Speaker 1: At the start of every new season. We'd love to
Speaker 1: have a chat to the long range weather forecast Hayden Walker.
Speaker 1: Plenty of you enjoy what we have to what we
Speaker 1: hear from Hayden, and encourage us to keep talking. Well,
Speaker 1: you don't have to encourage us. We'll continue to talk to.
Speaker 1: Hayden is a very good man and we like what
Speaker 1: he does with weather. He doesn't mince about He says
Speaker 1: it like it is, and his methods are predicting are
Speaker 1: very much different to what we're normally served up with,
Speaker 1: often wrong, not his what we're served up with. He
Speaker 1: monitors the sun solar flares. Historical data goes back well
Speaker 1: over one hundred years, and for the most part we've
Speaker 1: found his predictions to be more reliable as to many
Speaker 1: of his clients. Now, the bomb that's the Bureau as
Speaker 1: saying day and night temperatures will be warmer than average
Speaker 1: across Australia this winter and rain four will be within
Speaker 1: the typical winter range. Let's see what Hayden has to
Speaker 1: say about that. Hayden Walker of Hayden Walker's weather is
Speaker 1: on the line. Are you will yes?
Speaker 2: Lergan yourself very.
Speaker 1: Very mate, love you to talk to you again and
Speaker 1: thank you once again for your time. So I was
Speaker 1: looking at the bureaus seasonal forecast, and again, you know,
Speaker 1: they say things will be slightly warmer, and there might
Speaker 1: be a little bit more rain here, but generally within
Speaker 1: the typical winter range. Does that match with what you're thinking?
Speaker 2: Not completely. No, the temperatures will be around the average,
Speaker 2: with a sort of a plus or minus or one
Speaker 2: or two degrees, but certainly sidding. You'll get down to
Speaker 2: the low digits, and when you go out further west,
Speaker 2: it'll be getting into the negative down to negative three,
Speaker 2: and down on the southern tableland and so forth, down
Speaker 2: to negative six and lower. But the fact of the
Speaker 2: matter is that we want to be cautious about the
Speaker 2: chill factor from the wind. The temperatures might be reasonable,
Speaker 2: so to speak, but the chill factor from the wind,
Speaker 2: that's the one that makes it very cold, and that's
Speaker 2: with these frontal systems coming through New South Wales, so
Speaker 2: that will be the chilling effect. So the temperatures I believe, well,
Speaker 2: you know, we can probably handle those, and that respect,
Speaker 2: we'll get down to the lower digits for the coast.
Speaker 2: But at the same time, as you go to the
Speaker 2: west in the Camra and the southern table ends and
Speaker 2: so forth, you'll start getting down to the minuses. But
Speaker 2: the crux of the matter will be that chill factor
Speaker 2: from the southwest at least, coming probably from the snow
Speaker 2: and so forth, and that will have an effect on
Speaker 2: the coolness and the coldness right temperatures.
Speaker 1: A lot of us still, mate, and you know this,
Speaker 1: we've got the words of Tim Flannery rattling around our heads.
Speaker 1: It will never rain enough to fill a dam. And
Speaker 1: of course it's some time on, but we see the
Speaker 1: dams up around ninety percent, no doubt there'll be a
Speaker 1: point where they're a lot lower than that. But the
Speaker 1: idea that was never going to rain again, to that
Speaker 1: extent is purely fiction. There's no other word fraud. It's
Speaker 1: just fictional. Yet this man continues to be louded in
Speaker 1: the right circles. I'm sure he's done some very good work,
Speaker 1: but just on that prediction, he's failed live, I would
Speaker 1: say my listeners would agree. I'm sure miserably. What do
Speaker 1: you say about rain over winter?
Speaker 2: Well, the rainfall over winter, well, there's certainly more for winter.
Speaker 2: There's certainly more for winter, and especially to the eastern
Speaker 2: half of the state. There's some reasonably good to good falls,
Speaker 2: especially to the coast during June, and then when we
Speaker 2: get into July there will be further rain and go
Speaker 2: further further out west. And then also in August, we
Speaker 2: need to be careful. Probably on the cusp of end
Speaker 2: of July beginning of August, there's rainfall into the central
Speaker 2: southern interior and that'll extend onto the coast and there
Speaker 2: may be some further flooding. I know that word flooding.
Speaker 2: We've had enough of it, but at the same time,
Speaker 2: it looks like it's moving to the south, and I'd
Speaker 2: say it along that south coast may be a problem
Speaker 2: in relation to some good to heavy fall. So yeah,
Speaker 2: look winter rain, there is winter rainfall there. There's some good,
Speaker 2: some good falls in parts, especially to the eastern half,
Speaker 2: ranging from you know, a couple of inches through into
Speaker 2: the heavier falls that I've disgusted with that August period.
Speaker 2: So look, there is rainfall ahead and there will be
Speaker 2: above average for some areas.
Speaker 1: What about those crowd effected areas, Mike, do you see
Speaker 1: them getting some relief.
Speaker 2: On the outskirts. Yes, there is some relief, but way
Speaker 2: further out west there may may be difficult still, but
Speaker 2: you know in July probably the month that it would
Speaker 2: be a better month in relation to rainfall for the
Speaker 2: outer areas and also part and also in August. But yes,
Speaker 2: so there's some some areas there right on the way
Speaker 2: out it's going to be difficult for them.
Speaker 1: We've seen some pretty heavy rain as you well know
Speaker 1: parts of New South Wales along the coast, and we
Speaker 1: shouldn't forget in parts of Queensland as well. Did you
Speaker 1: did you foresee that when you were looking at the
Speaker 1: previous season.
Speaker 2: Yes, I did, Yes, Yes, I said there'd be heavy
Speaker 2: falls along the coastline in New South Wales from the
Speaker 2: beginning of the year right through. There'll be situations where
Speaker 2: there be heavy rain on the coast.
Speaker 1: So yes, is that Nina, Nina, because I've acad that
Speaker 1: before and you have a firm view here, please share it.
Speaker 2: Yes, it's based on sunspot activity in the solar flare.
Speaker 2: So I'll live off the Sun, so that if there's
Speaker 2: a change in the extreme conditions from the Sun, it'll
Speaker 2: change our weather conditions. So the Sun's going through our
Speaker 2: solar maximum, which means the sun becomes alive and therefore
Speaker 2: it has a bearing on our weather and therefore we
Speaker 2: get extreme weather conditions in relation to floods and extreme
Speaker 2: temperatures and so forth heavy rain. So when the sun
Speaker 2: goes back into a dormant stage, it quietens down, we
Speaker 2: get the drought conditions. So the sun currently is at
Speaker 2: a peak condition at our solar maximum, and this is
Speaker 2: why we're receiving so much raining for them, so much extremes.
Speaker 1: When does there what period of time is it a
Speaker 1: pattern where it becomes dormant. How long a way is that?
Speaker 2: Well, it runs an eleven year cycle, and therefore we're
Speaker 2: right at the peak now. So over the next two
Speaker 2: the two years, three years will start to slow down,
Speaker 2: but certainly we have further rainfall, you know, at the
Speaker 2: end of the year, and then next year there's further rainfall,
Speaker 2: but not every month, it'll be particular months. So it'll
Speaker 2: start to wane, it'll start to head down into its
Speaker 2: solar minimum, and then we'll get those drought conditions. So
Speaker 2: at the moment we're at the peak and there's further
Speaker 2: there's some further heavy rains next year, so at the beginning,
Speaker 2: so it'll still linger, but it'll start to wane in
Speaker 2: the next say, three or four years. But at that
Speaker 2: stage there are circumstances where it can sort of live,
Speaker 2: not for a short period, and then as it goes
Speaker 2: down goes down, there's a couple of glimpses where it'll
Speaker 2: it'll live. But at the moment, last year and this
Speaker 2: year is the peak. I know.
Speaker 1: It's some questions I ask you each time we chat,
Speaker 1: but I'm conscious that we have new listeners hearing perhaps
Speaker 1: you for the first or only the second time. Now.
Speaker 1: The bureau, I think their records go back to the
Speaker 1: nineteen twenties. Yours go back a lot longer than that.
Speaker 1: Your records are your records, and the bureaus are some
Speaker 1: would say homogenized. Just talk to me about the records
Speaker 1: you rely on.
Speaker 2: Well, the records I have right back to when Captain
Speaker 2: Cook first arrive and therefore the late seventeen hundreds, and
Speaker 2: it also extends into the eighteen hundred, So I have
Speaker 2: records that go right back to that situation whereby you know,
Speaker 2: we had certain flights, the Hawksbury rows thirty five fifty feet,
Speaker 2: et cetera, et cetera. So we have all those records
Speaker 2: all throughout Australia, and I'm able to go back onto
Speaker 2: those records and look at those records and forecast the
Speaker 2: future based on records based on the past, and I
Speaker 2: tie that in with what's happening on the sun surface. So,
Speaker 2: say twelve months ago, if someone phoned me and said, God,
Speaker 2: I need a forecast for what's happening in twenty twenty five,
Speaker 2: I'd go back to certain records, certain cycles, and I'll
Speaker 2: have a look and I project it forward to twenty
Speaker 2: twenty five. And that's how I come up with my
Speaker 2: forecast in that respect. So that's why I've been able
Speaker 2: to predict a heavy rain and so forth. I'm Monarch
Speaker 2: in the sun every day.
Speaker 1: Yeah, gotcha. One of my listeners wants me to ask
Speaker 1: you when you think winter begins. Of course we go
Speaker 1: by the first of June, but what do you count
Speaker 1: at the official beginning of winter.
Speaker 2: Well, look at the beginning of winter. It starts to
Speaker 2: shape at the end of May. I believe in relation
Speaker 2: to how the cycles and how the highs and loads
Speaker 2: are situated. So I believe that you know, at the
Speaker 2: end of May, we're starting to look at how it's shaping.
Speaker 2: And then sometimes it's late. It's a late start for winter,
Speaker 2: so therefore it may extend into you know that or
Speaker 2: September period, and that's what I'm looking at for the
Speaker 2: snow scene. I think we discussed that last time. I
Speaker 2: said there'd be a good snow season, there'd be some
Speaker 2: heavy falls. It'll be a late one particularly. It'll probably
Speaker 2: start to really ramp up at the end of the
Speaker 2: June beginning of July, and it'll extend through into September,
Speaker 2: so there'll be some pretty good falls.
Speaker 1: Yeah, excellent, all right mate. If people want to know
Speaker 1: more about your excellent work, we send them to your website,
Speaker 1: which is Hayden Walker's.
Speaker 2: Weather Okay dot com. I don't know you, so yes,
Speaker 2: you have to get the information there and that anyone
Speaker 2: can bring me anytime and so forth email me at
Speaker 2: the same time.
Speaker 1: Brilliant, Thank you every time. I'd always good to talk here. Great,
Speaker 1: thanks Luke, thank you, Yeah you too, Hayden Walker