1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:02,720 Speaker 1: Signs of a gradual turnaround in the building sector. New 2 00:00:02,800 --> 00:00:05,360 Speaker 1: stats and Z figures out today. They show new home 3 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:10,280 Speaker 1: building consents down seven point two percent annually to January, 4 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:13,680 Speaker 1: but eleven percent more homes were concented that month compared 5 00:00:13,680 --> 00:00:16,279 Speaker 1: to the year before. Brad Olson's the infometric CEO. He's 6 00:00:16,280 --> 00:00:18,919 Speaker 1: with us Hi Brad good evening. So what are we 7 00:00:18,960 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: making of this? 8 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 2: Well, look, I think the fact that you're seeing on 9 00:00:22,520 --> 00:00:25,400 Speaker 2: a sort of looking at the January month compared to 10 00:00:25,440 --> 00:00:27,360 Speaker 2: where it was a year ago, you've seeing a bit 11 00:00:27,400 --> 00:00:29,800 Speaker 2: of a tick up. There's definitely a bit of a 12 00:00:29,840 --> 00:00:33,080 Speaker 2: shift coming through, and it reinforces our view looking through 13 00:00:33,120 --> 00:00:37,120 Speaker 2: in these figures that actually there's effectively a bit of 14 00:00:37,120 --> 00:00:40,360 Speaker 2: a stabilization starting to come through. Yes, overall over the 15 00:00:40,400 --> 00:00:43,120 Speaker 2: last twelve months the number of consents are lower than 16 00:00:43,120 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 2: the twelve months before that, but that's because we had 17 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:50,240 Speaker 2: seen sort of such a big pullback, but realistically down 18 00:00:50,280 --> 00:00:52,919 Speaker 2: seven point two on the annual basis over the last 19 00:00:52,960 --> 00:00:54,800 Speaker 2: twelve months. At one point it was down something like 20 00:00:54,840 --> 00:00:57,360 Speaker 2: twenty five percent. So we're starting to see that shift 21 00:00:57,880 --> 00:01:00,720 Speaker 2: gradually emerging. What I think was int thing when we 22 00:01:00,800 --> 00:01:02,720 Speaker 2: dug through into the numbers was the fact that you've 23 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 2: got quite a strong drive in recent times coming through 24 00:01:05,800 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 2: from Canterbury and Otago, some of the biggest contributions from 25 00:01:09,360 --> 00:01:12,120 Speaker 2: those areas, and also a bit of a notch upwards 26 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 2: in townhouse consent. So again, look, the numbers are still 27 00:01:16,280 --> 00:01:19,679 Speaker 2: in a more challenging spot. But after the construction's gone 28 00:01:19,680 --> 00:01:23,000 Speaker 2: from what fifty one thousand consents going back a couple 29 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 2: of years now we're thinking things stabilize more around the 30 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 2: thirty three to thirty five thousand marks, so down but 31 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:30,880 Speaker 2: also not out interesting. 32 00:01:30,440 --> 00:01:33,360 Speaker 1: That the average floor area for a standalone house was 33 00:01:33,400 --> 00:01:36,280 Speaker 1: one hundred and seventy six square meters. That's down from 34 00:01:36,480 --> 00:01:38,600 Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty three the year before and the 35 00:01:38,640 --> 00:01:42,640 Speaker 1: lowest for any year into January since nineteen ninety four. 36 00:01:42,840 --> 00:01:45,040 Speaker 1: Is that part of the townhouse thing? 37 00:01:46,520 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 2: No, I mean those were the standalone figures themselves. So 38 00:01:49,080 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 2: you know that's a that's a that's a detached dwelling, 39 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,080 Speaker 2: right if you will. But you're right, I mean, look 40 00:01:54,080 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 2: at it. It's notable that those that effectively your house 41 00:01:57,520 --> 00:02:00,559 Speaker 2: areas becoming smaller. Maybe we've all got to the Marie 42 00:02:00,560 --> 00:02:02,240 Speaker 2: condo and now we can sort of exist with a 43 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,880 Speaker 2: small amount of space realistically, of course, it's actually because 44 00:02:05,920 --> 00:02:08,960 Speaker 2: people have been paying so much for houses that we 45 00:02:09,000 --> 00:02:11,600 Speaker 2: are looking for those sort of smaller options. And I 46 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:15,959 Speaker 2: think it's also interesting like building consents in the size 47 00:02:15,960 --> 00:02:19,240 Speaker 2: of the floor area often dictates or is dictated by 48 00:02:19,240 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 2: what people are looking to buy. Now. Yes, people might 49 00:02:21,800 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 2: be feeling forced to buy smaller and build smaller because 50 00:02:25,240 --> 00:02:28,240 Speaker 2: of the financial restraints, but it also suggests that, you know, 51 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:30,720 Speaker 2: because we have gotten more used to some of the 52 00:02:30,800 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 2: denser dwelling in townhouses and apartments, obviously there's a bit 53 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,240 Speaker 2: of a shift where kiwis are able to make that 54 00:02:36,320 --> 00:02:38,480 Speaker 2: work a bit better and be a bit more affordable 55 00:02:38,520 --> 00:02:41,360 Speaker 2: than before. So definitely a bit of a shift coming 56 00:02:41,400 --> 00:02:44,280 Speaker 2: through there. In terms of the land size. People are 57 00:02:44,280 --> 00:02:45,720 Speaker 2: going to have to get pretty good at where they 58 00:02:45,720 --> 00:02:46,360 Speaker 2: store stuff. 59 00:02:47,120 --> 00:02:48,920 Speaker 1: Yeah, that's one of the troubles that I have at 60 00:02:48,919 --> 00:02:51,160 Speaker 1: my place because our place is tiny. But the thing 61 00:02:51,240 --> 00:02:53,720 Speaker 1: is you do get used to it. And also not 62 00:02:53,800 --> 00:02:57,400 Speaker 1: having a big backyard. I think everybody wants a big backyard, 63 00:02:57,400 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: but then once you live without one, you kind of 64 00:02:59,200 --> 00:03:00,639 Speaker 1: realize you can without it. 65 00:03:01,680 --> 00:03:04,600 Speaker 2: Well, until you've got a lawn and trees that have 66 00:03:04,639 --> 00:03:06,639 Speaker 2: got to be looked after a ride. You know, it's 67 00:03:06,639 --> 00:03:08,200 Speaker 2: great in summer and then it sort of becomes a 68 00:03:08,200 --> 00:03:10,919 Speaker 2: bit unkempt and hard to look after. I think as well, 69 00:03:10,960 --> 00:03:13,120 Speaker 2: when it comes to space, the more space you have, 70 00:03:13,160 --> 00:03:14,920 Speaker 2: the more space you can fill up. Like I feel 71 00:03:14,919 --> 00:03:18,400 Speaker 2: like your collection of clutter can sometimes grow to fill 72 00:03:18,440 --> 00:03:20,840 Speaker 2: whatever you've got. Now. Like I say, I do think 73 00:03:20,880 --> 00:03:23,359 Speaker 2: that actually the driving force behind this is more around 74 00:03:23,360 --> 00:03:26,600 Speaker 2: affordability and what kiwis are able to pay when it 75 00:03:26,639 --> 00:03:30,240 Speaker 2: comes to housing, and so that's obviously a challenge. But 76 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:32,160 Speaker 2: I do think as well it reflects the fact that 77 00:03:32,200 --> 00:03:34,560 Speaker 2: over time we have seen a real shift in how 78 00:03:34,680 --> 00:03:36,880 Speaker 2: Kewis are living. I mean the fact that you know, 79 00:03:36,920 --> 00:03:39,360 Speaker 2: people are buying in different groups. It's not just sort 80 00:03:39,360 --> 00:03:42,280 Speaker 2: of a couple anymore. You know that there's different sort 81 00:03:42,320 --> 00:03:45,839 Speaker 2: of formations of who's buying a house, what people need 82 00:03:45,960 --> 00:03:47,600 Speaker 2: in them. The fact that you sort of you don't 83 00:03:47,640 --> 00:03:50,720 Speaker 2: necessarily need a spare bedroom anymore, you need an office 84 00:03:50,720 --> 00:03:52,839 Speaker 2: space that maybe has a pull out couch for when 85 00:03:52,880 --> 00:03:55,360 Speaker 2: mates come over. Like the entire way that New Zealander 86 00:03:55,400 --> 00:03:57,200 Speaker 2: is a living is shifting, and I think that's what 87 00:03:57,240 --> 00:03:58,480 Speaker 2: these numbers are reflecting as. 88 00:03:58,440 --> 00:04:00,680 Speaker 1: Well interesting South Brad, Thank you for that. Brad Olsen, 89 00:04:00,720 --> 00:04:04,920 Speaker 1: who's the informatric CEO. For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, 90 00:04:05,080 --> 00:04:08,520 Speaker 1: listen live to news talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, 91 00:04:08,600 --> 00:04:10,800 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio