1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,480 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I'm sorry to say it's a little bit 2 00:00:01,520 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: of a bad day, a day of rather bad economic news, 3 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:07,440 Speaker 1: I'm afraid. Let's start with the GDP number. So it 4 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:09,680 Speaker 1: is zero point two percent for the last quarter of 5 00:00:09,760 --> 00:00:12,040 Speaker 1: last year, which is very much of at the low 6 00:00:12,160 --> 00:00:14,680 Speaker 1: end of what we were expecting. We were expecting somewhere 7 00:00:14,680 --> 00:00:16,880 Speaker 1: in the range of zero point two all the way 8 00:00:16,920 --> 00:00:19,000 Speaker 1: up to zero point five percent, which is what the 9 00:00:19,000 --> 00:00:22,520 Speaker 1: Reserve Bank had picked. The problem with that is those 10 00:00:22,600 --> 00:00:25,040 Speaker 1: were the good types. That was the number that we 11 00:00:25,120 --> 00:00:28,280 Speaker 1: got before the Iran war kicked off. So it's not 12 00:00:28,480 --> 00:00:31,040 Speaker 1: much of a place to start from, is it. Now. 13 00:00:31,080 --> 00:00:33,480 Speaker 1: The good news is that at least we are recovering. Yep, 14 00:00:33,520 --> 00:00:35,519 Speaker 1: it's slow. It is grinding, which we knew it was 15 00:00:35,560 --> 00:00:38,040 Speaker 1: going to be, but it is real. We recorded one 16 00:00:38,040 --> 00:00:40,400 Speaker 1: point three percent growth for the year, which is not 17 00:00:40,479 --> 00:00:42,720 Speaker 1: a lot, but at least it is growth because this 18 00:00:42,800 --> 00:00:44,519 Speaker 1: is the first time in more than two years that 19 00:00:44,560 --> 00:00:47,760 Speaker 1: the economy has posted annual growth. Now, because it's also 20 00:00:47,840 --> 00:00:49,720 Speaker 1: at the low end, it means the Reserve Bank has 21 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:52,559 Speaker 1: a little bit more latitude when it makes its OCR decision. 22 00:00:53,200 --> 00:00:56,040 Speaker 1: It can look through the inflation spike that the Iran 23 00:00:56,120 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: war will absolutely cause, which means that the Reserve Bank 24 00:00:58,880 --> 00:01:00,360 Speaker 1: doesn't have to be in such a hug urry to 25 00:01:00,480 --> 00:01:02,640 Speaker 1: raise the official cash rate to deal with that inflation. 26 00:01:03,200 --> 00:01:05,360 Speaker 1: The second piece of bad news we got today is 27 00:01:05,360 --> 00:01:09,240 Speaker 1: that the war has escalated. Israel has struck Iran's oil field. 28 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:11,360 Speaker 1: It has sent the price of oil up past one 29 00:01:11,440 --> 00:01:14,400 Speaker 1: hundred and ten US dollars a barrel. It is noticeable 30 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:17,920 Speaker 1: that the government's tone has changed on our fuel now 31 00:01:18,240 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: they've just updated the country a couple of hours ago. 32 00:01:20,280 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 1: They do not sound as relaxed about fuel into the 33 00:01:22,400 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 1: medium term eights weeks away that they may have earlier 34 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:27,120 Speaker 1: in the weekend. I will run you through all the 35 00:01:27,120 --> 00:01:29,520 Speaker 1: details of that shortly. Now, again, there is a little 36 00:01:29,520 --> 00:01:31,760 Speaker 1: bit of good news here. We are mostly reliant on 37 00:01:31,840 --> 00:01:35,000 Speaker 1: South Korean and South Korea and Singapore for our oil. 38 00:01:35,400 --> 00:01:39,160 Speaker 1: They are still supplying their customers. Australia, on the other hand, 39 00:01:39,520 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 1: is much more reliant on China than we are. China 40 00:01:42,120 --> 00:01:45,160 Speaker 1: has banned exports, so you know, let's take the bright 41 00:01:45,200 --> 00:01:48,320 Speaker 1: side here. Our supply looks better than some. At least 42 00:01:48,400 --> 00:01:50,600 Speaker 1: we are growing, which gives us at least some reason 43 00:01:50,640 --> 00:01:53,440 Speaker 1: not a panic on a day of not great economic news. 44 00:01:54,240 --> 00:01:57,440 Speaker 1: For more from Heather Duplicy, Alan Drive, listen live to 45 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,560 Speaker 1: news talks It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 46 00:02:00,600 --> 00:02:02,360 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio