1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,280 Speaker 1: I am absolutely opposed to the United States owning any 2 00:00:03,279 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: part of Intel. I was opposed to Solindra. I am 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:08,640 Speaker 1: opposed to this. This is not the role of government. 4 00:00:08,880 --> 00:00:12,200 Speaker 1: I was opposed to too big to fail, the idea 5 00:00:12,240 --> 00:00:15,640 Speaker 1: that somehow we had to bail out these banks. Absolutely not. 6 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:19,360 Speaker 1: I developed these insurance companies, never no chance. There is 7 00:00:19,360 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 1: no such thing as too big to fail. Those companies 8 00:00:22,960 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 1: that do not handle themselves appropriately, well that's the way 9 00:00:26,800 --> 00:00:29,560 Speaker 1: it goes. But the idea that somehow we have to 10 00:00:29,600 --> 00:00:32,480 Speaker 1: prop them up in order to save America, it doesn't 11 00:00:32,479 --> 00:00:35,080 Speaker 1: seem to be saving America. It was wrong when George 12 00:00:35,120 --> 00:00:37,519 Speaker 1: Bush did it, it was wrong when Barack Obama did it, 13 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: and yes it's wrong when Donald Trump does it. 14 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 2: Tony Katz, Tony Katz today, good to be with you. 15 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:47,199 Speaker 1: Doctor Matt Will joins me right now, economist at the 16 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:49,200 Speaker 1: University of Indianapolis. 17 00:00:49,840 --> 00:00:51,919 Speaker 2: And this Intel thing, it's right. 18 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:55,080 Speaker 1: SoftBank comes in and spends two billion dollars gaining a 19 00:00:55,120 --> 00:00:57,959 Speaker 1: purchase of Intel, and I thought. 20 00:00:57,760 --> 00:00:59,640 Speaker 2: That was very, very weird. 21 00:00:59,680 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 1: Number is the money didn't make any sense to me, 22 00:01:01,840 --> 00:01:04,039 Speaker 1: But you consider all the investments soft Bank has already 23 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:06,399 Speaker 1: said they're going to make in the US President Trump 24 00:01:06,400 --> 00:01:08,639 Speaker 1: and made those announcements, and then all of a sudden, 25 00:01:08,720 --> 00:01:11,160 Speaker 1: we see that the US is getting a ten percent 26 00:01:11,200 --> 00:01:15,199 Speaker 1: stake of Intel. Doctor will to walk me through the banks, 27 00:01:15,800 --> 00:01:18,160 Speaker 1: the basics of. 28 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:20,600 Speaker 2: This deal and then your take on the deal. 29 00:01:21,480 --> 00:01:24,320 Speaker 3: Well, there's there's two parts of this. There's the conceptual 30 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 3: and there's the actual data. You know, the Intel, what 31 00:01:27,200 --> 00:01:30,000 Speaker 3: kind of company is it? And let me just start 32 00:01:30,040 --> 00:01:32,440 Speaker 3: with the concept. You know, I have to say that 33 00:01:32,800 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 3: this is pure socialism, whether it's George Bush, Barack Obama, 34 00:01:36,920 --> 00:01:40,160 Speaker 3: or Donald Trump. Like you said, it's socialism. The government's 35 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:44,040 Speaker 3: role is not to be an owner of companies. It's 36 00:01:44,080 --> 00:01:47,120 Speaker 3: to be the referee. You know, Biden was wrong in 37 00:01:47,160 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 3: the Chipsack when he gave all this money to Intel, 38 00:01:49,680 --> 00:01:52,400 Speaker 3: and Trump is wrong in owning part of Intel. It's 39 00:01:52,440 --> 00:01:55,320 Speaker 3: a bad idea. We don't want the government to be 40 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:57,640 Speaker 3: in the game. We don't want them to be the referee. 41 00:01:57,640 --> 00:01:59,559 Speaker 3: We want them to be the referee, not a member 42 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:02,120 Speaker 3: of the team. You know, if the government owned buggy 43 00:02:02,120 --> 00:02:05,160 Speaker 3: whip manufacturing, we never would have had the car industry, 44 00:02:05,600 --> 00:02:07,600 Speaker 3: you know, because they would have had a vested interest. 45 00:02:07,720 --> 00:02:10,720 Speaker 3: You mentioned Cylinder back in twenty eleven. That was a 46 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:14,240 Speaker 3: bad investment. The government has owned Amtrak, They've owned the 47 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,639 Speaker 3: Tennessee Valley Authority, they owned the US Postal Service. None 48 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:20,480 Speaker 3: of these things have gone well. And since two thousand 49 00:02:20,520 --> 00:02:23,240 Speaker 3: and nine they've owned Freddy and Fanny. They have six 50 00:02:23,360 --> 00:02:26,560 Speaker 3: trillion dollars in mortgages that they own. It is a 51 00:02:26,600 --> 00:02:29,440 Speaker 3: disaster when the government owns companies, and we don't want 52 00:02:29,480 --> 00:02:33,040 Speaker 3: that to happen in a capitalist, free economy. 53 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,200 Speaker 1: So let's start with the baseline. You call it socialism, 54 00:02:36,240 --> 00:02:38,760 Speaker 1: and people say, how dare you? This is Trump saving 55 00:02:38,800 --> 00:02:41,720 Speaker 1: a company that's important to American growth and jobs. 56 00:02:42,000 --> 00:02:42,760 Speaker 2: What do you say to that? 57 00:02:43,480 --> 00:02:46,920 Speaker 3: Let him go under. It is not saving jobs. Until 58 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:50,000 Speaker 3: in twenty twenty four to twenty five, has cut twenty 59 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,280 Speaker 3: four thousand jobs. Tell me how that's saving jobs. By 60 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:58,359 Speaker 3: cutting twenty four thousand jobs. In twenty twenty four, they 61 00:02:58,400 --> 00:03:02,079 Speaker 3: reported a seven billion dollar loss in their foundry division. 62 00:03:02,680 --> 00:03:07,880 Speaker 3: They canceled two megafab factories this year alone. By the way, 63 00:03:08,120 --> 00:03:12,760 Speaker 3: there's plenty of chip makers in the US. There's plenty. Nvidia, 64 00:03:13,080 --> 00:03:17,120 Speaker 3: the world's dominant AI chip maker, is based in Santa Clara, California. 65 00:03:17,919 --> 00:03:22,399 Speaker 3: The number one competitor for desktop CPUs is AMD. They're 66 00:03:22,440 --> 00:03:28,120 Speaker 3: a US based company, Qualcomm, Broadcom, Micron. These companies are 67 00:03:28,320 --> 00:03:31,880 Speaker 3: US based other than Taiwan Semiconductor. We own this industry. 68 00:03:32,600 --> 00:03:35,000 Speaker 3: Let them go under. Let a good company buy a 69 00:03:35,040 --> 00:03:37,840 Speaker 3: bad company. Intel is bad. I can give you the 70 00:03:37,960 --> 00:03:39,640 Speaker 3: data on how bad they are. Going to give you 71 00:03:39,720 --> 00:03:41,720 Speaker 3: the data on how great these other companies are. 72 00:03:41,880 --> 00:03:43,760 Speaker 2: Now tell me to your show. 73 00:03:43,880 --> 00:03:47,920 Speaker 1: Note that doctor Will has been on this for a 74 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,840 Speaker 1: while talking to doctor Matt Will, economist at the University 75 00:03:50,880 --> 00:03:54,760 Speaker 1: of Indianapolis. This was him on the social media's after 76 00:03:54,840 --> 00:03:57,120 Speaker 1: Trump said that it's my great honor to report that 77 00:03:57,160 --> 00:03:59,920 Speaker 1: the United States of America now fully owns a good 78 00:04:00,120 --> 00:04:03,080 Speaker 1: rolls ten percent of Intel, a great American company that 79 00:04:03,160 --> 00:04:07,000 Speaker 1: has an even more incredible future. That he negotiated the deal. 80 00:04:07,320 --> 00:04:10,160 Speaker 1: The shares are now valued at eleven billion. It was you, 81 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 1: doctor Will, who said Intel is a bad company. The 82 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:15,840 Speaker 1: government should not own private companies that should not pick 83 00:04:15,880 --> 00:04:18,480 Speaker 1: winners and losers. Intel must be allowed to fail or 84 00:04:18,480 --> 00:04:22,720 Speaker 1: succeed on its own merits. Stop socialism. So you are 85 00:04:22,920 --> 00:04:26,479 Speaker 1: you're very clearly, and people are gonna say to you 86 00:04:26,520 --> 00:04:30,440 Speaker 1: once again, here you are, doctor Will. Just throwing a 87 00:04:30,480 --> 00:04:33,040 Speaker 1: fit over something Trump does. You're just a Trump hater. 88 00:04:33,200 --> 00:04:36,120 Speaker 1: You don't like Trump, it's all, You're just anti Trump. 89 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:40,000 Speaker 1: Is this anti Trump? I know this is an anti Trump. 90 00:04:40,000 --> 00:04:41,120 Speaker 1: This is antisocialism. 91 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:43,440 Speaker 3: You know. A good friend of mine called me yesterday, 92 00:04:43,480 --> 00:04:46,440 Speaker 3: former Goldman Sachs person and asked me, well, you have 93 00:04:46,560 --> 00:04:49,800 Speaker 3: buyer's remorse as you call it. No, I would vote 94 00:04:49,839 --> 00:04:52,240 Speaker 3: for Trump again in a heartbeat. Most of the things 95 00:04:52,279 --> 00:04:56,400 Speaker 3: he's doing economically are fantastic. But this socialism thing is 96 00:04:56,480 --> 00:04:59,760 Speaker 3: bad and his statement was wrong. It is not a 97 00:04:59,760 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 3: good company. They're not creating AI chips. They had a 98 00:05:03,320 --> 00:05:06,640 Speaker 3: Gen six to Gen eleven core failure on the Xon CPUs. 99 00:05:06,800 --> 00:05:10,840 Speaker 3: Their reptile chip had a doss attacks this thing. They're 100 00:05:10,880 --> 00:05:15,520 Speaker 3: a mess. Look at their competitors. AMD. AMD year over 101 00:05:15,640 --> 00:05:19,400 Speaker 3: year revenue was up thirty two percent, their AI revenue 102 00:05:19,400 --> 00:05:23,240 Speaker 3: was up ninety four percent. Broadcom, a US company, their 103 00:05:23,240 --> 00:05:27,520 Speaker 3: AI revenue was up seventy seven percent. Micron a US company. 104 00:05:27,920 --> 00:05:31,240 Speaker 3: Their data center revenue was up one hundred percent this year. 105 00:05:31,760 --> 00:05:34,880 Speaker 3: There are plenty of good US companies in this industry, 106 00:05:35,440 --> 00:05:38,479 Speaker 3: and Intel is laying off people. They're losing money, they're 107 00:05:38,520 --> 00:05:42,440 Speaker 3: closing factories. How is this a good investment? Can someone 108 00:05:42,480 --> 00:05:45,159 Speaker 3: tell me how owning ten percent of Intel is a 109 00:05:45,160 --> 00:05:49,280 Speaker 3: good investment. Let them go bankrupt, someone else will buy them, 110 00:05:49,400 --> 00:05:52,920 Speaker 3: someone else will take over that market. That's called capitalism. 111 00:05:53,200 --> 00:05:56,159 Speaker 3: We don't support the horse and buggy industry. We want 112 00:05:56,160 --> 00:06:00,600 Speaker 3: the car industry to succeed, you know, we want businesses 113 00:06:00,640 --> 00:06:02,960 Speaker 3: to grow. We went innovation. We don't want to prop 114 00:06:03,040 --> 00:06:05,640 Speaker 3: up bad companies, and this is a bad company. 115 00:06:06,520 --> 00:06:09,760 Speaker 1: This leads us to the why we do it and 116 00:06:11,000 --> 00:06:15,839 Speaker 1: the the Really there's a political or philosophical underpinning to 117 00:06:16,000 --> 00:06:18,000 Speaker 1: all of this, and it's one of the reasons why 118 00:06:18,000 --> 00:06:20,440 Speaker 1: I'm not a populist in that way. You can't let 119 00:06:20,440 --> 00:06:22,719 Speaker 1: this company go under. This company is so important to 120 00:06:22,760 --> 00:06:26,160 Speaker 1: America and to American jobs. It's a great American company. 121 00:06:26,400 --> 00:06:28,920 Speaker 1: I'm with you if it's there's no such thing as 122 00:06:28,960 --> 00:06:32,880 Speaker 1: too big to fail. You say, you know, and discuss 123 00:06:32,920 --> 00:06:35,880 Speaker 1: this as socialism. You put this post out there. What 124 00:06:36,040 --> 00:06:39,600 Speaker 1: was the response? Just my curiosity that you got to it. 125 00:06:40,760 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 3: I was surprised at how many people were positive to it. 126 00:06:44,240 --> 00:06:46,200 Speaker 3: There was an initial and if people go back and look, 127 00:06:46,200 --> 00:06:48,520 Speaker 3: there were initially some folks who were not happy they 128 00:06:48,560 --> 00:06:50,720 Speaker 3: were saying, oh, you're against Trump, Europeans Trump. But then 129 00:06:50,720 --> 00:06:53,280 Speaker 3: when I laid out you know what the bad things 130 00:06:53,279 --> 00:06:55,159 Speaker 3: that have happened to Intel, and that there's all these 131 00:06:55,279 --> 00:07:00,120 Speaker 3: US competitors. There are US based Nvidia, amb Qualcom, Broadcom, Micron, 132 00:07:00,279 --> 00:07:03,440 Speaker 3: there's all these US companies. People started coming around. Although 133 00:07:03,480 --> 00:07:06,200 Speaker 3: one friend of mine, I was very disappointed. Who actually 134 00:07:06,279 --> 00:07:09,159 Speaker 3: is a big Ann Rand loves Ann Rand talks about 135 00:07:09,200 --> 00:07:13,240 Speaker 3: Atlas Shrugged all the time, was, you know, on the 136 00:07:13,280 --> 00:07:16,960 Speaker 3: Trump bandwagon for this topic. There's some people that are 137 00:07:17,040 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 3: so wedded to Trump they can't see when he does 138 00:07:20,440 --> 00:07:23,520 Speaker 3: bad and when he does good. And I'll tell you 139 00:07:23,640 --> 00:07:26,520 Speaker 3: again and again and again, I'd vote for him again, 140 00:07:26,720 --> 00:07:28,480 Speaker 3: and I'd vote for him twice on Sunday. And if 141 00:07:28,480 --> 00:07:31,480 Speaker 3: I could go to Illinois and Ohio and vote multiple times, 142 00:07:31,520 --> 00:07:34,880 Speaker 3: I would. No, I wouldn't because I'm not a an 143 00:07:34,880 --> 00:07:38,840 Speaker 3: ethical person. But he's the better choice by far. None 144 00:07:38,840 --> 00:07:40,600 Speaker 3: of the great things that are happening right now would 145 00:07:40,600 --> 00:07:44,600 Speaker 3: have happened if Harris would have won. But he isn't perfect, 146 00:07:45,040 --> 00:07:47,240 Speaker 3: and he's wrong on teriffs, and he's wrong on the 147 00:07:47,320 --> 00:07:52,600 Speaker 3: government owning businesses. That's not US capitalism. That's Karl Marx 148 00:07:52,720 --> 00:07:54,360 Speaker 3: socialism and I'm against it. 149 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:58,480 Speaker 1: Talking to doctor Matt Will, economists at the University of Indianapolis, 150 00:07:59,280 --> 00:08:04,280 Speaker 1: this economy, I seem to be at odds with some people, 151 00:08:04,880 --> 00:08:08,440 Speaker 1: is not great. This economy is not there. The price 152 00:08:08,480 --> 00:08:11,720 Speaker 1: of everything is still high, the insurances are still high. 153 00:08:11,920 --> 00:08:17,640 Speaker 2: Is the movement in a downward trajectory has not come. 154 00:08:17,720 --> 00:08:21,160 Speaker 1: I mean, you had the announcement from Jerome Powell, Chairman 155 00:08:21,160 --> 00:08:23,960 Speaker 1: of the Federal Reserve, from Jackson out of Jackson Hole 156 00:08:24,000 --> 00:08:28,000 Speaker 1: at the symposium saying the conditions could show an opportunity 157 00:08:28,440 --> 00:08:31,760 Speaker 1: for reducing interest rates, which of course sent the markets 158 00:08:32,040 --> 00:08:33,560 Speaker 1: up near nine hundred points. 159 00:08:34,920 --> 00:08:37,839 Speaker 2: But this economy is not there. 160 00:08:38,320 --> 00:08:42,680 Speaker 1: Are we feeling the tariffs now taking an effect to 161 00:08:42,760 --> 00:08:46,760 Speaker 1: the negative or is this still the Biden hangover of 162 00:08:46,840 --> 00:08:48,840 Speaker 1: all that inflation working its way through. 163 00:08:50,160 --> 00:08:52,640 Speaker 3: It's a little of both. We still have a lot 164 00:08:52,679 --> 00:08:56,520 Speaker 3: of bad outcomes from the Biden policies, but now the 165 00:08:56,559 --> 00:08:59,760 Speaker 3: Trump policies are starting to weed their way into the economy. 166 00:09:00,200 --> 00:09:02,000 Speaker 3: There are some good and there are some bad. I mean, 167 00:09:02,240 --> 00:09:06,040 Speaker 3: in the second quarter we had phenomenal GDP growth. Consumer 168 00:09:06,080 --> 00:09:10,800 Speaker 3: spending is still very high, and we see that curving 169 00:09:11,040 --> 00:09:13,320 Speaker 3: of the use of debt. You know, credit card's still 170 00:09:13,320 --> 00:09:16,400 Speaker 3: too high, but it's curving down. We see wages increasing, 171 00:09:16,480 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 3: So there's some good stuff happening. The deregulation. I just 172 00:09:19,280 --> 00:09:22,240 Speaker 3: can't say enough good things about that. But you know 173 00:09:22,360 --> 00:09:26,800 Speaker 3: I said before, Trump's like this economic schizophrenic. He's doing 174 00:09:26,840 --> 00:09:29,959 Speaker 3: all these good things, but then the tariffs are slowing 175 00:09:30,000 --> 00:09:33,959 Speaker 3: down the economy. John Deere announced two hundred and thirty 176 00:09:34,000 --> 00:09:39,760 Speaker 3: eight layoffs, all tariff related. They announced six hundred million 177 00:09:39,800 --> 00:09:43,120 Speaker 3: dollars in expenses this fiscal year as a result of tariffs. 178 00:09:43,280 --> 00:09:47,400 Speaker 3: He's trying to help John Deere. He wants to help Caterpillar. 179 00:09:47,480 --> 00:09:52,319 Speaker 3: Yet Caterpillar reported one point five billion dollars in increased 180 00:09:52,440 --> 00:09:56,200 Speaker 3: cost related to tariffs. And I've said this many times, 181 00:09:56,240 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 3: and I'm going to keep repeating myself. In the end, 182 00:09:59,080 --> 00:10:04,240 Speaker 3: trade deficits are good, and tariffs remove the incentive to 183 00:10:04,280 --> 00:10:08,599 Speaker 3: do trade, which harms the thing. Trump wants to help agriculture. 184 00:10:09,400 --> 00:10:13,960 Speaker 3: He wants to help agriculture since the tariffour exports to 185 00:10:14,080 --> 00:10:17,600 Speaker 3: China for tariffs. Because of tariffs, agricultural products have dropped 186 00:10:17,640 --> 00:10:22,600 Speaker 3: five and a half billion dollars. Overall, agricultural trade has 187 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:27,079 Speaker 3: dropped twenty eight point six billion dollars since the trade 188 00:10:27,120 --> 00:10:31,120 Speaker 3: war started. We look at the PMI report, I'm looking 189 00:10:31,160 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 3: at it right now. He started off when he was elected. 190 00:10:35,720 --> 00:10:39,680 Speaker 3: Economic output from manufacturing, which is what the tariffs are about, 191 00:10:39,760 --> 00:10:43,959 Speaker 3: in his mind, grew until the tariff started. We've had 192 00:10:44,040 --> 00:10:48,679 Speaker 3: five consecutive months of manufacturing contraction in the United States 193 00:10:48,720 --> 00:10:52,240 Speaker 3: as a result of tariffs. So if I could just 194 00:10:52,320 --> 00:10:56,199 Speaker 3: somehow convince the president to get off the tariff bandwagon 195 00:10:56,840 --> 00:11:00,600 Speaker 3: and stop owning other companies that's not his job, things 196 00:11:00,640 --> 00:11:03,040 Speaker 3: would be so good. You wouldn't be able to measure. 197 00:11:03,160 --> 00:11:06,440 Speaker 3: You know, we could borrow some adjectives from Trump, the 198 00:11:06,440 --> 00:11:09,280 Speaker 3: best economy you've seen in history, if you could just 199 00:11:09,320 --> 00:11:10,719 Speaker 3: get off the tariff bandwagon. 200 00:11:11,240 --> 00:11:15,240 Speaker 1: Is it solely and exclusively tariffs that are are keeping 201 00:11:15,280 --> 00:11:18,720 Speaker 1: prices high hat tariffs? I see insurances going up. I 202 00:11:18,760 --> 00:11:21,560 Speaker 1: see property taxes. I mean, certainly, I property taxes are 203 00:11:21,720 --> 00:11:24,400 Speaker 1: a different function. But I do see the insurance world, 204 00:11:24,480 --> 00:11:26,640 Speaker 1: car insurance, homeowners insurance, etc. 205 00:11:27,160 --> 00:11:29,480 Speaker 2: Going up, up, up, And it has been now for 206 00:11:29,559 --> 00:11:30,880 Speaker 2: the last few years. 207 00:11:30,920 --> 00:11:35,640 Speaker 1: And this is engaging some real hard costs preventing other 208 00:11:35,720 --> 00:11:38,200 Speaker 1: things from happening in retail markets. 209 00:11:38,360 --> 00:11:39,719 Speaker 2: Yet I see retail. 210 00:11:39,360 --> 00:11:44,400 Speaker 1: Spending going up, so I see the economy as not great. 211 00:11:44,600 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 2: I still see it as a gigantic problem. 212 00:11:47,600 --> 00:11:51,640 Speaker 1: But some of the numbers three percent GDP, retail spending up, 213 00:11:51,840 --> 00:11:53,679 Speaker 1: they don't seem to see it as a problem. So 214 00:11:54,320 --> 00:11:58,520 Speaker 1: how much longer can this economy continue to be an issue? 215 00:11:58,880 --> 00:12:00,120 Speaker 2: Yet people still spend it? 216 00:12:01,120 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 3: You know? Let me just say a bit about the 217 00:12:02,880 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 3: insurance costs. The insurance is unrelated to all of this. 218 00:12:05,960 --> 00:12:08,160 Speaker 3: I won't bore you with the cyclical aspect, but there's 219 00:12:08,160 --> 00:12:11,120 Speaker 3: about a seven year cycle on how claims are processed, 220 00:12:11,559 --> 00:12:14,439 Speaker 3: and that's unrelated. There is what we call an insurance 221 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:18,400 Speaker 3: cycle that aside. We talked about this many times. The 222 00:12:18,440 --> 00:12:22,000 Speaker 3: tariffs don't initially cause inflation because tariffs are just a tax. 223 00:12:22,600 --> 00:12:25,440 Speaker 3: And when the government increases taxes, that doesn't cause inflation, 224 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:29,439 Speaker 3: that doesn't print more money the tax The tariffs are 225 00:12:29,480 --> 00:12:33,840 Speaker 3: a delayed impact because they reduce the economy's growth. You 226 00:12:33,880 --> 00:12:36,839 Speaker 3: and I talk about this. Capitalists talk about this all 227 00:12:36,840 --> 00:12:40,040 Speaker 3: the time. Art Laugher talks about it. You cut taxes, 228 00:12:40,520 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 3: you spur growth, which causes an inverse reaction. It causes 229 00:12:45,480 --> 00:12:48,719 Speaker 3: not to have inflation because your economy is growing. The 230 00:12:48,800 --> 00:12:53,320 Speaker 3: taxes that are tariffs will slow the economy, and in 231 00:12:53,360 --> 00:12:56,559 Speaker 3: the long term they cause inflation. We're now getting towards 232 00:12:56,640 --> 00:12:59,839 Speaker 3: the long term. It's not here yet, but it's look. 233 00:13:00,000 --> 00:13:02,240 Speaker 3: We're seeing it in the PPI numbers, we see it 234 00:13:02,280 --> 00:13:05,800 Speaker 3: in the manufacturing data. We do see the fact that 235 00:13:05,880 --> 00:13:09,480 Speaker 3: we will have inflation again. The terrorists don't cause inflation 236 00:13:09,520 --> 00:13:12,040 Speaker 3: because it's just a tax, but they lead to a 237 00:13:12,120 --> 00:13:14,320 Speaker 3: slowing economy. And I'm going to go back to what 238 00:13:14,360 --> 00:13:17,480 Speaker 3: I said on your show recently. This is the battle 239 00:13:17,480 --> 00:13:22,200 Speaker 3: of Trump, the good Trump economic policies versus the bad 240 00:13:22,200 --> 00:13:25,880 Speaker 3: Trump economic policies, and I hope, I hope that he 241 00:13:26,080 --> 00:13:30,400 Speaker 3: wins the good policies. Right now, the most recent data 242 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:34,199 Speaker 3: shows a fifty to fifty percent chance of a recession, 243 00:13:34,840 --> 00:13:37,920 Speaker 3: up from a forty percent chance, which was up from 244 00:13:37,920 --> 00:13:40,640 Speaker 3: a thirty three percent chance. There is now an equal 245 00:13:40,720 --> 00:13:42,800 Speaker 3: chance we'll have in a recession. So the battle of 246 00:13:42,800 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 3: Trump versus Trump, it looks like bad Trump and good 247 00:13:46,320 --> 00:13:47,520 Speaker 3: Trump are in a stalemate. 248 00:13:49,120 --> 00:13:52,960 Speaker 1: Talking to doctor Matt Well, economists at the University of Indianapolis, 249 00:13:53,280 --> 00:13:56,800 Speaker 1: let me move it over to the Federal Reserve. Jerome 250 00:13:56,840 --> 00:13:59,440 Speaker 1: Powell very much seems on his last legs, and certainly 251 00:13:59,480 --> 00:14:01,400 Speaker 1: that's term will come to an end and he will 252 00:14:01,400 --> 00:14:04,360 Speaker 1: be gone as a chairman of the Federal Reserve. But 253 00:14:04,440 --> 00:14:07,120 Speaker 1: he did when I spoke about the symposium of Jackson 254 00:14:07,120 --> 00:14:11,160 Speaker 1: Hole in Wyoming, he did hint that the conditions could 255 00:14:11,240 --> 00:14:16,319 Speaker 1: be favorable to an interest rate cut. Economists expecting this 256 00:14:16,840 --> 00:14:17,760 Speaker 1: cut to come. 257 00:14:18,320 --> 00:14:21,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think the futures market is around eighty percent 258 00:14:21,600 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 3: expectation of a cut. I think that's probably going to 259 00:14:24,280 --> 00:14:26,280 Speaker 3: be up today. I haven't looked at the most recent data, 260 00:14:26,680 --> 00:14:28,200 Speaker 3: so yeah, I think people think it's going to be 261 00:14:28,200 --> 00:14:31,000 Speaker 3: a cut. But I am no longer defending Jerome Pal. 262 00:14:31,040 --> 00:14:33,360 Speaker 3: I defended him for a while and I've stopped because 263 00:14:34,160 --> 00:14:36,520 Speaker 3: cutting rates would be good if he also dumps the 264 00:14:36,560 --> 00:14:38,600 Speaker 3: balance sheet, and he's not going to do that. He 265 00:14:38,680 --> 00:14:40,840 Speaker 3: has to sell the assets the Federal Reserve owns, and 266 00:14:40,880 --> 00:14:44,960 Speaker 3: he's not doing it. Jerome Pal is making a bad 267 00:14:45,040 --> 00:14:48,119 Speaker 3: and a bad decision. He could make two good decisions 268 00:14:48,200 --> 00:14:51,320 Speaker 3: if he would cut rates and dump the balance sheet, 269 00:14:51,360 --> 00:14:54,840 Speaker 3: but he's not doing that. He's going to cause inflation. 270 00:14:55,600 --> 00:14:59,320 Speaker 3: He could stop inflation. The guy is incompetent. He's not 271 00:14:59,360 --> 00:15:02,960 Speaker 3: doing his and he's got to be gone. I'm just 272 00:15:03,040 --> 00:15:04,880 Speaker 3: I'm sorry. You know, I was all in on him 273 00:15:04,880 --> 00:15:06,840 Speaker 3: at one point and I'm all out. We need a 274 00:15:06,880 --> 00:15:08,400 Speaker 3: new person in there, and we need to replace the 275 00:15:08,480 --> 00:15:10,480 Speaker 3: federies or bar with people that know what they're doing. 276 00:15:10,760 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 1: More with doctor Matt Will coming up in just a moment. 277 00:15:13,880 --> 00:15:15,640 Speaker 1: Find everything at tonykats dot com. 278 00:15:15,880 --> 00:15:18,040 Speaker 2: I appreciate if you do that, keep it here. This 279 00:15:18,120 --> 00:15:19,320 Speaker 2: is Tony Katz today. 280 00:15:20,520 --> 00:15:22,920 Speaker 1: So you've got all this talk about Jerome Powell and 281 00:15:22,960 --> 00:15:26,480 Speaker 1: how the Federal Reserve is doing things and whether they're 282 00:15:26,520 --> 00:15:30,040 Speaker 1: going to reduce interest rates, and and you know, you've 283 00:15:30,080 --> 00:15:35,360 Speaker 1: got Wall Street looking to this almost with desperation. Tony Katz, 284 00:15:35,720 --> 00:15:37,680 Speaker 1: Tony Katz today, Good to. 285 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:41,280 Speaker 2: Be with you. But you also have this now level of. 286 00:15:41,680 --> 00:15:46,280 Speaker 1: Palace intrigue with Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, which brings 287 00:15:46,360 --> 00:15:50,920 Speaker 1: us to this part two conversation talking to doctor Matt Will, 288 00:15:51,000 --> 00:15:55,560 Speaker 1: economist at the University of Indianapolis, talking about Jerome Powell 289 00:15:55,600 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 1: and not reducing the balance sheets, something that you've discussed here, 290 00:16:01,360 --> 00:16:05,040 Speaker 1: something that Kevin Walsh wants to do and might make 291 00:16:05,120 --> 00:16:07,680 Speaker 1: him a lead candidate. 292 00:16:07,480 --> 00:16:09,040 Speaker 2: To be the chair of the Federal Reserve. 293 00:16:09,440 --> 00:16:13,680 Speaker 1: But then you have President Trump saying of Lisa Cook, 294 00:16:14,160 --> 00:16:14,760 Speaker 1: you're fired. 295 00:16:14,880 --> 00:16:19,680 Speaker 2: You are off the Federal Reserve Board. The allegation is she. 296 00:16:19,560 --> 00:16:24,640 Speaker 1: Improperly filled out a mortgage application, lied on a mortgage application. 297 00:16:25,160 --> 00:16:27,960 Speaker 1: She is saying that the president has no authority over 298 00:16:28,040 --> 00:16:32,760 Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve or an independent agency, and you can't 299 00:16:32,800 --> 00:16:37,440 Speaker 1: fire me. What is wall Street's take on the removal 300 00:16:37,440 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 1: of Lisa Cook. 301 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:41,520 Speaker 3: Well, I think wall Streets take is that it's going 302 00:16:41,560 --> 00:16:44,800 Speaker 3: to drag out in courts and that eventually Trump will 303 00:16:44,800 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 3: win because the Supreme Court has said no, this is 304 00:16:47,680 --> 00:16:50,720 Speaker 3: the executive branch. The president can make appointments and the 305 00:16:50,720 --> 00:16:53,840 Speaker 3: president can fire people. No one is above the law, 306 00:16:53,960 --> 00:16:57,840 Speaker 3: no one is excluded. Everyone falls under the three branches 307 00:16:57,840 --> 00:17:00,480 Speaker 3: of government. So they fall under his branch. So that's 308 00:17:00,520 --> 00:17:02,640 Speaker 3: what I think wall Street's doing. But let me get 309 00:17:02,640 --> 00:17:06,119 Speaker 3: into the nuts and bolts of this. This is very important, Tony. 310 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:10,160 Speaker 3: If you or I committed mortgage fraud, if we said 311 00:17:10,200 --> 00:17:13,760 Speaker 3: we lived in Michigan and we lived in Atlanta, we 312 00:17:13,840 --> 00:17:16,000 Speaker 3: said that we signed a document saying we did it, 313 00:17:16,440 --> 00:17:19,280 Speaker 3: we wouldn't be prosecuted. Okay, they would send us a 314 00:17:19,320 --> 00:17:22,359 Speaker 3: note saying you have to remedy this, maybe give us 315 00:17:22,359 --> 00:17:24,639 Speaker 3: a fine. They'd say, you have to refinance one of 316 00:17:24,680 --> 00:17:29,480 Speaker 3: your mortgages. But you and I are not the entity 317 00:17:29,640 --> 00:17:33,840 Speaker 3: that regulates mortgages in the country. We're not on the 318 00:17:33,920 --> 00:17:38,280 Speaker 3: board that oversees mortgage regulation. We're not on the board 319 00:17:38,560 --> 00:17:43,199 Speaker 3: that has the largest ownership about six trillion dollars of mortgages. 320 00:17:43,880 --> 00:17:46,200 Speaker 3: She is one of those people whose job it is 321 00:17:46,320 --> 00:17:49,960 Speaker 3: to enforce the law. It is her job to oversee 322 00:17:50,000 --> 00:17:53,160 Speaker 3: it's enforced. I should say it's her job to oversee 323 00:17:53,200 --> 00:17:57,760 Speaker 3: the policies that she just violated. Now it's an accusation. 324 00:17:57,920 --> 00:18:00,640 Speaker 3: Let's wait and see what the courts say. Everyone's until 325 00:18:00,680 --> 00:18:05,200 Speaker 3: proven guilty. But she signed a document, according to the accusations, 326 00:18:05,800 --> 00:18:08,680 Speaker 3: that she owned a home in Michigan and she lived 327 00:18:08,720 --> 00:18:11,280 Speaker 3: in a home also in Georgia. She said, I live 328 00:18:11,320 --> 00:18:15,560 Speaker 3: in both places. Two months later, she put her Atlanta 329 00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:18,840 Speaker 3: condo on the market for rent. She even now admits 330 00:18:18,920 --> 00:18:21,760 Speaker 3: she collected rent on a property that she said she 331 00:18:21,960 --> 00:18:25,880 Speaker 3: lives in. This is like Silicon Valley Bank. You may 332 00:18:25,920 --> 00:18:29,720 Speaker 3: recall the CEO of Silicon Valley Bank was on the 333 00:18:29,800 --> 00:18:33,600 Speaker 3: regulatory board of the Federal Reserve Board in San Francisco. 334 00:18:34,760 --> 00:18:37,879 Speaker 3: He ignored. He was in charge of regulating himself. And 335 00:18:37,920 --> 00:18:41,320 Speaker 3: now we saw over one hundred notices from regulators saying 336 00:18:41,359 --> 00:18:45,679 Speaker 3: there's a problem here that we're not enforced. She is 337 00:18:46,080 --> 00:18:48,720 Speaker 3: in charge of this, She's part of the body that 338 00:18:48,760 --> 00:18:52,600 Speaker 3: oversees the regulation. That is a problem. She should be fired, 339 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:55,600 Speaker 3: she should be prosecuted. This is not you and I. 340 00:18:56,000 --> 00:18:59,040 Speaker 3: This is a person in charge. She knows this, she 341 00:18:59,240 --> 00:19:02,800 Speaker 3: knows the laws. He helps write the law on mortgages. 342 00:19:03,480 --> 00:19:05,480 Speaker 3: Get her out of there. This is ridiculous. 343 00:19:06,320 --> 00:19:07,280 Speaker 2: This is. 344 00:19:09,000 --> 00:19:11,399 Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to be in the esoteric 345 00:19:11,440 --> 00:19:15,399 Speaker 1: here in the ether, but I have long argued that 346 00:19:15,560 --> 00:19:18,680 Speaker 1: nineteen thirteen was the start of the tilt of America. 347 00:19:19,440 --> 00:19:19,680 Speaker 2: Right. 348 00:19:19,800 --> 00:19:22,600 Speaker 1: You had the direct election of senators, which I think 349 00:19:22,680 --> 00:19:26,080 Speaker 1: is an absolutely horrific idea. You have the income tax, 350 00:19:26,359 --> 00:19:29,199 Speaker 1: and I would make the argument to anyone anywhere. You 351 00:19:29,320 --> 00:19:32,359 Speaker 1: give me the Conference of Economists, and I will state 352 00:19:32,359 --> 00:19:35,000 Speaker 1: to them clearly that no good has ever come from 353 00:19:35,000 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 1: the income tax ever. 354 00:19:36,040 --> 00:19:37,359 Speaker 2: In the history of the income tax. 355 00:19:37,960 --> 00:19:40,720 Speaker 1: I can make that argument, I believe as soundly as 356 00:19:40,800 --> 00:19:45,760 Speaker 1: anybody in the world. And of the Federal Reserve, which 357 00:19:46,080 --> 00:19:50,879 Speaker 1: obstensibly was created to prevent wild gesticulations in the market. 358 00:19:50,880 --> 00:19:52,880 Speaker 2: You never get too high, you never get too low. 359 00:19:53,200 --> 00:19:57,960 Speaker 1: It'll create a more calm, more even way for the 360 00:19:58,000 --> 00:19:59,760 Speaker 1: country to build and grow. 361 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:02,320 Speaker 2: And I don't believe any part of that is true. 362 00:20:02,640 --> 00:20:05,800 Speaker 1: So the question is not whether we replaced Room Powell 363 00:20:05,840 --> 00:20:08,679 Speaker 1: or not, whether you know we replaced Lisa Cook, and 364 00:20:08,720 --> 00:20:11,160 Speaker 1: is Lisa Cook guilty of any criminal activity? 365 00:20:11,280 --> 00:20:12,479 Speaker 2: Innocent, proven guilty? 366 00:20:12,520 --> 00:20:16,600 Speaker 1: I agree, But rather what is the purpose of the 367 00:20:16,640 --> 00:20:20,159 Speaker 1: Federal Reserve in today's world? 368 00:20:20,880 --> 00:20:24,400 Speaker 3: As you see it, The goal should be to create 369 00:20:24,480 --> 00:20:27,760 Speaker 3: price stability. That should be their number one goal. You know, 370 00:20:27,880 --> 00:20:30,520 Speaker 3: you're the data you're referring to back to nineteen thirteen. 371 00:20:30,800 --> 00:20:33,280 Speaker 3: All of that came from or maybe you're referring to 372 00:20:34,000 --> 00:20:36,480 Speaker 3: came from a book that Milton Freeman wrote called A 373 00:20:36,520 --> 00:20:38,639 Speaker 3: Monetary History of the United States, and it was a 374 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,840 Speaker 3: phenomenal book and he won a Nobel Prize for it. 375 00:20:41,200 --> 00:20:44,160 Speaker 3: And he talked about this Federal Reserve Board. He talked 376 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:46,800 Speaker 3: about the gold standard and how really we needed it. 377 00:20:46,840 --> 00:20:49,280 Speaker 3: But then he changed his opinion, and I agree with him, 378 00:20:49,600 --> 00:20:52,680 Speaker 3: and he said the Federal Reserve Board should operate under 379 00:20:52,720 --> 00:20:55,840 Speaker 3: a law, and the law is specific on that its 380 00:20:55,880 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 3: goal is to monitor the money supply and increase the 381 00:20:58,640 --> 00:21:02,480 Speaker 3: money supply sufficient to maintain price stability. That's all they 382 00:21:02,560 --> 00:21:05,760 Speaker 3: should do. But they have this other mandate of full employment, 383 00:21:05,760 --> 00:21:09,080 Speaker 3: which then gets very political. I think there should be 384 00:21:09,080 --> 00:21:11,680 Speaker 3: a law, like Milton Friedman said, it should be very specific, 385 00:21:11,680 --> 00:21:14,760 Speaker 3: and the Federal Reserve boards should be accountable to Congress 386 00:21:14,800 --> 00:21:18,120 Speaker 3: and to the President to enforce that law. I don't 387 00:21:18,119 --> 00:21:20,639 Speaker 3: think they should be this entity that goes off and 388 00:21:20,720 --> 00:21:24,800 Speaker 3: is supposedly independent, because that's a joke. There's no independence. 389 00:21:25,000 --> 00:21:28,639 Speaker 3: They're political, they're political appointees, and they're not doing a 390 00:21:28,640 --> 00:21:32,200 Speaker 3: good job at the moment. Historically they've done a decent 391 00:21:32,320 --> 00:21:37,720 Speaker 3: job now under not under Bernanki and not under Yelling. 392 00:21:38,560 --> 00:21:40,720 Speaker 3: But you know, Alan Greenspan, I think did a good job. 393 00:21:41,280 --> 00:21:44,480 Speaker 3: Paul Volker did not. So if you're playing keeping score here, 394 00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:47,159 Speaker 3: we haven't had that many good Federal Reserve chairmen. 395 00:21:49,040 --> 00:21:54,199 Speaker 1: The question about I think Alan Greenspan, we can might, 396 00:21:54,240 --> 00:21:55,680 Speaker 1: we might be able to go in a couple different 397 00:21:55,680 --> 00:21:58,080 Speaker 1: directions with whether he was good, whether he was. 398 00:21:58,119 --> 00:22:00,800 Speaker 3: Bad but he ended bad, he ended bad but he 399 00:22:00,840 --> 00:22:02,400 Speaker 3: started good. Let's let me put it that way. 400 00:22:02,560 --> 00:22:05,760 Speaker 1: I think that the largest scale question talking to doctor 401 00:22:05,800 --> 00:22:09,359 Speaker 1: Matt Will economists at the University of Indianapolis, is does 402 00:22:09,400 --> 00:22:10,560 Speaker 1: this provide a value? 403 00:22:10,640 --> 00:22:10,920 Speaker 2: Now? 404 00:22:11,359 --> 00:22:14,480 Speaker 1: You know, my take on nineteen thirteen has to do 405 00:22:14,600 --> 00:22:17,359 Speaker 1: with the fact that these three things happened, and these 406 00:22:17,440 --> 00:22:21,840 Speaker 1: three things changed how the country runs, and the changing 407 00:22:21,840 --> 00:22:25,600 Speaker 1: about the country ran changed how the country ran. And 408 00:22:25,720 --> 00:22:28,080 Speaker 1: I believe that I referred to it as the tilts 409 00:22:28,080 --> 00:22:30,919 Speaker 1: of America. And you could see how these things have 410 00:22:31,240 --> 00:22:37,640 Speaker 1: engaged in negative effect to our whole society. So now 411 00:22:37,680 --> 00:22:40,879 Speaker 1: we're hearing about Trump talking about wanting to change Trump Powell, 412 00:22:41,480 --> 00:22:44,359 Speaker 1: is he not going far enough? If we didn't have 413 00:22:44,400 --> 00:22:48,200 Speaker 1: a Federal Reserve, what actually would be the bad You. 414 00:22:48,119 --> 00:22:51,480 Speaker 3: Know, that's a good question. And you know, I'll go 415 00:22:51,640 --> 00:22:54,760 Speaker 3: back to the logic of Winston Churchill and I'll paraphrase 416 00:22:54,800 --> 00:22:57,400 Speaker 3: him improperly, but I'll try. You know, it's the worst 417 00:22:57,480 --> 00:22:59,600 Speaker 3: system except for all those others that have been tried 418 00:22:59,600 --> 00:23:03,120 Speaker 3: and failed. I think the Federal Reserve Board is not perfect, 419 00:23:03,400 --> 00:23:05,520 Speaker 3: but I think it's the best we've got. I think 420 00:23:05,520 --> 00:23:08,320 Speaker 3: it's done a decent job, but it's not perfect. It's 421 00:23:08,320 --> 00:23:11,040 Speaker 3: made mistakes. I'm not a fan of getting rid of it. 422 00:23:12,040 --> 00:23:14,160 Speaker 3: I do think it should be modified I think there 423 00:23:14,160 --> 00:23:16,840 Speaker 3: should be some legal parameters put in, but I think 424 00:23:16,880 --> 00:23:20,000 Speaker 3: it does a decent job historically. Right now it's totally 425 00:23:20,040 --> 00:23:22,840 Speaker 3: messing up. I think it messed up when it, you know, 426 00:23:22,880 --> 00:23:25,800 Speaker 3: transitory inflation was put out there, so you know, we 427 00:23:25,880 --> 00:23:28,280 Speaker 3: may disagree on this. I don't think the Federal Reserve 428 00:23:28,320 --> 00:23:30,159 Speaker 3: is perfect, but I think it's the best we have 429 00:23:30,240 --> 00:23:31,960 Speaker 3: now because but I don't know what to replace it with. 430 00:23:32,280 --> 00:23:34,479 Speaker 3: Do you replace it with the politicians? That's what happens 431 00:23:34,520 --> 00:23:37,200 Speaker 3: in third world countries where they just are printing money 432 00:23:37,240 --> 00:23:37,800 Speaker 3: like crazy. 433 00:23:37,880 --> 00:23:40,760 Speaker 1: But wait, first of all, transitory inflation was Jenny Yellen, 434 00:23:40,800 --> 00:23:44,320 Speaker 1: the Treasury Secretary. Not necessarily the Federal Reserve. But the 435 00:23:45,320 --> 00:23:51,040 Speaker 1: question is is it necessary at all? We started without it. 436 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:54,560 Speaker 1: Why in the world do we need this bureaucracy level. 437 00:23:54,720 --> 00:23:58,119 Speaker 1: Can't an economy just run and we deal with what 438 00:23:58,280 --> 00:23:59,119 Speaker 1: happens next. 439 00:24:00,840 --> 00:24:03,719 Speaker 3: No, because we need someone to print the money. Remember 440 00:24:03,880 --> 00:24:06,879 Speaker 3: when the United States started, we had different currencies across 441 00:24:06,920 --> 00:24:09,760 Speaker 3: the country, I mean different states had different currencies, and 442 00:24:09,800 --> 00:24:12,359 Speaker 3: then we had a gold standard, and the gold standard 443 00:24:12,480 --> 00:24:15,600 Speaker 3: didn't really work in controlling inflation because it was based 444 00:24:15,640 --> 00:24:18,160 Speaker 3: on who controlled the supply of gold and the amount produced, 445 00:24:18,800 --> 00:24:21,160 Speaker 3: So we need something to control the amount of cash 446 00:24:21,160 --> 00:24:23,240 Speaker 3: in the economy. And I'm not a fan of crypto 447 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:25,239 Speaker 3: because I don't think that that is a good way 448 00:24:25,320 --> 00:24:28,240 Speaker 3: to monitor the money supply. There's too much black market 449 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:31,480 Speaker 3: and underhanded things that could happen. So no, we need 450 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:34,719 Speaker 3: somebody to monitor the money supply. That's very important, and 451 00:24:34,800 --> 00:24:37,560 Speaker 3: I think they do a decent job historically at it. 452 00:24:37,800 --> 00:24:40,280 Speaker 3: And we've seen that because other than Germany and Switzerland, 453 00:24:40,359 --> 00:24:44,240 Speaker 3: we've had the lowest inflation globally for many, many years, 454 00:24:44,359 --> 00:24:48,040 Speaker 3: which is why we have the reserve currency. So they're 455 00:24:48,040 --> 00:24:50,719 Speaker 3: not perfect, but they do. You know, we need something 456 00:24:50,880 --> 00:24:52,719 Speaker 3: like them. I don't know what the alternative is. 457 00:24:53,160 --> 00:24:55,719 Speaker 1: Talking to doctor Matt Well, economists at the University of 458 00:24:55,720 --> 00:24:58,679 Speaker 1: Indianapolis before I let you go, you brought up Switzerland. 459 00:25:00,000 --> 00:25:02,080 Speaker 1: We are right now trying to rework their trade deal. 460 00:25:02,200 --> 00:25:05,280 Speaker 1: They're at a thirty nine percent tariff. We talked about 461 00:25:05,280 --> 00:25:07,520 Speaker 1: how the tariffs have not done well for US, and 462 00:25:07,600 --> 00:25:09,919 Speaker 1: I do believe that. I think the tariffs are indeed 463 00:25:10,200 --> 00:25:12,359 Speaker 1: a mistake, and I think trying to create trade deals 464 00:25:12,480 --> 00:25:17,760 Speaker 1: on trade deficits is also a mistake in its approach. 465 00:25:18,640 --> 00:25:22,119 Speaker 1: Targeted tariffs is tactic, like, for example, on China is 466 00:25:22,119 --> 00:25:24,360 Speaker 1: certainly something that I can get down with. Certainly you're 467 00:25:24,359 --> 00:25:28,040 Speaker 1: seeing the issue with India because they're buying Russian energy 468 00:25:28,240 --> 00:25:30,840 Speaker 1: getting close to China, and the United States is trying 469 00:25:30,840 --> 00:25:34,119 Speaker 1: to stop that from taking place. But these things like 470 00:25:34,160 --> 00:25:37,119 Speaker 1: Switzerland trying to recreate the deal, Canada trying to recreate 471 00:25:37,119 --> 00:25:40,040 Speaker 1: the deal, taking off some tariffs on US goods to 472 00:25:40,160 --> 00:25:44,520 Speaker 1: show some good faith in the end, are these trade 473 00:25:44,560 --> 00:25:48,960 Speaker 1: deals enough to offset the tariff cost? 474 00:25:50,520 --> 00:25:53,880 Speaker 3: No? No, I don't think there's no trade deal that's 475 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:56,320 Speaker 3: going to be beneficial. It's going to be a lose lose. 476 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,240 Speaker 3: You know, Switzerland is a very expensive country. I was 477 00:25:59,240 --> 00:26:02,000 Speaker 3: there in March can tell you the cost of living 478 00:26:02,080 --> 00:26:05,040 Speaker 3: is outrageous. And it's ironic because while their cost of 479 00:26:05,040 --> 00:26:08,919 Speaker 3: living is very high, the available consumer goods is non existent. 480 00:26:09,640 --> 00:26:13,240 Speaker 3: They have such barriers like like Trump is correct and sane, 481 00:26:13,440 --> 00:26:17,800 Speaker 3: tariff barriers, trade barriers. You can't find normal US products 482 00:26:17,800 --> 00:26:20,760 Speaker 3: in Switzerland because they ban them from coming in the country. 483 00:26:21,240 --> 00:26:24,280 Speaker 3: So will he trike a deal, yes, will it be good? 484 00:26:24,520 --> 00:26:26,560 Speaker 3: It's gonna you know, it's gonna be a lose lose. 485 00:26:26,560 --> 00:26:29,000 Speaker 3: It's just a matter of how much lose lose we get. 486 00:26:29,400 --> 00:26:31,520 Speaker 3: Every trade deal is a lose lose There is no 487 00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:34,680 Speaker 3: win whenever we increase tariffs on anybody. 488 00:26:34,840 --> 00:26:38,760 Speaker 1: Doctor Mattwell, economists at the University of Indianapolis. I appreciate 489 00:26:38,760 --> 00:26:40,399 Speaker 1: you taking on the times to be with us more 490 00:26:40,400 --> 00:26:41,680 Speaker 1: than get to I'm Tony Katz. 491 00:26:41,720 --> 00:26:43,359 Speaker 2: This is Tony Kats today,