1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,200 Speaker 1: Shane solely harbor asset management is with us. 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:04,080 Speaker 2: Hello Shane, Hello Heather. 3 00:00:03,960 --> 00:00:06,560 Speaker 1: Okay, what do you reckon? Look at this this economic 4 00:00:06,600 --> 00:00:09,360 Speaker 1: data out last week. Do you think that we get 5 00:00:09,400 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: cuts in the US? 6 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:13,480 Speaker 3: Yeah? Look in the US, we're on track here, there 7 00:00:13,520 --> 00:00:16,640 Speaker 3: are business Some inflation data out last week doesn't really 8 00:00:16,680 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 3: alter the head reserve rate cuts path, but it does 9 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:22,840 Speaker 3: give them a bit more ammunition. The key points that 10 00:00:22,840 --> 00:00:24,640 Speaker 3: came out last week was this thing called the Personal 11 00:00:24,720 --> 00:00:29,480 Speaker 3: Consumption Expinger PC. That's the Fed's key inflation indicator. Watch 12 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:31,920 Speaker 3: came out at zero point three for the month for June. 13 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 3: It's pretty much in line. And then we had a 14 00:00:33,720 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 3: Michigan consumer syre. You're going to go who he is? 15 00:00:36,479 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 3: The key thing was there? Importantly, they talked about inflation 16 00:00:39,880 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 3: expectations for the five to ten years dropping to three 17 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:42,680 Speaker 3: and a half percent. 18 00:00:43,080 --> 00:00:45,600 Speaker 2: Again still high, but not as high as it was. 19 00:00:45,640 --> 00:00:48,360 Speaker 3: So this is sort of opening the door for the 20 00:00:48,400 --> 00:00:51,600 Speaker 3: Fed to cut by zero point to two five of 21 00:00:51,680 --> 00:00:54,280 Speaker 3: dissent taken into four twenty five to four point five 22 00:00:54,720 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 3: this Friday. However, Heather, we have the non farm payrolls 23 00:00:57,720 --> 00:01:00,319 Speaker 3: number that would be really important as an indicat as 24 00:01:00,360 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 3: to how hard the FED goes. 25 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,319 Speaker 1: Now, what happened to the video share price on Friday? 26 00:01:06,280 --> 00:01:09,160 Speaker 2: Yeah, interesting one. It was three just out of three percent, 27 00:01:09,200 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 2: three point three percent, a little bit of. 28 00:01:11,120 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 3: A soft result. Last week it was okay, not quite 29 00:01:13,640 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 3: as good as people wanted to build. Really, what had 30 00:01:15,280 --> 00:01:19,560 Speaker 3: it was a news that Ali Barber, the Chinese tech company, 31 00:01:19,600 --> 00:01:23,840 Speaker 3: has developed a new chip. It's compatible with the videos platform. Indead, 32 00:01:24,160 --> 00:01:27,960 Speaker 3: if the reports are right, then engineers can repurpose programs 33 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 3: they wrote for video chips for use with Ali Barber chips, 34 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 3: and then that means it's more competitive. 35 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:36,960 Speaker 2: For this growing demand for artificial intelligence. So yeah, we 36 00:01:37,000 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 2: saw the in video share price. It's come off. 37 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:40,200 Speaker 3: It's all time high of one hundred and eighty three 38 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,160 Speaker 3: dollars US closed it one hundred and seventy four dollars 39 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,200 Speaker 3: US down three point three percent, still forty eight percent. 40 00:01:46,000 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 2: High than it was a year ago. So a little 41 00:01:48,360 --> 00:01:49,680 Speaker 2: way to go before we're going to have to really 42 00:01:49,720 --> 00:01:50,400 Speaker 2: get worried about it. 43 00:01:50,480 --> 00:01:53,240 Speaker 1: Yeah too, right now, Chinese economic data came out in 44 00:01:53,240 --> 00:01:55,520 Speaker 1: the last few days as well. Looking at that, what 45 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:57,000 Speaker 1: are you thinking about our economy? 46 00:01:57,720 --> 00:02:01,040 Speaker 3: Well, the key thing was it was okay, okay, suggesting 47 00:02:01,600 --> 00:02:05,320 Speaker 3: overall that the broader purchasing manager and this is the 48 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,760 Speaker 3: composite one purchasing manager of this is is a lead 49 00:02:08,800 --> 00:02:11,640 Speaker 3: indicative of economic activity, was above fifty. It was at 50 00:02:11,639 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 3: fifty point five. It's above fifty. It means the economy expanding. 51 00:02:14,960 --> 00:02:18,600 Speaker 3: But the devil was in the detail, the manufacturing part 52 00:02:18,600 --> 00:02:22,600 Speaker 3: of the purchasing managegacy that was a below fifty was 53 00:02:22,639 --> 00:02:24,560 Speaker 3: at forty nine point four and slip back, so it 54 00:02:24,680 --> 00:02:28,120 Speaker 3: means manufacturers not as positive on growing. 55 00:02:28,520 --> 00:02:30,800 Speaker 2: That was the non manufacturing part that was positive. 56 00:02:30,880 --> 00:02:33,760 Speaker 3: So good for our businesses that are perhaps providing services 57 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:38,560 Speaker 3: or things that are consumed by you know, service parts 58 00:02:38,560 --> 00:02:40,480 Speaker 3: of the Chinese economy rather manufacturer. 59 00:02:40,520 --> 00:02:42,200 Speaker 2: But nonetheless kind of helpful. 60 00:02:42,280 --> 00:02:43,919 Speaker 1: Yeah, good stuff, Shane. Always good to talk to you. 61 00:02:43,960 --> 00:02:46,040 Speaker 1: Talk to you next week, Shane, Sally Harbor, Asset Management. 62 00:02:46,720 --> 00:02:49,920 Speaker 3: For more from Hither Duplessy Alan Drive, listen live to 63 00:02:50,000 --> 00:02:53,040 Speaker 3: news Talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 64 00:02:53,080 --> 00:02:54,799 Speaker 3: the podcast on iHeartRadio