1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: Jamie McKay, host of the Countries with us Alo Jamie 2 00:00:03,000 --> 00:00:04,600 Speaker 1: good A, Hella, do you reckon? We're going to make 3 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,920 Speaker 1: it four in a row? I hope. So the futures 4 00:00:07,960 --> 00:00:10,240 Speaker 1: market would indicate that it could be four in a row. 5 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:14,840 Speaker 1: With the GDT auction tonight, we've gone up since New Year. 6 00:00:14,920 --> 00:00:17,759 Speaker 1: Remember we had nine falls in a row to wind 7 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:20,880 Speaker 1: out twenty twenty five. We've been up six point three, 8 00:00:21,040 --> 00:00:24,880 Speaker 1: one point five and six point seven respectively in the 9 00:00:24,920 --> 00:00:27,920 Speaker 1: first three auctions. So I guess the question is, is 10 00:00:28,000 --> 00:00:31,280 Speaker 1: ten dollars back on the carts ten dollars per kilogram 11 00:00:31,320 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: of milk solids. Currently, Fonterra is sitting at a midpoint 12 00:00:36,159 --> 00:00:39,920 Speaker 1: of nine dollars now. The futures markets for what they're 13 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:43,280 Speaker 1: worth at the current season at nine dollars fifty four 14 00:00:43,880 --> 00:00:47,880 Speaker 1: and twenty six twenty seven, you know, which starts on 15 00:00:48,040 --> 00:00:50,720 Speaker 1: June one of this year, is at a very healthy 16 00:00:51,200 --> 00:00:53,479 Speaker 1: nine dollars forty. It's not that long ago that it 17 00:00:53,560 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: was sitting at eight dollars. So anyhow, my guy from Jarden, 18 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:02,440 Speaker 1: Mike McIntyre, says the market tonight could be flat for 19 00:01:02,440 --> 00:01:05,840 Speaker 1: whole milk powder and amf an hydrous milk fat, but 20 00:01:06,640 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 1: skim milk powder is a real chance to go up 21 00:01:08,840 --> 00:01:12,240 Speaker 1: six or seven percent, butter could go anywhere, he says, 22 00:01:12,560 --> 00:01:15,560 Speaker 1: So across the board, we're looking at maybe two to 23 00:01:15,640 --> 00:01:18,679 Speaker 1: three percent across the board. So if it's four in 24 00:01:18,680 --> 00:01:21,039 Speaker 1: a row, it's good news for the dairy industry very much. 25 00:01:21,040 --> 00:01:24,000 Speaker 1: That it's looking good for the wall as well, isn't it. Yeah, 26 00:01:24,000 --> 00:01:25,840 Speaker 1: I mean, this is one of the great stories of 27 00:01:25,880 --> 00:01:28,800 Speaker 1: the latter part of twenty twenty five and the early 28 00:01:28,880 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 1: part of this season. Last week's christ Church sale, strong 29 00:01:32,400 --> 00:01:35,800 Speaker 1: wall indicator was up a whopping forty seven cents one 30 00:01:35,880 --> 00:01:39,640 Speaker 1: hundred percent clearance. The old buyers were going flat out. 31 00:01:40,040 --> 00:01:42,880 Speaker 1: Everything was bit up and this is worth a dollar 32 00:01:42,959 --> 00:01:45,800 Speaker 1: that's getting a wee bit high from an exporter's point 33 00:01:45,800 --> 00:01:50,120 Speaker 1: of view. At above US sixty cents, we're looking now 34 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:54,960 Speaker 1: at a wall price and approaching six hundred cents of 35 00:01:55,080 --> 00:01:59,320 Speaker 1: kilogram clean for strong crossbred wool could be coming soon. 36 00:02:00,120 --> 00:02:03,840 Speaker 1: It's close to five dollars greasy, depending on, of course, 37 00:02:03,920 --> 00:02:07,240 Speaker 1: the yield of the wall. So there's just just due 38 00:02:07,240 --> 00:02:10,120 Speaker 1: to the demise and sheet numbers around the world, Heather, 39 00:02:10,200 --> 00:02:13,079 Speaker 1: there's just a global shortage of walle It's a wonderfully 40 00:02:13,400 --> 00:02:16,200 Speaker 1: sustainable product. I don't know why it wasn't hasn't been 41 00:02:16,240 --> 00:02:18,840 Speaker 1: worth more. But you can go back to the COVID 42 00:02:18,880 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: lows of twenty twenty one and farmers were getting paid 43 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 1: less than a dollar a kilogram for fleece fora So 44 00:02:25,680 --> 00:02:27,919 Speaker 1: if they can get if they can get up up 45 00:02:27,919 --> 00:02:30,880 Speaker 1: to close to five bucks, it's another good news story. Now, 46 00:02:31,240 --> 00:02:33,239 Speaker 1: do you think the record levels that we've got on 47 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,960 Speaker 1: the red meat experts are sustainable? Well, I don't know 48 00:02:37,040 --> 00:02:38,920 Speaker 1: what I think because I'm not really an expert. I 49 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,320 Speaker 1: did speak to Tom Young out of AFCO and he 50 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:44,800 Speaker 1: says they're not really sustainable at the moment because one 51 00:02:44,840 --> 00:02:48,720 Speaker 1: of the big questions out there in farming, could red meat, 52 00:02:48,840 --> 00:02:53,440 Speaker 1: namely lamb at close to eleven dollars beat dairy, which 53 00:02:53,480 --> 00:02:56,200 Speaker 1: is currently sitting at nine dollars if you'd take the 54 00:02:56,280 --> 00:03:00,560 Speaker 1: Fonterra midpoint, could red meat beat dairy for the first 55 00:03:00,639 --> 00:03:05,040 Speaker 1: time in years? Beef sitting at about nine dollars thirty 56 00:03:05,120 --> 00:03:08,720 Speaker 1: or forty, so it's currently above dairy as well. Look 57 00:03:08,760 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 1: what he was saying was that companies are competing hard 58 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:15,079 Speaker 1: for stock. We've had all this rain. It goes without saying. 59 00:03:15,400 --> 00:03:18,000 Speaker 1: We've had a lot of rain around the country and 60 00:03:18,040 --> 00:03:20,880 Speaker 1: that's meant lots of grass. It's been great for the 61 00:03:20,919 --> 00:03:23,880 Speaker 1: pastoral farmers. Hasn't been so good for the poor old 62 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,840 Speaker 1: arable farmers. But these farmers have got lots of grass. 63 00:03:26,919 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 1: They're going crazy over store stock. This is the stock 64 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,120 Speaker 1: you buy off someone else to fatten or make prime, 65 00:03:33,160 --> 00:03:38,040 Speaker 1: to be politically correct, and then send for processing. Now 66 00:03:38,080 --> 00:03:40,680 Speaker 1: the companies are really having to compete hard for stock 67 00:03:40,720 --> 00:03:43,040 Speaker 1: at the moment. There's a lack of throughput because farmers 68 00:03:43,040 --> 00:03:46,000 Speaker 1: are hanging onto the stock to put more weight onto 69 00:03:46,080 --> 00:03:50,560 Speaker 1: their lambs, their mutton, and their beef and dairy cows 70 00:03:50,600 --> 00:03:53,760 Speaker 1: that are going to the works. So the companies are 71 00:03:53,760 --> 00:03:56,280 Speaker 1: having real issues. Were throughput at the moment very hard 72 00:03:56,320 --> 00:03:59,320 Speaker 1: to keep plants open five days a week. But you 73 00:03:59,360 --> 00:04:01,280 Speaker 1: know the numbers had come out last week here that 74 00:04:01,360 --> 00:04:06,320 Speaker 1: they were stunning red meat industry worth eleven point seven billion, 75 00:04:06,680 --> 00:04:09,680 Speaker 1: a nineteen percent increase on twenty twenty four and stuff 76 00:04:09,720 --> 00:04:11,840 Speaker 1: will take that money. Jamie, thanks very much, mate. We'll 77 00:04:11,880 --> 00:04:13,600 Speaker 1: talk to you in a couple of days. It's Jamie McKay, 78 00:04:13,600 --> 00:04:18,559 Speaker 1: Host of the Country. For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive. 79 00:04:18,720 --> 00:04:22,080 Speaker 1: Listen live to news talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, 80 00:04:22,240 --> 00:04:24,440 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio