1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,119 Speaker 1: Another Minister's Oil Group meeting in Wellington this morning. Petrol 2 00:00:03,200 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: up over three bucks a lead for some Brent crewed 3 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:08,760 Speaker 1: up again overnight. Goldman Sachs, we've been following their forecast 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:10,600 Speaker 1: that well, they've put another one out and the one 5 00:00:10,680 --> 00:00:13,800 Speaker 1: hundred and fifty dollars a barrel worst case scenario is 6 00:00:13,800 --> 00:00:16,040 Speaker 1: still a live option, though you'd have to have a 7 00:00:16,079 --> 00:00:20,119 Speaker 1: lot more disruption and ongoing. Terry Collins, AA fuel spokesperson 8 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:24,079 Speaker 1: with us this morning. Morning, Terry every Roe. So the 9 00:00:24,280 --> 00:00:26,600 Speaker 1: Carlos days thing, we're are long, long long way off, 10 00:00:26,600 --> 00:00:27,240 Speaker 1: that aren't. 11 00:00:27,000 --> 00:00:31,760 Speaker 2: We we are. It's actually a good idea, it's a plan. 12 00:00:32,080 --> 00:00:34,000 Speaker 2: We've got a couple of things. That was Patrol and 13 00:00:34,120 --> 00:00:39,440 Speaker 2: Demand Restraint Act which allowed Carlstay's rationing books. It's very 14 00:00:39,479 --> 00:00:42,159 Speaker 2: old fashioned, but remember those days. We have things like 15 00:00:42,200 --> 00:00:44,080 Speaker 2: working from home and all the top of it that 16 00:00:44,120 --> 00:00:47,479 Speaker 2: we do today that makes us no productivity in other ways. 17 00:00:47,800 --> 00:00:50,200 Speaker 2: But we've also had a new Zealand Fuel Security Plan 18 00:00:50,240 --> 00:00:52,879 Speaker 2: which was updated last year. These are things that they 19 00:00:53,000 --> 00:00:55,280 Speaker 2: kept in the back pocket should something like this happen. 20 00:00:55,640 --> 00:00:58,360 Speaker 2: They've dusted off, they looked at and it's a plan 21 00:00:58,440 --> 00:01:01,280 Speaker 2: ready to go. We never has to be implemented. But 22 00:01:01,360 --> 00:01:04,000 Speaker 2: at least we've got a plan and we've got legislation that, 23 00:01:04,160 --> 00:01:05,640 Speaker 2: if needed, we can implement it. 24 00:01:05,920 --> 00:01:08,280 Speaker 1: Cherry, we've got a month on the land and a 25 00:01:08,280 --> 00:01:12,520 Speaker 1: month on the water and supply beyond that. Is a 26 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:16,040 Speaker 1: supply actually being affected or are we still expecting that 27 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:17,880 Speaker 1: we will have a flow coming in? 28 00:01:19,800 --> 00:01:24,280 Speaker 2: Look South Korea to talk about looking after the selves first, 29 00:01:24,480 --> 00:01:27,479 Speaker 2: Basically they use that eighty five percent of the product. 30 00:01:27,480 --> 00:01:31,080 Speaker 2: They were fine if there's a big reduction, so twenty percent. Globally, 31 00:01:31,520 --> 00:01:35,280 Speaker 2: they're basically saying we come first. We're a large economic country. 32 00:01:35,800 --> 00:01:38,959 Speaker 2: We need this world to continue our commerce. Unfortunately, we 33 00:01:39,000 --> 00:01:41,959 Speaker 2: get about forty eight percent of our foreign products from 34 00:01:41,959 --> 00:01:45,280 Speaker 2: South Korea, so we would need to look for different markets. 35 00:01:45,880 --> 00:01:48,200 Speaker 1: Would which markets? And also a. 36 00:01:48,680 --> 00:01:53,120 Speaker 2: Sip or Brunei, Malaysia, Indonesia we get a tiny bit 37 00:01:53,120 --> 00:01:55,440 Speaker 2: out of place like Indi in the US. But basically 38 00:01:55,440 --> 00:01:57,480 Speaker 2: we'll be in the same scramble as many other countries. 39 00:01:57,800 --> 00:01:59,600 Speaker 1: Could we be in the situation where our for your 40 00:01:59,680 --> 00:02:01,320 Speaker 1: company look at the price and go, I'm going to 41 00:02:01,360 --> 00:02:02,200 Speaker 1: sell it to someone else. 42 00:02:03,560 --> 00:02:06,720 Speaker 2: No, no, how for your companies are looking after ourselves. 43 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:09,040 Speaker 2: We're just trading in a global environment. 44 00:02:10,600 --> 00:02:13,639 Speaker 1: Very good, Terry. Oh, by the way, the price today 45 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 1: and the price that's happened overnight, and that Goldman Sacks 46 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:20,680 Speaker 1: update on the forecast, any any more thoughts on where 47 00:02:20,720 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 1: it might go? 48 00:02:22,800 --> 00:02:27,000 Speaker 2: This is so unpredictable. I've seen changes in available thirty 49 00:02:27,040 --> 00:02:29,239 Speaker 2: dollars over twenty four hours. I had an interview with 50 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,640 Speaker 2: a journalist, a fifteen minute interview, and it changed fifteen dollars. 51 00:02:32,960 --> 00:02:36,600 Speaker 2: So how you can predict or will lend? Who knows? 52 00:02:36,960 --> 00:02:39,000 Speaker 2: I do know, though. One thing history has taught me 53 00:02:39,120 --> 00:02:42,600 Speaker 2: is America tends to underestimate how long they stay in conflicts. 54 00:02:42,800 --> 00:02:45,799 Speaker 2: So I'm very concerned when they talk about weeks when 55 00:02:45,840 --> 00:02:47,480 Speaker 2: it looks like it could be months. 56 00:02:47,760 --> 00:02:50,200 Speaker 1: Cherry all that in two minutes twenty seven from You 57 00:02:50,280 --> 00:02:54,760 Speaker 1: Appreciate It fifteen minutes, Who does those anymore? For more 58 00:02:54,800 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 1: from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live to News Talks. 59 00:02:58,240 --> 00:03:01,520 Speaker 1: It'd be from five am weekday, or follow the podcast 60 00:03:01,560 --> 00:03:02,480 Speaker 1: on iHeartRadio.