1 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:10,800 Speaker 1: Line from ball Hartbier and the Crossroads of America. It's 2 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: Tony Katz today. 3 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 2: It's very weird to see people in America wanting America 4 00:00:15,880 --> 00:00:16,239 Speaker 2: to fail. 5 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:17,200 Speaker 1: But there's a lot of this. 6 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:23,520 Speaker 2: There's a ridiculous amount of this, a complete willingness to 7 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 2: manufacture what's happening on the ground in Iran, a complete 8 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:31,080 Speaker 2: willingness to make the claim that we are behind the 9 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:33,800 Speaker 2: eight ball, that we failed here, that somehow we don't 10 00:00:33,840 --> 00:00:36,000 Speaker 2: have an exit plant, even though we may not have 11 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:37,360 Speaker 2: everything written down on. 12 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:39,760 Speaker 1: Paper, that it's not satisfactory to them. 13 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 2: So therefore this is total bungling and everything's Vietnam all 14 00:00:43,159 --> 00:00:47,120 Speaker 2: over again. It's kind of remarkable to watch people make 15 00:00:47,200 --> 00:00:49,919 Speaker 2: these moves. And it's not just on the left, it's 16 00:00:49,960 --> 00:00:52,360 Speaker 2: on the woke right as well. And when you see 17 00:00:52,400 --> 00:00:56,160 Speaker 2: pieces from Al Jazeera saying, you know, the Iranians are 18 00:00:56,200 --> 00:00:57,440 Speaker 2: really getting destroyed here. 19 00:00:58,520 --> 00:01:01,600 Speaker 1: What exactly are we looking at? What has happened lately? 20 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 1: And how is this war one? 21 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:07,119 Speaker 2: Tony Kaks Tony Katz today, Good to be here, Good 22 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:09,600 Speaker 2: to be with you. Chuck Devor joins us right now 23 00:01:09,920 --> 00:01:14,520 Speaker 2: from the Texas Public Policy Foundation, where he does a 24 00:01:14,640 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 2: great number of things. He's the Chief National Initiative's officer. 25 00:01:18,520 --> 00:01:23,160 Speaker 2: He was there in the Reagan era. Pentagon served in 26 00:01:23,200 --> 00:01:26,959 Speaker 2: the US military, rising to the rank of lieutenant colonel, 27 00:01:27,000 --> 00:01:30,040 Speaker 2: And Sir, you do a lot. You've been talking a 28 00:01:30,120 --> 00:01:33,119 Speaker 2: lot about this with the good people over there at 29 00:01:33,120 --> 00:01:37,440 Speaker 2: Fox News. Let's start with where we're at in this 30 00:01:37,560 --> 00:01:40,640 Speaker 2: military campaign, a little more than two weeks into this. 31 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:46,880 Speaker 2: What exists or doesn't exist from the Iranian military? And 32 00:01:46,959 --> 00:01:49,320 Speaker 2: how do you categorize, as a guy who has seen 33 00:01:49,320 --> 00:01:52,480 Speaker 2: this happen before, how do you categorize how the US 34 00:01:52,520 --> 00:01:53,840 Speaker 2: military has maneuvered here. 35 00:01:54,160 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 3: Yeah, well, let's start with the last question first. I'd 36 00:01:56,920 --> 00:02:00,280 Speaker 3: have to say it's just been superb. I mean, it's 37 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:05,680 Speaker 3: unbelievable how well the US military, with their Israeli allies, 38 00:02:05,720 --> 00:02:10,239 Speaker 3: have functioned, keeping mistakes to a minimum, being ahead of 39 00:02:10,280 --> 00:02:16,600 Speaker 3: the time schedule, and really achieving some significant strategic effects. 40 00:02:17,080 --> 00:02:19,440 Speaker 3: So let's talk about those effects. You know, one of 41 00:02:19,440 --> 00:02:23,480 Speaker 3: the big worries as we started this war was Iran's 42 00:02:23,760 --> 00:02:29,200 Speaker 3: ballistic missile capability and their drone capability, and what you 43 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:33,600 Speaker 3: see are two things. It's like a virtuous cycle. What's 44 00:02:33,639 --> 00:02:37,239 Speaker 3: happening is is that the US mostly the US and 45 00:02:37,760 --> 00:02:41,160 Speaker 3: with some help from our Israeli allies, have been destroying 46 00:02:41,200 --> 00:02:45,799 Speaker 3: the mobile missile launchers as well as the drone launching 47 00:02:46,200 --> 00:02:51,880 Speaker 3: facilities or vehicles, storage sites, manufacturing centers, and so what 48 00:02:51,919 --> 00:02:55,600 Speaker 3: you've seen is the drone and missile fire both have 49 00:02:55,760 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 3: significantly decreased from just a little over two weeks ago, 50 00:03:00,200 --> 00:03:02,960 Speaker 3: over ninety percent. But there's another side of that equation, 51 00:03:03,160 --> 00:03:08,040 Speaker 3: which is the effectiveness of the interceptors not only aboard 52 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:11,480 Speaker 3: US vessels but also in Israel and with our golf 53 00:03:11,760 --> 00:03:15,720 Speaker 3: Arab allies. And you're seeing the effectiveness of the interceptions 54 00:03:15,800 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 3: of the missiles and the drones go from you know, 55 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:21,440 Speaker 3: in the high to mid eighties, low nineties, depending on 56 00:03:21,480 --> 00:03:26,079 Speaker 3: the system, to today we're consistently knocking down the drones 57 00:03:26,080 --> 00:03:28,800 Speaker 3: and missiles at a rate of ninety five to ninety 58 00:03:28,840 --> 00:03:32,040 Speaker 3: eight percent. Now, some of that is because there's a 59 00:03:32,160 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 3: slackening of fire from Iran, and some of that is 60 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,880 Speaker 3: because we're getting better in the Israelis, the US, and 61 00:03:38,920 --> 00:03:41,839 Speaker 3: the golf Arab allies are all getting really good at this, 62 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:47,560 Speaker 3: including lastly Tony some very interesting information that we're getting 63 00:03:47,840 --> 00:03:51,400 Speaker 3: out of the golf Arab states where they're taking US 64 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:55,760 Speaker 3: apache helicopters that we sold them, and they're using the 65 00:03:55,880 --> 00:03:58,920 Speaker 3: chain guns on those helicopters to shoot down the sh 66 00:03:59,040 --> 00:04:02,000 Speaker 3: Had drones. And so finally we have a low cost 67 00:04:02,040 --> 00:04:05,760 Speaker 3: solution to shooting down these very cheap and plentifbule drones, 68 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,840 Speaker 3: which is just simply a fire from a helicopter. 69 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:12,800 Speaker 2: Now, the idea of something being low tech doesn't mean 70 00:04:12,800 --> 00:04:16,800 Speaker 2: that it's bad tech, and really the drone conversation that 71 00:04:16,880 --> 00:04:22,480 Speaker 2: a conversation of cost effectiveness. But the success that we're having, 72 00:04:22,600 --> 00:04:25,680 Speaker 2: you know, we've taken out the Solemoni class destroyers I 73 00:04:25,720 --> 00:04:28,960 Speaker 2: believe it is from the Iranians. There was the sinking 74 00:04:29,040 --> 00:04:31,800 Speaker 2: of another ship from a US sub which may have 75 00:04:31,800 --> 00:04:35,240 Speaker 2: been one of the Solomoni class. Talk to me about 76 00:04:35,320 --> 00:04:40,080 Speaker 2: what has actually been degraded, if not eliminated, by US 77 00:04:40,080 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 2: and Israeli forces thus far. 78 00:04:41,760 --> 00:04:46,560 Speaker 3: Yeah. So, again, the importance of this cannot be overstated, 79 00:04:46,600 --> 00:04:50,679 Speaker 3: which is that the entire Iranian navy is now combat 80 00:04:50,720 --> 00:04:52,880 Speaker 3: and effective. It's either at the bottom of the sea 81 00:04:53,520 --> 00:04:56,320 Speaker 3: or it's so damaged that it can't do anything. And 82 00:04:56,400 --> 00:04:58,480 Speaker 3: let me just say that there has not been one 83 00:04:58,920 --> 00:05:03,240 Speaker 3: confirmed hit by a sea mine in all of the 84 00:05:03,360 --> 00:05:05,880 Speaker 3: days of combat that we've had. There were some drones 85 00:05:05,920 --> 00:05:09,599 Speaker 3: and some unknown attacks on the you know, the upper 86 00:05:09,600 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 3: side of a ship, but no sea mines, and that 87 00:05:12,720 --> 00:05:15,800 Speaker 3: was something that everyone was terribly fearful of. And of 88 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:20,880 Speaker 3: course we've destroyed, uh, the vessels that would disperse those mines. 89 00:05:21,160 --> 00:05:24,200 Speaker 3: So that's number one. Number two the air defense systems, 90 00:05:24,720 --> 00:05:26,880 Speaker 3: and that isn't just the missile launchers, but of course 91 00:05:26,920 --> 00:05:30,919 Speaker 3: it's the radar and even more importantly, the communications nodes 92 00:05:31,640 --> 00:05:34,200 Speaker 3: that stitch it together as a system, so that is 93 00:05:34,240 --> 00:05:38,640 Speaker 3: completely gone. Number three, the command and control capability of 94 00:05:38,680 --> 00:05:41,479 Speaker 3: the I r GC. That's the you know, the rough 95 00:05:41,520 --> 00:05:45,640 Speaker 3: equivalent to the Nazi s s in Iran, the besiege 96 00:05:46,040 --> 00:05:49,760 Speaker 3: militia UH, these terrible you know young you know, kind 97 00:05:49,760 --> 00:05:52,200 Speaker 3: of almost thinking like Lord of the Flies or Hitler 98 00:05:52,240 --> 00:05:55,480 Speaker 3: youth or something like that. So the leadership and the 99 00:05:55,720 --> 00:05:59,320 Speaker 3: command and control for the besiege militia UH, and of 100 00:05:59,360 --> 00:06:03,400 Speaker 3: course other traditional regime command and control, including of course 101 00:06:03,839 --> 00:06:08,760 Speaker 3: regime figures, right individuals who are the leaders of this 102 00:06:08,920 --> 00:06:16,680 Speaker 3: Iranian revolutionary kind of thuggish, corrupt dictatorship. And lastly, the 103 00:06:16,720 --> 00:06:21,640 Speaker 3: missile manufacturing and drone manufacturing facilities as well the latter, 104 00:06:21,720 --> 00:06:26,720 Speaker 3: of course very important for Putin and Russia to help 105 00:06:26,800 --> 00:06:30,120 Speaker 3: their war against Ukraine because a significant number of the 106 00:06:30,200 --> 00:06:35,520 Speaker 3: drones being used against Ukraine where these Shahid drones from Iran, 107 00:06:35,960 --> 00:06:39,120 Speaker 3: and so their ability to manufacture those as well has 108 00:06:39,200 --> 00:06:43,880 Speaker 3: been largely degraded. And so lastly, what you're left with 109 00:06:44,120 --> 00:06:48,040 Speaker 3: is you do have large numbers of individuals who are 110 00:06:48,080 --> 00:06:53,200 Speaker 3: supposedly still under arms for the regime, but they've been decentralized. 111 00:06:53,480 --> 00:06:56,880 Speaker 3: The Iranian government decentralized the command and control as a 112 00:06:56,880 --> 00:07:00,360 Speaker 3: defensive measure. So it's hard to tell at this point 113 00:07:00,400 --> 00:07:03,920 Speaker 3: just how much control they have on the country and 114 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:06,920 Speaker 3: whether or not the long suffering Iranian people, if they 115 00:07:07,040 --> 00:07:11,120 Speaker 3: rose up, might see some measure of success in certain regions. 116 00:07:11,760 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 2: Talking to Chuck Devoor the Texas Public Policy Foundation and 117 00:07:15,720 --> 00:07:20,680 Speaker 2: writes extensively on these subjects, And you know, the taking 118 00:07:20,720 --> 00:07:23,320 Speaker 2: out of the IRGC, as we've discussed here, is everything. 119 00:07:23,680 --> 00:07:26,000 Speaker 2: You can't have the people making their moves take their 120 00:07:26,040 --> 00:07:30,760 Speaker 2: country back until the Islamic Revolutionary guardcore is destroyed. And 121 00:07:30,840 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 2: one of the ways they're destroyed is by hand to 122 00:07:33,200 --> 00:07:36,680 Speaker 2: hand combat, literally boots on the ground conversations. The other 123 00:07:36,680 --> 00:07:39,760 Speaker 2: way they're destroyed is by taking away the funding that 124 00:07:39,880 --> 00:07:42,920 Speaker 2: gives them the power to be there. That happens by 125 00:07:42,960 --> 00:07:46,400 Speaker 2: disrupting the oil flows and putting an end to hard currency. 126 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:50,720 Speaker 2: This brings us to the conversation of Carg Island. Kharg. 127 00:07:51,320 --> 00:07:54,120 Speaker 2: We saw the bombing raids that took place last week, 128 00:07:54,200 --> 00:07:57,920 Speaker 2: taking out military assets, but leaving the oil intact. Ninety 129 00:07:57,920 --> 00:08:01,240 Speaker 2: percent of Iranian oil goes to Carg Island, and that's 130 00:08:01,240 --> 00:08:03,880 Speaker 2: how they're able to get their dollars. We now hear 131 00:08:03,920 --> 00:08:07,800 Speaker 2: about the USS Tripoli, which is an amphibious assault ship 132 00:08:08,080 --> 00:08:11,760 Speaker 2: heading its way to Carg Island there in the Persian 133 00:08:11,760 --> 00:08:14,440 Speaker 2: Gulf with twenty five hundred marines to. 134 00:08:14,440 --> 00:08:17,840 Speaker 1: Take the island. I make the argument that that's very, very. 135 00:08:17,680 --> 00:08:20,320 Speaker 2: Weird to telegraph that you're sending a ship it's going 136 00:08:20,400 --> 00:08:24,840 Speaker 2: to take two weeks ten days to get there. Talk 137 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:28,880 Speaker 2: to me about Carg Island, the mission that was successful 138 00:08:29,000 --> 00:08:31,560 Speaker 2: in taking out if you think it's successful in taking 139 00:08:31,600 --> 00:08:35,800 Speaker 2: out any military installations on the island, and can the 140 00:08:36,240 --> 00:08:39,760 Speaker 2: capture of this island the ending of oil flows. Can 141 00:08:39,840 --> 00:08:41,520 Speaker 2: this end the IRGC? 142 00:08:42,080 --> 00:08:44,439 Speaker 3: Yeah, So let's go back a few days. You may 143 00:08:44,480 --> 00:08:48,800 Speaker 3: recall that there was a strike on some oil refineries 144 00:08:49,000 --> 00:08:51,040 Speaker 3: on the outskirts of Tehran. 145 00:08:50,679 --> 00:08:51,480 Speaker 1: By the Israelis. 146 00:08:51,480 --> 00:08:54,600 Speaker 3: I believe it was storage facilities as well. Now why 147 00:08:54,720 --> 00:08:58,600 Speaker 3: was that important, Well, because the refined product that's used 148 00:08:58,640 --> 00:09:03,920 Speaker 3: within Iran provides the IRGC with a steady stream of income, 149 00:09:04,760 --> 00:09:08,600 Speaker 3: and that steady stream of income has largely ended with 150 00:09:08,679 --> 00:09:11,360 Speaker 3: the destruction of those facilities. Now, of course that didn't 151 00:09:11,400 --> 00:09:15,480 Speaker 3: harm Iran's ability to export crude oil. That was for 152 00:09:15,559 --> 00:09:18,640 Speaker 3: internal consumption. So then let's move to your question about 153 00:09:18,720 --> 00:09:22,800 Speaker 3: carg Island and about the inbound marine expeditionary unit on 154 00:09:22,880 --> 00:09:26,320 Speaker 3: board the USS Triplele and how poetic, right from the 155 00:09:26,360 --> 00:09:29,600 Speaker 3: halls of Montezumo to the shores of Triple E. So 156 00:09:29,720 --> 00:09:32,800 Speaker 3: the important thing about an me EU marine expeditionary unit 157 00:09:33,240 --> 00:09:36,960 Speaker 3: is that they're like a self contained army. They you know, 158 00:09:37,000 --> 00:09:38,680 Speaker 3: of course the Marines wouldn't like to hear that, but 159 00:09:38,840 --> 00:09:41,400 Speaker 3: I don't mean army with a capital a lower CASEA. 160 00:09:41,880 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 3: So this self contained unit has fighter jets in the 161 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:48,760 Speaker 3: form of F thirty five's, it has helicopters in the 162 00:09:48,760 --> 00:09:54,280 Speaker 3: form of H one Z vipers. It's got heavy lift 163 00:09:54,840 --> 00:09:58,680 Speaker 3: you know, for example, your osprey's and your c stallions. 164 00:09:59,360 --> 00:10:02,560 Speaker 3: So it is a a force that is able to 165 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:06,960 Speaker 3: project multiple threats. Now go way back with me, if 166 00:10:06,960 --> 00:10:09,280 Speaker 3: you will, to the First Golf War. I was on 167 00:10:09,360 --> 00:10:12,080 Speaker 3: active duty for it. Albeit I was supporting the war 168 00:10:12,200 --> 00:10:17,880 Speaker 3: from the National Training Center in California, working in you 169 00:10:18,040 --> 00:10:21,240 Speaker 3: the all sorts of intelligence section there. You may recall 170 00:10:21,280 --> 00:10:25,240 Speaker 3: that we parked a large marine amphibious force off the 171 00:10:25,280 --> 00:10:29,319 Speaker 3: coast of Kuwait as a feint, and we told Saddam 172 00:10:29,400 --> 00:10:31,720 Speaker 3: was saying, hey, Saddam, look, you know we have all 173 00:10:31,760 --> 00:10:34,880 Speaker 3: these marines here ready to invade you from the sea. 174 00:10:35,520 --> 00:10:37,720 Speaker 3: And what that did was it tied down a lot 175 00:10:37,720 --> 00:10:41,720 Speaker 3: of Rock's best units in Kuwait to try to face 176 00:10:42,120 --> 00:10:46,720 Speaker 3: this phantom invasion, while, of course the real threat went 177 00:10:46,920 --> 00:10:49,520 Speaker 3: way to the west and did this big left hook 178 00:10:50,360 --> 00:10:56,480 Speaker 3: that completely caught the Iraqi forces you unprepared. So the 179 00:10:56,960 --> 00:11:00,720 Speaker 3: MEU coming inbound on the Tripoli has all kinds of 180 00:11:00,760 --> 00:11:04,080 Speaker 3: opportunities that it gives your military planners. Could they take 181 00:11:04,120 --> 00:11:08,679 Speaker 3: carg Island, Yes they could. Could they work to destroy 182 00:11:09,000 --> 00:11:13,080 Speaker 3: any sort of anti ship remaining anti ship capability in 183 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:16,640 Speaker 3: the Strait of Hormuz, Yes they could. Could their viper 184 00:11:16,679 --> 00:11:20,959 Speaker 3: helicopters be used to shoot down drones when they if 185 00:11:21,000 --> 00:11:25,120 Speaker 3: they begin to do convoy operations, Yes they could. So 186 00:11:25,320 --> 00:11:28,240 Speaker 3: the bottom line is is that this task force, this 187 00:11:29,120 --> 00:11:34,880 Speaker 3: powerful force of marines, simply multiplies significantly the amount of 188 00:11:34,960 --> 00:11:39,400 Speaker 3: options available to the Sentcom commander, of which carg Island 189 00:11:39,600 --> 00:11:42,440 Speaker 3: is only one of the many things that this MEU 190 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:42,839 Speaker 3: can do. 191 00:11:42,920 --> 00:11:47,240 Speaker 2: But you bring up something that I was discussing with 192 00:11:48,400 --> 00:11:51,400 Speaker 2: Ed Marcy over at hot air dot com. You're both 193 00:11:51,440 --> 00:11:54,480 Speaker 2: Texas guys. You guys should be talking every day, which 194 00:11:54,559 --> 00:11:58,640 Speaker 2: is the idea of this this pentagon specifically and the 195 00:11:58,679 --> 00:12:01,640 Speaker 2: head fake being able to show one thing and then 196 00:12:01,720 --> 00:12:02,920 Speaker 2: doing another thing. 197 00:12:02,960 --> 00:12:05,120 Speaker 1: They have been remarkably good at this. 198 00:12:05,240 --> 00:12:07,640 Speaker 2: Chuck talking to Chuck de Voor of the Texas Public 199 00:12:07,679 --> 00:12:12,160 Speaker 2: Policy Foundation and the you know, the sending up remember 200 00:12:12,200 --> 00:12:15,720 Speaker 2: the original bombing raids on the nuclear facilities at Isfahan 201 00:12:15,800 --> 00:12:18,520 Speaker 2: Foordeaux and Anton's sending B twos this way while you 202 00:12:18,559 --> 00:12:22,520 Speaker 2: were hitting B twos sending B twos that way. Is 203 00:12:23,280 --> 00:12:29,280 Speaker 2: has the deception been as successful here with Iran as 204 00:12:29,280 --> 00:12:30,400 Speaker 2: we have seen it in the past. 205 00:12:31,040 --> 00:12:34,040 Speaker 3: I certainly think so. I mean, what's interesting to me 206 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:38,920 Speaker 3: about democracies and deception plans and specifically the US is 207 00:12:38,960 --> 00:12:43,640 Speaker 3: that our enemies, traditionally Nazi Germany, for example, with the 208 00:12:43,679 --> 00:12:46,800 Speaker 3: deception effort that they put in quite successfully to the 209 00:12:46,840 --> 00:12:51,560 Speaker 3: Battle of the Bulge Right, or the Soviet Union. In 210 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:55,160 Speaker 3: the Soviet Unions case, deception was a major part of 211 00:12:55,240 --> 00:13:01,040 Speaker 3: their doctrine, And with us, it's something that we talk 212 00:13:01,080 --> 00:13:04,800 Speaker 3: about and we train about, and I think frequently we 213 00:13:04,880 --> 00:13:06,760 Speaker 3: think that we're not all that good at it because 214 00:13:06,800 --> 00:13:09,720 Speaker 3: we kind of view it more as an afterthought, largely 215 00:13:09,760 --> 00:13:13,199 Speaker 3: because we have such huge advantages and logistics and technology 216 00:13:13,240 --> 00:13:16,600 Speaker 3: and training and morale. But in fact we're actually not 217 00:13:16,720 --> 00:13:21,040 Speaker 3: bad at it. You saw, for example, an enormously successful 218 00:13:21,080 --> 00:13:26,839 Speaker 3: deception plan that went into D Day with the signaling 219 00:13:27,080 --> 00:13:33,040 Speaker 3: of a major of amphibious assault directly across the channel 220 00:13:33,080 --> 00:13:37,839 Speaker 3: into Calais, and we worked with the French resistance, who 221 00:13:37,880 --> 00:13:40,360 Speaker 3: frankly didn't quite know what we were doing. We had 222 00:13:40,480 --> 00:13:43,360 Speaker 3: patent leading a ghost army, the first US army that 223 00:13:43,480 --> 00:13:47,800 Speaker 3: was completely fake with inflatable tanks, and we're showing Adolf 224 00:13:47,800 --> 00:13:50,320 Speaker 3: Feldler in his general is exactly what they wanted to see. 225 00:13:50,640 --> 00:13:53,520 Speaker 3: And then we ended up invading somewhere else in Normandy. 226 00:13:53,880 --> 00:13:57,160 Speaker 3: So we're actually historically not bad at it. We kind 227 00:13:57,200 --> 00:14:00,640 Speaker 3: of think that we're bad at it, and I don't 228 00:14:00,640 --> 00:14:04,560 Speaker 3: know historically have perhaps not put as much emphasis on it. 229 00:14:05,240 --> 00:14:07,520 Speaker 3: But part of the challenge, of course is leaks. You know, 230 00:14:07,520 --> 00:14:10,960 Speaker 3: when you're in an open society and you have a 231 00:14:11,000 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 3: democracy like we do, it's hard to keep a secret. 232 00:14:13,800 --> 00:14:17,080 Speaker 3: On the other hand, sometimes you can use that to 233 00:14:17,280 --> 00:14:20,840 Speaker 3: your advantage by almost acting as of oops, you know, 234 00:14:20,920 --> 00:14:24,240 Speaker 3: we just have revealed some information that we didn't intend to, 235 00:14:24,320 --> 00:14:28,680 Speaker 3: when in fact you did intend to reveal this false information. 236 00:14:29,120 --> 00:14:33,440 Speaker 3: So yes, they have been doing exceptionally well. And you know, Tony, 237 00:14:33,480 --> 00:14:36,240 Speaker 3: I think there's another huge thing that is often overlooked. 238 00:14:36,240 --> 00:14:39,120 Speaker 3: Here take a few steps back and look at this. 239 00:14:39,640 --> 00:14:43,720 Speaker 3: Look at where America was Visa vi China and Russia 240 00:14:44,160 --> 00:14:48,040 Speaker 3: on the eve of the inauguration of Donald Trump. And 241 00:14:48,120 --> 00:14:52,200 Speaker 3: look at today, where you have Venezuela no longer a 242 00:14:52,320 --> 00:14:56,760 Speaker 3: Chinese outpost. You have Cuba ready to fall to the 243 00:14:56,800 --> 00:15:01,160 Speaker 3: forces of freedom for the first time in sixty plus years. 244 00:15:02,000 --> 00:15:06,960 Speaker 3: You have Mexico and their one party dictatorship becoming increasingly isolated, 245 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:13,120 Speaker 3: and the human trafficking and drug cartels being increasingly pressured. 246 00:15:14,240 --> 00:15:17,960 Speaker 3: And now you have Iran, which is bedoubled American foreign 247 00:15:18,000 --> 00:15:21,720 Speaker 3: policy and the general neighborhood of the Middle East since 248 00:15:21,800 --> 00:15:25,560 Speaker 3: nineteen seventy nine, and a major part of China and 249 00:15:25,640 --> 00:15:29,000 Speaker 3: Russia's war plans that they would be available as a 250 00:15:29,160 --> 00:15:34,120 Speaker 3: irritant or a distraction for the US if anything were 251 00:15:34,160 --> 00:15:37,520 Speaker 3: to happen. If you were Jijingping today, you would have 252 00:15:37,600 --> 00:15:40,120 Speaker 3: to look at the current state of the world and 253 00:15:40,160 --> 00:15:45,240 Speaker 3: determine that America under Donald Trump is so powerful and 254 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:51,880 Speaker 3: so strong militarily that you don't dare even dream about 255 00:15:51,920 --> 00:15:55,880 Speaker 3: trying to take Taiwan by force. That is the effectiveness 256 00:15:56,440 --> 00:15:59,520 Speaker 3: of what's been going on under Donald Trump and the 257 00:15:59,560 --> 00:16:03,360 Speaker 3: massive increase to our credibility and to our deterrence, which 258 00:16:03,400 --> 00:16:06,880 Speaker 3: at the end of the day, significantly increases the likelihood 259 00:16:06,920 --> 00:16:07,360 Speaker 3: of peace. 260 00:16:08,040 --> 00:16:10,120 Speaker 1: I've got more with Chuck de Vorr coming up. Keep 261 00:16:10,160 --> 00:16:10,480 Speaker 1: it here. 262 00:16:10,640 --> 00:16:13,600 Speaker 2: This is Tony Katz today. So we have data that 263 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:16,720 Speaker 2: shows real successes on the ground in Iran, and I 264 00:16:16,760 --> 00:16:20,200 Speaker 2: have been very clear that I am supportive of taking 265 00:16:20,280 --> 00:16:23,880 Speaker 2: out the Iranian regime and ending the terrorism. Tony Katz, 266 00:16:24,400 --> 00:16:27,080 Speaker 2: Tony Katz today, Good to be here, Good to be 267 00:16:27,200 --> 00:16:30,240 Speaker 2: with you. Talking to Chuck to Voor of the Texas 268 00:16:30,240 --> 00:16:31,920 Speaker 2: Public Policy of Foundation. 269 00:16:33,360 --> 00:16:35,360 Speaker 1: We see and I agree. 270 00:16:34,960 --> 00:16:38,120 Speaker 2: With you as you are discussing it incredible successes from 271 00:16:38,120 --> 00:16:40,720 Speaker 2: the United States and the Israelis and taking out the 272 00:16:40,720 --> 00:16:43,920 Speaker 2: Iranian regime. And while the administration won't refer to it 273 00:16:43,920 --> 00:16:47,160 Speaker 2: as regime change, the net and Yahoo administration won't refer 274 00:16:47,240 --> 00:16:48,440 Speaker 2: to it as regime change. 275 00:16:48,560 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 1: I only discuss it as regime change. 276 00:16:50,880 --> 00:16:52,800 Speaker 2: I don't believe we should ever be in a conversation 277 00:16:52,880 --> 00:16:55,880 Speaker 2: that isn't we should be in conversations about what is 278 00:16:56,160 --> 00:16:59,240 Speaker 2: The administration The Trump administration will say that this is 279 00:16:59,280 --> 00:17:04,440 Speaker 2: to give the Iranian people the opportunity to engage regime change. 280 00:17:04,600 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 2: I think it's okay to refer to it as regime change. 281 00:17:07,400 --> 00:17:09,760 Speaker 2: I think people find that off putting. I think it 282 00:17:09,840 --> 00:17:13,440 Speaker 2: is more clarifying than anything else. And people can agree 283 00:17:13,520 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 2: or disagree with me as they choose. 284 00:17:16,240 --> 00:17:17,680 Speaker 1: But let us get into. 285 00:17:19,000 --> 00:17:22,560 Speaker 2: The latest news today, which is the taking out by 286 00:17:23,080 --> 00:17:29,000 Speaker 2: Israeli forces of one of the leaders in Iran. They 287 00:17:29,040 --> 00:17:34,879 Speaker 2: took out Ali Larijani, the Iranian security chief who just 288 00:17:35,359 --> 00:17:37,720 Speaker 2: was it a week ago, was out there on social 289 00:17:37,720 --> 00:17:41,040 Speaker 2: media on the Twitter saying, we defy the US and you. 290 00:17:41,000 --> 00:17:43,600 Speaker 1: Can't bother us. And we're never going to capitulate. And 291 00:17:44,280 --> 00:17:45,000 Speaker 1: now he's gone. 292 00:17:46,440 --> 00:17:49,400 Speaker 2: But we have a lot of people I will personally 293 00:17:49,440 --> 00:17:52,359 Speaker 2: call out Senator Chris Murphy of Connecticut, all call out 294 00:17:52,400 --> 00:17:56,600 Speaker 2: Congressman Rocanna. Sorry Rocanna, California, where you served in the 295 00:17:56,600 --> 00:18:00,760 Speaker 2: California General Assembly. There are people on the woke right 296 00:18:01,800 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 2: who all want to make this claim that it's twofold, 297 00:18:04,840 --> 00:18:09,640 Speaker 2: we're losing and we have no business of being there. 298 00:18:09,840 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 2: Israel dragged us into this war. I want to break 299 00:18:12,880 --> 00:18:15,480 Speaker 2: down this. You know, some people will call it a syap. 300 00:18:15,600 --> 00:18:18,359 Speaker 2: I would rather say when you don't, when you when 301 00:18:18,440 --> 00:18:21,040 Speaker 2: you hate Trump, and when you have an ideological belief, 302 00:18:21,040 --> 00:18:23,160 Speaker 2: it sometimes hard to see the rest of the field. 303 00:18:23,320 --> 00:18:23,639 Speaker 1: Clearly. 304 00:18:24,480 --> 00:18:27,960 Speaker 2: Let's start with Senator Chris Murphy, Let's start with Representative Rocanna. 305 00:18:28,200 --> 00:18:31,200 Speaker 2: Let's start with people like Chris van Holland out of Maryland. 306 00:18:31,800 --> 00:18:35,720 Speaker 2: This concept that we are losing this war. This was 307 00:18:35,840 --> 00:18:40,240 Speaker 2: absolutely unnecessary. What an awful mistake. We had no plan 308 00:18:40,440 --> 00:18:43,920 Speaker 2: going in. Talk to me about battle plans and talk 309 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:46,800 Speaker 2: to me about where their conversations come from and what 310 00:18:46,920 --> 00:18:47,760 Speaker 2: the value of them are. 311 00:18:48,880 --> 00:18:51,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, so, first of all, regarding battle plans, I mean, 312 00:18:51,840 --> 00:18:56,600 Speaker 3: the US does nothing but plan constantly, whether in peacetime 313 00:18:56,760 --> 00:19:00,359 Speaker 3: or wartime. I've been privileged to be part of that 314 00:19:00,440 --> 00:19:04,199 Speaker 3: planning on a tactical and a strategic level. When I 315 00:19:04,280 --> 00:19:06,880 Speaker 3: was a twenty four to twenty five year old Reagan 316 00:19:06,920 --> 00:19:08,760 Speaker 3: appointing in the Pentagon, I spent a week in the 317 00:19:08,760 --> 00:19:13,359 Speaker 3: basement helping to plan an aspect of what eventually became 318 00:19:13,440 --> 00:19:17,280 Speaker 3: Operation Praying Mantis in nineteen eighty eight, which was at 319 00:19:17,280 --> 00:19:21,600 Speaker 3: the time the US Navy's largest surface action since World 320 00:19:21,680 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 3: War Two, likely eclipsed by recent action, although of course 321 00:19:26,560 --> 00:19:30,119 Speaker 3: a lot of the current sinkings have been by missiles 322 00:19:30,440 --> 00:19:34,880 Speaker 3: and stand off weapons. So first of all, the US 323 00:19:34,920 --> 00:19:41,800 Speaker 3: military has planned for all these contingencies endlessly, branch plans, sequels. 324 00:19:42,359 --> 00:19:44,520 Speaker 3: They were prepared, They knew what they were doing. That's 325 00:19:44,560 --> 00:19:48,159 Speaker 3: number one. Number two. I suppose you could say that 326 00:19:48,440 --> 00:19:51,240 Speaker 3: the main critics, mostly on the left but some on 327 00:19:51,280 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 3: the right, that are saying that we're losing, are simply 328 00:19:54,720 --> 00:19:58,440 Speaker 3: reacting to the fact that there has not yet been 329 00:19:59,040 --> 00:20:02,280 Speaker 3: a formal regime change in Iran. Now I would argue 330 00:20:02,320 --> 00:20:05,560 Speaker 3: that there has been regime change. Simply ask yourself who 331 00:20:05,600 --> 00:20:07,520 Speaker 3: is the leader of Iran today and who is the 332 00:20:07,600 --> 00:20:10,440 Speaker 3: leader of Iran twenty one days ago. Oh, it's different. 333 00:20:11,160 --> 00:20:14,480 Speaker 3: And then with regards Ali Larrn Johnny, you know, many 334 00:20:14,480 --> 00:20:16,439 Speaker 3: people were thinking that he was in fact the de 335 00:20:16,560 --> 00:20:19,639 Speaker 3: facto leader because of course we have not seen the 336 00:20:19,680 --> 00:20:23,440 Speaker 3: new Supreme Leader at all since that very first night 337 00:20:23,480 --> 00:20:27,560 Speaker 3: of strikes. So you know, he may be ours to combat, 338 00:20:27,840 --> 00:20:30,080 Speaker 3: so he may be out of the picture anyway. So 339 00:20:30,359 --> 00:20:33,600 Speaker 3: has there been functional regime change? Yes, there has been 340 00:20:33,640 --> 00:20:37,520 Speaker 3: functional regime change. Are the people of Iran in charge 341 00:20:37,520 --> 00:20:40,320 Speaker 3: of their own destiny yet? No? Not yet? Are they 342 00:20:40,359 --> 00:20:43,639 Speaker 3: closer to that day? I believe they are. And so 343 00:20:43,680 --> 00:20:45,879 Speaker 3: then when you look at, for example, the progress of 344 00:20:45,920 --> 00:20:48,800 Speaker 3: this campaign and you look at the you know, how 345 00:20:48,800 --> 00:20:55,440 Speaker 3: many aircraft, how many aircrew have been lost to enemy fire? None? Right, 346 00:20:55,760 --> 00:20:58,800 Speaker 3: we have the three fifteen's near the very beginning of 347 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:02,840 Speaker 3: the conflict shutdown by friendly fire by Kuwait. Very natural, 348 00:21:02,960 --> 00:21:06,159 Speaker 3: dangerous thing to happen. You know, you have a language barrier, 349 00:21:06,240 --> 00:21:11,440 Speaker 3: you have training and doctrine barriers. Communications, obviously those things 350 00:21:11,920 --> 00:21:14,080 Speaker 3: get worked out. Then you had the tragic loss of 351 00:21:14,119 --> 00:21:19,800 Speaker 3: the KC one thirty five crew that were over friendly territory. Again, 352 00:21:19,960 --> 00:21:22,320 Speaker 3: very dangerous operations. I've been up in a KC ten 353 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:28,280 Speaker 3: tanker at night refueling a tens and a six attack aircraft. 354 00:21:29,040 --> 00:21:31,120 Speaker 3: It was a fascinating thing. I got to be back 355 00:21:31,119 --> 00:21:33,920 Speaker 3: in the tail boom and watch the different aircraft come up. 356 00:21:34,119 --> 00:21:36,240 Speaker 3: They come out of nowhere at night, right, especially on 357 00:21:36,240 --> 00:21:38,879 Speaker 3: a moonless night, you see nothing that all of a sudden, 358 00:21:38,960 --> 00:21:42,080 Speaker 3: you see this aircraft that's like two hundred feet away, 359 00:21:42,960 --> 00:21:45,639 Speaker 3: you know, taking in you know, ten thousand pounds of 360 00:21:45,640 --> 00:21:49,080 Speaker 3: fuel or something. It's just amazing to watch. So, you know, 361 00:21:49,160 --> 00:21:51,399 Speaker 3: that's a difficult thing to do. That we trained for 362 00:21:51,520 --> 00:21:53,720 Speaker 3: all the time. So if you look at the losses 363 00:21:53,800 --> 00:21:56,240 Speaker 3: we've suffered, and if you look at the decline and 364 00:21:56,320 --> 00:21:59,479 Speaker 3: the rate of incoming missiles and drones, you have to 365 00:21:59,560 --> 00:22:03,040 Speaker 3: conclude that it's been nothing but as spectacular success. Is 366 00:22:03,119 --> 00:22:08,320 Speaker 3: the regime writ large still in charge nominally? Are they 367 00:22:08,320 --> 00:22:12,159 Speaker 3: barely hanging on? Probably? Are things going to look a 368 00:22:12,160 --> 00:22:14,920 Speaker 3: lot different in two months? Yeah? I think they will. 369 00:22:16,400 --> 00:22:23,560 Speaker 2: The woke right, which is now Tucker Carlson and Canda 370 00:22:23,640 --> 00:22:31,040 Speaker 2: Soans and Megan Kelly and others. This should never have happened. 371 00:22:31,400 --> 00:22:34,560 Speaker 2: We should not be in this position. And they'll do 372 00:22:34,640 --> 00:22:40,800 Speaker 2: two things. They'll talk about forever wars this buzzword, and 373 00:22:40,840 --> 00:22:41,920 Speaker 2: then they'll say. 374 00:22:41,680 --> 00:22:43,520 Speaker 1: Well, you know, the Israeli has dragged us into this. 375 00:22:43,600 --> 00:22:46,000 Speaker 2: Now, if you follow my social media feed, the new 376 00:22:46,040 --> 00:22:49,119 Speaker 2: allegation is I am paid by Masad, but not as 377 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:51,480 Speaker 2: much as other people because I'm not as popular. So 378 00:22:51,560 --> 00:22:54,679 Speaker 2: I'm getting Massad money, but I'm not getting the real 379 00:22:54,720 --> 00:22:57,800 Speaker 2: Massade money, which, by the way, infuriates me to no end, 380 00:22:57,960 --> 00:23:00,280 Speaker 2: because if someone's going to pretend I'm getting paid, I 381 00:23:00,280 --> 00:23:02,600 Speaker 2: would like for them to pretend I'm getting paid all 382 00:23:02,680 --> 00:23:03,720 Speaker 2: the dollars and. 383 00:23:03,720 --> 00:23:10,320 Speaker 1: Not some sliver in their exchange, in their make belief fantasy. 384 00:23:10,359 --> 00:23:12,440 Speaker 1: I would like to think of myself as a big shot. 385 00:23:13,720 --> 00:23:16,639 Speaker 2: But this is this is the argument, right, I disagree 386 00:23:16,680 --> 00:23:18,840 Speaker 2: with what's happening, so therefore you're paid. 387 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:19,359 Speaker 1: You know. 388 00:23:19,440 --> 00:23:21,640 Speaker 2: It's it's this argument of whether or not Tucker Carlson's 389 00:23:21,640 --> 00:23:23,560 Speaker 2: getting paid by Cutter or Qatar, however you want to 390 00:23:23,560 --> 00:23:26,360 Speaker 2: pronounce it. My answer is I have absolutely no idea 391 00:23:26,800 --> 00:23:29,280 Speaker 2: until you show me some data, otherwise leave me be. 392 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:34,119 Speaker 2: I can't throw that into my thoughts. But this response 393 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:39,960 Speaker 2: of Israel dragged us into this. How do people who 394 00:23:40,000 --> 00:23:44,800 Speaker 2: have a military background, military leaders, people like yourself, and 395 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:47,159 Speaker 2: certainly it's it's never going to be one hundred percent. 396 00:23:47,840 --> 00:23:50,800 Speaker 2: How does this get viewed and what is the purpose 397 00:23:50,880 --> 00:23:54,359 Speaker 2: of this argument? Do you think that there's any any 398 00:23:54,520 --> 00:23:58,119 Speaker 2: kernel of truth or historical connection to it? 399 00:23:58,680 --> 00:24:01,000 Speaker 3: Right? So, I mean, of course, if you go back 400 00:24:01,040 --> 00:24:04,320 Speaker 3: some you know, one hundred years, ninety years, you had 401 00:24:04,359 --> 00:24:07,400 Speaker 3: Smedley Butler. This I think he was a Marine Corps 402 00:24:08,560 --> 00:24:11,199 Speaker 3: veteran of World War One who claimed that it was 403 00:24:11,240 --> 00:24:15,399 Speaker 3: all you know, the industrialists that were promoting war and 404 00:24:15,720 --> 00:24:18,320 Speaker 3: was a big part of the isolationist movement of the 405 00:24:18,359 --> 00:24:21,359 Speaker 3: twenties and thirties. So there's always been the strain in 406 00:24:21,440 --> 00:24:24,359 Speaker 3: American thought, and there always will be. But let's go 407 00:24:24,400 --> 00:24:26,359 Speaker 3: back and look at some of the things that you 408 00:24:26,400 --> 00:24:30,440 Speaker 3: laid out. First of all, this concept that Israel somehow 409 00:24:30,560 --> 00:24:35,840 Speaker 3: dragged us into this. There has recently been uncovered video 410 00:24:36,160 --> 00:24:39,520 Speaker 3: of Donald Trump going clear back to the eighties, in 411 00:24:39,720 --> 00:24:42,720 Speaker 3: just a few years after the Islamic Revolution took over 412 00:24:42,760 --> 00:24:45,720 Speaker 3: in nineteen seventy nine, saying that we're going to have 413 00:24:45,760 --> 00:24:47,760 Speaker 3: to deal with Iran, that iron is our enemy. We're 414 00:24:47,800 --> 00:24:49,760 Speaker 3: going to have to You know, if I was president, 415 00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:51,640 Speaker 3: I would have done it differently. I would have taken 416 00:24:51,680 --> 00:24:55,840 Speaker 3: them out. Okay, So you have that from Donald Trump 417 00:24:55,920 --> 00:24:59,080 Speaker 3: when he was merely a moderately high profile real estate 418 00:24:59,119 --> 00:25:04,280 Speaker 3: developer in the A and he's consistently said that every 419 00:25:04,359 --> 00:25:10,400 Speaker 3: decade since, years before he ever became president. So any 420 00:25:10,480 --> 00:25:14,359 Speaker 3: thought that someone with the personality the force of personality 421 00:25:14,840 --> 00:25:18,159 Speaker 3: that Donald J. Trump has somehow being led around by 422 00:25:18,200 --> 00:25:22,800 Speaker 3: the nose by the Israelis is just ridiculous on its face. 423 00:25:23,240 --> 00:25:26,679 Speaker 3: So let's set that aside. Now, let's talk about a 424 00:25:26,680 --> 00:25:30,080 Speaker 3: couple other aspects of this. The Forever Wars. You know, 425 00:25:30,359 --> 00:25:34,439 Speaker 3: there is some concern, there is some legitimate credibility about that. 426 00:25:34,520 --> 00:25:37,800 Speaker 3: I mean, I was a critic consistently of the way 427 00:25:37,840 --> 00:25:42,160 Speaker 3: we were going about fighting in Afghanistan in Iraq. I'm 428 00:25:42,200 --> 00:25:45,320 Speaker 3: a fan of the punitive expedition. If you are wronged 429 00:25:45,480 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 3: or harmed by somebody, you go in, you kill them, 430 00:25:48,880 --> 00:25:51,880 Speaker 3: you leave their heads on pikes as warnings to others, 431 00:25:52,119 --> 00:25:54,400 Speaker 3: and then you leave. And the fact that you may 432 00:25:54,400 --> 00:25:56,639 Speaker 3: have messed things up in that country does not incur 433 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:59,040 Speaker 3: upon you a moral obligation to go back and make 434 00:25:59,080 --> 00:26:02,880 Speaker 3: it somehow as nice as the fifty first US state. No, 435 00:26:02,960 --> 00:26:06,240 Speaker 3: you leave the wreckage as a warning to others. There's 436 00:26:06,280 --> 00:26:10,000 Speaker 3: a big difference between a putative expedition and nation building, 437 00:26:10,000 --> 00:26:12,439 Speaker 3: which is what we got involved in through what I 438 00:26:12,520 --> 00:26:15,920 Speaker 3: believed to be terrible hubris, terrible arrogance on our part, 439 00:26:16,320 --> 00:26:20,560 Speaker 3: that we could go in and somehow transplant this pluralistic, 440 00:26:21,040 --> 00:26:26,880 Speaker 3: a rule of law republic concepts into this tribal, ancient 441 00:26:27,400 --> 00:26:31,120 Speaker 3: land of hatreds known as Afghanistan. What a fool's eron, 442 00:26:31,520 --> 00:26:35,320 Speaker 3: you know, trillions of dollars, thousands of lives lost, and 443 00:26:35,480 --> 00:26:38,919 Speaker 3: tens of thousands of people injured. Later and then we 444 00:26:39,040 --> 00:26:41,840 Speaker 3: leave with our tail between our legs, and we see 445 00:26:41,840 --> 00:26:46,160 Speaker 3: the government fall instantaneously and embolden Putin to then invade 446 00:26:46,560 --> 00:26:49,520 Speaker 3: Ukraine the very next year. Now, I warned that this 447 00:26:49,560 --> 00:26:52,159 Speaker 3: would be the case clearback Tony in two thousand and 448 00:26:52,280 --> 00:26:55,160 Speaker 3: nine when I was running for the US Senate in California, 449 00:26:55,680 --> 00:26:58,600 Speaker 3: and the San Francisco Chronicle asked me and Carly Fiurina 450 00:26:58,640 --> 00:27:01,600 Speaker 3: to comment on Obama's speech, and I warned that what 451 00:27:01,640 --> 00:27:04,359 Speaker 3: we were doing in Afghanistan would what not work, and 452 00:27:04,400 --> 00:27:06,959 Speaker 3: that the government would fall soon after we left. And 453 00:27:07,119 --> 00:27:10,480 Speaker 3: I was accused by Carli Fiorina's people being soft on terror. 454 00:27:10,800 --> 00:27:12,280 Speaker 3: And what did I say that we needed to do 455 00:27:12,320 --> 00:27:15,800 Speaker 3: with the money we saved to recapitalize our military to 456 00:27:15,920 --> 00:27:22,840 Speaker 3: deter the resurgence of China and a revoncist Islamic republic 457 00:27:22,880 --> 00:27:26,200 Speaker 3: of Iran. And so I certainly think that I was 458 00:27:26,280 --> 00:27:29,280 Speaker 3: right on the money there. Now there was one last 459 00:27:29,320 --> 00:27:33,720 Speaker 3: aspect of it, and that is anti Semitism. Anti Semitism 460 00:27:33,760 --> 00:27:36,639 Speaker 3: has of course been with us for at least a 461 00:27:36,680 --> 00:27:40,280 Speaker 3: couple thousand years, if not longer. And you know, what 462 00:27:40,359 --> 00:27:43,280 Speaker 3: you find is that some people, of course are genuinely 463 00:27:43,359 --> 00:27:46,119 Speaker 3: just burning with their hatred for the Jewish people. But 464 00:27:46,200 --> 00:27:50,240 Speaker 3: there's a whole other class of people for whom conspiracy 465 00:27:50,280 --> 00:27:53,600 Speaker 3: theories are a good way of kind of explaining away 466 00:27:54,520 --> 00:27:56,600 Speaker 3: you know, their circumstances in life. You know that you 467 00:27:56,640 --> 00:27:59,840 Speaker 3: didn't get the promotion, you still rent, you don't own 468 00:27:59,880 --> 00:28:04,240 Speaker 3: a home, you know your wife left you. You know 469 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,400 Speaker 3: things are bad. It must be the Jews fault, right, 470 00:28:08,240 --> 00:28:12,000 Speaker 3: something other than the fact that you lack ambition or 471 00:28:12,040 --> 00:28:16,119 Speaker 3: intelligence or whatever to take care of yourself. And so 472 00:28:16,160 --> 00:28:21,160 Speaker 3: you often see conspiracy theories is this refuge for those 473 00:28:21,200 --> 00:28:24,359 Speaker 3: who aren't doing so well. And so I think that 474 00:28:24,440 --> 00:28:27,080 Speaker 3: you have a combination of all of these factors. There's 475 00:28:27,119 --> 00:28:29,840 Speaker 3: no one factor that I think is predominant. But you 476 00:28:29,840 --> 00:28:31,879 Speaker 3: know what's going to be interesting at the end of 477 00:28:31,920 --> 00:28:35,080 Speaker 3: the day, Tony, When this ends up being a historic 478 00:28:35,200 --> 00:28:37,960 Speaker 3: victory on the scale of the fall of the Berlin 479 00:28:38,040 --> 00:28:40,960 Speaker 3: Wall in nineteen eighty nine and the subsequent collapse of 480 00:28:41,000 --> 00:28:45,280 Speaker 3: the Soviet Union in nineteen ninety one, I think that 481 00:28:45,600 --> 00:28:47,800 Speaker 3: people are going to look back and maybe try to 482 00:28:47,840 --> 00:28:51,240 Speaker 3: cover up some of their social media history, maybe make 483 00:28:51,320 --> 00:28:55,120 Speaker 3: a few, you know, discreete deletions, and do some revision. 484 00:28:55,280 --> 00:28:57,440 Speaker 3: You know, I was behind Trump all along. 485 00:28:57,760 --> 00:29:01,240 Speaker 2: That involves people having shame in today's world, and that 486 00:29:02,360 --> 00:29:06,960 Speaker 2: just doesn't happen. Chuck DeVore, Texas Public Policy Foundation, I 487 00:29:07,000 --> 00:29:09,520 Speaker 2: appreciate you taking the time to be with us. More 488 00:29:09,600 --> 00:29:12,120 Speaker 2: is coming up. I'm Tony Katz, and this is Tony 489 00:29:12,200 --> 00:29:12,800 Speaker 2: Katz today,