1 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:10,800 Speaker 1: Live from Vall Hartland and the Crossroads of America. It's 2 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:12,000 Speaker 1: Tony Katz today. 3 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,360 Speaker 2: I have made this argument now a few times, and 4 00:00:15,560 --> 00:00:16,079 Speaker 2: I'm not. 5 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,160 Speaker 1: The only one making the argument, but I. 6 00:00:18,040 --> 00:00:21,279 Speaker 2: Often think on this one subject, am I not being 7 00:00:21,320 --> 00:00:21,919 Speaker 2: clear enough? 8 00:00:21,960 --> 00:00:23,480 Speaker 1: Which is insane for me to think. 9 00:00:23,520 --> 00:00:25,200 Speaker 2: You guys have known me now long enough to know 10 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 2: I'm pretty clear. Tony Katz, Tony kats today. Good to 11 00:00:28,960 --> 00:00:31,800 Speaker 2: be here, Good to be with you. The United States 12 00:00:31,920 --> 00:00:35,760 Speaker 2: is doing outrageously well in taking out the Iranian threat. 13 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,599 Speaker 2: I don't believe we should leave until the regime is 14 00:00:38,640 --> 00:00:44,760 Speaker 2: completely gone, totally gone, no concept of supporting terrorism, no 15 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:47,680 Speaker 2: concept of anybody connected to the Iatola in a position 16 00:00:48,200 --> 00:00:50,560 Speaker 2: of power, and I would like to not have to 17 00:00:50,600 --> 00:00:54,560 Speaker 2: think about the Middle East for five minutes. But as 18 00:00:54,680 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 2: that is happening, we've got people on the political left 19 00:00:57,520 --> 00:01:01,320 Speaker 2: and on the woke right who to me very much 20 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 2: seem like they're rooting for America to lose, or really, 21 00:01:04,280 --> 00:01:07,080 Speaker 2: if I could be more clear, for Donald Trump to lose. 22 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,720 Speaker 2: They don't actually hate the military, but as long as 23 00:01:10,760 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 2: Trump loses, they're somehow better off with their methodology, their psychology. 24 00:01:16,120 --> 00:01:21,000 Speaker 2: It's really and truly obscene and even though Trump is 25 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:25,679 Speaker 2: doing well, he does things like calling Iran an excursion 26 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:31,280 Speaker 2: that kind of minimizes the threat to our military and 27 00:01:31,319 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 2: what happened to thirteen soldiers who. 28 00:01:33,880 --> 00:01:36,360 Speaker 1: Lost their lives in this fight. 29 00:01:37,640 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: I think I'm clear, but sometimes I don't think I'm 30 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:41,039 Speaker 2: perfectly clear. 31 00:01:41,160 --> 00:01:43,000 Speaker 1: Noah Roffman joins me right now. 32 00:01:43,360 --> 00:01:46,959 Speaker 2: You catch his work at National Review Nationalview dot com. 33 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 2: His third book, Blood and Progress, A Century of Left 34 00:01:50,120 --> 00:01:53,280 Speaker 2: Wing Violence, will be available in May. You find at 35 00:01:53,280 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: Amazon dot com wherever fine books are sold. 36 00:01:55,680 --> 00:02:00,400 Speaker 1: You can pre order right now. You have the the 37 00:02:00,440 --> 00:02:01,640 Speaker 1: Iran War successes. 38 00:02:01,720 --> 00:02:06,080 Speaker 2: They don't want you to hear about you. You're not 39 00:02:06,120 --> 00:02:09,079 Speaker 2: a historian by trade, but you are a man who studies. 40 00:02:10,080 --> 00:02:12,080 Speaker 2: Do we take a look at what we have seen 41 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 2: and base it on other events and history in terms 42 00:02:14,840 --> 00:02:17,760 Speaker 2: of world wars, in terms of actually declared wars? Are 43 00:02:17,840 --> 00:02:21,360 Speaker 2: we talking about seeing what we've seen with Iran comparing 44 00:02:21,440 --> 00:02:24,359 Speaker 2: it to other actions that have taken place over the 45 00:02:24,440 --> 00:02:25,680 Speaker 2: last thirty years. 46 00:02:26,160 --> 00:02:28,360 Speaker 3: Well, in that piece, I try to make the point, 47 00:02:28,400 --> 00:02:30,239 Speaker 3: and it's an over long piece. It's like twenty seven 48 00:02:30,320 --> 00:02:31,959 Speaker 3: hundred words, but it need it to be very long 49 00:02:32,000 --> 00:02:34,760 Speaker 3: in order to be comprehensive because there is so many 50 00:02:34,760 --> 00:02:37,280 Speaker 3: misapprehensions floating around. And yeah, and the piece I make 51 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,919 Speaker 3: the claim that compared to what is the most important 52 00:02:41,000 --> 00:02:43,480 Speaker 3: question that you can ask yourself in these sort of situations, 53 00:02:43,520 --> 00:02:47,240 Speaker 3: because it grounds you in counterfactuals that other people can 54 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:51,560 Speaker 3: actually test and scenarios. For example, all the wargames that 55 00:02:51,560 --> 00:02:54,280 Speaker 3: we've been running against Iran over the last thirty years, 56 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:58,280 Speaker 3: and compared to what indicates that we're doing spectacularly well 57 00:02:58,360 --> 00:03:01,400 Speaker 3: on the battlefield tactically. And you know, people are very 58 00:03:01,480 --> 00:03:05,160 Speaker 3: quick to note, well, tactical games do not beget strategic successes, 59 00:03:05,440 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 3: which I write in that piece that a lot of 60 00:03:07,120 --> 00:03:09,480 Speaker 3: people who have just recently stumbled into that little piece 61 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:12,240 Speaker 3: of insight and then you know, bandied about as though 62 00:03:12,240 --> 00:03:14,880 Speaker 3: they know this is their discovery, and therefore you probably 63 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 3: weren't aware of it either. But no, it's pretty obvious 64 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:19,640 Speaker 3: that you can make the case that the United States 65 00:03:19,720 --> 00:03:22,519 Speaker 3: fumbles the post war has probably you could argue since 66 00:03:22,600 --> 00:03:27,240 Speaker 3: nineteen forty five, we're not there yet entirely theoretical, and 67 00:03:27,400 --> 00:03:30,800 Speaker 3: the coverage of this war from its outset, from day one, 68 00:03:31,520 --> 00:03:35,280 Speaker 3: has been focused almost exclusively on the strategy at the 69 00:03:35,320 --> 00:03:38,360 Speaker 3: expense of the tactics. And that's like covering the end 70 00:03:38,400 --> 00:03:40,960 Speaker 3: of a novel by skipping over the first chapters. You 71 00:03:41,000 --> 00:03:44,080 Speaker 3: don't know what you're looking at, you can't accurately assess 72 00:03:44,120 --> 00:03:46,760 Speaker 3: what you're seeing, and you can't relate to the public 73 00:03:46,800 --> 00:03:49,600 Speaker 3: in a way that conveys the totality of the information 74 00:03:49,680 --> 00:03:52,160 Speaker 3: that you want to convey by focusing on the post 75 00:03:52,200 --> 00:03:54,440 Speaker 3: war environment in the middle of the war. And I 76 00:03:54,480 --> 00:03:57,240 Speaker 3: think it's absolutely right what you've said that there is 77 00:03:57,280 --> 00:04:00,520 Speaker 3: a contingent in the press, international and domestic, as well 78 00:04:00,560 --> 00:04:04,000 Speaker 3: as in the political class. By the way, American Democrats 79 00:04:04,040 --> 00:04:07,880 Speaker 3: and Republicans who want to see Donald Trump fail, not 80 00:04:08,000 --> 00:04:11,600 Speaker 3: the war, not the American people, not the soldiers. They 81 00:04:11,600 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 3: want to see BB and Donald Trump humiliated, and whenever 82 00:04:14,920 --> 00:04:18,240 Speaker 3: they have the opportunity, they rush to that conclusion to 83 00:04:18,320 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 3: see some sort of indignity visited upon the president, like 84 00:04:21,920 --> 00:04:24,040 Speaker 3: what we saw on Monday and the immediate aftermath of 85 00:04:24,080 --> 00:04:26,200 Speaker 3: the President saying, you know, I was going to hit 86 00:04:26,200 --> 00:04:28,320 Speaker 3: these power plants in five days. I'm going to put 87 00:04:28,320 --> 00:04:30,560 Speaker 3: that off for a second because we're talking behind the 88 00:04:30,560 --> 00:04:33,039 Speaker 3: scenes with Iranians and the rush on the part of 89 00:04:33,080 --> 00:04:38,279 Speaker 3: mainstream reporters, really knowledgeable folks who understand warfare, people like 90 00:04:38,320 --> 00:04:41,400 Speaker 3: Garislav Trofemov over at the Wall Street Journal Jonathan Martin 91 00:04:41,440 --> 00:04:45,320 Speaker 3: at Politico insisted without any evidence that Trump was just 92 00:04:45,360 --> 00:04:49,000 Speaker 3: making it up, attempting to manipulate oil markets, or trying 93 00:04:49,000 --> 00:04:51,560 Speaker 3: to find some sort of off ramp for this disastrous 94 00:04:51,560 --> 00:04:54,520 Speaker 3: situation he's gotten himself into. And it was true and true. 95 00:04:54,680 --> 00:04:56,760 Speaker 3: There was no evidence behind it. It was a supposition 96 00:04:56,839 --> 00:04:59,920 Speaker 3: based only on their own prejudices, and it exposed the 97 00:05:00,120 --> 00:05:03,040 Speaker 3: on prejudices. I'm happy to criticize the president's rhetoric. I 98 00:05:03,080 --> 00:05:06,560 Speaker 3: think you're right calling this an excursion merely to avoid 99 00:05:06,600 --> 00:05:10,080 Speaker 3: going to Congress for war powers or saying that the 100 00:05:10,080 --> 00:05:14,280 Speaker 3: war is won, even as the tempo of combat operations accelerates. Yeah, 101 00:05:14,279 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 3: it gives people misgivings. They don't think you're taking this seriously, 102 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:19,440 Speaker 3: or they think you're gulling them into a narrative that 103 00:05:19,520 --> 00:05:22,440 Speaker 3: is not true. And the people do not trust this president. 104 00:05:22,960 --> 00:05:24,880 Speaker 3: He's made it clear that he doesn't trust them either. 105 00:05:25,160 --> 00:05:28,080 Speaker 3: He's not going to them with the proper rationale and 106 00:05:28,160 --> 00:05:31,520 Speaker 3: asking them to bear and endure the sacrifices that this 107 00:05:31,600 --> 00:05:34,719 Speaker 3: war has already imposed on them. He really should. Yes, 108 00:05:34,760 --> 00:05:38,560 Speaker 3: that has nothing to do nothing to do with combat operations, 109 00:05:38,600 --> 00:05:42,640 Speaker 3: the efficacy of Israeli military operations on the ground, or 110 00:05:42,760 --> 00:05:45,279 Speaker 3: the strategic elements that we're putting in place for a 111 00:05:45,320 --> 00:05:48,400 Speaker 3: longer campaign against this regime, the destruction of which is 112 00:05:48,440 --> 00:05:50,840 Speaker 3: the only way we're going to eliminate the threat from 113 00:05:50,880 --> 00:05:52,240 Speaker 3: its missile in nuclear programs. 114 00:05:52,560 --> 00:05:56,679 Speaker 2: The hardest part of this conversation, Noah Noah Rothman, National 115 00:05:56,760 --> 00:06:00,880 Speaker 2: Review dot Com is that people have a hard time 116 00:06:01,560 --> 00:06:07,520 Speaker 2: with the idea that you can be laudatory and get 117 00:06:07,600 --> 00:06:11,080 Speaker 2: engaging in excruciating details failures at the same time. 118 00:06:12,040 --> 00:06:15,359 Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't find it difficult. Well, you're a special free. 119 00:06:15,320 --> 00:06:20,360 Speaker 3: Too, oh, Tony. I have heard in arguments over this 120 00:06:20,400 --> 00:06:22,960 Speaker 3: war from my friends, from my allies, people with whom 121 00:06:23,000 --> 00:06:27,240 Speaker 3: I usually agree a lot of first person pronouns when 122 00:06:27,279 --> 00:06:33,320 Speaker 3: talking about this war. I think my friends, me and 123 00:06:33,440 --> 00:06:36,440 Speaker 3: others who have a certain outlook on this war, whose 124 00:06:36,560 --> 00:06:41,200 Speaker 3: personal brand is bound up in skepticism and critic and 125 00:06:41,240 --> 00:06:44,000 Speaker 3: being critical of Trump and being supportive of Trump whatever 126 00:06:44,040 --> 00:06:47,840 Speaker 3: it is seeing this war through the prism of domestic 127 00:06:47,920 --> 00:06:52,240 Speaker 3: politics and their position within domestic politics. And that's just 128 00:06:52,279 --> 00:06:54,200 Speaker 3: the wrong way to look at it. It's very parochial, 129 00:06:54,400 --> 00:06:57,880 Speaker 3: a little bit selfish, and it results in that analysis. 130 00:06:58,120 --> 00:07:00,560 Speaker 3: And we've seen a lot of that analysis on the 131 00:07:00,600 --> 00:07:01,880 Speaker 3: tactical and strategic levels. 132 00:07:02,920 --> 00:07:07,000 Speaker 2: Let's engage a little bit of analysis on two things. First, 133 00:07:07,120 --> 00:07:09,880 Speaker 2: the idea of the five day pause. He puts out 134 00:07:09,880 --> 00:07:13,600 Speaker 2: the post untruth social you're gonna stop this or I'm 135 00:07:13,600 --> 00:07:15,680 Speaker 2: gonna take out basically all of your energy, the any 136 00:07:16,000 --> 00:07:18,360 Speaker 2: energy reserves here, any power plant over here. 137 00:07:18,640 --> 00:07:20,320 Speaker 1: And then before that forty eight. 138 00:07:20,160 --> 00:07:23,560 Speaker 2: Hours he gives is up, he says a five day pause. 139 00:07:24,440 --> 00:07:27,320 Speaker 2: Then before the five day pauses up, he says ten 140 00:07:27,360 --> 00:07:27,920 Speaker 2: more days. 141 00:07:27,960 --> 00:07:31,120 Speaker 1: Now, all of this could all be sub diffused. 142 00:07:30,760 --> 00:07:33,160 Speaker 2: Right and could lead to you could see a bombing 143 00:07:33,240 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 2: happening as we speak. But the question is these delays 144 00:07:39,360 --> 00:07:42,000 Speaker 2: is seen as this is a guy really negotiating to 145 00:07:42,040 --> 00:07:46,920 Speaker 2: try and not engage any more war. Is this something 146 00:07:46,960 --> 00:07:50,440 Speaker 2: that do we have any news or information that makes 147 00:07:50,520 --> 00:07:52,880 Speaker 2: us believe that there's actually somebody on the Iranian side, 148 00:07:52,880 --> 00:07:54,760 Speaker 2: which is at least a legitimate question. 149 00:07:54,760 --> 00:07:57,280 Speaker 1: If you've killed the leadership, who are we talking to? 150 00:07:58,280 --> 00:08:01,080 Speaker 3: Yeah, we don't know, I don't know. Subsequent reporting is 151 00:08:01,080 --> 00:08:03,440 Speaker 3: indicated that there is shuttle diplomacy going on between the 152 00:08:03,520 --> 00:08:07,640 Speaker 3: United States and whatever representatives of the Iranian government exist presently, 153 00:08:08,200 --> 00:08:11,560 Speaker 3: and they're being shuttled through representatives for the governments of Pakistan, 154 00:08:12,120 --> 00:08:16,520 Speaker 3: Egypt and others. I'm forgetting, but at least those two 155 00:08:16,600 --> 00:08:19,920 Speaker 3: major Muslim powers, and that's perfectly believable. It's not like 156 00:08:19,960 --> 00:08:22,280 Speaker 3: it's hard to comprehend the notion that there are a 157 00:08:22,280 --> 00:08:25,320 Speaker 3: back channel contact between two warring parties during a conflict. 158 00:08:25,360 --> 00:08:29,200 Speaker 3: That happens all the time. So you know, I was 159 00:08:29,200 --> 00:08:32,599 Speaker 3: not at all predisposed to say that the president was 160 00:08:32,640 --> 00:08:35,360 Speaker 3: making this up, as so many people did. But the 161 00:08:35,400 --> 00:08:37,400 Speaker 3: notion here being a bandied about by his critics is 162 00:08:37,400 --> 00:08:40,320 Speaker 3: one that he was desperate for diplomatic off ramp and 163 00:08:40,400 --> 00:08:43,440 Speaker 3: is testing, for example, the prospects for diplomacy, which is 164 00:08:43,440 --> 00:08:50,040 Speaker 3: not necessarily a mark of capitulation or pusillanimity. It's merely 165 00:08:50,080 --> 00:08:53,280 Speaker 3: an avenue to explore an end to this conflict, which 166 00:08:53,280 --> 00:08:57,120 Speaker 3: is again not pursuing it, but identifying it. That others 167 00:08:57,120 --> 00:08:59,560 Speaker 3: said he was manipulating oil markets because of what he 168 00:08:59,600 --> 00:09:01,360 Speaker 3: says the or is going to end all of a sudden, 169 00:09:01,760 --> 00:09:03,720 Speaker 3: all the horrible things that we're hearing about are happening 170 00:09:03,720 --> 00:09:05,640 Speaker 3: to the oil markets, which are going to persist for decades, 171 00:09:05,679 --> 00:09:08,439 Speaker 3: disappear in the markets, and then and oil and West 172 00:09:08,480 --> 00:09:12,320 Speaker 3: Texas crew go back to normal range prices, and the 173 00:09:12,360 --> 00:09:14,520 Speaker 3: presidents you know, he has the capacity to do that 174 00:09:14,520 --> 00:09:17,120 Speaker 3: with a true social post, but he won't have the 175 00:09:17,120 --> 00:09:19,240 Speaker 3: capacity to do that forever the market price is in 176 00:09:20,559 --> 00:09:21,680 Speaker 3: jaw boning like that. 177 00:09:21,679 --> 00:09:22,600 Speaker 1: If it is jow bonding. 178 00:09:22,960 --> 00:09:26,280 Speaker 3: But there are other possibilities too. Some have suggested that 179 00:09:26,280 --> 00:09:28,680 Speaker 3: the President could be sowing dissension within the ranks of 180 00:09:28,720 --> 00:09:32,480 Speaker 3: whatever remains of the leadership, selling paranoia, getting them to 181 00:09:32,520 --> 00:09:34,720 Speaker 3: think that some people are talking to the Americans, maybe 182 00:09:34,720 --> 00:09:36,800 Speaker 3: my brothers in arms are going to sell me out. 183 00:09:37,200 --> 00:09:39,839 Speaker 3: Or maybe he's stalling for time so that this eighty 184 00:09:39,840 --> 00:09:42,360 Speaker 3: second Airborne and the marine expeditionary units that are en 185 00:09:42,440 --> 00:09:45,319 Speaker 3: route to the Middle East get there and stand preposition 186 00:09:45,440 --> 00:09:48,120 Speaker 3: ahead and give the President options for ground operations and 187 00:09:48,160 --> 00:09:51,199 Speaker 3: islands and the Persian Gulf. All of these could be true. 188 00:09:51,360 --> 00:09:54,760 Speaker 3: At the same time, none of them could be true. 189 00:09:55,160 --> 00:09:58,880 Speaker 3: We have no idea and no capacity to evaluate whether 190 00:09:58,960 --> 00:10:01,559 Speaker 3: or not this is true. A little bit of epistemological 191 00:10:01,640 --> 00:10:04,200 Speaker 3: humility would be desirable on the part of the people 192 00:10:04,200 --> 00:10:07,080 Speaker 3: who are trying to assess the information environment, which I 193 00:10:07,120 --> 00:10:11,240 Speaker 3: guarantee you is deliberately saturated right now with misdirection design 194 00:10:11,360 --> 00:10:14,800 Speaker 3: not only to misdirect us, but to misdirect our enemies abroad. 195 00:10:15,080 --> 00:10:16,840 Speaker 3: And that's the sort of thing that's difficult for reporters 196 00:10:16,880 --> 00:10:18,600 Speaker 3: to assess. They're just giving you the facts, right, so 197 00:10:18,640 --> 00:10:22,679 Speaker 3: they have to relate every one of these little whether 198 00:10:22,720 --> 00:10:28,000 Speaker 3: it's true or not. You know, the efforts to manipulate individuals, combatants, 199 00:10:28,080 --> 00:10:31,320 Speaker 3: noncombatants through the information environment mean and so yeah, we 200 00:10:31,360 --> 00:10:33,440 Speaker 3: just can't assess it. But you don't see that kind 201 00:10:33,440 --> 00:10:36,600 Speaker 3: of humility from people who are desperate for evidence that 202 00:10:36,640 --> 00:10:38,120 Speaker 3: Donald Trump is messing this whole thing up. 203 00:10:38,440 --> 00:10:40,880 Speaker 2: Let me, I want to rephrase it, because very few 204 00:10:40,880 --> 00:10:46,440 Speaker 2: people are using a pistemological humility, and let's change it 205 00:10:46,480 --> 00:10:49,200 Speaker 2: to something that we would say on the streets. It's 206 00:10:49,360 --> 00:10:51,640 Speaker 2: very okay for the president of the United States, the 207 00:10:51,640 --> 00:10:55,160 Speaker 2: commander in chief to engage in open deception with the 208 00:10:55,320 --> 00:10:57,640 Speaker 2: enemy so we can get a better result. That's the 209 00:10:57,760 --> 00:11:00,880 Speaker 2: argument and the idea that we are not told exactly 210 00:11:00,960 --> 00:11:03,719 Speaker 2: what the endgame is. When the endgame happens and how 211 00:11:03,720 --> 00:11:06,480 Speaker 2: everything's can get wrapped up in a bow. That's real life, 212 00:11:07,400 --> 00:11:10,240 Speaker 2: a real politique, as opposed to what the left wants, 213 00:11:10,360 --> 00:11:13,200 Speaker 2: which is somehow everything plays up beautifully like in a book. 214 00:11:13,760 --> 00:11:17,520 Speaker 3: Yeah, it's our video game. No videole have just don't 215 00:11:17,559 --> 00:11:19,640 Speaker 3: really understand what it's like to win a war anymore 216 00:11:19,640 --> 00:11:22,520 Speaker 3: because we don't fight to win wars. But even when 217 00:11:22,559 --> 00:11:24,680 Speaker 3: we were fighting for a draw, like go back to 218 00:11:24,679 --> 00:11:27,960 Speaker 3: the nineteen ninety one go Forth, we lost like fifty 219 00:11:28,040 --> 00:11:31,880 Speaker 3: six wing aircraft in that contest. We destroyed our rack's 220 00:11:31,920 --> 00:11:35,760 Speaker 3: capacity to generate power the entire country dark. That was 221 00:11:35,800 --> 00:11:37,760 Speaker 3: just how wars were fought, and it. 222 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:38,720 Speaker 1: Was bloody and it was brutal. 223 00:11:38,760 --> 00:11:40,280 Speaker 3: We had people who were shut down, we had people 224 00:11:40,280 --> 00:11:42,520 Speaker 3: who were killed, we had people who were captured. None 225 00:11:42,559 --> 00:11:44,760 Speaker 3: of that has happened in this war. And we expect 226 00:11:44,760 --> 00:11:47,679 Speaker 3: war to be some sort of antiseptic experience. Now that 227 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,240 Speaker 3: lasts for twelve hours or so, and it's an incredible 228 00:11:51,280 --> 00:11:54,679 Speaker 3: triumphant experience. Do you think we're the aliens from Independence Day? 229 00:11:54,760 --> 00:11:57,000 Speaker 3: Like if anybody lays a finger on us, it's mark 230 00:11:57,080 --> 00:12:02,120 Speaker 3: of a impossible strategic failure. It's very strange, but it's 231 00:12:02,120 --> 00:12:06,120 Speaker 3: also reflective of just how how much the American people 232 00:12:06,120 --> 00:12:10,280 Speaker 3: are just not acclimated to an actual, real war fought 233 00:12:10,400 --> 00:12:14,000 Speaker 3: to a strategic objective. Looks like it looks like the 234 00:12:14,000 --> 00:12:16,559 Speaker 3: wars that Israel have been fighting since October seven, twenty 235 00:12:16,600 --> 00:12:18,840 Speaker 3: twenty three. And that's the kind of war we're fighting. 236 00:12:18,880 --> 00:12:21,960 Speaker 3: We're fighting a war on an Israeli style term, and 237 00:12:22,040 --> 00:12:25,160 Speaker 3: it's actually being very successful, and that's freaking people out. 238 00:12:25,520 --> 00:12:30,360 Speaker 2: Talking to Noah Rothman of National Review, his latest book, 239 00:12:31,600 --> 00:12:34,600 Speaker 2: Blood and Progress, Essentury of Left Wing Violence, will be 240 00:12:34,600 --> 00:12:37,360 Speaker 2: available at Amazon dot com wherever fine books are sold. 241 00:12:37,440 --> 00:12:38,839 Speaker 1: May of twenty twenty six. 242 00:12:39,640 --> 00:12:43,360 Speaker 2: You bring up Israel fighting it in this way, which 243 00:12:43,400 --> 00:12:47,600 Speaker 2: is fighting to a win or to a victory. I 244 00:12:47,679 --> 00:12:51,360 Speaker 2: agree wholeheartedly that we have forgotten what victory looks like. 245 00:12:51,600 --> 00:12:54,280 Speaker 2: Since we live in a broadband world, we expect things 246 00:12:54,320 --> 00:12:58,400 Speaker 2: to happen at a broadband speed. Can any part of 247 00:12:58,440 --> 00:13:02,840 Speaker 2: the regime exhist and the US call it victory For 248 00:13:02,920 --> 00:13:05,520 Speaker 2: President Trump, victory is you know, the first two rules 249 00:13:05,520 --> 00:13:07,760 Speaker 2: of trump Ism. The first rule is Trump wins, and 250 00:13:07,800 --> 00:13:09,520 Speaker 2: the second rule of trump Ism is that a deal 251 00:13:09,559 --> 00:13:11,680 Speaker 2: can always be made as long as that adheres to 252 00:13:11,679 --> 00:13:14,560 Speaker 2: the first rule. Of trump Ism. So that allows the 253 00:13:14,600 --> 00:13:16,760 Speaker 2: president to say, at any moment, we did what we 254 00:13:16,800 --> 00:13:19,920 Speaker 2: came to do. We're done. But if the regime remains 255 00:13:19,960 --> 00:13:23,360 Speaker 2: in any way, is that success. 256 00:13:23,679 --> 00:13:27,920 Speaker 3: Well, So, given your stipulation there that the president reserves 257 00:13:27,920 --> 00:13:30,640 Speaker 3: the right to declare victory and retreat at any point 258 00:13:30,760 --> 00:13:33,560 Speaker 3: in this conflict, you can't rule that out. I do 259 00:13:33,679 --> 00:13:36,000 Speaker 3: not want to rule that out, and I think it's 260 00:13:36,040 --> 00:13:39,240 Speaker 3: wise to keep in mind. The prospect that the president 261 00:13:39,280 --> 00:13:43,000 Speaker 3: will disengage before we've achieved our tactical and strategic objectives 262 00:13:43,000 --> 00:13:47,000 Speaker 3: in the combat phase of this war totally possible. However, 263 00:13:47,520 --> 00:13:51,439 Speaker 3: everybody in this administration, with scars and stripes, stripes on 264 00:13:51,480 --> 00:13:54,120 Speaker 3: their shoulders, stars and their epulets, have been very clear 265 00:13:54,360 --> 00:13:57,920 Speaker 3: and have not changed their forecast for how this war 266 00:13:58,040 --> 00:14:01,520 Speaker 3: was going to unfold and stages. The first stage was 267 00:14:01,520 --> 00:14:05,440 Speaker 3: to attack Iran's capacity to project power, it's active military assets. 268 00:14:05,679 --> 00:14:08,040 Speaker 3: The second stage, which we're in right now, is to 269 00:14:08,120 --> 00:14:13,280 Speaker 3: decimate Iran's capacity to build military assets, its military production facilities, 270 00:14:13,320 --> 00:14:15,480 Speaker 3: its defense industrial base. All the while, by the way, 271 00:14:15,520 --> 00:14:18,880 Speaker 3: Israel is attacking regime targets, symbols of regime stability, the 272 00:14:19,000 --> 00:14:21,720 Speaker 3: terror apparatus, the IRGC, the besiege, the stuff that keeps 273 00:14:21,720 --> 00:14:24,440 Speaker 3: the Iranian people down or shot in the streets. The 274 00:14:24,560 --> 00:14:27,720 Speaker 3: third stage is always and was always going to look 275 00:14:27,760 --> 00:14:32,440 Speaker 3: like defeat for people who want to see a triumphant moment, 276 00:14:32,560 --> 00:14:35,280 Speaker 3: a definitive point at which the United States can look 277 00:14:35,320 --> 00:14:38,520 Speaker 3: at the ground and say, Okay, we won. It was 278 00:14:38,600 --> 00:14:42,280 Speaker 3: going to be a negotiated settlement with somebody who can 279 00:14:42,280 --> 00:14:45,720 Speaker 3: claim to represent the Iranian people, whether it's the remnants 280 00:14:45,720 --> 00:14:49,760 Speaker 3: of the Islamic Republic, whether it's some transitional figure who 281 00:14:49,840 --> 00:14:52,320 Speaker 3: knows that was never part of the plan, never explode, 282 00:14:52,360 --> 00:14:55,360 Speaker 3: you know, never elucidated precisely who that figure was, because 283 00:14:55,400 --> 00:14:57,960 Speaker 3: we didn't know that figure was going to be. But 284 00:14:58,040 --> 00:15:01,320 Speaker 3: when that happens, and it will be negotiated se with 285 00:15:01,360 --> 00:15:05,040 Speaker 3: whatever remains, then you move on to phase three, which 286 00:15:05,080 --> 00:15:08,000 Speaker 3: is the quiet process of undermining this regime from within. 287 00:15:08,680 --> 00:15:14,320 Speaker 3: And everybody has said the IDF Benjamin and Yahoo. Brad 288 00:15:14,360 --> 00:15:16,800 Speaker 3: Cooper is the head of Sentcom who said as much 289 00:15:16,840 --> 00:15:19,520 Speaker 3: this week. Quote, there will be a clear signal at 290 00:15:19,520 --> 00:15:21,760 Speaker 3: some point, as the President has indicated, for you to 291 00:15:21,800 --> 00:15:23,760 Speaker 3: be able to come out, he told the Iranian people 292 00:15:23,800 --> 00:15:28,680 Speaker 3: in an interview with an Iranian diaspora outlet. He said, 293 00:15:28,720 --> 00:15:32,080 Speaker 3: this time has not come yet, but it will. And 294 00:15:32,120 --> 00:15:34,040 Speaker 3: all the reporting that we have from NPR, from the 295 00:15:34,080 --> 00:15:36,040 Speaker 3: New York Post, which has gotten in touch with Iranians 296 00:15:36,080 --> 00:15:38,040 Speaker 3: on the ground, is the Iranian people are waiting for 297 00:15:38,080 --> 00:15:41,240 Speaker 3: the signal and they are primed. And who knows what 298 00:15:41,240 --> 00:15:43,280 Speaker 3: we're doing on the ground in order to facilitate the 299 00:15:43,400 --> 00:15:47,440 Speaker 3: arming of potentially insurrectionary elements, the fomenting of a potentially 300 00:15:47,440 --> 00:15:51,520 Speaker 3: insurrectionary attack on this regime from within. That's the sort 301 00:15:51,520 --> 00:15:54,479 Speaker 3: of thing that we're going to engineer later after the combat. 302 00:15:54,080 --> 00:15:54,920 Speaker 1: Phase is over. 303 00:15:55,120 --> 00:15:57,360 Speaker 3: We're still in the middle of the combat phase. And 304 00:15:57,400 --> 00:16:00,920 Speaker 3: I think the biggest hurdle right now everybody acknowledges as 305 00:16:00,920 --> 00:16:03,520 Speaker 3: the biggest hurdle is opening the Strait of Hormus. And 306 00:16:03,560 --> 00:16:06,040 Speaker 3: there is the sense that if we allow the Iranian 307 00:16:06,080 --> 00:16:10,840 Speaker 3: regime to maintain even notional control over the strait such 308 00:16:10,880 --> 00:16:13,360 Speaker 3: that it's able to extort the ships that come through 309 00:16:13,400 --> 00:16:16,120 Speaker 3: it for a two million dollars apiece, for example, which 310 00:16:16,120 --> 00:16:18,080 Speaker 3: is what they're doing now, that it will be a 311 00:16:18,120 --> 00:16:21,320 Speaker 3: strategic loss. I think it will be a strategic setback, 312 00:16:21,400 --> 00:16:24,720 Speaker 3: an ambiguous end to this war. And I don't think 313 00:16:24,760 --> 00:16:27,400 Speaker 3: it's going to end there, but it could, and if 314 00:16:27,400 --> 00:16:29,960 Speaker 3: it did, it would not It would fall short of 315 00:16:30,000 --> 00:16:33,080 Speaker 3: all of our key objectives most certainly. But the notion 316 00:16:33,160 --> 00:16:34,960 Speaker 3: here that Iran is going to emerge from this, as 317 00:16:35,000 --> 00:16:37,480 Speaker 3: so many say that Iran is going to emerge from 318 00:16:37,480 --> 00:16:43,080 Speaker 3: this stronger, more emboldened, more of a regional power, is insane. 319 00:16:43,480 --> 00:16:47,920 Speaker 3: It's incredible, literally incredible. The notion here that Iran will 320 00:16:47,920 --> 00:16:50,760 Speaker 3: emerge as this more potent force in the Middle East 321 00:16:51,200 --> 00:16:54,120 Speaker 3: even when all its military and military industrial complexes are 322 00:16:54,120 --> 00:16:57,080 Speaker 3: destroyed is bizarre. The notion here that it will be 323 00:16:57,080 --> 00:16:59,400 Speaker 3: a more potent force in the region even as it 324 00:16:59,440 --> 00:17:03,080 Speaker 3: has a race the entire Middle East against it. Openly, 325 00:17:03,440 --> 00:17:06,240 Speaker 3: you have the UAE and the Saudi Arabians flirting with 326 00:17:06,359 --> 00:17:09,040 Speaker 3: active combat operations against Iran, to say nothing of what 327 00:17:09,040 --> 00:17:11,600 Speaker 3: they're doing behind the scenes, and the entire Gulf and 328 00:17:11,640 --> 00:17:16,800 Speaker 3: the Middle East, including places like Syria, Jordan, Egypt, all 329 00:17:16,800 --> 00:17:19,880 Speaker 3: these places are turning against the Uranium regime. They've always 330 00:17:19,880 --> 00:17:21,560 Speaker 3: had it, they haven't had exactly had a soft spot 331 00:17:21,560 --> 00:17:24,200 Speaker 3: for the Mulas, but it's been sort of a cat 332 00:17:24,240 --> 00:17:27,920 Speaker 3: and mouse game. Little subterfuge here allow these front companies 333 00:17:27,960 --> 00:17:31,040 Speaker 3: to exist there so they can evade sanctions here. All 334 00:17:31,080 --> 00:17:33,560 Speaker 3: that stuff is gone, it's not coming back. The Uranian 335 00:17:33,600 --> 00:17:35,919 Speaker 3: regime is as weak as it's ever been and will continue. 336 00:17:35,520 --> 00:17:36,560 Speaker 1: To be weak after this war. 337 00:17:36,600 --> 00:17:38,399 Speaker 3: And it's just it makes no sense to me that 338 00:17:38,440 --> 00:17:42,199 Speaker 3: so many people are resistant to this obvious notion, Like 339 00:17:42,240 --> 00:17:45,320 Speaker 3: the argument against it just is very difficult to make, 340 00:17:45,600 --> 00:17:47,600 Speaker 3: and yet you see so many making it more. 341 00:17:47,640 --> 00:17:50,320 Speaker 2: With Noah Rothman coming up, keep it here. I'm Tony Katz. 342 00:17:50,359 --> 00:17:53,080 Speaker 2: This is Tony Katz Today. There's a story out of 343 00:17:53,119 --> 00:17:56,720 Speaker 2: Fox News that Dave and Busters one of their locations, 344 00:17:56,720 --> 00:18:00,440 Speaker 2: maybe not the whole company. Tips are being a applied 345 00:18:00,520 --> 00:18:02,680 Speaker 2: to the post tax total. 346 00:18:03,800 --> 00:18:06,879 Speaker 1: Tony Katz, Tony kats today. That is not right. I 347 00:18:06,960 --> 00:18:10,639 Speaker 1: do not tip on tax i tip on whether or 348 00:18:10,640 --> 00:18:11,720 Speaker 1: not I get good service. 349 00:18:12,080 --> 00:18:13,919 Speaker 2: And the idea is, well, here's the bill, and then 350 00:18:13,960 --> 00:18:17,679 Speaker 2: it's fifteen percent of the bill. Well really, now twenty percent? 351 00:18:18,040 --> 00:18:20,600 Speaker 2: I mean everyone is tipping twenty percent. You may, you 352 00:18:20,600 --> 00:18:23,240 Speaker 2: may tip less, you may tip more. My problem is 353 00:18:23,240 --> 00:18:26,160 Speaker 2: is when you're in a you're using a Kioska, would 354 00:18:26,160 --> 00:18:26,960 Speaker 2: you like to leave a tip? 355 00:18:27,040 --> 00:18:28,040 Speaker 1: No convenience store. 356 00:18:28,160 --> 00:18:32,000 Speaker 2: No. The overtipping is madness, But this is an interesting thing. 357 00:18:33,119 --> 00:18:37,159 Speaker 2: You want to apply a tip to the tax? No, 358 00:18:37,840 --> 00:18:41,200 Speaker 2: I don't tip the government. As a matter of fact, 359 00:18:41,240 --> 00:18:44,119 Speaker 2: the idea of tipping the government is exactly what's wrong 360 00:18:44,240 --> 00:18:45,840 Speaker 2: with a great number of societies. 361 00:18:47,520 --> 00:18:51,880 Speaker 1: But that's an ugly thing to do. And if, if 362 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:54,480 Speaker 1: indeed David Busters. 363 00:18:54,080 --> 00:18:57,280 Speaker 2: Is doing that, that's a reason not to go. 364 00:18:57,680 --> 00:19:00,399 Speaker 1: And I'm not an anti David Buster's guy. It's fun. 365 00:19:00,600 --> 00:19:04,040 Speaker 2: There's arcade games for adults, arcade games and beer. 366 00:19:04,119 --> 00:19:04,720 Speaker 1: What could go. 367 00:19:04,680 --> 00:19:10,600 Speaker 2: Wrong aside from everything, But this tipping culture is nuts. 368 00:19:10,880 --> 00:19:14,200 Speaker 2: Not everything deserves a tip. It certainly doesn't deserve twenty 369 00:19:14,280 --> 00:19:17,680 Speaker 2: or twenty five percent at all times. 370 00:19:18,600 --> 00:19:22,480 Speaker 1: But tip on the tax, that's something to look out for. 371 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:24,359 Speaker 2: You know how many times that's probably happening out there 372 00:19:24,359 --> 00:19:26,399 Speaker 2: and people don't know it and they just do it, 373 00:19:26,880 --> 00:19:28,800 Speaker 2: or somebody's getting added into the bill and people don't 374 00:19:28,800 --> 00:19:29,320 Speaker 2: really check. 375 00:19:29,800 --> 00:19:31,960 Speaker 1: Check it's your money. It's okay, it's not rude. 376 00:19:32,760 --> 00:19:36,080 Speaker 2: And if the service is good, tip well that would 377 00:19:36,119 --> 00:19:38,000 Speaker 2: be me more to get to. 378 00:19:38,119 --> 00:19:39,080 Speaker 1: I'm Tony Katzan. 379 00:19:39,119 --> 00:19:47,280 Speaker 2: This is Tony Katz today. So much of the conflict 380 00:19:47,520 --> 00:19:50,640 Speaker 2: with Iran war. Listen, I say it's regime change because 381 00:19:50,640 --> 00:19:53,320 Speaker 2: it is regime change. I think we're fooling ourselves, kidding ourselves, 382 00:19:53,400 --> 00:19:55,240 Speaker 2: lying to ourselves if we don't call it that. 383 00:19:55,280 --> 00:19:56,960 Speaker 1: And I don't believe in doing any of those things. 384 00:19:57,160 --> 00:19:59,880 Speaker 1: Tony Kats, Tony Kats today, Good to be here. Good 385 00:20:00,200 --> 00:20:00,639 Speaker 1: with you. 386 00:20:00,720 --> 00:20:05,080 Speaker 2: Noah Rothman stays with us from National Review. His book 387 00:20:05,280 --> 00:20:08,520 Speaker 2: Blood in Progress, A Century of Left Wing Violence, available 388 00:20:08,560 --> 00:20:11,280 Speaker 2: at Amazon dot com wherever fine books are sold, that 389 00:20:11,320 --> 00:20:13,199 Speaker 2: will be in May of twenty twenty sixth. You can 390 00:20:13,280 --> 00:20:16,320 Speaker 2: pre order right now. Blood in Progress, a Century of 391 00:20:16,440 --> 00:20:19,200 Speaker 2: Left Wing Violence. One of the things that you said 392 00:20:19,200 --> 00:20:22,959 Speaker 2: earlier was about how the United States is engaging in 393 00:20:23,080 --> 00:20:27,520 Speaker 2: taking out the Iranian regime in an Israeli way, and 394 00:20:27,800 --> 00:20:32,080 Speaker 2: you noted, and we've discussed it here before, that since 395 00:20:32,119 --> 00:20:36,040 Speaker 2: October seventh, Israel has defied all the critics and all 396 00:20:36,040 --> 00:20:38,640 Speaker 2: the standard norms of how they did things. They'd drop 397 00:20:38,680 --> 00:20:40,639 Speaker 2: a few bombs, they'd get angry, and then they'd have 398 00:20:40,680 --> 00:20:44,080 Speaker 2: to relent because of world pressure. Post October seventh, there 399 00:20:44,160 --> 00:20:47,720 Speaker 2: was no relenting. And I was in Israel some months 400 00:20:47,720 --> 00:20:50,080 Speaker 2: after October seventh, and it was very clear from people 401 00:20:50,119 --> 00:20:51,200 Speaker 2: you speak to on the streets and. 402 00:20:51,480 --> 00:20:53,120 Speaker 1: The feel of that nation. 403 00:20:53,480 --> 00:20:58,600 Speaker 2: As you observe, they were done every try they gave 404 00:20:58,800 --> 00:21:01,560 Speaker 2: to the Palestinians, every attempt they gave to build up 405 00:21:02,040 --> 00:21:05,600 Speaker 2: areas around the Gaza envelope. Those mayors who wanted to 406 00:21:05,600 --> 00:21:10,040 Speaker 2: build factories and create opportunities and would they would kibbutzes, 407 00:21:10,240 --> 00:21:13,640 Speaker 2: would go into Gaza and bring people back to work. Well, 408 00:21:13,680 --> 00:21:15,879 Speaker 2: those are the people who laid out what was happening 409 00:21:15,880 --> 00:21:18,560 Speaker 2: in the kibbutz is, where the armory was, where people were, 410 00:21:18,720 --> 00:21:22,400 Speaker 2: where the families were, etc. So Hamas and Palestinians could 411 00:21:22,400 --> 00:21:24,960 Speaker 2: go in and murder everyone they saw. It was those 412 00:21:25,040 --> 00:21:28,439 Speaker 2: people who the Israelis were trying to help that helped 413 00:21:28,680 --> 00:21:31,360 Speaker 2: map out how to kill them. And Israeli said, we've 414 00:21:31,359 --> 00:21:33,840 Speaker 2: had enough here. And that has been true and that 415 00:21:33,920 --> 00:21:35,680 Speaker 2: has gone on, and that is what's created so much 416 00:21:35,720 --> 00:21:39,200 Speaker 2: angst amongst the left in screaming of genocide, et cetera. 417 00:21:39,560 --> 00:21:41,920 Speaker 1: They can't accept the fact that Israel wouldn't take it. 418 00:21:42,280 --> 00:21:44,399 Speaker 1: But it's an interesting statement from you. 419 00:21:45,080 --> 00:21:48,440 Speaker 2: I had not considered this thought process that the United 420 00:21:48,480 --> 00:21:51,520 Speaker 2: States is doing this in an Israeli way. But we 421 00:21:51,600 --> 00:21:55,160 Speaker 2: also discuss how many people are rooting for President Trump 422 00:21:55,240 --> 00:21:58,720 Speaker 2: to fail if Israel wasn't involved. If this wasn't a 423 00:21:58,840 --> 00:22:01,800 Speaker 2: US Israel operation, but it was a US UK operation, 424 00:22:01,960 --> 00:22:05,080 Speaker 2: or pick another nation or just the United States, would 425 00:22:05,160 --> 00:22:07,720 Speaker 2: these same leftists and people on the wolk right be 426 00:22:07,800 --> 00:22:09,320 Speaker 2: rooting for Trump to fail. 427 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:14,000 Speaker 3: Yeah, I think so, because it has very little. I mean, 428 00:22:14,480 --> 00:22:19,159 Speaker 3: their antipathy to Israel is total, but their antipathy to 429 00:22:19,200 --> 00:22:22,320 Speaker 3: the West and the West as represented by the prima 430 00:22:22,359 --> 00:22:26,159 Speaker 3: interparis the United States of America, the foremost exemplar of 431 00:22:26,160 --> 00:22:30,119 Speaker 3: the capitalist world, is there was always a permanent factor. 432 00:22:30,359 --> 00:22:32,959 Speaker 3: And you know, you can go back to the seventies 433 00:22:33,200 --> 00:22:36,439 Speaker 3: and the sixties and even the early nineteen eighties for 434 00:22:36,520 --> 00:22:42,440 Speaker 3: the origins of this kind of Marxian approach, to the 435 00:22:43,000 --> 00:22:48,800 Speaker 3: evolution of lessling militancy from Marxian insurgents to pan Arab 436 00:22:48,920 --> 00:22:53,040 Speaker 3: nationalists to Islamist theocrats as they gravitated towards the Islamic Revolution. 437 00:22:53,560 --> 00:22:55,440 Speaker 3: All this is very well documented. I actually wrote a 438 00:22:55,440 --> 00:22:59,159 Speaker 3: review for Commentary about Jason Burks on this phenomenon. The Revolutionists, 439 00:22:59,240 --> 00:23:02,200 Speaker 3: very good book on the bizarre evolution of the far 440 00:23:02,320 --> 00:23:06,520 Speaker 3: left hostility to the capitalist world, manifesting in support for 441 00:23:06,560 --> 00:23:08,399 Speaker 3: the Cuban regime and the Cuban regime, support for the 442 00:23:08,480 --> 00:23:11,000 Speaker 3: Islamis regime. All these guys are connected in ways that 443 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:14,080 Speaker 3: you would if you didn't know the actual history of it, 444 00:23:14,080 --> 00:23:17,239 Speaker 3: you'd be called a conspiracy theorists for identifying all these 445 00:23:17,520 --> 00:23:20,040 Speaker 3: all these connections. I will say, you stipulated that after 446 00:23:20,080 --> 00:23:23,280 Speaker 3: October seventh, Israel, you know, took the gloves off and 447 00:23:23,480 --> 00:23:26,760 Speaker 3: was not constrained. That is not true. It was constrained 448 00:23:26,760 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 3: by the Biden administration. For example, it did not go 449 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:32,200 Speaker 3: into Conunis when it wanted to. When it eventually did, 450 00:23:32,240 --> 00:23:35,080 Speaker 3: it did so in defiance of the Biden administration, where 451 00:23:35,119 --> 00:23:37,160 Speaker 3: they eventually captured and killed the yak Ya Suin war, 452 00:23:38,040 --> 00:23:40,360 Speaker 3: but they were prevented from doing so. And that's typical. 453 00:23:40,400 --> 00:23:43,280 Speaker 3: The United States puts the reins on Israel. The Bush 454 00:23:43,280 --> 00:23:47,520 Speaker 3: administration did, the Obama administration certainly did, the Biden administration did, 455 00:23:47,520 --> 00:23:50,880 Speaker 3: and even Trump one point zero was you know, cagey 456 00:23:51,320 --> 00:23:53,600 Speaker 3: about the extent to which it was supporting and the 457 00:23:53,640 --> 00:23:57,000 Speaker 3: flourishing of what would eventually become the Abraham Accords, because 458 00:23:57,000 --> 00:24:00,840 Speaker 3: it was a fraud project. Not so after twenty twenty five, Yes, 459 00:24:00,920 --> 00:24:03,760 Speaker 3: Donald Trump took the gloves off. Yes, prosecuted these wars 460 00:24:03,760 --> 00:24:08,080 Speaker 3: alongside Israel in ways that Israel would recognize as the 461 00:24:08,080 --> 00:24:11,280 Speaker 3: way you fight to victory. That's a very new development. 462 00:24:12,040 --> 00:24:14,879 Speaker 3: But you know, is Israel to blame for the hostility 463 00:24:14,880 --> 00:24:17,479 Speaker 3: that Donald Trump is experiencing from the international press, the 464 00:24:17,480 --> 00:24:20,440 Speaker 3: international left. Now, I really don't think so. I think 465 00:24:20,600 --> 00:24:23,080 Speaker 3: we would have experienced this exact same phenomenon as we 466 00:24:23,119 --> 00:24:23,960 Speaker 3: did after. 467 00:24:23,760 --> 00:24:24,280 Speaker 1: The Iraq War. 468 00:24:24,320 --> 00:24:26,480 Speaker 3: And in the middle of the Iraq War win, the 469 00:24:26,480 --> 00:24:29,560 Speaker 3: Bush administration handcuffed the Israelis, and the Israelis didn't want 470 00:24:29,640 --> 00:24:31,600 Speaker 3: us to go into Iraq. They said, focus on Iran, 471 00:24:31,680 --> 00:24:33,640 Speaker 3: that's the head of the snake. And they were also 472 00:24:33,720 --> 00:24:37,000 Speaker 3: very cagy and leary about experiencing a Gulf War style 473 00:24:37,080 --> 00:24:42,000 Speaker 3: attack when Sam Hussein's regime drops scud missiles on Israelis 474 00:24:42,040 --> 00:24:44,760 Speaker 3: and they were prevented from responding, They were not allowed 475 00:24:44,760 --> 00:24:47,240 Speaker 3: to respond by Georgie W. Bush's administration, and they did 476 00:24:47,320 --> 00:24:50,280 Speaker 3: not want to repeat that experience. So America's relationship with 477 00:24:50,320 --> 00:24:52,479 Speaker 3: Israel has been a lot more fraud than it was 478 00:24:52,600 --> 00:24:55,520 Speaker 3: than it has been under Trump two point zero, and 479 00:24:55,560 --> 00:24:58,240 Speaker 3: the American left well hostile to Israel and the Zionist 480 00:24:58,320 --> 00:25:02,720 Speaker 3: project generally going to this Marxian origin story in the 481 00:25:02,760 --> 00:25:06,680 Speaker 3: nineteen seventies and nineteen eighties is more hostile to Washington 482 00:25:06,760 --> 00:25:09,320 Speaker 3: and more hostile to the United States because it is 483 00:25:09,359 --> 00:25:12,680 Speaker 3: the foremost power in the world that exemplifies hostility to 484 00:25:12,720 --> 00:25:16,960 Speaker 3: the socialist project and the international anti colonialist Project, which 485 00:25:17,040 --> 00:25:19,040 Speaker 3: by the way, are pretty much the exact same thing, 486 00:25:19,280 --> 00:25:20,280 Speaker 3: different derbiage. 487 00:25:21,040 --> 00:25:24,480 Speaker 2: So now take that, put it to the side, but 488 00:25:24,600 --> 00:25:28,120 Speaker 2: just uses a bit of kind of a baseline. 489 00:25:28,400 --> 00:25:29,960 Speaker 1: Let's move this into the woke right. 490 00:25:31,119 --> 00:25:34,440 Speaker 2: We can call that Candice Owens, Tucker Carlson, Megan Kelly, 491 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:41,399 Speaker 2: Alex Jones, these people who are telling us that Trump 492 00:25:41,560 --> 00:25:45,560 Speaker 2: was dragged into this by Israel as opposed to how 493 00:25:45,600 --> 00:25:50,760 Speaker 2: you're discussing things that Israel's often constrained by the United States. 494 00:25:50,760 --> 00:25:54,280 Speaker 1: It doesn't actually go the other way around. And then 495 00:25:54,800 --> 00:25:56,080 Speaker 1: we get into JD. 496 00:25:56,240 --> 00:25:59,840 Speaker 2: Vance and a lot of people for months now been 497 00:26:00,040 --> 00:26:03,840 Speaker 2: discussing that JD Vance's relationship with Tucker Carlson is going 498 00:26:03,880 --> 00:26:06,160 Speaker 2: to hurt him in a general Come twenty twenty eight, 499 00:26:06,520 --> 00:26:09,479 Speaker 2: other people say that Jade Vance is the guy that 500 00:26:10,320 --> 00:26:13,280 Speaker 2: of the woke right because he understands that this relationship 501 00:26:13,320 --> 00:26:18,840 Speaker 2: with Israel is leading to America's downfall. I argue that 502 00:26:18,880 --> 00:26:20,640 Speaker 2: we see people in the medium, We see the woke 503 00:26:20,760 --> 00:26:23,320 Speaker 2: right pushing this idea that we're losing, or we're failing, 504 00:26:23,400 --> 00:26:25,119 Speaker 2: or they want to see Trump lose, and it is 505 00:26:25,560 --> 00:26:29,439 Speaker 2: a wholly un American proposition. It's said very generally, and 506 00:26:29,480 --> 00:26:31,840 Speaker 2: that what they are looking for is for us to 507 00:26:31,920 --> 00:26:34,560 Speaker 2: learn our lesson that we should be. You might refer 508 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:36,960 Speaker 2: to it as isolationist. I would refer to it as 509 00:26:37,520 --> 00:26:41,120 Speaker 2: we can't get involved in these entanglements even when removal 510 00:26:41,160 --> 00:26:46,520 Speaker 2: of terrorism is clearly to our benefit. Is Jade Vanson 511 00:26:46,760 --> 00:26:48,520 Speaker 2: in between a rock and a hard place? Or did 512 00:26:48,560 --> 00:26:49,560 Speaker 2: he put himself there? 513 00:26:50,760 --> 00:26:51,880 Speaker 1: I'll put it this way. 514 00:26:52,600 --> 00:26:56,199 Speaker 3: There is a large contingent within the United States that 515 00:26:56,280 --> 00:27:00,679 Speaker 3: does want to see a humbler foreign policy has for generations. 516 00:27:00,680 --> 00:27:02,760 Speaker 3: This is what George W. Bush ran on in the 517 00:27:02,840 --> 00:27:06,960 Speaker 3: year two thousand. But there's a smaller contingent within that 518 00:27:07,080 --> 00:27:10,200 Speaker 3: broader universe that believes that the United States needs a 519 00:27:10,280 --> 00:27:13,040 Speaker 3: humbler fall up foreign policy, and if it won't execute 520 00:27:13,080 --> 00:27:15,879 Speaker 3: a foreign humbler foreign policy in its own, it must 521 00:27:16,000 --> 00:27:20,159 Speaker 3: be humbled. And the people around JD Vance's camp do 522 00:27:20,280 --> 00:27:23,600 Speaker 3: seem to be members of that contingent. We have a 523 00:27:23,640 --> 00:27:28,359 Speaker 3: piece in Axios today that sparked my absolute frustration, a 524 00:27:28,480 --> 00:27:31,159 Speaker 3: visceral level of hostility to what was coming out of 525 00:27:31,200 --> 00:27:34,840 Speaker 3: JD Vance's allies, because they're actively attempting to drive a 526 00:27:34,880 --> 00:27:37,879 Speaker 3: wedge between the United States and Israel in wartime against 527 00:27:37,920 --> 00:27:41,439 Speaker 3: an implacable foe. Maybe not the Vice President himself, but 528 00:27:41,520 --> 00:27:45,040 Speaker 3: his people are telling reporters Barack Reviede and Mark Puto 529 00:27:45,160 --> 00:27:48,920 Speaker 3: at Axios that the Vice President is willing to play 530 00:27:49,000 --> 00:27:53,040 Speaker 3: his part, and he has his thoughts on this war. 531 00:27:53,400 --> 00:27:56,360 Speaker 3: We all must be a breast of Jade Vance's internal 532 00:27:56,440 --> 00:28:00,399 Speaker 3: torment at this moment, and they believe that the that 533 00:28:00,680 --> 00:28:04,040 Speaker 3: Benjamin Nia who sort of guld the President into this war, 534 00:28:04,560 --> 00:28:07,000 Speaker 3: promised him that this would be some sort of a 535 00:28:07,119 --> 00:28:11,880 Speaker 3: very quick, clean, triumphant campaign, which we have not heard 536 00:28:11,880 --> 00:28:14,840 Speaker 3: from public statements from any of the people who are 537 00:28:14,840 --> 00:28:18,879 Speaker 3: talking to Axios on background off the record. And also 538 00:28:19,000 --> 00:28:23,000 Speaker 3: that it's an Israeli up against gd said one administration official, 539 00:28:23,280 --> 00:28:26,920 Speaker 3: citing claims that were widely reported on that whatever remnants 540 00:28:26,960 --> 00:28:30,240 Speaker 3: we're talking to with Iran are interested in negotiating with 541 00:28:30,320 --> 00:28:33,520 Speaker 3: JD Vance alone in part because they understand him to 542 00:28:33,560 --> 00:28:36,679 Speaker 3: be more skeptical of this war. And they understand him 543 00:28:36,720 --> 00:28:39,080 Speaker 3: to be more skeptical of this war. Because he's more 544 00:28:39,080 --> 00:28:41,640 Speaker 3: skeptical of this war. He has made no secret about it. 545 00:28:41,680 --> 00:28:43,400 Speaker 3: His allies have made no secret about it. 546 00:28:43,440 --> 00:28:43,880 Speaker 1: They want. 547 00:28:43,960 --> 00:28:46,280 Speaker 3: His brand was built on the notion that the United 548 00:28:46,280 --> 00:28:50,480 Speaker 3: States is overextended abroad and needs to retrench behind its 549 00:28:50,600 --> 00:28:53,640 Speaker 3: oceans into its shores. This is the argument that has 550 00:28:53,640 --> 00:28:56,760 Speaker 3: been bandied about by the restrainers, the quote unquote self 551 00:28:56,760 --> 00:29:00,920 Speaker 3: described restrainers in the Pentagon for years, even before this 552 00:29:01,000 --> 00:29:04,280 Speaker 3: administration was inaugurated. And J. D. Vance has aligned himself 553 00:29:04,320 --> 00:29:06,560 Speaker 3: with them. And now that his stock is falling, and 554 00:29:06,600 --> 00:29:08,840 Speaker 3: his stock is falling, I don't live inside Washington, but 555 00:29:08,880 --> 00:29:10,280 Speaker 3: I keep my ear to the door, and it's not 556 00:29:10,360 --> 00:29:13,160 Speaker 3: hard to hear the extent to which people inside the 557 00:29:13,200 --> 00:29:17,280 Speaker 3: Republican orbit and Trump's orbit are losing their taste for JD. Vance. 558 00:29:17,400 --> 00:29:20,240 Speaker 3: Think he's being upstaged by Marco Rubio. Think he's a 559 00:29:20,280 --> 00:29:23,360 Speaker 3: worse political talent. The President himself has said as much 560 00:29:23,400 --> 00:29:25,320 Speaker 3: in his unguarded moments, and he's going to say a 561 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:27,520 Speaker 3: louder and as we move forward. 562 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:30,560 Speaker 1: I'm going to and They're panicked about it real quick. 563 00:29:32,320 --> 00:29:34,479 Speaker 2: I think the word on the street is that they 564 00:29:34,560 --> 00:29:37,040 Speaker 2: view Marco Rubio in higher regard than JD. 565 00:29:37,120 --> 00:29:37,360 Speaker 1: Vans. 566 00:29:37,400 --> 00:29:39,880 Speaker 2: And that's not to say that the street, Midwest main 567 00:29:39,920 --> 00:29:41,920 Speaker 2: Street views JD. 568 00:29:42,040 --> 00:29:43,760 Speaker 1: Vance in a low regard. 569 00:29:44,240 --> 00:29:47,760 Speaker 2: But I absolutely wholeheartedly would say if you pulled one 570 00:29:47,800 --> 00:29:50,320 Speaker 2: hundred people on the streets, ninety five of them would 571 00:29:50,360 --> 00:29:53,160 Speaker 2: think more of Marco Rubio and his presentation than Vance. 572 00:29:53,480 --> 00:29:55,000 Speaker 1: I think that that's an accurate assessment. 573 00:29:55,840 --> 00:29:59,800 Speaker 3: Yeah, he's just being upstaged. And the president, who comes 574 00:29:59,800 --> 00:30:02,760 Speaker 3: from television, is a television critic, is very sensitive to 575 00:30:02,800 --> 00:30:06,480 Speaker 3: the degree to which an audience perceives talent, and he 576 00:30:06,520 --> 00:30:09,320 Speaker 3: sees Marco Rubio killing it, and he sees Jdvance foundering 577 00:30:09,880 --> 00:30:12,880 Speaker 3: that just it everybody does. It's not hard to notice, 578 00:30:13,040 --> 00:30:15,719 Speaker 3: but the people in Jdvance's orbit are freaked out about it. 579 00:30:15,960 --> 00:30:19,120 Speaker 3: Doly so understandably so. And the way they're going about 580 00:30:19,160 --> 00:30:22,360 Speaker 3: repairing that damage is to undermine the bilateral relationship between 581 00:30:22,400 --> 00:30:26,920 Speaker 3: the Washington and Jerusalem in wartime that is extremely reckless, 582 00:30:27,240 --> 00:30:32,080 Speaker 3: extremely negligent, and so self centered, so selipsistic as to 583 00:30:32,120 --> 00:30:37,800 Speaker 3: be contradictory to American strategic aims indeed undermining them, and 584 00:30:37,840 --> 00:30:41,600 Speaker 3: that's a really serious allegation that Jadvance's people need to 585 00:30:41,640 --> 00:30:42,480 Speaker 3: really consider. 586 00:30:44,520 --> 00:30:49,480 Speaker 2: Noah Rothman, National Review dot Com. The book Blood and 587 00:30:49,560 --> 00:30:52,680 Speaker 2: Progress essentially have left wing violence pre order that at 588 00:30:52,680 --> 00:30:55,840 Speaker 2: Amazon dot Com, available May of twenty twenty six. Noah, 589 00:30:56,000 --> 00:30:57,840 Speaker 2: I appreciate you taking the time more to get to 590 00:30:58,120 --> 00:30:59,000 Speaker 2: this is Tony Katz. 591 00:30:59,000 --> 00:31:01,320 Speaker 1: Today, we're still engaged in. 592 00:31:01,320 --> 00:31:05,360 Speaker 2: Bombing raids regarding Iran and taking out military targets, but 593 00:31:05,400 --> 00:31:07,480 Speaker 2: President Trump has said we're not going to go after 594 00:31:07,520 --> 00:31:11,920 Speaker 2: any of the energy targets. Meanwhile, the Senate is going 595 00:31:11,960 --> 00:31:14,080 Speaker 2: to fund the Department of Homeland Security, but they're not 596 00:31:14,160 --> 00:31:16,640 Speaker 2: going to fund ICE and Border Patrol, even though ICE 597 00:31:16,760 --> 00:31:19,720 Speaker 2: is already funded through the one big beautiful bill. Yet 598 00:31:19,720 --> 00:31:23,040 Speaker 2: Democrats are claiming they've got this huge win and crazy 599 00:31:23,680 --> 00:31:26,680 Speaker 2: to see media, although totally expect to be like, oh, 600 00:31:26,840 --> 00:31:30,920 Speaker 2: Republicans caved, I don't think that's what happened, Although you're 601 00:31:31,040 --> 00:31:32,400 Speaker 2: very used to Republicans caving. 602 00:31:32,720 --> 00:31:34,080 Speaker 1: I get what you're saying. 603 00:31:34,520 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 2: Rather, what it looks like is that Democrats held up 604 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:41,240 Speaker 2: the country for forty one days and didn't get a 605 00:31:41,280 --> 00:31:44,720 Speaker 2: single reform to ICE and the reforms to Ice is 606 00:31:44,720 --> 00:31:47,280 Speaker 2: the only thing they care about because they want illegal 607 00:31:47,280 --> 00:31:50,600 Speaker 2: immigrants in the country and voting, and they care about 608 00:31:50,600 --> 00:31:54,560 Speaker 2: illegal immigrants more than they care about American citizens. That's 609 00:31:54,840 --> 00:31:59,600 Speaker 2: the message they delivered to America. And that's the message. 610 00:32:00,120 --> 00:32:00,280 Speaker 3: Then. 611 00:32:00,280 --> 00:32:04,040 Speaker 2: I think America took Tony Katz Tony Katz today, guys 612 00:32:04,280 --> 00:32:05,280 Speaker 2: a pleasure to be with you. 613 00:32:05,480 --> 00:32:08,640 Speaker 1: I'm not kidding. I think I'm onto something. 614 00:32:09,040 --> 00:32:15,840 Speaker 2: The message taken by America is these people, these Democrats 615 00:32:16,400 --> 00:32:18,920 Speaker 2: want a legal immigrants voting more than they want me 616 00:32:19,040 --> 00:32:21,280 Speaker 2: to be able to travel around my own country. 617 00:32:22,200 --> 00:32:26,360 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's accurate. They said it. They have repeated it 618 00:32:26,600 --> 00:32:27,320 Speaker 1: for forty days. 619 00:32:27,320 --> 00:32:29,640 Speaker 2: They didn't care if TSA agents got paid, they didn't 620 00:32:29,680 --> 00:32:32,680 Speaker 2: care if your kids starved, as long as they could 621 00:32:32,760 --> 00:32:36,880 Speaker 2: get votes or the opportunity for those votes. Yes, I'm 622 00:32:36,920 --> 00:32:42,280 Speaker 2: making the accusation quite explicitly, but their own words allow 623 00:32:42,360 --> 00:32:46,479 Speaker 2: me to back it up. It's their own words that 624 00:32:46,600 --> 00:32:51,880 Speaker 2: allow me to make this statement. This is who they are, 625 00:32:52,200 --> 00:32:55,480 Speaker 2: this is what they do, this is what they're all about. 626 00:32:55,520 --> 00:33:00,600 Speaker 2: It was Senator Chris Murphy. Senator Chris Murphy is the 627 00:33:00,600 --> 00:33:04,840 Speaker 2: one who said quite clearly about the people they care 628 00:33:04,920 --> 00:33:08,840 Speaker 2: most about. Chris Hayes of MS NOW asking the question the. 629 00:33:08,760 --> 00:33:11,560 Speaker 4: Negotiation didn't have a path of citizenship. 630 00:33:11,640 --> 00:33:15,240 Speaker 1: It was entirely on their terms in order to get 631 00:33:15,680 --> 00:33:18,520 Speaker 1: Ukraine funding. Right. 632 00:33:20,600 --> 00:33:22,640 Speaker 4: Well, I mean, Chris, that's been a failed play for 633 00:33:22,680 --> 00:33:23,280 Speaker 4: twenty years. 634 00:33:23,560 --> 00:33:25,080 Speaker 1: So you are right that. 635 00:33:24,880 --> 00:33:28,600 Speaker 4: That has been the Democratic strategy for thirty years, maybe, 636 00:33:29,360 --> 00:33:32,080 Speaker 4: and it has failed to deliver for the people we 637 00:33:32,160 --> 00:33:36,080 Speaker 4: care about most, to the undocumented Americans that are in 638 00:33:36,160 --> 00:33:37,000 Speaker 4: this country. 639 00:33:37,720 --> 00:33:41,080 Speaker 2: His words, and you know I had actually said I 640 00:33:41,160 --> 00:33:43,880 Speaker 2: said this on newsmacs and other places. Maybe he misspoke, 641 00:33:43,920 --> 00:33:45,600 Speaker 2: Maybe he was trying to put a comment in there. 642 00:33:46,400 --> 00:33:48,800 Speaker 1: I haven't seen anywhere where he has tried to correct 643 00:33:48,800 --> 00:33:49,240 Speaker 1: the record. 644 00:33:50,080 --> 00:33:52,880 Speaker 2: I only have to use the Democrats' words against them 645 00:33:53,200 --> 00:33:54,920 Speaker 2: to be able to show what they're all about. And 646 00:33:54,920 --> 00:33:59,720 Speaker 2: I think Americans see it exactly that way. But with 647 00:33:59,840 --> 00:34:04,680 Speaker 2: all of this, there is a story, and the story 648 00:34:05,520 --> 00:34:11,120 Speaker 2: is about a congresswoman by the name of Sheila Cherfilis McCormick, Democrat, 649 00:34:12,239 --> 00:34:17,239 Speaker 2: who has been indicted and who the House Ethics Panel 650 00:34:17,719 --> 00:34:23,799 Speaker 2: found guilty of twenty five violations, bipartisan panel of lawmakers 651 00:34:24,400 --> 00:34:27,720 Speaker 2: voting to start the process that could lead to her expulsion. 652 00:34:28,200 --> 00:34:34,719 Speaker 2: Why the allegation is she laundered millions of disasterly funds 653 00:34:34,719 --> 00:34:41,320 Speaker 2: into her campaign account. She's facing federal criminal indictment ranging 654 00:34:41,320 --> 00:34:44,760 Speaker 2: from using ineligible funds to finance her campaigns, repeatedly filing 655 00:34:44,840 --> 00:34:50,120 Speaker 2: false financial disclosure forms, seeking special favors with recipients of 656 00:34:50,239 --> 00:34:55,000 Speaker 2: earmark funding requests. Now they won't meet until after Easter 657 00:34:55,160 --> 00:35:01,480 Speaker 2: to recommend punishment, which could be expulsion. It's going to 658 00:35:01,520 --> 00:35:05,800 Speaker 2: be expulsion, and Democrats are going to have a very 659 00:35:05,840 --> 00:35:10,680 Speaker 2: hard time being behind her because they would have gone, well, okay, 660 00:35:10,719 --> 00:35:12,719 Speaker 2: well maybe she was found guilty here or guilty there. 661 00:35:12,719 --> 00:35:16,160 Speaker 2: We're not gonna do anything until she's convicted of a crime. 662 00:35:17,480 --> 00:35:21,560 Speaker 2: But the very idea that the House Ethics Panel by partner, 663 00:35:21,600 --> 00:35:25,799 Speaker 2: is like, yeah, yeah, this is a lot of violations, 664 00:35:26,360 --> 00:35:28,040 Speaker 2: a ton of violations. 665 00:35:29,440 --> 00:35:33,120 Speaker 1: Expect her to be gone. She's from Florida. 666 00:35:33,400 --> 00:35:36,520 Speaker 2: By the way, the House Ethics Panel finding her guilty 667 00:35:36,560 --> 00:35:41,879 Speaker 2: of nearly all alleged violations, So there were twenty six 668 00:35:42,000 --> 00:35:46,480 Speaker 2: alleged violations. She was found guilty of counts one to fifteen. 669 00:35:46,480 --> 00:35:50,200 Speaker 2: It counts seventeenth through twenty six, which would say that 670 00:35:50,239 --> 00:35:52,560 Speaker 2: there was only one where they were like, nat, she 671 00:35:52,560 --> 00:35:55,040 Speaker 2: didn't do that. Keep an eye on how that might 672 00:35:55,080 --> 00:35:58,319 Speaker 2: affect the balance of the house. Find everything at Tony 673 00:35:58,400 --> 00:36:00,520 Speaker 2: kats dot com. I'll catch you money to everyone. 674 00:36:00,760 --> 00:36:01,200 Speaker 1: Take care