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Speaker 1: The polls had a very tight race. We all know that.

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Speaker 1: So what exactly got Donald Trump and the Republicans over

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Speaker 1: the line? Sean Trendy is one of America's best known posters.

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Speaker 1: He's with Real Clear Politics. He's a senior election analyst

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Speaker 1: there and he's with me this morning. Sean, welcome to

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Speaker 1: the program. Where does this victory for Trump rank in

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Speaker 1: terms of history?

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Speaker 2: It's almost unprecedented. We have one example in the US

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Speaker 2: of presidents winning non consecutive terms, so it was Grover Queenveland.

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Speaker 2: I'm sure you've heard of him back in the late

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Speaker 2: eighteen hundreds. Other than that, presidents that lose or even

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Speaker 2: canvas lose, typically don't come back and win another term.

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Speaker 1: The Republicans have also flipped the Senate. What's happening with

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Speaker 1: the House race?

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Speaker 2: The House is very close, It's surprisingly close, actually, and

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Speaker 2: it looks like Republicans will likely lose a couple seats there.

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Speaker 2: Even if they do manage to control the Chamber, that's

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Speaker 2: going to be a very very big am for them.

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Speaker 2: They had a tough time keeping the Chamber together with

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Speaker 2: the narrow majority they already have. Narrowing it even further

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Speaker 2: is going to be a nightmare to navigate.

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Speaker 1: What does that mean for the trifecta power of a

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Speaker 1: Republican white House Senate and albeit a week in majority,

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Speaker 1: but a majority nonetheless in the House.

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Speaker 2: Well, they'll likely have the trifecta, which means they have

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Speaker 2: at least nominal control. But remember here in the US,

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Speaker 2: we have something in the Senate called the filibuster, which

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Speaker 2: means effectively you need sixty votes in order to keep

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Speaker 2: to get anything done. That's going to almost certainly put

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Speaker 2: a question mark on anything Donald Trump wants to accomplish,

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Speaker 2: at least substantively in the States.

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Speaker 1: What do we know about why people voted for Donald Trump?

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Speaker 1: The economy, cost of living.

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Speaker 2: That's a big factor. I mean, different people will tell

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Speaker 2: you different things, and we're still digesting the returns. The

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Speaker 2: most interesting thing though, is that Trump won one in

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Speaker 2: four black men. Black voters have been a backbone of

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Speaker 2: the Democratic coalition since the nineteen thirties. So to see

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Speaker 2: Trump make those advances suggest that something's really a miss

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Speaker 2: in the Democratic coalition.

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Speaker 1: Yeah, and that is going to be quite a hurdle

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Speaker 1: for them to try and overcome, isn't it. Because they

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Speaker 1: haven't quite managed to get back those middle class white

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Speaker 1: voters in the Roust Belt, for example.

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Speaker 2: Either that's right, there's some real pressure points on the

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Speaker 2: Democratic coalition right now, and to have this result come

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Speaker 2: about with the candidate who has the plane miss steps

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Speaker 2: that Donald Trump has really calls into question. What could

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Speaker 2: happen if the Republican Party were to nominate someone with

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Speaker 2: a similar platform but who didn't make some of the

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Speaker 2: same mistakes that Donald Trump consistently makes.

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Speaker 1: When it comes to Ukraine, Donald Trump has obviously been

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Speaker 1: talking about ending that war by Christmas. Do you think

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Speaker 1: that means he might pull support?

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Speaker 2: I think he'll certainly threaten it. And yeah, I think

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Speaker 2: his supporters have a real, real problem with the continued

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Speaker 2: money that's been flowing to Ukraine. I think there's gonna

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Speaker 2: be a lot of pressure on him to pull support

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Speaker 2: and I'm going to be really surprised if he doesn't

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Speaker 2: do it.

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Speaker 1: What does it say about the state of the United

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Speaker 1: States when they elect a president who is a convicted felon,

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Speaker 1: who has threatened to go after the media, go after

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Speaker 1: quote left wing lunatics, and here he is now was

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Speaker 1: forty fifth now a forty seventh president.

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Speaker 2: Well, I do think that a lot of the things

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Speaker 2: that resonate with some voters don't resonate with others. I

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Speaker 2: think that the I do think that the felony convictions

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Speaker 2: were seen as politically motivated, given that they did occur

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Speaker 2: in our most heavily democratic city. But you know, at

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Speaker 2: the end of the day, if you can give people,

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Speaker 2: or at least promise people, you know, a good standard

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Speaker 2: of living, they'll put up with a lot of other

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Speaker 2: things that might strike a lot of other people as

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Speaker 2: pretty horrifying.

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Speaker 1: Sean, thank you very much for your time. Really appreciate

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Speaker 1: your analysis that Sean Trend the Real Clear Politics senior

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Speaker 1: election analyst. Thank you for more Family Edition with Ryan Bridge.

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Speaker 1: Listen live to News Talks. It'd be from five am weekdays,

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Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.