WEBVTT - Episode 4660: Tony Katz Today Hour 3 - 08/10/26

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<v Speaker 1>Why from vall Hartbeiner and the Crossroads of America. It's

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<v Speaker 1>Tony Katz today. The vast majority of people in America

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<v Speaker 1>know nothing about the Great Barrington Declaration. And the reason

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<v Speaker 1>they don't know about it is because, well, it didn't

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<v Speaker 1>get much play. Oh it was outrageously important. It was

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<v Speaker 1>doctors and health professionals and scientists saying, you know what

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<v Speaker 1>we're doing regarding COVID. This was in the middle of COVID,

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<v Speaker 1>in the heat of COVID. This is not in any

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<v Speaker 1>way smart or proper or good. This is a horrible

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<v Speaker 1>way to go about things. We don't know what doctor

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<v Speaker 1>Fauci or doctor Bergs or any of these other people

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<v Speaker 1>pretend that they are doing, but they're going to hurt

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<v Speaker 1>a lot of people. There's a better way to do this.

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<v Speaker 1>And as you know, and I know, and we know,

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<v Speaker 1>many of those messages got silenced, whether it be from

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<v Speaker 1>some of the leading doctors and scientists and health professionals,

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<v Speaker 1>or whether it be you asking a basic question on

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<v Speaker 1>social media. Tony, Tony Katz today, good to be with you. Well.

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<v Speaker 1>In the Treasure Trove of Things, the Senator Ran Paul

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<v Speaker 1>released from the Diary of Anthony Fauci, Doctor Anthony Fauci emails, etc.

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<v Speaker 1>Was this notification? You can find it. I've got it

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<v Speaker 1>over at tonykats dot com. This email that Fauci sent

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<v Speaker 1>to doctor Deborah Burks, you know, the one who wears

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<v Speaker 1>the scarves, asking her to come out against the Great

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<v Speaker 1>Barrington Declaration. Phil Magnus joins me right now. His work

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<v Speaker 1>is at the Independent Institute, where he is a Senior

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<v Speaker 1>Fellow and the David J. Threaux Chair in Political Economy.

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<v Speaker 1>He also works with the American Institute for Economic Research,

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<v Speaker 1>where he was formerly the fa Hiak Share in Economics

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<v Speaker 1>at Economic History, which means he knows a lot of

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<v Speaker 1>things that we don't, which is good because this does

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<v Speaker 1>have a lot of economic connotations to it. He is

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<v Speaker 1>also the author of the sixteen nineteen project Myth and

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<v Speaker 1>Cracks in the Ivory Tower The Moral Mess of Higher Education,

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<v Speaker 1>both of which touch on the concept of what it

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<v Speaker 1>is we are told versus what it is that is.

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<v Speaker 1>Phil Magnus, thanks for taking the time. I appreciate it.

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<v Speaker 1>You got a heck of a resume there. But I

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<v Speaker 1>want to discuss the Great Barrington Declaration. Let's start where

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<v Speaker 1>we start, which is what is the Great Barrington Declaration.

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<v Speaker 2>Absolutely so I was one of a very small number

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<v Speaker 2>of people that was actually in the room when the

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<v Speaker 2>thing was signed in October twenty twenty. And this was

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<v Speaker 2>a document basically challenging the idea that lockdowns were the

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<v Speaker 2>way to deal with the pandemic, that pointed out that

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<v Speaker 2>lockdowns not only were on a very swim evidentiary basis

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<v Speaker 2>they didn't work, but on top of that, they cost

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<v Speaker 2>all sorts of social harms, economic harms. They put people

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<v Speaker 2>out of work, caused mental health issues, kept kids out

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<v Speaker 2>of schools. And this was a document that came together

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<v Speaker 2>during the second wave of COVID. If you remember, in

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<v Speaker 2>fall twenty twenty, the cases were ticking up again and

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<v Speaker 2>all of the people who had locked us down back

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<v Speaker 2>in the spring started revisiting those ideas, and in some

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<v Speaker 2>cases many states and many countries are in the world,

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<v Speaker 2>they did re enact lockdowns again in the fall of

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<v Speaker 2>twenty twenty. But what happened is we got a group

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<v Speaker 2>of scientists together, and this was Jay Bodicheria, who's now

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<v Speaker 2>Fauci's replacement boss figure at the NIH. Donald Trump appointed

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<v Speaker 2>him in part because of his reputation entered this Martin

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<v Speaker 2>Koldorf of Harvard at the time, and Sinetric up to

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<v Speaker 2>of Oxford. So three physicians came together, we held a

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<v Speaker 2>conference on the case against lockdowns, and they articulated those

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<v Speaker 2>principles in a short to say summary statement to challenge

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<v Speaker 2>the return of this policy that Fauci and Berks and

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<v Speaker 2>some of the other figures in the so called public

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<v Speaker 2>health establishment were pushing at the time.

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<v Speaker 1>One of the things the Great Barrington Declaration states, and

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<v Speaker 1>Great Barrington is where air is located. Correct, that's the

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<v Speaker 1>specific town that it's in. It reads coming from both

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<v Speaker 1>the left and right, and around the world, we have

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<v Speaker 1>devoted our careers to protecting people. Current lockdown policies are

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<v Speaker 1>producing devastating effects on short and long term public health.

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<v Speaker 1>The result, to name a few, include lower childhood vaccination

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<v Speaker 1>rates worse than cardiovascular disease outcomes, fewer cancer screenings, and

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<v Speaker 1>deteriorating mental health lead into greater excess mortality in years

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<v Speaker 1>to come, with the working class in younger members of

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<v Speaker 1>society carrying the heaviest burden. Keeping students out of school

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<v Speaker 1>is a grave injustice. When we think of the time

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<v Speaker 1>October twenty twenty as you're describing it, sir. This was

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<v Speaker 1>a very near radical thing to say everything we're hearing

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<v Speaker 1>from on high is wrong. It's a danger. Let us

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<v Speaker 1>say so it gets signed. What was the reaction and

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<v Speaker 1>the response to the Great Barrington Declaration.

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<v Speaker 2>Initially it was very positive. It kind of went viral

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<v Speaker 2>on the internet, got picked up in some major news

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<v Speaker 2>media sources. I think the Wall Street Journal covered it.

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<v Speaker 2>Fox News picked it up, and they pointed out that

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<v Speaker 2>this says, finally somebody is challenging Anthony Fauci and this

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<v Speaker 2>policy that he has been pushing for several months now

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<v Speaker 2>that doesn't seem to be working, doesn't seem to be

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<v Speaker 2>addressing the pandemic, and oh, by the way, it has

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<v Speaker 2>all these other costs and consequences. So that was the

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<v Speaker 2>initial reactions, generally positive, kind of recognizing, hey, we could

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<v Speaker 2>finally have the scientific debate we were denied in the spring.

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<v Speaker 2>And then all of a sudden, this is probably about

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<v Speaker 2>three or four days after the decoration was signed, the

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<v Speaker 2>media turned outright hostile against it, attacks on the authors,

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<v Speaker 2>calling them frings, epidemiologists. We got deboosted on the Google links,

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<v Speaker 2>Google searches from it. It used to appear on the

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<v Speaker 2>top page along with news media coverage of it, and

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<v Speaker 2>then suddenly, all of a sudden, it's on page four

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<v Speaker 2>behind crazy conspiracy blogs announcing the Great Bearington Declaration is

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<v Speaker 2>going to kill us all. So very rapid switch in

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<v Speaker 2>the public discussion around it, and it was kind of

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<v Speaker 2>mystifying at the time of why that had happened, because

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<v Speaker 2>all we were asking for was a public debate over

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<v Speaker 2>the science, a public debate over whether lockdowns actually did

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<v Speaker 2>what they promised to do.

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<v Speaker 1>Talking to Phil Magnus, Senior fellow at the Independent Institute,

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<v Speaker 1>David J. Throwhare and political economy and his work with

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<v Speaker 1>Aier the American Institute for Economic Research, where he was

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<v Speaker 1>formerly the Fa Hyak Chair in Economics and Economic History,

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<v Speaker 1>and we could certainly tie in a lot of what

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<v Speaker 1>we saw in the COVID days to what we have

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<v Speaker 1>seen in economic reality today. But there's also an economic

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<v Speaker 1>reality of what we have done to generations and what

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<v Speaker 1>it is we were doing in trying to from other

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<v Speaker 1>groups silencing this kind of talk you talk about, all

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<v Speaker 1>of a sudden it was removed from search engines, etc.

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<v Speaker 1>This brings us to this email that doctor Fauci sent

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<v Speaker 1>out to Deborah Burks saying, so, just a heads up.

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<v Speaker 1>Over the past week, I've come out very strongly publicly

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<v Speaker 1>against the Great Barrington Declaration. This was from October sixteenth,

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<v Speaker 1>twenty twenty, and asking her to do the same. To

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<v Speaker 1>come out against this. In a world of so called science,

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<v Speaker 1>people can be hey, I disagree. What was it like

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<v Speaker 1>for him to come out against it? How did that

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<v Speaker 1>play out?

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<v Speaker 2>Well, we found out after the fact. You know, all

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<v Speaker 2>this sudden explosion of hate and demonization that was occurring

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<v Speaker 2>around the Great Bearrington Declaration, it actually had a cause,

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<v Speaker 2>and Anthony Fauci was a major player in that cause.

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<v Speaker 2>Filed a Freedom of Information Act request with the NIH

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<v Speaker 2>office where Fauci worked, way back in twenty twenty one,

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<v Speaker 2>and it actually kind of opened the door to looking

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<v Speaker 2>into this. So all the committee investigation that Ran Paul

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<v Speaker 2>has pursued ever since then, a couple of the lawsuits

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<v Speaker 2>around it. Kind of the starting point was the discovery

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<v Speaker 2>of an email, and this is an email from Fauci's

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<v Speaker 2>boss at the time, Francis Collins, to him saying, this

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<v Speaker 2>Great Barrington Declaration things going around. It has all these

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<v Speaker 2>fringe epidemiologists that are challenging lockdowns and colins ordered Fauci said,

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<v Speaker 2>I want you to write and publish a devastating published

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<v Speaker 2>takedown of these authors and basically as a directive to

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<v Speaker 2>get this underway because we need to counter it. And Fauci,

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<v Speaker 2>it turns out, is that new email we got from

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<v Speaker 2>Rand Paul's committee and new foyas that have come true.

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<v Speaker 2>He actually engages in a very coordinated campaign to smear

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<v Speaker 2>the Great Marrington Declaration in the media, in the press,

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<v Speaker 2>behind the scenes in the White House. He is a

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<v Speaker 2>consummate political actor, not a scientist, is what all these

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<v Speaker 2>emails tend to confirm. He's not looking at the evidence

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<v Speaker 2>on lockdowns or the arguments that were being made. He's

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<v Speaker 2>circulating political editorials in favor of lockdowns and calling friends

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<v Speaker 2>in the White House to try to suppress anti lockdown voices.

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<v Speaker 2>So one of the members of the COVID task force

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<v Speaker 2>that was a skeptic of lockdowns is doctor Scott Atlas,

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<v Speaker 2>who's from Stanford University. He was brought in to kind

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<v Speaker 2>of be a counter voice to Fauci, and it turns

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<v Speaker 2>out right around the time of the Great Bearrington Declaration, Atlas,

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<v Speaker 2>who had been favorable to it gets on Fauci's bad side,

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<v Speaker 2>and Fauci starts this campaign with Burks to try to

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<v Speaker 2>get him fired and removed from the COVID Task Force

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<v Speaker 2>because they don't want any dissent internally. That's pushing for

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<v Speaker 2>a document like the Great Bearrington Declaration. They wanted be

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<v Speaker 2>able to call the shots on lockdowns. So, rather than

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<v Speaker 2>this being Fauci the science, as he often declared himself

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<v Speaker 2>to be, it's actually Tauci the political operative who is

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<v Speaker 2>trying to maintain control of the narrative and control over

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<v Speaker 2>the policy and steer it toward lockdowns.

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<v Speaker 1>So the reason I speak to you certainly your connection

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<v Speaker 1>to the Great Barrington Declaration. But this view of this

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<v Speaker 1>in terms of the economics, right economics we think of

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<v Speaker 1>his dollars and cents, But economics is taking a look

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<v Speaker 1>at a situation and asking ourselves, how can we predict

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<v Speaker 1>the consequences right this? Now, Milton Friedman would describe economics,

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<v Speaker 1>how do you predict the consequences of changes in circumstances?

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<v Speaker 1>And I do find myself to be a Milton Friedman guy,

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<v Speaker 1>Thomas Sowell guy. I would be more of an fa

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<v Speaker 1>Hiat guy. But just the reading is so incredibly boring.

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<v Speaker 1>It's so just if he could write the way he

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<v Speaker 1>would think, I would be a happy man. But the

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<v Speaker 1>writing was just tedious. Is I'll get out? But we

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<v Speaker 1>talk about the economic consequences, to which there were none

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<v Speaker 1>that came into the thinking. And it seemed to me

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<v Speaker 1>that the Great Barrington Declaration dealt with all of the

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<v Speaker 1>potential consequences, and doctor Fauci, doctor Burke's mainstream media cared

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<v Speaker 1>not about consequences, but cared about fear for a purpose.

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<v Speaker 1>Is that the correct assessment in your view?

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<v Speaker 2>I think it is absolutely the case. You know, as

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<v Speaker 2>you mentioned, incentives matter, secondary and tertiary effects of decisions

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<v Speaker 2>we make. They matter. And one of the things that

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<v Speaker 2>happened with the lockdowns, it's not just shutting society down

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<v Speaker 2>to keep this disease supposedly contained, although we find out

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<v Speaker 2>that doesn't work either under lockdowns, like the whole theory

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<v Speaker 2>behind it was wrong. Shutting down society also means that

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<v Speaker 2>people can't go to work. They also can't go out

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<v Speaker 2>to the store unless they're wearing a mask and walking

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<v Speaker 2>in the direction of the stickers on the floor. Hours

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<v Speaker 2>non essential businesses are shut down, and you start thinking

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<v Speaker 2>about this, What are some of the consequences of that.

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<v Speaker 2>That means that if I'm living paycheck to paycheck and

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<v Speaker 2>suddenly my job, my business, my restaurant that I work at,

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<v Speaker 2>is no longer allowed to be open, that means I

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<v Speaker 2>no longer have a paycheck coming in. And if you're

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<v Speaker 2>sitting there in COVID and you say you're a reporter

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<v Speaker 2>for the New York Times, you can do your job

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<v Speaker 2>at home on a laptop. You can watch Netflix, you

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<v Speaker 2>can get Uber Eats or door Dash or something to

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<v Speaker 2>deliver your meals, and life is actually pretty good. It's

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<v Speaker 2>not disrupted. But if you're just working, you know, paycheck

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<v Speaker 2>to paycheck and a service industry job, and you're basically

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<v Speaker 2>being told you're no longer essential, you're out of work,

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<v Speaker 2>and maybe you have a rent payment or a car

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<v Speaker 2>payment due next month, well you're out of luck. This

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<v Speaker 2>is a real economic strain, and we saw it early

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<v Speaker 2>in the pandemic. The states that had the more restrictive

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<v Speaker 2>lockdown policies shot up in unemployment. You had very clear

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<v Speaker 2>state level measures of this that the worst the lockdown

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<v Speaker 2>state was the higher the unemployment rate, and states that

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<v Speaker 2>remained relatively open or that ended the lockdowns early on,

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<v Speaker 2>like Florida Will their economies rebounded and this has tangible

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<v Speaker 2>effects on the quality of life and the ability to

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<v Speaker 2>even get by for working class Americans, and those were

0:13:27.120 --> 0:13:31.160
<v Speaker 2>completely disregarded by Fauci and people I would call the

0:13:31.240 --> 0:13:34.200
<v Speaker 2>laptop class who could have the luxury of working from

0:13:34.240 --> 0:13:37.840
<v Speaker 2>home and ordering Uber eats and sitting there on their

0:13:37.920 --> 0:13:40.319
<v Speaker 2>laptops while the service industry suffered.

0:13:41.320 --> 0:13:46.120
<v Speaker 1>Is there concrete data you can point to regarding we

0:13:46.200 --> 0:13:49.480
<v Speaker 1>did this and here's the results we see it. We

0:13:49.520 --> 0:13:52.680
<v Speaker 1>take a look at inflation right now, which certainly I

0:13:52.760 --> 0:13:56.040
<v Speaker 1>could have with you the conversation regarding whether or not

0:13:56.200 --> 0:13:58.640
<v Speaker 1>tariffs are still leading to that as an increase in

0:13:58.720 --> 0:14:02.000
<v Speaker 1>cost and keeping too much cash in the system. We

0:14:02.040 --> 0:14:04.520
<v Speaker 1>could take a look at specific job sectors and see

0:14:04.520 --> 0:14:06.880
<v Speaker 1>whether or not they've recovered and whether or not it

0:14:06.920 --> 0:14:10.440
<v Speaker 1>has been investment in AI that's actually been leading to

0:14:10.440 --> 0:14:13.959
<v Speaker 1>certain issues as opposed to damage done. We could take

0:14:13.960 --> 0:14:18.360
<v Speaker 1>a look at education outcomes as well. What can be

0:14:18.440 --> 0:14:24.080
<v Speaker 1>pointed to as this is the result of this shutdown

0:14:24.480 --> 0:14:27.160
<v Speaker 1>and here is the damage done, or maybe you can

0:14:27.240 --> 0:14:30.000
<v Speaker 1>tell me the other way, Well, here's a surprising success

0:14:30.080 --> 0:14:32.560
<v Speaker 1>that came from it, and if the damage is done,

0:14:32.560 --> 0:14:33.840
<v Speaker 1>what does it take to get out of it?

0:14:34.800 --> 0:14:38.800
<v Speaker 2>Yeah? Yeah, I guess there's two direct implications of COVID,

0:14:39.080 --> 0:14:40.960
<v Speaker 2>and one was the immediate I sort of mentioned, is

0:14:41.000 --> 0:14:44.400
<v Speaker 2>like the shutting down of the economy caused people to

0:14:44.440 --> 0:14:47.840
<v Speaker 2>lose their jobs. And yes, when we reopened those jobs

0:14:47.880 --> 0:14:50.960
<v Speaker 2>came back, but we were more or less operating in

0:14:51.040 --> 0:14:55.480
<v Speaker 2>an enforced recession for about a year during COVID. That

0:14:55.560 --> 0:14:59.240
<v Speaker 2>means people are worse off regardless. That means that not

0:14:59.400 --> 0:15:03.880
<v Speaker 2>only is it gnomic arm to disruption to their everyday lives,

0:15:04.160 --> 0:15:06.360
<v Speaker 2>and we saw that in the unemployment data. We saw

0:15:06.400 --> 0:15:09.320
<v Speaker 2>that in the economy essentially crashed in early twenty twenty

0:15:09.640 --> 0:15:12.360
<v Speaker 2>and it took a while to rebound. The second, the

0:15:12.400 --> 0:15:16.080
<v Speaker 2>longer term effect is what did we do in response? Well,

0:15:16.880 --> 0:15:19.960
<v Speaker 2>politicians of course panicked when the economy was shut down,

0:15:20.000 --> 0:15:21.840
<v Speaker 2>when people were closed out of their job, says well,

0:15:21.880 --> 0:15:25.280
<v Speaker 2>we need to pass stimulus checks. We need to create

0:15:25.360 --> 0:15:28.640
<v Speaker 2>all these government programs to hold people over. If we're

0:15:28.640 --> 0:15:31.840
<v Speaker 2>going to lock them down, let's throw them a bone. Basically,

0:15:32.240 --> 0:15:34.800
<v Speaker 2>so we had the succession of these stimulus checks that

0:15:34.840 --> 0:15:40.400
<v Speaker 2>were payouts essentially done on debt from the US government.

0:15:40.400 --> 0:15:42.440
<v Speaker 2>There wasn't any revenue to pay for it, but it

0:15:42.480 --> 0:15:45.560
<v Speaker 2>was just to hold people over. And those stimulus checks

0:15:45.920 --> 0:15:50.280
<v Speaker 2>basically get absorbed into the macroeconomic situation of the federal

0:15:50.320 --> 0:15:54.040
<v Speaker 2>government and become one of the major impetuses in twenty

0:15:54.160 --> 0:15:56.920
<v Speaker 2>twenty two. So a couple of years later, in the

0:15:56.960 --> 0:16:00.880
<v Speaker 2>inflationary crisis, we dumped a bunch of money to the economy,

0:16:01.440 --> 0:16:04.240
<v Speaker 2>and we pretended as if it was, you know, basically

0:16:04.240 --> 0:16:06.080
<v Speaker 2>a new big deal and it would take care of

0:16:06.120 --> 0:16:09.280
<v Speaker 2>itself and work its way through the system. Well, Joe

0:16:09.360 --> 0:16:12.920
<v Speaker 2>Biden mismanaged the inflationary crisis because it was all supposed

0:16:12.920 --> 0:16:16.280
<v Speaker 2>to be transitory and passed through. And here we are,

0:16:16.680 --> 0:16:20.040
<v Speaker 2>you know, four years later, still dealing with the repercussions

0:16:20.080 --> 0:16:24.000
<v Speaker 2>of that, which traces back to the stimulus checks, traces

0:16:24.000 --> 0:16:27.960
<v Speaker 2>back to policies that we had to enact during COVID

0:16:28.480 --> 0:16:30.120
<v Speaker 2>as a result of the fact that we shut down

0:16:30.120 --> 0:16:31.000
<v Speaker 2>the entire economy.

0:16:31.480 --> 0:16:35.920
<v Speaker 1>Phil Magnus he is senior fellow at the Independent Institute

0:16:36.040 --> 0:16:39.840
<v Speaker 1>David J. Throw Share and Political Economy, and his work

0:16:40.240 --> 0:16:43.840
<v Speaker 1>at AIRE, the American Institute for Economic Research, where he

0:16:43.920 --> 0:16:47.200
<v Speaker 1>was the fa Hiak at chair. I appreciate you taking

0:16:47.240 --> 0:16:49.840
<v Speaker 1>the time to be with us, give us the breakdown.

0:16:49.920 --> 0:16:52.560
<v Speaker 1>We'll talk economics in the future. I hope more to

0:16:52.600 --> 0:16:54.960
<v Speaker 1>get to keep it here. This is Tony kats today.

0:16:55.280 --> 0:16:59.240
<v Speaker 1>Low key. So that's where we're at. Now we're at

0:17:00.280 --> 0:17:02.720
<v Speaker 1>we're at having a war with Iran, but it's you know,

0:17:03.520 --> 0:17:07.119
<v Speaker 1>slow key, which is different than keeping it on the

0:17:07.160 --> 0:17:12.520
<v Speaker 1>down low. Maybe possibly, I mean, nobody knows what it means,

0:17:12.520 --> 0:17:15.000
<v Speaker 1>so it can mean anything you wanted to mean. Tony Katz,

0:17:15.080 --> 0:17:18.320
<v Speaker 1>Tony Katz today, good to be with you. The president,

0:17:18.480 --> 0:17:23.719
<v Speaker 1>as reported by the people at Axios, saying that you know,

0:17:23.840 --> 0:17:26.320
<v Speaker 1>the war with Iran will continue, but it's gonna be

0:17:26.400 --> 0:17:29.040
<v Speaker 1>low key. We're just gonna keep the economic pressure on.

0:17:29.119 --> 0:17:31.320
<v Speaker 1>We're not gonna worry about bombings and this and that

0:17:31.400 --> 0:17:35.359
<v Speaker 1>and what have you, and that's it now. Axios says

0:17:35.359 --> 0:17:39.240
<v Speaker 1>that Trump expresses no anger or frustration about the fact

0:17:39.280 --> 0:17:42.000
<v Speaker 1>that a deal hasn't been signed with Iran and they're

0:17:42.040 --> 0:17:44.720
<v Speaker 1>getting all tough about the strait. It was the Wall

0:17:44.760 --> 0:17:49.760
<v Speaker 1>Street Journal that reported that Trump's losing interest in the

0:17:49.760 --> 0:17:53.800
<v Speaker 1>war and Iran's wants hundreds of billions of dollars in

0:17:53.880 --> 0:17:56.480
<v Speaker 1>order to keep the strait open, and that Iran has

0:17:56.600 --> 0:17:59.960
<v Speaker 1>the advantage over Trump because Trump needs the oil prices down.

0:18:00.200 --> 0:18:02.840
<v Speaker 1>He doesn't have the stomach for this. Oh, he's getting

0:18:02.880 --> 0:18:06.199
<v Speaker 1>tired of this whole thing, and the Iranians believe that

0:18:06.200 --> 0:18:08.800
<v Speaker 1>they could just weight him out. I believe that the

0:18:08.840 --> 0:18:11.040
<v Speaker 1>Iranians do believe they can wait him out. They believe

0:18:11.040 --> 0:18:13.399
<v Speaker 1>they could wait anybody out, which is why no negotiation

0:18:13.480 --> 0:18:15.920
<v Speaker 1>with them will ever work, which is why one should

0:18:15.960 --> 0:18:19.159
<v Speaker 1>not negotiate with them, One should end them. Also, we

0:18:19.280 --> 0:18:21.680
<v Speaker 1>have it clear and understood that there is no way

0:18:21.720 --> 0:18:24.240
<v Speaker 1>to negotiate with You're dealing with the IRGC, which is

0:18:24.280 --> 0:18:27.240
<v Speaker 1>working in different factions, all to their own interests, not

0:18:27.400 --> 0:18:31.239
<v Speaker 1>too necessarily. And this is a solid point that I

0:18:31.280 --> 0:18:33.560
<v Speaker 1>saw somebody else Makeing them like that is a various

0:18:33.560 --> 0:18:37.320
<v Speaker 1>two to observation. It's not even to the Islamist point

0:18:37.359 --> 0:18:41.160
<v Speaker 1>of view, right although they want Israel, Gon and America

0:18:41.200 --> 0:18:44.280
<v Speaker 1>gone because those things are the things that keep them

0:18:44.480 --> 0:18:49.040
<v Speaker 1>from moving forward as pushing the caliphate, but rather they

0:18:49.080 --> 0:18:52.200
<v Speaker 1>are also things that keep them moving forward from being

0:18:52.320 --> 0:18:54.560
<v Speaker 1>the power in the region, which is why they want

0:18:54.600 --> 0:18:56.840
<v Speaker 1>a nuclear weapon. If you think Iran is a problem

0:18:56.880 --> 0:19:00.399
<v Speaker 1>now ran with a nuclear weapon is impossible. Anybody who

0:19:00.400 --> 0:19:02.840
<v Speaker 1>doesn't believe in ending this regime and stopping this threat

0:19:02.920 --> 0:19:05.160
<v Speaker 1>is in no way America. First, I say it about

0:19:05.160 --> 0:19:07.040
<v Speaker 1>Tucker Carlson, I say that about Thomas Massey. I say

0:19:07.080 --> 0:19:10.600
<v Speaker 1>that about Marjorie Taylor Green. They're laughable, But so is

0:19:10.640 --> 0:19:13.280
<v Speaker 1>the idea that a deal can be made. Can't be made.

0:19:13.880 --> 0:19:18.040
<v Speaker 1>So if you want to use economic opportunity to in

0:19:18.160 --> 0:19:22.400
<v Speaker 1>sanctions to choke them off, it's the siege mentality, which

0:19:22.440 --> 0:19:25.480
<v Speaker 1>we discussed with a military analyst, Mike Lyons on this

0:19:25.560 --> 0:19:28.879
<v Speaker 1>show weeks ago. Fine, that's what we're doing. That's what

0:19:28.880 --> 0:19:32.040
<v Speaker 1>we're doing. Great, terrific and wonderful. But when they don't

0:19:32.080 --> 0:19:34.280
<v Speaker 1>give you're gonna have to throttle them. You got to

0:19:34.320 --> 0:19:36.959
<v Speaker 1>stop talking about a deal can be made, you know it.

0:19:37.000 --> 0:19:45.840
<v Speaker 1>Can't stop saying. This is Tony Katz today, Else I

0:19:45.920 --> 0:19:47.520
<v Speaker 1>had wins, I will not vote Democrat.

0:19:47.600 --> 0:19:51.440
<v Speaker 3>I'll switch over and I'll vote for a candidate with character, whoever.

0:19:51.080 --> 0:19:55.119
<v Speaker 1>That might be. That's a Democrat talking. That's a Democrat

0:19:55.119 --> 0:19:59.359
<v Speaker 1>talking in Michigan. Just as the election was taking place,

0:19:59.440 --> 0:20:03.479
<v Speaker 1>and Dula ed, I'm sorry. Dull rock on El sayed, oh,

0:20:03.480 --> 0:20:05.760
<v Speaker 1>if you don't say his whole name, you can't to

0:20:05.840 --> 0:20:09.239
<v Speaker 1>keep his name out of your mouth. He's such a

0:20:09.240 --> 0:20:14.600
<v Speaker 1>pseudo tough guy. Oh what a punk Tony Katz. Tony

0:20:14.680 --> 0:20:18.400
<v Speaker 1>Katz today Abduled gives all the vibes of a guy

0:20:18.440 --> 0:20:22.359
<v Speaker 1>who peepes sitting down. He really does the tough guy stuff.

0:20:22.400 --> 0:20:25.400
<v Speaker 1>He's been doing boring, He's done it a couple times now.

0:20:25.520 --> 0:20:28.720
<v Speaker 1>It's it just doesn't play at all. But this was

0:20:28.760 --> 0:20:32.600
<v Speaker 1>a Democrat saying he'll vote for He'll vote for someone else,

0:20:32.600 --> 0:20:36.080
<v Speaker 1>He'll vote for someone with character. And this perfectly brings

0:20:36.160 --> 0:20:39.920
<v Speaker 1>us into the midterms because as much as we may

0:20:40.240 --> 0:20:43.280
<v Speaker 1>like it or not like it, you know, it's sometimes

0:20:43.320 --> 0:20:47.320
<v Speaker 1>things happen whether we like them or not. We are

0:20:47.480 --> 0:20:53.800
<v Speaker 1>in the full on election mode, ladies and gentlemen. We

0:20:53.840 --> 0:20:55.199
<v Speaker 1>are in election season.

0:20:57.760 --> 0:20:58.200
<v Speaker 2>My god.

0:20:58.320 --> 0:21:06.320
<v Speaker 1>Okay, it's happening on what's a procedure. That's it. We

0:21:06.359 --> 0:21:12.400
<v Speaker 1>are here, and it is horrifying. This is us from

0:21:12.480 --> 0:21:16.880
<v Speaker 1>now until November third. It's not my fault. Oh please,

0:21:16.880 --> 0:21:18.400
<v Speaker 1>don't get me wrong. I have plenty of other things

0:21:18.440 --> 0:21:21.760
<v Speaker 1>to talk about, plenty of other things to get to.

0:21:21.960 --> 0:21:25.480
<v Speaker 1>But we're in it. We are in it and One

0:21:25.520 --> 0:21:29.080
<v Speaker 1>of the things that I noticed was that the generic

0:21:29.359 --> 0:21:36.119
<v Speaker 1>ballot Democrats versus Republicans congressional generic ballot has Democrats up

0:21:36.119 --> 0:21:38.800
<v Speaker 1>by seven. Now that it's a little higher than where

0:21:38.840 --> 0:21:41.280
<v Speaker 1>they were, they were up plus four. I'm like, this

0:21:41.359 --> 0:21:46.159
<v Speaker 1>is nothing. Plus seven, you can see is something. And

0:21:46.200 --> 0:21:49.720
<v Speaker 1>the last five one, two, three, four, five, the last

0:21:49.760 --> 0:21:53.760
<v Speaker 1>five polls plus seven, plus eight, plus eleven, plus six

0:21:53.800 --> 0:21:58.120
<v Speaker 1>and plus six. Get rid of the plus eleven, get

0:21:58.240 --> 0:22:00.920
<v Speaker 1>rid of the plus six, right the bottom score, and

0:22:01.000 --> 0:22:04.320
<v Speaker 1>you're left with a plus seven advantage over the last

0:22:05.000 --> 0:22:08.760
<v Speaker 1>couple of weeks. I can't tell you why that is.

0:22:09.760 --> 0:22:13.080
<v Speaker 1>What I can tell you is this is happening while

0:22:13.200 --> 0:22:16.080
<v Speaker 1>conversation like that one you just heard. It is happening

0:22:16.920 --> 0:22:21.080
<v Speaker 1>where someone's like, I'm just gonna switch over. Then there's

0:22:21.119 --> 0:22:27.080
<v Speaker 1>the story of this guy. This was a Democrat, a

0:22:27.280 --> 0:22:33.920
<v Speaker 1>former chief counsel for the House Judiciary Democrats, and he

0:22:34.000 --> 0:22:37.120
<v Speaker 1>makes a video. His name is Julian Epstein. I don't

0:22:37.119 --> 0:22:42.400
<v Speaker 1>think there's any relation on the Epstein side. He is

0:22:42.800 --> 0:22:46.919
<v Speaker 1>a guy. I think he's in Michigan, and this is

0:22:46.960 --> 0:22:47.840
<v Speaker 1>his conversation.

0:22:48.280 --> 0:22:51.400
<v Speaker 3>I have been criticizing the Democratic Party for a long

0:22:51.440 --> 0:22:54.879
<v Speaker 3>time as being far to the left of the median voter. So,

0:22:55.119 --> 0:22:58.720
<v Speaker 3>just as a matter of practical politics and pragmatism, I

0:22:58.760 --> 0:23:00.520
<v Speaker 3>think the party has gone way too far left. But

0:23:00.560 --> 0:23:02.920
<v Speaker 3>I think the party has also lost its moral center.

0:23:02.960 --> 0:23:07.440
<v Speaker 3>I'm Julian Epstein. I'm a longtime Democrat. I was formerly

0:23:07.480 --> 0:23:09.960
<v Speaker 3>the chief counsel of the House Judiciary Committee and the

0:23:10.119 --> 0:23:12.200
<v Speaker 3>staff director of the House Oversight.

0:23:11.840 --> 0:23:13.000
<v Speaker 1>Committee for the Democrats.

0:23:13.880 --> 0:23:19.480
<v Speaker 3>I'm the former CEO of the consulting firm LMG, which represented,

0:23:20.119 --> 0:23:22.800
<v Speaker 3>amongst other people, Hillary Clinton for president. If this is

0:23:22.800 --> 0:23:24.760
<v Speaker 3>where the party's going, this is not a party I

0:23:24.800 --> 0:23:28.080
<v Speaker 3>want to have any anything to do with now.

0:23:28.080 --> 0:23:30.720
<v Speaker 1>I want to be clear that you could find Republicans

0:23:30.720 --> 0:23:32.199
<v Speaker 1>who are like I don't want anything to do with

0:23:32.240 --> 0:23:35.600
<v Speaker 1>Donald Trump. You can find that, of course it exists.

0:23:35.960 --> 0:23:40.280
<v Speaker 1>So in that regard, there's nothing necessarily new here, except

0:23:40.760 --> 0:23:45.800
<v Speaker 1>it is something to hear Democrats come out and say

0:23:45.880 --> 0:23:50.080
<v Speaker 1>this party has gone too far to the left. Abdul

0:23:50.200 --> 0:23:53.400
<v Speaker 1>say Ed was too much for that Michigan voter. The

0:23:53.440 --> 0:23:58.639
<v Speaker 1>Democrats in Toto too far to the left. I had stated,

0:23:59.200 --> 0:24:02.840
<v Speaker 1>with this goes back to February. I had done the

0:24:02.880 --> 0:24:06.320
<v Speaker 1>event Trump one year later, and a fantastic event we

0:24:06.359 --> 0:24:09.840
<v Speaker 1>did in Indianapolis, and I laid out the plan for

0:24:09.920 --> 0:24:14.480
<v Speaker 1>how Republicans can win in November. Because I saw the opening.

0:24:15.000 --> 0:24:18.840
<v Speaker 1>I understood the opening, and the opening involved a series

0:24:18.920 --> 0:24:22.480
<v Speaker 1>of things going right. But and this, I did the

0:24:22.560 --> 0:24:25.200
<v Speaker 1>event just as we had heard of the first attacks

0:24:25.960 --> 0:24:30.840
<v Speaker 1>on around by the United States. I mean, I've got

0:24:30.840 --> 0:24:33.840
<v Speaker 1>this ballroom in downtown Indianapolis, and we're setting it up

0:24:33.880 --> 0:24:37.200
<v Speaker 1>and we're getting the information. And there I am while

0:24:37.240 --> 0:24:40.720
<v Speaker 1>people are setting up, and I'm rewriting the presentation to

0:24:40.760 --> 0:24:43.160
<v Speaker 1>give the update and what just happened and how it's

0:24:43.200 --> 0:24:45.800
<v Speaker 1>going to play out and how do you prognosticate in

0:24:45.840 --> 0:24:49.120
<v Speaker 1>six hours. I didn't do bad. I didn't do bad

0:24:49.160 --> 0:24:52.480
<v Speaker 1>at all. But one of the things I said was

0:24:52.480 --> 0:24:55.960
<v Speaker 1>was that oil will need to settle and you're going

0:24:55.960 --> 0:24:58.560
<v Speaker 1>to need low gas prices because people make their decision

0:24:58.600 --> 0:25:01.439
<v Speaker 1>about the midterms. I don't think sex necessarily in the

0:25:01.520 --> 0:25:06.760
<v Speaker 1>days before they set their sale where they think they're

0:25:06.800 --> 0:25:09.840
<v Speaker 1>going to go in the summer. And I had said

0:25:09.840 --> 0:25:12.640
<v Speaker 1>this on the show, so you guys know this that

0:25:12.840 --> 0:25:15.800
<v Speaker 1>by the summer, it's going to dictate what's going to happen.

0:25:16.320 --> 0:25:18.520
<v Speaker 1>And if I were a guy just taking a look

0:25:18.560 --> 0:25:21.879
<v Speaker 1>at oil prices and taking with the economy, Republicans are

0:25:21.880 --> 0:25:26.320
<v Speaker 1>going to get salacked, get their stuff handed to them

0:25:26.440 --> 0:25:31.959
<v Speaker 1>in a massive, massive way. Except that's not where I

0:25:32.040 --> 0:25:41.200
<v Speaker 1>see it. And part of the story is that the

0:25:41.240 --> 0:25:44.920
<v Speaker 1>oil prices, while they've been higher, I don't actually believe

0:25:45.119 --> 0:25:49.560
<v Speaker 1>they've got everybody as upset as the media wants to

0:25:49.640 --> 0:25:55.080
<v Speaker 1>believe it is. I just don't. They're higher, but they're

0:25:55.119 --> 0:25:59.600
<v Speaker 1>not the thing that's really bothering. They're not the everyday

0:25:59.640 --> 0:26:05.680
<v Speaker 1>things being discussed by friends. Grocery prices are, insurance prices

0:26:05.720 --> 0:26:12.240
<v Speaker 1>are the basics. It isn't so much gas prices, which

0:26:12.240 --> 0:26:17.080
<v Speaker 1>I found kind of unique that it has gone that way.

0:26:17.320 --> 0:26:20.800
<v Speaker 1>It hasn't been in the anecdotal the big story. It's

0:26:20.840 --> 0:26:24.280
<v Speaker 1>been a media big story, but still it matters. I'm

0:26:24.320 --> 0:26:29.400
<v Speaker 1>surprised it hasn't moved more. But when I was doing

0:26:29.440 --> 0:26:31.640
<v Speaker 1>this this presentation, I said, the problem with the left

0:26:31.680 --> 0:26:34.440
<v Speaker 1>is that they're nuts, and nobody wants the nuts. And

0:26:34.480 --> 0:26:37.719
<v Speaker 1>that is more and more starting to show up. That's

0:26:38.000 --> 0:26:39.960
<v Speaker 1>becoming more and more of a story and more and

0:26:40.000 --> 0:26:44.840
<v Speaker 1>more of a wild card conversation. Does America think the

0:26:44.960 --> 0:26:48.400
<v Speaker 1>left is crazy? Do they think that they are these

0:26:48.600 --> 0:26:56.560
<v Speaker 1>wild radical communists, which they are unquestionably, unquestionably are, which

0:26:56.600 --> 0:26:59.159
<v Speaker 1>brings us back to this guy, Julian Epstein and the

0:26:59.280 --> 0:27:02.040
<v Speaker 1>argument he's making. This is from Fox News.

0:27:02.480 --> 0:27:05.000
<v Speaker 3>My piece in the New York Post today basically says

0:27:05.080 --> 0:27:08.399
<v Speaker 3>that I'm jumping ship, that I am going over to

0:27:08.440 --> 0:27:11.680
<v Speaker 3>the Republican side in the Michigan Senate race, and I'm

0:27:11.720 --> 0:27:16.280
<v Speaker 3>supporting Mike Rogers. And this is because I think the

0:27:16.320 --> 0:27:18.600
<v Speaker 3>Democrats have gone off the deep end. I think the

0:27:18.680 --> 0:27:22.280
<v Speaker 3>lunatics are in charge of the asylum. I think that

0:27:25.640 --> 0:27:28.720
<v Speaker 3>there is no room in the tent for people that

0:27:28.800 --> 0:27:31.119
<v Speaker 3>want to destroy our constitution. There's no room in the

0:27:31.160 --> 0:27:35.560
<v Speaker 3>tent for people that want to align themselves with radical Islam.

0:27:35.880 --> 0:27:37.520
<v Speaker 3>There's no room in the tent for people that want

0:27:37.560 --> 0:27:41.000
<v Speaker 3>to align themselves with anti Semitism. And there's no room

0:27:41.040 --> 0:27:43.959
<v Speaker 3>in the tent, I think, in my view, for people

0:27:44.000 --> 0:27:46.760
<v Speaker 3>that don't have any interest in building for the next generation,

0:27:46.880 --> 0:27:51.080
<v Speaker 3>but only want to redistribute what others have created.

0:27:52.119 --> 0:27:56.080
<v Speaker 1>Now that is something that you and I would wholeheartedly

0:27:56.520 --> 0:27:59.719
<v Speaker 1>agree with. They don't want to build, they don't want

0:27:59.760 --> 0:28:01.600
<v Speaker 1>to create, They actually have no plan for building, no

0:28:01.680 --> 0:28:03.920
<v Speaker 1>plan for creating. They only have a plan for taking.

0:28:04.440 --> 0:28:08.560
<v Speaker 1>And we've discussed this before. These DSA people are children,

0:28:08.560 --> 0:28:11.200
<v Speaker 1>They're little boys and little girls. They're violent little boys

0:28:11.200 --> 0:28:14.920
<v Speaker 1>and girls. But when it comes to mentality, they can't

0:28:15.000 --> 0:28:17.439
<v Speaker 1>back up their own statements, they can't back up their

0:28:17.480 --> 0:28:21.880
<v Speaker 1>own actions. They just want to win so they can

0:28:22.040 --> 0:28:26.080
<v Speaker 1>utilize the power to take from you. Everything about them

0:28:26.160 --> 0:28:29.280
<v Speaker 1>is force. They don't believe in togetherness, they don't believe

0:28:29.320 --> 0:28:32.439
<v Speaker 1>in unity. They don't believe in the collective. They never have,

0:28:32.680 --> 0:28:36.280
<v Speaker 1>they never will. They believe that they have to get

0:28:36.560 --> 0:28:41.160
<v Speaker 1>what it is that they want. They have to get it,

0:28:42.080 --> 0:28:45.840
<v Speaker 1>and they will get it by any means necessary. They

0:28:45.880 --> 0:28:50.200
<v Speaker 1>do not care what force has to be used. They

0:28:50.240 --> 0:28:54.400
<v Speaker 1>don't care who they have to hurt. It means absolutely

0:28:54.520 --> 0:28:57.600
<v Speaker 1>nothing to them, nothing at all. So this is in

0:28:57.640 --> 0:29:01.480
<v Speaker 1>a stude observation that they don't create. And that was

0:29:01.760 --> 0:29:04.840
<v Speaker 1>this guy Julian Epstein and I found the article there

0:29:04.840 --> 0:29:07.280
<v Speaker 1>at the New York Post. I'm a longtime Democrat fighting

0:29:07.280 --> 0:29:10.520
<v Speaker 1>for gops, Mike Rogers and my party's sole in Michigan.

0:29:11.600 --> 0:29:14.440
<v Speaker 1>I wonder if this applies to other Democrats, and does

0:29:14.440 --> 0:29:18.160
<v Speaker 1>it apply to justin Michigan. Democrats who have no interest

0:29:18.600 --> 0:29:23.800
<v Speaker 1>in voting for this rabbid anti American abdul l si

0:29:24.000 --> 0:29:28.440
<v Speaker 1>ed does it apply in other parts of the country.

0:29:28.560 --> 0:29:32.320
<v Speaker 3>And want to basically tear down the free market that

0:29:32.600 --> 0:29:37.080
<v Speaker 3>has been the most effective anti poverty liberation machine that

0:29:37.240 --> 0:29:39.320
<v Speaker 3>human beings have ever invented. If you want to start

0:29:39.360 --> 0:29:42.320
<v Speaker 3>taking these lunatic positions, then I'm.

0:29:42.120 --> 0:29:43.240
<v Speaker 1>Just not going to be part of it. And I

0:29:43.280 --> 0:29:45.200
<v Speaker 1>suspect more this isn't about me.

0:29:45.520 --> 0:29:48.440
<v Speaker 3>I suspect you're going to see a large group of

0:29:48.520 --> 0:29:54.400
<v Speaker 3>Democrats starting to defect. And I think this is what

0:29:54.440 --> 0:29:57.200
<v Speaker 3>you're watching in real time. Here is a party that

0:29:57.400 --> 0:29:59.120
<v Speaker 3>is jumping off a cliff.

0:30:00.240 --> 0:30:04.480
<v Speaker 1>Now let's say that that is true. We then take

0:30:04.520 --> 0:30:07.000
<v Speaker 1>a look at the generic ballot and we say these

0:30:07.080 --> 0:30:12.000
<v Speaker 1>two things are in conflict. No, I don't believe one poll.

0:30:12.040 --> 0:30:14.920
<v Speaker 1>I'm looking at an amalgam of poles. If I take

0:30:14.920 --> 0:30:17.560
<v Speaker 1>a look at the last eleven polls, Democrats at the

0:30:17.680 --> 0:30:22.560
<v Speaker 1>least are up by three, at the very very least.

0:30:23.520 --> 0:30:26.080
<v Speaker 1>In all the generic polls, the Democrats are up. What

0:30:26.160 --> 0:30:28.280
<v Speaker 1>I had argued when it was plus three, plus four,

0:30:28.280 --> 0:30:31.320
<v Speaker 1>plus five is that that's not enough. That is not

0:30:31.520 --> 0:30:34.280
<v Speaker 1>enough to guarantee control of the House of Representatives. It's

0:30:34.360 --> 0:30:37.400
<v Speaker 1>just not I think Democrats have given up on the

0:30:37.480 --> 0:30:40.520
<v Speaker 1>idea of control of the Senate. I really do. They're

0:30:40.600 --> 0:30:42.920
<v Speaker 1>not in a great place. But if I take a

0:30:42.920 --> 0:30:45.480
<v Speaker 1>look at all of it, up plus seven is in

0:30:45.560 --> 0:30:49.719
<v Speaker 1>a better place. And that is in conflict, direct conflict

0:30:50.000 --> 0:30:53.560
<v Speaker 1>with what it is. Julian Epstein as saying here, So

0:30:53.760 --> 0:30:57.400
<v Speaker 1>what's right? In what's wrong? I'll point you to two things.

0:30:58.360 --> 0:31:02.960
<v Speaker 1>Number One, if we take a look at the polling

0:31:03.560 --> 0:31:09.560
<v Speaker 1>in Michigan, right, we take a look at that Senate race, right,

0:31:09.600 --> 0:31:15.600
<v Speaker 1>the primary race in Michigan, they had Abdul el Sayed

0:31:16.120 --> 0:31:18.880
<v Speaker 1>up massive. Let me give it to you. This was

0:31:19.120 --> 0:31:22.040
<v Speaker 1>El Sayed versus Haley Stevens. Right, primary, we just saw

0:31:22.920 --> 0:31:26.280
<v Speaker 1>this was the last three one, two, three, four, five, six,

0:31:26.360 --> 0:31:30.840
<v Speaker 1>last seven, No, last six. In the last six polls,

0:31:31.280 --> 0:31:34.160
<v Speaker 1>Stevens was up in one of them, and then El

0:31:34.280 --> 0:31:38.640
<v Speaker 1>Sayed was up in five by double digits, which led

0:31:38.680 --> 0:31:41.600
<v Speaker 1>to the real Clear Politics average having l Sayed up

0:31:41.720 --> 0:31:46.000
<v Speaker 1>ten point two. Right, never, you can throw out the

0:31:46.040 --> 0:31:48.160
<v Speaker 1>top and bottom one. We could do that again. It

0:31:48.280 --> 0:31:53.800
<v Speaker 1>was l Sayed up by double digits by ten points

0:31:54.680 --> 0:32:00.840
<v Speaker 1>was the average. He won by one point. Do you

0:32:00.920 --> 0:32:02.360
<v Speaker 1>know how off you have to be?

0:32:03.360 --> 0:32:03.440
<v Speaker 2>No?

0:32:03.480 --> 0:32:05.959
<v Speaker 1>No, no, never mind it, never mind anybody's politics. We

0:32:06.000 --> 0:32:08.600
<v Speaker 1>agree on things, we disagree on things. Who cares. Let's

0:32:08.640 --> 0:32:13.040
<v Speaker 1>take a look at the pollsters, a series of different

0:32:13.080 --> 0:32:17.480
<v Speaker 1>polling outfits. They all had l saied up by double digits.

0:32:17.480 --> 0:32:21.520
<v Speaker 1>He won by a point. That is missing the mark

0:32:22.040 --> 0:32:25.880
<v Speaker 1>up thirteen, up, sixteen, up ten, up, fifteen, up fourteen.

0:32:27.040 --> 0:32:30.560
<v Speaker 1>That's without that poll that Steven's up by seven, which

0:32:30.680 --> 0:32:33.640
<v Speaker 1>in that average they had l saied up by thirteen

0:32:33.800 --> 0:32:39.200
<v Speaker 1>points and he won by a point. Is it possible

0:32:40.280 --> 0:32:44.080
<v Speaker 1>that the polling on the generic numbers that have the

0:32:44.120 --> 0:32:50.120
<v Speaker 1>Democrats up by seven are equally skewed, equally flawed, equally wrong,

0:32:50.240 --> 0:32:55.120
<v Speaker 1>Because if that's the case, Republicans take the House. I

0:32:55.280 --> 0:32:58.720
<v Speaker 1>can't guarantee that, though all I can do is look

0:32:58.720 --> 0:33:01.720
<v Speaker 1>at the numbers, and very often a number needs to

0:33:01.720 --> 0:33:05.720
<v Speaker 1>be looked at multiple ways. The people who want the

0:33:05.760 --> 0:33:07.680
<v Speaker 1>story that they want will read the top line. The

0:33:07.680 --> 0:33:10.160
<v Speaker 1>people who want to understand the story will actually dig in.

0:33:11.320 --> 0:33:14.960
<v Speaker 1>I have got Democrats who have a story writing in

0:33:15.000 --> 0:33:17.640
<v Speaker 1>the New York Post that they're leaving the Democrat Party,

0:33:18.520 --> 0:33:21.560
<v Speaker 1>and I've got numbers from the last big race where

0:33:21.600 --> 0:33:25.600
<v Speaker 1>everybody was paying attention and El Sied wins by a

0:33:25.720 --> 0:33:29.120
<v Speaker 1>point when he was supposed to win according to the

0:33:29.200 --> 0:33:34.600
<v Speaker 1>last five polls by thirteen. That's a story. So the

0:33:34.640 --> 0:33:37.320
<v Speaker 1>first question is do we believe the polls at all?

0:33:39.440 --> 0:33:43.760
<v Speaker 1>Not necessarily, but now the same question gets askedce the

0:33:43.800 --> 0:33:48.240
<v Speaker 1>part two, do we believe the people? This guy putting

0:33:48.280 --> 0:33:50.840
<v Speaker 1>the video out there with Fox News writing the article

0:33:50.840 --> 0:33:55.040
<v Speaker 1>in the New York Post. Okay, that's his story? Is

0:33:55.080 --> 0:33:57.200
<v Speaker 1>that all the stories? Well I did have a second

0:33:57.200 --> 0:33:58.560
<v Speaker 1>guy who said he wasn't going to vote for El

0:33:58.640 --> 0:34:01.360
<v Speaker 1>si ed. Well, that's Michigan and that's the center race.

0:34:01.480 --> 0:34:05.680
<v Speaker 1>Is that the story and Toto that they won't vote

0:34:05.680 --> 0:34:07.440
<v Speaker 1>for the bigotry, they won't vote for the jew hate,

0:34:07.440 --> 0:34:09.480
<v Speaker 1>they won't vote for the America hate, they won't vote

0:34:09.480 --> 0:34:12.560
<v Speaker 1>for the communists, they won't vote for this stuf. Is

0:34:12.719 --> 0:34:16.680
<v Speaker 1>that the story across the board. And I can't answer

0:34:16.719 --> 0:34:19.360
<v Speaker 1>that yet, but that could very well be the difference

0:34:19.360 --> 0:34:24.440
<v Speaker 1>maker that I was correct in the thing that is

0:34:24.520 --> 0:34:27.759
<v Speaker 1>most motivating in this election won't actually be the economy. Okay,

0:34:27.800 --> 0:34:30.319
<v Speaker 1>it wasn't correct about that part. The economy usually is

0:34:30.320 --> 0:34:33.520
<v Speaker 1>the most motivating factor. It's the fact that these leftists

0:34:33.600 --> 0:34:38.080
<v Speaker 1>are nuts and nobody trusts them. Is that becoming the

0:34:38.120 --> 0:34:41.879
<v Speaker 1>main motivator. That's what we're gonna start watching for. Keep

0:34:41.920 --> 0:34:46.200
<v Speaker 1>it here. It's Tony Katz Today, the Senate avoids the shutdown.

0:34:46.680 --> 0:34:51.280
<v Speaker 1>I am as shocked as anyone else. Tony Katz. Tony

0:34:51.360 --> 0:34:54.920
<v Speaker 1>Katz today an absolute pleasure. Will see what the House does.

0:34:54.960 --> 0:35:00.560
<v Speaker 1>But the Senate, they decided over the weekend to allow

0:35:00.680 --> 0:35:04.120
<v Speaker 1>for funding of the government until December eleventh, averting the

0:35:04.160 --> 0:35:08.280
<v Speaker 1>shutdown before the midterms. They send the bill to the House,

0:35:08.600 --> 0:35:12.760
<v Speaker 1>they go on a five week recess, which sounds lovely

0:35:12.840 --> 0:35:16.040
<v Speaker 1>right about now, Tony Katz, Tony Katz today, I don't

0:35:16.080 --> 0:35:18.759
<v Speaker 1>know what the House is gonna do. The story here

0:35:18.800 --> 0:35:21.439
<v Speaker 1>is that Chuck Schumer and Senate Democrats didn't want the fight,

0:35:21.880 --> 0:35:24.520
<v Speaker 1>and the only reason they didn't want the fight is

0:35:24.560 --> 0:35:27.120
<v Speaker 1>that it was not going to benefit them. They don't

0:35:27.480 --> 0:35:31.000
<v Speaker 1>they don't actually care about the things. They care about

0:35:31.040 --> 0:35:33.239
<v Speaker 1>the power, and they wouldn't mind shutting it down and

0:35:33.320 --> 0:35:35.480
<v Speaker 1>hurting a whole lot of people if they thought it

0:35:35.520 --> 0:35:38.640
<v Speaker 1>was going to get them some power. Not because they're

0:35:38.680 --> 0:35:41.120
<v Speaker 1>really opposed. There is no real opposition to any of

0:35:41.200 --> 0:35:43.960
<v Speaker 1>these things. But the fact that there wasn't tells you

0:35:44.000 --> 0:35:48.160
<v Speaker 1>a story that this shutdown thing didn't work for them.

0:35:48.440 --> 0:35:50.680
<v Speaker 1>Didn't work for them, and just like we're talking about

0:35:50.680 --> 0:35:53.760
<v Speaker 1>the midterms, they made the calculation that would be valueless,

0:35:53.760 --> 0:35:56.760
<v Speaker 1>as a matter of fact, harmful the so government stays

0:35:56.800 --> 0:35:59.960
<v Speaker 1>open at least for another couple months. Find everything it's own,

0:36:00.120 --> 0:36:02.719
<v Speaker 1>cats dot com. I'll catch you tomorrow. Everyone, take care,