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Speaker 1: Inflation is still the dominant force in global politics, no

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Speaker 1: doubt about it. We've got the US election next month,

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Speaker 1: the Aussies are going to the polls by midway through

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Speaker 1: next year, so are the Canadians who just had the UK.

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Speaker 1: We've just had France, and inflation rules the roost and

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Speaker 1: bad news for old Elbow in Australia. There's a new

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Speaker 1: poll out this morning that has him neck and neck

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Speaker 1: with Dutton and with the Coalition. But here's the bad part,

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Speaker 1: the really bad part. Forty four percent of Aussies think

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Speaker 1: the economy will worsen in the next six months. What's more,

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Speaker 1: Doesn't and the Coalition are favored on the economy thirty

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Speaker 1: eight percent to twenty six percent, and more people blame

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Speaker 1: the government for causing inflation rather than global issues. So

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Speaker 1: he has an uphill battle, doesn't he. For New Zealand,

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Speaker 1: inflation should be should be a distant memory by the

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Speaker 1: time we hit twenty twenty six in our next election.

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Speaker 1: It's expected to be inside the target range by Christmas.

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Speaker 1: GDP should have picked up, unemployment should have fallen, Tourism,

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Speaker 1: agriculture we've already heard this morning or showing promising signs,

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Speaker 1: but There's always a defining issue in a political campaign,

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Speaker 1: isn't there? What will ours be in twenty twenty six?

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Speaker 1: Do you think a smart government will always try to

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Speaker 1: define what that issue is ahead of time and to

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Speaker 1: control the narrative, control the language around it, control the debate.

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Speaker 1: I think the biggest risk for the National Party this point,

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Speaker 1: this far out. I know it is a bit far

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Speaker 1: for predictions crystal ball gazing, but I think at this

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Speaker 1: state is probably public service cuts, you know Dunedin Hospital,

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Speaker 1: public transport, health, education etc. The reality is probably most

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Speaker 1: of us will give them another go, but it wouldn't

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Speaker 1: hurt them to keep an eye on what comes next.

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Speaker 1: For more from News Talks B listen live on air

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Speaker 1: or online, and keep our shows with you wherever you

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