1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,040 Speaker 1: Right now. Jamie mckaye, Host of the Country with US. 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:05,160 Speaker 2: Jamie, Hello, Yeah, good afternoon, Ryan. 3 00:00:05,320 --> 00:00:07,280 Speaker 1: Good to have you on. Now, what did you make. 4 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:10,479 Speaker 1: We spoke about this yesterday, the pine forest and the 5 00:00:10,520 --> 00:00:13,240 Speaker 1: Parliamentary Commissioner for the Environment saying actually they're not that 6 00:00:13,360 --> 00:00:14,319 Speaker 1: great in the long run. 7 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,320 Speaker 2: No, But can I first address the elephant in the room. 8 00:00:17,800 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 2: What's that Granny's knee? 9 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:22,839 Speaker 1: Oh? 10 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:25,480 Speaker 2: I was driving back from Timaru yesterday. I was at 11 00:00:25,480 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 2: the South Island Air event. It was very entertaining show. 12 00:00:28,240 --> 00:00:30,560 Speaker 2: Thank you Grannie for your knee. But on a more 13 00:00:30,600 --> 00:00:33,040 Speaker 2: serious note, it was just good to catch up from 14 00:00:33,040 --> 00:00:36,479 Speaker 2: my point of view over the wall is shoe or 15 00:00:36,520 --> 00:00:39,800 Speaker 2: the wall in government buildings issue, and I know you've 16 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:42,040 Speaker 2: covered it off at length, and also the pine trees, 17 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:45,160 Speaker 2: the ets what Simon Upton was saying, and I found 18 00:00:45,200 --> 00:00:46,200 Speaker 2: that really interesting. 19 00:00:46,360 --> 00:00:49,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I can update you on Grannie. Actually, Jamie, 20 00:00:49,560 --> 00:00:51,800 Speaker 1: I gave her a call last night and she's doing well. 21 00:00:52,560 --> 00:00:54,319 Speaker 1: And I said, Grannie, I gave you a shout out 22 00:00:54,320 --> 00:00:58,720 Speaker 1: on the radio yesterday and she wasn't listening. So there 23 00:00:58,760 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: you go. 24 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:01,560 Speaker 2: I reckon, she'll be the hit or the star of 25 00:01:01,600 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 2: the rest Home. 26 00:01:02,320 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 1: Ryan. 27 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:05,000 Speaker 2: She's a celebrity. 28 00:01:04,440 --> 00:01:07,840 Speaker 1: Now she is, all right, So yeah, the Parietry Comissioner 29 00:01:07,840 --> 00:01:10,479 Speaker 1: for the Environment. And you heard yesterday the interview about 30 00:01:10,480 --> 00:01:12,560 Speaker 1: the pine forest. What's your take on it, Jamie. 31 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:15,600 Speaker 2: Well, look, I'm not a fan of carbon farming just 32 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:18,240 Speaker 2: by itself. I'm all for production forestry, and I think 33 00:01:18,280 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 2: it's good. It's our fourth biggest export industry behind dairy, 34 00:01:22,440 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 2: red meat and horticulture. But I'm really worried Ryan, and 35 00:01:27,080 --> 00:01:28,640 Speaker 2: I know a lot of people don't agree with me, 36 00:01:28,680 --> 00:01:32,360 Speaker 2: but I'm really worried that will become the Californian wildfire 37 00:01:32,600 --> 00:01:35,560 Speaker 2: capital of the South Pacific in twenty or thirty years 38 00:01:36,000 --> 00:01:39,319 Speaker 2: off the back of this poorly managed carbon forests. Because 39 00:01:39,360 --> 00:01:41,640 Speaker 2: I don't buy into the argument that all the land, 40 00:01:41,840 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 2: often good grazing land that's being planted right at the moment, 41 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 2: we might put a stop to it later this year. 42 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:51,080 Speaker 2: Is there for production forestry in the future. I think 43 00:01:51,120 --> 00:01:53,600 Speaker 2: there's a bit of spray and walk away here. People 44 00:01:53,600 --> 00:01:57,160 Speaker 2: are looking to get the carbon credits, and goodness knows 45 00:01:57,200 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 2: what happens to these forests, especially if they're not managed 46 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:03,760 Speaker 2: properly over the next twenty or thirty years, Like a 47 00:02:03,800 --> 00:02:07,560 Speaker 2: production forest could be and I'm with Simon Upton on 48 00:02:07,560 --> 00:02:09,800 Speaker 2: this one. And interestingly, and I know you talked about 49 00:02:09,800 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 2: this yesterday, but he's saying modeling indicates a glut of 50 00:02:14,520 --> 00:02:17,520 Speaker 2: carbon credits is going to hit the New Zealand market 51 00:02:17,639 --> 00:02:20,639 Speaker 2: in the twenty thirties, So what do we do. It's 52 00:02:20,680 --> 00:02:23,600 Speaker 2: going to exceed the government's ability to auction them off. 53 00:02:24,600 --> 00:02:28,000 Speaker 2: He's saying, the simplest way is to phase out forestry 54 00:02:28,040 --> 00:02:31,480 Speaker 2: options for pine trees out of the ets in an 55 00:02:31,600 --> 00:02:35,600 Speaker 2: orderly way, grandfathering existing credits, i e. Looking after those 56 00:02:35,600 --> 00:02:39,600 Speaker 2: who have already invested, but not issuing any more because 57 00:02:39,639 --> 00:02:42,080 Speaker 2: I think there'll be a political change in the wind 58 00:02:42,200 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 2: somewhere down the track and all of a sudden, no 59 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,119 Speaker 2: one will want a bar of these carbon credits. It'll 60 00:02:47,160 --> 00:02:49,520 Speaker 2: be yesterday's news and we're going to be left with 61 00:02:49,600 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 2: these carbon forests that are uneconomic, no one cares for them, 62 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:55,919 Speaker 2: and as I said, it may be spray and walk away, 63 00:02:55,919 --> 00:03:00,480 Speaker 2: and I think we it's an ecological and biological disaster making. 64 00:03:01,200 --> 00:03:04,720 Speaker 1: Now let's talk about the BF exports, the tariff, the 65 00:03:04,720 --> 00:03:07,320 Speaker 1: imposition of the ten percent tariff not really having much 66 00:03:07,320 --> 00:03:08,400 Speaker 1: of an effect on the price. 67 00:03:08,960 --> 00:03:13,280 Speaker 2: Well, beef producers in this country or beef exporters are 68 00:03:13,320 --> 00:03:17,800 Speaker 2: in a good position. And I was listening to the 69 00:03:17,840 --> 00:03:20,440 Speaker 2: guy from Ansco and I've just forgotten his name, Yes, 70 00:03:20,480 --> 00:03:25,000 Speaker 2: sales and marketing manager Rick Walker. Sorry Rick forgetting your 71 00:03:25,040 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 2: name wrong. And he's saying some customers supplying the US 72 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:34,120 Speaker 2: market had been testing the waters and inverted commas with 73 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 2: New Zealand exporters, and this included suggesting renegotiated previously agreed prices. 74 00:03:40,920 --> 00:03:43,480 Speaker 2: But what he's saying is the New Zealand BF exporters 75 00:03:43,520 --> 00:03:45,240 Speaker 2: are in a strong position. They're not going to be 76 00:03:45,280 --> 00:03:48,000 Speaker 2: pushed around by these buyers. We're sure to beef are 77 00:03:48,080 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 2: in New Zealand. It's not like we're saying we need 78 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:53,520 Speaker 2: six weeks of contracts done because their freezers are full. 79 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,840 Speaker 2: It's the complete opposite. The meat companies are in a 80 00:03:56,840 --> 00:04:00,880 Speaker 2: bit of a procurement battle. They're chasing that beef, especially 81 00:04:00,880 --> 00:04:05,320 Speaker 2: from the farms, and he's saying that the US importers 82 00:04:05,320 --> 00:04:09,520 Speaker 2: are just saying, look, well we'll pay the tariff. And interestingly, 83 00:04:09,600 --> 00:04:13,160 Speaker 2: I was talking to Andy Ballin, who's the GM of Scales, 84 00:04:13,200 --> 00:04:17,120 Speaker 2: one of our biggest horticulture companies. He was in China 85 00:04:17,200 --> 00:04:19,480 Speaker 2: when I chatted to him on my show today and 86 00:04:19,800 --> 00:04:24,640 Speaker 2: he was talking about exporting juice fruit juice to the US, 87 00:04:25,120 --> 00:04:28,279 Speaker 2: and the US buyers were saying, we'll just wear the tariff. 88 00:04:28,360 --> 00:04:31,400 Speaker 2: So maybe that happens at ten percent. I'm not sure Ryan, 89 00:04:31,440 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 2: they'll be saying that at one hundred and twenty five percent. 90 00:04:34,560 --> 00:04:36,560 Speaker 1: No, I don't think they will be. Jamie, Thank you 91 00:04:36,640 --> 00:04:38,000 Speaker 1: very much, Jamie Jeers. 92 00:04:38,080 --> 00:04:39,000 Speaker 2: Ryan always good the chat. 93 00:04:39,360 --> 00:04:42,279 Speaker 1: Jamie mckaye hosted the Country for More. 94 00:04:42,160 --> 00:04:43,880 Speaker 2: From Heather Duplessy Allen Drive. 95 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:45,479 Speaker 1: Listen live to news talks. 96 00:04:45,480 --> 00:04:48,680 Speaker 2: It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast 97 00:04:48,760 --> 00:04:49,799 Speaker 2: on iHeartRadio.