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Speaker 1: Right, Catherine morning, Good morning, mate. Does he survive.

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Speaker 2: It's looking pretty difficult for the current French Prime Minister,

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Speaker 2: Michel Bournier. He of course is facing that no confidence motion.

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Speaker 2: A vote will be sometime within the next hour.

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Speaker 3: Currently he's about.

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Speaker 2: Fifty votes short, so that's not much time for him

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Speaker 2: to find those extra fifty votes he needs to be

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Speaker 2: able to save the day. What we've been hearing, Mike

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Speaker 2: for the last thirty six hours has been warnings from

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Speaker 2: the right and from the government that if Parliament brings

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Speaker 2: down this government that there will be just chaos, We'll

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Speaker 2: be diving into the unknown.

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Speaker 3: And so they've been.

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Speaker 2: Using very much this threat that France cannot go down

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Speaker 2: this road. It will be moving out of a sort

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Speaker 2: of stablish economy, a stablish government if they do this,

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Speaker 2: and of course if the government loses us, the prime

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Speaker 2: minister loses this this vote of it goes against him,

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Speaker 2: then that will be the first time since nineteen sixty

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Speaker 2: two that a French prime minister has lost a vote

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Speaker 2: of confidence.

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Speaker 1: Do you think Macron knew this was coming or he

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Speaker 1: was just so stuck to find somebody in the first

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Speaker 1: place he thought he'd worry about it another day.

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Speaker 2: Well, there were not a lot of people ready to

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Speaker 2: do this job back in that, you know, in September,

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Speaker 2: so he was pretty stuck finding someone.

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Speaker 3: He's going to be even more stuck now, Mike.

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Speaker 2: But there was no love loss between Michel Barnier and

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Speaker 2: Emanuel Macron.

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Speaker 3: In fact, in the last week apparently Emanuel.

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Speaker 2: Macron had started asking around if anyone wanted the job.

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Speaker 2: And just an indication of that is we've already got

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Speaker 2: four names of people who are ready to step in

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Speaker 2: as prime minister to try and save the day.

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Speaker 1: So that's France. Then you've got Germany, which is a

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Speaker 1: basket case and their government's collapsed, and then there's an

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Speaker 1: election coming in VW on strike. I mean, for what

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Speaker 1: it once was, what a mess.

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Speaker 2: What a mess indeed, And there is just no good

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Speaker 2: economic news coming out at the moment. Just today, Mike

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Speaker 2: oecd that you're the Paris based think tag.

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Speaker 3: Came up with new figures for Europe's economy.

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Speaker 2: It's said that the German economy is only going to

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Speaker 2: grow by about point seven percent next year, so that's

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Speaker 2: down from the predictions that it was going to be

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Speaker 2: just over one percent. The French economy expected to grow

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Speaker 2: just zero point nine percent. That's a cut of point

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Speaker 2: three percent. So this is well below the European average.

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Speaker 2: So you have no good news there and really looking

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Speaker 2: difficult to see how this could change because both countries

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Speaker 2: have gone a lot of political infighting. They're facing the

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Speaker 2: same problems as everyone else. Let's look at high energy prices,

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Speaker 2: weak foreign demand, growing threat of trade protectionism, high inflation,

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Speaker 2: soaring energy prices.

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Speaker 3: When you look.

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Speaker 2: Further down the road, might none of the indicators say

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Speaker 2: it's going to get better in the short term.

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Speaker 1: Okay, Hey, what was this Russian ship doing firing on

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Speaker 1: the military helicopter? What was going on there?

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Speaker 3: Very strange this one, Mike.

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Speaker 2: It seems to be the allegation is at least that

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Speaker 2: it was another one of these sort of hybrid attacks

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Speaker 2: that your parts of native countries are coming under at

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Speaker 2: the moment. The German foreign minister has said that a

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Speaker 2: Russian ship, not saying whether there was a military ship,

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Speaker 2: but a Russian ship fired a signaling weapon of some

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Speaker 2: sort and a German military helicopter in the Baltic on Wednesday. Now,

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Speaker 2: of course the German military helicopter was up there because

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Speaker 2: they're doing a lot more present than surveillance there following

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Speaker 2: what last month's damage of those two communication cables in

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Speaker 2: the Baltic. The reason everyone's so worried about this at

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Speaker 2: the moment, Mike, is just last week we had here

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Speaker 2: in Paris the head of British intelligence, the head of six,

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Speaker 2: and the head of the French intelligence agency warning that

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Speaker 2: at the moment the Russians are being and I'm quoting here,

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Speaker 2: staggeringly reckless in their sabotage attempts against Western targets. And

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Speaker 2: the head of MI six actually said at this public

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Speaker 2: meeting that his agents are working around the clock to

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Speaker 2: stop these events spiraling out of control.

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Speaker 1: Hey, are you looking forward to seeing old Trumpster over

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Speaker 1: the weekend at Notre Dame.

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Speaker 3: He's going to be here on Saturday.

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Speaker 2: Yes, I was there today and they are putting up

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Speaker 2: all sorts of covering so as when those delegates come

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Speaker 2: out the VIPs get out of their cars and have

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Speaker 2: to walk up into the cathedral, that they won't.

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Speaker 3: Get that wet good stuff.

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Speaker 1: You go, well appreciate it, Catherine. Nice to see you.

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Speaker 1: Written an interesting piece the other day reputn in the war. Basically,

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Speaker 1: it's destroyed the social fabrica of Russia. I mean it's

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Speaker 1: not the first time they've been at war, but the

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Speaker 1: drinking and going on in Russia at the moment is

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Speaker 1: more and more dead people come back to, you know,

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Speaker 1: one of the body bags come home. The drinking sans

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Speaker 1: alcohol deaths throughout thirty percent so far this year.

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Speaker 3: For more from the Mi Casking Breakfast, listen live to

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Speaker 3: news talks.

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Speaker 2: It'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the podcast

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Speaker 2: on iHeartRadio.