1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,560 Speaker 1: Think hard before you jump. That was the Reserve Bank 2 00:00:03,600 --> 00:00:05,720 Speaker 1: economist Paul Conway in a speech this week trying to 3 00:00:05,760 --> 00:00:08,920 Speaker 1: explain monetary policy and the path inflation in our general 4 00:00:08,960 --> 00:00:10,840 Speaker 1: mess of an economy. The e commic was in part 5 00:00:10,880 --> 00:00:13,280 Speaker 1: an answer to a question about whether the approach the 6 00:00:13,280 --> 00:00:15,400 Speaker 1: Bank has taken to the economy was the reason why 7 00:00:15,400 --> 00:00:19,040 Speaker 1: so many New Zealanders were leaving. Think hard before you jump, 8 00:00:19,079 --> 00:00:21,759 Speaker 1: The prognosis, he went on to say, was good for 9 00:00:21,800 --> 00:00:24,160 Speaker 1: New Zealand. He is right to the extent. It always 10 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,120 Speaker 1: comes right if you think about it. I mean, this country, 11 00:00:26,120 --> 00:00:27,680 Speaker 1: this planet is in a mess right now, but it 12 00:00:27,720 --> 00:00:30,680 Speaker 1: hasn't and it won't always be that way. History is instructive. 13 00:00:31,120 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 1: The leaving New Zealand debate has been had for decades. 14 00:00:34,280 --> 00:00:36,280 Speaker 1: We've been in a hole many times before. Young people 15 00:00:36,320 --> 00:00:38,320 Speaker 1: have hated the place dozens of times. Over half of 16 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:41,360 Speaker 1: Australia's filled with the griebd kiwis who bailed first chance 17 00:00:41,400 --> 00:00:43,560 Speaker 1: they got. I detect a slight difference this time. A 18 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,120 Speaker 1: lot of people ask or say, I don't know if 19 00:00:46,159 --> 00:00:49,519 Speaker 1: the government can fix it this time round. That explains 20 00:00:49,520 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: the current polling around confidence. Post election, confidence was up. 21 00:00:52,760 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 1: We had acted. We at lance the labor boil, but 22 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,480 Speaker 1: then reality came back for a visit. The books were 23 00:00:57,480 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 1: worse than they thought, that were hidden dramas, fiscal clib 24 00:01:00,160 --> 00:01:02,840 Speaker 1: the economy got really ugly. Things started to bite. Whether 25 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:04,920 Speaker 1: this government can turn that is still an open question 26 00:01:05,040 --> 00:01:07,280 Speaker 1: eight months on from the vote. And it's winter. It's 27 00:01:07,360 --> 00:01:09,360 Speaker 1: or way's worse than winter. And for what it's worth, 28 00:01:09,640 --> 00:01:11,479 Speaker 1: I don't have a shadow of it out. The Reserve 29 00:01:11,520 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 1: Bank has made it worse than it needs to be. 30 00:01:13,520 --> 00:01:15,480 Speaker 1: But I was around for Muldoon and he was a 31 00:01:15,480 --> 00:01:18,319 Speaker 1: calamity of historic proportions. And it took Douglas and a 32 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:21,679 Speaker 1: series of deeply traumatic decisions to write that ship, but 33 00:01:21,880 --> 00:01:25,280 Speaker 1: he did it. And this lot, with fortitude, gonads and 34 00:01:25,280 --> 00:01:27,880 Speaker 1: no fear, can probably repeat the trick. But as we've 35 00:01:27,880 --> 00:01:30,240 Speaker 1: seen this week in surveys in Australia, there is unhappy 36 00:01:30,280 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: as us. The millionaires in Britain are bailing and record numbers, 37 00:01:33,160 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: lots of people have lots of agrievances. We are not alone. 38 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,800 Speaker 1: Doesn't make our plight any less stressful, but we aren't 39 00:01:39,200 --> 00:01:42,240 Speaker 1: the only basket case in town. For more from the 40 00:01:42,280 --> 00:01:45,320 Speaker 1: Mic Asking Breakfast, Listen Live to news talks. It'd be 41 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:49,120 Speaker 1: from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio