1 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:10,800 Speaker 1: Live from Vall Heartland and the Crossroads of America. It's 2 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: Tony Cats today. 3 00:00:12,800 --> 00:00:16,480 Speaker 2: I have no issue with Maduro being removed from power, 4 00:00:16,720 --> 00:00:20,840 Speaker 2: absolutely none. This entire move done by the US military, 5 00:00:20,880 --> 00:00:25,799 Speaker 2: we can argue was unbelievably successful and well planned, well 6 00:00:25,800 --> 00:00:27,200 Speaker 2: thought out, well prepared. 7 00:00:27,360 --> 00:00:30,400 Speaker 1: I think that is a very very defensible. 8 00:00:29,680 --> 00:00:32,920 Speaker 2: Thing, that oil would now be sold in benefiting the 9 00:00:33,000 --> 00:00:33,920 Speaker 2: Venezuelan people. 10 00:00:34,000 --> 00:00:36,360 Speaker 1: I'm also okay with taking a look at the. 11 00:00:36,400 --> 00:00:39,040 Speaker 2: Oil that's been sanctioned and how we keep it out 12 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 2: of the hands of the Russians and the Chinese. 13 00:00:41,200 --> 00:00:42,199 Speaker 1: I'm down with that. 14 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:45,680 Speaker 2: And of course this very idea of a rethink, if 15 00:00:45,720 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 2: not just a re implementation of the Monroe Doctrine and 16 00:00:48,680 --> 00:00:51,680 Speaker 2: the protection of the United States and of the Western hemisphere. 17 00:00:51,880 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 1: Is this what our new world requires? 18 00:00:54,640 --> 00:00:57,920 Speaker 2: These, I think are good things, smart things, and worthy things. 19 00:00:58,000 --> 00:01:00,800 Speaker 1: Tony Cats, Tony Cats today. Good to be here, Good 20 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:01,319 Speaker 1: to be with you. 21 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:05,600 Speaker 2: But how does one think that there is success in 22 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:11,000 Speaker 2: Venezuela when Delsa Rodriguez is still there, that's Maduro's vice president. 23 00:01:11,640 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: Everybody else is still in place, And is the argument 24 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:19,720 Speaker 2: being made from the administration that they're going to stay 25 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 2: Noah Rothman joins me. Right now, you know his work 26 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:26,720 Speaker 2: from National Review, National Review dot com. 27 00:01:26,880 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 1: His latest piece at National Review. 28 00:01:31,280 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 2: Trump's approach to Venezuela lives down to the left's caricature 29 00:01:35,920 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 2: of the Iraq War, which is which is a perfectly 30 00:01:39,280 --> 00:01:43,319 Speaker 2: Noah Rothman thing to write, because it's it's it's not 31 00:01:43,480 --> 00:01:49,080 Speaker 2: only you saying we're handling something wrong, but we all 32 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:52,320 Speaker 2: we in your view, we all misunderstood what happened in 33 00:01:52,360 --> 00:01:55,720 Speaker 2: the Iraq War, and there was more good there than not. 34 00:01:55,960 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 2: It's the caricature that we're fighting. Now you're gonna get disagreement, 35 00:01:59,720 --> 00:02:03,080 Speaker 2: maybe on both parts. But let's start where we start. 36 00:02:03,480 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 2: The taking out of Madureau as it was done by 37 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:09,480 Speaker 2: the United States, a military your thoughts on. 38 00:02:09,360 --> 00:02:12,399 Speaker 1: That mission, and it's quote unquote. 39 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:18,000 Speaker 3: Success incredibly successful, I mean not just successful, tactically successful, 40 00:02:18,000 --> 00:02:24,320 Speaker 3: strategically certainly warranted literally by an American court. Madua went 41 00:02:24,360 --> 00:02:26,760 Speaker 3: through the justice system, was sought by the US justice system. 42 00:02:26,800 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 3: Could not be a more legitimate exercise of law enforcement. 43 00:02:30,919 --> 00:02:32,960 Speaker 3: The legality of the strikes is a little bit of 44 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,840 Speaker 3: a self looking ice cream cone. In the Trump administration's 45 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:38,600 Speaker 3: estimation they were serving this warrant. Therefore, those who were 46 00:02:38,639 --> 00:02:41,680 Speaker 3: serving the warrant were under threat. Therefore offensive operations had 47 00:02:41,720 --> 00:02:45,040 Speaker 3: to be taken. Therefore those offensive operations were defensive in nature. 48 00:02:45,600 --> 00:02:47,720 Speaker 4: It's a theory. 49 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 3: But it's not one that I think would hold up 50 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,440 Speaker 3: under any scrutiny. But that doesn't mean I don't like 51 00:02:51,480 --> 00:02:54,960 Speaker 3: the results. I certainly think that the operation itself was justified, 52 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 3: even though the regime is in place. It communicated to 53 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 3: our adversaries abroad Russia, China, Iran, q et cetera, the 54 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 3: efficacy of US special forces in combination with combined arms 55 00:03:06,040 --> 00:03:09,720 Speaker 3: and our air assets. It was a spectacularly successful operation. 56 00:03:09,880 --> 00:03:14,280 Speaker 3: Even China's you know, propaganda's mouthpeat the Global Times, you know, 57 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:16,840 Speaker 3: and its piece covering this was said, oh, this is 58 00:03:16,880 --> 00:03:20,200 Speaker 3: horrible as the violation of international law, but subtextually it 59 00:03:20,240 --> 00:03:21,320 Speaker 3: read you gotta. 60 00:03:21,120 --> 00:03:22,960 Speaker 4: Hand it to them. It was a heck of an operation. 61 00:03:23,400 --> 00:03:25,400 Speaker 3: So it's the sort of thing that conveys to our 62 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:28,200 Speaker 3: adversaries that we are a potent force not to be 63 00:03:28,280 --> 00:03:32,400 Speaker 3: messed with, contrary to a lot of the Dowur conversations 64 00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:33,519 Speaker 3: inside the United States. 65 00:03:33,680 --> 00:03:34,880 Speaker 1: And I think that matters. 66 00:03:35,160 --> 00:03:36,960 Speaker 2: I think that that is that is a piece of 67 00:03:37,000 --> 00:03:40,480 Speaker 2: this that is left out when when the Israelis hit has. 68 00:03:40,400 --> 00:03:42,560 Speaker 1: Blowed with the page Er attack. 69 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:45,880 Speaker 2: Certainly for the Israelis one could argue, you never want 70 00:03:45,920 --> 00:03:48,839 Speaker 2: to let your adversary know what exactly you're capable of 71 00:03:48,880 --> 00:03:50,880 Speaker 2: what it is that you can do. And then the 72 00:03:50,920 --> 00:03:53,200 Speaker 2: other side of it, Oh my gosh, look at what 73 00:03:53,200 --> 00:03:54,720 Speaker 2: the Israelis just did here. 74 00:03:55,280 --> 00:03:57,320 Speaker 1: It kind of sets to hey, maybe I don't want 75 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:59,800 Speaker 1: to mess with them. Is there in your view? 76 00:03:59,840 --> 00:04:01,120 Speaker 2: Was is there a little bit or a lot of 77 00:04:01,160 --> 00:04:04,080 Speaker 2: bit of that that this was we really can get 78 00:04:04,160 --> 00:04:06,560 Speaker 2: anywhere anytime, and you're not even going to see us coming. 79 00:04:06,960 --> 00:04:10,240 Speaker 3: A lot of it, not just our capabilities when it 80 00:04:10,280 --> 00:04:13,480 Speaker 3: comes to hard power assets, traditional hard power assets things 81 00:04:13,520 --> 00:04:17,360 Speaker 3: that blow stuff up, but our cyber elements were at 82 00:04:17,360 --> 00:04:21,159 Speaker 3: play here. We shut off the electricity in Venezuela via 83 00:04:21,200 --> 00:04:24,280 Speaker 3: cyber operations in ways that we're pretty impressive, and our 84 00:04:24,279 --> 00:04:28,080 Speaker 3: clandestine assets, I think was actually something that also communicated 85 00:04:28,080 --> 00:04:30,760 Speaker 3: to our adversaries a very important message. There's been a 86 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:33,719 Speaker 3: lot of reporting inside the United States that while American 87 00:04:33,839 --> 00:04:37,640 Speaker 3: signals intelligence intercepts are bar none the world standard, we 88 00:04:37,680 --> 00:04:40,919 Speaker 3: can intercept communications electronically wherever and anywhere we want, and 89 00:04:40,920 --> 00:04:44,880 Speaker 3: a lot of our allies depend on our signals intercepts capabilities, 90 00:04:44,880 --> 00:04:50,080 Speaker 3: but our human intelligence capabilities, our capacity to develop clandestine assets, 91 00:04:50,160 --> 00:04:53,600 Speaker 3: flit assets on the ground in places where we need 92 00:04:53,720 --> 00:04:56,440 Speaker 3: human intelligence, that has been in doubt for some time. 93 00:04:56,600 --> 00:05:00,599 Speaker 3: We have been can We are considered an unreliable friend 94 00:05:01,040 --> 00:05:04,000 Speaker 3: for many reasons that are perfectly valid. But we have 95 00:05:04,200 --> 00:05:07,040 Speaker 3: information that's publicly reported now that we were developing intelligence 96 00:05:07,080 --> 00:05:12,440 Speaker 3: sources close to, indeed inside Cuban intelligence which had surrounded 97 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:15,839 Speaker 3: Madurea with his security team and amateur security team and 98 00:05:15,839 --> 00:05:19,159 Speaker 3: generally penetrated the people very as close as possible to 99 00:05:19,600 --> 00:05:22,960 Speaker 3: the regime here, which sends a signal to other anti 100 00:05:23,000 --> 00:05:25,120 Speaker 3: American regimes out there that we can get close to 101 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:29,200 Speaker 3: you too, all very very valuable. However, how we get 102 00:05:29,200 --> 00:05:32,960 Speaker 3: to the However, Yeah, there's this very bizarre conspiracy of 103 00:05:33,000 --> 00:05:37,400 Speaker 3: shared interests abroad between Trump's critics and the president's allies 104 00:05:37,440 --> 00:05:40,120 Speaker 3: and the president himself, all of whom are devoted to 105 00:05:40,160 --> 00:05:42,880 Speaker 3: calling this operation a regime change operation. 106 00:05:43,960 --> 00:05:44,520 Speaker 4: It was not. 107 00:05:44,960 --> 00:05:47,520 Speaker 1: And that's what we need to get into. Talking to 108 00:05:47,560 --> 00:05:48,520 Speaker 1: Noah Roffman. 109 00:05:48,560 --> 00:05:51,320 Speaker 2: Of National Review, and this is the point of your 110 00:05:51,360 --> 00:05:54,000 Speaker 2: piece and I had discussed this on my morning show, 111 00:05:54,040 --> 00:05:58,720 Speaker 2: and I bring it here. If you still have Delse Rodriguez, 112 00:05:58,720 --> 00:06:02,280 Speaker 2: the vice president now running the show, if you still 113 00:06:02,279 --> 00:06:05,440 Speaker 2: have the rest of the Maduro regime in place, it's 114 00:06:05,560 --> 00:06:08,839 Speaker 2: just like Nicholas Maduro is on some kind of extended vacation, 115 00:06:09,279 --> 00:06:13,720 Speaker 2: but he's still the CEO. I mean, that's even we're 116 00:06:13,760 --> 00:06:15,520 Speaker 2: taking the oil, we're selling the oil. We're going to 117 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:17,680 Speaker 2: give the profits part of the prophets, if not half, 118 00:06:17,720 --> 00:06:18,480 Speaker 2: the profits of not. 119 00:06:18,440 --> 00:06:19,960 Speaker 1: More than that to the Venezuelans. 120 00:06:19,960 --> 00:06:22,160 Speaker 2: Well, it only matters that the Venezuelan people can stop 121 00:06:22,200 --> 00:06:25,560 Speaker 2: eating pigeons and actually turn on the lights in their house. Yeah, 122 00:06:25,640 --> 00:06:29,960 Speaker 2: there's a there's a real disconnect between this unbelievable operation 123 00:06:30,920 --> 00:06:33,839 Speaker 2: and the result that one would think, or at least 124 00:06:33,839 --> 00:06:37,400 Speaker 2: the Venezuelan people, from their celebration would think, which is 125 00:06:37,720 --> 00:06:38,360 Speaker 2: the better day? 126 00:06:38,480 --> 00:06:41,520 Speaker 1: Is ahead? Trump's saying It's not. This is just we 127 00:06:41,640 --> 00:06:42,560 Speaker 1: just got rid of a guy. 128 00:06:43,160 --> 00:06:45,720 Speaker 3: Yeah, my wife, you know, just as a personal note, 129 00:06:45,760 --> 00:06:49,440 Speaker 3: my wife's dear friend is a Venezuelan ex pat. She 130 00:06:49,520 --> 00:06:52,200 Speaker 3: grew up with her and her mother was, you know, 131 00:06:52,240 --> 00:06:55,200 Speaker 3: in the very celebratory mood, was making tentative plans to 132 00:06:55,360 --> 00:06:58,839 Speaker 3: move back, and I had to say, why the regime 133 00:06:59,440 --> 00:07:03,200 Speaker 3: is in place. Nothing has changed. This was never the 134 00:07:03,320 --> 00:07:08,120 Speaker 3: Nicholas Maduro regime. It was the Hugo Chavez regime, establishing 135 00:07:08,160 --> 00:07:11,200 Speaker 3: in nineteen ninety nine, survived the two thousand and two 136 00:07:11,280 --> 00:07:14,760 Speaker 3: coup in which it purged all dissenting elements and really 137 00:07:14,880 --> 00:07:17,520 Speaker 3: established the socialist despotism that it became. 138 00:07:18,080 --> 00:07:20,640 Speaker 4: Nicholas Maduro was like Brezhnev. 139 00:07:20,760 --> 00:07:22,480 Speaker 3: He was in the right place at the right time 140 00:07:22,480 --> 00:07:24,920 Speaker 3: when Hugo Chavez died in twenty thirteen. He was a 141 00:07:24,920 --> 00:07:27,520 Speaker 3: bus driver. He was a union thug. He was not 142 00:07:27,800 --> 00:07:32,240 Speaker 3: never the power behind this regime. He was an avatar 143 00:07:32,360 --> 00:07:34,280 Speaker 3: of it. And the regime, as you said, is largely 144 00:07:34,280 --> 00:07:37,679 Speaker 3: in place. Delveza Rodriguez, one of Maduro's deputies, has blood 145 00:07:37,720 --> 00:07:40,040 Speaker 3: on her hands, as implicated in the regime's worst crimes. 146 00:07:40,400 --> 00:07:43,120 Speaker 3: More than that, the ostado called Cabello, who was in 147 00:07:43,200 --> 00:07:46,640 Speaker 3: charge of the military and in political apparatus. The intelligence 148 00:07:46,640 --> 00:07:49,200 Speaker 3: apparatus is still in place. The regime is still as 149 00:07:49,200 --> 00:07:52,120 Speaker 3: dependent as ever on the militias, the collectivos, as well 150 00:07:52,120 --> 00:07:55,840 Speaker 3: as the drug cartels for domestic legitimacy. It is as 151 00:07:55,920 --> 00:07:58,960 Speaker 3: dependent as ever on anti American powers abroad for support 152 00:07:59,320 --> 00:08:05,080 Speaker 3: overseas Iran, Cuba, Russia, China. It hasn't changed its character 153 00:08:05,280 --> 00:08:07,560 Speaker 3: in any appreciable way, save for the fact that it's 154 00:08:07,560 --> 00:08:12,760 Speaker 3: surrendered to the United States one tanker which has thirty 155 00:08:12,920 --> 00:08:19,200 Speaker 3: to fifty I think, yeahon million mares of crude sour crude, 156 00:08:19,200 --> 00:08:23,600 Speaker 3: which is by no means the highest huighest quality, and 157 00:08:23,640 --> 00:08:26,840 Speaker 3: that's approximately what the United States produces domestically in about 158 00:08:26,840 --> 00:08:31,040 Speaker 3: three days of production. And they've released a couple of 159 00:08:31,360 --> 00:08:33,960 Speaker 3: political prisoners five last I checked, which is great, which 160 00:08:34,000 --> 00:08:37,040 Speaker 3: is good, and the Trump administration deserves credit for leaning 161 00:08:37,080 --> 00:08:39,080 Speaker 3: on Karakas to do that. But that's just a drop 162 00:08:39,120 --> 00:08:42,160 Speaker 3: in the barrel, and it's not a chape and change 163 00:08:42,160 --> 00:08:44,600 Speaker 3: in the character of the regime. It's a sap with 164 00:08:44,679 --> 00:08:46,880 Speaker 3: a gun pointed to their head. Again, which is great. 165 00:08:47,400 --> 00:08:49,839 Speaker 3: And the administration's work is not over. It has been 166 00:08:49,880 --> 00:08:52,880 Speaker 3: ongoing and attempts to seize these, for example, the ghost 167 00:08:52,920 --> 00:08:55,480 Speaker 3: fleet ships that are transporting illicit weapons and oil to 168 00:08:55,559 --> 00:08:59,200 Speaker 3: and from Russia and Iran. That's all valuable, but it 169 00:08:59,280 --> 00:09:03,480 Speaker 3: does it does demonstrate why the Venezuelands are correct in 170 00:09:03,520 --> 00:09:07,920 Speaker 3: public reports to temper their enthusiasm, their initial enthusiasm for 171 00:09:08,000 --> 00:09:10,200 Speaker 3: what they believed because everybody was telling them that it 172 00:09:10,240 --> 00:09:12,080 Speaker 3: was regime change. When it turns out that it's not 173 00:09:12,400 --> 00:09:14,959 Speaker 3: that we could just be in the Trump administrations. Who 174 00:09:14,960 --> 00:09:17,000 Speaker 3: knows where the Trump administration is going with this. Their 175 00:09:17,040 --> 00:09:19,200 Speaker 3: statements are so conflicting. I don't think they have a strategy. 176 00:09:19,240 --> 00:09:21,520 Speaker 3: So let's could end up with something akin to a 177 00:09:21,559 --> 00:09:24,319 Speaker 3: Turkey or a Saudi Arabian the Western Hemisphere and authoritarian 178 00:09:24,360 --> 00:09:25,880 Speaker 3: regime that we can nevertheless work with. 179 00:09:26,440 --> 00:09:29,800 Speaker 2: So first, there's a piece in the Wall Street Journal 180 00:09:29,840 --> 00:09:32,720 Speaker 2: about the ghost ships and how this oil is maneuvered. 181 00:09:32,720 --> 00:09:35,200 Speaker 2: It's a very interesting piece, is a kind of a 182 00:09:35,240 --> 00:09:37,880 Speaker 2: primer for exactly what's going on and how many of 183 00:09:37,920 --> 00:09:40,600 Speaker 2: these ships that are out there, and you can find 184 00:09:40,600 --> 00:09:42,800 Speaker 2: that at Tony Kats dot com. 185 00:09:43,559 --> 00:09:45,280 Speaker 1: But it isn't regime change. 186 00:09:45,520 --> 00:09:50,079 Speaker 2: And so now you have these two very unique conversations, 187 00:09:50,160 --> 00:09:55,520 Speaker 2: which is the no More Forever Wars Donald Trump and 188 00:09:55,640 --> 00:09:59,440 Speaker 2: the donro doctrine Trump and the Monroe doctrine. The Western 189 00:09:59,440 --> 00:10:03,520 Speaker 2: Hemisphere belongs to us, and we're going to protect it. 190 00:10:04,360 --> 00:10:07,800 Speaker 2: Right now, as you have now laid this out, these 191 00:10:07,840 --> 00:10:12,680 Speaker 2: two things cannot exist. A George divided against itself cannot stand, 192 00:10:12,800 --> 00:10:17,120 Speaker 2: said Seinfeld. That's but I don't think I'm wrong. I 193 00:10:17,160 --> 00:10:20,560 Speaker 2: think I'm staring at this properly. These two things are 194 00:10:20,679 --> 00:10:24,199 Speaker 2: in conflict. What wins out, what should win out? 195 00:10:24,600 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 3: Well, it's just not the nineteenth century anymore. There's no 196 00:10:28,320 --> 00:10:35,160 Speaker 3: way for you to execute the kind of hemispheric operation 197 00:10:35,240 --> 00:10:38,640 Speaker 3: in which you're attempting to area deny our adversaries abroad 198 00:10:39,040 --> 00:10:43,719 Speaker 3: without conflicting conflicting with our adversaries abroad in their hemisphere, 199 00:10:44,200 --> 00:10:46,480 Speaker 3: in part because the United States is positioned all over 200 00:10:46,520 --> 00:10:48,800 Speaker 3: the planet Earth and has been since World War Two, 201 00:10:48,880 --> 00:10:50,800 Speaker 3: and rolling that back is not something that you can 202 00:10:50,840 --> 00:10:54,040 Speaker 3: simply decree. And if you were to try to actually 203 00:10:54,080 --> 00:11:00,000 Speaker 3: actively withdraw retrench from our interests abroad, you would create 204 00:11:00,200 --> 00:11:02,559 Speaker 3: a lot more chaos than we've seen so far because 205 00:11:02,559 --> 00:11:03,800 Speaker 3: they're not actually doing that. 206 00:11:03,840 --> 00:11:05,920 Speaker 4: They talk a big game, but they're not actually doing that. 207 00:11:06,520 --> 00:11:09,320 Speaker 3: And to get to the peace about Iraq, the extent 208 00:11:09,360 --> 00:11:12,120 Speaker 3: to which the President seems inclined in my view, to 209 00:11:12,160 --> 00:11:15,320 Speaker 3: live down to the left smiths about the Iraq War, 210 00:11:15,679 --> 00:11:18,920 Speaker 3: it's because he talks about this again sort of in 211 00:11:18,960 --> 00:11:22,640 Speaker 3: a delusional way, as though we've executed regime change. He says, 212 00:11:23,000 --> 00:11:25,440 Speaker 3: we're there, We're going to run the country. We are 213 00:11:25,440 --> 00:11:27,640 Speaker 3: in charge now. These are quotes that he has said. 214 00:11:27,679 --> 00:11:30,160 Speaker 3: And in New York Times he was asked how long 215 00:11:30,200 --> 00:11:33,079 Speaker 3: we are going to be the political overlords of Venezuela, 216 00:11:33,120 --> 00:11:35,600 Speaker 3: and he says pretty much indefinitely for a very long time, 217 00:11:36,120 --> 00:11:39,360 Speaker 3: which is just an outlook divorced from reality, but it 218 00:11:39,400 --> 00:11:44,960 Speaker 3: does convey an element of imperialism, a semi colonialist enterprise 219 00:11:45,040 --> 00:11:48,280 Speaker 3: that he's trying to incept here, and it is entirely 220 00:11:48,320 --> 00:11:52,600 Speaker 3: for in his estimation, commercial benefits that we are going 221 00:11:52,640 --> 00:11:55,000 Speaker 3: to take the oil, he says this very plainly, will 222 00:11:55,040 --> 00:12:02,880 Speaker 3: take the commodities that Venezuela very has mismanaged. It used 223 00:12:02,920 --> 00:12:05,400 Speaker 3: to produce more than two thirds the amount of oil 224 00:12:05,440 --> 00:12:08,760 Speaker 3: that it produces today. Its oil industry essentially exists to 225 00:12:08,920 --> 00:12:12,240 Speaker 3: keep the regime in a stasis level state of comfort, 226 00:12:12,440 --> 00:12:14,400 Speaker 3: not for the Venezuelan people, and it would take a 227 00:12:14,480 --> 00:12:16,880 Speaker 3: lot to redevelop that industry. 228 00:12:17,360 --> 00:12:19,000 Speaker 4: But it's sort of like. 229 00:12:19,000 --> 00:12:22,439 Speaker 3: It kind of sounds exactly like how the left characterized 230 00:12:22,480 --> 00:12:24,120 Speaker 3: the Iraq War, which was always wrong. 231 00:12:24,960 --> 00:12:26,080 Speaker 4: The left characterization of. 232 00:12:26,040 --> 00:12:27,840 Speaker 3: The Iraq War was that it was a war for oil, 233 00:12:27,960 --> 00:12:31,400 Speaker 3: blood for oil, it was an imperialist, colonialist enterprise. 234 00:12:32,520 --> 00:12:34,120 Speaker 4: And it was never those things. It was just the 235 00:12:34,120 --> 00:12:34,959 Speaker 4: opposite of those things. 236 00:12:35,000 --> 00:12:37,880 Speaker 3: In fact, the Bush administration was so self conscious over 237 00:12:37,920 --> 00:12:42,560 Speaker 3: the administrator or his left wing critics attacks on that 238 00:12:42,720 --> 00:12:45,680 Speaker 3: enterprise that it actually kind of hindered the operation because 239 00:12:45,720 --> 00:12:48,520 Speaker 3: he would play into that. We didn't follow the Powell 240 00:12:48,600 --> 00:12:52,760 Speaker 3: doctrine deploying overwhelming force because the Bush administration was afraid 241 00:12:52,760 --> 00:12:54,600 Speaker 3: that the footprint would look so large that it would 242 00:12:54,600 --> 00:12:58,000 Speaker 3: look like an imperialist enterprise. He got a lot of 243 00:12:58,040 --> 00:13:01,599 Speaker 3: criticism for pushing to have national elections in Iraq in 244 00:13:01,679 --> 00:13:03,960 Speaker 3: January two thousand and five. It was not ready. The 245 00:13:04,000 --> 00:13:07,920 Speaker 3: insurgency was already blooming, Fallujah had just fallen. He was 246 00:13:07,920 --> 00:13:09,640 Speaker 3: getting a ton of criticism for that, but the Bush 247 00:13:09,640 --> 00:13:13,000 Speaker 3: administration forged ahead. Why because he wanted to assuage those 248 00:13:13,040 --> 00:13:16,160 Speaker 3: who were concerned that the United States was running Iraq 249 00:13:16,240 --> 00:13:20,320 Speaker 3: like it was a satrap and Paul Bremmers In two 250 00:13:20,480 --> 00:13:24,480 Speaker 3: September two thousand and three, Paul Bremmer's Occupational Authority privatized 251 00:13:24,600 --> 00:13:28,800 Speaker 3: the Soviet style oil industry in Iraq, not so that 252 00:13:28,840 --> 00:13:31,240 Speaker 3: we could pilfer it and take the proceeds so that 253 00:13:31,280 --> 00:13:34,280 Speaker 3: Iraq could stand up its own oil industry and fund 254 00:13:34,360 --> 00:13:36,680 Speaker 3: of government, which by two thousand and five funded the 255 00:13:36,679 --> 00:13:38,920 Speaker 3: government to the tune of ninety four percent. It was 256 00:13:38,960 --> 00:13:42,240 Speaker 3: basically the sole revenue source on which the Iraq regime 257 00:13:42,920 --> 00:13:46,320 Speaker 3: managed to survive. The Iraqi government survived so and by 258 00:13:46,360 --> 00:13:47,960 Speaker 3: the way, I linked to this piece, which is very 259 00:13:47,960 --> 00:13:50,600 Speaker 3: funny and Jacobins as far Left magazine. 260 00:13:50,760 --> 00:13:52,720 Speaker 4: So by the time it was clear that the. 261 00:13:52,800 --> 00:13:56,160 Speaker 3: United States was not actually pilfering Iraqi oil this piece, 262 00:13:57,000 --> 00:14:01,240 Speaker 3: rather than confront its own misleading priors said, well, it's. 263 00:14:01,120 --> 00:14:03,160 Speaker 4: Clear that this was a war for oil. The Bush 264 00:14:03,400 --> 00:14:04,120 Speaker 4: just messed it up. 265 00:14:04,800 --> 00:14:07,280 Speaker 3: Not that I was wrong all along, right, but that 266 00:14:07,320 --> 00:14:10,160 Speaker 3: Bush probably just screwed it up, like he screws up everything. 267 00:14:10,240 --> 00:14:13,559 Speaker 2: By the way, great words satrap, which is about having 268 00:14:13,600 --> 00:14:14,840 Speaker 2: like a subordinate ruler. 269 00:14:14,920 --> 00:14:17,880 Speaker 1: I mean the sometimes I. 270 00:14:18,040 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 2: Just enjoy your vocabulary talking to Noah Rothman from National 271 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:22,800 Speaker 2: Review before. 272 00:14:22,760 --> 00:14:23,600 Speaker 1: I let you go. 273 00:14:24,720 --> 00:14:27,800 Speaker 2: So, what we're looking at from Trump's as a guy 274 00:14:27,840 --> 00:14:33,880 Speaker 2: who sees things as transactional in almost all regards, as 275 00:14:33,880 --> 00:14:36,080 Speaker 2: long as we can get the oil, whatever happens there 276 00:14:36,160 --> 00:14:38,480 Speaker 2: happens there. As long as we can keep Shina in 277 00:14:38,560 --> 00:14:41,720 Speaker 2: Russia out, that's enough a Monroe doctrine for us. 278 00:14:41,760 --> 00:14:43,360 Speaker 1: We don't need to do anything else. 279 00:14:44,240 --> 00:14:50,480 Speaker 2: The problem there is that it doesn't satisfy I think 280 00:14:50,520 --> 00:14:54,200 Speaker 2: in American populace that would say out loud, wait, we're 281 00:14:54,240 --> 00:14:56,960 Speaker 2: going to leave that regime in control. 282 00:14:57,240 --> 00:14:59,440 Speaker 3: Yeah, it also sacrifices our interests. I mean, if you 283 00:14:59,480 --> 00:15:02,760 Speaker 3: can't sort of a Turing test thing here, the international 284 00:15:02,800 --> 00:15:06,120 Speaker 3: environment is a narcic hard power. Military power is what 285 00:15:06,320 --> 00:15:08,960 Speaker 3: moves the wheels of history. Granted, I've been saying that 286 00:15:08,960 --> 00:15:11,520 Speaker 3: since I've been talking to about international affairs, since I 287 00:15:11,560 --> 00:15:13,840 Speaker 3: was a graduate student, arguing with people about the nature 288 00:15:13,840 --> 00:15:18,000 Speaker 3: of soft power. Soft power, diplomatic power, international institutions are 289 00:15:18,040 --> 00:15:20,640 Speaker 3: really fictions that are buttressed by hard power. 290 00:15:20,720 --> 00:15:22,080 Speaker 4: This has been my position forever. 291 00:15:22,560 --> 00:15:25,200 Speaker 3: But I also understand that soft power exists, and if 292 00:15:25,240 --> 00:15:27,480 Speaker 3: you can't tell me what soft power is and what 293 00:15:27,560 --> 00:15:29,800 Speaker 3: it does or what it's supposed to do, I don't 294 00:15:29,800 --> 00:15:32,160 Speaker 3: trust you to actually navigate the environment. And soft power 295 00:15:32,200 --> 00:15:37,080 Speaker 3: does matter insofar as it contributes to the desire of 296 00:15:37,200 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 3: people who are living in captive nations to yearn for freedom, 297 00:15:41,120 --> 00:15:44,960 Speaker 3: to celebrate liberty an individual and individual agency, and. 298 00:15:44,920 --> 00:15:45,360 Speaker 1: That's a story. 299 00:15:45,440 --> 00:15:47,960 Speaker 3: And the United States is predicated on the notion that 300 00:15:48,040 --> 00:15:50,520 Speaker 3: power is justly derived from the consent of the governed, 301 00:15:50,600 --> 00:15:52,840 Speaker 3: and that does provide us with some benefits. And the 302 00:15:52,880 --> 00:15:56,200 Speaker 3: President himself acknowledges that from time to time, as we 303 00:15:56,280 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 3: have seen in Iran, the President has adopted some thing 304 00:16:00,560 --> 00:16:02,000 Speaker 3: like a neo. 305 00:16:01,880 --> 00:16:03,320 Speaker 4: Con position on steroids. 306 00:16:03,320 --> 00:16:05,520 Speaker 3: When it comes to the Iranian protests, he is now 307 00:16:05,600 --> 00:16:08,280 Speaker 3: sayings and seems really inclined to follow through with it, 308 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:11,880 Speaker 3: that if the Iranian regime were to violently suppress the 309 00:16:11,920 --> 00:16:15,240 Speaker 3: demonstrations that are represent at this point in existential threat 310 00:16:15,520 --> 00:16:17,720 Speaker 3: to the stability of that regime, that he would intervene 311 00:16:17,920 --> 00:16:20,160 Speaker 3: in a humanitarian way on their behalf. 312 00:16:20,600 --> 00:16:21,520 Speaker 4: I don't think there's a lot. 313 00:16:21,440 --> 00:16:24,640 Speaker 3: Of neocons back even in two thousand and five who 314 00:16:24,680 --> 00:16:28,360 Speaker 3: would have agreed with that position. It's essentially it's akin 315 00:16:28,480 --> 00:16:34,280 Speaker 3: to a Samantha power right to protect doctrine, which would 316 00:16:34,280 --> 00:16:36,040 Speaker 3: get the UNITEDS to which I oppose because it would 317 00:16:36,040 --> 00:16:38,200 Speaker 3: get the United States involved in conflicts where it didn't 318 00:16:38,200 --> 00:16:41,360 Speaker 3: have any material or strategic interests. But we certainly do 319 00:16:41,440 --> 00:16:43,680 Speaker 3: have material and strategic interests in Iran, in the Middle 320 00:16:43,680 --> 00:16:45,640 Speaker 3: East in particular. This is the most evil regime on 321 00:16:45,680 --> 00:16:48,560 Speaker 3: the planet Earth in my view. It has fueled conflicts 322 00:16:48,880 --> 00:16:50,840 Speaker 3: for the better part of a half century. It has 323 00:16:50,920 --> 00:16:54,800 Speaker 3: killed and targeted Americans on American soil. It's an enemy 324 00:16:54,800 --> 00:16:56,320 Speaker 3: of the United States, and the day that it has 325 00:16:56,360 --> 00:16:58,520 Speaker 3: gone will be a better day for the United States 326 00:16:58,520 --> 00:17:02,000 Speaker 3: than the world. Great like that, But the administration and 327 00:17:02,040 --> 00:17:04,160 Speaker 3: the President doesn't really want to make the case for it. 328 00:17:04,760 --> 00:17:06,159 Speaker 4: They're sort of back to Iraq. 329 00:17:06,200 --> 00:17:08,879 Speaker 3: They're sort of predicated on this origin myth that the 330 00:17:08,920 --> 00:17:13,520 Speaker 3: Maga movement exists in opposition to the Bush administration's foreign policy, 331 00:17:14,040 --> 00:17:18,520 Speaker 3: and yet it is executing in Venezuela again a cartoonish, caricature, 332 00:17:18,640 --> 00:17:21,840 Speaker 3: left wing vision of what George W. Bush's foreign policy was, 333 00:17:21,880 --> 00:17:25,840 Speaker 3: while at the same time rehabilitating the instincts, at least 334 00:17:25,880 --> 00:17:28,720 Speaker 3: in Iran and perhaps nowhere else, but at least in Iran, 335 00:17:29,240 --> 00:17:33,440 Speaker 3: that the world will be a better place when Iranians 336 00:17:33,520 --> 00:17:36,879 Speaker 3: manage to achieve the full flourishing of their human desire 337 00:17:36,920 --> 00:17:40,920 Speaker 3: for liberty and freedom. That could not be a more Bushian. 338 00:17:41,160 --> 00:17:44,480 Speaker 3: It belongs in the two thousand and five Inaugural Address 339 00:17:45,040 --> 00:17:47,639 Speaker 3: it is as a bushy and a foreign policy of 340 00:17:48,080 --> 00:17:49,680 Speaker 3: approach as you can get. 341 00:17:51,040 --> 00:17:54,080 Speaker 2: His name is Noah Rothman. Find his work at National 342 00:17:54,200 --> 00:17:56,960 Speaker 2: Review dot com. Noah, I appreciate you taking the time 343 00:17:57,000 --> 00:17:59,720 Speaker 2: to be with us. More is coming up on Tony Katz. 344 00:17:59,720 --> 00:18:02,919 Speaker 2: This is Tony Kats Today. So Miami is able to 345 00:18:02,960 --> 00:18:06,480 Speaker 2: get past Old miss in a really incredible game the 346 00:18:06,520 --> 00:18:10,000 Speaker 2: Fiesta Bowl, and now it's just a question of whether 347 00:18:10,160 --> 00:18:12,840 Speaker 2: or not the Indiana Hoosiers are going to join them. 348 00:18:12,840 --> 00:18:15,800 Speaker 2: Tony Katz, Tony Kats Today. You guys know, I broadcast 349 00:18:15,840 --> 00:18:21,879 Speaker 2: out of Indiana, and I did not go to IU 350 00:18:22,000 --> 00:18:26,280 Speaker 2: or anything like that, but I live here and IU 351 00:18:26,440 --> 00:18:29,000 Speaker 2: basketball was always the thing. And the fact that football 352 00:18:29,080 --> 00:18:32,520 Speaker 2: is this good under coach Signetty has this place out 353 00:18:32,520 --> 00:18:35,080 Speaker 2: of control nuts, It has it nuts. 354 00:18:36,040 --> 00:18:37,960 Speaker 1: I don't think Oregon is easy to get pasted. 355 00:18:38,040 --> 00:18:41,520 Speaker 2: I know they did it before. I'm just I just 356 00:18:41,520 --> 00:18:43,280 Speaker 2: don't think it's written on the win. But of course 357 00:18:43,320 --> 00:18:47,000 Speaker 2: it's what you want because for the Hoosiers and understanding 358 00:18:47,000 --> 00:18:50,520 Speaker 2: this team to go and have to play in Miami, 359 00:18:50,600 --> 00:18:53,560 Speaker 2: because that's what the National Championship is against Miami. 360 00:18:54,119 --> 00:18:56,480 Speaker 1: You mean, it's like a home game. And now the 361 00:18:56,560 --> 00:18:59,399 Speaker 1: IU Hoosiers will think of themselves as the underdogs. 362 00:19:00,240 --> 00:19:04,200 Speaker 2: The Hoosiers love thinking of themselves as underdogs like that. 363 00:19:04,200 --> 00:19:07,560 Speaker 2: That's the kind of thing that moves and motivates them. 364 00:19:08,119 --> 00:19:11,920 Speaker 1: So I look at that Miami game. 365 00:19:12,200 --> 00:19:16,240 Speaker 2: Miami has been unbelievably surprising, as that's the game where 366 00:19:16,280 --> 00:19:20,800 Speaker 2: I think i U has its best shot. Man, I 367 00:19:20,840 --> 00:19:24,399 Speaker 2: do think they can beat Oregon. It's just not easy, noney, 368 00:19:25,520 --> 00:19:30,080 Speaker 2: That is just not an easy team. That said, this 369 00:19:30,160 --> 00:19:32,720 Speaker 2: place is going nuts, and if they go to a championship, 370 00:19:32,800 --> 00:19:37,000 Speaker 2: the state of Indiana is going to go crazy crazy. 371 00:19:38,440 --> 00:19:40,520 Speaker 1: Hope what happens. I'm Tony Katz. 372 00:19:45,400 --> 00:19:50,640 Speaker 2: So the jobs report comes out and it's less than 373 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:54,080 Speaker 2: the expectation, But then again, it's Midston's. It has been 374 00:19:54,160 --> 00:19:56,920 Speaker 2: so long since we've seen a job's report that comes 375 00:19:56,920 --> 00:20:00,560 Speaker 2: out on time, and this one is a yes, out 376 00:20:00,560 --> 00:20:03,199 Speaker 2: on time. We're like, my gosh, what do we do 377 00:20:03,240 --> 00:20:06,880 Speaker 2: with this information? Well, the market seems to not know 378 00:20:06,920 --> 00:20:09,680 Speaker 2: what to do with this information. Maybe less jobs means 379 00:20:09,680 --> 00:20:11,840 Speaker 2: we need to cut more rates so we can spur 380 00:20:12,000 --> 00:20:16,360 Speaker 2: this economy. Maybe less jobs means we're not manufacturing anything, 381 00:20:16,680 --> 00:20:19,359 Speaker 2: and that in and of itself is a problem. Tony Katz, 382 00:20:19,359 --> 00:20:22,080 Speaker 2: Tony Katz today, good to be with you. Doctor Mattwill 383 00:20:22,119 --> 00:20:26,840 Speaker 2: joins me economist at the University of Indianapolis. Fifty thousand 384 00:20:26,840 --> 00:20:30,120 Speaker 2: instead of seventy six thousand. The November jobs report got 385 00:20:30,119 --> 00:20:33,680 Speaker 2: revised downward to fifty six thousand, and the unemployment rate 386 00:20:33,840 --> 00:20:37,040 Speaker 2: falls to four point four percent. What do I care about? 387 00:20:37,160 --> 00:20:38,520 Speaker 2: What do I not care about? 388 00:20:40,760 --> 00:20:44,199 Speaker 5: Oh gosh, this is the most fascinating report I know. 389 00:20:44,240 --> 00:20:47,880 Speaker 5: On the headline looks like it's blah, but it's not. Okay. Yeah, 390 00:20:47,920 --> 00:20:50,720 Speaker 5: we only add a fifty thousand jobs, but if you 391 00:20:50,760 --> 00:20:53,960 Speaker 5: dig into the details, there's some very interesting parts here. 392 00:20:54,359 --> 00:20:58,119 Speaker 5: We lost eight thousand jobs in manufacturing, We lost twenty 393 00:20:58,119 --> 00:21:01,240 Speaker 5: one thousand jobs in goods productions, and we lost twenty 394 00:21:01,280 --> 00:21:05,320 Speaker 5: five thousand jobs in retail. That's the bad side. On 395 00:21:05,359 --> 00:21:08,359 Speaker 5: the good side, we added fifty eight thousand private jobs 396 00:21:08,400 --> 00:21:12,880 Speaker 5: in healthcare government that's not good. And leisure and hospitality 397 00:21:12,960 --> 00:21:16,439 Speaker 5: forty seven thousand. But the most important part of this 398 00:21:16,600 --> 00:21:20,200 Speaker 5: is why why was this such a low number? Why 399 00:21:20,320 --> 00:21:23,240 Speaker 5: was fifty thousand? Why was fifty six thousand revised down? 400 00:21:23,760 --> 00:21:26,800 Speaker 5: It's actually for two good reasons. I know this sounds weird, 401 00:21:27,560 --> 00:21:32,760 Speaker 5: productivity and a broad based recovery. These two things are 402 00:21:32,800 --> 00:21:37,600 Speaker 5: happening Tony. We saw yesterday the productivity report came out. 403 00:21:38,160 --> 00:21:42,240 Speaker 5: Productivity increased four point nine percent. That is the amount 404 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,919 Speaker 5: that you and I produced per hour of labor, how 405 00:21:45,000 --> 00:21:49,240 Speaker 5: much we can produce as workers. That is three hundred 406 00:21:49,280 --> 00:21:52,760 Speaker 5: percent higher than last year. We are blowing it out 407 00:21:52,840 --> 00:21:55,400 Speaker 5: of the water in this economy as far as productivity 408 00:21:55,880 --> 00:21:59,840 Speaker 5: driven by you know the answer to this, AI, And 409 00:22:00,160 --> 00:22:02,920 Speaker 5: that's why the employment rate is not that good. That's 410 00:22:02,960 --> 00:22:05,639 Speaker 5: why we aren't adding the number of jobs. Because AI 411 00:22:05,720 --> 00:22:10,199 Speaker 5: is making us a much more productive economy. And let 412 00:22:10,280 --> 00:22:13,840 Speaker 5: me finish my whole thing here. The broad based economy 413 00:22:13,880 --> 00:22:18,280 Speaker 5: recovery is here. We saw that and I've talked about 414 00:22:18,280 --> 00:22:20,280 Speaker 5: this on the show before. The S and P went 415 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:23,439 Speaker 5: up eighteen percent last year. It wasn't driven by the 416 00:22:23,480 --> 00:22:26,359 Speaker 5: MAC seven for the first time. Yes, they were hired, 417 00:22:26,359 --> 00:22:28,720 Speaker 5: they were twenty eight percent. But the S and P 418 00:22:28,840 --> 00:22:31,400 Speaker 5: four ninety three was still up eleven percent last year. 419 00:22:31,840 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 5: We have a broad based recovery. That is a good thing. 420 00:22:35,560 --> 00:22:38,440 Speaker 5: AI is making us more productive. So there's a lot 421 00:22:38,480 --> 00:22:40,840 Speaker 5: of good things. There is some bad parts, but there's 422 00:22:40,880 --> 00:22:42,119 Speaker 5: a lot of good in this report. 423 00:22:43,400 --> 00:22:47,120 Speaker 2: Talking to doctor Matt Will, economists at the University of Indianapolis, 424 00:22:47,520 --> 00:22:50,720 Speaker 2: recovery is everything because not only is recovery good for 425 00:22:50,800 --> 00:22:54,440 Speaker 2: the economy large, but that's a conversation about the midterms. 426 00:22:54,440 --> 00:22:58,120 Speaker 2: That's a conversation about how this information is utilized by 427 00:22:58,240 --> 00:23:01,600 Speaker 2: parties when they're trying to sell America on whether or 428 00:23:01,640 --> 00:23:02,800 Speaker 2: not they should get votes. 429 00:23:03,160 --> 00:23:06,480 Speaker 1: A recovery is a good thing. Explain it to me. 430 00:23:07,920 --> 00:23:11,440 Speaker 5: Okay, let me explain the recovery is not a good thing. 431 00:23:12,400 --> 00:23:18,000 Speaker 2: I know, using confusing, man. You just said this is 432 00:23:18,000 --> 00:23:19,119 Speaker 2: the good part of the report. 433 00:23:20,760 --> 00:23:23,840 Speaker 5: The report's good because of the productivity, because they brought 434 00:23:23,880 --> 00:23:27,960 Speaker 5: based recovery. But you said the midterms, And let me 435 00:23:28,000 --> 00:23:30,240 Speaker 5: tell you why it's a bad report for the midterms, 436 00:23:30,640 --> 00:23:34,119 Speaker 5: because the one area that's super weak in this is 437 00:23:34,200 --> 00:23:38,480 Speaker 5: manufacturing goods production. These are the two areas that are 438 00:23:38,560 --> 00:23:41,520 Speaker 5: massively down in the report. And they're down. 439 00:23:42,640 --> 00:23:43,000 Speaker 1: Why. 440 00:23:43,119 --> 00:23:45,879 Speaker 5: Okay, I'm a professor. I have to give a test, Tony. 441 00:23:46,560 --> 00:23:49,280 Speaker 5: They're down because of one word. And what's the reason. 442 00:23:49,960 --> 00:23:51,879 Speaker 1: Well, I thought that was ai. I thought that's the 443 00:23:51,920 --> 00:23:52,640 Speaker 1: answer to everything. 444 00:23:54,960 --> 00:24:00,240 Speaker 5: Manufacturing is down because of tariffs. Manufacturing and goods productuction 445 00:24:00,280 --> 00:24:03,040 Speaker 5: are down because of tariffs. The terriffts are shrinking the 446 00:24:03,080 --> 00:24:09,240 Speaker 5: economy relative to manufacturing. Broad based recovery fantastic Trump. I've 447 00:24:09,280 --> 00:24:11,800 Speaker 5: talked about this many times. Trump's his own worst enemy. 448 00:24:11,960 --> 00:24:14,440 Speaker 5: He's doing everything right when it comes to the economy 449 00:24:14,560 --> 00:24:19,760 Speaker 5: except for tariffs. Terrorifts are dragging this economy down. GDP 450 00:24:19,960 --> 00:24:23,080 Speaker 5: is up, the employment report looks good. Productivity is doing great, 451 00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:26,080 Speaker 5: the broad based recovery is here. But the tariffs are 452 00:24:26,160 --> 00:24:28,280 Speaker 5: hurting manufacturing and that's going to hurt it because those 453 00:24:28,280 --> 00:24:30,879 Speaker 5: are jobs. Those are people in factories that are losing 454 00:24:30,920 --> 00:24:34,160 Speaker 5: their jobs. They're not working, and they vote, and that's 455 00:24:34,200 --> 00:24:36,320 Speaker 5: what's going to hurt him. So as all the good 456 00:24:36,320 --> 00:24:39,840 Speaker 5: things in this report are going to be counteracted by 457 00:24:39,880 --> 00:24:42,520 Speaker 5: the fact that the bad part of it is the 458 00:24:42,600 --> 00:24:44,560 Speaker 5: tariffs are hurting manufacturing. 459 00:24:45,080 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, but that isn't necessarily how it's going to play 460 00:24:48,280 --> 00:24:49,400 Speaker 2: in a midterm. 461 00:24:49,840 --> 00:24:51,880 Speaker 1: You could argue that the tariffs. 462 00:24:51,520 --> 00:24:54,000 Speaker 2: Overall are a giant painting the butt, which I agree 463 00:24:54,000 --> 00:24:56,040 Speaker 2: with that it makes Americans. 464 00:24:55,600 --> 00:24:57,640 Speaker 1: Pay more for things, and I agree with that too. 465 00:24:58,080 --> 00:25:00,400 Speaker 2: But if there is a conversation that the White House 466 00:25:00,440 --> 00:25:02,880 Speaker 2: can have about broad based recovery, that's a win. 467 00:25:03,000 --> 00:25:06,000 Speaker 1: That's a plus. When you say recovery, give me. 468 00:25:05,960 --> 00:25:07,960 Speaker 2: The places that I should be looking, others should be 469 00:25:08,000 --> 00:25:11,280 Speaker 2: looking that we actually see the tangible results. 470 00:25:11,359 --> 00:25:13,040 Speaker 1: We see the recovery in action. 471 00:25:14,720 --> 00:25:18,480 Speaker 5: Well, okay, when I say the recovery profits, So profits 472 00:25:18,480 --> 00:25:21,000 Speaker 5: are up across the board for companies. That's why the 473 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:23,800 Speaker 5: market is up. The profits are up because costs are down. 474 00:25:23,840 --> 00:25:27,280 Speaker 5: Why are costs down? Because AI companies are more efficient. 475 00:25:27,320 --> 00:25:30,240 Speaker 5: We're able to do more with fewer people. That's why 476 00:25:30,280 --> 00:25:33,359 Speaker 5: I go back to the harming it politically. Now I 477 00:25:33,400 --> 00:25:35,800 Speaker 5: am not the political guide. I will defer to you 478 00:25:35,840 --> 00:25:39,840 Speaker 5: on that. But from my standpoint, all this good news, 479 00:25:39,880 --> 00:25:46,360 Speaker 5: which is more productivity, more profits, expanding private economy, it's 480 00:25:46,400 --> 00:25:49,960 Speaker 5: coming at a cost. And what's the cost people? The 481 00:25:50,119 --> 00:25:53,919 Speaker 5: AI and the increase in productivity is reducing the amount 482 00:25:53,920 --> 00:25:56,680 Speaker 5: of labor that we need. The tariffs are reducing the 483 00:25:56,680 --> 00:26:00,440 Speaker 5: amount of labor that we need. So this report line 484 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 5: is not a good headline, but underneath it I see 485 00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:05,679 Speaker 5: good things for the economies. Kind of like when the 486 00:26:05,720 --> 00:26:09,040 Speaker 5: Internet came out, and when computers came out, we were 487 00:26:09,080 --> 00:26:12,600 Speaker 5: oh no, no more typewriters, oh no, less manual labor. 488 00:26:13,040 --> 00:26:15,760 Speaker 5: Well that was good in the long term. AI is 489 00:26:15,800 --> 00:26:17,400 Speaker 5: going to be good in the long term, but it's 490 00:26:17,400 --> 00:26:20,919 Speaker 5: going to cause a short term pain to people, and 491 00:26:21,080 --> 00:26:21,840 Speaker 5: people vote. 492 00:26:22,840 --> 00:26:26,840 Speaker 2: Talking to doctor Matt Will economists at the University of Indianapolis, 493 00:26:27,359 --> 00:26:29,679 Speaker 2: I've argued that as long as that gets explained, you 494 00:26:29,680 --> 00:26:31,600 Speaker 2: can get people on your side. People want to be 495 00:26:31,720 --> 00:26:34,280 Speaker 2: in the fight. They don't want to have just things 496 00:26:34,400 --> 00:26:36,640 Speaker 2: happen to them. They want to be part of something 497 00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,000 Speaker 2: that's going to create the better opportunity for them, for 498 00:26:39,200 --> 00:26:43,000 Speaker 2: their kids, et cetera. The other part of this was 499 00:26:43,080 --> 00:26:47,359 Speaker 2: how the market responded and reacted and whether. 500 00:26:47,200 --> 00:26:48,919 Speaker 1: Or not the markets would go up or down in 501 00:26:48,960 --> 00:26:49,880 Speaker 1: this field. 502 00:26:49,520 --> 00:26:52,920 Speaker 2: That you know, if you've got less jobs than you thought, 503 00:26:53,280 --> 00:26:57,160 Speaker 2: this could be a way to pressure Jerown Powell into 504 00:26:57,200 --> 00:27:00,280 Speaker 2: more rape cuts. Now the pressure has been on ron 505 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,920 Speaker 2: Pal for a year and a half to get more 506 00:27:03,000 --> 00:27:06,760 Speaker 2: rate cuts, they haven't necessarily come. Does this signal to 507 00:27:06,800 --> 00:27:09,240 Speaker 2: the Federal Reserve this is a good time to cut 508 00:27:09,320 --> 00:27:10,520 Speaker 2: a quarter point or more. 509 00:27:11,600 --> 00:27:15,560 Speaker 5: No, absolutely not, because we have a very robust GDP 510 00:27:15,680 --> 00:27:18,080 Speaker 5: at the moment. You've talked about it on the show. 511 00:27:18,320 --> 00:27:21,760 Speaker 5: I've mentioned it. This GDP is good, so we don't 512 00:27:21,760 --> 00:27:24,879 Speaker 5: have a problem there, and we're technically still at full employment. 513 00:27:25,080 --> 00:27:27,399 Speaker 5: Even though the jobs number is getting worse, it's not 514 00:27:27,440 --> 00:27:30,480 Speaker 5: as good as it should be. It's still technically within 515 00:27:30,520 --> 00:27:33,119 Speaker 5: a range of what we call full employment. So the 516 00:27:33,160 --> 00:27:36,720 Speaker 5: two mandates, which is price stability and employment. Again I'm 517 00:27:36,760 --> 00:27:40,359 Speaker 5: not a fan of the employment part is not a problem. 518 00:27:40,440 --> 00:27:44,320 Speaker 5: So there's no reason to cut rates for employment purposes. 519 00:27:44,520 --> 00:27:48,000 Speaker 5: But there is a reason to keep rates higher because 520 00:27:48,040 --> 00:27:51,720 Speaker 5: of inflation. And we've seen inflation. It's still there. It's 521 00:27:51,760 --> 00:27:55,359 Speaker 5: in the PMI report and the CPI report and the 522 00:27:55,400 --> 00:27:58,600 Speaker 5: PPI report. We still have inflation. It's not at two 523 00:27:58,640 --> 00:27:59,720 Speaker 5: percent yet. 524 00:28:00,160 --> 00:28:02,399 Speaker 2: You should be never mind never mind the reports for 525 00:28:02,440 --> 00:28:05,480 Speaker 2: a second gold at forty four and eighty four dollars 526 00:28:05,520 --> 00:28:08,280 Speaker 2: an ounce, silver at seventy nine dollars and twenty two 527 00:28:08,359 --> 00:28:10,240 Speaker 2: cents an ounce. Of course that can change is when 528 00:28:10,280 --> 00:28:13,720 Speaker 2: people hear this weather, it's podcast or anything else. The 529 00:28:13,800 --> 00:28:16,680 Speaker 2: point is we've got silver that has cossed eighty dollars 530 00:28:16,760 --> 00:28:20,240 Speaker 2: an ounce. That isn't happening because people think, oh, silver 531 00:28:20,320 --> 00:28:24,119 Speaker 2: is the future. It's the hedge conversation. So this tells 532 00:28:24,119 --> 00:28:27,359 Speaker 2: me that the market still does believe that inflation is there. 533 00:28:28,880 --> 00:28:33,399 Speaker 5: You're correct. You you added data to exactly my point, 534 00:28:33,440 --> 00:28:37,240 Speaker 5: which is inflation isn't dead. Silver and gold are perfect 535 00:28:37,280 --> 00:28:40,360 Speaker 5: indicators of that. In addition to the data the nerdy 536 00:28:40,440 --> 00:28:42,520 Speaker 5: data points I just gave to you, you gave a 537 00:28:42,560 --> 00:28:45,320 Speaker 5: real hands on example of what people see every day 538 00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:48,520 Speaker 5: that inflation is here and the said needs to fight inflation. 539 00:28:49,120 --> 00:28:51,120 Speaker 5: Now will they fight it. We'll see what the next 540 00:28:51,120 --> 00:28:54,040 Speaker 5: SED chairman does. But if it's Kevin Walsh, I'm optimistic 541 00:28:54,080 --> 00:28:56,440 Speaker 5: he's going to do the right job really quick. 542 00:28:56,480 --> 00:28:58,520 Speaker 2: Before I let you go talking to doctor Matt Well, 543 00:28:58,600 --> 00:29:02,080 Speaker 2: economist at the University of Indianapolis, and maybe you're not 544 00:29:02,720 --> 00:29:06,040 Speaker 2: totally up on this. The President has said he wants 545 00:29:06,080 --> 00:29:12,280 Speaker 2: to help people with housing and the idea is to 546 00:29:12,320 --> 00:29:17,719 Speaker 2: buy mortgage loans, like two hundred billion dollars in the 547 00:29:17,920 --> 00:29:22,959 Speaker 2: purchasing of of of mortgage loans, and that's going to 548 00:29:23,760 --> 00:29:29,600 Speaker 2: now create a great opportunity to home buying. I have 549 00:29:29,800 --> 00:29:33,920 Speaker 2: not been able to make any sense of this whatsoever. 550 00:29:34,240 --> 00:29:37,920 Speaker 2: And this just took place yesterday. I don't think everybody 551 00:29:38,000 --> 00:29:42,680 Speaker 2: has has seen it yet. The question is is there 552 00:29:42,760 --> 00:29:46,600 Speaker 2: something the government can be doing about buying mortgages that 553 00:29:46,720 --> 00:29:49,400 Speaker 2: is going to bring down the cost of buying a home. 554 00:29:50,560 --> 00:29:53,960 Speaker 5: No, no, no, oh, tony. This is this is where 555 00:29:54,040 --> 00:29:56,600 Speaker 5: I said. Trump is in the in the boxing ring 556 00:29:56,640 --> 00:29:59,880 Speaker 5: with himself. He's winning, he's losing. He's winning, he's losing. 557 00:30:00,000 --> 00:30:02,600 Speaker 5: And this is the losing part of it. To He announced, 558 00:30:02,600 --> 00:30:05,200 Speaker 5: for people that aren't aware of it, two hundred billion 559 00:30:05,240 --> 00:30:07,560 Speaker 5: dollars that the government is going to purchase of mortgages. 560 00:30:08,160 --> 00:30:11,080 Speaker 5: That's what they did during the quantitative easing. That's what 561 00:30:11,120 --> 00:30:13,200 Speaker 5: they did in the too Big to Fail crisis. The 562 00:30:13,240 --> 00:30:18,360 Speaker 5: government stepped in and bought mortgages to produce the economy. 563 00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:22,240 Speaker 5: That's the opposite that will cause inflation. We need the 564 00:30:22,280 --> 00:30:24,560 Speaker 5: government to be selling all the mortgages that they own. 565 00:30:24,800 --> 00:30:26,800 Speaker 5: The government is the largest owner of mortgages at the 566 00:30:26,800 --> 00:30:30,320 Speaker 5: moment it started in two thousand and nine. That's wrong. 567 00:30:30,880 --> 00:30:33,560 Speaker 5: He's got the wrong attitude on this. He's got to 568 00:30:33,600 --> 00:30:36,520 Speaker 5: not get in the home buying business. He can't get 569 00:30:36,520 --> 00:30:40,000 Speaker 5: into the denying companies to invest in homes business, which 570 00:30:40,000 --> 00:30:44,000 Speaker 5: he mentioned he was to regulate the salary of executives, 571 00:30:44,000 --> 00:30:47,080 Speaker 5: the payments that they make to their employees and to 572 00:30:47,240 --> 00:30:52,040 Speaker 5: their shareholders. This, you know, I don't know what happens 573 00:30:52,080 --> 00:30:53,760 Speaker 5: Trump wakes up on one side of the bed and 574 00:30:53,800 --> 00:30:55,600 Speaker 5: he's awesome. He wakes up on the other side of 575 00:30:55,640 --> 00:30:58,960 Speaker 5: the bed and he's a disaster. I can't figure it out. 576 00:31:00,320 --> 00:31:04,760 Speaker 2: That is doctor Matt Will, economists at the University of Indianapolis. 577 00:31:04,800 --> 00:31:06,800 Speaker 1: Dr Matt Will on the Twitter X. 578 00:31:06,840 --> 00:31:08,880 Speaker 2: If you want to follow them there, I appreciate you, 579 00:31:08,960 --> 00:31:11,200 Speaker 2: sir as always more coming up. I'm Tony Katz and 580 00:31:11,280 --> 00:31:14,120 Speaker 2: this is Tony Katz Today. Find everything at Tony kats 581 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:18,920 Speaker 2: dot com. Something to note as we watch all of 582 00:31:19,160 --> 00:31:22,360 Speaker 2: these people engaged in their protests, and I'm not just 583 00:31:22,440 --> 00:31:26,480 Speaker 2: talking about the protests about ICE, which are not protests. 584 00:31:26,880 --> 00:31:29,480 Speaker 2: The left is trying to kill members of ICE. The 585 00:31:29,640 --> 00:31:33,080 Speaker 2: left is only interested in destruction. They want to set 586 00:31:33,120 --> 00:31:36,040 Speaker 2: things on fire. They want George Floyd two point zero. 587 00:31:36,320 --> 00:31:39,160 Speaker 2: Then they want George Floyd three point zero. This is 588 00:31:39,240 --> 00:31:42,840 Speaker 2: who they are, this is what they want. Tony Katz, 589 00:31:43,120 --> 00:31:45,800 Speaker 2: Tony Katz Today, good to be with you. I'm not 590 00:31:45,920 --> 00:31:47,720 Speaker 2: going to listen to them, and I don't think you 591 00:31:47,760 --> 00:31:50,920 Speaker 2: should either. I mean, they're gonna say things. We know 592 00:31:51,040 --> 00:31:54,920 Speaker 2: what's what they want to call people fascists, They want 593 00:31:54,920 --> 00:31:59,120 Speaker 2: to call people authoritarians. You get people like Rachel Maddow 594 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:03,720 Speaker 2: going on to Jimmy Kimmel's show, Dear Lord, Jimmy Kimmel 595 00:32:03,800 --> 00:32:07,800 Speaker 2: still has a show, and you get conversations out there 596 00:32:08,000 --> 00:32:11,480 Speaker 2: that go on like this. I know you highlight these 597 00:32:11,520 --> 00:32:14,120 Speaker 2: peaceful protests on your show regularly. 598 00:32:14,400 --> 00:32:17,280 Speaker 1: Do you do any good? Do you think that anything 599 00:32:17,400 --> 00:32:18,320 Speaker 1: comes from them? 600 00:32:18,600 --> 00:32:19,320 Speaker 5: Yes? You do? 601 00:32:19,480 --> 00:32:20,000 Speaker 1: Yes, I do. 602 00:32:21,440 --> 00:32:25,760 Speaker 6: I mean, in political science terms, there's what's called the 603 00:32:25,800 --> 00:32:27,960 Speaker 6: three point five percent role, which is that if you 604 00:32:28,000 --> 00:32:31,920 Speaker 6: look at authoritarian regimes of various kinds all over the 605 00:32:31,960 --> 00:32:36,400 Speaker 6: world over the last century, once you have three and 606 00:32:36,400 --> 00:32:41,920 Speaker 6: a half percent of a population protesting non violently against 607 00:32:41,960 --> 00:32:46,440 Speaker 6: a dictator or an authoritarian, that is essentially an unstoppable force. 608 00:32:47,680 --> 00:32:51,480 Speaker 2: That is the news media and the culture media telling 609 00:32:51,520 --> 00:32:54,160 Speaker 2: you that the person you may have elected, Donald Trump 610 00:32:54,240 --> 00:32:57,240 Speaker 2: and you are authoritarians and dictators and you have to 611 00:32:57,240 --> 00:33:00,000 Speaker 2: be stopped. That only gets stopped with violence. And these 612 00:33:00,120 --> 00:33:02,320 Speaker 2: people feel good about it when they ram ICE agents. 613 00:33:02,320 --> 00:33:04,600 Speaker 2: They feel good about it. When they shoot at ICE agents. 614 00:33:04,600 --> 00:33:07,320 Speaker 2: They feel good about it. When they assassinate Charlie Kirk. 615 00:33:07,520 --> 00:33:11,560 Speaker 2: They feel good about it. When they almost assassinate Donald Trump. 616 00:33:11,680 --> 00:33:13,440 Speaker 2: Oh if he had only turned his head a little 617 00:33:13,440 --> 00:33:16,160 Speaker 2: bit faster or a little bit slower, whatever it is 618 00:33:16,200 --> 00:33:19,479 Speaker 2: they say. I don't know what violent people say, but 619 00:33:19,520 --> 00:33:24,600 Speaker 2: it's something like that. Always remember that the thing that 620 00:33:24,640 --> 00:33:26,320 Speaker 2: they say that they're doing isn't the thing. 621 00:33:26,200 --> 00:33:26,760 Speaker 1: That they're doing. 622 00:33:26,800 --> 00:33:29,200 Speaker 2: And allow me to give you an example. And I'm 623 00:33:29,200 --> 00:33:31,160 Speaker 2: not the first person to come up with this example, 624 00:33:31,200 --> 00:33:34,080 Speaker 2: but I think it's good that others have done it. First, 625 00:33:35,240 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 2: All those people who are on the street saying that 626 00:33:39,040 --> 00:33:42,560 Speaker 2: Israel is involved in a genocide, and Israel is oppressing 627 00:33:42,600 --> 00:33:45,760 Speaker 2: the people in Gaza, and free. 628 00:33:45,480 --> 00:33:49,720 Speaker 1: Palestine, where are they for the Iranian people? 629 00:33:50,960 --> 00:33:54,479 Speaker 2: Where are the protests in favor of the Iranian people 630 00:33:55,080 --> 00:34:00,080 Speaker 2: throwing off the shackles of a true authoritarian regime, a 631 00:34:00,240 --> 00:34:04,440 Speaker 2: hellscape wherever nineteen hundred people were executed by the mothers, 632 00:34:04,480 --> 00:34:05,760 Speaker 2: the hardliners and the clerics. 633 00:34:05,800 --> 00:34:06,440 Speaker 1: Where are they? 634 00:34:07,520 --> 00:34:10,680 Speaker 2: Where are those people marching to the streets of New York, 635 00:34:11,160 --> 00:34:14,840 Speaker 2: LA and Chicago and name your city, saying free the 636 00:34:14,840 --> 00:34:20,000 Speaker 2: people of Iran, my brothers and sisters in Iran, free 637 00:34:20,040 --> 00:34:24,440 Speaker 2: them little The answer is they're nowhere. And why are 638 00:34:24,440 --> 00:34:28,640 Speaker 2: they nowhere? Because they never cared about the quote unquote 639 00:34:28,640 --> 00:34:29,600 Speaker 2: Palestinian people. 640 00:34:29,920 --> 00:34:31,480 Speaker 1: They only wanted Jews dead. 641 00:34:32,200 --> 00:34:34,960 Speaker 2: They wanted to destroy Israel, which will then make it 642 00:34:35,040 --> 00:34:38,719 Speaker 2: easier and allows them to move on to destroy America. 643 00:34:38,960 --> 00:34:41,800 Speaker 2: It's always been the one two punch. We have discussed 644 00:34:41,800 --> 00:34:44,520 Speaker 2: this numerous times. How many more ways do you need 645 00:34:44,600 --> 00:34:47,360 Speaker 2: to see it? This is who they are and I 646 00:34:47,560 --> 00:34:50,120 Speaker 2: get it. It sucks and it's dangerous. 647 00:34:50,320 --> 00:34:52,680 Speaker 1: And you've heard me say this a million times. I 648 00:34:52,719 --> 00:34:56,160 Speaker 1: don't lie. I don't lie for anything. The only way 649 00:34:56,160 --> 00:34:58,000 Speaker 1: out is through. That's it. 650 00:34:58,560 --> 00:35:04,120 Speaker 2: The only way out is through. Because this is not 651 00:35:04,160 --> 00:35:06,759 Speaker 2: stopping anytime soon. Now, there are things we can do 652 00:35:07,160 --> 00:35:10,239 Speaker 2: to help curtail it. You got to stop sending your 653 00:35:10,320 --> 00:35:13,600 Speaker 2: kids to schools that engage and promote this nonsense. 654 00:35:13,920 --> 00:35:16,120 Speaker 1: I don't think that means every person has to stop sending. 655 00:35:15,960 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 2: Their kid to a public school, although I oppose public 656 00:35:19,000 --> 00:35:23,239 Speaker 2: schools and I send my kids to public schools. In 657 00:35:23,320 --> 00:35:26,040 Speaker 2: the end, if the teachers' union is in charge and 658 00:35:26,120 --> 00:35:29,760 Speaker 2: not the actual student and the parents, it's an untenable situation. 659 00:35:30,080 --> 00:35:34,120 Speaker 2: And anything involving the NEA or the American Federation and teachers, Nope, 660 00:35:34,160 --> 00:35:36,080 Speaker 2: you can't have it. And you can't send your kids 661 00:35:36,120 --> 00:35:39,080 Speaker 2: to colleges that teach this nonsense and promote this nonsense 662 00:35:39,239 --> 00:35:41,600 Speaker 2: and that you decide where your money goes. If a 663 00:35:41,640 --> 00:35:43,960 Speaker 2: kid doesn't like it, tell them too bad, you're saving 664 00:35:44,000 --> 00:35:45,560 Speaker 2: their life. 665 00:35:45,880 --> 00:35:47,759 Speaker 1: Then we have to stay away from the. 666 00:35:47,719 --> 00:35:53,719 Speaker 2: Cultural things like Kimmel and his sponsors that promote this violence. 667 00:35:53,800 --> 00:35:55,920 Speaker 2: And you got to starve them economically. And you say 668 00:35:55,920 --> 00:35:57,239 Speaker 2: to me, Tony, those are small. 669 00:35:57,000 --> 00:35:59,200 Speaker 1: Things, yes, but they're the start to think it's a 670 00:36:00,239 --> 00:36:01,239 Speaker 1: I'll have more on this. 671 00:36:01,440 --> 00:36:03,840 Speaker 2: Find everything at Tonycotts dot com Monday. 672 00:36:03,840 --> 00:36:04,719 Speaker 1: Everyone, take care,