1 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:10,280 Speaker 1: Live from vall Hartbiner and the Crossroads of America. 2 00:00:10,560 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 2: It's Tony Katz today. 3 00:00:12,600 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 3: I do think there is a lot to take from 4 00:00:14,880 --> 00:00:18,560 Speaker 3: Trump's speech on Wednesday night, although. 5 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:19,759 Speaker 2: I don't think it said anything new. 6 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:22,600 Speaker 3: But I don't think it said anything new for those 7 00:00:22,640 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 3: of us who've been paying attention, maybe if. 8 00:00:25,079 --> 00:00:26,800 Speaker 2: You only get your news. 9 00:00:26,720 --> 00:00:30,160 Speaker 3: Through these guarded filters of CNN and MS now in 10 00:00:30,240 --> 00:00:32,959 Speaker 3: the New York Times, you didn't know that things were 11 00:00:32,960 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 3: going well, that we were taking out so many Iranian assets, 12 00:00:36,760 --> 00:00:41,160 Speaker 3: that we were incredibly effective in ruining their navy. 13 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:42,159 Speaker 2: If you listen to. 14 00:00:43,000 --> 00:00:45,919 Speaker 3: The political left or the woke right, it's a disaster. 15 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:48,240 Speaker 3: We're losing, we have to get out, will never win. 16 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:51,200 Speaker 3: But the President did get into one or two things, 17 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:55,240 Speaker 3: an admission of regime change and leaving the open question 18 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:58,200 Speaker 3: of well, if you expect other nations to take the 19 00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:02,040 Speaker 3: straight up Hormuz, are you willing to endure for us 20 00:01:02,080 --> 00:01:06,480 Speaker 3: as Americans while they get the oil free flowing? Tony Katz, 21 00:01:06,520 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 3: Tony Katz today, guys, good to be here, Good to 22 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:13,000 Speaker 3: be with you. Steve Yates joins me right now, Senior 23 00:01:13,000 --> 00:01:16,560 Speaker 3: Research Fellow for China and National Security Policy at the 24 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:21,920 Speaker 3: Heritage Foundation Heritage dot org. Let's walk through this speech 25 00:01:21,959 --> 00:01:23,520 Speaker 3: now that we've had a couple of days to digest. 26 00:01:23,640 --> 00:01:25,800 Speaker 3: I know a lot of people have already talked about it, 27 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 3: but I think that there's still there's a moment I 28 00:01:28,959 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 3: think that was missed, and then I think that people 29 00:01:30,920 --> 00:01:33,640 Speaker 3: are somewhat missing a moment. So let's start with you 30 00:01:34,200 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 3: the twenty plus minutes the President spoke on Wednesday night. 31 00:01:37,520 --> 00:01:39,360 Speaker 3: What did you take from it? What did you think 32 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:40,360 Speaker 3: America took from it? 33 00:01:41,200 --> 00:01:44,080 Speaker 4: Well, Tony, I very much agree with your intro in 34 00:01:44,120 --> 00:01:46,440 Speaker 4: that for those of us that have followed this every 35 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 4: single day of the entire operation, there wasn't a lot 36 00:01:50,240 --> 00:01:52,560 Speaker 4: of new ground broken in the remarks. 37 00:01:53,080 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 5: There were a little bit of the. 38 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:58,360 Speaker 4: Crackpot gallery saying what he was going to say, and 39 00:01:58,440 --> 00:02:00,520 Speaker 4: he didn't say those things. When I'm alluding to is 40 00:02:01,000 --> 00:02:02,880 Speaker 4: there are all kinds of people who said they had 41 00:02:02,880 --> 00:02:05,560 Speaker 4: inside scoop and he was going to take sort of 42 00:02:05,560 --> 00:02:08,320 Speaker 4: a dump on NATO in the course of his remarks. 43 00:02:08,680 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 5: And while there's a. 44 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:11,760 Speaker 4: Part of me that says that's well deserved given how 45 00:02:11,760 --> 00:02:15,520 Speaker 4: they've performed, but that's not what he says. So basically, 46 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:17,919 Speaker 4: it was a cleanse. It was a cleanse in the 47 00:02:17,960 --> 00:02:20,880 Speaker 4: sense that people were saying, there is no plan, there 48 00:02:20,880 --> 00:02:25,120 Speaker 4: are no objectives, and we're losing. He was reiterating for 49 00:02:25,200 --> 00:02:28,480 Speaker 4: the millionth time, frankly, that there is a plan, always 50 00:02:28,480 --> 00:02:31,080 Speaker 4: has been a plan. Here's what the objectives are, and 51 00:02:31,160 --> 00:02:35,480 Speaker 4: we're meeting the objectives ahead of schedule. And another important 52 00:02:35,480 --> 00:02:39,200 Speaker 4: principle that he alluded to was that he had turned 53 00:02:39,280 --> 00:02:41,240 Speaker 4: to these allies for them to step in. 54 00:02:41,800 --> 00:02:44,320 Speaker 5: That's their moment of opportunity to prove their value. 55 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:47,520 Speaker 4: They chose not to show value, and he just noted 56 00:02:47,560 --> 00:02:49,680 Speaker 4: for the record, he's going to remember that. And then 57 00:02:49,680 --> 00:02:52,880 Speaker 4: there are some other allies who are leaning in, primarily 58 00:02:52,919 --> 00:02:57,000 Speaker 4: Arab golf allies who are pretty much at their limit 59 00:02:57,160 --> 00:03:00,320 Speaker 4: with the attacks from Iran and now say that they 60 00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:02,880 Speaker 4: are going to form a coalition that will provide their 61 00:03:03,000 --> 00:03:06,360 Speaker 4: own security to make sure that their product gets freely 62 00:03:06,800 --> 00:03:09,240 Speaker 4: moved out of that strait to the market. 63 00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:12,359 Speaker 3: Now, chief amongst that group is the UAE. Now, don't 64 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:14,799 Speaker 3: get me wrong, Saudi Arabia has always hated Iran. This 65 00:03:14,880 --> 00:03:17,480 Speaker 3: is a Sunni Shia fight in terms of how you 66 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:21,200 Speaker 3: view the Islamic faith or political system, depending on how 67 00:03:21,240 --> 00:03:24,120 Speaker 3: you say these things. They've had the proxy war they've 68 00:03:24,160 --> 00:03:27,280 Speaker 3: been dealing with in Yemen for years. The Huti Rebels 69 00:03:27,320 --> 00:03:30,400 Speaker 3: are supported by the Iranian regimes and not only going 70 00:03:30,440 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 3: after the people of Yemen, not only going after Saudi's 71 00:03:33,200 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 3: but going after our ships and other ships in the 72 00:03:35,760 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 3: Red Sea and other places. But the UAE, the United 73 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:44,240 Speaker 3: Arab Emirates, has been vocal and aggressive. They want to 74 00:03:44,240 --> 00:03:49,880 Speaker 3: add combatants to help the US and by extension, help Israel. 75 00:03:50,360 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 3: What is their argument, what is their look to the future, 76 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:58,080 Speaker 3: and how they're trying to position themselves, Because we should 77 00:03:58,080 --> 00:04:01,160 Speaker 3: be clear for these Arab nations, they hate Iran, they're 78 00:04:01,200 --> 00:04:04,320 Speaker 3: tired of the destabilization, but they are all trying to 79 00:04:04,320 --> 00:04:07,080 Speaker 3: position themselves in a level of safety and security for 80 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:09,960 Speaker 3: the next twenty years as the world has now shifted. 81 00:04:10,680 --> 00:04:13,760 Speaker 5: Yeah, Tony, you're right to focus on the United Air Memorates. 82 00:04:14,360 --> 00:04:17,760 Speaker 4: They are punching way above their weight in terms of geography, 83 00:04:18,240 --> 00:04:19,640 Speaker 4: population size. 84 00:04:20,480 --> 00:04:22,200 Speaker 5: They of course have some wealth. 85 00:04:22,000 --> 00:04:25,000 Speaker 4: Because of their energy endowment, but they're also diversifying their 86 00:04:25,040 --> 00:04:28,520 Speaker 4: economy and investing a lot in the United States and 87 00:04:28,800 --> 00:04:32,400 Speaker 4: in recent times, as you elluded, always had some things 88 00:04:32,440 --> 00:04:34,200 Speaker 4: to say about the theogratic. 89 00:04:33,720 --> 00:04:36,640 Speaker 5: Regime in Iran. There are a lot of Iranians. 90 00:04:36,080 --> 00:04:38,799 Speaker 4: That go to the UAE, and so it's not really 91 00:04:38,880 --> 00:04:41,960 Speaker 4: about the Iranians as much as it's about that regime, 92 00:04:42,520 --> 00:04:45,960 Speaker 4: and they are fed up with that regime destabilizing the region, 93 00:04:46,000 --> 00:04:50,920 Speaker 4: destabilizing markets, supporting terrorism. UAE is one of the leaders 94 00:04:51,320 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 4: in designating the Muslim Brotherhood as a terrorist organization. And 95 00:04:54,560 --> 00:04:58,320 Speaker 4: throughout all of this, they've been speaking pretty bluntly to 96 00:04:58,400 --> 00:05:00,800 Speaker 4: Europe as much as they've spoken any where else. Is saying, 97 00:05:00,960 --> 00:05:04,719 Speaker 4: you know, you have this unfettered migration policy that makes 98 00:05:04,760 --> 00:05:08,200 Speaker 4: no sense, and now you have a huge radicalized population, 99 00:05:08,640 --> 00:05:14,080 Speaker 4: and you won't as we have recognize these Muslim Brotherhood 100 00:05:14,080 --> 00:05:18,000 Speaker 4: folks as terrorists, and now you're siding essentially with Iran. 101 00:05:18,960 --> 00:05:22,320 Speaker 4: So I think what they're doing is very effectively putting 102 00:05:22,320 --> 00:05:25,040 Speaker 4: a lie to the notion that this is Israel dragging 103 00:05:25,200 --> 00:05:28,440 Speaker 4: America and President Trump along, or that it's Israeli United 104 00:05:28,520 --> 00:05:30,680 Speaker 4: States operating alone and for our. 105 00:05:30,600 --> 00:05:34,120 Speaker 5: Own selfish interests. There are others, real allies. 106 00:05:33,880 --> 00:05:36,440 Speaker 4: That have skin in this game, and they're speaking up, 107 00:05:36,720 --> 00:05:39,040 Speaker 4: and I think they're going to be acting on their 108 00:05:39,080 --> 00:05:40,520 Speaker 4: own national interests going. 109 00:05:40,400 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 5: Forward in a more aggressive way as well. They should. 110 00:05:42,920 --> 00:05:45,840 Speaker 4: That's another part of trump Ism, letting allies have greater 111 00:05:45,920 --> 00:05:48,920 Speaker 4: independent capability and they can carry the share of burden 112 00:05:48,960 --> 00:05:50,080 Speaker 4: that they're able to carry. 113 00:05:50,920 --> 00:05:55,200 Speaker 3: Talking to Steve Yates the Heritage Foundation, Heritage dot Org, 114 00:05:56,320 --> 00:05:59,880 Speaker 3: let me bring in something that President Trump said, right, 115 00:06:00,160 --> 00:06:03,920 Speaker 3: just hold on one second, because what the President said, 116 00:06:04,920 --> 00:06:09,159 Speaker 3: well the President said specific to oil and the Strait 117 00:06:09,160 --> 00:06:13,960 Speaker 3: of Hormuz, is Hey, European nations, stop looking to us. 118 00:06:14,760 --> 00:06:18,120 Speaker 3: You want this stuff, go get it. Here's what the 119 00:06:18,160 --> 00:06:18,919 Speaker 3: President said. 120 00:06:20,279 --> 00:06:23,279 Speaker 6: The trees of the world that do receive oil through 121 00:06:23,320 --> 00:06:26,680 Speaker 6: the hormon Strait must take care of that passage. They 122 00:06:26,760 --> 00:06:30,240 Speaker 6: must cherish it. They must grab it and cherish it. 123 00:06:30,279 --> 00:06:34,039 Speaker 6: They can do it easily. We will be helpful, but 124 00:06:34,120 --> 00:06:36,720 Speaker 6: they should take the lead in protecting the oil that 125 00:06:36,720 --> 00:06:40,520 Speaker 6: they so desperately depend on. So to those countries that 126 00:06:40,640 --> 00:06:44,320 Speaker 6: can't get fuel, many of which refuse to get involved 127 00:06:44,400 --> 00:06:47,720 Speaker 6: in the decapitation of Iran, we had to do it ourselves. 128 00:06:48,640 --> 00:06:49,599 Speaker 5: I have a suggestion. 129 00:06:49,760 --> 00:06:52,880 Speaker 6: Number one, buy oil from the United States of America. 130 00:06:52,920 --> 00:06:55,640 Speaker 6: We have plenty, we have so much. And number two, 131 00:06:55,839 --> 00:06:58,960 Speaker 6: build up some delayed courage. Should have done it before 132 00:06:59,040 --> 00:07:01,839 Speaker 6: should have done it with as we ask, go to 133 00:07:01,920 --> 00:07:05,880 Speaker 6: the strait and just take it, protect it, use it 134 00:07:05,920 --> 00:07:11,440 Speaker 6: for yourselves. Aran has been essentially decimated. The hard part 135 00:07:11,520 --> 00:07:14,480 Speaker 6: is done, so it should be easy. And in any event, 136 00:07:14,600 --> 00:07:18,600 Speaker 6: when this conflict is over, the strait will open up naturally. 137 00:07:18,840 --> 00:07:20,360 Speaker 2: It'll just open up naturally. 138 00:07:21,640 --> 00:07:23,960 Speaker 3: No, I must tell you, sir, I don't know if 139 00:07:23,960 --> 00:07:26,560 Speaker 3: the strait opens up naturally. I think that's a little 140 00:07:26,560 --> 00:07:30,640 Speaker 3: more hope than anything else. The President had said this 141 00:07:30,680 --> 00:07:33,080 Speaker 3: a couple of days prior, so again not necessarily anything 142 00:07:33,120 --> 00:07:35,000 Speaker 3: new for the speech, but maybe new to some people 143 00:07:35,000 --> 00:07:41,600 Speaker 3: who hadn't heard it a prior. Is this somehow shocking 144 00:07:41,600 --> 00:07:45,480 Speaker 3: for the Europeans to hear in that go setting you 145 00:07:45,520 --> 00:07:49,360 Speaker 3: go set your own agenda and go live, live your 146 00:07:49,400 --> 00:07:51,960 Speaker 3: own life. Stop depending on the United States, And is 147 00:07:52,000 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 3: that what we want? 148 00:07:54,080 --> 00:07:54,320 Speaker 1: Well? 149 00:07:54,400 --> 00:07:56,840 Speaker 4: There is an element of how the President talks that 150 00:07:56,880 --> 00:08:00,600 Speaker 4: I absolutely love and find very necessary, in that we've 151 00:08:00,640 --> 00:08:04,920 Speaker 4: had very lazy, welfare queen like behavior from some of 152 00:08:04,960 --> 00:08:10,000 Speaker 4: our allies, where they sit back and expect, they don't ask, 153 00:08:10,200 --> 00:08:13,280 Speaker 4: they expect that we will pay, and we will carry 154 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:16,120 Speaker 4: a burden and it will be in service of them 155 00:08:16,200 --> 00:08:20,440 Speaker 4: because somehow they're great, and he's basically telling them, Look, 156 00:08:20,960 --> 00:08:23,760 Speaker 4: if you're great, then you have to demonstrate that you 157 00:08:23,880 --> 00:08:25,760 Speaker 4: have power, ability and. 158 00:08:25,720 --> 00:08:28,960 Speaker 5: Responsibility, and you're doing none of those things. 159 00:08:29,400 --> 00:08:32,240 Speaker 4: And he's the kind of president that will just speak 160 00:08:32,280 --> 00:08:35,880 Speaker 4: openly and bluntly, not there a prisoner of talking points, 161 00:08:35,920 --> 00:08:39,920 Speaker 4: and I think that's necessary and I love it, frankly. Now, 162 00:08:40,280 --> 00:08:44,280 Speaker 4: the organic opening of the Strait, there's a part I 163 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:47,480 Speaker 4: think I intellectually understand where he's trying to go. He's 164 00:08:47,520 --> 00:08:49,560 Speaker 4: made very very clear the United States has done the 165 00:08:49,600 --> 00:08:53,720 Speaker 4: heavy lift, the major military operation, and you lesser powers 166 00:08:53,840 --> 00:08:57,720 Speaker 4: who took a pass and sort of gave sort of. 167 00:08:58,000 --> 00:09:00,640 Speaker 5: Cat calls from the peanut gallery through all of this. 168 00:09:01,160 --> 00:09:04,040 Speaker 4: You want, you want some of this that you're dependent upon, 169 00:09:04,120 --> 00:09:07,040 Speaker 4: then get in here and get it. He's telling them 170 00:09:07,080 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 4: to come and occupy cart Island and all of that. 171 00:09:10,559 --> 00:09:12,600 Speaker 4: That sounds like it, but I don't really think that's 172 00:09:12,640 --> 00:09:14,240 Speaker 4: what he's after. He's just saying, you know, get in 173 00:09:14,280 --> 00:09:17,840 Speaker 4: the game and protect your own stuff, and that I 174 00:09:17,840 --> 00:09:21,160 Speaker 4: think is really important. Will they I don't think they will, 175 00:09:21,320 --> 00:09:23,880 Speaker 4: and when they don't, they're once again failing their people. 176 00:09:24,160 --> 00:09:27,160 Speaker 3: So part of this is I think that there's a 177 00:09:29,000 --> 00:09:31,960 Speaker 3: mistake being made as we as observers look at this 178 00:09:32,679 --> 00:09:36,319 Speaker 3: that somehow these nations were invited to the initial attack, 179 00:09:37,040 --> 00:09:39,120 Speaker 3: that they were invited to the hey, we're taking out 180 00:09:39,160 --> 00:09:42,280 Speaker 3: the Iranian regime. They weren't, as I have not seen 181 00:09:42,320 --> 00:09:45,160 Speaker 3: anything that shows me that they were, and a lot 182 00:09:45,200 --> 00:09:48,839 Speaker 3: of them. I've made this argument on the show repeatedly. 183 00:09:49,120 --> 00:09:52,640 Speaker 3: They need to look strong to their constituencies, and looking 184 00:09:52,679 --> 00:09:56,000 Speaker 3: strong means not following the leader of America, especially and 185 00:09:56,080 --> 00:09:59,640 Speaker 3: specifically Donald Trump, because of this character that he is, 186 00:09:59,640 --> 00:10:02,640 Speaker 3: this mature that other people make of him. So they 187 00:10:02,640 --> 00:10:06,760 Speaker 3: didn't want to play follow the leader. But I thought 188 00:10:06,800 --> 00:10:09,200 Speaker 3: the UK was going to lead with the Royal Navy 189 00:10:09,640 --> 00:10:12,000 Speaker 3: in trying to open up the straight of horror moves. 190 00:10:12,280 --> 00:10:13,400 Speaker 2: This hasn't happened. 191 00:10:13,440 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 3: So they don't see an opportunity for strength here and 192 00:10:16,920 --> 00:10:19,520 Speaker 3: even the support of their own citizens by ensuring the 193 00:10:19,559 --> 00:10:22,320 Speaker 3: oil flows. Even if they didn't want to be seen 194 00:10:22,360 --> 00:10:24,600 Speaker 3: as follow the leader in getting involved in this war 195 00:10:24,640 --> 00:10:25,160 Speaker 3: to begin with. 196 00:10:26,000 --> 00:10:28,120 Speaker 4: Yeah, well then it sort of makes sense to go 197 00:10:28,160 --> 00:10:30,600 Speaker 4: by the name United Kingdom rather than Great Britain because 198 00:10:30,600 --> 00:10:32,920 Speaker 4: there's nothing great about them at this point in terms 199 00:10:32,960 --> 00:10:37,800 Speaker 4: of their behavior and It's one thing if you don't 200 00:10:37,880 --> 00:10:39,840 Speaker 4: like a particular leader and how he talks. 201 00:10:40,440 --> 00:10:41,920 Speaker 5: But I think what President Trump. 202 00:10:41,720 --> 00:10:43,880 Speaker 4: Is doing, and he's smarter than they want to give 203 00:10:43,960 --> 00:10:46,520 Speaker 4: him credit for, and he's more responsible than they want 204 00:10:46,559 --> 00:10:49,680 Speaker 4: to give him credit for. He's engaged in a very 205 00:10:50,080 --> 00:10:53,960 Speaker 4: calibrated campaign. He's given off ramps multiple times to the 206 00:10:53,960 --> 00:10:56,840 Speaker 4: Iranians which they had chosen not to take. He's given 207 00:10:56,920 --> 00:11:00,280 Speaker 4: openings for allies to step in, which sometimes maybe a 208 00:11:00,320 --> 00:11:02,880 Speaker 4: lot of the time, they chosen not to take. And 209 00:11:02,960 --> 00:11:06,200 Speaker 4: he's left a lot of the infrastructure for reconstruction and 210 00:11:06,320 --> 00:11:08,880 Speaker 4: not going to do in Iraq two point zero. And 211 00:11:08,960 --> 00:11:11,160 Speaker 4: so there's a lot of these elements that a lot 212 00:11:11,200 --> 00:11:13,320 Speaker 4: of their people, if they thought about it, would see 213 00:11:13,320 --> 00:11:13,640 Speaker 4: it as. 214 00:11:13,600 --> 00:11:16,680 Speaker 5: Being calibrated, responsible, what have you. But they're not. 215 00:11:17,080 --> 00:11:19,520 Speaker 4: And what they're also not doing is giving any theory 216 00:11:20,040 --> 00:11:22,920 Speaker 4: for what exactly is their role in the world at 217 00:11:22,920 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 4: this point, what exactly is their position in the world 218 00:11:25,640 --> 00:11:26,120 Speaker 4: at this point. 219 00:11:26,160 --> 00:11:26,800 Speaker 5: It appears to. 220 00:11:26,760 --> 00:11:31,040 Speaker 4: Be taking dictation from illegal migrants in their country and 221 00:11:31,240 --> 00:11:33,720 Speaker 4: basically criticizing the United States. 222 00:11:33,880 --> 00:11:35,840 Speaker 5: That's not a recipe for any kind of future for 223 00:11:35,920 --> 00:11:36,360 Speaker 5: their people. 224 00:11:36,520 --> 00:11:39,960 Speaker 3: Talking to Steve to the Heritage Foundation, Heritage dot org. 225 00:11:41,000 --> 00:11:43,840 Speaker 3: This exposing of Europe, I think is one of the 226 00:11:43,840 --> 00:11:47,280 Speaker 3: things that is absolutely underplayed in media. And you can 227 00:11:47,440 --> 00:11:52,240 Speaker 3: understand why they adore Europe, they ascribe themselves or they 228 00:11:52,360 --> 00:11:57,120 Speaker 3: aspire to be Europe, and to expose European weakness is massive. 229 00:11:57,120 --> 00:11:59,800 Speaker 3: And one of the ways this is exposed is that 230 00:11:59,840 --> 00:12:04,040 Speaker 3: the President is like, hey, go secure the Straight and 231 00:12:04,120 --> 00:12:06,840 Speaker 3: now the UK. Instead of just sending a couple of 232 00:12:06,840 --> 00:12:09,920 Speaker 3: destroyers and saying, Okay, we're gonna do this for our 233 00:12:09,960 --> 00:12:13,439 Speaker 3: own interests, they go to the UN and they've assembled 234 00:12:13,440 --> 00:12:16,080 Speaker 3: the again, we're in the Coalition of the willing World, 235 00:12:16,400 --> 00:12:19,719 Speaker 3: and they've got a coalition in forty nations and now 236 00:12:19,760 --> 00:12:23,760 Speaker 3: they're looking for the UN Security Council to pass a resolution. 237 00:12:23,800 --> 00:12:25,640 Speaker 3: I couldn't make this up, Steve if I wanted to. 238 00:12:26,160 --> 00:12:28,840 Speaker 3: They want the UN Security Council to pass a resolution 239 00:12:29,240 --> 00:12:33,760 Speaker 3: to allow them to use force in a defensive posture 240 00:12:34,200 --> 00:12:37,200 Speaker 3: in order to open up the strait, so they can 241 00:12:37,360 --> 00:12:41,440 Speaker 3: only make moves if they are attacked. This is their 242 00:12:41,520 --> 00:12:45,280 Speaker 3: mathematics will show up and we'll wait for Iran to 243 00:12:45,400 --> 00:12:48,800 Speaker 3: do something and then maybe we'll do something back, and 244 00:12:48,840 --> 00:12:54,120 Speaker 3: that'll be real strength. This is an ugly, ugly, childlike 245 00:12:54,240 --> 00:12:56,679 Speaker 3: scared look from the Europeans. 246 00:12:56,720 --> 00:13:01,120 Speaker 4: No, it is, and it basically just is complete blindness 247 00:13:01,160 --> 00:13:03,600 Speaker 4: to the memo that I think everybody should have received 248 00:13:03,679 --> 00:13:06,400 Speaker 4: ten years ago. And if not that, then when President 249 00:13:06,400 --> 00:13:10,319 Speaker 4: Trump was reelected that the era of globalism is over. 250 00:13:10,480 --> 00:13:14,200 Speaker 4: The idea that good and bad powers around the world 251 00:13:14,240 --> 00:13:17,280 Speaker 4: are going to be controlled by and managed by. 252 00:13:17,600 --> 00:13:22,080 Speaker 5: Some overlord that's beyond the nation state is just fantasy. 253 00:13:22,760 --> 00:13:25,880 Speaker 4: And it's a fantasy that helped China break out as 254 00:13:25,920 --> 00:13:26,880 Speaker 4: a disruptive power. 255 00:13:27,360 --> 00:13:31,000 Speaker 5: It's a fantasy that helped Russia be aggressive. 256 00:13:30,480 --> 00:13:34,959 Speaker 4: Against Ukraine and grind this war multiple years. And it's 257 00:13:35,200 --> 00:13:39,640 Speaker 4: a fantasy that allowed Iran for nearly five decades to 258 00:13:39,720 --> 00:13:43,840 Speaker 4: behave completely irresponsibly. And yet what the devil did the 259 00:13:43,960 --> 00:13:48,160 Speaker 4: United Nations exactly do, whether counterproliferation, human rights, or any 260 00:13:48,200 --> 00:13:51,679 Speaker 4: of the other covenants that they have in terms of enforcement, 261 00:13:51,760 --> 00:13:54,040 Speaker 4: and it comes back to nothing. So to kind of 262 00:13:54,080 --> 00:13:58,960 Speaker 4: go back and sort of appeal to the absolutely corrupt 263 00:13:59,000 --> 00:14:02,840 Speaker 4: and worthless United Nations to get a permission slip to 264 00:14:02,920 --> 00:14:05,160 Speaker 4: defend your national commercial interests. 265 00:14:05,280 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 5: And it wasn't like asking them to go and storm 266 00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:11,400 Speaker 5: Tehran or go install their own preferred leader in Iran, 267 00:14:11,520 --> 00:14:14,680 Speaker 5: or even to secure the nuclear fissile material that might 268 00:14:14,720 --> 00:14:17,160 Speaker 5: still be inside Iran, which would be kind of an 269 00:14:17,200 --> 00:14:19,080 Speaker 5: international peacekeeping like mission. 270 00:14:19,160 --> 00:14:21,400 Speaker 4: They're asking for none of that. They're asking what we 271 00:14:21,520 --> 00:14:23,800 Speaker 4: all have as nation states, which is the right to 272 00:14:23,840 --> 00:14:27,880 Speaker 4: defend ourselves, our ships and our cargo for international commerce, 273 00:14:28,040 --> 00:14:30,720 Speaker 4: one of the only reasons we have a navy and 274 00:14:30,720 --> 00:14:31,600 Speaker 4: a federal government. 275 00:14:33,440 --> 00:14:38,560 Speaker 3: Really quick though, on this idea of coalitions, and we 276 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:40,040 Speaker 3: didn't ask these other nations. 277 00:14:40,480 --> 00:14:41,040 Speaker 2: Do you think the. 278 00:14:40,960 --> 00:14:42,880 Speaker 3: President should have asked some others if they want to 279 00:14:42,920 --> 00:14:46,400 Speaker 3: be involved, or was the idea of them leaking just 280 00:14:46,480 --> 00:14:48,840 Speaker 3: simply too much of a risk or some other issue. 281 00:14:49,080 --> 00:14:52,040 Speaker 4: I think you hit the bullseye and basically Trump two 282 00:14:52,080 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 4: point zero has a near perfect record of keeping things 283 00:14:55,360 --> 00:15:00,720 Speaker 4: close hold, with very very few truly authority citative leaks, 284 00:15:00,760 --> 00:15:04,240 Speaker 4: and those are probably deliberate lots of speculatory kinds of 285 00:15:04,280 --> 00:15:06,480 Speaker 4: things that are attributed as leaks that I'm not convinced 286 00:15:06,480 --> 00:15:09,680 Speaker 4: actually exists. But basically, the old rule of FuMB in 287 00:15:10,200 --> 00:15:13,560 Speaker 4: tradecraft is the fewer people you tell, the fewer people 288 00:15:13,560 --> 00:15:16,400 Speaker 4: who could possibly leak, you keep your operation security. You 289 00:15:16,400 --> 00:15:19,360 Speaker 4: have your element of surprise, you hit hard and everyone's 290 00:15:19,400 --> 00:15:21,320 Speaker 4: on react and you have the advantage. 291 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:22,760 Speaker 5: And that's what the President did. 292 00:15:22,920 --> 00:15:25,320 Speaker 4: That's what he did in concert with Israel in an 293 00:15:25,520 --> 00:15:27,880 Speaker 4: historic way that I don't think has ever been done 294 00:15:28,000 --> 00:15:31,080 Speaker 4: with any other ally with a joint operation like this. 295 00:15:31,880 --> 00:15:34,520 Speaker 4: And so in retrospect, I think historians are going to 296 00:15:34,560 --> 00:15:36,360 Speaker 4: look at this and they're going to say, this is 297 00:15:36,560 --> 00:15:39,840 Speaker 4: really remarkable from an operational point of view. And one 298 00:15:39,840 --> 00:15:44,320 Speaker 4: of the keys to that operational success was minimizing that circle. 299 00:15:44,360 --> 00:15:46,000 Speaker 4: And if you'd have gone to Europe, you know, it 300 00:15:46,000 --> 00:15:47,400 Speaker 4: would have been on the front pages of the New 301 00:15:47,480 --> 00:15:49,480 Speaker 4: York Times and all over social media. 302 00:15:49,960 --> 00:15:52,080 Speaker 2: Steve Yate before I let you go. 303 00:15:52,920 --> 00:15:56,240 Speaker 3: The President brought up regime change in the speech, and 304 00:15:56,320 --> 00:15:59,200 Speaker 3: he's brought up in some other talks prior to that 305 00:15:59,440 --> 00:16:01,280 Speaker 3: that we didn't go in for regime change. But that's 306 00:16:01,320 --> 00:16:03,640 Speaker 3: what we've actually done, and we've changed it twice. I 307 00:16:03,720 --> 00:16:05,760 Speaker 3: believe I said to you last time we spoke, I 308 00:16:05,800 --> 00:16:07,640 Speaker 3: won't listen to any of that. Of course, it was 309 00:16:07,720 --> 00:16:10,040 Speaker 3: regime change, There's no question it was regime change. I 310 00:16:10,080 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 3: would say that to the president directly, completely unafraid of 311 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,239 Speaker 3: being thrown out of the room, it was regime change, 312 00:16:16,960 --> 00:16:19,760 Speaker 3: but we keep hearing about how this new group they're 313 00:16:19,800 --> 00:16:23,320 Speaker 3: more reasonable, but they're still radicals, and it's trying to 314 00:16:23,360 --> 00:16:26,400 Speaker 3: have it both ways. In the end, can any deal 315 00:16:26,520 --> 00:16:30,520 Speaker 3: be made with the current speaker of the Iranian Parliament? 316 00:16:30,920 --> 00:16:34,720 Speaker 3: With the Iranian president Perezia? I can never pronounce his 317 00:16:34,840 --> 00:16:38,320 Speaker 3: name a Poreshvian. I'm still not getting it right. The 318 00:16:38,800 --> 00:16:42,360 Speaker 3: next one is that's just it? Or does this have 319 00:16:42,440 --> 00:16:45,440 Speaker 3: to be completely gone, no connection to the Ayatola for 320 00:16:45,560 --> 00:16:48,080 Speaker 3: us to have an opportunity to create a deal. 321 00:16:49,000 --> 00:16:51,520 Speaker 4: Well, look, if someone would have come to me and said, 322 00:16:51,720 --> 00:16:54,720 Speaker 4: here's how do you recommend going through this kind of 323 00:16:54,720 --> 00:16:57,760 Speaker 4: a strategy, I probably wouldn't have put very much credence 324 00:16:57,760 --> 00:16:59,320 Speaker 4: into negotiating with the remnants. 325 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:01,320 Speaker 5: I wouldn't have done that with Venezuela. 326 00:17:03,040 --> 00:17:05,920 Speaker 4: But I have to give some deference to the president 327 00:17:05,960 --> 00:17:10,000 Speaker 4: and taking this route, he is basically splitting the difference 328 00:17:10,080 --> 00:17:15,879 Speaker 4: between the maximalist Iraq policy of the Bushshaney administration in 329 00:17:15,920 --> 00:17:21,239 Speaker 4: which I served and the sort of new isolationists that 330 00:17:21,280 --> 00:17:25,360 Speaker 4: don't want anything anywhere and don't even seem to want 331 00:17:25,359 --> 00:17:29,879 Speaker 4: any allies anywhere. And so he's not doing regime change, 332 00:17:30,200 --> 00:17:33,639 Speaker 4: for building new democracy, occupying and controlling a country. But 333 00:17:33,720 --> 00:17:36,040 Speaker 4: he's also not saying I'm going to sit on my 334 00:17:36,119 --> 00:17:39,400 Speaker 4: hands and only pay off the threat like Barack Obama 335 00:17:39,480 --> 00:17:42,199 Speaker 4: tried to do, so I give him some credit for 336 00:17:42,280 --> 00:17:45,080 Speaker 4: trying it. He also seems to have the patience that 337 00:17:45,200 --> 00:17:49,679 Speaker 4: if this next round fails, well, then he'll go another round, 338 00:17:50,480 --> 00:17:53,399 Speaker 4: and at some point rationality has to settle it. On 339 00:17:53,440 --> 00:17:55,720 Speaker 4: the other side of I think I'd rather stay alive, 340 00:17:55,760 --> 00:17:57,440 Speaker 4: and I think I'm going to at least keep the deal, 341 00:17:57,680 --> 00:18:00,119 Speaker 4: or at least fake keeping the deal long enough and 342 00:18:00,160 --> 00:18:02,920 Speaker 4: that changes behavior enough for the US to muddle through 343 00:18:03,000 --> 00:18:04,760 Speaker 4: and our coalition maybe to wake up. 344 00:18:05,240 --> 00:18:08,600 Speaker 3: Steve Yates from the Heritage Foundation Heritage dot org, I 345 00:18:08,600 --> 00:18:10,879 Speaker 3: appreciate you being with us more to get to this 346 00:18:10,960 --> 00:18:13,720 Speaker 3: is Tony Katz today. So did the City of Houston 347 00:18:15,000 --> 00:18:23,400 Speaker 3: delete this? They're absolutely insane post Tony Katz, Tony Katz today, Good. 348 00:18:23,160 --> 00:18:23,639 Speaker 2: To be with you. 349 00:18:23,760 --> 00:18:28,840 Speaker 3: Houston, Texas is the feed City of Houston, and they 350 00:18:28,880 --> 00:18:34,240 Speaker 3: put out a post important announcement. That's what said important announcement. 351 00:18:36,600 --> 00:18:40,320 Speaker 3: Due to the Spring holiday, City of Houston offices will 352 00:18:40,320 --> 00:18:43,640 Speaker 3: be closed on Friday, April third, that's today. It's good Friday. 353 00:18:44,200 --> 00:18:52,160 Speaker 3: I'm sorry spring holiday. Did you just call Easter spring holiday? 354 00:18:52,720 --> 00:18:56,680 Speaker 3: I'm the Jewish guy. It's Easter. What's wrong with everybody? Oh, 355 00:18:56,680 --> 00:19:00,119 Speaker 3: that's right. You can't actually talk about what Easter is. 356 00:19:00,200 --> 00:19:05,920 Speaker 3: The fundamental, the basis for Christianity, the very concept of 357 00:19:05,960 --> 00:19:06,920 Speaker 3: faith is. 358 00:19:06,840 --> 00:19:07,639 Speaker 2: He has risen. 359 00:19:09,119 --> 00:19:12,960 Speaker 3: Can't say it, can't say that. Oh no, oh no, yeah, 360 00:19:13,000 --> 00:19:16,000 Speaker 3: they deleted it. I still have it. I'm going to 361 00:19:16,040 --> 00:19:20,160 Speaker 3: screenshot it right now. I'm going to screenshot this. They 362 00:19:20,240 --> 00:19:24,760 Speaker 3: deleted it because I would assume the pushback. I think 363 00:19:24,800 --> 00:19:27,520 Speaker 3: the real question is why they ever write it. Why 364 00:19:27,640 --> 00:19:32,119 Speaker 3: is it that they simply are willing to so disparage Christians? 365 00:19:32,440 --> 00:19:36,200 Speaker 2: Where are Christians taking any of this? Man, I really 366 00:19:36,240 --> 00:19:38,960 Speaker 2: wish they'd get more vocal. Yeah, I might be toping. 367 00:19:40,000 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 2: Keep it here. 368 00:19:40,680 --> 00:19:47,359 Speaker 3: This is Tony Katz today, So you may have the 369 00:19:47,400 --> 00:19:50,359 Speaker 3: capacity to explain this market to me. I can't figure 370 00:19:50,359 --> 00:19:54,359 Speaker 3: out what's happening now. I mean, this is truly, truly weird. 371 00:19:54,920 --> 00:19:57,639 Speaker 3: We see the producer price index up right, that's what 372 00:19:57,760 --> 00:20:02,120 Speaker 3: manufacturers are paying. And it's very clear that we're seeing 373 00:20:02,160 --> 00:20:05,760 Speaker 3: that the tariffs are now moving through to the end 374 00:20:05,960 --> 00:20:09,240 Speaker 3: consumer the retailer, and then of course to us, the 375 00:20:09,359 --> 00:20:12,840 Speaker 3: days of absorbing tariffs are over. And we saw that 376 00:20:12,920 --> 00:20:16,000 Speaker 3: inflation indeed went up. And one of the few things 377 00:20:16,000 --> 00:20:18,080 Speaker 3: that President Trump said in his speech Wednesday night when 378 00:20:18,080 --> 00:20:22,120 Speaker 3: he said inflation was nonexistent. Sorry that dog won't hunt 379 00:20:22,200 --> 00:20:24,880 Speaker 3: Tony Katz, Tony Kats today. Good to be here, Good 380 00:20:24,880 --> 00:20:28,600 Speaker 3: to be with you. There's a lot of great economic opportunity. 381 00:20:28,600 --> 00:20:31,280 Speaker 3: And I do think that President Trump some kind sometimes 382 00:20:31,320 --> 00:20:33,720 Speaker 3: steps in his own way here. We have had that 383 00:20:33,800 --> 00:20:37,920 Speaker 3: conversation very often, and I'm not going to shy away 384 00:20:38,000 --> 00:20:40,199 Speaker 3: from what is reality. But you take a look at 385 00:20:40,200 --> 00:20:44,159 Speaker 3: the jobs numbers today, one hundred and seventy eight thousand 386 00:20:44,280 --> 00:20:49,320 Speaker 3: jobs in March when the expectation was fifty nine thousand. 387 00:20:49,880 --> 00:20:52,119 Speaker 2: You mean it's costing us more to manufacture everything. 388 00:20:52,160 --> 00:20:54,440 Speaker 3: We're in the middle of a war, and oh, we 389 00:20:54,520 --> 00:20:58,440 Speaker 3: have more jobs than ever, and yet government jobs went down. 390 00:21:00,000 --> 00:21:02,520 Speaker 2: It's hard to make sense of it all. It truly is. 391 00:21:02,680 --> 00:21:05,679 Speaker 3: Doctor Matt Will joined us right now economists at the 392 00:21:05,840 --> 00:21:09,400 Speaker 3: University of Indianapolis. I'm not going to say that I'm 393 00:21:09,440 --> 00:21:11,800 Speaker 3: not happy. I'm certainly happy to see more jobs, but 394 00:21:11,880 --> 00:21:15,800 Speaker 3: sometimes a job support does not tell a full story. 395 00:21:16,160 --> 00:21:18,720 Speaker 3: Walk me through what it is that you're seeing here 396 00:21:18,760 --> 00:21:20,440 Speaker 3: as it just got released this morning. 397 00:21:20,920 --> 00:21:21,160 Speaker 2: Yeah. 398 00:21:21,200 --> 00:21:24,200 Speaker 1: Well, first of all, you know, I don't buy it. Okay, 399 00:21:24,320 --> 00:21:26,720 Speaker 1: let's just talk about this for a moment before we 400 00:21:26,800 --> 00:21:29,600 Speaker 1: jump into the details. We cover this on your show 401 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 1: many times when Biden was present, these massive revisions. We're 402 00:21:32,880 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 1: talking in the million person range of revisions. They're wrong 403 00:21:37,760 --> 00:21:39,480 Speaker 1: right out of the gate. The President has said the 404 00:21:39,680 --> 00:21:42,399 Speaker 1: wrong rabit right out of the gate. So I do 405 00:21:42,520 --> 00:21:45,719 Speaker 1: not accept this number. Okay, we'll get into it, but 406 00:21:45,800 --> 00:21:47,600 Speaker 1: I don't accept it, and i'll tell you why in 407 00:21:47,640 --> 00:21:50,720 Speaker 1: a little bit. First of all, the head go ahead. 408 00:21:50,560 --> 00:21:54,040 Speaker 3: No, no, no, no, I want to hear first before 409 00:21:54,040 --> 00:21:54,920 Speaker 3: I start unloading. 410 00:21:55,600 --> 00:21:58,600 Speaker 1: Okay, Well, let's see what it says. Okay, before I 411 00:21:58,640 --> 00:22:00,439 Speaker 1: gave you like the end of the store, before I 412 00:22:00,440 --> 00:22:02,280 Speaker 1: told you the story. That's probably the wrong way to 413 00:22:02,320 --> 00:22:05,320 Speaker 1: approach this. Yeah. The headline plus one hundred and seventy 414 00:22:05,359 --> 00:22:07,400 Speaker 1: eight thousand, Like you said, this is much more than 415 00:22:07,440 --> 00:22:12,840 Speaker 1: expected private sector amazing, one hundred and forty three thousand up. 416 00:22:13,119 --> 00:22:16,640 Speaker 1: This is double what the ADP number was two days ago. 417 00:22:16,720 --> 00:22:20,600 Speaker 1: ADP had sixty two thousand, So they're double the ADP number, 418 00:22:20,840 --> 00:22:23,960 Speaker 1: which an ADP is overly optimistic. Remember they're a private company. 419 00:22:23,960 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 1: They want to say good news. So the fact that 420 00:22:26,400 --> 00:22:30,480 Speaker 1: their double ADP tells you something that's fishy. Government minus eight, 421 00:22:30,560 --> 00:22:32,960 Speaker 1: that's the good news. The good news is government's down 422 00:22:33,320 --> 00:22:37,040 Speaker 1: three months in a row. Government's drinking. Thank goodness, we 423 00:22:37,119 --> 00:22:38,240 Speaker 1: got smaller government. 424 00:22:38,359 --> 00:22:38,679 Speaker 2: Trump. 425 00:22:38,720 --> 00:22:41,960 Speaker 1: Everyone sent them a thank you card. Healthcare this was 426 00:22:41,960 --> 00:22:46,480 Speaker 1: the big driving one of the number, up ninety thousand. Healthcare. Leisure. 427 00:22:47,080 --> 00:22:49,159 Speaker 1: You'd think even with all the stuff going on, leisure 428 00:22:49,200 --> 00:22:52,919 Speaker 1: is up forty four thousand, Transportations up twenty one thousand, 429 00:22:53,320 --> 00:23:00,639 Speaker 1: goods manufacturing up forty three thousand. Again, this this is 430 00:23:00,680 --> 00:23:03,639 Speaker 1: something that doesn't pass the stinct test. And the reason 431 00:23:03,640 --> 00:23:06,160 Speaker 1: it doesn't is because if you look at the ISM 432 00:23:06,240 --> 00:23:11,080 Speaker 1: report which was released yesterday, it's a huge decrease in 433 00:23:11,160 --> 00:23:14,000 Speaker 1: manufacturing employment. So there's a lot of things in this 434 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:16,879 Speaker 1: report that I just don't buy. And I guarantee you 435 00:23:16,920 --> 00:23:19,679 Speaker 1: in the next two months we will see massive revisions. 436 00:23:19,760 --> 00:23:23,119 Speaker 3: We now, we did see some revisions from some prior months, 437 00:23:23,440 --> 00:23:30,439 Speaker 3: right we saw revisions up for February, for example, But 438 00:23:30,520 --> 00:23:31,720 Speaker 3: we have talked. 439 00:23:31,480 --> 00:23:34,520 Speaker 2: About the revisions. We did talk to them about Biden, but. 440 00:23:34,440 --> 00:23:39,280 Speaker 3: The revisions were always down every time we talked about Biden. 441 00:23:39,520 --> 00:23:41,240 Speaker 3: What happened was they put out a big number and 442 00:23:41,280 --> 00:23:44,360 Speaker 3: then it got revised downward. A big number revised downward. 443 00:23:44,840 --> 00:23:48,240 Speaker 3: This is a revision in the opposite direction. So how 444 00:23:48,280 --> 00:23:50,720 Speaker 3: can we I don't think we can make a comparison 445 00:23:50,760 --> 00:23:52,080 Speaker 3: here to the Biden administration. 446 00:23:52,359 --> 00:23:54,840 Speaker 1: Now I'm going to make a comparison because it's fifty 447 00:23:54,880 --> 00:23:58,560 Speaker 1: to fifty. The January revision was up thirty four thousand. 448 00:23:58,960 --> 00:24:03,439 Speaker 1: The February revision was down forty one thousand. So we 449 00:24:03,480 --> 00:24:05,960 Speaker 1: had one good revision from two months ago. We had 450 00:24:06,040 --> 00:24:10,119 Speaker 1: a bad revision from the previous month. So and they 451 00:24:10,119 --> 00:24:13,000 Speaker 1: were huge. I mean we're talking on a February it 452 00:24:13,119 --> 00:24:16,960 Speaker 1: was down one hundred and thirty three thousand jobs, which 453 00:24:17,000 --> 00:24:19,680 Speaker 1: was a downward revision of forty one thousand. That's pretty big. 454 00:24:20,000 --> 00:24:23,360 Speaker 1: So they're just missing the mark. These people in the BLS. 455 00:24:23,359 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 1: It's the same people, by the way, using the same 456 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:28,800 Speaker 1: techniques that they used back when Biden was present. They 457 00:24:28,840 --> 00:24:32,239 Speaker 1: were wrong then, and they're wrong now. What more can 458 00:24:32,280 --> 00:24:35,280 Speaker 1: I tell you? They're wrong, and they're not consistent with 459 00:24:35,359 --> 00:24:38,959 Speaker 1: the ISM report, which I think has consistently been an 460 00:24:39,000 --> 00:24:39,920 Speaker 1: accurate report. 461 00:24:40,440 --> 00:24:44,440 Speaker 3: Talking to doctor Matt Well, economist at the University of Indianapolis, 462 00:24:45,040 --> 00:24:49,080 Speaker 3: we're talking about manufacturing when you talk about the ism report, 463 00:24:49,720 --> 00:24:53,200 Speaker 3: and I stated earlier that the tariffs are now being 464 00:24:53,320 --> 00:24:58,280 Speaker 3: passed through, and we then saw that it showed inflation up, 465 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:01,800 Speaker 3: and now you see job growth with no with inflation up. 466 00:25:02,040 --> 00:25:06,959 Speaker 3: I agree it sounds odd. But the argument that's going 467 00:25:07,000 --> 00:25:10,479 Speaker 3: to be made is is that if we can't trust 468 00:25:10,520 --> 00:25:12,960 Speaker 3: these numbers that the BLS puts together, why is there 469 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:13,800 Speaker 3: still a BLS? 470 00:25:13,800 --> 00:25:16,760 Speaker 2: Like why is this still the way we go about 471 00:25:16,920 --> 00:25:17,679 Speaker 2: doing things? 472 00:25:17,840 --> 00:25:19,720 Speaker 3: And if the market had been open today, I forgot 473 00:25:19,800 --> 00:25:22,600 Speaker 3: it's Good Friday, and so therefore the market isn't open. 474 00:25:22,600 --> 00:25:24,920 Speaker 3: It closes on Good Friday. What do you think their 475 00:25:24,920 --> 00:25:26,879 Speaker 3: reaction would be to this report? 476 00:25:27,480 --> 00:25:30,040 Speaker 1: I think it would be a nothing burger and I 477 00:25:30,080 --> 00:25:33,560 Speaker 1: sincerely believe that. And you know, you say all the 478 00:25:33,600 --> 00:25:36,320 Speaker 1: time about you know, the TSA should be privatized, and 479 00:25:36,320 --> 00:25:39,160 Speaker 1: I agree with you. I'm going to take your same 480 00:25:39,320 --> 00:25:42,119 Speaker 1: logic and apply it to the BOS. The BLS should 481 00:25:42,119 --> 00:25:44,840 Speaker 1: be shut down and we should privatize it because we 482 00:25:44,960 --> 00:25:48,720 Speaker 1: have data. You know, I'm doctor Doom, not now let 483 00:25:48,720 --> 00:25:51,359 Speaker 1: me give you the fantastic news that came out yesterday. 484 00:25:51,400 --> 00:25:53,600 Speaker 2: You're not going to give us fantastic news. Everybody knows 485 00:25:53,600 --> 00:25:54,360 Speaker 2: that's a setup. 486 00:25:54,920 --> 00:25:57,919 Speaker 3: By the way, half the audience does call you doctor Doom, 487 00:25:58,280 --> 00:26:00,080 Speaker 3: and half the audience wants to know if you're saying 488 00:26:00,320 --> 00:26:01,119 Speaker 3: that's been my. 489 00:26:02,800 --> 00:26:05,760 Speaker 2: A take from everybody on your reporting. 490 00:26:05,880 --> 00:26:07,840 Speaker 1: Well, that means I'm doing my job if half are 491 00:26:07,840 --> 00:26:11,000 Speaker 1: offended and half are happy. But this is not This 492 00:26:11,040 --> 00:26:14,800 Speaker 1: is not a setup. The PMI, the manufacturing Index, which 493 00:26:14,800 --> 00:26:18,800 Speaker 1: is reliable. It's a private industry, real time report. The 494 00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 1: third month in a row of growing manufacturing, and not 495 00:26:21,920 --> 00:26:26,359 Speaker 1: in a small way. It's massive. Manufacturing was up, new 496 00:26:26,520 --> 00:26:31,480 Speaker 1: orders increased significantly. Production in production was up ten percent 497 00:26:31,640 --> 00:26:36,359 Speaker 1: annualized for the month of March. Everything is going great. Deliveries, 498 00:26:36,800 --> 00:26:40,000 Speaker 1: deliveries are up twenty percent in the month. 499 00:26:40,119 --> 00:26:43,280 Speaker 3: Hold on, hold on, Just as a matter of definition, 500 00:26:43,720 --> 00:26:47,480 Speaker 3: deliveries are the you mean the deliverables of the manufactured good. 501 00:26:47,520 --> 00:26:49,760 Speaker 3: It's one thing to make it, but we're talking about 502 00:26:50,080 --> 00:26:53,760 Speaker 3: landed at the at the retailer or the consumer. 503 00:26:54,160 --> 00:26:58,640 Speaker 1: Yes, yes, okay, yes, and now let me correct myself. 504 00:26:58,880 --> 00:27:02,320 Speaker 1: Deliveries could mean wholesale deliveries or retailer. But it's on 505 00:27:02,320 --> 00:27:03,240 Speaker 1: its way to the re But. 506 00:27:03,240 --> 00:27:06,400 Speaker 3: We understand, we mean that we're talking about that good 507 00:27:06,480 --> 00:27:08,240 Speaker 3: reaching the retailer. Now is a question of whether or 508 00:27:08,240 --> 00:27:12,200 Speaker 3: not it's being seld from the retailer. That's a second conversation altogether. 509 00:27:12,800 --> 00:27:14,320 Speaker 3: You got it, Okay, you got it. 510 00:27:14,840 --> 00:27:16,720 Speaker 1: And by the way, the reason their deliveries are up 511 00:27:16,800 --> 00:27:19,359 Speaker 1: is because inventories have been shrinking at the retail level, 512 00:27:19,359 --> 00:27:22,240 Speaker 1: so they have to restock. So this is all good news, 513 00:27:22,280 --> 00:27:25,239 Speaker 1: but there's two pieces of bad news. One is that 514 00:27:25,359 --> 00:27:29,560 Speaker 1: prices are significantly higher. They are the highest last month 515 00:27:29,920 --> 00:27:33,960 Speaker 1: for producers than they've been in the entire Trump administration. 516 00:27:34,520 --> 00:27:38,080 Speaker 1: So this inflation being gone is a false narrative. It's 517 00:27:38,160 --> 00:27:42,800 Speaker 1: not gone. And exports contracted, well, of course they contracted. 518 00:27:42,800 --> 00:27:47,280 Speaker 1: The tariffs are reducing import and export activity. And this 519 00:27:47,359 --> 00:27:50,840 Speaker 1: is what contradicts. This is a stinc test the unemployment report. 520 00:27:51,080 --> 00:27:53,840 Speaker 1: Reason I don't believe it is because this report showed 521 00:27:53,880 --> 00:27:59,040 Speaker 1: manufacturing contracting as did which is contradicts. The unemployment report 522 00:28:01,600 --> 00:28:04,359 Speaker 1: doesn't make any sense. The real people say, we're not 523 00:28:04,480 --> 00:28:06,800 Speaker 1: hiring more manufacturers. The government says, we. 524 00:28:06,840 --> 00:28:10,440 Speaker 3: Are talking to doctor Matt Will, economist at the University 525 00:28:10,480 --> 00:28:15,560 Speaker 3: of Indianapolis, I said, this report is befuddling that we 526 00:28:15,600 --> 00:28:18,000 Speaker 3: could see the increase inflation which was in the last 527 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:24,720 Speaker 3: PMI report PPI report. We could see that these costs 528 00:28:24,720 --> 00:28:27,840 Speaker 3: are being passed on. Yet somehow manufacturing is up as 529 00:28:27,880 --> 00:28:31,000 Speaker 3: a unique unique turn of events. There you talk about 530 00:28:31,160 --> 00:28:35,800 Speaker 3: the retailers have shrinking inventories, which means they were holding 531 00:28:35,880 --> 00:28:39,600 Speaker 3: off on having to buy anything new. Right, it wasn't 532 00:28:39,640 --> 00:28:42,080 Speaker 3: that there weren't things coming. It's that they decided for 533 00:28:42,160 --> 00:28:45,360 Speaker 3: their own business practices it was best to hold off, 534 00:28:45,560 --> 00:28:48,160 Speaker 3: and now's the time that they have to make up 535 00:28:48,200 --> 00:28:50,600 Speaker 3: for it. There are seasonal things happening and all sorts 536 00:28:50,640 --> 00:28:52,600 Speaker 3: of things. Let me go back to the jobs report 537 00:28:52,640 --> 00:28:55,960 Speaker 3: really quick, because we see the decrease in government jobs 538 00:28:55,960 --> 00:28:58,560 Speaker 3: by eighteen thousand and I do cheer that. And the 539 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:03,040 Speaker 3: biggest increase was in hell healthcare. Are you now, yes, 540 00:29:03,160 --> 00:29:05,880 Speaker 3: all this can be revised. I get your point. But 541 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:09,480 Speaker 3: when you see the top grower being healthcare, you like 542 00:29:09,560 --> 00:29:11,240 Speaker 3: that or you think that's a sign of an issue. 543 00:29:12,160 --> 00:29:14,880 Speaker 1: It doesn't concern me because health care is a big 544 00:29:15,080 --> 00:29:18,160 Speaker 1: it's very broad net. I've said this before. One of 545 00:29:18,200 --> 00:29:20,680 Speaker 1: the things in the United States that we don't understand, 546 00:29:20,720 --> 00:29:22,560 Speaker 1: and I wish I could educate the public on this. 547 00:29:23,080 --> 00:29:25,800 Speaker 1: Our health care costs are not higher than the rest 548 00:29:25,800 --> 00:29:28,240 Speaker 1: of the world. People think that, oh, it's cheaper in 549 00:29:28,280 --> 00:29:32,400 Speaker 1: Finland's cheaper in Germany. No, it's not per unit, it's 550 00:29:32,520 --> 00:29:36,360 Speaker 1: cheaper in the United States. We consume more volume of 551 00:29:36,400 --> 00:29:39,600 Speaker 1: health care. We have such access to healthcare that no 552 00:29:39,600 --> 00:29:42,600 Speaker 1: one in the world has. We run in for a sniffle, 553 00:29:42,800 --> 00:29:45,840 Speaker 1: We run in for a I got a strained wrist. 554 00:29:45,920 --> 00:29:48,200 Speaker 1: I run in and I go to the doctor. You 555 00:29:48,240 --> 00:29:50,280 Speaker 1: go to Canada for a strain rich you got an 556 00:29:50,320 --> 00:29:53,800 Speaker 1: eighteen month wait. So I don't mind the fact that 557 00:29:53,840 --> 00:29:56,200 Speaker 1: we are consumers and we buy more healthcare. Do I 558 00:29:56,200 --> 00:29:59,360 Speaker 1: wish we were healthier? Do I wish Maha was more successful? 559 00:29:59,360 --> 00:30:02,280 Speaker 1: Of course I do. But I think it's not bad 560 00:30:02,400 --> 00:30:06,520 Speaker 1: that we're consuming more healthcare as a private, capitalist economy. 561 00:30:06,720 --> 00:30:09,040 Speaker 1: Good for us. We're choosing where to spend our dollars, 562 00:30:09,080 --> 00:30:10,840 Speaker 1: and apparently it's on good health. 563 00:30:10,960 --> 00:30:13,200 Speaker 2: That's an interesting take regarding volume. 564 00:30:13,880 --> 00:30:17,240 Speaker 3: Let's move it over to Iran and these oil prices, 565 00:30:17,280 --> 00:30:20,080 Speaker 3: which this week has not only seen below one hundred 566 00:30:20,120 --> 00:30:22,400 Speaker 3: dollars it is now seen above one hundred dollars. We've 567 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:24,680 Speaker 3: seen the West Texas crewed higher than the Brent crude, 568 00:30:24,720 --> 00:30:26,600 Speaker 3: the West Texas coming out of the ground, the Brent 569 00:30:26,680 --> 00:30:28,760 Speaker 3: crud coming out of out of the oceans. That is 570 00:30:28,800 --> 00:30:31,920 Speaker 3: the way I give the basic general idea of what 571 00:30:32,000 --> 00:30:33,840 Speaker 3: these two different oils are, and these are the two 572 00:30:34,200 --> 00:30:37,080 Speaker 3: that I look at. And then we have the conversation 573 00:30:37,120 --> 00:30:39,480 Speaker 3: of President Trump's addressed to the nation where he says 574 00:30:39,520 --> 00:30:42,160 Speaker 3: to Europe, go over to the strait of horror moves 575 00:30:42,520 --> 00:30:44,560 Speaker 3: and go take care of your things and go get 576 00:30:44,560 --> 00:30:45,800 Speaker 3: your oil or buy it from us. 577 00:30:45,920 --> 00:30:48,040 Speaker 2: But the straight of hor moves is going to open naturally. 578 00:30:48,080 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 3: Don't worry about it, which is his way of saying, hey, 579 00:30:50,400 --> 00:30:51,800 Speaker 3: oil markets, you're being ridiculous. 580 00:30:51,800 --> 00:30:53,360 Speaker 2: It is all going to be fine. I don't know 581 00:30:53,360 --> 00:30:54,360 Speaker 2: if that works or not. 582 00:30:54,880 --> 00:30:57,520 Speaker 3: But let's talk about what this war is doing to 583 00:30:57,920 --> 00:30:59,400 Speaker 3: a worldwide economy. 584 00:30:59,600 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 1: What are you Well, what I think the president is 585 00:31:02,640 --> 00:31:05,240 Speaker 1: doing is in concept correct. Europe needs to get their 586 00:31:05,280 --> 00:31:07,400 Speaker 1: butt in gear and get over and open up the 587 00:31:07,440 --> 00:31:10,520 Speaker 1: straight of her moves. But he's wrong in that We're 588 00:31:10,520 --> 00:31:14,200 Speaker 1: going to be fine. Oil is a fungible asset. It's 589 00:31:14,200 --> 00:31:16,120 Speaker 1: like when you pour a glass of water into a 590 00:31:16,160 --> 00:31:20,000 Speaker 1: bucket of water, it's indistinguishable from the rest. Can we 591 00:31:20,040 --> 00:31:23,560 Speaker 1: have laws and rules that prevent other countries from using 592 00:31:23,600 --> 00:31:26,880 Speaker 1: our oil? Can we be independent, self sustaining. Of course 593 00:31:26,920 --> 00:31:29,640 Speaker 1: we can, but that doesn't matter because the rest of 594 00:31:29,680 --> 00:31:32,200 Speaker 1: the world still needs oil and we are not an 595 00:31:32,240 --> 00:31:35,760 Speaker 1: independent economy. We are touched by others. As much as 596 00:31:35,880 --> 00:31:39,200 Speaker 1: as Trump doesn't like that, we can lead the world. 597 00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:41,160 Speaker 1: I mean, the world can lead us into a recession. 598 00:31:41,480 --> 00:31:44,320 Speaker 1: Number two thousand and eight. We led the world into 599 00:31:44,320 --> 00:31:47,120 Speaker 1: a recession. Guess what can happen now? The world can 600 00:31:47,240 --> 00:31:49,520 Speaker 1: lead us into a recession. The fact that we just 601 00:31:49,560 --> 00:31:53,520 Speaker 1: saw today Turkey, which regulates the price of energy, is 602 00:31:53,560 --> 00:31:55,920 Speaker 1: going to increase the price of energy for the first 603 00:31:55,920 --> 00:31:58,360 Speaker 1: time in ten years. It was either Italy or France. 604 00:31:58,480 --> 00:32:00,880 Speaker 1: I forgot to see the byline on that have decided 605 00:32:00,880 --> 00:32:05,960 Speaker 1: they're going to continue subsidizing fuel for their citizens. Let 606 00:32:05,960 --> 00:32:08,760 Speaker 1: me tell you the insanity of this. Stop subsidizing your 607 00:32:08,760 --> 00:32:11,360 Speaker 1: citizens and go open up the straits. Then you don't 608 00:32:11,360 --> 00:32:14,560 Speaker 1: have to subsidize your citizens. So these countries are making 609 00:32:14,640 --> 00:32:18,040 Speaker 1: bad decisions because they're afraid to deal with the problem. 610 00:32:18,160 --> 00:32:20,840 Speaker 1: Trump was brave enough to deal with the problem. They 611 00:32:20,880 --> 00:32:23,200 Speaker 1: need to go out and deal with it. And I 612 00:32:23,240 --> 00:32:25,520 Speaker 1: don't know that the President is going to walk away 613 00:32:25,880 --> 00:32:28,320 Speaker 1: and let others open the straits. I don't think he 614 00:32:28,360 --> 00:32:29,960 Speaker 1: can do that. I think they've got to be open 615 00:32:30,160 --> 00:32:32,560 Speaker 1: and everyone else's chicken. So he's probably going to be 616 00:32:32,600 --> 00:32:33,600 Speaker 1: the one that has to do it. 617 00:32:34,080 --> 00:32:36,520 Speaker 3: I don't disagree with that. By the way, I don't 618 00:32:36,560 --> 00:32:39,680 Speaker 3: disagree with that. The idea that President Trump's gonna say 619 00:32:40,000 --> 00:32:43,040 Speaker 3: it is and it's going to keep oil to an 620 00:32:43,080 --> 00:32:46,520 Speaker 3: argument artificially high or high. That's not something that is 621 00:32:46,560 --> 00:32:50,920 Speaker 3: going to work going into midterms. It's not going to 622 00:32:50,920 --> 00:32:54,160 Speaker 3: work for an economy large. But he does talk a 623 00:32:54,200 --> 00:32:58,200 Speaker 3: lot about our oil production, our energy production, So he 624 00:32:58,240 --> 00:33:00,560 Speaker 3: talks about us having more than everybody else, and we 625 00:33:00,640 --> 00:33:03,080 Speaker 3: do have a lot of energy that we can afford 626 00:33:03,440 --> 00:33:04,000 Speaker 3: to sell. 627 00:33:04,400 --> 00:33:10,920 Speaker 1: The question is who's the buyer? You know, first of all, 628 00:33:11,280 --> 00:33:13,320 Speaker 1: that's a great question. But let me fix one of 629 00:33:13,360 --> 00:33:15,280 Speaker 1: the things that President said. I was a fan of 630 00:33:15,280 --> 00:33:16,880 Speaker 1: his speech. I just wish he would have given it 631 00:33:16,880 --> 00:33:22,680 Speaker 1: four weeks ago. Exactly. It's just okay, thank you for 632 00:33:22,720 --> 00:33:24,720 Speaker 1: the information. We could have heard this four weeks ago, 633 00:33:25,560 --> 00:33:28,000 Speaker 1: but he said some things that we're just technically not correct, 634 00:33:28,040 --> 00:33:31,400 Speaker 1: which is typical Trump. You know, the most proven oil 635 00:33:31,440 --> 00:33:34,160 Speaker 1: reserves are not the United States, as he said, It's Venezuela, 636 00:33:34,200 --> 00:33:37,280 Speaker 1: it's Saudi Arabia, it's Russia. We are the biggest producer, 637 00:33:37,680 --> 00:33:40,520 Speaker 1: we are extracting the most, and that is true, we're 638 00:33:40,560 --> 00:33:45,120 Speaker 1: producing the most, but that's not the whole story. Give 639 00:33:45,160 --> 00:33:47,560 Speaker 1: me your question again, because I got I got myself distracted. 640 00:33:47,880 --> 00:33:50,960 Speaker 3: The question, minor, professor. No, the question we can answer 641 00:33:51,080 --> 00:33:55,840 Speaker 3: thirty seconds or least. Who's the buyer? The buyer is everybody. 642 00:33:56,240 --> 00:33:59,400 Speaker 3: It's a fungible market. You cannot distinguish unless we have 643 00:33:59,560 --> 00:34:02,960 Speaker 3: laws sanding the sale of our energy to other countries. 644 00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:06,560 Speaker 3: Everyone is the buyer of everyone's oil. That's why restrictions 645 00:34:06,560 --> 00:34:09,279 Speaker 3: on Russia didn't work. That's why restrictions on Iran have 646 00:34:09,360 --> 00:34:12,160 Speaker 3: never worked. It is a fungible asset and everyone is 647 00:34:12,200 --> 00:34:15,640 Speaker 3: a buyer for everyone else's oil. We'll dig more into this, 648 00:34:15,719 --> 00:34:18,800 Speaker 3: doctor Matt Will, economist at the University of Indianapolis. 649 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:20,000 Speaker 2: I appreciate you being with us. 650 00:34:20,120 --> 00:34:23,200 Speaker 3: More coming up, I'm Tony Katz bring on the final 651 00:34:23,320 --> 00:34:26,920 Speaker 3: four Yukon in Illinois, Michigan and Arizona, and it's all 652 00:34:26,960 --> 00:34:29,440 Speaker 3: happening quite literally right down the road from me. 653 00:34:29,600 --> 00:34:30,280 Speaker 2: Tony Katz. 654 00:34:30,719 --> 00:34:33,440 Speaker 3: Tony Katz today the final four, the National Championship for 655 00:34:33,520 --> 00:34:37,759 Speaker 3: the NCAA Men's basketball that is taking place in Indianapolis, Indiana. 656 00:34:37,840 --> 00:34:42,279 Speaker 3: Which if I throw a rock, I will probably get 657 00:34:42,280 --> 00:34:44,120 Speaker 3: in trouble for throwing a rock, but I get hit it. 658 00:34:45,000 --> 00:34:47,200 Speaker 2: I can throw very very far. It's gonna be a 659 00:34:47,200 --> 00:34:50,200 Speaker 2: good time. I hope everybody enjoyed. 660 00:34:50,560 --> 00:34:56,280 Speaker 3: Listen, my brackets destroyed, like your brackets destroyed, just gone. 661 00:34:56,360 --> 00:34:59,439 Speaker 3: I had Purdue in Houston in the finals. So yeah, 662 00:34:59,560 --> 00:35:02,080 Speaker 3: things not work out too well for Tony, but it's 663 00:35:02,120 --> 00:35:05,360 Speaker 3: gonna be a good time. It's gonna be a good weekend. 664 00:35:05,719 --> 00:35:10,040 Speaker 3: And the bets, the betting that is gonna flow. I 665 00:35:10,120 --> 00:35:13,839 Speaker 3: only wonder if there is going to be soon, if 666 00:35:13,840 --> 00:35:18,920 Speaker 3: it hasn't already started, a pushback to the betting, a 667 00:35:18,960 --> 00:35:26,399 Speaker 3: pushback to the proliferation, the ease to which Americans can 668 00:35:26,600 --> 00:35:29,640 Speaker 3: just press a couple buttons on their phone and then 669 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:34,600 Speaker 3: risk it all. I don't have a desire to make 670 00:35:34,640 --> 00:35:38,239 Speaker 3: anything illegal. I just wonder if people are going to 671 00:35:38,880 --> 00:35:41,200 Speaker 3: are already in the place of self regulating and saying, oh, 672 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:43,520 Speaker 3: this can't be good for me, this can't be good. 673 00:35:43,600 --> 00:35:45,520 Speaker 3: By the way, I don't mind those apps. I don't 674 00:35:45,560 --> 00:35:47,440 Speaker 3: have any of those apps on my phone. I do 675 00:35:47,600 --> 00:35:49,799 Speaker 3: not do that stuff. I don't mind it. I might 676 00:35:49,920 --> 00:35:51,600 Speaker 3: other people doing. I think it's totally legal. 677 00:35:52,200 --> 00:35:56,080 Speaker 2: I just don't. I think for that reason, I wonder 678 00:35:56,120 --> 00:35:58,680 Speaker 2: if others feel that way as well. Find everything at 679 00:35:58,760 --> 00:36:02,000 Speaker 2: tonycats dot com the Easter. I'll catch you Monday. Take care,