1
00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:08,200
Speaker 1: You're listening to the Hammer and Nutchell show, Hey, could

2
00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:12,399
Speaker 1: we bet on a government shutdown? Like, is this something

3
00:00:12,400 --> 00:00:16,000
Speaker 1: that we're able to lay money on if the government's

4
00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:18,960
Speaker 1: actually going to shut down? And what are the prediction markets?

5
00:00:19,040 --> 00:00:20,360
Speaker 1: Hammer and should we care?

6
00:00:22,440 --> 00:00:25,640
Speaker 2: Kelshy one of those betting sites where you can bet

7
00:00:25,680 --> 00:00:30,720
Speaker 2: pretty much everything. It's overwhelming yes that it's going to happen,

8
00:00:31,040 --> 00:00:34,480
Speaker 2: seventy one percent of a chance of a weekend shutdown.

9
00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,480
Speaker 2: So if you're betting in favor of a government shutdown

10
00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:42,640
Speaker 2: right now, it's the equivalent of betting on, say, I

11
00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:48,280
Speaker 2: you football taking on a JV football team from high school. Yes,

12
00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,159
Speaker 2: one thing is probably going to happen, and you're not

13
00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,920
Speaker 2: going to win much money because it's an overwhelming favorite.

14
00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,120
Speaker 2: And the reason why is the Democrats keep changing the

15
00:00:58,240 --> 00:01:02,320
Speaker 2: rules on what they want to have happened with the DHS,

16
00:01:02,520 --> 00:01:05,600
Speaker 2: the Department of Homeland Security, because ICE has become the

17
00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:08,440
Speaker 2: new boogeyman to the political left. They've got nothing on

18
00:01:08,480 --> 00:01:12,800
Speaker 2: their own, so they're trying to grandstand about DHS. Here's

19
00:01:12,840 --> 00:01:17,360
Speaker 2: the thing ICE itself. That department is already funded for

20
00:01:17,400 --> 00:01:18,959
Speaker 2: the next couple of years. That was part of the

21
00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:24,759
Speaker 2: big beautiful bill, but DHS technically a little bit different.

22
00:01:25,360 --> 00:01:28,959
Speaker 2: So the Democrats are going to say, well, remember when.

23
00:01:28,800 --> 00:01:31,720
Speaker 1: We wanted three changes. Oh boy, those were the good

24
00:01:31,760 --> 00:01:33,720
Speaker 1: old days, weren't they. Now we want ten.

25
00:01:34,680 --> 00:01:37,800
Speaker 2: And one of the things that we wanted cameras on

26
00:01:37,959 --> 00:01:41,320
Speaker 2: the officers because the Republicans.

27
00:01:40,760 --> 00:01:43,240
Speaker 3: Wanted it too, we want to change that up.

28
00:01:43,440 --> 00:01:47,200
Speaker 1: It's so infuriating. I remember you talking about this yesterday.

29
00:01:47,240 --> 00:01:48,559
Speaker 3: Hammer, You're gonna have to take us through.

30
00:01:48,640 --> 00:01:52,840
Speaker 1: Why the Democrats, Oh yeah, we want body cams on

31
00:01:52,920 --> 00:01:56,200
Speaker 1: these ice officers. Oh no, no, no, no, hold on,

32
00:01:57,080 --> 00:01:58,280
Speaker 1: they've switched things up.

33
00:01:58,760 --> 00:02:04,280
Speaker 2: Hakeem Jeffries is now saying they want to have specific

34
00:02:04,960 --> 00:02:08,840
Speaker 2: timing of when the cameras turn on, like only when

35
00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:13,320
Speaker 2: the officers are engaging someone for an arrest, not on

36
00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:17,000
Speaker 2: the entire time where people can see lunatic leftists spitting

37
00:02:17,040 --> 00:02:17,640
Speaker 2: on them.

38
00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:22,280
Speaker 1: Them. I get it, okay, Because everybody was all on

39
00:02:22,400 --> 00:02:26,919
Speaker 1: board with that demand. It was a bipartisan demand or

40
00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,680
Speaker 1: nonpartisan for sure, a nonpartisan demand.

41
00:02:29,960 --> 00:02:35,840
Speaker 2: Correct body cams more often than not bail officers of

42
00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,840
Speaker 2: the law out against frivolous bullcrap claims.

43
00:02:40,200 --> 00:02:42,040
Speaker 3: So that's why so many Republicans were like.

44
00:02:41,960 --> 00:02:45,519
Speaker 2: All right, fine, and we're going to show the public

45
00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:49,800
Speaker 2: what exactly our officers go through when we deal with

46
00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:54,960
Speaker 2: nuts like in Minnesota. But Hakim Jeffries then changed this tune, Well,

47
00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:57,160
Speaker 2: we only want to see the video when you're making

48
00:02:57,200 --> 00:02:57,680
Speaker 2: an arrest.

49
00:03:00,360 --> 00:03:03,160
Speaker 1: How ridiculous. Boy, they don't have anything, do they No?

50
00:03:03,560 --> 00:03:06,600
Speaker 2: And what really sucks is there's been a little bit

51
00:03:06,600 --> 00:03:09,280
Speaker 2: of momentum for the economy. There's going to be a

52
00:03:09,320 --> 00:03:13,320
Speaker 2: new changing at the Fed level. There's optimism about the

53
00:03:13,360 --> 00:03:18,480
Speaker 2: economy in twenty twenty six, lower interest rates. But anytime

54
00:03:18,520 --> 00:03:22,200
Speaker 2: there's a government shut down, the markets go down. We

55
00:03:22,240 --> 00:03:25,440
Speaker 2: heard Trump, I believe, or Scott Bissent maybe last week

56
00:03:25,720 --> 00:03:28,760
Speaker 2: say the market took a two point five percent crap

57
00:03:29,040 --> 00:03:31,880
Speaker 2: when the last government shut down took place.

58
00:03:32,440 --> 00:03:35,320
Speaker 3: It's tough to build that back up and keep momentum.

59
00:03:36,040 --> 00:03:40,160
Speaker 2: And if there's another shut down this weekend on Friday,

60
00:03:40,280 --> 00:03:43,040
Speaker 2: I'm telling you, the markets are going to tank. You're

61
00:03:43,080 --> 00:03:47,600
Speaker 2: going to see trillions of dollars lost in stocks.

62
00:03:48,720 --> 00:03:49,880
Speaker 3: And it's going to be a mess.

63
00:03:50,160 --> 00:03:52,640
Speaker 2: And you know what the Democrats want that they don't

64
00:03:52,640 --> 00:03:55,080
Speaker 2: want Trump to have a good economy. They would rather

65
00:03:55,200 --> 00:03:59,080
Speaker 2: be broke as a whole as opposed to having some

66
00:03:59,120 --> 00:04:00,440
Speaker 2: money and giving Trump win.

67
00:04:00,760 --> 00:04:03,920
Speaker 1: No question, they would rather see federal workers who earn

68
00:04:03,960 --> 00:04:08,400
Speaker 1: a middle class income go to work for free, like

69
00:04:08,920 --> 00:04:13,160
Speaker 1: the TSA just for example, things like that. They would

70
00:04:13,240 --> 00:04:15,440
Speaker 1: rather see them suffer and go to work for free

71
00:04:15,480 --> 00:04:16,360
Speaker 1: than give Trump a win.

72
00:04:18,360 --> 00:04:20,440
Speaker 3: So it looks like that's going to happen.

73
00:04:20,720 --> 00:04:24,279
Speaker 2: And again we don't know how many departments will be

74
00:04:24,360 --> 00:04:28,560
Speaker 2: affected here. Coastguard might not be getting a paycheck for

75
00:04:28,600 --> 00:04:31,200
Speaker 2: a little while, but this one might have some legs

76
00:04:31,320 --> 00:04:35,000
Speaker 2: to it. And I hope the Republicans stick to their

77
00:04:35,040 --> 00:04:38,560
Speaker 2: guns here. Don't go old wishy washy on this. You've

78
00:04:38,600 --> 00:04:41,600
Speaker 2: got the leverage, don't go soft on this.