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Speaker 1: So we've got a date. It's the date the pundits

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Speaker 1: have been picking since late last year, November seventh, for

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Speaker 1: the election. This election, in my view, is Nationals to lose.

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Speaker 1: The only question really is how much influence ACT and

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Speaker 1: or New Zealand First will have on any future government.

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Speaker 1: Don't get me wrong, It's going to be a close race.

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Speaker 1: Here's some easy picks for you. National will get more

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Speaker 1: votes than Labour. New Zealand First will outperform ACT. New

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Speaker 1: Zealand First will steal from Labor and nip it their

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Speaker 1: heels to Party. Marty's reputation, as you know, is already

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Speaker 1: pretty much in the bin, so the Maori seats are

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Speaker 1: anyone's guests at this point. Winston Peters, as always, will

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Speaker 1: decide who actually wins the election. He's ruled out working

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Speaker 1: with Chippy, but not Labour. Here's the crucial point, though

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Speaker 1: Winston Peters cannot politically enter a deal propped up by

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Speaker 1: or supported by the Greens or to Party Mardy. It

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Speaker 1: would be political suicide. In pretty much every poll this

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Speaker 1: term has needed both of them to get close to

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Speaker 1: the magic sixty one seats. Now you could argue that

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Speaker 1: National might stumble and labor could surge. The chances of

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Speaker 1: this happening, I would say are probably around twenty percent

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Speaker 1: at this point, very unlikely. The economic recovery is underway,

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Speaker 1: summer will be around the corner come November. But most importantly,

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Speaker 1: people won't switch horses mid stream when that recovery has

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Speaker 1: been so hard fought. The memory, particularly in Auckland, is

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Speaker 1: too short for voters to forget Labour's COVID mess and

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Speaker 1: unbridled spending on outrageous and expensive things. Remember the seven

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Speaker 1: hundred and fifty million dollar bridge going across the White

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Speaker 1: Matar Harbor that wouldn't carry a single car, the bike bridge.

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Speaker 1: Come on, our memories aren't that short. Chris Hopkins today

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Speaker 1: has also announced a date his wedding. He says it'll

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Speaker 1: be held in twenty twenty seven, and I fear Tony

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Speaker 1: that means you are likely to ry an unemployed bloke

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Speaker 1: from the Hut. For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive,

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Speaker 1: listen live to news talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays,

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