1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,000 Speaker 1: Liam Dan, the Herald's Business editor at large, is with 2 00:00:02,080 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 1: us Lebra Hallo. Yeah, either right, what do you reckon 3 00:00:04,400 --> 00:00:04,920 Speaker 1: of the budget? 4 00:00:04,960 --> 00:00:08,280 Speaker 2: What do I reckon of the budget? Oh? Gee, yeah, 5 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:11,959 Speaker 2: some good stuff and some maybe yeah, like some not 6 00:00:12,000 --> 00:00:15,120 Speaker 2: so good stuff. But look, I was pleased to see 7 00:00:15,160 --> 00:00:18,200 Speaker 2: the depreciation tax tax there, and there's you know, they 8 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:21,400 Speaker 2: put growth budget at the top of things, and you 9 00:00:21,440 --> 00:00:24,040 Speaker 2: know they've got to do something that might actually help 10 00:00:24,640 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 2: help drive productivity and create some growth. So that that's 11 00:00:27,920 --> 00:00:28,440 Speaker 2: a positive. 12 00:00:29,560 --> 00:00:33,680 Speaker 1: Yeah, And is that it? That's the only positive? Any 13 00:00:33,680 --> 00:00:35,000 Speaker 1: more negatives? Like, what have you got? 14 00:00:35,080 --> 00:00:36,760 Speaker 2: Give me some Well, look, you know, if you want 15 00:00:36,800 --> 00:00:39,680 Speaker 2: to start looking at the actual numbers below the hood, 16 00:00:39,800 --> 00:00:42,479 Speaker 2: there's plenty of negatives. There's no question there. I mean, 17 00:00:42,560 --> 00:00:44,720 Speaker 2: I was looking at the Treasury forecasts. If you look 18 00:00:44,760 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 2: at the top line numbers, they all look pretty good 19 00:00:47,159 --> 00:00:49,120 Speaker 2: if you if you take technical face value, which we 20 00:00:49,200 --> 00:00:52,880 Speaker 2: probably shouldn't, but you know, two point nine percent average 21 00:00:52,880 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 2: growth over the next four years, three percent growth in 22 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:58,400 Speaker 2: twenty seven. House prices are going to grow six point 23 00:00:58,400 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 2: seven percent. 24 00:01:01,080 --> 00:01:02,240 Speaker 1: It's a little bit rosy. 25 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:05,160 Speaker 2: That is very rosy, and it looks you know, look 26 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:08,240 Speaker 2: it they're not taking too much of a punt on 27 00:01:08,240 --> 00:01:10,319 Speaker 2: what happens in the in the you know, the tariff 28 00:01:10,360 --> 00:01:13,080 Speaker 2: turmoil and all that sort of stuff. But you know, 29 00:01:13,160 --> 00:01:15,360 Speaker 2: the rosy stuff, we could take that. But when you 30 00:01:15,400 --> 00:01:17,840 Speaker 2: when you look under the hood, I guess the issue 31 00:01:17,920 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 2: is that the government's just in that tight spot that 32 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:25,600 Speaker 2: we've talked about before. So there are certainly people saying 33 00:01:25,600 --> 00:01:28,720 Speaker 2: they should have done more to cut back and try 34 00:01:28,720 --> 00:01:30,680 Speaker 2: and work a bit harder to balance the books. I mean, 35 00:01:30,720 --> 00:01:34,280 Speaker 2: there's no no surplus at all on the horizon if 36 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:37,679 Speaker 2: you use the traditional you know, operating balance measure, the 37 00:01:37,720 --> 00:01:41,360 Speaker 2: Obergel measure, and you don't just exclude acc which is 38 00:01:41,400 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 2: the ober Gel X. It's a bit like sort of 39 00:01:43,640 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: saying that, you know, you know, I'm not spending too 40 00:01:46,880 --> 00:01:48,680 Speaker 2: much money as long as they don't count the records 41 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 2: I'm buying every week or something like that. So you know, 42 00:01:51,960 --> 00:01:55,000 Speaker 2: it's you can you can ring fence anything. But yeah, 43 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:58,160 Speaker 2: so look, yeah, it's a difficult one. I mean, I 44 00:01:58,160 --> 00:02:02,160 Speaker 2: think it's going to be a difficult one to sell 45 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:04,720 Speaker 2: in some ways to a key We savor was a 46 00:02:04,760 --> 00:02:06,840 Speaker 2: bit of give and take and maybe a step in 47 00:02:06,880 --> 00:02:07,480 Speaker 2: the right direction. 48 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,160 Speaker 1: I mean, I think they've kind of balanced things so 49 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 1: that they you know, a bit of criticism in a 50 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: little bit or not hate. Liam. Thank you as always 51 00:02:13,680 --> 00:02:16,079 Speaker 1: really appreciated mate. Enjoy evening. That's Liam Dan, the Herald's 52 00:02:16,080 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: business editor at ladd. 53 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:20,760 Speaker 2: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 54 00:02:20,840 --> 00:02:23,880 Speaker 2: news talks. 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