1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:04,600 Speaker 1: New Zealand's voice of reason is Mike the Mic, asking 2 00:00:04,640 --> 00:00:09,640 Speaker 1: breakfast with Bailey's real estate altogether better across residential, commercial 3 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:11,960 Speaker 1: and rural news talks, head Beam to. 4 00:00:11,960 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 2: Day, the Job, the tax and the Supermarket's also Keywi's 5 00:00:15,240 --> 00:00:17,840 Speaker 2: pulling in well, they're falling over in Europe, apparently claiming 6 00:00:17,840 --> 00:00:20,360 Speaker 2: record amounts of insurance. Kayleie Bell back for a song 7 00:00:20,360 --> 00:00:23,080 Speaker 2: and a chat to Arthur Rates, Joe Atennas and Italy 8 00:00:23,280 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 2: Rod Little will present himself from the United Kingdom, asking 9 00:00:27,840 --> 00:00:30,720 Speaker 2: of the Thursday seven past six does the headline feed 10 00:00:30,760 --> 00:00:34,120 Speaker 2: the narrative? And having brought into the narrative, we're all 11 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:36,560 Speaker 2: in a funk. So my new fixation this week is 12 00:00:36,600 --> 00:00:39,080 Speaker 2: Australia and their consumer confidence, which you can mount a 13 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:41,560 Speaker 2: half decent cases based on little or nothing, thus leading 14 00:00:41,600 --> 00:00:43,599 Speaker 2: you to conclude that they simply want to feel good 15 00:00:43,600 --> 00:00:46,320 Speaker 2: about themselves, whereas we don't. Yesterday, a couple of things, 16 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:48,760 Speaker 2: the jobless right, five point two not bad? They said 17 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:51,040 Speaker 2: it would be five point three things. Well, surely you 18 00:00:51,040 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 2: can be upbeat about that, then, mind you Australia's four 19 00:00:53,479 --> 00:00:56,200 Speaker 2: point two that's material and at least to some extent, 20 00:00:56,280 --> 00:00:59,440 Speaker 2: undermines my argument anyway. The other thing yesterday the Commerce 21 00:00:59,440 --> 00:01:03,880 Speaker 2: Commission and yet more supermarket bagging headline New Zealand grocery 22 00:01:03,920 --> 00:01:07,680 Speaker 2: prices higher than OECD average. There, Goo go to town 23 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:10,119 Speaker 2: on that a rip? What a scam, Go get them Nicoler, 24 00:01:10,280 --> 00:01:13,200 Speaker 2: But the gap is closing. Good news. It's only three 25 00:01:13,200 --> 00:01:15,320 Speaker 2: percent higher than the average. And besides the figures, I 26 00:01:15,319 --> 00:01:17,240 Speaker 2: don't know if this was reported widely, but the figures 27 00:01:17,240 --> 00:01:20,360 Speaker 2: from twenty twenty three, now here's the real goald Auckland 28 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 2: said the Commers Commission had more competition. No consumers in 29 00:01:25,480 --> 00:01:28,759 Speaker 2: small towns and rural localities typically had minimal or no choice. 30 00:01:28,840 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 2: You see why we need experts because surely we could 31 00:01:31,000 --> 00:01:34,000 Speaker 2: never worked that out for ourselves anyway. So if competition 32 00:01:34,360 --> 00:01:36,840 Speaker 2: had a real tangible effect on prices, Auckland should be 33 00:01:36,959 --> 00:01:39,880 Speaker 2: laughing because the major players and supermarkets in Auckland had 34 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 2: seventy one percent of the market, but eighty eight percent 35 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:45,640 Speaker 2: round the rest of the country. So is Auckland laughing? No, 36 00:01:45,720 --> 00:01:48,760 Speaker 2: it isn't why because this obsession the Commerce Commission has 37 00:01:48,760 --> 00:01:51,520 Speaker 2: along with Nickeoler, is all theory. Would another player in 38 00:01:51,560 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 2: a place like ha Hai see some competition in a 39 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:56,720 Speaker 2: few more discounts, sure, but most of us, and by 40 00:01:56,720 --> 00:01:58,800 Speaker 2: the way, ninety percent of us live within ten minutes 41 00:01:58,840 --> 00:02:01,440 Speaker 2: of a major supermarket. We have choice, and a lot 42 00:02:01,480 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 2: of it. The three percent they talk of in relation 43 00:02:04,600 --> 00:02:07,120 Speaker 2: to the OECD, which is probably closed anyway given the 44 00:02:07,120 --> 00:02:10,359 Speaker 2: age of the data, could just be where five million 45 00:02:10,360 --> 00:02:12,639 Speaker 2: people at the bottom of the world where a geographically 46 00:02:12,720 --> 00:02:16,839 Speaker 2: tricky population layout, But get a good headline and then 47 00:02:17,160 --> 00:02:19,480 Speaker 2: it's an instant funk wow. 48 00:02:20,160 --> 00:02:22,799 Speaker 1: News of the world. In ninety second, we. 49 00:02:22,760 --> 00:02:25,079 Speaker 2: Had an active shooter at an army base in Georgia. 50 00:02:25,160 --> 00:02:26,400 Speaker 3: It's a large base. 51 00:02:26,480 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 2: It's on so many counties. 52 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,239 Speaker 4: I think what you should be looking for is where 53 00:02:30,280 --> 00:02:32,920 Speaker 4: they want the outside intervention to come in with us. 54 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:35,040 Speaker 4: They have to contain everything from within the base, get 55 00:02:35,040 --> 00:02:38,040 Speaker 4: everything shut down there first, and then bring everybody in 56 00:02:38,200 --> 00:02:38,880 Speaker 4: as needed. 57 00:02:39,040 --> 00:02:41,200 Speaker 2: They got it salted five shot and they got him 58 00:02:41,240 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 2: as well. In the Middle East, the biggest game in 59 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 2: town is the a blame game. 60 00:02:44,919 --> 00:02:46,280 Speaker 5: Almost one thousand trucks. 61 00:02:46,280 --> 00:02:50,320 Speaker 6: First, we're waiting in Gaza after clearance by Israel, after 62 00:02:50,400 --> 00:02:52,359 Speaker 6: idea facility venture into Gaza. 63 00:02:52,080 --> 00:02:54,240 Speaker 2: The un prevented aid. 64 00:02:54,080 --> 00:02:55,000 Speaker 7: From being distributed. 65 00:02:55,120 --> 00:02:56,880 Speaker 2: There would be enough for the entire of Gaza for 66 00:02:57,000 --> 00:02:59,240 Speaker 2: many days. In Britain, the government is growing well, it's 67 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:01,799 Speaker 2: got growing trouble. A couple of things. Firstly, the one 68 00:03:01,840 --> 00:03:03,280 Speaker 2: in one out migrant plane. 69 00:03:03,280 --> 00:03:07,120 Speaker 8: Will allow people with us to send people back to 70 00:03:07,200 --> 00:03:10,399 Speaker 8: France who have human rights claims. 71 00:03:10,440 --> 00:03:14,200 Speaker 9: Those claims will be heard in France, so I know. 72 00:03:14,160 --> 00:03:17,560 Speaker 10: That the Conservative Party has been saying that this is 73 00:03:17,600 --> 00:03:18,720 Speaker 10: a loophole, it isn't. 74 00:03:19,960 --> 00:03:22,360 Speaker 2: Also the growing reality that despite the fact they said 75 00:03:22,360 --> 00:03:25,200 Speaker 2: they wouldn't, they will have to raise Texas. 76 00:03:25,440 --> 00:03:27,080 Speaker 11: Some of the figures that have been put out are 77 00:03:27,120 --> 00:03:30,239 Speaker 11: not figures that I recognize. But the budget won't be 78 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:34,000 Speaker 11: until later in the year, and that's why we'll have 79 00:03:34,040 --> 00:03:36,680 Speaker 11: the forecast then and we'll set out our plans. 80 00:03:37,280 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 2: They also have the grooming gang problem, so they've decided 81 00:03:39,880 --> 00:03:41,200 Speaker 2: AI can help Their. 82 00:03:41,080 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 8: Manner in which they collect their ethnicity data has to 83 00:03:44,480 --> 00:03:47,960 Speaker 8: change and that they need to be gathering the data 84 00:03:47,960 --> 00:03:50,640 Speaker 8: on the ethnicity of the perpetrators, don't care whether the 85 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:51,560 Speaker 8: councils want it or not. 86 00:03:51,840 --> 00:03:54,400 Speaker 2: And just to round out the yankster, heavily edited version 87 00:03:54,440 --> 00:03:57,280 Speaker 2: of Mastership is Becony Tonight, featuring the now the smister 88 00:03:57,360 --> 00:03:58,560 Speaker 2: Grigg in John. 89 00:03:58,360 --> 00:04:01,640 Speaker 12: People do not feel comfortable because because they feel that 90 00:04:01,920 --> 00:04:04,680 Speaker 12: making an allegation would be absolutely detrimental to their own 91 00:04:04,760 --> 00:04:08,760 Speaker 12: career because they will not cap the next job rather 92 00:04:08,800 --> 00:04:11,040 Speaker 12: than it would be to the person they are accusing 93 00:04:11,080 --> 00:04:11,760 Speaker 12: of wrongdoing. 94 00:04:12,120 --> 00:04:15,160 Speaker 2: Finally, forget Epstein or Russia, Russia, Russia. Tulsey as in 95 00:04:15,200 --> 00:04:18,479 Speaker 2: Gabbard is here to tell y'aull there are aliens and 96 00:04:18,680 --> 00:04:21,520 Speaker 2: UFOs out there. So she's on a podcast. She said 97 00:04:21,560 --> 00:04:24,000 Speaker 2: she needed to be careful with what could be shared 98 00:04:24,000 --> 00:04:27,400 Speaker 2: because of the piece of hard information that she's puarly too. 99 00:04:27,520 --> 00:04:30,680 Speaker 2: But good news ten hatters, she will be sharing the 100 00:04:30,760 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 2: truth when the time comes. The medals the news of 101 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:37,360 Speaker 2: the world. In ninety speaking of that particular part of 102 00:04:37,400 --> 00:04:40,120 Speaker 2: the world, Trump's hit India with another twenty five if 103 00:04:40,160 --> 00:04:42,360 Speaker 2: you've missed that, So that's fifty percent, and they've hit 104 00:04:42,600 --> 00:04:45,040 Speaker 2: He's done the right thing here because India is buying 105 00:04:45,160 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 2: oil from Russia. They're quite open about it, and he goes, 106 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:49,400 Speaker 2: that's not on, so I'm going to sting it, so 107 00:04:49,480 --> 00:04:52,640 Speaker 2: fifty percent. Meantime, India, speaking of which their central bank 108 00:04:52,720 --> 00:04:56,640 Speaker 2: has held their cash rate. They've maintained the GDP forecast 109 00:04:56,640 --> 00:04:58,960 Speaker 2: for a year at six point five percent, cut their 110 00:04:59,000 --> 00:05:01,839 Speaker 2: inflation rate to three point one from three point seven, 111 00:05:02,120 --> 00:05:04,080 Speaker 2: and that cash right, said he at five point five 112 00:05:04,120 --> 00:05:05,200 Speaker 2: twelve past six. 113 00:05:07,440 --> 00:05:11,559 Speaker 1: The Mike Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeart Radio 114 00:05:11,920 --> 00:05:13,320 Speaker 1: Power by News Talk Zippy. 115 00:05:15,520 --> 00:05:17,479 Speaker 2: A couple of other Trump things are best. Since no 116 00:05:17,560 --> 00:05:21,239 Speaker 2: longer going to be considered for the FED job, Murdoch 117 00:05:21,279 --> 00:05:25,000 Speaker 2: and Trump have decided to pause for now on that 118 00:05:25,080 --> 00:05:27,760 Speaker 2: ten billion dollar nonsense that he was suing Murdop for 119 00:05:27,880 --> 00:05:30,200 Speaker 2: over the Wars writ Journal and Apple have announced overnight 120 00:05:30,240 --> 00:05:32,600 Speaker 2: another one hundred billion that already committed five hundred billion 121 00:05:32,640 --> 00:05:35,800 Speaker 2: into America. This is to expand their operations in America. 122 00:05:35,880 --> 00:05:38,160 Speaker 2: So they're at six hundred billion in counting. Fifteen past 123 00:05:38,160 --> 00:05:43,640 Speaker 2: six JMI Wealth Andrew Callahoo, good morning, very good morning, Mike. 124 00:05:43,720 --> 00:05:47,120 Speaker 2: Headline number. But it's what's below the bonnet, Andrew, that counts, 125 00:05:47,120 --> 00:05:47,440 Speaker 2: isn't it? 126 00:05:47,760 --> 00:05:48,000 Speaker 13: Well? 127 00:05:48,080 --> 00:05:48,680 Speaker 2: That is right. 128 00:05:48,720 --> 00:05:50,880 Speaker 10: I was just interested in what you were saying before, Mike, 129 00:05:50,960 --> 00:05:53,799 Speaker 10: because look, one of the features about these labor market 130 00:05:53,839 --> 00:05:56,520 Speaker 10: does just so much to ask because we only get 131 00:05:56,560 --> 00:05:58,359 Speaker 10: it once a quarter. So let's try and sort of 132 00:05:58,360 --> 00:06:00,720 Speaker 10: peck through it so that people go away, sort of 133 00:06:00,720 --> 00:06:02,800 Speaker 10: trying to understand these numbers a little bit more. Yeah, 134 00:06:02,800 --> 00:06:05,760 Speaker 10: you're right, you know, the unemployment rate was better than expected. 135 00:06:06,680 --> 00:06:08,720 Speaker 5: It came in at five point two percent versus five 136 00:06:08,720 --> 00:06:09,400 Speaker 5: point three percent. 137 00:06:09,400 --> 00:06:12,840 Speaker 10: And one comment I was making regularly yesterday when we 138 00:06:12,839 --> 00:06:15,560 Speaker 10: were talking about this in the office is that at 139 00:06:15,600 --> 00:06:18,279 Speaker 10: five point two percent, we had a great decade, didn't we. 140 00:06:18,320 --> 00:06:21,240 Speaker 10: From twenty ten to twenty twenty, remember that, you know, 141 00:06:21,360 --> 00:06:24,120 Speaker 10: rockstar economy and all that sort of stuff. For half 142 00:06:24,160 --> 00:06:27,000 Speaker 10: of that period of time, the unemployment rate was actually 143 00:06:27,160 --> 00:06:28,719 Speaker 10: higher than it is now. 144 00:06:29,120 --> 00:06:33,160 Speaker 5: The thing is it was getting incrementally better over that 145 00:06:33,240 --> 00:06:33,880 Speaker 5: whole period. 146 00:06:34,040 --> 00:06:35,840 Speaker 10: The problem we've got at the moment is that this 147 00:06:35,880 --> 00:06:38,960 Speaker 10: is getting incrementally worse. I think that affects confidence. I 148 00:06:39,000 --> 00:06:40,559 Speaker 10: think that affects the way people think. 149 00:06:41,200 --> 00:06:43,080 Speaker 5: Let's just look at the numbers. The unemployment rate five 150 00:06:43,080 --> 00:06:43,800 Speaker 5: point two percent. 151 00:06:44,320 --> 00:06:46,000 Speaker 10: That means that there was one hundred and fifty eight 152 00:06:46,040 --> 00:06:50,560 Speaker 10: thousand unemployed people. The underutilization rate. This is people who 153 00:06:50,600 --> 00:06:53,000 Speaker 10: want more work. And this is where it got. This 154 00:06:53,080 --> 00:06:55,240 Speaker 10: is where it's you know, under the boness, it's starting 155 00:06:55,279 --> 00:06:56,680 Speaker 10: to look a little bit worse. We went from twelve 156 00:06:56,680 --> 00:06:59,359 Speaker 10: point four to twelve point eight, quite a big shift. 157 00:06:59,360 --> 00:06:59,600 Speaker 5: There. 158 00:07:00,200 --> 00:07:03,520 Speaker 10: Key key to this whole argument, of the whole conversation 159 00:07:03,960 --> 00:07:05,560 Speaker 10: is the participation rate. 160 00:07:05,839 --> 00:07:08,160 Speaker 5: It went from it was at seventy point five. 161 00:07:08,200 --> 00:07:11,400 Speaker 10: It has fallen from seventy point eight, so there are 162 00:07:11,560 --> 00:07:16,040 Speaker 10: fewer people wanting to participate in the workforce employment. So 163 00:07:16,160 --> 00:07:18,520 Speaker 10: looking at it from the glass half full, I suppose 164 00:07:18,600 --> 00:07:21,760 Speaker 10: employment fell year and year zero point nine percent. That's 165 00:07:21,840 --> 00:07:25,520 Speaker 10: worse than the arbuients that expectation and private sector wage growth. 166 00:07:25,520 --> 00:07:26,840 Speaker 5: This is what wages doing. 167 00:07:26,920 --> 00:07:30,120 Speaker 10: Labor cost index zero point six percent quarter on quarter, 168 00:07:30,240 --> 00:07:32,840 Speaker 10: two point three percent year on year. What's inflation running 169 00:07:32,840 --> 00:07:36,280 Speaker 10: at more more? That's more. So you're actually going a 170 00:07:36,280 --> 00:07:38,320 Speaker 10: little bit backwards. So let's make a few more comments. 171 00:07:38,320 --> 00:07:42,800 Speaker 10: Lower participation rate tempers the unemployment rate. June twenty twenty three, 172 00:07:43,000 --> 00:07:46,000 Speaker 10: only two years ago, the participation rate was seventy two 173 00:07:46,120 --> 00:07:46,720 Speaker 10: point four. 174 00:07:47,000 --> 00:07:50,600 Speaker 5: That's a material move. Those people have just left the workforce. 175 00:07:50,920 --> 00:07:54,240 Speaker 10: The usual logic is that that lower labor force participation 176 00:07:54,280 --> 00:07:58,240 Speaker 10: reflex arising discouraged workers. It just gets too hard. They 177 00:07:58,320 --> 00:08:01,160 Speaker 10: just check out of the process. That's not good. And 178 00:08:01,440 --> 00:08:03,760 Speaker 10: I think you know, Aanzi did some research about the 179 00:08:03,800 --> 00:08:06,760 Speaker 10: fact that they think there's been labor hoarding since COVID, 180 00:08:07,040 --> 00:08:09,360 Speaker 10: and if we don't see the economic recovery, then they'll 181 00:08:09,360 --> 00:08:12,000 Speaker 10: start to say, well, we do really need those those 182 00:08:12,000 --> 00:08:13,320 Speaker 10: workers that we've been hoarding, and. 183 00:08:13,280 --> 00:08:15,440 Speaker 5: You could see a step shift in the unemployment rate. 184 00:08:15,840 --> 00:08:21,000 Speaker 10: Just a few other worrying signs, paid hours fell ours 185 00:08:21,040 --> 00:08:24,679 Speaker 10: worked fell that hours worked has fallen out for six 186 00:08:24,840 --> 00:08:26,080 Speaker 10: consecutive quarters. 187 00:08:26,440 --> 00:08:30,280 Speaker 5: The underutilization rate except for sort of weird, weird. 188 00:08:30,040 --> 00:08:34,079 Speaker 10: COVID number, the underutilization rate hasn't been that high since 189 00:08:34,280 --> 00:08:36,600 Speaker 10: June twenty and sixteen. 190 00:08:36,600 --> 00:08:39,280 Speaker 5: I'll say that again, June twenty sixteen. 191 00:08:39,280 --> 00:08:42,480 Speaker 10: That's nine years. So that's just and that ours workers 192 00:08:42,520 --> 00:08:45,080 Speaker 10: have said six consecutive quarters. So these are worrying signs 193 00:08:45,080 --> 00:08:47,560 Speaker 10: in the background. Look, Mike, the aarbian zaid doesn't have 194 00:08:47,600 --> 00:08:50,400 Speaker 10: employments in their mandate. They only have inflation. But it's 195 00:08:50,440 --> 00:08:52,760 Speaker 10: a key input into demanded. People ain't work and they 196 00:08:52,800 --> 00:08:55,600 Speaker 10: ain't buying, and so I think they've now got to 197 00:08:55,640 --> 00:08:58,120 Speaker 10: take some steps on the ocr But as we said 198 00:08:58,200 --> 00:09:01,480 Speaker 10: yesterday also Mike, the labor market is a lagging indicator. 199 00:09:01,559 --> 00:09:03,600 Speaker 5: It's the sort of last ship to turn. 200 00:09:04,040 --> 00:09:05,959 Speaker 10: So you know, we would expect to see this at 201 00:09:05,960 --> 00:09:08,920 Speaker 10: the end of the economic cycle. But it also doesn't 202 00:09:09,120 --> 00:09:13,240 Speaker 10: turn quickly. So for the incumbent government this could become. 203 00:09:13,040 --> 00:09:15,839 Speaker 2: Problematic exactly because if you ask yourself, here we are 204 00:09:15,840 --> 00:09:18,040 Speaker 2: in Q three, do you feel things are getting better? 205 00:09:18,120 --> 00:09:21,360 Speaker 2: I don't see it. And near ours work thing is GDP. 206 00:09:22,040 --> 00:09:22,560 Speaker 5: That's right. 207 00:09:23,040 --> 00:09:25,560 Speaker 10: Yeah, So you're looking at a pretty you're looking at 208 00:09:25,600 --> 00:09:27,959 Speaker 10: some fairly ugly signs for Q two. 209 00:09:27,840 --> 00:09:30,360 Speaker 2: GDP in here, Okay, I got macs this morning in 210 00:09:30,440 --> 00:09:33,560 Speaker 2: Disney is so far it seems reasonably positive. 211 00:09:33,800 --> 00:09:34,520 Speaker 5: No, here we go. 212 00:09:34,600 --> 00:09:35,719 Speaker 2: We're going to finish on a high. 213 00:09:35,800 --> 00:09:38,080 Speaker 5: It's looking good. So you've got weak economic. 214 00:09:37,840 --> 00:09:39,800 Speaker 10: Data in the US that we're starting to see that. 215 00:09:40,000 --> 00:09:42,040 Speaker 10: We're in the middle of the second quarter earning season. 216 00:09:42,559 --> 00:09:45,240 Speaker 10: So for investors, what's corporate performance looking like? Well, the 217 00:09:45,280 --> 00:09:48,240 Speaker 10: answer is looking pretty good. About two thirds of companies 218 00:09:48,280 --> 00:09:51,400 Speaker 10: have reported MIKE and five four out of every five 219 00:09:51,800 --> 00:09:55,319 Speaker 10: eighty two percent of reported positive earnings for share surprises, 220 00:09:55,400 --> 00:09:56,160 Speaker 10: earnings growth. 221 00:09:56,280 --> 00:09:56,960 Speaker 3: Simple rule. 222 00:09:57,200 --> 00:10:00,880 Speaker 10: If earnings growth is heading higher, that tends to sheer markets. 223 00:10:00,960 --> 00:10:04,000 Speaker 10: Ten point three percent second quarter vis the second quarter 224 00:10:04,080 --> 00:10:07,640 Speaker 10: last year. Third consecutive quarter of double digit earnings growth. 225 00:10:07,679 --> 00:10:08,800 Speaker 5: I'd call that robust. 226 00:10:09,040 --> 00:10:12,079 Speaker 10: Look the valuations, you know, so how much the prices 227 00:10:12,120 --> 00:10:14,719 Speaker 10: reflect the earnings. Well, they are sort of kind of 228 00:10:14,760 --> 00:10:17,480 Speaker 10: high at the moment. Makes seven tens to skew that look. 229 00:10:17,520 --> 00:10:20,559 Speaker 10: But I think the innings picture looks pretty good year today, 230 00:10:20,720 --> 00:10:23,040 Speaker 10: sm P five hundred and US dollar terms, it's up 231 00:10:23,040 --> 00:10:25,680 Speaker 10: a touch over seven percent. Now, if you think about 232 00:10:25,679 --> 00:10:27,880 Speaker 10: the carnage that we saw in April, I. 233 00:10:27,840 --> 00:10:31,839 Speaker 5: Think that's pretty good. Not numbers preies the well, actually 234 00:10:31,880 --> 00:10:32,960 Speaker 5: these also look pretty good. 235 00:10:33,120 --> 00:10:35,840 Speaker 10: The dal Jones is upero point two nine percent forty 236 00:10:36,280 --> 00:10:38,360 Speaker 10: four thousand, two hundred and forty one, the S and 237 00:10:38,400 --> 00:10:41,320 Speaker 10: P five hundred is up point seven three percent six thousand, 238 00:10:41,360 --> 00:10:44,160 Speaker 10: three hundred and forty five are, and the Nasdaq is 239 00:10:44,240 --> 00:10:46,800 Speaker 10: up over one percent one point one four percent. Twenty 240 00:10:46,840 --> 00:10:49,680 Speaker 10: one thousand, one hundred and fifty four forts one hundred 241 00:10:49,679 --> 00:10:52,920 Speaker 10: overnight gain a quarter percent excuse me, nine one sixty four. 242 00:10:53,360 --> 00:10:57,200 Speaker 10: The Nicket up point sixty one percent forty thousand, seven 243 00:10:57,360 --> 00:10:59,720 Speaker 10: nine four, shan I Composite up point four to five 244 00:11:00,080 --> 00:11:02,600 Speaker 10: three sixty three four. The OSSI's yesterday gained point eight 245 00:11:02,720 --> 00:11:05,640 Speaker 10: four of a percent eighty eight hundred and forty three. 246 00:11:05,679 --> 00:11:08,640 Speaker 10: We gained three points twelve thousand, eight hundred and eighty 247 00:11:08,679 --> 00:11:11,320 Speaker 10: and actually market reaction to those labor market numbers in 248 00:11:11,360 --> 00:11:12,720 Speaker 10: New Zeald Mike was pretty muted. 249 00:11:13,120 --> 00:11:13,880 Speaker 2: Keew we dollar out a. 250 00:11:13,840 --> 00:11:14,560 Speaker 5: Little bit stronger. 251 00:11:14,559 --> 00:11:17,160 Speaker 10: Point five nine three five against the US, point nine 252 00:11:17,240 --> 00:11:19,680 Speaker 10: one two five against the ossie point five oh ninety 253 00:11:19,720 --> 00:11:22,760 Speaker 10: five Euro point four four four four against the pound 254 00:11:23,200 --> 00:11:25,880 Speaker 10: eighty seven point three eight jepanesey end gold three thousand, 255 00:11:26,000 --> 00:11:29,439 Speaker 10: three hundred and seventy four dollars and break. 256 00:11:29,320 --> 00:11:30,720 Speaker 5: Crude it's behaving. 257 00:11:30,880 --> 00:11:34,280 Speaker 10: It is behaving sixty seven dollars and sixty five. 258 00:11:34,400 --> 00:11:37,640 Speaker 2: Nice ketchup to morrow Andrew kellerher Jmiwealth dot Co, dot 259 00:11:37,720 --> 00:11:40,760 Speaker 2: m Z Pascal opposition Disney. They had a very nice time. 260 00:11:40,840 --> 00:11:42,480 Speaker 2: So what have they got? Revenue at twenty three point 261 00:11:42,480 --> 00:11:44,520 Speaker 2: six point billion. This is globally, of course, over all 262 00:11:44,559 --> 00:11:47,800 Speaker 2: revenues up two percent. Streaming business going well. They've up 263 00:11:47,800 --> 00:11:51,360 Speaker 2: their fiscal guidance experiences that means Disneyland that sort of thing, 264 00:11:51,760 --> 00:11:54,640 Speaker 2: up eight percent, Domestic theme park revenue up ten percent, 265 00:11:55,440 --> 00:11:59,640 Speaker 2: Screaming up six percent. Disney plus added one point eight 266 00:11:59,679 --> 00:12:01,920 Speaker 2: million subscribers around the world, so there's one hundred and 267 00:12:01,920 --> 00:12:04,280 Speaker 2: twenty eight million of US now. Hulu grew one percent 268 00:12:04,320 --> 00:12:06,640 Speaker 2: to fifty five million, so there's nothing much to be 269 00:12:06,679 --> 00:12:09,640 Speaker 2: worried about there. Six twenty one. You're a News Talks, 270 00:12:09,640 --> 00:12:09,960 Speaker 2: there'd be. 271 00:12:17,840 --> 00:12:22,320 Speaker 1: The Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered 272 00:12:22,320 --> 00:12:25,199 Speaker 1: by the News Talks at b I've got. 273 00:12:25,040 --> 00:12:28,120 Speaker 2: Some quite good news on cars and New Zealand new 274 00:12:28,200 --> 00:12:30,920 Speaker 2: sales are I'll give you the number shortly. But McDonald's 275 00:12:30,920 --> 00:12:33,040 Speaker 2: globally just a couple of things that affect basically all 276 00:12:33,040 --> 00:12:34,760 Speaker 2: of us all over the world because we're all the same. 277 00:12:35,040 --> 00:12:37,520 Speaker 2: McDonald's are back. They've had some trouble of blake. People 278 00:12:37,520 --> 00:12:39,480 Speaker 2: got sick of McDonald's, but they've turned it round. Things 279 00:12:39,480 --> 00:12:41,680 Speaker 2: are up three point eight percent. Same store sales revenue 280 00:12:41,720 --> 00:12:44,240 Speaker 2: six point eight billion. US restaurants up a bit. But 281 00:12:44,600 --> 00:12:47,360 Speaker 2: outside the US, which is US, huge demand for Big 282 00:12:47,400 --> 00:12:49,720 Speaker 2: Mac and French rice. Apparently it's what they're saying this morning. 283 00:12:49,840 --> 00:12:53,280 Speaker 2: Uber revenues up eighteen percent. Jeez, we're loving Uber revenue 284 00:12:53,280 --> 00:12:56,640 Speaker 2: at thirteen billion almost. Mobility that's your Uber rides twenty 285 00:12:56,679 --> 00:12:58,880 Speaker 2: three billion, up eighteen percent. I mean that's a lot 286 00:12:58,880 --> 00:13:02,120 Speaker 2: in a quarter, up eighteen percent. Delivery, which is your food, 287 00:13:02,160 --> 00:13:05,680 Speaker 2: that's up twenty percent. So they're booming. Gross bookings up 288 00:13:05,720 --> 00:13:09,160 Speaker 2: seventeen percent, the number of consumers who use Uber's up 289 00:13:09,160 --> 00:13:13,040 Speaker 2: fifteen percent, and those users booked three point three billion 290 00:13:13,280 --> 00:13:16,520 Speaker 2: troops in the last quarter of six twenty five. 291 00:13:17,040 --> 00:13:21,640 Speaker 1: Trending now with chemist Wells keeping Kiwi's healthy all. 292 00:13:21,559 --> 00:13:24,439 Speaker 2: Year rount and who said TV's did south Park so hot? 293 00:13:24,559 --> 00:13:24,719 Speaker 7: Rate? 294 00:13:24,760 --> 00:13:27,240 Speaker 2: Now? After the first episode the other day, this is 295 00:13:27,280 --> 00:13:30,400 Speaker 2: season twenty seven, we're up to South Park featured Trump's manhood, 296 00:13:30,440 --> 00:13:33,760 Speaker 2: him sleeping with Satan and his tariffs. We're buckled up 297 00:13:33,800 --> 00:13:37,400 Speaker 2: now for episode two today. White House didn't like episode one. 298 00:13:37,440 --> 00:13:41,600 Speaker 2: They called it tacky, unoriginal, distasteful, and irrelevant. So what 299 00:13:41,679 --> 00:13:44,240 Speaker 2: have we got ahead of today? Wednesday, August six. 300 00:13:44,400 --> 00:13:46,360 Speaker 14: You can just shut up, Maybee because you hate America 301 00:13:46,440 --> 00:13:47,440 Speaker 14: and you love a voice. 302 00:13:47,200 --> 00:13:49,080 Speaker 3: In it all In South Park. 303 00:13:51,000 --> 00:13:52,520 Speaker 7: Epic season continues. 304 00:13:52,679 --> 00:13:55,000 Speaker 15: We want to honor the President's courage. 305 00:13:55,360 --> 00:13:59,160 Speaker 3: Stop South Karke New episode Wednesday, August city. 306 00:13:59,200 --> 00:14:02,120 Speaker 2: That's all we got. Pokes fun at Republican mouthpiece, Charlie Kirk, 307 00:14:02,160 --> 00:14:04,680 Speaker 2: Christy Noman, Ice agents and in a twist, the Ice 308 00:14:04,720 --> 00:14:07,560 Speaker 2: agents the Homeland Security people have grabbed part of that 309 00:14:07,600 --> 00:14:09,960 Speaker 2: trailer stuck it on X as part of a recruitment drive, 310 00:14:10,520 --> 00:14:12,520 Speaker 2: and that prompted Trey Parker and Matt Stone At, the 311 00:14:12,520 --> 00:14:15,880 Speaker 2: creators of the show, to reply, so we're irrelevant hashtag 312 00:14:15,920 --> 00:14:19,880 Speaker 2: eat a bag of dicks. Quite like that. It goes 313 00:14:19,920 --> 00:14:22,880 Speaker 2: out two pm today our time at Comedy Central or 314 00:14:22,880 --> 00:14:25,040 Speaker 2: Paramount Plus if you've got that, But it doesn't actually 315 00:14:25,040 --> 00:14:28,400 Speaker 2: play on Comedy Central in this country until ten oh 316 00:14:28,400 --> 00:14:31,120 Speaker 2: five tonight, four samphil It was because it might be 317 00:14:31,120 --> 00:14:33,680 Speaker 2: adult content, but I'm not sure that's one hundred percent trough. 318 00:14:33,720 --> 00:14:35,240 Speaker 2: I just think we're a small country at the bottom 319 00:14:35,280 --> 00:14:36,680 Speaker 2: of the world that takes a long time for the 320 00:14:36,680 --> 00:14:41,000 Speaker 2: program to travel that distance on the wires would be 321 00:14:41,040 --> 00:14:45,320 Speaker 2: my theory. This shopping grocery thing from the Commerce Commission yesterday, 322 00:14:45,320 --> 00:14:47,840 Speaker 2: I will ask Nichola Willis is with us later what 323 00:14:47,880 --> 00:14:51,080 Speaker 2: the comics are they bought. Telling me that there's more 324 00:14:51,080 --> 00:14:53,600 Speaker 2: competition than supermarkets in Auckland than there is in a 325 00:14:53,640 --> 00:14:58,000 Speaker 2: potokey is not news and does not need a report. 326 00:14:58,200 --> 00:15:00,840 Speaker 2: But anyway, that three percent on the oe CD are 327 00:15:00,880 --> 00:15:02,680 Speaker 2: we being screwed or not? We'll have a look at 328 00:15:02,680 --> 00:15:04,680 Speaker 2: this in the next half hour of the program. Kailey 329 00:15:04,760 --> 00:15:07,360 Speaker 2: Bell back for a song and a chat after wait 330 00:15:07,440 --> 00:15:09,360 Speaker 2: in the studio here on the My Hosking. 331 00:15:09,040 --> 00:15:16,280 Speaker 1: Breakfast Mike cos Game, we've been safeful, engaging and idle 332 00:15:16,880 --> 00:15:21,240 Speaker 1: the Mic Hosking Breakfast with a Vida Retirement Communities, Life 333 00:15:21,400 --> 00:15:22,880 Speaker 1: your Way, newth togs Head. 334 00:15:22,760 --> 00:15:24,800 Speaker 2: Be as you know, the EU have suspended their terror 335 00:15:24,880 --> 00:15:27,720 Speaker 2: for retaliation on Trump. Trump's going to announce sanction. We'll 336 00:15:27,720 --> 00:15:29,920 Speaker 2: go to Joe in a moment in Italy. Trump's announcing 337 00:15:29,920 --> 00:15:33,800 Speaker 2: apparently Saturday our time, Friday, there's sanctions against Russia. They've 338 00:15:33,800 --> 00:15:35,520 Speaker 2: all been on the phone to each other, whit cops 339 00:15:35,520 --> 00:15:38,200 Speaker 2: have been meeting Putin, et cetera, et cetera. Zelenski has 340 00:15:38,280 --> 00:15:41,000 Speaker 2: revealed this morning he thinks Putin's heading towards a ceasefire. 341 00:15:41,480 --> 00:15:43,960 Speaker 2: And also Trump's run that twenty five percent, told you 342 00:15:44,000 --> 00:15:45,920 Speaker 2: at at India to make it fifty percent. So you 343 00:15:45,960 --> 00:15:49,960 Speaker 2: put all that together. What's new sanctioned Saturday? So Putin 344 00:15:50,040 --> 00:15:52,360 Speaker 2: might be worried, might not be, who knows. Zolenski says, 345 00:15:52,360 --> 00:15:56,240 Speaker 2: Putin's heading for a ceasefire, so maybe maybe fingers crossed, 346 00:15:56,240 --> 00:16:00,280 Speaker 2: there is some movement there. Twenty three to seven, we'll 347 00:16:00,280 --> 00:16:02,360 Speaker 2: go to Joe shortly in Italy. New inside back EVO 348 00:16:02,480 --> 00:16:04,720 Speaker 2: into that much debated supermarket sector that I told you 349 00:16:04,760 --> 00:16:06,120 Speaker 2: about at the start of the show. So just one 350 00:16:06,160 --> 00:16:08,720 Speaker 2: of the ComCom some of the data bit old, which 351 00:16:08,720 --> 00:16:10,560 Speaker 2: I would have thought the question in and of itself 352 00:16:10,600 --> 00:16:12,600 Speaker 2: in a nutshell, though we pay more than the OEC 353 00:16:12,720 --> 00:16:14,520 Speaker 2: the average, and guess what if here in a small 354 00:16:14,520 --> 00:16:16,680 Speaker 2: town you have less choice. So Chatwan is the chair 355 00:16:16,680 --> 00:16:18,440 Speaker 2: of the Gross Reaction Group and is with us. Sue, 356 00:16:18,560 --> 00:16:19,360 Speaker 2: very good morning to you. 357 00:16:20,160 --> 00:16:20,800 Speaker 16: Good morning. 358 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:23,720 Speaker 2: Is this a statutory obligation for the ComCom because this 359 00:16:23,800 --> 00:16:24,840 Speaker 2: report tells me nothing. 360 00:16:26,440 --> 00:16:30,400 Speaker 16: Yes, it is an obligation for them to report every 361 00:16:30,480 --> 00:16:34,440 Speaker 16: year at the moment on how we're doing with trying 362 00:16:34,440 --> 00:16:36,760 Speaker 16: to bring down prices. And as you can see from 363 00:16:36,760 --> 00:16:40,000 Speaker 16: this report, no change from the first one that they 364 00:16:40,040 --> 00:16:43,200 Speaker 16: did last year. We're still paying some of the highest 365 00:16:43,240 --> 00:16:47,680 Speaker 16: prices in the world for food and we still have 366 00:16:47,720 --> 00:16:50,800 Speaker 16: a geopoly situation in New Zealand. Nothing has changed, no 367 00:16:52,080 --> 00:16:57,280 Speaker 16: new entrants and therefore pretty unhealthy level of competition. 368 00:16:57,520 --> 00:16:59,560 Speaker 2: When we say highest prices in the world, it isn't 369 00:16:59,560 --> 00:17:01,920 Speaker 2: the world, it's the OECD and it's three percent and 370 00:17:01,960 --> 00:17:04,560 Speaker 2: the data is from twenty three is not possible, I 371 00:17:04,560 --> 00:17:07,359 Speaker 2: mean Why are we dealing with twenty two year old data? 372 00:17:08,760 --> 00:17:11,800 Speaker 16: Well, yeah, yes, you'd had to ask the Commerce Commission that, 373 00:17:11,880 --> 00:17:15,400 Speaker 16: but that's that's the data that they can get. It's 374 00:17:15,440 --> 00:17:20,040 Speaker 16: not that old when you're looking at at collecting this 375 00:17:20,200 --> 00:17:25,280 Speaker 16: sort of statistics. And I guess the important thing important 376 00:17:25,280 --> 00:17:28,600 Speaker 16: thing is that there's really no change. Kiwis are still 377 00:17:28,640 --> 00:17:30,879 Speaker 16: paying a hell of a lot more than Australians and 378 00:17:30,920 --> 00:17:33,040 Speaker 16: say those in the UK for grocery. 379 00:17:32,920 --> 00:17:35,480 Speaker 2: Three percent more. But that gap, as the report says, 380 00:17:35,680 --> 00:17:38,160 Speaker 2: is closing. Is there hope point being around the twenty 381 00:17:38,200 --> 00:17:40,160 Speaker 2: twenty three By the time we get to twenty twenty five, 382 00:17:40,600 --> 00:17:42,760 Speaker 2: is it possible we've closed the gap even more and 383 00:17:42,800 --> 00:17:44,679 Speaker 2: therefore if it's one or two percent, it's actually not 384 00:17:44,680 --> 00:17:45,359 Speaker 2: the end of the world. 385 00:17:47,520 --> 00:17:51,480 Speaker 16: Well, I don't think that we have very healthy competition 386 00:17:51,560 --> 00:17:55,040 Speaker 16: in New Zealand. We have two supermarkets. They have been 387 00:17:55,280 --> 00:18:00,040 Speaker 16: under the gun for how many years? Five years and 388 00:18:00,280 --> 00:18:04,280 Speaker 16: nothing has changed. So they know that unless you know, 389 00:18:04,400 --> 00:18:08,040 Speaker 16: they are going to be really regulated or they you know, 390 00:18:08,160 --> 00:18:11,880 Speaker 16: something really big happens to them, they can continue on 391 00:18:12,440 --> 00:18:16,439 Speaker 16: and then keyways, you know, face this sort of no 392 00:18:16,600 --> 00:18:19,080 Speaker 16: competition and having to pay more at the supermarket. 393 00:18:19,119 --> 00:18:20,919 Speaker 2: Well, when you see no competition, let me quote you 394 00:18:20,920 --> 00:18:23,000 Speaker 2: from the report. The report says, for example, in Auckland, 395 00:18:23,040 --> 00:18:25,280 Speaker 2: it's in the in the low seventies because there is 396 00:18:25,320 --> 00:18:28,200 Speaker 2: competition in Auckland, as opposed to say, ha hey, where 397 00:18:28,240 --> 00:18:30,560 Speaker 2: there's eighty eight percent of the market's dominated by the 398 00:18:30,600 --> 00:18:32,960 Speaker 2: two big players. Are people in Auckland because of that 399 00:18:33,000 --> 00:18:36,520 Speaker 2: increased competition going hey, look at our bargains. No they're not, No, 400 00:18:36,880 --> 00:18:39,320 Speaker 2: they not, but ad So what's the number we're looking 401 00:18:39,359 --> 00:18:41,280 Speaker 2: for when you talk about competition, what's the number we're 402 00:18:41,320 --> 00:18:43,400 Speaker 2: looking for? Fifty sixty seventy forty two. 403 00:18:43,680 --> 00:18:48,320 Speaker 16: So yeah, So in Australia they are moaning and you 404 00:18:48,359 --> 00:18:51,920 Speaker 16: know their government is looking at regulating when the two 405 00:18:51,960 --> 00:18:56,320 Speaker 16: big supermarkets have sixty percent. So we've got eighty eight 406 00:18:56,359 --> 00:18:59,280 Speaker 16: percent here and in Auckland, I think they've got seventy 407 00:18:59,320 --> 00:19:03,960 Speaker 16: two percent. We've got slightly decreased prices in Auckland, but 408 00:19:04,160 --> 00:19:08,000 Speaker 16: nevertheless still very high. So I think you know, say 409 00:19:08,040 --> 00:19:12,120 Speaker 16: you look at a country like Ireland, there's five supermarkets there, 410 00:19:12,320 --> 00:19:15,520 Speaker 16: they've got each got twenty five percent share of the market. 411 00:19:15,720 --> 00:19:18,520 Speaker 16: If we could get even close to that, then I 412 00:19:18,560 --> 00:19:19,880 Speaker 16: think key is the benefit. 413 00:19:20,119 --> 00:19:22,479 Speaker 2: All right, appreciate your time. So suit Chip went out 414 00:19:22,520 --> 00:19:24,399 Speaker 2: of the gross reaction group. I don't know how they 415 00:19:24,400 --> 00:19:26,480 Speaker 2: have twenty five percent market share and that's five of them, 416 00:19:26,520 --> 00:19:30,840 Speaker 2: but there you go. Nikola Willis, how much time do 417 00:19:30,840 --> 00:19:32,840 Speaker 2: you want me to spend with? Nikola Willis on supermarkets 418 00:19:32,880 --> 00:19:35,720 Speaker 2: as opposed to the job market and announced time nineteen two. 419 00:19:37,160 --> 00:19:41,760 Speaker 1: The Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered 420 00:19:41,760 --> 00:19:42,560 Speaker 1: by News Talks. 421 00:19:42,560 --> 00:19:46,080 Speaker 2: It'd be super excited about this. This is street Smart. 422 00:19:46,160 --> 00:19:48,600 Speaker 2: So street Smart's hands on in car training for young 423 00:19:48,680 --> 00:19:52,399 Speaker 2: drivers right teaches the roads on forgiving realities. It's been hesband, 424 00:19:52,480 --> 00:19:54,960 Speaker 2: still hit some problems, but thankfully the Tony Quinn Foundation 425 00:19:55,720 --> 00:19:57,959 Speaker 2: have brought it back. So we owe Tony as always 426 00:19:58,800 --> 00:20:01,879 Speaker 2: a debt of gratitude around cars and motorsport and stuff. Anyway, 427 00:20:02,080 --> 00:20:05,000 Speaker 2: a company with backbone. Star Insured they're supporting it as well. 428 00:20:05,520 --> 00:20:08,080 Speaker 2: Racing legend Greg Murphy, he's on board. He backs the program. 429 00:20:08,160 --> 00:20:12,120 Speaker 2: That's credibility Sabaru. They recognize a critical need for practical education. 430 00:20:12,200 --> 00:20:15,080 Speaker 2: Star Insurer's commitment means more young drivers get skills to 431 00:20:15,160 --> 00:20:17,040 Speaker 2: keep them alive, which is what we want of course, 432 00:20:17,320 --> 00:20:20,040 Speaker 2: So forget the classrooms, the computer tests. This is all 433 00:20:20,080 --> 00:20:22,359 Speaker 2: about real world reaction. So if you're a business leader, 434 00:20:22,600 --> 00:20:25,240 Speaker 2: call street Smart, get involved. If you've got a young 435 00:20:25,320 --> 00:20:27,280 Speaker 2: driver in your life, booking them onto a street Smart 436 00:20:27,320 --> 00:20:30,440 Speaker 2: course isn't a luxury, it's a necessity. You'll be amazed 437 00:20:30,480 --> 00:20:33,360 Speaker 2: at what they loarn. So Starr Insurre, the Tony Quinn Foundation, 438 00:20:33,720 --> 00:20:36,600 Speaker 2: Greg Murphy Sabaru. They are making a difference. Now here's 439 00:20:36,600 --> 00:20:39,480 Speaker 2: where you go street Smart dot n z right, forget 440 00:20:39,480 --> 00:20:43,160 Speaker 2: the co street Smart dot m z to find out 441 00:20:43,160 --> 00:20:46,159 Speaker 2: more information and to register. So street Smart hands on 442 00:20:46,480 --> 00:20:51,280 Speaker 2: practical learning for young people. Asking soon hit the nail 443 00:20:51,280 --> 00:20:53,760 Speaker 2: on the head when she said sixty percent in Australia 444 00:20:53,760 --> 00:20:55,480 Speaker 2: do their own in Australia. Is that an issue in 445 00:20:55,480 --> 00:20:57,480 Speaker 2: Australia the supermarkets, Yes it is. Do they think they're 446 00:20:57,480 --> 00:20:59,679 Speaker 2: getting fleeced in Australia, Yes they do. I guarantee if 447 00:20:59,720 --> 00:21:01,840 Speaker 2: you want down to a few box pops in Ireland 448 00:21:02,440 --> 00:21:04,600 Speaker 2: and said Seamus, do you reckon you're paying too much 449 00:21:04,640 --> 00:21:06,479 Speaker 2: for you grocery as they say, top it to more 450 00:21:06,520 --> 00:21:09,600 Speaker 2: in it? Absolutely? So I think it's not necessarily the 451 00:21:09,600 --> 00:21:12,280 Speaker 2: facts that we're dealing with anymore. It's the emotion and 452 00:21:12,320 --> 00:21:13,000 Speaker 2: that's the problem. 453 00:21:13,080 --> 00:21:17,600 Speaker 13: Six forty five International correspondence with Ends and Eye Insurance, 454 00:21:17,760 --> 00:21:19,439 Speaker 13: Peace of Mind for New Zealand business. 455 00:21:19,840 --> 00:21:22,720 Speaker 2: Join mc kinnerburg, Good morning for you, Good morning mine. 456 00:21:22,840 --> 00:21:26,280 Speaker 2: So these safelans just background, this the EU safeloans. What 457 00:21:26,720 --> 00:21:28,159 Speaker 2: are they? How much are they and what are you 458 00:21:28,200 --> 00:21:29,200 Speaker 2: going to do with them? 459 00:21:29,640 --> 00:21:29,800 Speaker 4: Well? 460 00:21:29,840 --> 00:21:32,880 Speaker 17: I hadn't really heard about these. This is this program 461 00:21:32,960 --> 00:21:36,520 Speaker 17: is security action for Europe. It's called safe It's a 462 00:21:36,560 --> 00:21:41,040 Speaker 17: new EU financial instrument introduced in May this year in 463 00:21:41,080 --> 00:21:44,399 Speaker 17: which the European Commission will issue up to one hundred 464 00:21:44,400 --> 00:21:47,920 Speaker 17: and fifty billion euros of funds to help the member 465 00:21:47,960 --> 00:21:52,679 Speaker 17: states increase their expenditure on defense procurement. And as we know, 466 00:21:52,760 --> 00:21:55,199 Speaker 17: that's a big priority because of Donald Trump and his 467 00:21:55,800 --> 00:21:58,119 Speaker 17: efforts to raise GDP spending to. 468 00:21:58,320 --> 00:21:59,359 Speaker 7: Five percent in Europe. 469 00:22:00,359 --> 00:22:03,560 Speaker 17: Now, the Prime Minister Maloney, Georgia Maloney has been meeting 470 00:22:03,600 --> 00:22:07,440 Speaker 17: some of Italy's top CEOs from defense contractors like Leonardo 471 00:22:07,480 --> 00:22:10,720 Speaker 17: and fin Conterri, looking at how they can take advantage 472 00:22:10,720 --> 00:22:13,680 Speaker 17: of these loans and build up the defense sector. 473 00:22:14,080 --> 00:22:17,320 Speaker 2: Do these once you introduce a new debt instrument, do 474 00:22:17,359 --> 00:22:20,359 Speaker 2: they then dubtail into the also EU set of rules 475 00:22:20,359 --> 00:22:22,800 Speaker 2: that says you can't run a deficit beyond x percentage 476 00:22:22,840 --> 00:22:25,199 Speaker 2: of your GDP or is that completely separate? 477 00:22:25,800 --> 00:22:28,359 Speaker 7: That is a great question. I can't really answer. 478 00:22:28,520 --> 00:22:30,439 Speaker 2: No, No, I knew you couldn't. That's why I asked it, 479 00:22:30,520 --> 00:22:32,520 Speaker 2: not to embarrass you at all. I'm just saying that 480 00:22:32,600 --> 00:22:35,359 Speaker 2: these people in Europe make this crap up as they 481 00:22:35,400 --> 00:22:38,040 Speaker 2: go along, and it's all about debt and the more 482 00:22:38,080 --> 00:22:40,040 Speaker 2: debt the better and whatever. The hot topic of the 483 00:22:40,119 --> 00:22:43,080 Speaker 2: day is currently it's tanks and bombs. You can borrow 484 00:22:43,080 --> 00:22:47,120 Speaker 2: whatever you like. Weird ah yeah yeah. Now, anyway, where 485 00:22:47,119 --> 00:22:50,000 Speaker 2: are you at with the EU? You know, the terrorists? 486 00:22:50,000 --> 00:22:51,040 Speaker 2: If you worked out what's going on. 487 00:22:51,000 --> 00:22:53,359 Speaker 7: There still plenty of chaos. 488 00:22:54,520 --> 00:22:57,879 Speaker 17: Under the deal reached between the European Union and President 489 00:22:57,920 --> 00:23:01,199 Speaker 17: Donald Trump, EU export to the US are set to 490 00:23:01,240 --> 00:23:06,720 Speaker 17: face tariffs of fifteen percent from tomorrow. But suddenly the 491 00:23:06,800 --> 00:23:11,560 Speaker 17: EU has suspended its retaliatory tariffs on US goods while 492 00:23:11,600 --> 00:23:13,240 Speaker 17: they go away and think about a little bit more. 493 00:23:13,480 --> 00:23:16,240 Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly, So, I still I haven't been able to 494 00:23:16,240 --> 00:23:19,160 Speaker 2: get my head around with They've suspended them for six 495 00:23:19,200 --> 00:23:23,080 Speaker 2: months with a view to what are they negotiating? Was 496 00:23:23,119 --> 00:23:25,440 Speaker 2: there an odeal at Turnbrey a couple of weeks ago. 497 00:23:26,119 --> 00:23:29,760 Speaker 17: It sounds like they want to continue negotiating. They were 498 00:23:29,800 --> 00:23:34,760 Speaker 17: ready to put countermeasures targeting ninety three billion euros worth 499 00:23:34,760 --> 00:23:38,440 Speaker 17: of American goods like bourbon, cars and. 500 00:23:38,680 --> 00:23:40,080 Speaker 7: Soybeans, things like that. 501 00:23:41,000 --> 00:23:43,400 Speaker 17: But suddenly it's all up for grabs, and I think 502 00:23:43,440 --> 00:23:45,680 Speaker 17: the European you might be running scared at the moment. 503 00:23:45,760 --> 00:23:49,240 Speaker 2: What a miss is Italy's view of this markedly different 504 00:23:49,240 --> 00:23:51,119 Speaker 2: from the other twenty six nations or not? 505 00:23:52,040 --> 00:23:54,360 Speaker 17: Well, I think it comes and goes, but I think 506 00:23:54,440 --> 00:23:57,679 Speaker 17: the Italians are certainly very worried about major industries. I 507 00:23:57,680 --> 00:24:02,560 Speaker 17: think that we've talked about like luxury goods, wine, agriculture, 508 00:24:03,600 --> 00:24:09,000 Speaker 17: pharmaceutical exports. All those things are top of mind for 509 00:24:09,080 --> 00:24:12,640 Speaker 17: Georgia Maloney, particularly as she's facing some regional elections later 510 00:24:12,720 --> 00:24:13,120 Speaker 17: this year. 511 00:24:13,240 --> 00:24:15,280 Speaker 7: So we'll be talking more about that in the autumn. 512 00:24:15,400 --> 00:24:18,440 Speaker 2: This bridge that they've given the green light to from Sicily, 513 00:24:18,560 --> 00:24:21,000 Speaker 2: I've seen it. What I'm assuming is an AI generated 514 00:24:21,040 --> 00:24:23,520 Speaker 2: picture of what it could look like. I'm assume it 515 00:24:23,560 --> 00:24:25,600 Speaker 2: that'll transform Sicily, won't it. I mean, if you can 516 00:24:25,640 --> 00:24:27,480 Speaker 2: drive as opposed to by I mean that'll change the world, 517 00:24:27,520 --> 00:24:27,920 Speaker 2: won't it? 518 00:24:28,720 --> 00:24:29,359 Speaker 7: Would you believe? 519 00:24:29,359 --> 00:24:31,520 Speaker 17: There are only five million people that live there and 520 00:24:31,520 --> 00:24:33,600 Speaker 17: a whole bunch of tourists that are flooding into the 521 00:24:33,640 --> 00:24:37,480 Speaker 17: island right now. Is this bridge really necessary? They've talked 522 00:24:37,480 --> 00:24:40,679 Speaker 17: about it forever. It's going to be the world's longest 523 00:24:40,720 --> 00:24:45,119 Speaker 17: suspension bridge. The Transport Minister Matteo Slovenia is promising to 524 00:24:45,119 --> 00:24:47,359 Speaker 17: finish it by twenty thirty three, which might be a 525 00:24:47,400 --> 00:24:48,160 Speaker 17: little ambitious. 526 00:24:49,440 --> 00:24:52,120 Speaker 7: Do we really need it? I'm not sure? And will 527 00:24:52,119 --> 00:24:52,639 Speaker 7: it happen? 528 00:24:52,960 --> 00:24:56,679 Speaker 2: Is the mafia going to build it? Is the mafia 529 00:24:56,800 --> 00:24:57,359 Speaker 2: going to build it? 530 00:24:57,800 --> 00:24:58,040 Speaker 6: Yeah? 531 00:24:58,040 --> 00:24:59,440 Speaker 7: Well that is the big problem. 532 00:24:59,520 --> 00:25:02,800 Speaker 17: I mean, since maffia penetration of the construction industry is 533 00:25:02,800 --> 00:25:05,560 Speaker 17: pretty high in this country, so it'll be a huge 534 00:25:05,600 --> 00:25:06,880 Speaker 17: challenge to keep them out of it. 535 00:25:07,080 --> 00:25:09,000 Speaker 2: If I was the mafia, I'd build it halfway and 536 00:25:09,040 --> 00:25:10,720 Speaker 2: then tell them pay me extra or so I'm not 537 00:25:10,760 --> 00:25:18,160 Speaker 2: finishing now? How much for pepper Impulia? 538 00:25:18,520 --> 00:25:21,800 Speaker 17: I saw a great story tonight with pictures of the 539 00:25:23,119 --> 00:25:25,679 Speaker 17: bill in the restaurant. They haven't named the restaurant, but 540 00:25:25,720 --> 00:25:28,600 Speaker 17: they said on this bill and you can see it 541 00:25:28,600 --> 00:25:31,520 Speaker 17: in writing, they were charging an extra fifty cents for 542 00:25:31,560 --> 00:25:35,120 Speaker 17: the pepper that they added or were requested, was requested 543 00:25:35,119 --> 00:25:38,520 Speaker 17: by the clients, and that's caused enough for in Italy. 544 00:25:38,680 --> 00:25:40,360 Speaker 2: Good on you. Nice to catch up, Joe. We'll see 545 00:25:40,359 --> 00:25:42,360 Speaker 2: next to this. Thanks by Joe mckenner and Itale. It's 546 00:25:42,359 --> 00:25:43,760 Speaker 2: ten to seven the. 547 00:25:43,880 --> 00:25:48,160 Speaker 1: Mic Hosking Breakfast with a Vita Retirement Communities News togs 548 00:25:48,160 --> 00:25:49,120 Speaker 1: Head be Yeah. 549 00:25:49,119 --> 00:25:51,639 Speaker 2: I was looking at the trade me asking it's what 550 00:25:51,680 --> 00:25:54,119 Speaker 2: they call a Pulse report, average asking price. I'm not 551 00:25:54,160 --> 00:25:56,000 Speaker 2: into asking prices. I mean what you ask and what 552 00:25:56,000 --> 00:25:57,639 Speaker 2: you get a two completely different things, of course, but 553 00:25:57,720 --> 00:26:00,440 Speaker 2: year on year down zero point four percent, so she's 554 00:26:00,480 --> 00:26:03,679 Speaker 2: a bit flat. So interesting divergence. I think that's probably 555 00:26:03,720 --> 00:26:05,200 Speaker 2: ad I was writing a story about this, I go, 556 00:26:05,359 --> 00:26:09,280 Speaker 2: interesting divergence in the property market. Three point three up 557 00:26:09,720 --> 00:26:13,200 Speaker 2: in Gisbon, two point seven up in Hawke's Bay, one 558 00:26:13,240 --> 00:26:16,439 Speaker 2: point two up again Canterbury, five point three up in 559 00:26:16,560 --> 00:26:18,719 Speaker 2: South and one point nine up in Taranaki. So you've 560 00:26:18,720 --> 00:26:20,080 Speaker 2: got a lot of places around the country that are 561 00:26:20,080 --> 00:26:23,360 Speaker 2: actually doing quite well. Nelson Tasman's even up. Marlboro's been 562 00:26:23,359 --> 00:26:25,760 Speaker 2: tanking minus six point two. I don't know what's happened there. 563 00:26:26,359 --> 00:26:27,919 Speaker 2: Does no one want to live in Marlboro. Wh wouldn't 564 00:26:27,920 --> 00:26:29,560 Speaker 2: you want to live in Marlborough for goodness sake. The 565 00:26:29,560 --> 00:26:32,920 Speaker 2: big centers though, Auckland down one point one, Wellington down 566 00:26:32,920 --> 00:26:36,720 Speaker 2: one point two, so the major centers Wykato down zero 567 00:26:36,760 --> 00:26:39,680 Speaker 2: point eight. So that's your update on that. By the way, 568 00:26:39,720 --> 00:26:42,720 Speaker 2: speaking of howses, just while I've got you the number 569 00:26:42,720 --> 00:26:44,240 Speaker 2: of people who are borrowing money, we gave you the 570 00:26:44,280 --> 00:26:46,480 Speaker 2: numbers from the Reserve Bank the other day. In mortgage money. 571 00:26:46,480 --> 00:26:49,040 Speaker 2: Mortgage money did really well in June. There seems to 572 00:26:49,040 --> 00:26:51,760 Speaker 2: be a surge and mortgage money in June, so investors 573 00:26:51,760 --> 00:26:54,680 Speaker 2: first time buys the whole thing. So that's interesting. Forty 574 00:26:54,720 --> 00:26:56,800 Speaker 2: percent of you are on a fixed one year, which 575 00:26:56,840 --> 00:26:59,920 Speaker 2: is probably wise. Don't take my advice. I'm just observing 576 00:27:00,320 --> 00:27:02,200 Speaker 2: twenty five percent or on the floating. So the twenty 577 00:27:02,200 --> 00:27:03,879 Speaker 2: five percent on the floating will be going. There's more 578 00:27:03,920 --> 00:27:06,040 Speaker 2: where that came from, which is true. There is the 579 00:27:06,160 --> 00:27:09,000 Speaker 2: ARB's gotta cut twice now, has to given these job 580 00:27:09,080 --> 00:27:11,399 Speaker 2: numbers because they've got the job numbers wrong, so you're 581 00:27:11,440 --> 00:27:14,199 Speaker 2: gonna have to cut twice. I still maintain and I 582 00:27:14,280 --> 00:27:16,480 Speaker 2: think I'm going to be proven to be right by 583 00:27:16,560 --> 00:27:20,240 Speaker 2: next year that neutrals two point five. This three percent 584 00:27:20,320 --> 00:27:22,359 Speaker 2: things bollocks. Two point seventy five is what a lot 585 00:27:22,400 --> 00:27:23,680 Speaker 2: of the banks are saying. But I think it's two 586 00:27:23,680 --> 00:27:25,879 Speaker 2: point five anyway. So if you're on you're floating, you're 587 00:27:25,880 --> 00:27:28,320 Speaker 2: thinking there's more where that came from, and you are correct. 588 00:27:28,560 --> 00:27:30,720 Speaker 2: Eleven percent of gone for two years, ten percent of 589 00:27:30,720 --> 00:27:32,920 Speaker 2: gone for eighteen months, eight percent of gone for six months, 590 00:27:32,960 --> 00:27:35,680 Speaker 2: and five percent of gone for three years. Why you've 591 00:27:35,680 --> 00:27:37,840 Speaker 2: gone for three years? I don't know. Maybe you don't 592 00:27:37,880 --> 00:27:41,320 Speaker 2: care more importantly, And I'll flesh this out after seven 593 00:27:41,359 --> 00:27:44,520 Speaker 2: o'clock because this is the story that seemingly everyone's missing. 594 00:27:45,560 --> 00:27:47,320 Speaker 2: And I don't know. If you're not worried about this, 595 00:27:47,560 --> 00:27:50,080 Speaker 2: I don't know what there is to worry about. Sixteen 596 00:27:50,119 --> 00:27:55,000 Speaker 2: percent of kids latest numbers, sixteen percent of kids left 597 00:27:55,040 --> 00:27:58,080 Speaker 2: school with no qualifications none. So on one hand, we're 598 00:27:58,359 --> 00:28:00,679 Speaker 2: fixating about the jobless numbers and will know and get 599 00:28:00,720 --> 00:28:02,000 Speaker 2: a job. Well, half of them can't get a job 600 00:28:02,040 --> 00:28:03,680 Speaker 2: because they they haven't got a clue, because they haven't 601 00:28:03,680 --> 00:28:09,520 Speaker 2: got a qualification, they can't participate. Sixteen percent. So that's 602 00:28:09,560 --> 00:28:13,880 Speaker 2: the highest figure in a decade. It's a disaster. Thirteen 603 00:28:13,920 --> 00:28:16,440 Speaker 2: percent of last year's leavers had not reached literacy or 604 00:28:16,520 --> 00:28:19,800 Speaker 2: numerousy benchmarks. Eighty one percent of last year's leave it 605 00:28:19,800 --> 00:28:22,040 Speaker 2: has stayed at school until the age of seventeen year beyond. 606 00:28:22,080 --> 00:28:26,080 Speaker 2: That's up a bit, so that's encouraging Mari the worst. Unsurprisingly, 607 00:28:26,119 --> 00:28:29,160 Speaker 2: twenty eight percent left with no qualification at all. Twenty 608 00:28:29,280 --> 00:28:33,720 Speaker 2: eight percent left with no qualification at all go to 609 00:28:33,720 --> 00:28:37,760 Speaker 2: a place like Toatukara. It's twenty percent. I mean, what 610 00:28:38,080 --> 00:28:41,160 Speaker 2: hope is there for this country if we still letting 611 00:28:41,240 --> 00:28:45,360 Speaker 2: kids walk out the gate with nothing? What was the 612 00:28:45,360 --> 00:28:48,440 Speaker 2: point of going to school? And bet you half the 613 00:28:48,440 --> 00:28:50,880 Speaker 2: problems half of them didn't four minutes away from seven. 614 00:28:51,480 --> 00:28:54,720 Speaker 1: While the ins and the outs. It's the fiz with 615 00:28:55,000 --> 00:28:58,440 Speaker 1: business favor, take your business productivity to the next level. 616 00:28:58,520 --> 00:29:01,040 Speaker 2: Chocolate News, I've got a collab. They've teamed up with 617 00:29:01,040 --> 00:29:03,520 Speaker 2: a biotech company called pair Wise, and so what they're 618 00:29:03,560 --> 00:29:05,560 Speaker 2: going to try and do is gene edit some cocoa 619 00:29:05,960 --> 00:29:09,760 Speaker 2: to make it more resilient. Crisper is the tech. It's 620 00:29:09,760 --> 00:29:12,560 Speaker 2: a tool that makes fast changes to your DNA and 621 00:29:12,640 --> 00:29:14,800 Speaker 2: has been used to well, they've done it to farming 622 00:29:14,840 --> 00:29:16,440 Speaker 2: crops all that sort of stuff. This is sort of 623 00:29:16,520 --> 00:29:19,240 Speaker 2: not new, but they're going to have a crack at coco, 624 00:29:19,560 --> 00:29:22,080 Speaker 2: and the coco hopefully will withstand disease and heat and 625 00:29:22,120 --> 00:29:25,360 Speaker 2: other climate related events. And the reason it can't at 626 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:27,200 Speaker 2: the moment is because the price has gone through the roof, 627 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:29,480 Speaker 2: or the price has gone through the roof because it can't. 628 00:29:29,920 --> 00:29:32,479 Speaker 2: So the current price is up three hundred percent. They 629 00:29:32,480 --> 00:29:35,479 Speaker 2: haven't seen anything like it in fifty years. You've got Garner. 630 00:29:35,560 --> 00:29:37,600 Speaker 2: Garner makes all the cocoa, well most of it anyway. 631 00:29:37,680 --> 00:29:39,440 Speaker 2: They say next season they're looking at an increase in 632 00:29:39,520 --> 00:29:42,920 Speaker 2: price of about sixty percent. Garner is responsible for twenty 633 00:29:42,920 --> 00:29:46,120 Speaker 2: percent of all the global supply and chocolate. So that's 634 00:29:46,160 --> 00:29:47,800 Speaker 2: before we get to coffee. So why don't they just 635 00:29:47,840 --> 00:29:50,920 Speaker 2: crisper up the coffee, crisper up the cocoa, and sort 636 00:29:50,960 --> 00:29:54,360 Speaker 2: some problems out for goodness sake? Right this thing the rucks, 637 00:29:54,680 --> 00:29:57,080 Speaker 2: I mean, what does it matter if you pay some 638 00:29:57,160 --> 00:29:58,920 Speaker 2: tax at the petrol pump, or you pay it for 639 00:29:59,000 --> 00:30:01,200 Speaker 2: your diesel and you go down to the post office 640 00:30:01,200 --> 00:30:02,959 Speaker 2: and buy some more miles, or you pay it via 641 00:30:03,000 --> 00:30:04,800 Speaker 2: an app or whatever. You know, they're just changing the 642 00:30:04,840 --> 00:30:07,120 Speaker 2: mechanism is this a major We'll look at this and 643 00:30:07,120 --> 00:30:10,120 Speaker 2: see how it impacts you and the Finance Minister Nichola 644 00:30:10,160 --> 00:30:13,600 Speaker 2: Willis is with us after seven o'clock and Kaylee Bell after. 645 00:30:13,440 --> 00:30:18,560 Speaker 1: Eight news Opinion and everything in between, the mic hosting 646 00:30:18,600 --> 00:30:22,680 Speaker 1: breakvent with Rainthrover leading by example, news togs dead. 647 00:30:22,520 --> 00:30:24,520 Speaker 2: Be well seven past seven. There's nothing like a line, 648 00:30:24,560 --> 00:30:26,880 Speaker 2: is there? The biggest change in fifty years to get 649 00:30:26,880 --> 00:30:28,560 Speaker 2: the old media in a fizzon off, they went with 650 00:30:28,560 --> 00:30:30,760 Speaker 2: what seems a fairly simple to change of payment mechanism. 651 00:30:30,760 --> 00:30:32,720 Speaker 2: As far as I can work out petrol taxes going, 652 00:30:32,760 --> 00:30:34,400 Speaker 2: you'll pay on mileage and wait the way a lot 653 00:30:34,400 --> 00:30:37,120 Speaker 2: of people already do. Martin Glynn's the AA Transports policy 654 00:30:37,160 --> 00:30:39,840 Speaker 2: director and is with us. Martin, morning to you, Good 655 00:30:39,880 --> 00:30:42,320 Speaker 2: morning mate. In terms of a revenue stream, this was 656 00:30:42,360 --> 00:30:44,080 Speaker 2: really the only way the government could go, isn't it? 657 00:30:45,440 --> 00:30:45,600 Speaker 12: Oh? 658 00:30:45,680 --> 00:30:50,360 Speaker 18: I think absolutely long term, as vehicles become more fuel 659 00:30:50,360 --> 00:30:52,520 Speaker 18: a fission and people start, you know, there's different ways 660 00:30:52,520 --> 00:30:55,760 Speaker 18: of pairing vehicles. As we all know, it's just not sustainable. 661 00:30:57,160 --> 00:30:59,560 Speaker 18: So yeah, we actually do need to make the shift. 662 00:30:59,560 --> 00:31:01,000 Speaker 2: Do you reckon? The bear boners are going to be 663 00:31:01,040 --> 00:31:02,640 Speaker 2: in for a shock if they haven't thought that through. 664 00:31:02,680 --> 00:31:06,160 Speaker 2: Given a lot of this is based on weight, Sorry, 665 00:31:06,160 --> 00:31:08,600 Speaker 2: I didn't quite understand your question the bevoner. So if 666 00:31:08,600 --> 00:31:10,000 Speaker 2: you went out and bought a BEV and thought, I'm 667 00:31:10,000 --> 00:31:12,680 Speaker 2: not paying petrol anymore. Who Given a lot of this 668 00:31:12,800 --> 00:31:14,880 Speaker 2: is based on weight as well as mileage, you're in 669 00:31:14,920 --> 00:31:16,520 Speaker 2: for a shot because the chances are you won't know 670 00:31:16,520 --> 00:31:18,720 Speaker 2: how much carway Isn't it ways a ton? Several tons? 671 00:31:18,720 --> 00:31:23,240 Speaker 18: In fact, I think most people will probably be okay 672 00:31:23,320 --> 00:31:26,400 Speaker 18: unless they change the weight classification. There's been no hint 673 00:31:26,400 --> 00:31:29,760 Speaker 18: to that, so at the moment that the minimum cut 674 00:31:29,760 --> 00:31:32,360 Speaker 18: off for the very lowest level is three point five 675 00:31:32,400 --> 00:31:34,840 Speaker 18: tons through a vehicle, so hopefully most people will come 676 00:31:34,840 --> 00:31:35,560 Speaker 18: with a map. 677 00:31:35,520 --> 00:31:39,080 Speaker 2: The electronics behind it. Do you is the transfer easy 678 00:31:39,120 --> 00:31:40,880 Speaker 2: if you get an app or you get a sensor 679 00:31:40,920 --> 00:31:42,680 Speaker 2: in your car or whatever that turns out to be. 680 00:31:42,920 --> 00:31:45,960 Speaker 2: Is that easy? 681 00:31:46,560 --> 00:31:51,480 Speaker 18: The announcement's been a little bit vague, serisonly for new cars. 682 00:31:51,480 --> 00:31:54,200 Speaker 18: The Minister's been key it clear that a lot of 683 00:31:54,200 --> 00:31:57,400 Speaker 18: that data in the systems are already available in the 684 00:31:57,440 --> 00:32:01,800 Speaker 18: car itself, so that that should be fairly forward. But 685 00:32:01,920 --> 00:32:04,800 Speaker 18: I think that what he seems to be singling is 686 00:32:04,800 --> 00:32:08,480 Speaker 18: that we're moving to electronic devices, you know, to measure 687 00:32:08,600 --> 00:32:11,640 Speaker 18: distance and wait, so that would be actually something in 688 00:32:12,240 --> 00:32:16,120 Speaker 18: vehicles like we have to heavy vehicles now in the old. 689 00:32:16,000 --> 00:32:18,120 Speaker 2: Suit, well, the current system when you buy a mile, 690 00:32:18,200 --> 00:32:20,360 Speaker 2: so you're running a diesel, you're buying miles that can 691 00:32:20,400 --> 00:32:22,240 Speaker 2: slip because it's all paperwork and you're wander into the 692 00:32:22,280 --> 00:32:24,320 Speaker 2: post office and all that sort of stuff. Is they've 693 00:32:24,320 --> 00:32:25,600 Speaker 2: got to get around that, don't they. 694 00:32:26,720 --> 00:32:30,480 Speaker 18: Yeah, that's the big issue because people need to check 695 00:32:30,520 --> 00:32:32,720 Speaker 18: their doometers. You know, that's none of us need to 696 00:32:32,720 --> 00:32:34,520 Speaker 18: do that with any other kind of bullets. It just 697 00:32:34,600 --> 00:32:38,479 Speaker 18: it just comes to us. So he's made it pretty 698 00:32:38,480 --> 00:32:40,520 Speaker 18: clear that will be addressed, and we're we're you know, 699 00:32:40,520 --> 00:32:42,800 Speaker 18: we're looking to see how that will be. And then 700 00:32:43,000 --> 00:32:47,040 Speaker 18: you're right, you can go online and that's fairly straightforward, 701 00:32:47,080 --> 00:32:48,920 Speaker 18: but you've got to wait for a for a license 702 00:32:49,360 --> 00:32:50,760 Speaker 18: in the mail and then and then put on your 703 00:32:50,760 --> 00:32:52,640 Speaker 18: one screen. So it sounds like all that's going to go. 704 00:32:53,080 --> 00:32:55,360 Speaker 2: Okay, good on your MT. Appreciate it, Martin Glenn. I'm 705 00:32:55,360 --> 00:32:58,959 Speaker 2: assuming I'm probably being foolish here, but ultimately, what you 706 00:32:59,000 --> 00:33:01,840 Speaker 2: want electronically, your connection to the government is the ability 707 00:33:01,840 --> 00:33:05,800 Speaker 2: for them to do road user charges, tolls on roads, 708 00:33:05,960 --> 00:33:09,120 Speaker 2: and everything you do in your car will be done electronically. 709 00:33:09,160 --> 00:33:12,440 Speaker 2: But I'll probably be well dead before they get to that. 710 00:33:12,440 --> 00:33:15,080 Speaker 2: Ten minutes past seven past, we got job to the 711 00:33:15,080 --> 00:33:16,800 Speaker 2: headline at five point two wasn't as bad as the 712 00:33:16,800 --> 00:33:19,320 Speaker 2: fire point three forecast, although Auckland at six point one. 713 00:33:19,360 --> 00:33:22,240 Speaker 2: I mean, come on, Mike Jones, ban Z's chief economist, 714 00:33:22,280 --> 00:33:23,560 Speaker 2: is back with this, Mike, morning to you. 715 00:33:24,600 --> 00:33:25,040 Speaker 18: Good morning. 716 00:33:25,120 --> 00:33:27,560 Speaker 2: So five two better than five three, obviously open the hood. 717 00:33:27,560 --> 00:33:29,840 Speaker 2: Though there's a lot to be depressed about, isn't there. 718 00:33:31,000 --> 00:33:32,880 Speaker 19: Yeah, Look, you didn't have to scratch too far below 719 00:33:32,920 --> 00:33:36,520 Speaker 19: the surface to find some conclusions that we're probably but 720 00:33:36,600 --> 00:33:38,920 Speaker 19: weaker when you put them all together in terms of 721 00:33:38,920 --> 00:33:41,440 Speaker 19: what we're expecting in the labor marketing. Auckland, as he said, 722 00:33:41,520 --> 00:33:44,200 Speaker 19: was probably one that's twelve year high. 723 00:33:44,240 --> 00:33:45,120 Speaker 3: And of course the. 724 00:33:45,040 --> 00:33:47,960 Speaker 19: Whole reason unemployment and rise by more is that the 725 00:33:48,000 --> 00:33:50,680 Speaker 19: participation rate fell to a four year low, in more 726 00:33:50,720 --> 00:33:53,880 Speaker 19: people leaving the labor force. Hardly a positive signal. 727 00:33:54,160 --> 00:33:56,240 Speaker 2: No, six point one. How bad is that for Auckland. 728 00:33:56,280 --> 00:33:58,760 Speaker 2: I mean, that's the allegedly the engine room of the country. 729 00:33:59,800 --> 00:34:03,480 Speaker 19: Yeah, forty percent of the conferent outpoot comes out of Auckland, 730 00:34:03,480 --> 00:34:06,800 Speaker 19: and that's six point three percent at a twelve y 731 00:34:06,960 --> 00:34:09,200 Speaker 19: high is concerning. I mean, it does give you a 732 00:34:09,200 --> 00:34:11,120 Speaker 19: sense of just the divergence up and down the country 733 00:34:11,120 --> 00:34:13,840 Speaker 19: as well. I mean it's Hargo two point nine percent, 734 00:34:14,160 --> 00:34:16,640 Speaker 19: so you know, quite a big difference. But it does 735 00:34:17,840 --> 00:34:21,319 Speaker 19: give you a bit more evidence that in totality the 736 00:34:21,360 --> 00:34:24,600 Speaker 19: lay market is not in good shape and certainly weaken 737 00:34:24,560 --> 00:34:27,160 Speaker 19: and I think what the Brazero Bank had expected. 738 00:34:27,200 --> 00:34:30,200 Speaker 2: Exactly are they stuck in their building in Wellington? Are 739 00:34:30,400 --> 00:34:32,359 Speaker 2: I mean, yes, they'll get the numbers, but I mean 740 00:34:32,400 --> 00:34:34,360 Speaker 2: I happen to live in Auckland, as I assume you do. 741 00:34:34,680 --> 00:34:36,759 Speaker 2: You can feel it, you can see it. You know 742 00:34:36,920 --> 00:34:39,640 Speaker 2: it's bad, and they don't seem to be reflecting that 743 00:34:39,680 --> 00:34:41,240 Speaker 2: at the RB and on the terrace. 744 00:34:43,000 --> 00:34:45,680 Speaker 19: Well, the ARB's in Wellington and if anything thinks down 745 00:34:45,719 --> 00:34:48,520 Speaker 19: there are probably bit worse than it's. Certainly Auckland and 746 00:34:48,680 --> 00:34:51,719 Speaker 19: Wellington the urban centers that are feeling this the most. 747 00:34:51,920 --> 00:34:54,960 Speaker 19: And of course we're waiting for some of the more 748 00:34:55,040 --> 00:34:57,640 Speaker 19: upbeat sentiment and the rural reasons to spread back to 749 00:34:57,760 --> 00:35:00,640 Speaker 19: the cities. Hasn't happened so far. Look, I think what 750 00:35:00,760 --> 00:35:02,759 Speaker 19: this does for the Zoo Bank is is it locks 751 00:35:02,800 --> 00:35:05,120 Speaker 19: in another cut in a couple of weeks time. I 752 00:35:05,280 --> 00:35:07,360 Speaker 19: think that was pretty likely anyway. But the fact that 753 00:35:07,400 --> 00:35:09,440 Speaker 19: we've got the start of come and gone now we 754 00:35:09,520 --> 00:35:12,440 Speaker 19: can we think that that almost seals the deal for 755 00:35:12,880 --> 00:35:14,759 Speaker 19: one more and probably two more rate cups. 756 00:35:14,880 --> 00:35:17,080 Speaker 2: Yes, exactly two more after that, or so you've got 757 00:35:17,120 --> 00:35:19,000 Speaker 2: the one coming this month plus two more after that. 758 00:35:19,360 --> 00:35:23,040 Speaker 2: I've got two point five is neutral? Now, Yes, you 759 00:35:23,120 --> 00:35:24,040 Speaker 2: say two seven five. 760 00:35:24,719 --> 00:35:27,120 Speaker 19: We've been saying to seventy five for us a couple 761 00:35:27,120 --> 00:35:29,839 Speaker 19: of years now, so it we're stuck with that two 762 00:35:29,880 --> 00:35:32,959 Speaker 19: point five definitely within the realms. I think it's gone 763 00:35:33,000 --> 00:35:35,600 Speaker 19: to our heads. If we had our TV, seventy five 764 00:35:35,640 --> 00:35:37,719 Speaker 19: would say to the risks at the moment of talking 765 00:35:37,800 --> 00:35:40,719 Speaker 19: more to the down to the up. But there's also 766 00:35:41,200 --> 00:35:42,640 Speaker 19: a lot of water to go into the bridge before 767 00:35:42,640 --> 00:35:44,240 Speaker 19: we get to that final meeting in November. 768 00:35:44,400 --> 00:35:46,320 Speaker 2: And some of that water, though, was alluded to, I 769 00:35:46,360 --> 00:35:48,520 Speaker 2: think by Nicola Willis yesterday who said this isn't the 770 00:35:48,560 --> 00:35:50,560 Speaker 2: end of it. I mean, yesterday's discussion was could this 771 00:35:50,680 --> 00:35:52,360 Speaker 2: be the worst the answers know, isn't it. I mean, 772 00:35:52,400 --> 00:35:53,080 Speaker 2: there's more to come. 773 00:35:54,239 --> 00:35:55,839 Speaker 19: Well, the problem that we've got is that we're still 774 00:35:55,880 --> 00:35:59,080 Speaker 19: in this stumbling stop start sort of economic recovery, and 775 00:35:59,680 --> 00:36:02,439 Speaker 19: any time we get set that there, as we seem 776 00:36:02,480 --> 00:36:04,600 Speaker 19: to be in at the moment with this mid ye 777 00:36:04,760 --> 00:36:06,960 Speaker 19: ear pocket, it just bushes back the timing of when 778 00:36:06,960 --> 00:36:09,919 Speaker 19: you might expect that labor market to start turning around. 779 00:36:10,040 --> 00:36:12,000 Speaker 19: So I think we've talked about this before, but we 780 00:36:12,120 --> 00:36:15,480 Speaker 19: think that story is sliding probably into the first part 781 00:36:15,560 --> 00:36:18,319 Speaker 19: of next year and when you might start see unemployment's 782 00:36:18,360 --> 00:36:19,040 Speaker 19: head low rocking. 783 00:36:19,360 --> 00:36:21,000 Speaker 2: All right, nice to talk to you, mic as always, 784 00:36:21,080 --> 00:36:24,160 Speaker 2: that's that part of the story is sliding into next year. 785 00:36:24,280 --> 00:36:28,839 Speaker 2: So so forget twenty five folks. Shane Jones, I think 786 00:36:28,960 --> 00:36:32,080 Speaker 2: summed it up perfectly yesterday, and I'll come back to 787 00:36:32,120 --> 00:36:35,080 Speaker 2: that in the moment. Thirteen past seven light ruck charges 788 00:36:35,400 --> 00:36:36,880 Speaker 2: for all isn't a bad idea as long as we 789 00:36:36,920 --> 00:36:39,080 Speaker 2: don't get senter ticket each time we go fivek's over 790 00:36:39,120 --> 00:36:40,719 Speaker 2: the limit. The government also needs to use all the 791 00:36:40,760 --> 00:36:43,759 Speaker 2: revenue on roads and not diverting into the consolidated fund. Well, yeah, 792 00:36:43,800 --> 00:36:45,760 Speaker 2: that's fair enough too, and I think they do that currently, 793 00:36:45,840 --> 00:36:47,479 Speaker 2: so I don't think that's an issue. Might the change 794 00:36:47,520 --> 00:36:49,799 Speaker 2: to ruck on petrol a lot more fair for boat 795 00:36:49,840 --> 00:36:51,920 Speaker 2: he who have been contributing unfairly to roading under the 796 00:36:51,960 --> 00:36:55,440 Speaker 2: current system. The problem with ruxs, Mike is petrol taxes 797 00:36:55,520 --> 00:36:57,960 Speaker 2: little and often, but ruck's are larger sums that many 798 00:36:58,000 --> 00:36:59,840 Speaker 2: won't acrew for. Well, you can argue that with petrol. 799 00:37:00,400 --> 00:37:02,640 Speaker 2: You're can argue that with power. I mean you're not 800 00:37:02,719 --> 00:37:04,719 Speaker 2: paying your power bill on the daily basis. You paid 801 00:37:04,760 --> 00:37:05,960 Speaker 2: on a month, and every now and again you go, 802 00:37:06,040 --> 00:37:07,600 Speaker 2: oh my god, that's more than I thought, or less 803 00:37:07,600 --> 00:37:09,279 Speaker 2: than I thought of, whatever the case may be, it's 804 00:37:09,440 --> 00:37:11,839 Speaker 2: just another version of what we're already doing. I think, 805 00:37:11,920 --> 00:37:12,160 Speaker 2: isn't it. 806 00:37:12,320 --> 00:37:12,480 Speaker 14: Well? 807 00:37:12,520 --> 00:37:13,360 Speaker 2: Team Past. 808 00:37:14,800 --> 00:37:19,200 Speaker 1: The Mike asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered 809 00:37:19,280 --> 00:37:20,200 Speaker 1: by News Talks that Be. 810 00:37:21,440 --> 00:37:21,600 Speaker 14: Now. 811 00:37:21,800 --> 00:37:23,399 Speaker 2: I didn't pick him up on it at the AA, 812 00:37:23,640 --> 00:37:26,560 Speaker 2: but watch this space. When you mentioned the three and 813 00:37:26,600 --> 00:37:29,400 Speaker 2: a half tons, which is the current rule around you know, 814 00:37:29,520 --> 00:37:31,719 Speaker 2: above all below three and a half tons, I would 815 00:37:31,800 --> 00:37:34,720 Speaker 2: not be surprised if the government breaks it down further. 816 00:37:35,320 --> 00:37:36,880 Speaker 2: And so if they're going to run you on miles 817 00:37:36,920 --> 00:37:39,279 Speaker 2: as well as weight, they're going to have to get 818 00:37:39,320 --> 00:37:42,000 Speaker 2: into the business of how much cars weighs as opposed 819 00:37:42,000 --> 00:37:44,640 Speaker 2: to trucks, And so I wouldn't be surprised if the 820 00:37:44,640 --> 00:37:47,319 Speaker 2: government do a one ton, one point three tons, one 821 00:37:47,360 --> 00:37:49,279 Speaker 2: point six tons, two tons, two and a half tons 822 00:37:49,320 --> 00:37:50,960 Speaker 2: and do it that way. And so all of a sudden, 823 00:37:50,960 --> 00:37:52,600 Speaker 2: the weight of your car is going to be material 824 00:37:52,680 --> 00:37:55,160 Speaker 2: as well as how many miles Because you've got to remember, 825 00:37:55,239 --> 00:37:57,560 Speaker 2: this is all about raising revenue. So make no mistake. 826 00:37:57,640 --> 00:37:59,359 Speaker 2: This has got nothing to do with anything other than 827 00:37:59,440 --> 00:38:01,600 Speaker 2: raising rebege you. And if they can do it through 828 00:38:01,719 --> 00:38:05,479 Speaker 2: weight and miles, remember we I mean. 829 00:38:05,400 --> 00:38:05,840 Speaker 11: They don't want it. 830 00:38:05,880 --> 00:38:07,440 Speaker 19: They don't want us to be paying the same amount 831 00:38:07,480 --> 00:38:09,480 Speaker 19: that we're paying now through petrol decks, Are they correct? 832 00:38:10,160 --> 00:38:12,399 Speaker 2: And I don't think that was picked up yesterday either. 833 00:38:12,480 --> 00:38:14,920 Speaker 2: We're all got fascinated by the mechanism. All this is 834 00:38:15,160 --> 00:38:17,879 Speaker 2: is a revenue raise beginning middle an end. And if 835 00:38:17,880 --> 00:38:19,799 Speaker 2: they can sting you and go, well, your beb's two 836 00:38:19,800 --> 00:38:22,359 Speaker 2: and a half tons plus you do ten thousand k's 837 00:38:22,360 --> 00:38:25,080 Speaker 2: a year, guess what we've got for you? Now other matters. 838 00:38:25,120 --> 00:38:26,840 Speaker 2: If you think the job numbers don't sober you up, 839 00:38:26,880 --> 00:38:29,760 Speaker 2: what about the money, oh to aid business is currently 840 00:38:29,800 --> 00:38:31,960 Speaker 2: own more than one point four billion. This is gst 841 00:38:32,040 --> 00:38:34,600 Speaker 2: in paye. That's from twenty five tax year. Do you 842 00:38:34,640 --> 00:38:36,720 Speaker 2: know they're still owed forty eight million from twenty eighteen? 843 00:38:37,160 --> 00:38:39,359 Speaker 2: Robin Walker Tack's partner at Deloitte, of course back will 844 00:38:39,360 --> 00:38:40,600 Speaker 2: this Robin, very good morning to you. 845 00:38:41,440 --> 00:38:41,879 Speaker 1: Good morning. 846 00:38:41,960 --> 00:38:43,839 Speaker 2: Is this any worse than normal if you go back 847 00:38:43,880 --> 00:38:44,840 Speaker 2: over years and decades? 848 00:38:46,040 --> 00:38:48,520 Speaker 20: Uh, it's hard to tell from just looking at the reporting, 849 00:38:48,520 --> 00:38:51,439 Speaker 20: because they report on what's still outstanding from prior years. 850 00:38:51,640 --> 00:38:54,040 Speaker 20: Do they understand like the actual level of debt is 851 00:38:54,239 --> 00:38:56,560 Speaker 20: increasing if you look at the year on year of 852 00:38:56,560 --> 00:38:59,919 Speaker 20: the amountlet's being left unpaid? So definitely a concerning tree. 853 00:39:00,360 --> 00:39:02,320 Speaker 2: How much of this is COVID all that money that 854 00:39:02,440 --> 00:39:04,399 Speaker 2: flushed out that we didn't think we'd ever pay back 855 00:39:04,440 --> 00:39:07,120 Speaker 2: and as it turns out, we're not well. 856 00:39:07,320 --> 00:39:09,759 Speaker 20: I think that's when it all started to turn in 857 00:39:09,880 --> 00:39:13,400 Speaker 20: terms of tax debt really taking off, because there was 858 00:39:13,480 --> 00:39:16,600 Speaker 20: a bit of a mandate to say be kind and 859 00:39:17,320 --> 00:39:19,759 Speaker 20: you know, give people some breathing space and actually give 860 00:39:19,800 --> 00:39:22,000 Speaker 20: them some more money, as this like a small business 861 00:39:22,040 --> 00:39:24,000 Speaker 20: cash flow loan, would be a bit weird to say, 862 00:39:24,239 --> 00:39:27,000 Speaker 20: I already giving out a loan to them but then 863 00:39:27,080 --> 00:39:29,640 Speaker 20: asking them to pay back their tax at the same time. 864 00:39:29,880 --> 00:39:33,279 Speaker 2: Yeah, construction, I'm assuming is worse than most if you're 865 00:39:33,400 --> 00:39:34,440 Speaker 2: breaking it down by sector. 866 00:39:35,880 --> 00:39:39,160 Speaker 20: Yeah, certainly in absolute numbers. So there's almost a billion 867 00:39:39,239 --> 00:39:44,279 Speaker 20: dollars of tax outstanding from construction. So hard to know 868 00:39:44,480 --> 00:39:47,160 Speaker 20: how that sort of stacks up against the other industries 869 00:39:47,200 --> 00:39:49,400 Speaker 20: because you don't have the details of how many taxpayers 870 00:39:49,440 --> 00:39:52,320 Speaker 20: are in that cluster, but you're definitely an alarming sector. 871 00:39:52,840 --> 00:39:54,560 Speaker 2: How do they handle this, I mean, how much is 872 00:39:54,600 --> 00:39:56,839 Speaker 2: on the books as an ode that they think will 873 00:39:56,880 --> 00:39:59,000 Speaker 2: be paid versus if you were, you know, having a 874 00:39:59,080 --> 00:40:00,719 Speaker 2: quie drink and a corny go. You know you're never 875 00:40:00,800 --> 00:40:01,560 Speaker 2: going to get that, don't you. 876 00:40:03,120 --> 00:40:04,600 Speaker 20: They do have to do all this is sort of 877 00:40:04,600 --> 00:40:08,560 Speaker 20: assessment as part of their annual reporting. So of that 878 00:40:08,680 --> 00:40:11,200 Speaker 20: one point four that's outstanding, they think that one point 879 00:40:11,280 --> 00:40:13,720 Speaker 20: two is collectible. At one hundred and eighty five million 880 00:40:13,840 --> 00:40:15,680 Speaker 20: is uncollectible already. 881 00:40:15,520 --> 00:40:17,120 Speaker 2: Okay, And how much of that gets put on a 882 00:40:17,160 --> 00:40:18,640 Speaker 2: payment system When you come to me and say you 883 00:40:18,719 --> 00:40:20,600 Speaker 2: are three hundred thousand dollars and I say I'll give 884 00:40:20,600 --> 00:40:21,920 Speaker 2: you seventeen dollars a week. 885 00:40:23,120 --> 00:40:25,640 Speaker 20: I think ID has become a lot more proactive at 886 00:40:25,719 --> 00:40:28,480 Speaker 20: contacting people as soon as possible to put them on 887 00:40:28,800 --> 00:40:32,160 Speaker 20: payment plants. I think key thing is for anybody that 888 00:40:32,239 --> 00:40:34,560 Speaker 20: does have any tax debt is get in contact with 889 00:40:34,719 --> 00:40:37,719 Speaker 20: ID as soon as possible, because as soon as you 890 00:40:37,880 --> 00:40:41,440 Speaker 20: pay it off, the sooner bad things will stop happening 891 00:40:41,520 --> 00:40:45,000 Speaker 20: to you. So if you're not paying your tax, you're 892 00:40:45,040 --> 00:40:47,480 Speaker 20: getting interest at ten point eight eight applied to all 893 00:40:47,560 --> 00:40:50,279 Speaker 20: of that, you've got a five percent a cumulative late 894 00:40:50,360 --> 00:40:53,960 Speaker 20: payment penalty being applied. The problem is not actually going away. 895 00:40:54,800 --> 00:40:57,000 Speaker 20: You need to pull your head out of the sand 896 00:40:57,160 --> 00:40:58,680 Speaker 20: and face your problems. 897 00:40:58,760 --> 00:41:00,040 Speaker 2: Good on your Robin, Nice to talk to you. It 898 00:41:00,160 --> 00:41:03,040 Speaker 2: was always sooner bad things will stop happening. Some of 899 00:41:03,080 --> 00:41:06,160 Speaker 2: the brown things will stop happening to you. Shane Jones 900 00:41:06,640 --> 00:41:08,279 Speaker 2: I have something to say about him in a moment. 901 00:41:08,360 --> 00:41:10,120 Speaker 2: He might be a genius. Seven twenty. 902 00:41:11,840 --> 00:41:16,640 Speaker 1: The Mike Hosking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered 903 00:41:16,680 --> 00:41:17,719 Speaker 1: by News Talks B. 904 00:41:20,800 --> 00:41:22,960 Speaker 2: The Kiwi Dream, many would agree owning your home is 905 00:41:22,960 --> 00:41:24,759 Speaker 2: a big, big part of that. So SBS Bank have 906 00:41:24,800 --> 00:41:26,640 Speaker 2: been helping Kiwi has achieve that dream for one hundred 907 00:41:26,640 --> 00:41:28,719 Speaker 2: and fifty six years. They are so good at it. 908 00:41:28,800 --> 00:41:31,799 Speaker 2: They win awards old sps. Their purpose very simple one, 909 00:41:31,840 --> 00:41:34,200 Speaker 2: actually helping Kiwis find a place to call home. So 910 00:41:34,280 --> 00:41:36,440 Speaker 2: what makes them so good? Well, how about their product, 911 00:41:36,560 --> 00:41:38,959 Speaker 2: SBS First Home Combo. You gotta love this one because 912 00:41:38,960 --> 00:41:42,200 Speaker 2: it's got very impressive inclusions. So heavily discounted interest rate, 913 00:41:42,640 --> 00:41:45,840 Speaker 2: cash back offer, contribution towards SBS and surrant home policies, 914 00:41:45,920 --> 00:41:48,560 Speaker 2: money back into an SBS wealth Kiwi saver. So that's 915 00:41:48,600 --> 00:41:51,360 Speaker 2: a lot of savings for first home buyers and looking. 916 00:41:51,680 --> 00:41:53,520 Speaker 2: If you're into the business at first Home you don't 917 00:41:53,560 --> 00:41:54,759 Speaker 2: have to be a first time buyer. You might have 918 00:41:54,800 --> 00:41:56,600 Speaker 2: first time buyers in your life. You know your kids, 919 00:41:56,600 --> 00:41:59,239 Speaker 2: your grand kids, that sort of thing. SBS bank should 920 00:41:59,280 --> 00:42:01,640 Speaker 2: be your first pull of co first Home lending and 921 00:42:01,800 --> 00:42:03,440 Speaker 2: eligibility criteria applies. 922 00:42:03,480 --> 00:42:03,799 Speaker 21: Of course. 923 00:42:04,280 --> 00:42:06,399 Speaker 2: For all you need to know about the SBS Bank's terms, 924 00:42:06,440 --> 00:42:08,640 Speaker 2: fees and charges, go to the old website. So if 925 00:42:08,680 --> 00:42:11,440 Speaker 2: you're ready to follow those awards to a great home loan, 926 00:42:11,560 --> 00:42:14,440 Speaker 2: you search SBS Bank or talk to your mortgage broker 927 00:42:14,480 --> 00:42:19,600 Speaker 2: about SBS First Home Combo fast etan twenty four right 928 00:42:19,719 --> 00:42:23,000 Speaker 2: change Jones fast Becoming my favorite politician might have summed 929 00:42:23,040 --> 00:42:26,080 Speaker 2: up the government's issues with one of his increasingly famous quips. 930 00:42:26,080 --> 00:42:30,040 Speaker 2: Here's what he said. The Ruth Richardson bear austerity approach 931 00:42:30,600 --> 00:42:35,520 Speaker 2: is not delivering the economic growth we need. Is he right? 932 00:42:35,719 --> 00:42:38,000 Speaker 2: I think he's right, isn't he? Classic liberal politics? Trim 933 00:42:38,080 --> 00:42:40,560 Speaker 2: and cut not the mess of bomb we need. So 934 00:42:40,719 --> 00:42:43,680 Speaker 2: as Chris Bishop yesterday was offering more detail on these 935 00:42:43,760 --> 00:42:46,279 Speaker 2: ruck charges and a move away from petrol taxes, all 936 00:42:46,320 --> 00:42:49,240 Speaker 2: which is fine. Shane and his mate Winston we're wandering 937 00:42:49,280 --> 00:42:51,760 Speaker 2: around Marsden Point and talking about making it a special 938 00:42:51,800 --> 00:42:54,520 Speaker 2: economic zone, tax treatment incentives to get people to invest 939 00:42:54,600 --> 00:42:56,640 Speaker 2: do things. Marsden's got land, they got a port close 940 00:42:56,680 --> 00:42:59,719 Speaker 2: to the shipping lands, et cetera. Ireland have made these 941 00:42:59,760 --> 00:43:02,160 Speaker 2: things famous. So cut a deal on rates or tax, 942 00:43:02,200 --> 00:43:03,920 Speaker 2: bring them on and stoke them on up watch the 943 00:43:03,960 --> 00:43:07,480 Speaker 2: growth explode image might be a problem. Shane and Winston 944 00:43:07,520 --> 00:43:10,600 Speaker 2: both of course come from well Marsden, so it's a bit, 945 00:43:10,680 --> 00:43:13,560 Speaker 2: you know, nepotistic, but the idea is sound. Shane is 946 00:43:13,560 --> 00:43:15,720 Speaker 2: also this week, if you've missed it, announced a massive 947 00:43:15,800 --> 00:43:17,960 Speaker 2: up evil and fishing, biggest in decades. So it's the 948 00:43:18,040 --> 00:43:20,879 Speaker 2: big stuff that we may need because the regular size 949 00:43:20,880 --> 00:43:24,160 Speaker 2: stuff clearly hasn't provided the heft we'd hoped for. Yes, yes, 950 00:43:24,239 --> 00:43:26,320 Speaker 2: yes they inherited a mess. I get all that, but 951 00:43:26,400 --> 00:43:29,040 Speaker 2: the results are what count and has that changed the laws? 952 00:43:29,120 --> 00:43:32,560 Speaker 2: This week on round Garden Sheds and Nicola talks about supermarkets. 953 00:43:32,600 --> 00:43:36,319 Speaker 2: Yet again, it might just be ideas beyond our normal comprehension. 954 00:43:36,560 --> 00:43:39,279 Speaker 2: Are what are actually needed? For the irony of the 955 00:43:39,400 --> 00:43:42,040 Speaker 2: Jones idea? Is it's not part of the coalition deal? 956 00:43:42,760 --> 00:43:44,880 Speaker 2: You could ask the question, and indeed, I am why not? 957 00:43:45,960 --> 00:43:48,839 Speaker 2: Is the Ruth Richardson line an acceptance that what they 958 00:43:49,000 --> 00:43:53,400 Speaker 2: thought would work hasn't and isn't another irony? I'm not 959 00:43:53,440 --> 00:43:55,960 Speaker 2: sure how Shane and Winston can wander around Marsden by 960 00:43:56,000 --> 00:43:58,520 Speaker 2: the Way Blue, skying their way out of recession when 961 00:43:58,560 --> 00:44:00,480 Speaker 2: it's them that's holding up the foreigners from buying a 962 00:44:00,560 --> 00:44:02,640 Speaker 2: house after they invested tens of millions of dollars into 963 00:44:02,640 --> 00:44:05,560 Speaker 2: the country. But credit where credit is due, Jones seems 964 00:44:05,600 --> 00:44:07,960 Speaker 2: to have taken on the mantle of the garskicker. Here 965 00:44:08,040 --> 00:44:09,759 Speaker 2: is where a lot of us are at the moment. 966 00:44:09,840 --> 00:44:12,759 Speaker 2: This is not a bad government, far from it. It's 967 00:44:12,800 --> 00:44:16,040 Speaker 2: perhaps just a timid government and with October twenty six 968 00:44:16,080 --> 00:44:18,840 Speaker 2: and a ballot box getting closer. Maybe we need to 969 00:44:18,840 --> 00:44:22,040 Speaker 2: shift it up a year skiing Like I run a business. 970 00:44:22,080 --> 00:44:24,200 Speaker 2: We've accepted making no money to keep people and jobs. 971 00:44:24,200 --> 00:44:26,480 Speaker 2: Can't do it any longer. Redundancies are finally coming. We 972 00:44:26,560 --> 00:44:29,000 Speaker 2: are the next wave of businesses. More job losses are happening, 973 00:44:29,440 --> 00:44:31,359 Speaker 2: and the numbers are not in yet. There's a lot 974 00:44:31,400 --> 00:44:32,640 Speaker 2: of that. One of the banks came up with that 975 00:44:32,719 --> 00:44:35,080 Speaker 2: holding figure. They did the research and there's what they 976 00:44:35,280 --> 00:44:37,640 Speaker 2: It's called holding. In other words, you think this is 977 00:44:38,040 --> 00:44:40,120 Speaker 2: close to the wire. But Brian's a nice guy and 978 00:44:40,200 --> 00:44:41,839 Speaker 2: I can't let him go, so I'm going to hang tight. 979 00:44:42,320 --> 00:44:44,600 Speaker 2: You see the numbers yesterday, you see the forecasts, etc. 980 00:44:44,920 --> 00:44:46,879 Speaker 2: And you go can't hold on any longer, Mike, there's 981 00:44:46,920 --> 00:44:49,439 Speaker 2: no upbeat in rural New Zealand except council buildings. Don't 982 00:44:49,480 --> 00:44:52,759 Speaker 2: text me that crap what a pile would be? Yes, 983 00:44:54,320 --> 00:44:58,160 Speaker 2: Rural New Zealand is booming, Mike, Thank the good Lord. Mike. 984 00:44:58,239 --> 00:45:01,279 Speaker 2: What stops the Greens coming into power in two years 985 00:45:01,440 --> 00:45:06,120 Speaker 2: and adding an environmental charge or the election is the answer, obviously, 986 00:45:06,239 --> 00:45:08,080 Speaker 2: isn't it? If you want an environmental charge? Bout the 987 00:45:08,120 --> 00:45:11,279 Speaker 2: greens ruck. Now I have zero interest in buying an EV. 988 00:45:11,360 --> 00:45:13,480 Speaker 2: Why should I care about mythosophy or contribution to the 989 00:45:13,480 --> 00:45:15,399 Speaker 2: planet when I'm not rewarded for it compared to somebody 990 00:45:15,520 --> 00:45:17,080 Speaker 2: driving a guest cars. Well, I told you this two 991 00:45:17,080 --> 00:45:19,520 Speaker 2: three four years ago. I said, if you're going out 992 00:45:19,560 --> 00:45:21,719 Speaker 2: there to buy a be of today, more for you, 993 00:45:22,480 --> 00:45:25,680 Speaker 2: because you will be stung eventually. You would like to 994 00:45:25,800 --> 00:45:28,480 Speaker 2: think you've done it for other reasons, But if it 995 00:45:28,719 --> 00:45:32,439 Speaker 2: was merely to save money, the government were always going 996 00:45:32,560 --> 00:45:35,359 Speaker 2: to get you in. Reality is coming knocking on the door. 997 00:45:37,320 --> 00:45:42,360 Speaker 2: Nikola Willis Finance minister with a parlor worries after the News. 998 00:45:44,160 --> 00:45:48,160 Speaker 1: New Zealand's home for trusted news and views, the Mike 999 00:45:48,239 --> 00:45:52,960 Speaker 1: Hosking breakfitt with Bailey's real estate altogether better across residential, 1000 00:45:53,040 --> 00:45:55,600 Speaker 1: commercial and rural news togs, heead be, I like. 1001 00:45:55,640 --> 00:45:58,000 Speaker 2: Listening to your comments on the ride user charges. Isn't 1002 00:45:58,040 --> 00:45:59,880 Speaker 2: it just making it fairer for everyone who uses the 1003 00:46:00,080 --> 00:46:01,920 Speaker 2: I'd sure the government will get revenue, but at least 1004 00:46:01,920 --> 00:46:04,320 Speaker 2: for the users it's proportioned. Why should electric housepayer? I 1005 00:46:04,360 --> 00:46:07,000 Speaker 2: couldn't agree more. That's why I just couldn't get my 1006 00:46:07,040 --> 00:46:10,439 Speaker 2: head around why mainly the media got so exercised about 1007 00:46:10,480 --> 00:46:12,279 Speaker 2: it yesterday. I mean, yes, it's a change and it's 1008 00:46:12,320 --> 00:46:14,000 Speaker 2: a different way of making it, but it's still you're 1009 00:46:14,000 --> 00:46:16,520 Speaker 2: still paying the same thing. Nothing really changes and its 1010 00:46:16,640 --> 00:46:18,719 Speaker 2: user pays, which is what we do on pretty much 1011 00:46:18,719 --> 00:46:22,680 Speaker 2: everything else. Twenty three minutes away from eight well, well 1012 00:46:22,719 --> 00:46:24,480 Speaker 2: back in the studio for a song of chat after right, 1013 00:46:24,520 --> 00:46:26,600 Speaker 2: looking all of that particular catch up, back to the 1014 00:46:26,640 --> 00:46:29,480 Speaker 2: business meantime of the jobs five point two, Yes, lower 1015 00:46:29,520 --> 00:46:31,960 Speaker 2: than the five point three predicted. So the Finance Minister 1016 00:46:32,040 --> 00:46:34,600 Speaker 2: did the glass half fall and bemow the miners, which 1017 00:46:34,640 --> 00:46:36,600 Speaker 2: is fair enough, I guess. Nichola Willis is back with us, 1018 00:46:36,600 --> 00:46:37,400 Speaker 2: A very good morning to you. 1019 00:46:38,360 --> 00:46:39,080 Speaker 9: Good morning, right. 1020 00:46:39,239 --> 00:46:41,640 Speaker 2: I do worry, as should you about Auckland though six 1021 00:46:41,760 --> 00:46:46,000 Speaker 2: point one is a one big increase and two way 1022 00:46:46,080 --> 00:46:46,560 Speaker 2: too high. 1023 00:46:48,040 --> 00:46:50,800 Speaker 9: Yes it is, and that's why we are so focused 1024 00:46:50,920 --> 00:46:53,680 Speaker 9: on making sure the conditions that are recovery in Auckland 1025 00:46:53,760 --> 00:46:56,520 Speaker 9: are in place. We're doing six billion dollars worth of 1026 00:46:56,920 --> 00:46:59,960 Speaker 9: public infrastructure projects ahead of Christmas. There'll be real tea 1027 00:47:00,320 --> 00:47:04,320 Speaker 9: and real jobs. Importantly, that lower interest rate means that 1028 00:47:04,400 --> 00:47:06,320 Speaker 9: I think you are going to see some private sector 1029 00:47:06,400 --> 00:47:10,120 Speaker 9: construction get going again. The lighted to see Auckland port 1030 00:47:10,239 --> 00:47:13,320 Speaker 9: expansion given the green light during the fast track process, 1031 00:47:13,719 --> 00:47:17,080 Speaker 9: and that fast track process, we'll see some big developments 1032 00:47:17,239 --> 00:47:20,080 Speaker 9: occurring in the near future as well. That'll be a 1033 00:47:20,120 --> 00:47:22,920 Speaker 9: bit of a help to Auckland. But overall, what we're 1034 00:47:22,960 --> 00:47:25,800 Speaker 9: seeing here is what you always see after an economy 1035 00:47:25,880 --> 00:47:29,000 Speaker 9: goes through a difficult period, which is that unemployment is 1036 00:47:29,040 --> 00:47:31,399 Speaker 9: the last thing to get fixed because it does take 1037 00:47:31,480 --> 00:47:33,839 Speaker 9: time for those lower interest rates to flow through into 1038 00:47:33,880 --> 00:47:34,600 Speaker 9: the real economy. 1039 00:47:34,719 --> 00:47:37,400 Speaker 2: And that is one hundred percent correct. Trouble is, it 1040 00:47:37,560 --> 00:47:39,880 Speaker 2: was supposed to be happening by now, and certainly happening 1041 00:47:39,920 --> 00:47:42,040 Speaker 2: by the end of twenty five. And as an economist 1042 00:47:42,120 --> 00:47:44,080 Speaker 2: on the program said, we can really look now to 1043 00:47:44,120 --> 00:47:46,520 Speaker 2: twenty twenty six because yesterday was not the worst of it. 1044 00:47:46,560 --> 00:47:47,960 Speaker 2: And I think you admitted that, didn't you. 1045 00:47:48,880 --> 00:47:50,640 Speaker 9: Well, I'm going to push back on you because actually 1046 00:47:50,719 --> 00:47:52,759 Speaker 9: in the first quarter of this year we had growth 1047 00:47:52,840 --> 00:47:55,439 Speaker 9: that zero point eight percent, which annualized would be over 1048 00:47:55,520 --> 00:48:00,080 Speaker 9: three percent that would at war time in Australia. Well, 1049 00:48:00,120 --> 00:48:01,920 Speaker 9: that was four times the rate of growth that occurred 1050 00:48:01,960 --> 00:48:05,320 Speaker 9: in the first quarter in Australia. It is actually a 1051 00:48:05,400 --> 00:48:08,080 Speaker 9: healthy level of growth. Also, when you look at unemployment 1052 00:48:08,239 --> 00:48:11,160 Speaker 9: compared to what was being forecast ahead of the election, 1053 00:48:11,800 --> 00:48:15,680 Speaker 9: were now eight thousand fewer people unemployed than had been predicted. 1054 00:48:15,760 --> 00:48:18,839 Speaker 9: So we are coming in below the worst case scenarios. 1055 00:48:18,920 --> 00:48:22,000 Speaker 9: That doesn't then we're satisfied, and we have to push 1056 00:48:22,160 --> 00:48:24,000 Speaker 9: all of those things that are going to support growth. 1057 00:48:24,040 --> 00:48:27,400 Speaker 9: We're having a export lead recovery. That dairy price is 1058 00:48:27,480 --> 00:48:31,400 Speaker 9: remaining high. Our exporters are continuing to persevere and access 1059 00:48:31,560 --> 00:48:34,400 Speaker 9: new markets, get good value. And the government for ourber 1060 00:48:34,840 --> 00:48:37,160 Speaker 9: is cutting through the red and green cape. We're ensuring 1061 00:48:37,200 --> 00:48:41,120 Speaker 9: that those public sector construction projects are getting underway. We've 1062 00:48:41,160 --> 00:48:44,400 Speaker 9: got that investment first tax policy which is giving businesses 1063 00:48:44,480 --> 00:48:47,200 Speaker 9: confidence and a reason to invest and grow. And we 1064 00:48:47,320 --> 00:48:50,880 Speaker 9: are going to keep at it. This country has great prospects. 1065 00:48:51,040 --> 00:48:55,080 Speaker 9: We buy, make and sell things that the world wants. 1066 00:48:55,480 --> 00:48:57,759 Speaker 9: We do it really well, we do it really efficiently. 1067 00:48:57,920 --> 00:48:59,680 Speaker 9: That will continue to be the case. We don't need 1068 00:48:59,719 --> 00:48:59,880 Speaker 9: a bit. 1069 00:49:00,120 --> 00:49:00,600 Speaker 22: I do back. 1070 00:49:00,880 --> 00:49:03,399 Speaker 2: Yes, I agree, so well argued, and you're right, you're 1071 00:49:03,400 --> 00:49:05,080 Speaker 2: one hundred percent correct, But your zero point eight, and 1072 00:49:05,120 --> 00:49:07,000 Speaker 2: this is where you get too political. Zero point eight 1073 00:49:07,080 --> 00:49:08,879 Speaker 2: was Q one Q two, I doubt will be much 1074 00:49:08,880 --> 00:49:10,960 Speaker 2: above zero. And Q three is a problem as well, 1075 00:49:11,480 --> 00:49:14,040 Speaker 2: which off sets you. Let's time zero point eight times 1076 00:49:14,080 --> 00:49:16,200 Speaker 2: four and come to three point two, because life don't 1077 00:49:16,280 --> 00:49:16,879 Speaker 2: work that way. 1078 00:49:17,000 --> 00:49:21,400 Speaker 9: Nikoler, Well, look, I agree with you. I am very 1079 00:49:21,480 --> 00:49:24,840 Speaker 9: aware that Q two has been challenging, and you know 1080 00:49:25,080 --> 00:49:28,279 Speaker 9: Liberation Day in April March the beginning of Q two, 1081 00:49:28,800 --> 00:49:31,840 Speaker 9: and it is no question I've spoken to many business 1082 00:49:31,920 --> 00:49:36,080 Speaker 9: people who took caution from that, who've been very nervous 1083 00:49:36,160 --> 00:49:39,440 Speaker 9: about it, and that will have affected confidence, investment intentions, 1084 00:49:39,480 --> 00:49:41,600 Speaker 9: all of those things. I think I do have a 1085 00:49:41,719 --> 00:49:44,800 Speaker 9: job to do, which is to say, yes, it's not 1086 00:49:44,960 --> 00:49:47,560 Speaker 9: great to have tariffs, but actually, relatives to the rest 1087 00:49:47,640 --> 00:49:50,720 Speaker 9: of the world, we're okay. Our exporters are very resilient, 1088 00:49:50,880 --> 00:49:53,520 Speaker 9: they are continuing to grow their volumes, and so let's 1089 00:49:53,600 --> 00:49:57,120 Speaker 9: not overdo how bad the Trump tariffs are going to 1090 00:49:57,200 --> 00:49:59,960 Speaker 9: be for New Zealand and lets it knock our confidence. 1091 00:50:00,080 --> 00:50:01,680 Speaker 9: I think that's what you're saw into you too. It 1092 00:50:01,760 --> 00:50:04,680 Speaker 9: will be reflected in the real data. I agree, but 1093 00:50:04,840 --> 00:50:07,279 Speaker 9: I still have great confidence that the fundamentals in the 1094 00:50:07,360 --> 00:50:08,160 Speaker 9: economy are good. 1095 00:50:08,320 --> 00:50:10,480 Speaker 2: Here's your next problem. Wages at two point four and 1096 00:50:10,560 --> 00:50:12,440 Speaker 2: now below inflation. We're going backwards. 1097 00:50:13,520 --> 00:50:16,640 Speaker 9: Well, you're using a different measure. I use the average 1098 00:50:16,680 --> 00:50:19,800 Speaker 9: hourly earnings measure, which allows for the fact that people 1099 00:50:19,880 --> 00:50:23,120 Speaker 9: get promotions and change jobs. That roads with five percent 1100 00:50:23,200 --> 00:50:23,560 Speaker 9: in the part. 1101 00:50:23,719 --> 00:50:27,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, if you're changing jobs, Nicola, this is you're 1102 00:50:27,120 --> 00:50:29,360 Speaker 2: too political again. I'm just looking at the numbers yesterday. 1103 00:50:29,440 --> 00:50:32,239 Speaker 2: Two point four is below the rate of inflation. That 1104 00:50:32,480 --> 00:50:34,239 Speaker 2: you know people are going to use that against you. 1105 00:50:34,520 --> 00:50:35,719 Speaker 2: We are going backwards. 1106 00:50:36,520 --> 00:50:38,880 Speaker 9: Well, there are two measures that you can use. The 1107 00:50:38,960 --> 00:50:41,440 Speaker 9: measure you're using as a valid measure. The measure I'm 1108 00:50:41,480 --> 00:50:44,319 Speaker 9: referring to allows for the fact that people twitch too 1109 00:50:44,520 --> 00:50:47,120 Speaker 9: to take promotions. The exciting thing in the mic, and 1110 00:50:47,200 --> 00:50:49,839 Speaker 9: I'm sure you're welcome, is that it's being driven by 1111 00:50:50,040 --> 00:50:53,160 Speaker 9: private sector wage growth. For a change. We've had a 1112 00:50:53,320 --> 00:50:55,560 Speaker 9: period in which a lot of the wage growth that 1113 00:50:55,719 --> 00:51:00,880 Speaker 9: was occurring was through collective bargaining or through equity settlements 1114 00:51:00,920 --> 00:51:04,680 Speaker 9: and the like, which was the taxpayer paying public servants more. 1115 00:51:04,760 --> 00:51:07,440 Speaker 9: We now have a situation where it's the private sector 1116 00:51:07,840 --> 00:51:10,160 Speaker 9: that is able to pay its employees more. That's more 1117 00:51:10,200 --> 00:51:13,560 Speaker 9: sustainable economy because when the private sector is choosing to 1118 00:51:13,640 --> 00:51:15,800 Speaker 9: pay their workers more. Not only does that mean that 1119 00:51:15,880 --> 00:51:18,640 Speaker 9: they are feeling profitable, but it also means we're creating real, 1120 00:51:18,880 --> 00:51:22,000 Speaker 9: sustainable wage growth. So I take a positive from that. 1121 00:51:22,080 --> 00:51:24,239 Speaker 9: But I'm with you. We do want to drive all 1122 00:51:24,320 --> 00:51:27,080 Speaker 9: of those measures higher. But that is not my job 1123 00:51:27,160 --> 00:51:29,200 Speaker 9: to talk down this economy. It's my job to look 1124 00:51:29,239 --> 00:51:32,279 Speaker 9: at the real data, what's telling us the positive things 1125 00:51:32,280 --> 00:51:32,760 Speaker 9: that are happening. 1126 00:51:33,200 --> 00:51:35,120 Speaker 2: Now, now we're going to run into trouble with each 1127 00:51:35,120 --> 00:51:37,399 Speaker 2: other again because I'm at least in part blame well, 1128 00:51:37,400 --> 00:51:40,239 Speaker 2: I'm blaming the RB. I think Christian Hawksby spends too 1129 00:51:40,320 --> 00:51:42,719 Speaker 2: much time in a room, and he's wrong, and he 1130 00:51:42,800 --> 00:51:45,719 Speaker 2: will it's two point five as neutral. He needs at 1131 00:51:45,800 --> 00:51:48,399 Speaker 2: least three more cuts, and they've undercooked this and that's 1132 00:51:48,480 --> 00:51:50,319 Speaker 2: not helping. You tell me I'm wrong. 1133 00:51:50,480 --> 00:51:54,000 Speaker 9: Well, well, every bank economist seems to agree with you, Mike, 1134 00:51:54,080 --> 00:51:55,880 Speaker 9: which is the saying in a couple of weeks the 1135 00:51:56,040 --> 00:51:59,920 Speaker 9: Result Bank needs to reduce interest rates again before casting 1136 00:52:00,080 --> 00:52:02,839 Speaker 9: at least another reduction by the end of the year, 1137 00:52:03,280 --> 00:52:06,560 Speaker 9: and on the real data, that would be in line 1138 00:52:06,600 --> 00:52:09,160 Speaker 9: with the Reserve Bank continuing with its track, which has 1139 00:52:09,280 --> 00:52:12,200 Speaker 9: continued to be that they should be reducing the official 1140 00:52:12,280 --> 00:52:15,480 Speaker 9: TESH rate. Now, obviously they're independence they make those decisions, 1141 00:52:15,800 --> 00:52:20,560 Speaker 9: but independent economists can't see any other than down for 1142 00:52:20,680 --> 00:52:22,600 Speaker 9: interest rates. And I see that as a positive. 1143 00:52:23,600 --> 00:52:26,399 Speaker 2: Well is it? Because my argument would be if they'd 1144 00:52:26,480 --> 00:52:28,840 Speaker 2: been more nimble, if they'd been more in touch with 1145 00:52:28,920 --> 00:52:31,600 Speaker 2: the economy, the real economy, not just wants and numbers, 1146 00:52:31,680 --> 00:52:34,360 Speaker 2: they would have felt it, seen it, and acted sooner. 1147 00:52:34,480 --> 00:52:37,279 Speaker 2: In acting sooner, it would have turbo charged the place better. 1148 00:52:38,680 --> 00:52:41,760 Speaker 9: Well, you've heard my criticisms of the Reserve Bank's decision 1149 00:52:41,840 --> 00:52:45,800 Speaker 9: making after COVID. I think they overdid it then and 1150 00:52:45,880 --> 00:52:49,120 Speaker 9: then were reasonably slow to recover. But at this point 1151 00:52:49,840 --> 00:52:52,120 Speaker 9: what we can see is they've got options, got the 1152 00:52:52,480 --> 00:52:56,719 Speaker 9: ability to move down. And that's what everyone's expecting to see. 1153 00:52:56,960 --> 00:52:58,759 Speaker 2: Yeah, I couldn't do your job. I'd be in as 1154 00:52:58,800 --> 00:53:00,560 Speaker 2: a year, I'd be giving and what or why? Now 1155 00:53:01,040 --> 00:53:04,320 Speaker 2: the thing that worries me. Do you see these numbers yesterday? 1156 00:53:04,320 --> 00:53:06,279 Speaker 2: The number of kids leaving school with no as a 1157 00:53:06,400 --> 00:53:10,440 Speaker 2: NOO qualifications teny six hundred. We've got sixteen percent of 1158 00:53:10,520 --> 00:53:14,200 Speaker 2: kids leaving school with not a single thing that will 1159 00:53:14,239 --> 00:53:15,840 Speaker 2: help them for the rest of their lives. How's that? 1160 00:53:16,080 --> 00:53:19,280 Speaker 9: And that is why Erica Stanford is on a massive 1161 00:53:19,400 --> 00:53:23,479 Speaker 9: mission to bring back basic literacy, uniracy, reading, writing maps 1162 00:53:23,520 --> 00:53:26,720 Speaker 9: into our schools. She's rolling out those textbooks, she's rolling 1163 00:53:26,760 --> 00:53:30,399 Speaker 9: out that structured curriculum. We're very serious about it. That's 1164 00:53:30,440 --> 00:53:33,560 Speaker 9: why we're replacing MCA. We know that if you have 1165 00:53:33,719 --> 00:53:37,240 Speaker 9: children leaving school without those basics, that is a fiscal 1166 00:53:37,320 --> 00:53:41,080 Speaker 9: disaster and economic disaster. Frankly, it's a moral disaster. So 1167 00:53:41,320 --> 00:53:43,960 Speaker 9: this idea that schools should be a pick apart adventure 1168 00:53:43,960 --> 00:53:45,839 Speaker 9: where we just talk about well being all day, we've 1169 00:53:45,880 --> 00:53:48,520 Speaker 9: rejected that. We're going back to the orthodoxy, back to 1170 00:53:48,600 --> 00:53:51,719 Speaker 9: the basics that actually equip young New Zealanders for life. 1171 00:53:51,840 --> 00:53:53,920 Speaker 2: I hope it works. Nice to see you. Nicola Willis, 1172 00:53:54,120 --> 00:53:56,040 Speaker 2: Finance Minister, seven forty five. 1173 00:53:57,080 --> 00:54:01,719 Speaker 1: The Mike Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast iHeartRadio powered by 1174 00:54:01,800 --> 00:54:03,920 Speaker 1: News Talks at b Jue Mike. 1175 00:54:04,000 --> 00:54:06,239 Speaker 2: Nicola was most explicit I've ever heard of Finance Minister 1176 00:54:06,320 --> 00:54:08,600 Speaker 2: and what she thinks about theb I'm glad you picked 1177 00:54:08,600 --> 00:54:10,480 Speaker 2: that up because I think I think there's an element 1178 00:54:10,520 --> 00:54:13,160 Speaker 2: of desperation in there, because Christian is going to have 1179 00:54:13,200 --> 00:54:15,200 Speaker 2: a job after twenty six no matter what happens. 1180 00:54:15,200 --> 00:54:15,640 Speaker 21: In the election. 1181 00:54:15,800 --> 00:54:18,919 Speaker 2: Nicola might not cars. Can I give you some reasonable news. 1182 00:54:19,000 --> 00:54:23,200 Speaker 2: July sales new cars July sales match June, huge improvement 1183 00:54:23,280 --> 00:54:24,719 Speaker 2: on the early part of the year. The early part 1184 00:54:24,719 --> 00:54:27,160 Speaker 2: of the year was a dog like commercials up again, 1185 00:54:27,200 --> 00:54:29,600 Speaker 2: which is sort of encouraging. Eleven than six hundred and 1186 00:54:29,640 --> 00:54:31,960 Speaker 2: seventy one registrations. It's not what it was. What it 1187 00:54:32,160 --> 00:54:35,279 Speaker 2: was was thirteen plus, but it's better than it has been. 1188 00:54:35,360 --> 00:54:38,839 Speaker 2: So it's a twenty six percent uplift from May. Thank 1189 00:54:38,880 --> 00:54:42,040 Speaker 2: the Good Lord for that. Electric vehicles did not share 1190 00:54:42,120 --> 00:54:45,560 Speaker 2: the overall upward trend, no kidding that particular part as well, 1191 00:54:45,600 --> 00:54:49,439 Speaker 2: and truly over ranger. It's the usual stuff, the high Lucks, 1192 00:54:49,480 --> 00:54:53,000 Speaker 2: the ASX, the Celtos, the Triton, Yaddy dada, yadda triple A. 1193 00:54:53,120 --> 00:54:55,360 Speaker 2: This morning, just while I got you the triple A, 1194 00:54:55,560 --> 00:54:58,959 Speaker 2: the Australian Automobile Association has done the first independent test 1195 00:54:59,239 --> 00:55:01,640 Speaker 2: in Australia. We know different than it is here of 1196 00:55:01,800 --> 00:55:05,440 Speaker 2: EV's on what they claim and what they deliver in 1197 00:55:05,600 --> 00:55:07,319 Speaker 2: terms of miles. You know when they say I tell 1198 00:55:07,360 --> 00:55:09,800 Speaker 2: you what it goes four hundred and eighty kilometers in 1199 00:55:09,880 --> 00:55:13,040 Speaker 2: a single charge and the reality is no, it doesn't. 1200 00:55:13,560 --> 00:55:16,400 Speaker 2: So the Atto three BYDS claims four to eighty. It's 1201 00:55:16,440 --> 00:55:19,000 Speaker 2: actually three sixty nine. According to the Triple A. The 1202 00:55:19,080 --> 00:55:21,800 Speaker 2: Model three Tesla five point thirteen, they claim it's actually 1203 00:55:21,840 --> 00:55:24,480 Speaker 2: four forty one. The EV six the key of the 1204 00:55:24,520 --> 00:55:26,719 Speaker 2: five twenty eight claim is wrong, it's four eight four. 1205 00:55:27,040 --> 00:55:29,600 Speaker 2: Closest they got actually was the Smart three. Do we 1206 00:55:29,680 --> 00:55:31,080 Speaker 2: have the Smart three? I don't know we got the 1207 00:55:31,080 --> 00:55:33,200 Speaker 2: Smart three in this country and it doesn't matter. Four 1208 00:55:33,320 --> 00:55:35,239 Speaker 2: hundred and fifty five is what they claim. It came 1209 00:55:35,320 --> 00:55:38,399 Speaker 2: in at four three to two. So that's yeah, that's 1210 00:55:38,480 --> 00:55:40,680 Speaker 2: not the end of the world right now. The next 1211 00:55:40,760 --> 00:55:42,680 Speaker 2: matter we need to deal with is I don't know 1212 00:55:42,719 --> 00:55:45,560 Speaker 2: what cost of living crisis there is because everyone's in Europe. 1213 00:55:46,320 --> 00:55:48,440 Speaker 2: And when keywis go to Europe as they have and 1214 00:55:48,560 --> 00:55:50,640 Speaker 2: are at the moment over the northern summer, what we 1215 00:55:50,760 --> 00:55:54,319 Speaker 2: do is then fall over and break stuff, and then 1216 00:55:54,360 --> 00:55:56,400 Speaker 2: we claim on our insurance. So one we've got the 1217 00:55:56,440 --> 00:55:58,800 Speaker 2: price of a ticket, two we've got the price of insurance, 1218 00:55:59,160 --> 00:56:00,960 Speaker 2: and then we go in in you're ourselves so more 1219 00:56:01,000 --> 00:56:02,000 Speaker 2: shortly ten to wait. 1220 00:56:02,800 --> 00:56:05,560 Speaker 1: The make Hosking breakfast with rainthrow b news. 1221 00:56:05,600 --> 00:56:07,200 Speaker 2: Tom's dead b's it away from it? Do you know 1222 00:56:07,280 --> 00:56:09,080 Speaker 2: what we do when we go on holiday, Well, chances 1223 00:56:09,120 --> 00:56:11,840 Speaker 2: are we making insurance claim new data record number of 1224 00:56:11,920 --> 00:56:14,839 Speaker 2: claims from kiwis in Europe one cover in Z's paid 1225 00:56:14,880 --> 00:56:17,879 Speaker 2: out two point seven million since May. What for while 1226 00:56:17,960 --> 00:56:21,640 Speaker 2: slipping downstairs? Cracked teeth and broken backs? Roseanne Connley George, 1227 00:56:21,680 --> 00:56:26,440 Speaker 2: co owner of Vincent George Travel Agents, as with us, Roseanne, morning, good. 1228 00:56:26,320 --> 00:56:27,960 Speaker 18: Morning, my hell do you so? 1229 00:56:28,040 --> 00:56:29,680 Speaker 2: I'm well? Thank you? Do you see it when you ring? 1230 00:56:29,840 --> 00:56:31,840 Speaker 2: Barbara and she went to Sicily and do you go? 1231 00:56:31,920 --> 00:56:33,799 Speaker 2: How'd to go? Barb? And Barb went, well, it fell over? 1232 00:56:33,880 --> 00:56:34,600 Speaker 2: Do you hear that? A lot? 1233 00:56:36,080 --> 00:56:39,120 Speaker 21: We do get a number of claims for sure. I 1234 00:56:39,239 --> 00:56:43,839 Speaker 21: think insurance is absolutely relevant in the travel industry right now, 1235 00:56:44,000 --> 00:56:47,279 Speaker 21: especially with a lot of weather disrupts and a lot 1236 00:56:47,320 --> 00:56:51,440 Speaker 21: of uncertainty around the world, world events, et cetera. We're 1237 00:56:51,560 --> 00:56:56,400 Speaker 21: seeing more so though with luggage loss, luggage delays. There 1238 00:56:56,480 --> 00:56:59,360 Speaker 21: is a really big one. And I think Europe is 1239 00:56:59,560 --> 00:57:02,719 Speaker 21: a key spot because it's really the top sellar at 1240 00:57:02,760 --> 00:57:05,680 Speaker 21: the moment. And I think the age group and demographic 1241 00:57:05,760 --> 00:57:08,600 Speaker 21: that's heading through to Europe is that middle age too, 1242 00:57:09,680 --> 00:57:13,839 Speaker 21: a bit older, demographics, so the claims do stack up. Unfortunately, 1243 00:57:13,960 --> 00:57:15,480 Speaker 21: when people are traveling. 1244 00:57:15,160 --> 00:57:17,080 Speaker 2: What proceed did you people take out insurance? 1245 00:57:18,800 --> 00:57:22,320 Speaker 21: For us, we recommend everybody taking I know, but how 1246 00:57:22,360 --> 00:57:27,160 Speaker 21: many actually really I would say ninety nine percent of 1247 00:57:27,520 --> 00:57:30,880 Speaker 21: our travelers would Those that don't would be more so 1248 00:57:31,080 --> 00:57:33,960 Speaker 21: those that are heading across the Tasman. But I am 1249 00:57:34,160 --> 00:57:36,440 Speaker 21: not aware of ary men that do not take at 1250 00:57:36,520 --> 00:57:38,400 Speaker 21: insurance when they're going on a larger journey. 1251 00:57:38,560 --> 00:57:40,960 Speaker 2: Are we seeing an increase in premiums if we're making 1252 00:57:41,000 --> 00:57:43,240 Speaker 2: all these claims, the insurance company aren't in the business 1253 00:57:43,280 --> 00:57:45,600 Speaker 2: of being nice. They'll be putting the bill up, won't. 1254 00:57:45,400 --> 00:57:46,640 Speaker 17: They On. 1255 00:57:48,120 --> 00:57:51,280 Speaker 21: The premiums are definitely rising, but where they are really 1256 00:57:51,360 --> 00:57:56,120 Speaker 21: significant with preexisting medical conditions, those are becoming more relevant 1257 00:57:56,160 --> 00:57:59,600 Speaker 21: now and so they are becoming something that's a lot 1258 00:57:59,640 --> 00:58:02,919 Speaker 21: more efenses to be covering. But for that peace of mind, 1259 00:58:03,000 --> 00:58:06,800 Speaker 21: we're finding that when there are claims, it really pays off. 1260 00:58:07,080 --> 00:58:09,960 Speaker 21: But something that's really interesting, Mike is that we are 1261 00:58:10,120 --> 00:58:10,640 Speaker 21: seeing a. 1262 00:58:10,720 --> 00:58:13,400 Speaker 18: Lot of claims before people go. 1263 00:58:14,080 --> 00:58:18,400 Speaker 21: So there's been Yeah, so people forget that travel insurance 1264 00:58:18,600 --> 00:58:22,360 Speaker 21: actually taken out at the time you start paying money. 1265 00:58:22,960 --> 00:58:27,680 Speaker 21: This is when it kicks in for unforeseen circumstance previous 1266 00:58:27,760 --> 00:58:32,000 Speaker 21: to travel. So we're seeing a number of clients actually 1267 00:58:32,480 --> 00:58:38,920 Speaker 21: claiming on heart attacks, strokes, cant diagnosises before they're leaving. Now, 1268 00:58:39,040 --> 00:58:44,360 Speaker 21: whilst some of their particular travel arrangements can be refundable 1269 00:58:44,800 --> 00:58:46,920 Speaker 21: and they may not be the large claims that we've 1270 00:58:46,920 --> 00:58:50,520 Speaker 21: seen overseas for medical, they are still extremely relevant. 1271 00:58:51,080 --> 00:58:52,760 Speaker 2: What happens if you're a bit pissed and you fall 1272 00:58:52,840 --> 00:58:55,240 Speaker 2: down the stairs? Is there a rule against that? I mean, 1273 00:58:55,280 --> 00:58:57,080 Speaker 2: do they say, well, you shouldn't have had a drink, 1274 00:58:57,080 --> 00:58:57,680 Speaker 2: it's your fault. 1275 00:58:58,600 --> 00:59:01,360 Speaker 21: I think it's circumstance. There are clauses in there that 1276 00:59:01,520 --> 00:59:04,760 Speaker 21: does say that if there's intoxication or drug abuse and 1277 00:59:04,840 --> 00:59:07,880 Speaker 21: things that are involved. I guess it comes down to 1278 00:59:07,960 --> 00:59:10,640 Speaker 21: the claimant to be completely honest about the nature of 1279 00:59:10,720 --> 00:59:13,480 Speaker 21: the claim and what's happened for that situation. 1280 00:59:13,800 --> 00:59:15,400 Speaker 2: Roseanne, always a pleasure in us to talk to you, 1281 00:59:15,520 --> 00:59:17,800 Speaker 2: Roseanne Connolly George, who's the co owner of Vincent George 1282 00:59:17,880 --> 00:59:22,040 Speaker 2: Travel Agents. We had our business is an increase, very 1283 00:59:22,080 --> 00:59:23,760 Speaker 2: interesting article. I'll come back to it later if I 1284 00:59:23,840 --> 00:59:25,520 Speaker 2: got time, but there's been a big increase. This is 1285 00:59:25,560 --> 00:59:27,919 Speaker 2: my thing on ACC. At the moment, ACC isn't working 1286 00:59:28,840 --> 00:59:31,000 Speaker 2: and there's been a big increase in worker is taking 1287 00:59:31,200 --> 00:59:32,960 Speaker 2: weeks off so they have a thing, you know, like 1288 00:59:33,120 --> 00:59:34,360 Speaker 2: more than a week. So if you're off for a 1289 00:59:34,400 --> 00:59:35,880 Speaker 2: couple of days or whatever, and they pay you but 1290 00:59:35,960 --> 00:59:38,320 Speaker 2: they don't really care. But the week away from work, 1291 00:59:38,960 --> 00:59:43,840 Speaker 2: injury claims are up twenty five percent. So they're trying 1292 00:59:43,880 --> 00:59:45,520 Speaker 2: to work out what's going on there. I mean, are 1293 00:59:45,600 --> 00:59:49,560 Speaker 2: we actually more injured or are more of us being injured? 1294 00:59:49,600 --> 00:59:51,880 Speaker 2: And when we injure ourselves, are the injuries worse than 1295 00:59:51,920 --> 00:59:54,320 Speaker 2: they used to be or is somebody somewhere going, oh 1296 00:59:54,520 --> 00:59:56,240 Speaker 2: the hell, you have a couple of weeks off and 1297 00:59:56,480 --> 00:59:58,000 Speaker 2: somebody else will pay for it. So there's a bit 1298 00:59:58,040 --> 00:59:59,800 Speaker 2: of that going on. Anyway. Well, come back to that 1299 01:00:00,000 --> 01:00:02,760 Speaker 2: after thirty this morning, Rod Little. They got major tax 1300 01:00:02,800 --> 01:00:04,760 Speaker 2: issues to talk about in Britain at the moment. I'll 1301 01:00:04,760 --> 01:00:06,920 Speaker 2: give you some tax rate so that some research on 1302 01:00:07,000 --> 01:00:09,320 Speaker 2: tax rates in Britain. You'll be amazed how heavily tax 1303 01:00:09,400 --> 01:00:10,680 Speaker 2: they are. If you think it's bad here, it's even 1304 01:00:10,680 --> 01:00:13,480 Speaker 2: worse there. Anyway, that's all still to come next. Kaylee Bell. 1305 01:00:14,960 --> 01:00:18,920 Speaker 1: Setting the agenda and talking the big issues, the My Asking, 1306 01:00:19,000 --> 01:00:23,800 Speaker 1: Breakfast with A, Veda, Retirement, Communities, Life your Way, News, tog. 1307 01:00:23,720 --> 01:00:31,440 Speaker 2: Sad b unmy after the starting guys a seven past day. 1308 01:00:31,440 --> 01:00:32,760 Speaker 2: I want to enjoy it is to welcome back to 1309 01:00:32,800 --> 01:00:35,520 Speaker 2: the studio old mate, Kaylee Bell. It has been a year, 1310 01:00:35,600 --> 01:00:37,400 Speaker 2: but then one of us has been having children, so 1311 01:00:37,520 --> 01:00:39,320 Speaker 2: therefore has been a little bit busy. We have a 1312 01:00:39,400 --> 01:00:41,440 Speaker 2: new single this morning, along with a new album at 1313 01:00:41,440 --> 01:00:43,320 Speaker 2: the end of September and a five day New Zealand 1314 01:00:43,360 --> 01:00:46,120 Speaker 2: tour as well. Kaylee Bell is with us. Good morning, 1315 01:00:46,200 --> 01:00:47,000 Speaker 2: Good morning, Mike. 1316 01:00:47,040 --> 01:00:47,320 Speaker 15: How are you? 1317 01:00:47,560 --> 01:00:51,600 Speaker 2: I'm extremely well, so I have a confession, but before 1318 01:00:51,600 --> 01:00:53,760 Speaker 2: I get to the confession, I need to ask you 1319 01:00:53,840 --> 01:00:56,960 Speaker 2: the woman's weekly question, which is how's motherhood? 1320 01:00:57,400 --> 01:00:58,320 Speaker 15: It's amazing. 1321 01:00:58,920 --> 01:01:01,360 Speaker 22: I had a little six month old baby boy, James, 1322 01:01:01,600 --> 01:01:06,840 Speaker 22: and he's already been to America, Australia, around this country 1323 01:01:07,080 --> 01:01:10,880 Speaker 22: and yep, he's definitely just getting chucked in and thank 1324 01:01:10,960 --> 01:01:11,240 Speaker 22: him for the. 1325 01:01:11,280 --> 01:01:13,360 Speaker 2: Right fantastic Has he cut his first track yet? 1326 01:01:14,920 --> 01:01:17,000 Speaker 15: Well, his favorite song at the moment is the Wiggles song. 1327 01:01:17,160 --> 01:01:20,960 Speaker 2: So they still hope you'll go through that? Is it 1328 01:01:21,040 --> 01:01:22,000 Speaker 2: all you thought it would be? 1329 01:01:22,840 --> 01:01:25,320 Speaker 22: I really didn't actually have any idea what to expect, 1330 01:01:25,360 --> 01:01:27,720 Speaker 22: I don't think, but I feel like we've been pretty 1331 01:01:27,760 --> 01:01:30,200 Speaker 22: lucky with him. You know, he's an amazing sleeper and 1332 01:01:30,280 --> 01:01:32,360 Speaker 22: things like that, which obviously make life a lot easier. 1333 01:01:33,320 --> 01:01:34,160 Speaker 15: But it's just so nice. 1334 01:01:34,200 --> 01:01:35,840 Speaker 22: I never thought i'd get the chance to be a mother, 1335 01:01:35,920 --> 01:01:38,000 Speaker 22: and I love that I get to go and, you know, 1336 01:01:38,120 --> 01:01:40,320 Speaker 22: play a show and I walk off the stage and 1337 01:01:40,400 --> 01:01:42,080 Speaker 22: he's there now, or I get to come home. 1338 01:01:41,920 --> 01:01:42,760 Speaker 15: To him at the end of the day. 1339 01:01:42,760 --> 01:01:45,640 Speaker 22: And it's like in an industry that, as you probably 1340 01:01:45,640 --> 01:01:47,920 Speaker 22: while are weird, there's a lot of you know, up 1341 01:01:48,000 --> 01:01:51,000 Speaker 22: and downs and bs for what of a better word, 1342 01:01:51,080 --> 01:01:53,120 Speaker 22: in this industry, it's so nice to have something so 1343 01:01:53,360 --> 01:01:54,400 Speaker 22: grounding and just. 1344 01:01:54,560 --> 01:01:56,280 Speaker 15: Like just real. 1345 01:01:56,480 --> 01:01:59,280 Speaker 2: You know, it does change you, doesn't it. The logistics 1346 01:01:59,320 --> 01:02:01,240 Speaker 2: of it all, are they difficult? 1347 01:02:01,440 --> 01:02:05,280 Speaker 15: They are very difficult. I feel like they've always been tricky. 1348 01:02:05,360 --> 01:02:09,080 Speaker 22: I mean, we travel with about twenty Pelicans on the 1349 01:02:09,200 --> 01:02:12,640 Speaker 22: road and nine guys, and now we're just kind of 1350 01:02:12,680 --> 01:02:14,480 Speaker 22: adding a baby in the mix with everything that that 1351 01:02:14,680 --> 01:02:18,400 Speaker 22: also entails. So yeah, I'm lucky my partner Nick, he 1352 01:02:18,480 --> 01:02:21,120 Speaker 22: obviously works with me as well, and we've always been organized. 1353 01:02:21,160 --> 01:02:23,600 Speaker 15: But I just feel like we're really organized. 1354 01:02:23,640 --> 01:02:26,400 Speaker 2: Now, that's good. Did the music stop for a while 1355 01:02:26,680 --> 01:02:28,200 Speaker 2: while I was so you kept on. 1356 01:02:28,320 --> 01:02:29,960 Speaker 15: Being I actually worked right up. 1357 01:02:30,240 --> 01:02:33,720 Speaker 22: We're on the Cane Brown tour through Australia at about 1358 01:02:33,800 --> 01:02:36,760 Speaker 22: thirty four weeks pregnant, and then basically had to stop 1359 01:02:37,240 --> 01:02:38,160 Speaker 22: for flying reasons. 1360 01:02:38,360 --> 01:02:41,200 Speaker 15: I cut a record here in New Zealand, actually cut 1361 01:02:41,240 --> 01:02:41,600 Speaker 15: my record. 1362 01:02:41,640 --> 01:02:44,320 Speaker 22: My producer came out from Nashville in December, so we 1363 01:02:44,400 --> 01:02:46,640 Speaker 22: did that then, and then I had James at the 1364 01:02:46,680 --> 01:02:48,919 Speaker 22: end of January and we were back on stage after 1365 01:02:48,960 --> 01:02:50,920 Speaker 22: six weeks for CMC Rocks and I stood. 1366 01:02:50,720 --> 01:02:52,360 Speaker 2: On you and I watched that the other day. The 1367 01:02:52,480 --> 01:02:54,440 Speaker 2: CMC Rocks thing. That's a that's a thing. 1368 01:02:54,640 --> 01:02:55,160 Speaker 15: It's a thing. 1369 01:02:55,320 --> 01:02:58,320 Speaker 22: It's it's just kind of exploded over the last i'd 1370 01:02:58,400 --> 01:03:00,720 Speaker 22: say five to ten years. And we had a really 1371 01:03:00,760 --> 01:03:02,320 Speaker 22: cool spot this year. We got to play like the 1372 01:03:02,400 --> 01:03:05,680 Speaker 22: Sunset Spot, and Australian fans are really amazing, Like when 1373 01:03:05,720 --> 01:03:07,640 Speaker 22: it comes to just getting in there and having a 1374 01:03:07,680 --> 01:03:10,920 Speaker 22: good time and supporting, you know, artists from the sci. 1375 01:03:10,800 --> 01:03:12,040 Speaker 2: Showing me go back to those sort of things. You 1376 01:03:12,120 --> 01:03:14,560 Speaker 2: feeling momentum, like you're getting bigger and better and all that. 1377 01:03:14,800 --> 01:03:18,880 Speaker 22: Absolutely, I think, Yeah, we've just really just been continuing 1378 01:03:19,040 --> 01:03:20,640 Speaker 22: to grow this thing, and we put a lot of 1379 01:03:20,680 --> 01:03:23,880 Speaker 22: emphasis on the live show. I think is really important 1380 01:03:23,920 --> 01:03:25,560 Speaker 22: for us, and so we just want to keep getting 1381 01:03:25,560 --> 01:03:29,160 Speaker 22: better and we keep getting these amazing opportunities, like we've 1382 01:03:29,200 --> 01:03:31,840 Speaker 22: got a festival coming up with Shaboozi and Jelly Roll, 1383 01:03:31,920 --> 01:03:34,680 Speaker 22: and the spots are getting better that we get to play, 1384 01:03:34,720 --> 01:03:35,840 Speaker 22: which I think is a really. 1385 01:03:35,680 --> 01:03:37,560 Speaker 2: Good because they're they're the real deal. 1386 01:03:37,640 --> 01:03:38,440 Speaker 15: They are the real deal. 1387 01:03:38,640 --> 01:03:40,720 Speaker 2: Well, Caane Brown's the real deal. Oh my gosh, do 1388 01:03:40,800 --> 01:03:41,600 Speaker 2: you hang out with him? 1389 01:03:42,080 --> 01:03:43,680 Speaker 15: We had the best time on tour with him. 1390 01:03:43,800 --> 01:03:46,720 Speaker 22: It was to me he's like one of those country 1391 01:03:46,800 --> 01:03:50,520 Speaker 22: artists that can really cross over into He's got a 1392 01:03:50,560 --> 01:03:53,200 Speaker 22: lot of pop sensibilities that it was amazing just to 1393 01:03:53,280 --> 01:03:57,000 Speaker 22: actually like stand side stage and watch how they take 1394 01:03:57,080 --> 01:03:59,640 Speaker 22: his songs from like what we hear and you know, 1395 01:03:59,720 --> 01:04:02,240 Speaker 22: honest records and actually how they interpret that live. And 1396 01:04:02,520 --> 01:04:05,360 Speaker 22: I think we took away a lot from his live 1397 01:04:05,440 --> 01:04:07,960 Speaker 22: show and his band and stuff, like we still on 1398 01:04:08,160 --> 01:04:09,920 Speaker 22: group chats and he. 1399 01:04:10,080 --> 01:04:13,080 Speaker 2: Is a slick act, which, speaking of which brings me 1400 01:04:13,440 --> 01:04:17,720 Speaker 2: to my confession. Cowboy Up. Yes, I had heard it 1401 01:04:18,400 --> 01:04:21,040 Speaker 2: and I didn't think it was you. I didn't Yes, 1402 01:04:21,120 --> 01:04:22,040 Speaker 2: I didn't know it was you. 1403 01:04:22,240 --> 01:04:22,479 Speaker 15: Wow. 1404 01:04:22,600 --> 01:04:24,480 Speaker 2: I just thought it was a really good song. And 1405 01:04:24,640 --> 01:04:26,480 Speaker 2: Katie said one day and she was playing at home 1406 01:04:26,560 --> 01:04:28,680 Speaker 2: and she goes and Kylie Beller and I said. 1407 01:04:29,000 --> 01:04:29,160 Speaker 8: Is that? 1408 01:04:29,560 --> 01:04:31,040 Speaker 2: And I just joined the dots at that point. And 1409 01:04:31,080 --> 01:04:32,760 Speaker 2: the reason I didn't think it was you is I 1410 01:04:32,840 --> 01:04:37,479 Speaker 2: thought it was such a slick, professional Nashville International type song. 1411 01:04:37,640 --> 01:04:38,480 Speaker 15: Oh thank you match. 1412 01:04:38,560 --> 01:04:39,720 Speaker 2: It was a phenomenal song. 1413 01:04:39,880 --> 01:04:40,920 Speaker 15: That song had a journey. 1414 01:04:41,200 --> 01:04:44,240 Speaker 22: I actually wrote that in New Zealand and at prosong Cubs, 1415 01:04:44,680 --> 01:04:48,080 Speaker 22: just over at Roundhead Studios, obviously one of the most 1416 01:04:48,080 --> 01:04:49,720 Speaker 22: beautiful studios probably in the world. 1417 01:04:49,760 --> 01:04:52,000 Speaker 2: Actually Neil put his head around the corner and. 1418 01:04:54,360 --> 01:04:56,560 Speaker 15: Actually here's a line of like, thanks Neil, see letter 1419 01:04:58,000 --> 01:04:58,439 Speaker 15: I wish. 1420 01:04:58,840 --> 01:05:00,840 Speaker 22: But I wrote that song and like March and I 1421 01:05:00,960 --> 01:05:04,360 Speaker 22: tease that song on TikTok and it kind of exploded. 1422 01:05:04,400 --> 01:05:06,560 Speaker 22: But then I was like, like, I actually need to 1423 01:05:06,680 --> 01:05:09,200 Speaker 22: have the song produced. And it took me about nine 1424 01:05:09,200 --> 01:05:11,480 Speaker 22: months to find the person and I actually land with 1425 01:05:12,480 --> 01:05:15,520 Speaker 22: Travis Heidelman and Nashville who's been doing all the Dasher stuff. 1426 01:05:15,600 --> 01:05:17,400 Speaker 22: So it's very nice that you say that, because I 1427 01:05:17,480 --> 01:05:18,800 Speaker 22: feel like I love the Dasher stuff. 1428 01:05:18,960 --> 01:05:21,440 Speaker 2: It doesn't it? But you know what I'm saying, it's 1429 01:05:21,800 --> 01:05:25,040 Speaker 2: it is very international. Do you think about Kane Brown 1430 01:05:25,080 --> 01:05:27,240 Speaker 2: and what he does in a play to males? It's 1431 01:05:27,280 --> 01:05:29,480 Speaker 2: got the same yeah about it, doesn't it? 1432 01:05:29,760 --> 01:05:29,960 Speaker 6: Yeah? 1433 01:05:30,000 --> 01:05:32,160 Speaker 22: And that's I guess that's why we're kind of basing 1434 01:05:32,280 --> 01:05:34,200 Speaker 22: a whole tour around it now. It's one of those 1435 01:05:34,280 --> 01:05:37,160 Speaker 22: songs that, like, I think people have just really quickly resonated, 1436 01:05:37,200 --> 01:05:38,920 Speaker 22: And as soon as we started playing it live in 1437 01:05:38,960 --> 01:05:40,320 Speaker 22: the set, it was like it felt like one of 1438 01:05:40,360 --> 01:05:41,840 Speaker 22: those songs that will be in the set for a 1439 01:05:41,920 --> 01:05:44,760 Speaker 22: long time. So it's always lovely when you get those 1440 01:05:44,800 --> 01:05:46,320 Speaker 22: songs because they're few and far between. 1441 01:05:46,520 --> 01:05:48,360 Speaker 2: It's going to go for miles that song. By the way, 1442 01:05:48,360 --> 01:05:49,760 Speaker 2: what are you going to play for us after the break? 1443 01:05:49,960 --> 01:05:51,439 Speaker 15: I've got a brand new single out at the moment 1444 01:05:51,560 --> 01:05:52,600 Speaker 15: called The Thing About Us? 1445 01:05:52,840 --> 01:05:53,840 Speaker 2: Okay, is it any good? 1446 01:05:54,160 --> 01:05:54,200 Speaker 8: No? 1447 01:05:55,880 --> 01:05:57,800 Speaker 2: Because I'm just enjoying talking to you, That's all I'm 1448 01:05:57,840 --> 01:05:58,200 Speaker 2: just trying to. 1449 01:05:58,880 --> 01:06:01,040 Speaker 15: We know'd much rather too singer a chat? 1450 01:06:01,040 --> 01:06:02,840 Speaker 2: All right, Okay, listen, we'll get you this singing about 1451 01:06:02,840 --> 01:06:04,480 Speaker 2: but thirteen thirteen past eight. 1452 01:06:05,280 --> 01:06:10,040 Speaker 1: The Mic Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iheartradiow by 1453 01:06:10,120 --> 01:06:10,720 Speaker 1: News Talk. 1454 01:06:10,640 --> 01:06:14,520 Speaker 2: Zippy News Talks quarter past date. Kaylee Bell's in the studio. 1455 01:06:14,600 --> 01:06:15,960 Speaker 2: So I got it right, didn't I. So we've got 1456 01:06:16,000 --> 01:06:17,000 Speaker 2: the new single this morning. 1457 01:06:17,120 --> 01:06:17,400 Speaker 15: Correct. 1458 01:06:17,560 --> 01:06:19,800 Speaker 2: You've got how many singles out from the forthcoming album? 1459 01:06:19,960 --> 01:06:22,520 Speaker 15: We've got four singles out and there's four more to 1460 01:06:22,560 --> 01:06:23,200 Speaker 15: come on the record. 1461 01:06:23,280 --> 01:06:26,080 Speaker 2: Okay, very good. And the album's out next month September 1462 01:06:26,080 --> 01:06:28,680 Speaker 2: twenty six, and the tours coming in the latter part 1463 01:06:28,680 --> 01:06:30,520 Speaker 2: of the Let me give the dates on that shortly, 1464 01:06:30,680 --> 01:06:32,960 Speaker 2: because in the meantime we need to hear. 1465 01:06:33,320 --> 01:06:35,480 Speaker 15: The new single, the new single which is called what 1466 01:06:35,840 --> 01:06:37,000 Speaker 15: that's called the Thing about Us? 1467 01:06:37,080 --> 01:06:47,919 Speaker 6: Okay, it's a sleepin on a slowdy so our home, 1468 01:06:48,080 --> 01:06:51,160 Speaker 6: take a long way to get about the hustle and 1469 01:06:51,280 --> 01:06:54,120 Speaker 6: the fair sing Who's in track of time with you? 1470 01:06:55,880 --> 01:06:59,800 Speaker 6: It's the magic of the moment. It's said that would 1471 01:07:00,040 --> 01:07:03,080 Speaker 6: and it's glow it here we go together and we 1472 01:07:03,280 --> 01:07:07,000 Speaker 6: know it. Everything is better now, baby. That's the thing 1473 01:07:07,120 --> 01:07:11,800 Speaker 6: about sunshine kissing on my shoulder on a long jobs. 1474 01:07:11,880 --> 01:07:15,520 Speaker 6: See the way you're looking over your ryes reminding me 1475 01:07:15,800 --> 01:07:16,560 Speaker 6: something good. 1476 01:07:18,000 --> 01:07:18,320 Speaker 2: Baby. 1477 01:07:18,440 --> 01:07:19,160 Speaker 15: That's the thing. 1478 01:07:19,080 --> 01:07:23,560 Speaker 6: About those guy's pading like your blood jeans feels right 1479 01:07:23,760 --> 01:07:24,480 Speaker 6: wrapped up in. 1480 01:07:24,560 --> 01:07:28,320 Speaker 15: Your rip teeth. We know this is a forevery kind 1481 01:07:28,400 --> 01:07:28,840 Speaker 15: of love. 1482 01:07:29,880 --> 01:07:30,200 Speaker 2: Baby. 1483 01:07:30,320 --> 01:07:37,600 Speaker 6: That's the thing about us. Baby, that's the thing about us, 1484 01:07:42,880 --> 01:07:46,080 Speaker 6: Cause you're reading my mind when I lost it. You 1485 01:07:46,280 --> 01:07:49,919 Speaker 6: keep me on track when I'm off it. What everybody's 1486 01:07:49,960 --> 01:07:53,880 Speaker 6: looking for, we got it. The sweetest thing I ever found. Baby. 1487 01:07:54,040 --> 01:07:55,280 Speaker 15: That's the thing about. 1488 01:07:55,480 --> 01:07:59,560 Speaker 6: Sunshine kissing on my shoulder on a long jobs. See 1489 01:07:59,640 --> 01:08:03,120 Speaker 6: the way you're looking over who rides reminding me of 1490 01:08:03,280 --> 01:08:08,760 Speaker 6: something good. Baby, that's the thing about loose Guy's fading 1491 01:08:08,920 --> 01:08:12,240 Speaker 6: like your blue jeans feels right wrapped up in your 1492 01:08:12,320 --> 01:08:12,800 Speaker 6: rip tea. 1493 01:08:13,400 --> 01:08:14,960 Speaker 10: We know this is a. 1494 01:08:15,080 --> 01:08:16,360 Speaker 15: Forever kind of love. 1495 01:08:17,439 --> 01:08:17,719 Speaker 2: Baby. 1496 01:08:17,880 --> 01:08:19,240 Speaker 15: That's a thing about us. 1497 01:08:22,200 --> 01:08:31,280 Speaker 6: Yeah, Baby, that's the thing about us, because we're falling 1498 01:08:31,400 --> 01:08:34,040 Speaker 6: in deep at the right place, at the right time. 1499 01:08:34,200 --> 01:08:37,400 Speaker 6: Can't believe I'm the one that's calling you mine. The 1500 01:08:37,520 --> 01:08:42,200 Speaker 6: thing about real love, you really gotta show up and 1501 01:08:42,400 --> 01:08:46,679 Speaker 6: a hard times think is never getting better. Long nights, 1502 01:08:46,800 --> 01:08:50,320 Speaker 6: Thanking God that we're together, we'll say we know we 1503 01:08:50,400 --> 01:08:55,720 Speaker 6: got something good. Maybe that's the thing about loose guys. Yeah, 1504 01:08:55,800 --> 01:08:59,160 Speaker 6: they're gonna come and go. Real life ain't a He's 1505 01:08:59,200 --> 01:09:00,920 Speaker 6: an easy road the Wena. 1506 01:09:01,439 --> 01:09:03,360 Speaker 15: This is a forever can off. 1507 01:09:04,439 --> 01:09:04,759 Speaker 6: Baby. 1508 01:09:04,880 --> 01:09:06,200 Speaker 15: That's a thing about us. 1509 01:09:08,479 --> 01:09:16,559 Speaker 6: Oh yeah, baby, that's a thing about us. Oh yeah, baby, 1510 01:09:16,680 --> 01:09:17,799 Speaker 6: that's a thing. A Bell. 1511 01:09:19,720 --> 01:09:22,439 Speaker 2: Instant reviews. Gosh, Mike, she has a lovely voice. Gosh, 1512 01:09:22,560 --> 01:09:26,000 Speaker 2: darn I love Kaylee Bel Sadega. Thank they're lapping you up. 1513 01:09:26,080 --> 01:09:29,160 Speaker 2: So you got the single, you got the album, You're 1514 01:09:29,240 --> 01:09:30,760 Speaker 2: around the country. I'll give the dates in just a 1515 01:09:30,800 --> 01:09:33,280 Speaker 2: couple of moments, and next time you bring jameson. 1516 01:09:33,120 --> 01:09:35,160 Speaker 15: Absolutely and we'll have you willing to do some babies. 1517 01:09:35,160 --> 01:09:37,840 Speaker 2: We'll have a little sing along or a campfire or whatever. 1518 01:09:37,920 --> 01:09:39,680 Speaker 2: It's lovely to see you, lovely to see you, and 1519 01:09:39,760 --> 01:09:41,600 Speaker 2: we'll get you in again soon. Kaylee Bell. It is 1520 01:09:41,680 --> 01:09:42,599 Speaker 2: nineteen past eight. 1521 01:09:43,040 --> 01:09:47,280 Speaker 1: The Lighthosking Breakfast with Bailey's real estate news talks. 1522 01:09:47,080 --> 01:09:50,360 Speaker 2: Did be as we age, Independence means everything. Of course, 1523 01:09:50,400 --> 01:09:53,080 Speaker 2: he's staying mobile, feeling confident in the old body, enjoying 1524 01:09:53,120 --> 01:09:55,120 Speaker 2: the little things like walking the dog or getting back 1525 01:09:55,160 --> 01:09:57,080 Speaker 2: to the hobbies you love, which is where Lister's Oil 1526 01:09:57,160 --> 01:09:59,479 Speaker 2: can help. So what we've got here with Listers Oil 1527 01:09:59,560 --> 01:10:01,840 Speaker 2: high qual to you a Mega three supplement, got your 1528 01:10:01,880 --> 01:10:04,320 Speaker 2: added coq ting, got your vitamin D three and your 1529 01:10:04,360 --> 01:10:07,200 Speaker 2: other key nutrients, so they're all formulated to help support 1530 01:10:07,240 --> 01:10:09,160 Speaker 2: the heart, the brain, the joint and the overall health 1531 01:10:09,200 --> 01:10:12,519 Speaker 2: and well being. Ellen, he's a fan like me. I 1532 01:10:12,640 --> 01:10:14,679 Speaker 2: love Lister's Oil. I've been taking it for the past 1533 01:10:14,720 --> 01:10:17,360 Speaker 2: five years. Makes me feel positive within myself, keeps me going. 1534 01:10:17,400 --> 01:10:19,840 Speaker 2: I strongly recommend him so you can join Ellen and 1535 01:10:19,960 --> 01:10:22,880 Speaker 2: all the others who include Lester Soil and the daily 1536 01:10:23,000 --> 01:10:25,640 Speaker 2: routine about health I eight hundred triple nine three oh 1537 01:10:25,760 --> 01:10:28,760 Speaker 2: nine I eight hundred triple line three outline, read the label. 1538 01:10:28,800 --> 01:10:31,280 Speaker 2: Take only as directed, of course, when you order a 1539 01:10:31,280 --> 01:10:33,000 Speaker 2: three month supply, by the way, you'll receive a free 1540 01:10:33,040 --> 01:10:35,680 Speaker 2: bar of the delicious Capitie dark chocolate. All you're doing 1541 01:10:35,800 --> 01:10:37,439 Speaker 2: is using the code Breakfast. Got to use the code 1542 01:10:37,439 --> 01:10:39,640 Speaker 2: Breakfast online if you want all the details about all 1543 01:10:39,680 --> 01:10:41,720 Speaker 2: their products and the company itself, about health dot co 1544 01:10:41,800 --> 01:10:44,439 Speaker 2: dot nz. But the magic numbers O eight hundred triple 1545 01:10:44,520 --> 01:10:48,759 Speaker 2: nine three oh nine for your fantastic Lester's Oil. Asking 1546 01:10:49,000 --> 01:10:51,160 Speaker 2: Mike what sort of guitar was she playing, Lindsey, I 1547 01:10:52,080 --> 01:10:56,920 Speaker 2: want to say a Martin, but I wasn't paying enough attention. 1548 01:10:57,000 --> 01:10:59,040 Speaker 2: It wasn't a Gibson because I do. I always look. 1549 01:10:59,080 --> 01:11:01,200 Speaker 2: I bore them witless everyone who brings a guitar, and 1550 01:11:01,320 --> 01:11:05,280 Speaker 2: I'm fascinated by guitars, and I'm fact funny enough. I 1551 01:11:05,320 --> 01:11:08,080 Speaker 2: went to a house the other day and they had 1552 01:11:08,120 --> 01:11:11,040 Speaker 2: a collection of guitars, old guitars, like a lot of them, 1553 01:11:11,640 --> 01:11:13,240 Speaker 2: and I sort of spent more time looking at the 1554 01:11:13,280 --> 01:11:15,880 Speaker 2: guitars than I did the house itself, because the house 1555 01:11:15,960 --> 01:11:18,200 Speaker 2: was potentially for sale. Mike has come with the guitars 1556 01:11:18,320 --> 01:11:20,320 Speaker 2: or no where you see a lot of stuff can 1557 01:11:20,360 --> 01:11:20,840 Speaker 2: come with the house. 1558 01:11:20,880 --> 01:11:21,879 Speaker 15: It's all up for negotiation. 1559 01:11:22,000 --> 01:11:24,559 Speaker 2: Isn't it all up for negotiation? That's exactly right. How 1560 01:11:24,640 --> 01:11:27,280 Speaker 2: hard would it be for Nicola to give big incentives 1561 01:11:27,320 --> 01:11:29,559 Speaker 2: for ld to come and work with the warehouse? Who 1562 01:11:29,560 --> 01:11:32,240 Speaker 2: went to the grocery market? The question? It's not a 1563 01:11:32,280 --> 01:11:35,880 Speaker 2: bad question, Michelle in the sense that I don't know 1564 01:11:35,960 --> 01:11:37,720 Speaker 2: what else she can do. I'm Nikola and I are 1565 01:11:37,760 --> 01:11:40,480 Speaker 2: butting heads a little bit about her fascination with the supermarkets. 1566 01:11:40,520 --> 01:11:42,920 Speaker 2: I don't believe there's the scandal. She thinks there is 1567 01:11:43,600 --> 01:11:46,360 Speaker 2: the Commerce Commission. Broadly thinking speaking, I think her on 1568 01:11:46,479 --> 01:11:48,960 Speaker 2: her site, but she hasn't pulled any sort of trigger. 1569 01:11:49,000 --> 01:11:52,280 Speaker 2: What she has done so far is deregulate a bunch 1570 01:11:52,320 --> 01:11:54,599 Speaker 2: of stuff, or at least promise to deregulate a bunch 1571 01:11:54,640 --> 01:11:57,080 Speaker 2: of stuff. So if Eldie wants to come to the 1572 01:11:57,120 --> 01:11:59,400 Speaker 2: country and they want to buy bunches of land and 1573 01:11:59,439 --> 01:12:02,760 Speaker 2: they want to build bunches of shops, they can go 1574 01:12:02,920 --> 01:12:05,000 Speaker 2: to what I understand to be sort of a clearing house, 1575 01:12:05,040 --> 01:12:07,320 Speaker 2: a government clearing house, and they'll take all those boxes 1576 01:12:07,320 --> 01:12:09,400 Speaker 2: at once. You go, hello, I'm from Aldi. I want 1577 01:12:09,439 --> 01:12:10,880 Speaker 2: to do a whole bunch of stuff around the country 1578 01:12:10,920 --> 01:12:13,640 Speaker 2: and be a big supermarket competitor. They'll go, welcome to 1579 01:12:13,720 --> 01:12:16,760 Speaker 2: New Zealand. Here's the paperwork. It's already filled out. Just 1580 01:12:16,880 --> 01:12:19,599 Speaker 2: sign here, and all the regulations and stuff have been 1581 01:12:19,640 --> 01:12:21,360 Speaker 2: taken care of so share. It's not like she hasn't 1582 01:12:21,400 --> 01:12:24,240 Speaker 2: been trying to get people on board. But here's where 1583 01:12:24,400 --> 01:12:27,479 Speaker 2: we go back to the theory versus reality. It's not 1584 01:12:27,880 --> 01:12:31,200 Speaker 2: like the world hasn't seen New Zealand. You know this Ikea. 1585 01:12:31,520 --> 01:12:34,120 Speaker 2: I'm reading yesterday what was it called yesterday? In Ikea, 1586 01:12:34,120 --> 01:12:36,800 Speaker 2: they're bringing the bookshelf, the Billy Bob bookshelf, or whatever 1587 01:12:36,840 --> 01:12:38,439 Speaker 2: the hell that is. As you're supposed to know what 1588 01:12:38,520 --> 01:12:41,760 Speaker 2: that is. The point being ike has been coming to 1589 01:12:41,880 --> 01:12:46,160 Speaker 2: this country and has been given the most astonishing amount 1590 01:12:46,200 --> 01:12:50,000 Speaker 2: of media coverage for something that hasn't opened. They announced 1591 01:12:50,000 --> 01:12:53,200 Speaker 2: they were coming here first in nineteen twelve and the 1592 01:12:53,280 --> 01:12:55,240 Speaker 2: Herald were all over it and they've been running along 1593 01:12:55,280 --> 01:12:57,920 Speaker 2: with their atmosphere and clickbait warnings with the weather. They've 1594 01:12:57,920 --> 01:13:00,880 Speaker 2: been running stories on Ikea for every year since then 1595 01:13:01,439 --> 01:13:04,719 Speaker 2: and they're still not open. And here's the point, ELDI 1596 01:13:05,120 --> 01:13:07,439 Speaker 2: know New Zealand, they know where it is. They've got 1597 01:13:07,479 --> 01:13:09,439 Speaker 2: a map, they've had a look at it, they've gone. 1598 01:13:09,800 --> 01:13:11,840 Speaker 2: I wonder if there's a gap for us in the market. 1599 01:13:11,960 --> 01:13:14,280 Speaker 2: I wonder if we couldn't make an impression. I wonder 1600 01:13:14,360 --> 01:13:15,720 Speaker 2: if we, if we spent a bit of money, did 1601 01:13:15,760 --> 01:13:17,920 Speaker 2: a bit of marketing, whether we couldn't grab a bit 1602 01:13:17,960 --> 01:13:19,920 Speaker 2: of market share the same way. Do you reckon the 1603 01:13:20,000 --> 01:13:22,800 Speaker 2: warehouse has done that? I think they probably have. Do 1604 01:13:22,880 --> 01:13:25,439 Speaker 2: you think the warehouse have got some money the ability 1605 01:13:25,520 --> 01:13:27,840 Speaker 2: to scale up, the ability to have a brand in 1606 01:13:27,880 --> 01:13:31,400 Speaker 2: the marketplace that you understand already? Yes, yes, yes, and yes, 1607 01:13:31,840 --> 01:13:35,000 Speaker 2: so us answer me this, Why aren't therefore so scale supermarket? 1608 01:13:35,439 --> 01:13:40,080 Speaker 2: Could it possibly be that there just isn't enough room 1609 01:13:40,120 --> 01:13:41,880 Speaker 2: in the market to make the same way there isn't 1610 01:13:41,960 --> 01:13:43,800 Speaker 2: enough room in the market for two airlines. Where we 1611 01:13:43,960 --> 01:13:46,360 Speaker 2: like two airlines, yes, would we like three or four 1612 01:13:46,439 --> 01:13:47,200 Speaker 2: or five airlines? 1613 01:13:47,320 --> 01:13:47,479 Speaker 20: Yes? 1614 01:13:47,800 --> 01:13:49,760 Speaker 2: Are we going to get them? No, we're not. So 1615 01:13:50,240 --> 01:13:53,920 Speaker 2: theory intersecting with the wonderful world of reality snap By 1616 01:13:53,960 --> 01:13:55,880 Speaker 2: the way, are you into Snapchat? I'm not on any 1617 01:13:55,960 --> 01:13:57,760 Speaker 2: social media. I just that's why I find this thing 1618 01:13:57,840 --> 01:14:01,240 Speaker 2: so fascinating. Of all the text that's operating around the 1619 01:14:01,280 --> 01:14:04,320 Speaker 2: world at the moment, snap are a disaster. Their revenue 1620 01:14:04,360 --> 01:14:06,840 Speaker 2: is one point three billion, sales grew nine percent, so 1621 01:14:06,920 --> 01:14:10,240 Speaker 2: they're making money. No, so given that, why would they 1622 01:14:10,520 --> 01:14:12,000 Speaker 2: Are they ever going to make any money? How many 1623 01:14:12,080 --> 01:14:14,000 Speaker 2: users are there in the whole world for Snapchat? You 1624 01:14:14,040 --> 01:14:16,000 Speaker 2: know when people talk about snapyke saw them on Snapchat? 1625 01:14:16,040 --> 01:14:18,280 Speaker 2: How many people in the whole world are on Snapchat? Answer? 1626 01:14:18,600 --> 01:14:21,640 Speaker 2: Four hundred and sixty nine million, which means what's that 1627 01:14:21,720 --> 01:14:26,599 Speaker 2: as a percentage of the population? Five So ninety five 1628 01:14:26,680 --> 01:14:29,760 Speaker 2: percent of the world isn't on Snapchat. So next time 1629 01:14:29,800 --> 01:14:31,759 Speaker 2: you hear somebody going on the seal one on the Snapchat, 1630 01:14:31,800 --> 01:14:34,240 Speaker 2: no one's on Snapchat. Don't worry about it, just say no. 1631 01:14:34,280 --> 01:14:36,160 Speaker 2: One's on snapchat Mate, I've got the facts. I heard 1632 01:14:36,160 --> 01:14:39,840 Speaker 2: it on the Mike Hosking Breakfast Rod the Asylum deal. 1633 01:14:40,000 --> 01:14:44,000 Speaker 2: It's underway, one in and one out, the argument being 1634 01:14:44,120 --> 01:14:48,160 Speaker 2: that the Breads get the good one and the French 1635 01:14:48,320 --> 01:14:54,040 Speaker 2: get the bad one. What could possibly go wrong? Rod 1636 01:14:54,240 --> 01:14:54,919 Speaker 2: is next. 1637 01:15:01,040 --> 01:15:01,200 Speaker 5: For the. 1638 01:15:17,280 --> 01:15:20,680 Speaker 1: Breakfast show, Kiwi's trust to stay in the know the 1639 01:15:20,920 --> 01:15:25,320 Speaker 1: mic hosting Breakfast with Rainthrover leading by example news togs 1640 01:15:25,320 --> 01:15:25,560 Speaker 1: dead Be. 1641 01:15:25,880 --> 01:15:27,800 Speaker 2: You're one hundred percent correct around the prices we pay 1642 01:15:27,840 --> 01:15:30,280 Speaker 2: for groceries, fuel airlines. The biggest problem for kiwis is 1643 01:15:30,360 --> 01:15:32,679 Speaker 2: we still pay a higher price when of cheaper options available. 1644 01:15:32,760 --> 01:15:35,439 Speaker 2: Lazy or loyal, I don't know that's true. I mean, 1645 01:15:35,560 --> 01:15:38,040 Speaker 2: most people I think have a reasonable crack at a bargain, 1646 01:15:38,080 --> 01:15:40,760 Speaker 2: don't they. Recently, Mike, I wandered around the grocery section 1647 01:15:40,840 --> 01:15:43,640 Speaker 2: of the warehouse. I could only find one item that 1648 01:15:43,720 --> 01:15:46,560 Speaker 2: I buy that was cheaper than the supermarket, so that 1649 01:15:46,840 --> 01:15:51,040 Speaker 2: that probably proves my point. I mean, more doesn't mean 1650 01:15:51,240 --> 01:15:54,160 Speaker 2: a better deal all the time. And I think back 1651 01:15:54,200 --> 01:15:56,720 Speaker 2: to Nikola Willison a great example of how Costco were 1652 01:15:56,800 --> 01:15:59,000 Speaker 2: running butter at whatever dollars it was at the time, 1653 01:15:59,040 --> 01:16:00,920 Speaker 2: but it was a lost leader. They we're actually losing 1654 01:16:01,000 --> 01:16:03,320 Speaker 2: money and that happens in supermarkets all the time. So 1655 01:16:03,600 --> 01:16:05,519 Speaker 2: as much as we would like for stuff to happen, 1656 01:16:05,600 --> 01:16:07,639 Speaker 2: it doesn't always necessarily mean that it will. 1657 01:16:07,720 --> 01:16:13,120 Speaker 13: Twenty three to nine International correspondence with Insneye Insurance Peace 1658 01:16:13,160 --> 01:16:14,559 Speaker 13: of Mind for New Zealand Business. 1659 01:16:15,960 --> 01:16:18,360 Speaker 3: One little morning to you, Good morning to you, mate. 1660 01:16:18,560 --> 01:16:20,320 Speaker 2: Is someone at the border? Is someone at the border 1661 01:16:20,400 --> 01:16:22,760 Speaker 2: going Now? That's one in, so well, now where's the 1662 01:16:22,800 --> 01:16:24,560 Speaker 2: one going out? How's that working for you? 1663 01:16:25,800 --> 01:16:29,720 Speaker 3: That's gonna work? Tough dandy Mike. If you remember, the 1664 01:16:29,840 --> 01:16:33,040 Speaker 3: original plan to stop illegal migrants coming to the country 1665 01:16:33,200 --> 01:16:35,960 Speaker 3: was to smash the gangs and take kept saying we're 1666 01:16:36,000 --> 01:16:40,080 Speaker 3: going to smash the gangs. The gangs having been not 1667 01:16:40,360 --> 01:16:46,960 Speaker 3: smashed in any possible interpretation of the word, have continued 1668 01:16:47,040 --> 01:16:50,880 Speaker 3: and indeed twenty five thousand people have come over from 1669 01:16:51,000 --> 01:16:54,840 Speaker 3: Calais this year, which is the highest ever. So the 1670 01:16:55,000 --> 01:16:59,200 Speaker 3: new deal and this really betters belief it's a one 1671 01:16:59,280 --> 01:17:03,680 Speaker 3: even one hour deal with France. France will we will 1672 01:17:03,800 --> 01:17:07,000 Speaker 3: send an illegal asylum seeker back to fan back to 1673 01:17:07,080 --> 01:17:09,720 Speaker 3: France and they will send over someone who's filled in 1674 01:17:09,800 --> 01:17:13,040 Speaker 3: all their forms right and has a right to a here. 1675 01:17:14,800 --> 01:17:18,040 Speaker 3: I don't see how that reduces the number for a start. 1676 01:17:18,880 --> 01:17:21,840 Speaker 3: But the second thing is, as I said, twenty five 1677 01:17:22,000 --> 01:17:26,360 Speaker 3: thousand people come over, how many does the government think 1678 01:17:26,560 --> 01:17:29,200 Speaker 3: that they might be able to get sent to France? 1679 01:17:29,560 --> 01:17:34,760 Speaker 3: Fifty it's the answer to that, fifty. So whether it's 1680 01:17:34,760 --> 01:17:40,360 Speaker 3: active as a deterrent, you know, so an asylum seeker 1681 01:17:40,439 --> 01:17:43,439 Speaker 3: opening talible think, goodness me, I don't think I've got 1682 01:17:43,479 --> 01:17:45,439 Speaker 3: to go to Britain because I only stand a ninety 1683 01:17:45,520 --> 01:17:47,280 Speaker 3: nine point eight chance of getting in. 1684 01:17:48,600 --> 01:17:51,320 Speaker 2: And exactly you've got to remember that they did, of 1685 01:17:51,360 --> 01:17:54,320 Speaker 2: course fill out their paperwork, and all of their problems 1686 01:17:54,360 --> 01:17:56,679 Speaker 2: are honest and real, and they straight up and down citizens. 1687 01:17:56,720 --> 01:17:57,040 Speaker 17: I just. 1688 01:18:01,000 --> 01:18:02,960 Speaker 2: Was sitting in the room thinking about did none of 1689 01:18:03,040 --> 01:18:05,680 Speaker 2: them honestly think that this would turn out to be 1690 01:18:05,800 --> 01:18:07,439 Speaker 2: the laughing stock that it is. 1691 01:18:08,000 --> 01:18:11,839 Speaker 3: Well, you see, it hasn't been done to stop the gangs. 1692 01:18:11,880 --> 01:18:17,000 Speaker 3: It's been done performatively in order to show the British public. 1693 01:18:17,080 --> 01:18:19,840 Speaker 3: And there was an opinion poll of about immigration earlier 1694 01:18:19,880 --> 01:18:22,920 Speaker 3: this week which was very very hard lines for the 1695 01:18:22,960 --> 01:18:25,320 Speaker 3: first time for a number of years that they're doing 1696 01:18:25,520 --> 01:18:29,959 Speaker 3: something about immigration, but of course they're not. You know, furthermore, 1697 01:18:30,040 --> 01:18:32,120 Speaker 3: we're paying for it all. I think this is because 1698 01:18:32,560 --> 01:18:40,160 Speaker 3: Sakia has the negotiatory skills of a counter loop. He's 1699 01:18:40,200 --> 01:18:44,320 Speaker 3: faced with mackerel. So it's it is a laughing stock. 1700 01:18:47,000 --> 01:18:51,680 Speaker 3: I cannot possibly see how this could help you, But 1701 01:18:52,960 --> 01:18:57,040 Speaker 3: I suspect that there will be a great, great parades 1702 01:18:57,120 --> 01:18:59,360 Speaker 3: through the streets when the first guy is sent back 1703 01:18:59,400 --> 01:19:00,760 Speaker 3: to France. Look, we've done it. 1704 01:19:00,960 --> 01:19:01,120 Speaker 20: You know. 1705 01:19:03,760 --> 01:19:07,040 Speaker 2: China's new embassy. It's always angsty, isn't it. How many wires, 1706 01:19:07,120 --> 01:19:09,880 Speaker 2: how many cables, how many satellites, how much spying, all 1707 01:19:09,920 --> 01:19:11,639 Speaker 2: that sort of stuff. It's it's tuned a bit angsty. 1708 01:19:11,920 --> 01:19:15,680 Speaker 3: It's getting a bit nasty. Trump warned us formed to 1709 01:19:15,840 --> 01:19:19,799 Speaker 3: form the British government against letting China redevelop its embassy. 1710 01:19:19,840 --> 01:19:22,000 Speaker 3: And it's what it's building is a is a vast 1711 01:19:22,240 --> 01:19:27,040 Speaker 3: mega embassy in the middle of London. And and he 1712 01:19:27,200 --> 01:19:29,160 Speaker 3: warned it, and he said, don't don't don't let them 1713 01:19:29,240 --> 01:19:33,280 Speaker 3: do that. Don't let them do that. Janshao ping H 1714 01:19:34,600 --> 01:19:39,800 Speaker 3: a canvas. Starma for a long time persuaded persuade rather 1715 01:19:39,840 --> 01:19:42,439 Speaker 3: than persuaded. Starma that it was something which had to 1716 01:19:42,520 --> 01:19:45,200 Speaker 3: be done, that it was very important. Starma went along 1717 01:19:45,240 --> 01:19:47,920 Speaker 3: with it. Now we've seen the blueprints and there are 1718 01:19:48,080 --> 01:19:51,360 Speaker 3: vast aerias of it in the basement which have been 1719 01:19:51,520 --> 01:19:56,800 Speaker 3: blocked out in gray, redacted for security reasons. I mean 1720 01:19:58,240 --> 01:20:01,200 Speaker 3: all this well, I sometimes believe we're living in a 1721 01:20:01,320 --> 01:20:07,320 Speaker 3: fiction like so and the raiment. A deputy PM has 1722 01:20:07,400 --> 01:20:10,880 Speaker 3: stepped in and to pass the Chinese very politely, why 1723 01:20:10,920 --> 01:20:12,720 Speaker 3: all these airs blocked off? 1724 01:20:13,479 --> 01:20:14,200 Speaker 21: But what do you do? 1725 01:20:14,360 --> 01:20:17,720 Speaker 3: We give them and Soham and I don't know how 1726 01:20:17,800 --> 01:20:19,960 Speaker 3: this will resolve itself made I've been. 1727 01:20:19,960 --> 01:20:22,200 Speaker 2: Looking just while I've got you here. Forty one point 1728 01:20:22,240 --> 01:20:25,400 Speaker 2: two billion is the National Institute of Economic Research. They 1729 01:20:25,439 --> 01:20:27,599 Speaker 2: were giving us numbers yesterday. I was reading about these numbers. 1730 01:20:27,600 --> 01:20:29,240 Speaker 2: So the government is short. So this is all back 1731 01:20:29,240 --> 01:20:32,360 Speaker 2: to the text rise and text rises. Given the state 1732 01:20:33,120 --> 01:20:36,080 Speaker 2: that the government's books are in, and given how little 1733 01:20:36,160 --> 01:20:39,519 Speaker 2: time they've been in government, how is it possible they 1734 01:20:39,600 --> 01:20:43,040 Speaker 2: promise not to increase texas when they're clearly, clearly clearly 1735 01:20:43,240 --> 01:20:44,519 Speaker 2: going to increase taxes. 1736 01:20:44,760 --> 01:20:48,040 Speaker 3: Well, of course it will come down to nomenclature and 1737 01:20:48,120 --> 01:20:50,559 Speaker 3: whether a tax is a tax or some of them 1738 01:20:50,680 --> 01:20:55,000 Speaker 3: kind of tariff, but of course they're going to increase taxes. 1739 01:20:55,920 --> 01:20:57,880 Speaker 3: I hope you wouldn't bring this subject up because it 1740 01:20:58,000 --> 01:21:01,000 Speaker 3: just sends me into a spiral of depression and gloom mote. 1741 01:21:02,680 --> 01:21:07,160 Speaker 3: It gets worse and worse by the month, and there's 1742 01:21:07,320 --> 01:21:11,160 Speaker 3: no sign of economic growth because of course Reeves a 1743 01:21:11,320 --> 01:21:13,760 Speaker 3: chancellor shut that off as soon as you put up 1744 01:21:13,840 --> 01:21:17,360 Speaker 3: national insurance, so we can't even buy our way out 1745 01:21:17,400 --> 01:21:21,200 Speaker 3: of this. It's it's going to hit I think the 1746 01:21:21,280 --> 01:21:24,760 Speaker 3: middle classes particularly very very hard. Indeed, and given that 1747 01:21:24,840 --> 01:21:27,439 Speaker 3: the middle classes are now the principal source of folks 1748 01:21:27,720 --> 01:21:30,400 Speaker 3: for the Labor Party, it doesn't augur very well for 1749 01:21:30,560 --> 01:21:31,599 Speaker 3: twenty twenty nine. 1750 01:21:31,720 --> 01:21:33,720 Speaker 2: Right Rod talks, Sir, you have a good week in 1751 01:21:33,800 --> 01:21:35,479 Speaker 2: Rod Little and Britain. Just let me bring you up 1752 01:21:35,520 --> 01:21:36,800 Speaker 2: to speed. In fact, I'll do it in just a 1753 01:21:36,800 --> 01:21:39,040 Speaker 2: couple of moments, because the text rights in Britain are fascinating. 1754 01:21:39,080 --> 01:21:41,720 Speaker 2: But this guy Miller who wrote this report, and you've 1755 01:21:41,720 --> 01:21:45,320 Speaker 2: got to remember it, recommended a moderate in his report, 1756 01:21:45,360 --> 01:21:48,920 Speaker 2: a moderate but sustained increase in taxes. Now, when she 1757 01:21:49,040 --> 01:21:51,840 Speaker 2: became chancellor, Reeve set out two rules for government borrowing. 1758 01:21:52,160 --> 01:21:55,080 Speaker 2: Two rules. First rule, day to day spending would be 1759 01:21:55,160 --> 01:21:58,920 Speaker 2: paid for within revenue, so at forty one point two 1760 01:21:59,000 --> 01:22:03,240 Speaker 2: billion hasn't quite worked. Borrowing can only be for investments. 1761 01:22:03,680 --> 01:22:06,080 Speaker 2: Second rule, debt must be falling as a share of 1762 01:22:06,160 --> 01:22:08,280 Speaker 2: national income by the end of a five year period. 1763 01:22:08,600 --> 01:22:11,519 Speaker 2: She's repeated this over and over again as being quote 1764 01:22:11,600 --> 01:22:16,280 Speaker 2: unquote non negotiable. Originally promised not to raise taxes further, 1765 01:22:16,320 --> 01:22:18,360 Speaker 2: but recently refused to rule it out, and now Millard 1766 01:22:18,400 --> 01:22:21,400 Speaker 2: says Reeves will need to either raise taxes or reduce 1767 01:22:21,439 --> 01:22:24,720 Speaker 2: spending or both in the October budget if she is 1768 01:22:24,800 --> 01:22:27,040 Speaker 2: to meet her fiscal rules. So if she put the 1769 01:22:27,080 --> 01:22:29,639 Speaker 2: taxes up to what more in a moment sixteen too. 1770 01:22:30,000 --> 01:22:35,160 Speaker 1: The Mike Asking Breakfast Full Show podcast on iHeartRadio powered 1771 01:22:35,240 --> 01:22:36,240 Speaker 1: by News Talks that be. 1772 01:22:38,439 --> 01:22:41,400 Speaker 2: It is thirteen minutes away from nine. So Rachel Reeves 1773 01:22:41,479 --> 01:22:44,120 Speaker 2: is she's going to increase the taxes. They do have 1774 01:22:44,240 --> 01:22:46,519 Speaker 2: and I've always favored this personally, But they have what 1775 01:22:46,640 --> 01:22:48,960 Speaker 2: we don't have there, which is zero tax rate for 1776 01:22:49,280 --> 01:22:50,960 Speaker 2: the early earners. So in other words, up to twelve 1777 01:22:51,000 --> 01:22:53,200 Speaker 2: and a half pounds twelve seven hundred and fifty de 1778 01:22:53,240 --> 01:22:56,000 Speaker 2: bee precise, there's no tax paid, and will you pay 1779 01:22:56,120 --> 01:22:58,960 Speaker 2: tax on your very first dollar, which our youngest I mean, 1780 01:22:59,000 --> 01:23:01,360 Speaker 2: all that kids have gone through it. Obviously, it's amazing 1781 01:23:01,439 --> 01:23:03,640 Speaker 2: to have kids who then go out noon for the 1782 01:23:03,720 --> 01:23:06,200 Speaker 2: first time and they're just astonished that all the money 1783 01:23:06,240 --> 01:23:08,280 Speaker 2: that they've just earned and worked hard for suddenly go 1784 01:23:08,400 --> 01:23:10,800 Speaker 2: somewhere else, And they ask you the question in the 1785 01:23:10,880 --> 01:23:15,120 Speaker 2: most innocent possible way, where's it gone? And why is 1786 01:23:15,160 --> 01:23:17,360 Speaker 2: there so much being taken off me? And you mean 1787 01:23:17,400 --> 01:23:19,680 Speaker 2: I have to pay off the student exactly right. It's 1788 01:23:19,720 --> 01:23:22,600 Speaker 2: amazing to deal with anyway. So they've got zero up 1789 01:23:22,640 --> 01:23:24,960 Speaker 2: to twelve seven hundred and fifty. Then you go to 1790 01:23:25,040 --> 01:23:28,320 Speaker 2: twenty percent of YEO between twelve seven and fifty thousand dollars, 1791 01:23:29,120 --> 01:23:32,439 Speaker 2: so that might be I mean, it might be a 1792 01:23:32,439 --> 01:23:34,439 Speaker 2: little bit better than us between fifty though and one 1793 01:23:34,520 --> 01:23:37,200 Speaker 2: hundred and twenty five year at forty so immediately you're 1794 01:23:37,240 --> 01:23:39,519 Speaker 2: well beyond our very highest. We've got thirty nine at 1795 01:23:39,520 --> 01:23:41,880 Speaker 2: one eighty, of course, and thirty three at whatever it 1796 01:23:41,960 --> 01:23:43,840 Speaker 2: is up to you from seventy or eighty or whatever 1797 01:23:43,880 --> 01:23:45,640 Speaker 2: it is now to a one eighty and at one 1798 01:23:45,720 --> 01:23:48,479 Speaker 2: twenty five and above you're paying forty five p So 1799 01:23:48,600 --> 01:23:50,960 Speaker 2: the high income earner for example, in Britain on one 1800 01:23:51,000 --> 01:23:52,920 Speaker 2: twenty five and above is paying forty five plus. Of 1801 01:23:52,960 --> 01:23:55,439 Speaker 2: course you got VAT at twenty percent, so you're paying 1802 01:23:55,640 --> 01:24:00,400 Speaker 2: sixty five percent of everything you earn back to Rachel Reeves. 1803 01:24:00,720 --> 01:24:05,400 Speaker 2: And she's got the temerity to come to you and say, gout, 1804 01:24:05,439 --> 01:24:08,519 Speaker 2: I have some moll please. Speaking of which, this came 1805 01:24:08,600 --> 01:24:10,599 Speaker 2: out of Fox. And this is why Trump's in trouble. 1806 01:24:11,280 --> 01:24:14,560 Speaker 2: Mark Zandi, chief economist at Moody's. The economy is on 1807 01:24:14,600 --> 01:24:17,479 Speaker 2: the precipice us. The economy is on the precipice of recession. 1808 01:24:18,200 --> 01:24:21,960 Speaker 2: Consumer spending's flat line, construction of manufacturing and contracting, employment 1809 01:24:22,000 --> 01:24:24,360 Speaker 2: is set to fall, and with inflation on the rise, 1810 01:24:24,439 --> 01:24:26,160 Speaker 2: it is tough for the Fed to come to the rescue. 1811 01:24:26,240 --> 01:24:30,400 Speaker 2: They've got, in a way what we've got, which is 1812 01:24:30,439 --> 01:24:32,400 Speaker 2: all of the problems, and the Fed can't help them, 1813 01:24:33,040 --> 01:24:34,960 Speaker 2: and so they haven't cut yet so they can cut. 1814 01:24:35,120 --> 01:24:36,479 Speaker 2: So I don't know how they're going to handle it. 1815 01:24:36,560 --> 01:24:38,920 Speaker 2: The defining promise another This is another piece of commentary 1816 01:24:38,960 --> 01:24:41,080 Speaker 2: this morning. The defining promise of Donald Trump's twenty four 1817 01:24:41,120 --> 01:24:44,240 Speaker 2: campaign was lower costs. On day one, he broke it. 1818 01:24:44,600 --> 01:24:47,679 Speaker 2: The first six months ever, higher prices. Republicans in Congress 1819 01:24:47,800 --> 01:24:50,160 Speaker 2: would be wise to remember that voters are never quicker 1820 01:24:50,200 --> 01:24:53,559 Speaker 2: to fire elected officials than when they break a core promise. 1821 01:24:53,800 --> 01:24:55,800 Speaker 2: And it is this Congress who will be on the 1822 01:24:55,840 --> 01:24:59,360 Speaker 2: ballot next year, not Donald Trump. Good point. The campaign 1823 01:24:59,439 --> 01:25:02,400 Speaker 2: trail promise sounded too good to be true because basically 1824 01:25:03,160 --> 01:25:05,320 Speaker 2: they were ten away from nine. 1825 01:25:06,560 --> 01:25:10,760 Speaker 1: The Mike Hosking Breakfast with a Vida Retirement. Communities News 1826 01:25:10,800 --> 01:25:11,760 Speaker 1: togs had been just. 1827 01:25:11,760 --> 01:25:13,320 Speaker 2: Reading another text. I won't put it on here, but 1828 01:25:13,360 --> 01:25:15,639 Speaker 2: it's about the obsupermarket suppliers in the March and stuff 1829 01:25:15,680 --> 01:25:17,519 Speaker 2: like that. But it suddenly triggered my memory. I got 1830 01:25:17,520 --> 01:25:20,160 Speaker 2: a very good letter yesterday from somebody who they didn't 1831 01:25:20,160 --> 01:25:22,800 Speaker 2: identify themselves as being in, but they were clearly in 1832 01:25:22,840 --> 01:25:26,960 Speaker 2: the wine industry when we talked about it yesterday. Grapes 1833 01:25:27,040 --> 01:25:32,120 Speaker 2: left on the vine, international marketing, alcohol interest falling internationally, 1834 01:25:32,120 --> 01:25:33,840 Speaker 2: all that stuff. Anyway, they made a point and I 1835 01:25:33,880 --> 01:25:36,120 Speaker 2: thought it was not a bad one. Single desks so 1836 01:25:36,520 --> 01:25:38,560 Speaker 2: Kiwi fruit Fonterra that sort of thing. We sort of 1837 01:25:38,600 --> 01:25:41,000 Speaker 2: got a single desk operation in this country where we 1838 01:25:41,120 --> 01:25:42,720 Speaker 2: take what we produce and we go out to the 1839 01:25:42,760 --> 01:25:44,880 Speaker 2: world in a singular voice and go here we are 1840 01:25:45,320 --> 01:25:47,600 Speaker 2: New Zealand Inc. And the point was made that the 1841 01:25:47,680 --> 01:25:49,760 Speaker 2: wine industry doesn't do that. There was a thing called 1842 01:25:49,840 --> 01:25:52,639 Speaker 2: Family of twelve. I'm assuming they still exist, but twelve 1843 01:25:52,840 --> 01:25:56,400 Speaker 2: really top end producers were part of what they call 1844 01:25:56,479 --> 01:25:58,200 Speaker 2: the Family of twelve and they were going to market 1845 01:25:58,280 --> 01:25:59,960 Speaker 2: themselves to the world. And this happened on an arm 1846 01:26:00,040 --> 01:26:02,600 Speaker 2: make them ten, fifteen years ago, whatever it was, and 1847 01:26:02,760 --> 01:26:04,200 Speaker 2: so they were going to go out with a sort 1848 01:26:04,200 --> 01:26:06,800 Speaker 2: of a singular voice and sell themselves to the world. 1849 01:26:06,800 --> 01:26:09,559 Speaker 2: But it wasn't a bad point because they were suggesting 1850 01:26:09,640 --> 01:26:13,120 Speaker 2: each and every producer who sends their wine overseas is 1851 01:26:13,200 --> 01:26:16,960 Speaker 2: basically their own marketing department, as opposed to having something 1852 01:26:17,000 --> 01:26:20,080 Speaker 2: a little more cohesive than perhaps we do at the moment. Mike, 1853 01:26:20,120 --> 01:26:22,080 Speaker 2: you missed national insurance in the UK and another on 1854 01:26:22,120 --> 01:26:24,320 Speaker 2: avoidable tax. Yeah, there'll be lots of other bits and 1855 01:26:24,320 --> 01:26:27,080 Speaker 2: pieces as well. What I'm saying is they're an exceedingly 1856 01:26:27,800 --> 01:26:30,439 Speaker 2: highly taxed country and how she's going to sell even 1857 01:26:30,520 --> 01:26:33,760 Speaker 2: more taxes beyond me. Mike, the question we should talk 1858 01:26:33,760 --> 01:26:36,080 Speaker 2: about this more tomorrow because I don't think I only 1859 01:26:36,080 --> 01:26:38,479 Speaker 2: think anyone's realized how bad this is The question about 1860 01:26:38,520 --> 01:26:42,000 Speaker 2: students leaving with no qualifications needs to be how many 1861 01:26:42,040 --> 01:26:44,320 Speaker 2: of this group attended school regularly? Most likely have that 1862 01:26:44,520 --> 01:26:48,000 Speaker 2: that's true the quality of the curriculum and teachers. And 1863 01:26:48,000 --> 01:26:49,720 Speaker 2: I would have raised us with Nicola if I had time, 1864 01:26:49,760 --> 01:26:51,560 Speaker 2: but I didn't. But your point is very good. The 1865 01:26:51,680 --> 01:26:55,680 Speaker 2: quality curriculum, teachers, etc. Will make no difference if the 1866 01:26:55,760 --> 01:26:58,360 Speaker 2: kids are not at school. Attendance is so bad in 1867 01:26:58,439 --> 01:27:00,400 Speaker 2: this country the numbers leaving with no qualify ocasion is 1868 01:27:00,439 --> 01:27:03,920 Speaker 2: going to get much worse. I fear you are right. 1869 01:27:04,040 --> 01:27:06,080 Speaker 2: And what I would have raised with and Nicola, And 1870 01:27:06,120 --> 01:27:08,160 Speaker 2: this is what it's worth talking about it more tomorrow. 1871 01:27:09,040 --> 01:27:11,439 Speaker 2: Is this whole new Erica Stanford, I'm saving the world. 1872 01:27:11,640 --> 01:27:15,040 Speaker 2: Curriculum thing is fine for people who are one at 1873 01:27:15,120 --> 01:27:18,240 Speaker 2: school and two engaged in school. So if you're going 1874 01:27:18,320 --> 01:27:21,120 Speaker 2: to get a B instead of a merit or whatever 1875 01:27:21,160 --> 01:27:23,320 Speaker 2: the hell it is, that's fine, but you've got to 1876 01:27:23,360 --> 01:27:25,920 Speaker 2: be engaged at that level. If you're leaving school with 1877 01:27:26,040 --> 01:27:29,920 Speaker 2: no qualifications whatsoever, you're not engaged, and suddenly having a 1878 01:27:29,960 --> 01:27:32,840 Speaker 2: compulsory English and a compulsory maths and some science, none 1879 01:27:32,880 --> 01:27:35,599 Speaker 2: of that's going to change your life. Something more profound 1880 01:27:35,720 --> 01:27:38,480 Speaker 2: has to happen than that, because when you've got sixteen 1881 01:27:38,600 --> 01:27:43,760 Speaker 2: percent of kids leaving with literally nothing into an economy 1882 01:27:44,280 --> 01:27:47,320 Speaker 2: that has literally nothing to offer them, how do you 1883 01:27:47,360 --> 01:27:50,000 Speaker 2: think that's going to end? Other than non welfare? Five 1884 01:27:50,080 --> 01:27:50,559 Speaker 2: to nine. 1885 01:27:50,960 --> 01:27:56,160 Speaker 1: Trending now with chemist ware House, great savings every day. 1886 01:27:58,680 --> 01:27:59,439 Speaker 2: Play it, Glenn. 1887 01:28:00,160 --> 01:28:07,439 Speaker 14: I've had to figure away to survive since you said 1888 01:28:08,280 --> 01:28:12,280 Speaker 14: it's over, told me good by. 1889 01:28:13,560 --> 01:28:14,200 Speaker 2: Happy days. 1890 01:28:15,320 --> 01:28:16,599 Speaker 6: I just care. 1891 01:28:17,000 --> 01:28:18,880 Speaker 2: Maybe I got a whole bunch of stuff to tell you, 1892 01:28:19,000 --> 01:28:20,880 Speaker 2: but do you need to hear it? She's an icon 1893 01:28:20,920 --> 01:28:22,639 Speaker 2: if you miss this as the Guinness Book of Records 1894 01:28:24,080 --> 01:28:28,519 Speaker 2: Icon status because she holds eleven records eleven most consecutive 1895 01:28:28,600 --> 01:28:30,880 Speaker 2: decades with the top ten album on the Billboard Country Chart, 1896 01:28:30,960 --> 01:28:34,960 Speaker 2: seven decades with rock Star, longest spand of number one 1897 01:28:35,000 --> 01:28:37,599 Speaker 2: hits in the US Top Country Oldam's Chart, forty six years, 1898 01:28:37,640 --> 01:28:40,960 Speaker 2: one hundred ninety six days, forty six years, one hundred 1899 01:28:41,000 --> 01:28:46,040 Speaker 2: and ninety seven days, most decades on the top twenty 1900 01:28:46,800 --> 01:28:49,719 Speaker 2: on the Country charts with Please Please Please seven decades, 1901 01:28:50,160 --> 01:28:52,439 Speaker 2: seven decades. How's that possible? 1902 01:28:52,920 --> 01:28:53,680 Speaker 6: And idle. 1903 01:28:54,560 --> 01:28:58,040 Speaker 2: First country singer to be nominated for the Egos is 1904 01:28:58,160 --> 01:29:06,280 Speaker 2: Green and Us. She joins the likes of Elton John 1905 01:29:07,280 --> 01:29:11,320 Speaker 2: and Paul McCartney and into lower Taylor Swift. How she 1906 01:29:11,439 --> 01:29:13,719 Speaker 2: got there so quickly, I don't know. I mean, Taylor 1907 01:29:13,720 --> 01:29:18,840 Speaker 2: Swift hasn't been around for seventy years. She went Instagram 1908 01:29:18,960 --> 01:29:23,040 Speaker 2: official the other day because she was on holiday and 1909 01:29:23,040 --> 01:29:26,800 Speaker 2: has been on the off season with Travis. And they 1910 01:29:26,920 --> 01:29:29,200 Speaker 2: never post about themselves. Other people post for them and 1911 01:29:29,200 --> 01:29:32,000 Speaker 2: it's all tabloid stuff. But they posted about themselves for 1912 01:29:32,080 --> 01:29:34,400 Speaker 2: the first time, and Katie was reading me to reaction 1913 01:29:34,560 --> 01:29:36,479 Speaker 2: as we drove to the country last weekend and went, 1914 01:29:37,760 --> 01:29:39,640 Speaker 2: I can't remember what they said on Instagram, things like 1915 01:29:39,680 --> 01:29:43,599 Speaker 2: they always say like oh my god, or I've been 1916 01:29:43,720 --> 01:29:46,080 Speaker 2: here for this or I'm dying for this or whatever 1917 01:29:46,160 --> 01:29:48,200 Speaker 2: the other rubbish they do on Instagram. But as I 1918 01:29:48,320 --> 01:29:50,479 Speaker 2: told you, really was no non Instagram's didn't really matter. 1919 01:29:51,680 --> 01:29:53,840 Speaker 2: And this is probably her greatest song and I don't 1920 01:29:53,880 --> 01:29:56,760 Speaker 2: even know it was a big hit. But anyway, I 1921 01:29:56,840 --> 01:30:01,560 Speaker 2: wish you the very best of days. Indeed, Happy Day, Sweez. 1922 01:30:03,600 --> 01:30:03,920 Speaker 4: Blue. 1923 01:30:10,920 --> 01:30:13,800 Speaker 1: For more from The Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to 1924 01:30:13,920 --> 01:30:17,000 Speaker 1: News Talks at b from six am weekdays, or follow 1925 01:30:17,040 --> 01:30:18,560 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio.