WEBVTT - Inside Politics: Will the Coalition split or stay together? 

0:00:01.000 --> 0:00:03.720
<v S1>From the newsrooms of the Sydney Morning Herald and The Age.

0:00:03.720 --> 0:00:08.039
<v S1>This is inside politics. I'm Jacqueline Maley, it's Thursday, May 22nd.

0:00:10.880 --> 0:00:13.160
<v S1>It was high drama this week, with the nationals telling

0:00:13.160 --> 0:00:16.560
<v S1>the liberals that they wanted a political divorce, a possible

0:00:16.560 --> 0:00:19.440
<v S1>split in the coalition, which has existed in some form

0:00:19.440 --> 0:00:23.560
<v S1>or another since 1923, was sparked by nationals leader David

0:00:23.560 --> 0:00:27.960
<v S1>Littleproud insisting on certain policies, notably an ongoing commitment to

0:00:28.000 --> 0:00:31.120
<v S1>nuclear power, which Liberal leader Sussan Ley felt she could

0:00:31.120 --> 0:00:35.280
<v S1>not agree to. But by Thursday afternoon the separation, like

0:00:35.280 --> 0:00:37.600
<v S1>a marriage on the rocks, was placed on hold while

0:00:37.600 --> 0:00:41.839
<v S1>further conversations took place. So what happened and what's going

0:00:41.840 --> 0:00:44.040
<v S1>to be better for both parties and indeed for the

0:00:44.040 --> 0:00:48.479
<v S1>political health of the nation? Here to discuss all this drama,

0:00:48.479 --> 0:00:52.080
<v S1>we have our freshly minted chief political commentator, James Massola,

0:00:52.320 --> 0:00:56.960
<v S1>and also freshly minted, our political correspondent Natassia Chrysanthos. Welcome

0:00:56.960 --> 0:00:59.440
<v S1>to you both. James, tell us how these dramatic events

0:00:59.440 --> 0:01:02.940
<v S1>came about. We know that nationals leader David Littleproud drove

0:01:02.940 --> 0:01:05.780
<v S1>to Albury on Wednesday last week to negotiate the coalition

0:01:05.780 --> 0:01:08.660
<v S1>agreement with the new Liberal leader, Sussan Ley, who was

0:01:08.660 --> 0:01:11.979
<v S1>with her dying mother. What did Littleproud want? What were

0:01:11.980 --> 0:01:12.820
<v S1>his demands?

0:01:13.980 --> 0:01:17.980
<v S2>Look, the starting point for the demands, jacki, was four

0:01:17.980 --> 0:01:21.740
<v S2>things he wanted the coalition or the nationals, one of

0:01:21.740 --> 0:01:25.340
<v S2>the coalition, to remain committed to nuclear power, to remain

0:01:25.340 --> 0:01:30.380
<v S2>committed to laws that could potentially force supermarkets to sell

0:01:30.580 --> 0:01:32.660
<v S2>some of their outlets if they were found to be,

0:01:32.700 --> 0:01:37.420
<v S2>you know, engaged in anti-competitive conduct, um, you know, sought

0:01:37.420 --> 0:01:43.340
<v S2>to divest, um, they wanted a $20 billion regional future fund, uh,

0:01:43.340 --> 0:01:45.940
<v S2>which they'd taken to the last election to be kept

0:01:45.940 --> 0:01:49.860
<v S2>in place. And they wanted basically updated provisions for the

0:01:49.860 --> 0:01:56.380
<v S2>universal service obligation that, uh, telecoms providers are obligated to provide,

0:01:56.380 --> 0:01:59.740
<v S2>which means, you know, decent reception essentially for your mobile

0:01:59.740 --> 0:02:03.040
<v S2>phone in the bush, Decent mail service, those sorts of things.

0:02:03.200 --> 0:02:07.000
<v S1>And they also were asking for basically no cabinet solidarity

0:02:07.000 --> 0:02:09.640
<v S1>that they wouldn't have to be bound by cabinet solidarity

0:02:09.639 --> 0:02:10.680
<v S1>with the liberals. Right?

0:02:11.480 --> 0:02:15.120
<v S2>Yeah. Which look, quite frankly, is an extraordinary request and

0:02:15.120 --> 0:02:18.799
<v S2>unprecedented request and one that, you know, no leader could

0:02:18.800 --> 0:02:21.120
<v S2>ever agree to. But yes, that was the final thing.

0:02:21.160 --> 0:02:25.480
<v S2>It's something that David Littleproud didn't mention at all during

0:02:25.480 --> 0:02:28.040
<v S2>his sort of, you know, the big press conference announcing

0:02:28.040 --> 0:02:30.280
<v S2>the split, but which the liberals have been very keen

0:02:30.320 --> 0:02:32.000
<v S2>to say, well, hang on, there was this other thing

0:02:32.000 --> 0:02:33.680
<v S2>and it's kind of a non-negotiable.

0:02:33.960 --> 0:02:37.720
<v S1>So they're basically saying we demand these four key policies, which,

0:02:37.720 --> 0:02:39.959
<v S1>to be fair, are nationalist policies that they're obviously they've

0:02:39.960 --> 0:02:43.560
<v S1>developed and they stand by. But we also want the

0:02:43.560 --> 0:02:46.080
<v S1>right to speak out against any other policies within the

0:02:46.080 --> 0:02:47.880
<v S1>coalition that we don't agree with.

0:02:48.120 --> 0:02:50.880
<v S2>Yeah. And, you know, to my exact point like that

0:02:50.880 --> 0:02:54.080
<v S2>would be unprecedented, Jack. You don't get the luxury of

0:02:54.080 --> 0:02:56.600
<v S2>doing that. You have the argument in the cabinet room

0:02:56.600 --> 0:02:59.000
<v S2>or the shadow Cabinet Room. This is how politics has

0:02:59.000 --> 0:03:01.370
<v S2>worked for, you know, You know, 130, whatever it is,

0:03:01.410 --> 0:03:04.530
<v S2>years you have the arguments in the room, you settle

0:03:04.530 --> 0:03:07.450
<v S2>the position, you come out and you present a united front.

0:03:07.450 --> 0:03:09.970
<v S2>So for the Nats and the libs to be sort

0:03:09.970 --> 0:03:12.690
<v S2>of if, if it were to have been approved for

0:03:12.690 --> 0:03:14.730
<v S2>them to be coming out saying, well, we take a

0:03:14.730 --> 0:03:17.090
<v S2>different position on this, it would be without precedent.

0:03:17.130 --> 0:03:18.970
<v S1>Yeah. It was almost like a sort of a demand

0:03:18.970 --> 0:03:20.930
<v S1>that there was no way that Susan Lee was ever

0:03:20.930 --> 0:03:22.970
<v S1>going to be able to take it up to us.

0:03:23.010 --> 0:03:25.130
<v S1>How did Lee respond to those demands? So there in

0:03:25.130 --> 0:03:27.810
<v S1>Albury and Susan Lee, we should say, is having the

0:03:27.810 --> 0:03:29.609
<v S1>worst week of her life or one of the worst

0:03:29.610 --> 0:03:31.930
<v S1>weeks of her life, because she's nursing her mother through

0:03:31.970 --> 0:03:33.850
<v S1>her last days of her life and then having to

0:03:33.889 --> 0:03:36.730
<v S1>arrange a funeral. So all of this is happening in

0:03:36.730 --> 0:03:40.130
<v S1>tandem with that, um, Littleproud comes to her with these demands.

0:03:40.130 --> 0:03:41.170
<v S1>What does she say?

0:03:41.650 --> 0:03:45.770
<v S3>She says no. In short, um, and that's for a

0:03:46.210 --> 0:03:49.490
<v S3>kind of two main reasons. On the cabinet solidarity point.

0:03:49.490 --> 0:03:53.770
<v S3>As James just mentioned, it's untenable to have shadow ministers

0:03:53.770 --> 0:03:57.050
<v S3>who disagree with the position of the party. Um, so

0:03:57.050 --> 0:03:59.450
<v S3>that was never going to work. And then on the

0:03:59.450 --> 0:04:03.190
<v S3>policy points. So these were coalition policies going into the election.

0:04:03.190 --> 0:04:06.350
<v S3>The National's argument were these are the policies we promised

0:04:06.350 --> 0:04:09.430
<v S3>voters who elected us. We owe it to them. But

0:04:10.190 --> 0:04:13.030
<v S3>Lee came out on her first day as leader and

0:04:13.030 --> 0:04:16.390
<v S3>said no policies adopted, no policies abandoned. We are going

0:04:16.430 --> 0:04:19.190
<v S3>to start from scratch on everything. And she made that

0:04:19.190 --> 0:04:21.310
<v S3>as an undertaking to her party room, and she made

0:04:21.310 --> 0:04:25.230
<v S3>that as an undertaking to the Australian people. Um, and so,

0:04:26.510 --> 0:04:28.630
<v S3>you know, you can see both of their interests coming

0:04:28.630 --> 0:04:31.990
<v S3>through here. Um, the nationals have fought hard for these policies.

0:04:31.990 --> 0:04:33.630
<v S3>They said, we want to go forward and build on them.

0:04:33.630 --> 0:04:35.510
<v S3>We don't have to want to have to relitigate all

0:04:35.550 --> 0:04:38.710
<v S3>of those things. That's a reasonable point from their perspective.

0:04:39.190 --> 0:04:41.349
<v S1>I mean, in defence of the Nat's position, I suppose

0:04:41.350 --> 0:04:42.990
<v S1>they're saying that they want to keep faith with the

0:04:42.990 --> 0:04:45.550
<v S1>voters that have just elected them on the back of

0:04:45.550 --> 0:04:48.909
<v S1>these policies. But the liberals have a divergent sort of interest,

0:04:48.910 --> 0:04:52.270
<v S1>which is we just got roundly sort of executed at

0:04:52.270 --> 0:04:55.430
<v S1>the polls because of our policies. So we obviously need

0:04:55.430 --> 0:04:58.630
<v S1>to rebuild and remake those policies to keep faith with

0:04:58.630 --> 0:04:59.550
<v S1>our voters.

0:04:59.589 --> 0:05:02.409
<v S3>Yeah, and that was the point that Zoe McKenzie, um,

0:05:02.610 --> 0:05:06.410
<v S3>a Liberal moderate MP made this week, which is, I think,

0:05:06.570 --> 0:05:08.770
<v S3>why a few liberals are saying, you know, this is

0:05:08.770 --> 0:05:10.930
<v S3>kind of the way it is those policies let the

0:05:10.930 --> 0:05:15.090
<v S3>nationals keep all of their seats. And those policies potentially

0:05:15.089 --> 0:05:17.650
<v S3>contributed to the loss of dozens of Liberal seats. So

0:05:17.650 --> 0:05:19.330
<v S3>they've got very different interests here.

0:05:19.730 --> 0:05:22.890
<v S1>Therein lies the entire sort of dilemma. Lee, after this,

0:05:22.930 --> 0:05:25.650
<v S1>she said no to those demands. The Nats had a

0:05:25.650 --> 0:05:27.650
<v S1>party room meeting and they decided they were not going

0:05:27.650 --> 0:05:30.130
<v S1>to back down. Lee put a counter offer, I think,

0:05:30.130 --> 0:05:31.930
<v S1>in the following days, and said she just wanted to

0:05:31.970 --> 0:05:35.010
<v S1>sort the frontbench out first and, you know, her shadow ministry.

0:05:35.290 --> 0:05:37.330
<v S1>And then the Nats had another meeting, I think, on

0:05:37.330 --> 0:05:39.850
<v S1>Tuesday morning. And that was when they decided to formally

0:05:39.850 --> 0:05:42.890
<v S1>break with the liberals. But how much notice, James, did

0:05:42.930 --> 0:05:46.049
<v S1>David Littleproud give uh, give Sussan Ley before he announced

0:05:46.050 --> 0:05:46.890
<v S1>it publicly.

0:05:47.529 --> 0:05:50.529
<v S2>It was about 45 minutes. Um, yeah. They met Tuesday

0:05:50.529 --> 0:05:54.690
<v S2>morning at around 1015, 1030. I just happened to be

0:05:54.690 --> 0:05:57.890
<v S2>walking around the corridors of Parliament and saw Littleproud walking

0:05:57.890 --> 0:06:00.750
<v S2>into Lee's office. Um, we know it was from what

0:06:00.750 --> 0:06:03.669
<v S2>Susan said, a 30 minute meeting, pretty quick and fairly

0:06:03.670 --> 0:06:05.469
<v S2>pro forma. And then he walked out and said, right,

0:06:05.510 --> 0:06:07.190
<v S2>you know, 45 minutes notice.

0:06:07.470 --> 0:06:10.470
<v S4>Our party room has got to a position where we

0:06:10.470 --> 0:06:13.870
<v S4>will not be reentering a coalition agreement with the Liberal

0:06:13.870 --> 0:06:16.030
<v S4>Party after this election.

0:06:16.029 --> 0:06:19.670
<v S2>So she convened Sussan Ley an emergency meeting of the

0:06:19.670 --> 0:06:23.110
<v S2>Liberal Party party room to let them know what had happened.

0:06:23.390 --> 0:06:27.390
<v S5>And while I have enormous respect for David and his team,

0:06:27.910 --> 0:06:32.910
<v S5>it is disappointing that the National Party has decided today

0:06:33.110 --> 0:06:36.270
<v S5>to leave the coalition. But the most important thing I

0:06:36.270 --> 0:06:40.190
<v S5>want to say is this the nationals door remains open

0:06:40.430 --> 0:06:43.510
<v S5>and our door remains open, and we look forward with

0:06:43.510 --> 0:06:47.469
<v S5>optimism to rejoining at some point in the future.

0:06:47.470 --> 0:06:49.710
<v S2>If we could just dial back one step here, Jackie.

0:06:49.750 --> 0:06:52.430
<v S2>I want to make a couple of points. Susan Lee's

0:06:52.430 --> 0:06:54.229
<v S2>been the leader of the Liberal Party for. I think

0:06:54.270 --> 0:06:57.589
<v S2>it's nine days now. This happened on the seventh day.

0:06:57.990 --> 0:07:01.890
<v S2>Her mum had died three days earlier. She was in Albury,

0:07:02.089 --> 0:07:04.850
<v S2>you know, beginning to make the arrangements for, um, for

0:07:04.850 --> 0:07:08.370
<v S2>a funeral. Um, she had said very clearly and very publicly,

0:07:08.370 --> 0:07:11.090
<v S2>we are going to take our time and digest this

0:07:11.090 --> 0:07:13.690
<v S2>election result because, you know, as Tarr said, it was

0:07:13.690 --> 0:07:14.250
<v S2>a thumping.

0:07:14.250 --> 0:07:17.930
<v S5>Can I firstly thank David Littleproud for driving down the

0:07:17.930 --> 0:07:20.970
<v S5>Hume Highway to meet me in my office in my

0:07:20.970 --> 0:07:24.570
<v S5>home town so that I could spend my mum's final

0:07:24.570 --> 0:07:26.210
<v S5>days close to her.

0:07:26.450 --> 0:07:28.850
<v S2>The Liberal Party hadn't even had a chance to meet

0:07:29.050 --> 0:07:33.130
<v S2>to consider the National Party's demands. Those four main demands,

0:07:33.450 --> 0:07:36.210
<v S2>all four of them, are probably likely to have been

0:07:36.210 --> 0:07:37.650
<v S2>supported by the Liberal Party.

0:07:37.650 --> 0:07:38.330
<v S1>The policies?

0:07:38.370 --> 0:07:40.770
<v S2>Yeah, yeah, yeah. Sorry. Yes. The policies. Yeah. But it

0:07:40.770 --> 0:07:44.170
<v S2>was a timing thing. The Nats wanted it immediately. It was, um,

0:07:44.210 --> 0:07:47.290
<v S2>you know, in my view, uh confected demands. I mean,

0:07:47.330 --> 0:07:50.970
<v S2>it's not like, um, the liberals suddenly going to completely

0:07:50.970 --> 0:07:52.810
<v S2>change what they believe and say, no, we're not going

0:07:52.810 --> 0:07:55.010
<v S2>to do any of this stuff that we've believed in until,

0:07:55.050 --> 0:07:57.170
<v S2>you know, six weeks ago or whenever the election was.

0:07:57.170 --> 0:08:01.230
<v S2>It's a confected set of reasons to leave. I think

0:08:01.230 --> 0:08:03.790
<v S2>the real reason why the Nats have left is because

0:08:03.790 --> 0:08:05.630
<v S2>of net zero. Now they deny that.

0:08:05.630 --> 0:08:09.270
<v S1>And just remind listeners that the coalition remains formally committed

0:08:09.270 --> 0:08:13.830
<v S1>to net zero emissions by 2050. But obviously, we know

0:08:13.830 --> 0:08:16.310
<v S1>that the nationals have been very keen to abandon that

0:08:16.310 --> 0:08:18.950
<v S1>arrangement and want the liberals to do so, too. So

0:08:18.950 --> 0:08:21.350
<v S1>that's sort of been a key tension point in the

0:08:21.350 --> 0:08:24.230
<v S1>climate wars over the last ten years, you could say.

0:08:24.470 --> 0:08:28.550
<v S1>Let's turn to what happened on Thursday afternoon. Now, it's

0:08:28.550 --> 0:08:30.710
<v S1>hard to keep up, actually, with what seems to be

0:08:30.710 --> 0:08:33.510
<v S1>like a toxic marriage, where one minute there's a breakup,

0:08:33.510 --> 0:08:35.390
<v S1>the next minute there's a make up, just like the

0:08:35.429 --> 0:08:38.270
<v S1>Katy Perry song. Tell us what's happened on Thursday afternoon.

0:08:38.309 --> 0:08:43.630
<v S3>So, quite remarkably, 48 hours after David Littleproud said the

0:08:43.630 --> 0:08:45.949
<v S3>nationals would be leaving the coalition for the first time

0:08:45.950 --> 0:08:49.230
<v S3>in 38 years, that is no longer definitely the case.

0:08:49.830 --> 0:08:53.910
<v S3>So Littleproud on Thursday gave a sudden press conference in

0:08:53.910 --> 0:08:55.430
<v S3>the corridors of parliament.

0:08:55.710 --> 0:08:56.230
<v S6>All good.

0:08:57.190 --> 0:09:00.120
<v S4>Thank you. We've, uh you're right.

0:09:00.160 --> 0:09:03.480
<v S3>In which he said that the breakup was basically a

0:09:03.480 --> 0:09:05.000
<v S3>break and they were on pause.

0:09:05.040 --> 0:09:08.959
<v S4>In a mature and sensible way. And I'm proud of

0:09:08.960 --> 0:09:13.000
<v S4>the fact that our guys are prepared to to accept

0:09:13.000 --> 0:09:15.800
<v S4>that in being sent home today, despite the fact that

0:09:15.800 --> 0:09:18.920
<v S4>I was about to announce to you all this afternoon,

0:09:18.960 --> 0:09:21.040
<v S4>our shadow spokesman, because I think this is a far

0:09:21.200 --> 0:09:21.880
<v S4>more important.

0:09:22.040 --> 0:09:26.960
<v S3>Littleproud and Lee had planned, uh, on Thursday afternoon to

0:09:27.000 --> 0:09:30.720
<v S3>reveal their respective shadow cabinets. So they're the spokespeople that

0:09:30.720 --> 0:09:33.200
<v S3>talk about things like Treasury and Foreign Affairs and whatnot.

0:09:33.200 --> 0:09:35.120
<v S3>And they were going to go it alone, but they

0:09:35.120 --> 0:09:39.160
<v S3>had both decided to call that off while they tried

0:09:39.160 --> 0:09:43.240
<v S3>to broker some kind of agreement. And basically where we

0:09:43.280 --> 0:09:47.439
<v S3>got to was that this these sticking points around the

0:09:47.440 --> 0:09:50.560
<v S3>four policies that the nationals wanted, they would give the

0:09:50.559 --> 0:09:54.240
<v S3>liberals time to at least have a conversation about those

0:09:54.280 --> 0:09:55.640
<v S3>before pulling the plug.

0:09:56.080 --> 0:09:57.240
<v S7>Or getting back together.

0:09:57.240 --> 0:09:58.560
<v S4>After. Hold on, hold on. I'm sorry.

0:09:58.840 --> 0:09:59.939
<v S8>So you're getting back together?

0:09:59.980 --> 0:10:04.420
<v S4>No. This will allow time for a process for Susan

0:10:04.420 --> 0:10:07.660
<v S4>Lee to call her party room together to discuss those

0:10:07.660 --> 0:10:09.099
<v S4>four policy areas.

0:10:09.140 --> 0:10:13.700
<v S3>Quite interestingly, this all played out over the ABC. Um,

0:10:13.740 --> 0:10:16.980
<v S3>because on Wednesday night, you had national Senator Bridget McKenzie

0:10:17.020 --> 0:10:20.980
<v S3>go on Sarah Ferguson's 730 program and say the only

0:10:20.980 --> 0:10:24.180
<v S3>thing we care about is the four policies. Um, Sarah

0:10:24.179 --> 0:10:27.340
<v S3>Ferguson asked her, well, what about Susan Lee's claim about

0:10:27.340 --> 0:10:32.060
<v S3>this shadow cabinet confidentiality point? McKenzie said, that's not a

0:10:32.059 --> 0:10:35.260
<v S3>problem for us. Someone in Lee's office was watching and

0:10:35.260 --> 0:10:37.900
<v S3>quite displeased by that version of events, so they texted

0:10:37.900 --> 0:10:40.540
<v S3>in to the ABC. Um, and so by the end

0:10:40.540 --> 0:10:43.819
<v S3>of the program, Sarah Ferguson's there saying, you know, Lee's

0:10:43.860 --> 0:10:46.500
<v S3>contacted us to dispute this basically, and says they've got

0:10:46.500 --> 0:10:49.140
<v S3>in writing that the Knights did want this shadow cabinet

0:10:49.140 --> 0:10:50.500
<v S3>confidentiality exemption.

0:10:50.540 --> 0:10:53.260
<v S9>Now, as that interview played, we've just received a note

0:10:53.260 --> 0:10:56.260
<v S9>from Susan Lee's office saying it is not correct to

0:10:56.300 --> 0:11:00.240
<v S9>suggest that Shadow Cabinet solidarity was not a sticking point

0:11:00.440 --> 0:11:04.520
<v S9>and they that is Susan Lee's office have that in writing.

0:11:04.559 --> 0:11:07.040
<v S3>So everyone went to bed on Wednesday night and then

0:11:07.400 --> 0:11:10.040
<v S3>lo and behold, Thursday morning David Littleproud is again on

0:11:10.040 --> 0:11:15.640
<v S3>the ABC. He's asked what's the go basically. And he says, no,

0:11:15.960 --> 0:11:19.800
<v S3>Susan didn't agree to this shadow cabinet confidentiality thing. And

0:11:19.800 --> 0:11:23.160
<v S3>that's perfectly reasonable. That's fine with us. We just want

0:11:23.160 --> 0:11:26.240
<v S3>our four policies. And so apparently Lee's office heard this

0:11:26.280 --> 0:11:29.320
<v S3>and they were like la di da great. Come back in,

0:11:29.320 --> 0:11:32.520
<v S3>let's talk about it. And as simply as that, um,

0:11:32.760 --> 0:11:36.520
<v S3>the the backtrack was done.

0:11:36.880 --> 0:11:39.520
<v S2>It's great to see the national broadcaster playing such an

0:11:39.520 --> 0:11:43.719
<v S2>important role in the lives of our conservative parties. Indeed,

0:11:43.720 --> 0:11:46.000
<v S2>they often criticise aunty, but yeah.

0:11:46.040 --> 0:11:49.640
<v S1>I know they're actually mediating. It's mediating this dispute between

0:11:49.640 --> 0:11:53.000
<v S1>the two conservative parties. Um, I mean, I keep sort

0:11:53.000 --> 0:11:55.160
<v S1>of coming back to this metaphor of the toxic marriage

0:11:55.160 --> 0:11:57.760
<v S1>which everybody is going for, but it feels like that

0:11:57.760 --> 0:12:02.700
<v S1>felt like gaslighting to me. what David Littleproud did. Um, anyway, James,

0:12:02.740 --> 0:12:05.060
<v S1>is it possible to predict where this is going to go?

0:12:05.460 --> 0:12:09.179
<v S2>Yeah. I mean, I thought the whole way through that, um,

0:12:09.220 --> 0:12:12.780
<v S2>they'll get back together at some point, but not, you know,

0:12:12.820 --> 0:12:15.420
<v S2>given what we've heard from Susan Lee and what have you,

0:12:15.460 --> 0:12:17.540
<v S2>not in this term or only towards the end of

0:12:17.540 --> 0:12:20.660
<v S2>this term. I mean, I've straight after this, uh, you know,

0:12:20.860 --> 0:12:22.780
<v S2>recordings done. Jack, I've got to go to my physio

0:12:22.780 --> 0:12:26.380
<v S2>and get this whiplash treated. It's, um, it's just the

0:12:26.380 --> 0:12:29.579
<v S2>events of the last couple of days are quite extraordinary.

0:12:29.580 --> 0:12:33.900
<v S2>And look, um, put aside what David Littleproud and Bridget

0:12:33.900 --> 0:12:37.220
<v S2>McKenzie are saying. You know, put aside the posturing. This

0:12:37.220 --> 0:12:40.340
<v S2>is a win for Sussan Ley. And she was right

0:12:40.340 --> 0:12:44.740
<v S2>to say shadow cabinet confidentiality must be maintained. I mean

0:12:44.780 --> 0:12:47.260
<v S2>she she didn't give ground. That's the right thing to do.

0:12:47.420 --> 0:12:50.340
<v S2>Now we're seeing a back down. And, you know, quite

0:12:50.340 --> 0:12:54.420
<v S2>frankly a very embarrassing backdown for the nationals and for me, Jacqui,

0:12:54.420 --> 0:12:59.360
<v S2>the question then becomes, uh, one about David Littleproud's Judgment

0:12:59.360 --> 0:13:02.000
<v S2>and the judgment of the leadership team in the nets.

0:13:02.040 --> 0:13:04.800
<v S2>What were they doing if they get back together two

0:13:04.800 --> 0:13:07.600
<v S2>days after this breakup or whatever you want to call it?

0:13:07.760 --> 0:13:10.840
<v S2>It's it's it's ludicrous. Frankly, I don't have another word

0:13:10.840 --> 0:13:12.960
<v S2>for it. So yes, they can get back together, but

0:13:12.960 --> 0:13:13.840
<v S2>can he stay?

0:13:14.080 --> 0:13:17.160
<v S3>And realistically, they're not going to get those four demands

0:13:17.160 --> 0:13:19.680
<v S3>set in stone by the time that a shadow cabinet

0:13:19.679 --> 0:13:22.520
<v S3>needs to be named in July when Parliament returns. So

0:13:22.520 --> 0:13:25.079
<v S3>he said that on Thursday. He said, you know, ideally

0:13:25.080 --> 0:13:28.000
<v S3>we walk back into Parliament with our shadow cabinet. So

0:13:28.000 --> 0:13:30.080
<v S3>you have, you know, you know, who's who in the

0:13:30.080 --> 0:13:31.920
<v S3>zoo when you sit in your first Question time.

0:13:31.960 --> 0:13:34.880
<v S1>Was he saying, just to clarify, sorry to interrupt. Was

0:13:34.880 --> 0:13:38.600
<v S1>he saying that they want a coalition shadow cabinet.

0:13:38.600 --> 0:13:42.720
<v S3>Ideally a coalition shadow cabinet back together. They want that

0:13:42.720 --> 0:13:46.240
<v S3>ideally by July 22nd. So they look they look like

0:13:46.240 --> 0:13:48.400
<v S3>they know what they're doing. And then, you know, the

0:13:48.400 --> 0:13:50.320
<v S3>nuts don't have to go sit with the teals and

0:13:50.320 --> 0:13:54.560
<v S3>the greens. They can sit on their coalition side. But

0:13:54.559 --> 0:13:57.559
<v S3>there is no way that the liberals form their energy

0:13:57.559 --> 0:14:00.370
<v S3>policy and decide what they're doing on that by the

0:14:00.370 --> 0:14:03.570
<v S3>22nd of July. And similarly, they've committed to a root

0:14:03.570 --> 0:14:06.690
<v S3>and branch review of all their policies. Um, that's probably

0:14:06.690 --> 0:14:09.809
<v S3>going to take half a year. So either way, I

0:14:09.809 --> 0:14:13.890
<v S3>think the nationals are coming back probably knowing that baking

0:14:13.890 --> 0:14:18.570
<v S3>in for policies into all four policies, into a coalition

0:14:18.570 --> 0:14:21.530
<v S3>agreement within the next six weeks is probably not going

0:14:21.530 --> 0:14:22.330
<v S3>to happen.

0:14:22.370 --> 0:14:25.010
<v S2>But it's not without precedent either. Look, it's important to

0:14:25.010 --> 0:14:28.250
<v S2>make this point for the listeners here. Some coalition agreements

0:14:28.250 --> 0:14:32.330
<v S2>do have specific policy demands written into them. 2016 When

0:14:32.330 --> 0:14:35.330
<v S2>Malcolm Turnbull just snuck back into government, there was a

0:14:35.330 --> 0:14:39.810
<v S2>protracted negotiation then over what the nationals wanted. And, you know,

0:14:39.850 --> 0:14:42.650
<v S2>Malcolm Turnbull did give some ground. There were some policies,

0:14:42.650 --> 0:14:45.610
<v S2>as I understand it written in, but on other occasions

0:14:45.770 --> 0:14:48.490
<v S2>it's just a sort of bare bones agreement. This is

0:14:48.490 --> 0:14:51.490
<v S2>how many, um, you know, shadow cabinet or cabinet spots.

0:14:51.490 --> 0:14:54.090
<v S2>We're entitled. This is how many you get. We'll work

0:14:54.090 --> 0:14:56.770
<v S2>together and that's it basically. Then they work it out

0:14:56.770 --> 0:14:58.090
<v S2>on a piecemeal basis.

0:14:58.130 --> 0:15:00.710
<v S1>It's not always an ironclad prenup. It's more of a

0:15:00.750 --> 0:15:03.310
<v S1>kind of broad brushstrokes, agreement in a lot of cases.

0:15:03.310 --> 0:15:04.190
<v S2>Precisely.

0:15:04.230 --> 0:15:06.710
<v S1>Listen, guys, this is fascinating. It's going to keep playing out.

0:15:06.710 --> 0:15:08.550
<v S1>So we're going to come back to you whenever we

0:15:08.550 --> 0:15:11.150
<v S1>need to. Probably next week to get the next installment.

0:15:11.150 --> 0:15:14.190
<v S1>And who knows where this crazy ride will end. So

0:15:14.190 --> 0:15:15.230
<v S1>thanks very much.

0:15:15.270 --> 0:15:16.350
<v S2>Thanks very much, Jack.

0:15:16.510 --> 0:15:17.310
<v S3>Thanks.

0:15:18.310 --> 0:15:21.990
<v S1>Today's episode was produced by Tammy Mills with technical assistance

0:15:21.990 --> 0:15:26.710
<v S1>from Debbie Harrington and Belen Sanchez. Tom McKendrick is our

0:15:26.710 --> 0:15:29.550
<v S1>head of audio. To listen to our episodes as soon

0:15:29.550 --> 0:15:33.110
<v S1>as they drop, follow Inside Politics on Apple, Spotify or

0:15:33.150 --> 0:15:36.030
<v S1>anywhere else you listen to your podcasts. To stay up

0:15:36.030 --> 0:15:38.510
<v S1>to date with all of our political coverage and exclusives,

0:15:38.550 --> 0:15:41.710
<v S1>visit The Age and The Sydney Morning Herald websites to

0:15:41.750 --> 0:15:45.030
<v S1>support our journalism. Subscribe to us by visiting The Age

0:15:45.030 --> 0:15:51.070
<v S1>or smh.com.au. I'm Jacqueline Maley. Thank you for listening.