1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:03,080 Speaker 1: Like it or not, next year's big dance and politics 2 00:00:03,080 --> 00:00:06,080 Speaker 1: will ultimately be decided by the few, not the many. 3 00:00:06,240 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: Most MMP elections have been the minnows hold the keys 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:11,640 Speaker 1: to the kingdom. Be it Winston with what will it 5 00:00:11,680 --> 00:00:14,800 Speaker 1: be as best result ever potentially or to party Maldi 6 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 1: with the overhand. Getting the left in twenty twenty six 7 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 1: won't be a twenty twenty landslide. The difference this time 8 00:00:22,200 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: is how extreme some of those smaller parties, or more 9 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: to the point, some of their MPs have become. Think 10 00:00:27,800 --> 00:00:31,960 Speaker 1: Takuta on Indians, think Simon Court on Palestine. It's not 11 00:00:32,040 --> 00:00:36,080 Speaker 1: just rhetoric though, but policy too. A separate Maldi parliament, 12 00:00:36,680 --> 00:00:40,280 Speaker 1: renationalizing power companies, says Uncle Shane, you name it, they'll 13 00:00:40,320 --> 00:00:44,360 Speaker 1: go there. The temptation for the behemoths, the broad churches, 14 00:00:44,440 --> 00:00:48,400 Speaker 1: the big lots is to emulate what's getting traction, To 15 00:00:48,520 --> 00:00:52,080 Speaker 1: dip your toe in the pool of radical ideas, to 16 00:00:52,240 --> 00:00:55,680 Speaker 1: be establishment without looking or sounding like it. Trump and 17 00:00:55,720 --> 00:00:58,840 Speaker 1: the Maga movement are the best example of doing this. 18 00:00:59,040 --> 00:01:02,480 Speaker 1: In the UK, parties that have been around since Moses 19 00:01:02,560 --> 00:01:05,960 Speaker 1: was a linebacker are being absolutely whipped in the polls 20 00:01:06,000 --> 00:01:09,319 Speaker 1: by newer upstarts with one thing on their pledged cards, 21 00:01:09,680 --> 00:01:14,440 Speaker 1: radical change. The Conservatives have been around for two hundred years, 22 00:01:14,480 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 1: reform UK six. The big issues, of course do differ 23 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:22,039 Speaker 1: our cost of living malaise as their immigration. So the 24 00:01:22,120 --> 00:01:25,440 Speaker 1: temptation must be to embrace a bit of that radical spirit, 25 00:01:25,840 --> 00:01:28,280 Speaker 1: and Labour might just do that. Yet we just don't 26 00:01:28,319 --> 00:01:31,720 Speaker 1: know what they're cooking up behind the scenes. My prediction, though, 27 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:36,760 Speaker 1: establishment parties will do what establishment parties do, stick to 28 00:01:36,800 --> 00:01:40,800 Speaker 1: the script, copy paste the policies, hug the center like 29 00:01:40,840 --> 00:01:42,800 Speaker 1: a koala to a tree, and I hope their buddies 30 00:01:42,800 --> 00:01:45,039 Speaker 1: grab enough from the fraying edges to get them across 31 00:01:45,040 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: the line. Their bet is that crises come and go, 32 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: but established parties don't, even though the Brits and the 33 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:58,520 Speaker 1: Americans show us they can and do. For more from 34 00:01:58,520 --> 00:02:01,800 Speaker 1: early edition with Ryan Bread. Listen live to news talks. 35 00:02:01,800 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: It'd be from five am weekdays, or follow the podcast 36 00:02:05,120 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio.