1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: Right now. The government's hopeful that digital nomads will soon 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: flood into the country and help grow our economy, but 3 00:00:06,120 --> 00:00:08,960 Speaker 1: the Finance Minister, Nicola Willis last night couldn't say how 4 00:00:09,119 --> 00:00:12,960 Speaker 1: many we can realistically expect here. Brad Olsen is Infametric's 5 00:00:12,960 --> 00:00:16,799 Speaker 1: principal economist, Brad good Evening, Good Evening, do we have 6 00:00:16,960 --> 00:00:19,240 Speaker 1: any idea how big this market is? 7 00:00:20,280 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 2: Look, it is pretty tricky to pin it down. There 8 00:00:22,720 --> 00:00:25,240 Speaker 2: are some global estimates that suggest you could be talking 9 00:00:25,280 --> 00:00:29,440 Speaker 2: in the range of thirty five to forty million digital nomads, 10 00:00:30,160 --> 00:00:34,160 Speaker 2: and perhaps around I've seen some estimates of around seventeen 11 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:37,800 Speaker 2: million American digital nomads, and that's probably the groups that 12 00:00:37,840 --> 00:00:40,839 Speaker 2: we're targeting a little bit more, because that's certainly the 13 00:00:40,920 --> 00:00:43,720 Speaker 2: area where there's a bit more money. We've already been 14 00:00:43,760 --> 00:00:47,000 Speaker 2: seeing some very strong inflows of American tourists into New 15 00:00:47,080 --> 00:00:49,800 Speaker 2: Zealand since the end of sort of pandemic restriction, so 16 00:00:50,159 --> 00:00:52,800 Speaker 2: that certainly seems to be an area of focus. However, 17 00:00:52,840 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 2: with all of those numbers, I can't tell you how 18 00:00:54,800 --> 00:00:57,160 Speaker 2: many we might expect would actually come to New Zealand, 19 00:00:57,160 --> 00:00:59,480 Speaker 2: and that of course is still a pretty important number. 20 00:01:00,120 --> 00:01:03,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, basically it's too hard to quantify, isn't it? And 21 00:01:04,120 --> 00:01:07,320 Speaker 1: I guess the other thing is don't they normally go 22 00:01:07,400 --> 00:01:09,880 Speaker 1: to countries that would have a cheaper cost of living 23 00:01:10,000 --> 00:01:14,000 Speaker 1: like a Bali or Southeast Asia somewhere like that, or 24 00:01:14,040 --> 00:01:17,480 Speaker 1: do you have different demographics within that code. 25 00:01:18,640 --> 00:01:21,080 Speaker 2: I think you could probably have both. I mean, in 26 00:01:21,120 --> 00:01:23,319 Speaker 2: broad terms, looking at this, I'm not sure that we 27 00:01:23,319 --> 00:01:26,680 Speaker 2: can lose a lot from this policy in general. You know, 28 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:29,319 Speaker 2: it might not be huge, but we're just sort of 29 00:01:29,360 --> 00:01:31,840 Speaker 2: not sure. But at the very least, if it's supporting 30 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,640 Speaker 2: more people coming into the country and generally a lot 31 00:01:34,640 --> 00:01:37,000 Speaker 2: of these digital nomads, if they're able to think about 32 00:01:37,040 --> 00:01:40,440 Speaker 2: working overseas, they are, a lot of demographics suggest they 33 00:01:40,480 --> 00:01:42,760 Speaker 2: are often in sort of higher pay brackets that do 34 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:44,680 Speaker 2: have a bit more money to spend. And I think 35 00:01:44,680 --> 00:01:47,119 Speaker 2: there's sort of probably two groups here. The first group 36 00:01:47,200 --> 00:01:49,760 Speaker 2: is those who are, let's be clear, probably already doing 37 00:01:49,760 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 2: it without knowing that perhaps they shouldn't, and so we're 38 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:55,640 Speaker 2: now enabling them to continue doing so that's great. We've 39 00:01:55,680 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 2: also i think, put a bit more of a spotlight 40 00:01:57,480 --> 00:01:59,640 Speaker 2: on the opportunity to come to New Zealand. You look 41 00:01:59,640 --> 00:02:01,760 Speaker 2: at them over the last twenty four hours since the 42 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:04,200 Speaker 2: announcement has come out, there's been a lot more talk. 43 00:02:04,280 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 2: There's been articles published, I think in the New York Times, 44 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:09,680 Speaker 2: some of it coming across from the UK. So this 45 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:12,640 Speaker 2: is probably a little bit less for the New Zealand audience, 46 00:02:12,680 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 2: more for the global audience going hey, look, New Zealand 47 00:02:15,120 --> 00:02:18,760 Speaker 2: is very very openly trying to court people to come here, 48 00:02:18,800 --> 00:02:21,200 Speaker 2: and if people were already thinking of coming for a 49 00:02:21,240 --> 00:02:23,920 Speaker 2: trip to New Zealand, this now might sort of put 50 00:02:24,160 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 2: us on the map a bit more. You're right that 51 00:02:26,240 --> 00:02:29,880 Speaker 2: in some areas, some other digital nomad visas do often 52 00:02:29,919 --> 00:02:33,280 Speaker 2: provide a longer time period or have cheaper cost of 53 00:02:33,320 --> 00:02:35,520 Speaker 2: living in similar I think this is more trying to 54 00:02:35,880 --> 00:02:39,560 Speaker 2: add on top of or convince people who already perhaps 55 00:02:39,680 --> 00:02:41,800 Speaker 2: thinking of a New Zealand trip to definitely do that, 56 00:02:42,120 --> 00:02:44,360 Speaker 2: or perhaps to come longer and therefore spend more money 57 00:02:44,400 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 2: in the country. So I'm not sure if there's any 58 00:02:46,080 --> 00:02:48,519 Speaker 2: real downsides this policy in the short term. 59 00:02:49,000 --> 00:02:51,760 Speaker 1: Interesting all right, Well, I mean if there's no real downsides, 60 00:02:51,800 --> 00:02:54,480 Speaker 1: I guess why not do it? That's probably the ethos 61 00:02:54,480 --> 00:02:56,720 Speaker 1: that's running through the beehive at the moment. Brad thank 62 00:02:56,760 --> 00:03:00,760 Speaker 1: you for that, brad Elson Infometrics principle economist. For more 63 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,119 Speaker 1: from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to News Talk 64 00:03:04,160 --> 00:03:05,440 Speaker 1: Set B from four p m. 65 00:03:05,560 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 2: Weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio