1 00:00:05,160 --> 00:00:10,760 Speaker 1: Live from Vaal Hartbeiner and the Crossroads of America. It's 2 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: Tony Katz today. I think with the sale of F 3 00:00:14,720 --> 00:00:17,800 Speaker 1: thirty five strike Fighter jets to Saudi Arabia from the 4 00:00:17,880 --> 00:00:21,000 Speaker 1: United States, the meeting that took place yesterday in the 5 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:25,280 Speaker 1: White House with a President Trump and Mohammed Ben Salomon, 6 00:00:25,400 --> 00:00:30,240 Speaker 1: the Crown Prince, and more happening today, I think there 7 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:33,120 Speaker 1: is a very acceptable question out there as to what 8 00:00:33,200 --> 00:00:36,640 Speaker 1: are we selling them, but maybe more importantly should we 9 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: be selling to Saudi Arabia. I'm not over what happened 10 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 1: on September eleventh. That's me speaking. I'm not speaking for you. 11 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:48,040 Speaker 1: I'm speaking for myself. Tony Katz, Tony Kats today, Good 12 00:00:48,120 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 1: to be with you. Major Mike Lyons joins me right now. 13 00:00:51,560 --> 00:00:56,120 Speaker 1: United States Army major, retired military analyst, does a lot 14 00:00:56,160 --> 00:00:59,520 Speaker 1: of work with West Point and I live in the 15 00:00:59,560 --> 00:01:02,280 Speaker 1: real world, and I was explaining this yesterday on the 16 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:04,679 Speaker 1: show that there are a lot of actors I don't 17 00:01:04,680 --> 00:01:07,000 Speaker 1: want to work with, but that doesn't mean you don't 18 00:01:07,040 --> 00:01:09,199 Speaker 1: work with them. And I actually think that the time 19 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:13,479 Speaker 1: for retribution regarding September eleventh has long passed, and it 20 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:17,160 Speaker 1: wasn't done as I see it properly then, But I'm 21 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:21,160 Speaker 1: here now and Saudi Arabia as ally in agreement on 22 00:01:21,200 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: the Abraham Accords and pushing Iran and the Iranian regime 23 00:01:25,400 --> 00:01:29,640 Speaker 1: further and further into disbanding and nothingness and falling away, 24 00:01:29,760 --> 00:01:31,520 Speaker 1: creating a better Iran and a better future for the 25 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:34,759 Speaker 1: Middle East. That's what's on the table. But let's start 26 00:01:34,760 --> 00:01:37,720 Speaker 1: where we start these F thirty five's. What can you 27 00:01:37,760 --> 00:01:41,160 Speaker 1: tell us about the major lions and how do we 28 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:43,240 Speaker 1: feel about them going to Saudi Arabia. 29 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 2: Well, Tony, I think clearly we have to always remember 30 00:01:46,480 --> 00:01:49,440 Speaker 2: what happened on September eleventh and go from there. 31 00:01:49,440 --> 00:01:50,800 Speaker 3: But this is a different Saudi Arabia. 32 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:53,520 Speaker 2: This is a different country right now with a different leader, 33 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:56,919 Speaker 2: and now's the time to strike this deal with Saudi 34 00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:00,680 Speaker 2: Arabia in order to gain this additional leverage over Iran 35 00:02:00,880 --> 00:02:03,480 Speaker 2: and to really start to set forward a new path 36 00:02:03,520 --> 00:02:05,600 Speaker 2: for the Middle East. So what we know about the deal, 37 00:02:05,640 --> 00:02:08,520 Speaker 2: It looks like Saudi Arabia has requested forty eight F 38 00:02:08,560 --> 00:02:11,800 Speaker 2: thirty five's to go along with three hundred main battle 39 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:14,280 Speaker 2: tanks Abram's battle tank, so it's not only airpower it's 40 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,800 Speaker 2: going to be ground power. This is Trump leverage at play, 41 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:22,480 Speaker 2: visible leverage right out there, aligning with a country that 42 00:02:22,880 --> 00:02:25,280 Speaker 2: had not had this level of firepower before. Let's talk 43 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:27,200 Speaker 2: about the F thirty five real quick. We'll talk more 44 00:02:27,200 --> 00:02:29,400 Speaker 2: about it. But this is not just a plane, This 45 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:32,600 Speaker 2: is an ecosystem, and this is a next generation fighter 46 00:02:32,919 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 2: that will definitely took the power of balance in the 47 00:02:35,080 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 2: Middle East towards Saudi Arabia. 48 00:02:36,760 --> 00:02:39,280 Speaker 1: You know, the F thirty five has been a big 49 00:02:39,320 --> 00:02:43,440 Speaker 1: part of conversation because not only is it this incredible 50 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:46,000 Speaker 1: bit of hardware, this was built with a lot of 51 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:50,280 Speaker 1: NATO partners at play, including Turkey, and then Turkey turned 52 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 1: around and purchased the SU four hundred missile defense system, 53 00:02:53,520 --> 00:02:56,360 Speaker 1: which is a Russian defense system which bills itself as 54 00:02:56,360 --> 00:03:00,000 Speaker 1: an F thirty five killer. And this is a real problem. 55 00:03:00,040 --> 00:03:06,200 Speaker 1: But keeping it on Saudi Arabia, just quickly, you brought 56 00:03:06,280 --> 00:03:09,840 Speaker 1: up the Abrams tanks. Saudi Arabia can't roll tanks into 57 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:12,840 Speaker 1: a place like Iran. For what purpose do they need 58 00:03:12,919 --> 00:03:13,800 Speaker 1: Abrams tanks? 59 00:03:15,560 --> 00:03:19,359 Speaker 2: Well, I think they're always concerned about their birdies at rock. 60 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:22,800 Speaker 2: Perhaps in the southern portion with with the Yemen there, 61 00:03:22,840 --> 00:03:26,040 Speaker 2: but they project power. There's no question that three hundred 62 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:29,079 Speaker 2: Abrams tanks, it's about a division's worth of that kind 63 00:03:29,080 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 2: of hardware would make Cutter Arabia virtually inoculous to any 64 00:03:34,120 --> 00:03:36,560 Speaker 2: kind of attack that would come on the ground. They 65 00:03:36,600 --> 00:03:38,480 Speaker 2: have a big playground, they have a big place in 66 00:03:38,560 --> 00:03:41,640 Speaker 2: sandbox out there to train and practice on those. So 67 00:03:41,680 --> 00:03:43,640 Speaker 2: they want to get that because it's the most advanced 68 00:03:43,800 --> 00:03:46,160 Speaker 2: land based projection of power that's that's in the world 69 00:03:46,240 --> 00:03:48,040 Speaker 2: right now. There's nothing in the world that can defeat 70 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 2: that Abrams tank. So I think I like the deal. 71 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:54,520 Speaker 2: I like the fact that American hardware will go towards 72 00:03:54,520 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 2: that and so and what's going to provide is interoperatibility. 73 00:03:58,800 --> 00:04:00,920 Speaker 2: So should it happen, and we never thought we'd have 74 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:03,560 Speaker 2: a desert storm or go back to Saudi Arabia like 75 00:04:03,600 --> 00:04:06,280 Speaker 2: we did in the nineties in the early part of 76 00:04:06,280 --> 00:04:09,840 Speaker 2: this century, but if we did, we now have interoperability 77 00:04:09,880 --> 00:04:12,400 Speaker 2: with US systems both on the F thirty fives and 78 00:04:12,440 --> 00:04:13,119 Speaker 2: the Abrams tank. 79 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:15,240 Speaker 3: So I think I'm crazy about this deal. I think 80 00:04:15,240 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 3: it's a great thing. 81 00:04:16,360 --> 00:04:19,960 Speaker 1: Talking to Major Mike Lions, retired to United States Army 82 00:04:20,000 --> 00:04:23,520 Speaker 1: military analyst, You're crazy about the deal. So you're a yes. 83 00:04:23,600 --> 00:04:26,279 Speaker 1: But a lot of people are asking should we be 84 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: selling jets to Saudi Arabia. You started by saying, this 85 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,360 Speaker 1: is a different Saudi Arabia. Walk me through your thinking. 86 00:04:34,680 --> 00:04:38,520 Speaker 2: Well, we're selling fighter jets obviously, but the interoperability of 87 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:42,240 Speaker 2: these jets are just more than that. As they fly, 88 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:46,159 Speaker 2: they collect data. They can provide data to us, to 89 00:04:46,240 --> 00:04:49,239 Speaker 2: the United States as we fly in that region as well. 90 00:04:49,800 --> 00:04:53,680 Speaker 2: They're meshed in communications networks, and I think that they'll 91 00:04:53,680 --> 00:04:57,680 Speaker 2: provide a moving intel post that we're always looking for 92 00:04:57,800 --> 00:04:59,479 Speaker 2: looking for on the ground, let's say, and that we've 93 00:04:59,480 --> 00:05:03,120 Speaker 2: had to move out and about the past few years. 94 00:05:04,360 --> 00:05:07,360 Speaker 2: I think that again they will be used as a 95 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,039 Speaker 2: deterrent and leverage. We'll go back to Trump. It's all 96 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:12,479 Speaker 2: about leverage with him, and in this case, it's showing 97 00:05:12,520 --> 00:05:15,480 Speaker 2: that leverage over the iraniance. Iran does not have a 98 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:18,960 Speaker 2: partner that's going to provide this level of military hardware 99 00:05:19,000 --> 00:05:19,360 Speaker 2: to them. 100 00:05:20,080 --> 00:05:21,000 Speaker 3: That goes against it. 101 00:05:21,040 --> 00:05:23,599 Speaker 2: So from a way to preserve the peace and to 102 00:05:23,680 --> 00:05:26,960 Speaker 2: project power in the Middle East, there's no better platforms 103 00:05:26,960 --> 00:05:28,400 Speaker 2: than these two on the ground than the air. 104 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:34,720 Speaker 1: You talk about projecting power and peace. This move because 105 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 1: a lot of this you know, hey, you were helpful 106 00:05:37,720 --> 00:05:41,039 Speaker 1: with some things regarding Iran. Of course, Saudi Arabia wants 107 00:05:41,040 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 1: Iran off the board there. They want to be the 108 00:05:44,600 --> 00:05:48,479 Speaker 1: hegemonic power in the area. Trump saying, we can make 109 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:50,960 Speaker 1: that kind of happen, but you need to sign the 110 00:05:51,000 --> 00:05:53,960 Speaker 1: Abraham Accords. We need to change fundamentally. And then they 111 00:05:54,000 --> 00:05:55,320 Speaker 1: had a little bit of a back and forth at 112 00:05:55,360 --> 00:05:58,560 Speaker 1: the White House in the Oval yesterday where Mohammed bin 113 00:05:58,680 --> 00:06:01,400 Speaker 1: Saman said we need a two state solution and President 114 00:06:01,440 --> 00:06:04,320 Speaker 1: Trump definitely backed off the idea of it being a 115 00:06:04,320 --> 00:06:06,599 Speaker 1: two state solution and getting some of these other nations 116 00:06:06,640 --> 00:06:10,080 Speaker 1: involved in the rebuild of Gaza doesn't mean a two 117 00:06:10,160 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 1: state solution in the slightest. But this is all in 118 00:06:14,000 --> 00:06:17,839 Speaker 1: a larger sense about Trump realigning the Middle East. It 119 00:06:17,880 --> 00:06:21,800 Speaker 1: starts with the Abraham Accords, and it's here now is 120 00:06:22,560 --> 00:06:28,240 Speaker 1: what is the realignment goal? If you were to describe it. 121 00:06:28,920 --> 00:06:32,800 Speaker 2: Well, the realignment goal is more towards economic and economic 122 00:06:32,800 --> 00:06:37,520 Speaker 2: advancement of these countries that had been led by leaders 123 00:06:37,520 --> 00:06:41,480 Speaker 2: that didn't really care about its people. We project capitalism 124 00:06:41,600 --> 00:06:44,480 Speaker 2: on Syria, and to again think about the fact that 125 00:06:44,560 --> 00:06:47,800 Speaker 2: Syrian leaders in the White House last week unthinkable ten 126 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:50,440 Speaker 2: or fifteen years ago. And now look where that's gone 127 00:06:50,680 --> 00:06:54,719 Speaker 2: and their potential participation in the Abraham Accords. And same 128 00:06:54,760 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 2: with Saudi Arabia. They can be the hegemonic power within 129 00:06:58,240 --> 00:07:01,920 Speaker 2: the region. They can be the on that that drives 130 00:07:02,120 --> 00:07:04,799 Speaker 2: business through given their economic advances. 131 00:07:04,839 --> 00:07:07,360 Speaker 3: And we we know Israel, and Israel just wants peace. 132 00:07:07,640 --> 00:07:10,280 Speaker 2: Israel is not looking to wage war and advance its 133 00:07:10,320 --> 00:07:12,320 Speaker 2: borders or anything like that. They want they want to 134 00:07:12,320 --> 00:07:15,560 Speaker 2: live in peace and prosperity. So that's that's this new 135 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:19,560 Speaker 2: Middle East that that the Trump administration has carved out 136 00:07:19,640 --> 00:07:22,080 Speaker 2: right now, and it's it's moving down that path. And 137 00:07:22,120 --> 00:07:25,600 Speaker 2: sure there's risks sending military military equipment like this to 138 00:07:25,640 --> 00:07:28,960 Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia, mostly in the software side of it, because 139 00:07:28,960 --> 00:07:32,560 Speaker 2: again Saudi Arabia now will pick up Intel that perhaps 140 00:07:32,600 --> 00:07:36,240 Speaker 2: that they wouldn't have before because they don't have that capability. 141 00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:38,520 Speaker 2: The F thirty five is a is an Intel vacuum 142 00:07:38,560 --> 00:07:42,120 Speaker 2: machine and picks up things as it's flying through the skies. 143 00:07:42,560 --> 00:07:42,680 Speaker 1: Uh. 144 00:07:42,720 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 2: And and again we'll be working alongside with the US 145 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:47,440 Speaker 2: forces in the area there as well. So there's there's 146 00:07:47,440 --> 00:07:50,280 Speaker 2: some risk when it comes to this when the leader's perspective. 147 00:07:50,320 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 2: But given the relationship that Trump is established with with NBS, 148 00:07:54,800 --> 00:07:56,800 Speaker 2: and given where Saudi Arabia is right now, this is 149 00:07:56,840 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 2: the time to strike when the fire is hot. 150 00:07:58,640 --> 00:08:01,440 Speaker 1: You know this. You brought up Syria, and it's weird this. 151 00:08:01,720 --> 00:08:05,560 Speaker 1: This is a guy who's a terrorist. I mean, America 152 00:08:05,720 --> 00:08:07,600 Speaker 1: was the enemy and all that, and now he's here 153 00:08:07,880 --> 00:08:11,920 Speaker 1: in a suit after the overthrowing of Basharlesad and he's 154 00:08:12,040 --> 00:08:15,239 Speaker 1: visiting the White House. And yet this has been greeted 155 00:08:15,280 --> 00:08:19,080 Speaker 1: with a great amount of applause. And so this idea 156 00:08:19,080 --> 00:08:22,520 Speaker 1: of realigning the Middle East, you know, when people are 157 00:08:22,600 --> 00:08:25,280 Speaker 1: upset with this is Saudi Arabia. This is responsible for 158 00:08:25,280 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 1: September eleventh, This is responsible for the murder of Jamal Kashogi. 159 00:08:28,880 --> 00:08:31,480 Speaker 1: And I'm not saying no to any of those things. 160 00:08:32,120 --> 00:08:34,360 Speaker 1: It is about dealing with the world as it is, 161 00:08:34,520 --> 00:08:37,960 Speaker 1: not as you may want it to be. And President Trump, 162 00:08:38,000 --> 00:08:43,120 Speaker 1: I would argue, does that very very well. The reception 163 00:08:43,320 --> 00:08:47,920 Speaker 1: that the new Syrian leadership has gotten, what is that? 164 00:08:48,080 --> 00:08:50,000 Speaker 1: How has that been seen on the world stage. 165 00:08:51,720 --> 00:08:52,960 Speaker 3: I think it's been seeing positive. 166 00:08:52,960 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 2: But you've described real politique exactly how it is. And 167 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:59,080 Speaker 2: that's the United States, and this administration looks up the 168 00:08:59,080 --> 00:09:02,880 Speaker 2: world as the way it is and not previous administrations 169 00:09:03,200 --> 00:09:05,040 Speaker 2: trying to project the way they want it to be. 170 00:09:05,240 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 2: They want to tell other countries how they can talk 171 00:09:08,640 --> 00:09:10,880 Speaker 2: to their employees, They want to tell other countries about 172 00:09:10,920 --> 00:09:13,640 Speaker 2: human rights violations and the like. And it's not that's 173 00:09:13,640 --> 00:09:16,240 Speaker 2: not to say that we can't keep that in mind, 174 00:09:16,360 --> 00:09:18,280 Speaker 2: but we have to look at the world and the 175 00:09:18,280 --> 00:09:20,480 Speaker 2: where and where it is. So what do we want. 176 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 2: We want the Russians back inside of Syria. You want 177 00:09:22,840 --> 00:09:26,360 Speaker 2: a submarine base, a tartis, having them have a foothold 178 00:09:26,400 --> 00:09:29,640 Speaker 2: in the Mediterranean. You know we've not only is this 179 00:09:29,960 --> 00:09:33,280 Speaker 2: uh is going to project power over Iran, but it 180 00:09:33,280 --> 00:09:35,840 Speaker 2: will reject or will put Russia out of the Middle 181 00:09:35,840 --> 00:09:38,440 Speaker 2: East as well, lock them out completely, something that the 182 00:09:38,440 --> 00:09:41,800 Speaker 2: Obama administration allowed them back in. John Kerry allows them 183 00:09:41,840 --> 00:09:44,800 Speaker 2: back in when Obama refuses to go after them when 184 00:09:44,800 --> 00:09:47,480 Speaker 2: they crossed the multiple red lines with chemical weapons. So 185 00:09:48,080 --> 00:09:51,320 Speaker 2: this is this is realigning the Middle East towards US 186 00:09:51,520 --> 00:09:54,800 Speaker 2: interests as an oversight, as an over control. 187 00:09:55,120 --> 00:09:57,280 Speaker 3: Let's say that the umbrella for control. 188 00:09:57,360 --> 00:10:00,360 Speaker 2: But but returning power to the people in the legion 189 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:04,080 Speaker 2: as to our our alliances to make sure that we 190 00:10:04,120 --> 00:10:05,000 Speaker 2: get what we want to get. 191 00:10:05,280 --> 00:10:09,080 Speaker 1: Talking to Major Mike Lyons, retired United States Army military analyst, 192 00:10:09,600 --> 00:10:12,920 Speaker 1: and and with Trump, as in so many things, it 193 00:10:13,000 --> 00:10:16,319 Speaker 1: is about the dollars, and this investment into into Gaza 194 00:10:16,480 --> 00:10:20,320 Speaker 1: is about a return, and it is about a guarantee 195 00:10:20,320 --> 00:10:23,240 Speaker 1: in some levels of safety. First off, you have trade partners, 196 00:10:23,280 --> 00:10:25,720 Speaker 1: You're you're not likely to attack them. That's very Milton 197 00:10:25,760 --> 00:10:28,960 Speaker 1: Friedman and it's in its concept, but it's also highly accurate. 198 00:10:29,000 --> 00:10:32,040 Speaker 1: I would argue, hi would it would? I would assume 199 00:10:32,080 --> 00:10:34,760 Speaker 1: agree with that. Maybe I've misread the man. But the 200 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:39,240 Speaker 1: follow up here is who are we dealing with still 201 00:10:39,320 --> 00:10:43,760 Speaker 1: as the enemies, And this is of course Iran. You 202 00:10:43,840 --> 00:10:47,240 Speaker 1: take out Naton's, you take out Isfahan, you take out 203 00:10:47,240 --> 00:10:52,000 Speaker 1: four Doah, these nuclear facilities. You've engaged massive sanctions on 204 00:10:52,040 --> 00:10:55,520 Speaker 1: the nation so desperate that they're now trying to capture 205 00:10:55,520 --> 00:10:58,040 Speaker 1: and have captured at least one oil tanker through the 206 00:10:58,040 --> 00:11:03,240 Speaker 1: Straits of Hormus that was Marshall Islands flagged. We still 207 00:11:03,280 --> 00:11:06,560 Speaker 1: think of Iran as the threat in the region. 208 00:11:08,000 --> 00:11:13,160 Speaker 2: Well, we do from their capability perspective and their level 209 00:11:13,160 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 2: of intelligence, I mean, their culture. They have the wherewithal 210 00:11:17,320 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 2: to create the environment that would potentially threaten Israel again. 211 00:11:23,360 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 2: And you know what's happened to Iran in the past 212 00:11:26,640 --> 00:11:29,400 Speaker 2: two years and three years since really October seventh when 213 00:11:29,679 --> 00:11:33,280 Speaker 2: Hamas made that tremendous mistake by attacking Israel the way 214 00:11:33,280 --> 00:11:36,800 Speaker 2: they attacked, and where we are today and how the 215 00:11:36,960 --> 00:11:40,920 Speaker 2: entire proxy military for the Iranians has been destroyed and 216 00:11:41,080 --> 00:11:44,120 Speaker 2: Iran is so exposed right now and the fact that 217 00:11:44,160 --> 00:11:46,840 Speaker 2: we did take out their nuclear capability set that back. 218 00:11:47,360 --> 00:11:49,000 Speaker 2: The genie's out of the bottle on that. That's not 219 00:11:49,040 --> 00:11:52,080 Speaker 2: to say they won't potentially have this capability, but for 220 00:11:52,200 --> 00:11:54,800 Speaker 2: right now, for the near term five to ten years, 221 00:11:54,800 --> 00:11:56,959 Speaker 2: that's not going to happen. And so I think that 222 00:11:57,000 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 2: this is all all about these other countries then in 223 00:11:59,640 --> 00:12:03,880 Speaker 2: the Middle He's gaining an advantage over Iran and advancing 224 00:12:03,960 --> 00:12:07,280 Speaker 2: themselves and making sure that Iran stays in that box 225 00:12:07,360 --> 00:12:09,600 Speaker 2: as well as Russia. We don't want the Russians involved 226 00:12:09,600 --> 00:12:12,800 Speaker 2: with any Middle Eastern activities, and I think that this 227 00:12:12,960 --> 00:12:14,280 Speaker 2: is also part of that strategy. 228 00:12:15,520 --> 00:12:19,640 Speaker 1: So when does this strategy come to fruition, because it 229 00:12:19,640 --> 00:12:22,679 Speaker 1: would seem to me that the strategy is only successful 230 00:12:23,000 --> 00:12:26,920 Speaker 1: when the Ayatola is gone and the people of Iran 231 00:12:26,960 --> 00:12:29,600 Speaker 1: and say, you know what, we're actually Persia, that we're 232 00:12:29,600 --> 00:12:33,160 Speaker 1: we're not around We're Persian, We're Persians, and hey, who 233 00:12:33,240 --> 00:12:37,000 Speaker 1: wants to engage in trade. Isn't that the moment of success? 234 00:12:38,240 --> 00:12:42,280 Speaker 2: Well likely, sure, from a final perspective, But until then, 235 00:12:42,360 --> 00:12:44,840 Speaker 2: our foreign policy can be what it was back in 236 00:12:44,880 --> 00:12:47,680 Speaker 2: the eighties, and it's just containment and making sure. Same 237 00:12:47,720 --> 00:12:50,440 Speaker 2: with same with the Soviet Union back during the Cold Wars. 238 00:12:50,720 --> 00:12:53,560 Speaker 2: It's just containment, making sure that the Iranians are not 239 00:12:53,640 --> 00:12:56,240 Speaker 2: partnering with let's say the North Koreans and they taking 240 00:12:56,280 --> 00:13:00,160 Speaker 2: their nuclear capabilities, some of their missile capability, making sure 241 00:13:00,200 --> 00:13:03,440 Speaker 2: that Iran is not an exporter of terrorism and state 242 00:13:03,559 --> 00:13:07,520 Speaker 2: sponsoring groups and proxy armies that exist that once existed 243 00:13:07,559 --> 00:13:10,559 Speaker 2: inside of Syria and Iraq and having them attack Israel. 244 00:13:10,760 --> 00:13:14,000 Speaker 2: I mean the downside right now of Gaza is we 245 00:13:14,080 --> 00:13:16,800 Speaker 2: haven't seen Turkey or Indonesia. These countries had promised to 246 00:13:16,840 --> 00:13:20,160 Speaker 2: step up in order to provide some level of structure 247 00:13:20,200 --> 00:13:23,120 Speaker 2: for security. They haven't been involved. Nor of the Egyptians. 248 00:13:23,160 --> 00:13:27,080 Speaker 2: I still believe that Egypt is the indispensable partner here 249 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:30,720 Speaker 2: in this to make it work. But until Hamas is 250 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 2: completely obliterated, which they don't seem to be, they still 251 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:37,520 Speaker 2: control some ministries, they still control some arms, and until 252 00:13:37,520 --> 00:13:40,680 Speaker 2: those other Middle Eastern countries get involved, that mission's not 253 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:42,920 Speaker 2: moving forward. Trump got the hostages out, and that's kind 254 00:13:42,960 --> 00:13:45,080 Speaker 2: of it for right now. But that's these fire still 255 00:13:45,080 --> 00:13:45,760 Speaker 2: hanging on a threat. 256 00:13:45,800 --> 00:13:46,600 Speaker 3: It's a big it. 257 00:13:46,600 --> 00:13:48,680 Speaker 1: It's a big it. Before I let you go, you 258 00:13:48,760 --> 00:13:52,480 Speaker 1: brought up Russia, and I don't think anything anywhere involving 259 00:13:52,559 --> 00:14:00,720 Speaker 1: the military doesn't involve a conversation about China. Is this 260 00:14:00,880 --> 00:14:04,319 Speaker 1: move solely about keeping the Russian influence out of the 261 00:14:04,360 --> 00:14:08,360 Speaker 1: Middle East? And how big can Russian influence be considering 262 00:14:08,920 --> 00:14:12,880 Speaker 1: that they're still in this ever loving morass with the Ukrainians. 263 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:16,520 Speaker 2: You know, the point about China is really solid because 264 00:14:16,720 --> 00:14:20,440 Speaker 2: I think that's the secondary objective with every single foreign 265 00:14:20,480 --> 00:14:25,120 Speaker 2: policy projection that the Trump administration has done, keeping China 266 00:14:25,120 --> 00:14:27,640 Speaker 2: out of the Middle East. Trying to do now a 267 00:14:27,680 --> 00:14:30,320 Speaker 2: deal in Ukraine. I saw a report that's some kind 268 00:14:30,360 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 2: of twenty eight point plan. I think that's way too much, 269 00:14:32,480 --> 00:14:36,840 Speaker 2: but to try to settle that situation with the China 270 00:14:36,840 --> 00:14:39,800 Speaker 2: in the background. And clearly we're projecting power in the 271 00:14:39,840 --> 00:14:43,560 Speaker 2: Caribbean because we don't want China involvement with Venezuela and 272 00:14:43,560 --> 00:14:43,960 Speaker 2: the likes. 273 00:14:44,000 --> 00:14:47,680 Speaker 1: So you see you see the USS gerald Ford, the 274 00:14:47,720 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 1: largest aircraft carrier we have in the Caribbean. You see 275 00:14:50,480 --> 00:14:54,560 Speaker 1: these other assets coming the designation of Maduro as a 276 00:14:54,600 --> 00:14:59,040 Speaker 1: narco terrorist organization, these drugs as a way of thwarting 277 00:14:59,120 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 1: China because they I've been spending crazy cash and trying 278 00:15:02,960 --> 00:15:04,360 Speaker 1: to build out South America. 279 00:15:04,600 --> 00:15:09,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, it's exactly right, and we're reestablishing our footprint in 280 00:15:10,560 --> 00:15:12,560 Speaker 2: the southern part of the hemisphere as part of the 281 00:15:12,560 --> 00:15:15,680 Speaker 2: Monroe doctrine. And shouldn't surprise anybody. We shouldn't have to 282 00:15:15,720 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 2: send a carrier group to the Caribbean to project power. 283 00:15:18,080 --> 00:15:21,240 Speaker 2: But this is how this administration talks, this is how 284 00:15:21,240 --> 00:15:25,600 Speaker 2: they gain leverage. And perhaps Maduro will change his behavior. 285 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:27,800 Speaker 2: I don't think so. I think we have to always 286 00:15:27,800 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 2: be careful with regime change. It doesn't always go the 287 00:15:29,840 --> 00:15:32,480 Speaker 2: way we want it to go. And clearly we have 288 00:15:32,640 --> 00:15:37,320 Speaker 2: a supply chain issue coming from Columbia with their cocaine 289 00:15:37,360 --> 00:15:38,920 Speaker 2: twenty five hundred metric tons a year. 290 00:15:38,920 --> 00:15:40,800 Speaker 3: It doesn't come on those speedboats. 291 00:15:40,840 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 2: It comes mostly over land, gets to Mexico combined with fentanyl, 292 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 2: and that's what the Trump administration is trying to fight. 293 00:15:46,080 --> 00:15:50,160 Speaker 2: But right now, the leverage they're projecting is visible leverage 294 00:15:50,240 --> 00:15:54,080 Speaker 2: on what's happening right now and with every secondary mission 295 00:15:54,160 --> 00:15:56,800 Speaker 2: is to project power against the Chinese to say, don't 296 00:15:56,800 --> 00:15:57,560 Speaker 2: even think about it. 297 00:15:58,120 --> 00:16:02,120 Speaker 1: Major Mike Lyons, retired Nited States Army military analyst. I 298 00:16:02,120 --> 00:16:04,880 Speaker 1: appreciate you being with us. More to come. I'm Tony Katz. 299 00:16:04,880 --> 00:16:06,000 Speaker 1: This is Tony Katz today