.520 --> 0:18:58.440
<v Speaker 4>benefited from their ideas.

0:19:00.240 --> 0:19:04.280
<v Speaker 2>Michelle. Parliament sits again next month. The government, together with

0:19:04.359 --> 0:19:07.600
<v Speaker 2>the Greens, has the numbers to get this legislation through.

0:19:08.440 --> 0:19:11.159
<v Speaker 2>Do you think it'll be passed in its current form

0:19:11.359 --> 0:19:13.679
<v Speaker 2>or do you think the government might be forced to

0:19:13.720 --> 0:19:18.200
<v Speaker 2>make changes, either in response to the criticism or any

0:19:18.240 --> 0:19:19.760
<v Speaker 2>demands from the Greens.

0:19:20.280 --> 0:19:22.520
<v Speaker 7>Well, as you say, Lee, so the Greens do hold

0:19:22.560 --> 0:19:25.200
<v Speaker 7>the balance of power in the Senate, and they've argued

0:19:25.400 --> 0:19:28.000
<v Speaker 7>that they'd like the threshold lowered to two million dollars,

0:19:28.080 --> 0:19:30.480
<v Speaker 7>which would meet an extra sixteen thousand people would be

0:19:30.480 --> 0:19:33.399
<v Speaker 7>captured in the first year of this tax. But unlike labor,

0:19:33.440 --> 0:19:36.480
<v Speaker 7>the Greens are actually pushing for the threshold to be indexed,

0:19:36.600 --> 0:19:39.360
<v Speaker 7>meaning it would increase each year in line with inflation.

0:19:40.119 --> 0:19:42.680
<v Speaker 7>So if you were to assume an average inflation rate

0:19:42.720 --> 0:19:45.840
<v Speaker 7>of say two point five percent, the Greens proposed two

0:19:45.920 --> 0:19:49.679
<v Speaker 7>million dollar threshold would actually end up being less punitive

0:19:49.840 --> 0:19:52.720
<v Speaker 7>than the labor on in next three million dollar threshold

0:19:52.760 --> 0:19:55.880
<v Speaker 7>after around sixteen years. That means it would capture less

0:19:55.960 --> 0:19:59.920
<v Speaker 7>people than what the government is currently proposing now. Jim

0:20:00.119 --> 0:20:02.840
<v Speaker 7>Charmers has said recently in several interviews, there is no

0:20:02.920 --> 0:20:04.960
<v Speaker 7>other way to do this tax change.

0:20:05.119 --> 0:20:08.760
<v Speaker 3>These changes were announced almost two and a half years ago. Now,

0:20:09.160 --> 0:20:13.040
<v Speaker 3>we did multiple rounds of consultation and we said to people,

0:20:13.200 --> 0:20:16.480
<v Speaker 3>if there is a better fair way of making this calculation,

0:20:16.600 --> 0:20:17.360
<v Speaker 3>tell us about it.

0:20:17.600 --> 0:20:20.080
<v Speaker 7>He has noted that the government did do three rounds

0:20:20.080 --> 0:20:23.000
<v Speaker 7>of consultation, although if you speak to those in the industry,

0:20:23.040 --> 0:20:25.600
<v Speaker 7>they say that they were pretty short rounds of consultation.

0:20:25.960 --> 0:20:27.520
<v Speaker 1>And his mind was already made up.

0:20:27.840 --> 0:20:30.679
<v Speaker 7>Chalmers has said that taxing unrealized gains is just the

0:20:30.720 --> 0:20:32.920
<v Speaker 7>simplest and best way to go about this.

0:20:33.560 --> 0:20:37.560
<v Speaker 3>The unrealized gains calculation was recommended to us by Treasury.

0:20:38.040 --> 0:20:43.720
<v Speaker 3>We provided years of opportunities for people to suggest different

0:20:43.760 --> 0:20:48.320
<v Speaker 3>ways to calculate that liability, and nobody has been able

0:20:48.320 --> 0:20:49.399
<v Speaker 3>to come up with one.

0:20:49.520 --> 0:20:52.520
<v Speaker 7>He's also defended his decision not to index that three

0:20:52.560 --> 0:20:56.159
<v Speaker 7>million dollar threshold. He says there's many instances in the

0:20:56.200 --> 0:20:59.600
<v Speaker 7>tax system, and one is income tax rates where thresholders

0:20:59.640 --> 0:21:02.879
<v Speaker 7>are not and from time to time the government can

0:21:02.920 --> 0:21:06.199
<v Speaker 7>then take a decision to raise those thresholds. There are

0:21:06.240 --> 0:21:09.040
<v Speaker 7>still a few weeks until Parliament comes back after the

0:21:09.080 --> 0:21:13.080
<v Speaker 7>election and the new parliament begins, So whether Amas holds

0:21:13.119 --> 0:21:15.199
<v Speaker 7>firm is probably going to depend to some extent on

0:21:15.240 --> 0:21:18.199
<v Speaker 7>how much pressure he comes under and whether the Greens

0:21:18.240 --> 0:21:20.720
<v Speaker 7>are willing to trade away any demands on this tax

0:21:20.720 --> 0:21:23.200
<v Speaker 7>concession that they might have for sweetness when it comes

0:21:23.240 --> 0:21:24.119
<v Speaker 7>to other policies.

0:21:25.240 --> 0:21:29.119
<v Speaker 2>Finally, a question for both of you, tax concessions on

0:21:29.280 --> 0:21:33.040
<v Speaker 2>super are generous, are they too generous? And what's the

0:21:33.080 --> 0:21:35.760
<v Speaker 2>best way to improve the system.

0:21:36.320 --> 0:21:39.320
<v Speaker 7>So, for my part Lisa, Yeah, I think the tax

0:21:39.359 --> 0:21:43.000
<v Speaker 7>concessions on super are probably too generous, and some thirty

0:21:43.080 --> 0:21:48.440
<v Speaker 7>years after compulsory super began, tax reform probably is necessary because,

0:21:48.560 --> 0:21:51.720
<v Speaker 7>as we've said several times here, people hoarding hundreds of

0:21:51.720 --> 0:21:54.080
<v Speaker 7>millions of dollars in their super is not what the

0:21:54.119 --> 0:21:58.920
<v Speaker 7>system was intended for. But that taxing of unrealized gains

0:21:58.960 --> 0:22:04.160
<v Speaker 7>really does still stick with me as somehow inherently unfair.

0:22:04.320 --> 0:22:06.920
<v Speaker 7>And the bigger concern is will it set a precedent

0:22:06.960 --> 0:22:09.320
<v Speaker 7>that will leak into other parts of the tax system.

0:22:09.600 --> 0:22:12.560
<v Speaker 7>But for me, any starting point on the bigger debate

0:22:12.600 --> 0:22:15.600
<v Speaker 7>about tax changes, we really need to think about the

0:22:15.640 --> 0:22:18.320
<v Speaker 7>sort of society we want to live in, because there's

0:22:18.320 --> 0:22:22.119
<v Speaker 7>no doubt that inequality, both between the generations and even

0:22:22.160 --> 0:22:25.760
<v Speaker 7>within the haves and have nots in each generation has

0:22:25.840 --> 0:22:30.280
<v Speaker 7>grown considerably in recent years, and unless that's addressed somehow,

0:22:30.920 --> 0:22:33.680
<v Speaker 7>it does threaten to tear apart the very nature of

0:22:33.720 --> 0:22:38.000
<v Speaker 7>what we consider Australian values. I think in our Australian society.

0:22:37.720 --> 0:22:40.399
<v Speaker 4>We've talked about the generosity of our retirement system for

0:22:40.359 --> 0:22:43.720
<v Speaker 4>a long time, and back in the tax white paper

0:22:43.760 --> 0:22:46.120
<v Speaker 4>process there are a lot of submissions from a lot

0:22:46.119 --> 0:22:48.800
<v Speaker 4>of people, very smart people talking about how to make

0:22:48.840 --> 0:22:52.520
<v Speaker 4>things more equitable. One of them was around making our

0:22:52.680 --> 0:22:57.119
<v Speaker 4>subranuation tax concessions progressive, just like the income tax scale.

0:22:57.200 --> 0:23:00.800
<v Speaker 4>Back then, Chris Richardson was with economics and he talked

0:23:00.840 --> 0:23:03.960
<v Speaker 4>about sort of making the scales more progressive, or making

0:23:03.960 --> 0:23:07.880
<v Speaker 4>superannuation taxes more progressive by taking one's marginal rate and

0:23:07.960 --> 0:23:11.080
<v Speaker 4>taking fifteen percent off that. So there were all these

0:23:11.160 --> 0:23:13.600
<v Speaker 4>kind of options that were put forward that are probably

0:23:13.600 --> 0:23:20.840
<v Speaker 4>worth recanvassing. The reality is that we do have a

0:23:20.880 --> 0:23:23.480
<v Speaker 4>problem in our tax system. There is an over reliance

0:23:23.560 --> 0:23:27.920
<v Speaker 4>on income taxes, and young people pay a very great

0:23:27.960 --> 0:23:32.560
<v Speaker 4>proportion of those of the taxes, while retirees can live ten, twenty,

0:23:32.640 --> 0:23:36.439
<v Speaker 4>maybe thirty years in retirement virtually tax free. And that

0:23:36.520 --> 0:23:39.840
<v Speaker 4>problem is going to get more acute now. Twenty nineteen

0:23:40.160 --> 0:23:44.640
<v Speaker 4>was a very nasty experience for labor and I am

0:23:44.760 --> 0:23:48.440
<v Speaker 4>hopeful that they will or somebody will bring another package

0:23:48.480 --> 0:23:52.400
<v Speaker 4>to the Australian people, one that will make our tax

0:23:52.440 --> 0:23:55.879
<v Speaker 4>base more sustainable, it will make things fairer, but that

0:23:56.040 --> 0:23:58.560
<v Speaker 4>it will be a very very brave party that does that.

0:24:01.160 --> 0:24:16.600
<v Speaker 2>Thanks Joe, Thanks Michelle, thank you, Thanks Lisa, thank you

0:24:16.640 --> 0:24:19.560
<v Speaker 2>for listening to The Finn. I'm Lisa Murray, with Joanna

0:24:19.640 --> 0:24:23.600
<v Speaker 2>Maser and Michelle Bows reporting today. The Finn is produced

0:24:23.640 --> 0:24:28.040
<v Speaker 2>by Alex Gau with assistance from Mandy Coolan. Fiona Buffini

0:24:28.160 --> 0:24:32.200
<v Speaker 2>is head of Premium Content. Alex Gau composed the theme.

0:24:32.920 --> 0:24:34.920
<v Speaker 2>If you like the show and want to hear more,

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0:24:46.320 --> 0:24:52.239
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<v Speaker 2>next week.

0:25:02.800 --> 0:25:04.520
<v Speaker 1>The Australian Financial Review