1 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: Look at this net favorability party ahead at this point 2 00:00:07,480 --> 00:00:10,160 Speaker 1: midterm of years with the GOP president. In twenty eighteen, 3 00:00:10,200 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 1: demsra up by twelve. In two thousand and six on 4 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 1: net favorability, which part you like more? Demsra head by eighteen. 5 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 1: Republicans are actually ahead on net favorability at this point 6 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:22,079 Speaker 1: by five points. So Democrats are just simply put running 7 00:00:22,079 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 1: behind their previous benchmarks, and they'd be running well ahead 8 00:00:25,239 --> 00:00:26,840 Speaker 1: of them if they want to take back the United 9 00:00:26,840 --> 00:00:27,400 Speaker 1: States Senate. 10 00:00:27,480 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 2: Given that map can be clear, both parties are wildly 11 00:00:30,360 --> 00:00:34,800 Speaker 2: unfavorable right now. However, Democrats are even more unpopular. 12 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 3: CNN reporting Republicans are leading in net favorability by plus 13 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:45,239 Speaker 3: five points ahead of the twenty six midterms keeps us. 14 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:49,480 Speaker 3: So all of that talk you're hearing about, Oh, it's 15 00:00:49,640 --> 00:00:52,960 Speaker 3: just it's going to be a slaughter in the midterms. 16 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:56,760 Speaker 3: Democrats are coming back, Republicans are going to lose the House. 17 00:00:57,280 --> 00:01:01,680 Speaker 3: They're not. According to CNN. This is really huge, especially 18 00:01:01,680 --> 00:01:05,399 Speaker 3: given back in twenty eighteen at this point Democrats were 19 00:01:05,400 --> 00:01:11,759 Speaker 3: at plus twelve and now Republicans are plus five. This 20 00:01:12,000 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 3: is a huge realignment of what's going on. 21 00:01:15,520 --> 00:01:17,520 Speaker 2: Yeah, so keep in mind. This is what usually happens 22 00:01:17,600 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: historically is that when one party comes into power wins 23 00:01:21,000 --> 00:01:23,600 Speaker 2: the presidency like Trump did in twenty twenty four, what 24 00:01:23,840 --> 00:01:28,199 Speaker 2: almost always happens in the following midterms two years later 25 00:01:28,280 --> 00:01:32,040 Speaker 2: is the party out of power usually makes some gains. 26 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 2: Sometimes it's really big gains, but that's the historic precedence. 27 00:01:35,640 --> 00:01:40,040 Speaker 2: So it is likely that Democrats will get some gains 28 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 2: in this midterm election this year. But for all of 29 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,479 Speaker 2: the whining and moaning out there about like you said, 30 00:01:46,680 --> 00:01:48,960 Speaker 2: Republicans are just going to get killed in the midterms, 31 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:53,200 Speaker 2: this poll shows that, at least from a national perspective, 32 00:01:53,880 --> 00:01:58,640 Speaker 2: the Democrats are viewed even worse than the Republicans are 33 00:01:58,720 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 2: viewed right now. Now, the the devil in the details 34 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:05,360 Speaker 2: always comes down to each individual race in each you know, 35 00:02:05,400 --> 00:02:07,800 Speaker 2: for each district in the House, and each race you know, 36 00:02:07,840 --> 00:02:10,679 Speaker 2: for the states in the Senate. Because as traditionally has 37 00:02:10,760 --> 00:02:13,919 Speaker 2: always been the case, the American people are like Congress stinks, 38 00:02:13,960 --> 00:02:16,960 Speaker 2: I hate Congress. Throw all the bums out. What about 39 00:02:17,000 --> 00:02:19,799 Speaker 2: your congressman? Oh no, I like my congressman. My guy, 40 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:21,720 Speaker 2: not my guy. My guy's one of the good. My guys, 41 00:02:21,720 --> 00:02:23,400 Speaker 2: the only good guy, I had a five hundred and 42 00:02:23,400 --> 00:02:26,480 Speaker 2: thirty five of my guys the only good guy. So so, 43 00:02:26,919 --> 00:02:29,160 Speaker 2: you know, the American people tend to be a little 44 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:31,880 Speaker 2: a little schizophrenic when it comes to things like this. 45 00:02:32,160 --> 00:02:33,960 Speaker 3: But the other thing you need to point out, it's 46 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:37,600 Speaker 3: only plus five, which really says that both parties are underwater, 47 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:40,960 Speaker 3: and with the midterms coming, they're shaping up to be 48 00:02:41,160 --> 00:02:45,120 Speaker 3: very interesting, especially with the war going on and the 49 00:02:45,280 --> 00:02:48,960 Speaker 3: moon launch. That kind of tends to frame things a 50 00:02:48,960 --> 00:02:53,160 Speaker 3: little differently for people. However, see an unpublished their poll, 51 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 3: and it does say that there is a widespread voter 52 00:02:57,000 --> 00:03:02,280 Speaker 3: frustration with Washington overall, just one side, and voters are 53 00:03:02,360 --> 00:03:08,000 Speaker 3: ranking their issues like the economy, healthcare costs, and governance performance. 54 00:03:08,440 --> 00:03:11,760 Speaker 3: And it doesn't look good really for either party. Well, 55 00:03:11,840 --> 00:03:15,920 Speaker 3: it's kind of like I like you, guys, you're the 56 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:17,919 Speaker 3: lesser of the two evils. 57 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 2: Well, whichever party is in power, and keep in mind, 58 00:03:20,600 --> 00:03:24,720 Speaker 2: Republicans are in power across the board White House, House, Senate. 59 00:03:24,800 --> 00:03:26,800 Speaker 2: We got it all for the Republicans right now. But 60 00:03:26,840 --> 00:03:30,120 Speaker 2: the party in power is always the one that is 61 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:35,080 Speaker 2: judged by the way the American voters feel at that 62 00:03:35,200 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 2: moment in time. When it comes to the election. So 63 00:03:37,440 --> 00:03:39,760 Speaker 2: look at things in this country right now, and good 64 00:03:39,800 --> 00:03:42,080 Speaker 2: or bad, the Republicans will end up getting credit for it, 65 00:03:42,120 --> 00:03:43,800 Speaker 2: whether they deserve it or not. But you sit here 66 00:03:43,840 --> 00:03:45,600 Speaker 2: and say, okay, what's good? Okay Trump? You know he 67 00:03:45,640 --> 00:03:47,680 Speaker 2: did close the border. We are deporting a lot of 68 00:03:47,760 --> 00:03:50,760 Speaker 2: illegal aliens. And before this, you know, war with Iran. 69 00:03:51,080 --> 00:03:53,320 Speaker 2: Foreign policy was great. We were getting what we wanted 70 00:03:53,360 --> 00:03:55,920 Speaker 2: on tariffs as far as negotiating with other countries. We 71 00:03:55,960 --> 00:03:58,320 Speaker 2: got what we wanted out of Greenland. We you know, 72 00:03:58,400 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 2: snatched Maduro from Venice Zuela and put them in a 73 00:04:00,960 --> 00:04:02,760 Speaker 2: New York City jail. Is in one of the most 74 00:04:02,760 --> 00:04:06,520 Speaker 2: incredible military operations ever. Okay, those are the good things. Now, 75 00:04:06,640 --> 00:04:10,040 Speaker 2: let's go to the bad things. Life is pretty unaffordable 76 00:04:10,080 --> 00:04:13,240 Speaker 2: for a lot of Americans in this country. And as 77 00:04:13,560 --> 00:04:17,200 Speaker 2: James Carvell, you know, advisor to Bill Clinton, famously said 78 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:19,680 Speaker 2: in the nineties, it's the economy stupid, And that may 79 00:04:19,720 --> 00:04:23,240 Speaker 2: be one of the most profound yet simple and concise 80 00:04:23,320 --> 00:04:27,960 Speaker 2: political statements ever. Americans want a solid economy, and every 81 00:04:28,000 --> 00:04:31,359 Speaker 2: other poll that we've seen about what's most important to 82 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:34,920 Speaker 2: Americans the number one thing and sometimes the number one, 83 00:04:35,000 --> 00:04:37,479 Speaker 2: number two, number three, a number four things in some 84 00:04:37,800 --> 00:04:41,839 Speaker 2: shape or form have to do with the economy. Prices 85 00:04:41,880 --> 00:04:44,600 Speaker 2: are out of control, whether it's you know, housing prices 86 00:04:44,720 --> 00:04:48,120 Speaker 2: still unaffordable for too many. Taxes, especially property taxes are 87 00:04:48,160 --> 00:04:51,080 Speaker 2: out of control. Electricity bills are out of control right now. 88 00:04:51,279 --> 00:04:54,600 Speaker 2: Gas prices are way up in costing Americans a lot 89 00:04:54,640 --> 00:04:56,919 Speaker 2: of money. Healthcare costs, whether it's what you pay for 90 00:04:56,960 --> 00:04:59,480 Speaker 2: health insurance or what you pay do you have surgery 91 00:04:59,560 --> 00:05:02,400 Speaker 2: or go to a doctor's appointment, or for your prescription drugs, 92 00:05:02,640 --> 00:05:05,039 Speaker 2: it is the cost of living in this country. So 93 00:05:05,080 --> 00:05:08,400 Speaker 2: whether you want to call that jobs or the economy, 94 00:05:08,680 --> 00:05:12,520 Speaker 2: or healthcare or inflation, it all is in this huge 95 00:05:12,680 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 2: umbrella of cost of living. And that is the big problem. 96 00:05:17,000 --> 00:05:20,760 Speaker 2: That is the single challenge that Republicans have right now. 97 00:05:20,839 --> 00:05:24,240 Speaker 2: And if they can't make some sort of real concrete 98 00:05:24,360 --> 00:05:27,480 Speaker 2: movement on that before November, despite what the c on 99 00:05:27,600 --> 00:05:30,080 Speaker 2: en Pol says, despite what any of us really wants 100 00:05:30,080 --> 00:05:32,480 Speaker 2: to have happened, they are going to run into some 101 00:05:32,560 --> 00:05:33,719 Speaker 2: real serious troubles.