WEBVTT - Heavy rain, thunderstorms and flooding: Where is summer? 0:00:05.280 --> 0:00:05.680 Kioda. 0:00:05.760 --> 0:00:08.920 I'm Chelsea Daniels and this is the Front Page, a 0:00:09.039 --> 0:00:10.680 daily podcast. 0:00:10.200 --> 0:00:12.400 Presented by the New Zealand Herald. 0:00:16.079 --> 0:00:20.919 It's all rain and no shine this week across the country. 0:00:21.440 --> 0:00:24.840 Warm tropical air sitting north of New Zealand has brought 0:00:24.840 --> 0:00:29.400 with it thunderstorms and rain warnings for Northland, Auckland, Great 0:00:29.440 --> 0:00:33.959 Barrier Island and the Corimandal Peninsula. Crews have already been 0:00:34.000 --> 0:00:37.800 working on clearing slips along State Highway to between or 0:00:37.840 --> 0:00:42.760 Portucky and Gisbon. So what is the outlook for this 0:00:42.840 --> 0:00:45.840 week and when will Mother Nature give us all a break? 0:00:46.040 --> 0:00:50.320 Today on the Front Page, Newer Principal Scientist Chris Brandolino 0:00:50.400 --> 0:00:53.080 is with us to take us through what to expect 0:00:53.440 --> 0:00:55.240 and when we might be able to put the sheets 0:00:55.240 --> 0:01:02.120 on the line. First off, is what is driving this 0:01:02.360 --> 0:01:06.440 stormy where the New Zealand is experiencing at the moment moisture. 0:01:06.560 --> 0:01:10.560 We're getting tropical moisture. There's a tropical low well to 0:01:10.640 --> 0:01:13.600 our north over north and west of New Caledonia in 0:01:13.640 --> 0:01:17.119 the tropics right and that is going to move south. 0:01:17.160 --> 0:01:20.200 That low it's disorganized, but what it has with it 0:01:20.240 --> 0:01:22.880 is a lot of moisture from the tropics now separate 0:01:22.920 --> 0:01:25.680 to that, there's a another low. There's a separate low 0:01:25.760 --> 0:01:29.039 over the Tasman Sea. So the two are going to 0:01:29.160 --> 0:01:33.840 work together to provide us this really wet period. We've 0:01:33.880 --> 0:01:36.160 already seen the rain and the wind, but that's really 0:01:36.200 --> 0:01:40.880 going to increase and should reach its apex sometime during 0:01:40.920 --> 0:01:43.199 the day on Thursday or Wednesday, I beg your pardon, 0:01:43.280 --> 0:01:45.440 perhaps even into early Thursday for some. 0:01:45.880 --> 0:01:47.920 Right, So how's it looking at the for the rest 0:01:47.920 --> 0:01:49.160 of the wake for the country? 0:01:49.480 --> 0:01:53.200 Yeah, so look, I think going kind of step by step. 0:01:53.320 --> 0:01:55.960 So when we're trying to understand what's going to happen 0:01:56.000 --> 0:01:58.960 with the weather in this case, let's say rainfall, what 0:01:59.000 --> 0:02:02.760 we're doing is we're looking looking at modeling. So modeling 0:02:02.960 --> 0:02:06.640 tries to tell us meteorologists what the atmosphere is going 0:02:06.720 --> 0:02:08.320 to be like in a day, an hour, and a week. 0:02:08.400 --> 0:02:11.760 So we can actually look at what's called scenarios. So 0:02:11.800 --> 0:02:16.760 we have in house this model called New Zealand Ensemble System. 0:02:16.960 --> 0:02:20.600 There's eighteen scenarios eighteen and we can look at those 0:02:20.600 --> 0:02:24.120 scenarios and try to understand what are the outcomes that 0:02:24.200 --> 0:02:27.560 are on the table, what are the possibilities to consider 0:02:28.080 --> 0:02:31.359 and if those eighteen outcomes start to look more similar 0:02:32.000 --> 0:02:36.240 than dissimilar, that gives us some confidence that what is 0:02:36.320 --> 0:02:39.720 being shown or what is most likely to happen, will happen. 0:02:40.120 --> 0:02:42.440 And then we can take those eighteen outcomes and we 0:02:42.480 --> 0:02:45.639 can say, right, here is a kind of a low 0:02:45.760 --> 0:02:48.919 end scenario. We'll call it a dry scenario, and here's 0:02:48.960 --> 0:02:52.400 the middle of the road scenario, and here is a 0:02:52.440 --> 0:02:54.919 wet scenario, kind of a worst case scenario. So you 0:02:54.960 --> 0:02:58.560 can look at three scenarios, and that's really helpful because 0:02:58.560 --> 0:03:01.680 it gives people an idea, Well, if things got really 0:03:01.760 --> 0:03:05.440 gnarly and nasty, what could that look like? Or hey, 0:03:05.480 --> 0:03:08.440 what if things actually settled down and wasn't so bad. 0:03:08.639 --> 0:03:10.839 Maybe as the worst case scenario, kind of a low 0:03:10.960 --> 0:03:14.120 end scenario, what does that look like? And when you 0:03:14.160 --> 0:03:16.880 look at that sort of middle of the road scenario 0:03:17.080 --> 0:03:20.960 or the higher end scenario, places like the Coramandal, places 0:03:21.080 --> 0:03:25.639 like Eastern Northland, places like Bay of Plenty, Tadasaiti, Gisbon. 0:03:26.240 --> 0:03:29.720 Those areas have the highest risk for seeing some really 0:03:29.760 --> 0:03:33.440 heavy rainfall. We're talking one hundred to maybe even two 0:03:33.520 --> 0:03:37.480 hundred millimeters of rain and a pretty short period of time. 0:03:38.240 --> 0:03:40.839 And Northland. As you know, we had the flooding over 0:03:40.880 --> 0:03:43.560 the weekend on Sunday. So the concern there is that 0:03:43.760 --> 0:03:46.240 you already had flooding, now you're gonna get more rain. 0:03:46.840 --> 0:03:50.640 That could be kind of a that unfortunately, could be 0:03:50.680 --> 0:03:54.040 a situation where flooding it occurs when normally it wouldn't 0:03:54.080 --> 0:03:57.000 simply because the ground is so wet. 0:03:57.320 --> 0:03:59.240 Is that a recipe for slips as well? 0:04:00.280 --> 0:04:04.440 It is exactly. Yeah, So oftentimes when the ground becomes 0:04:04.480 --> 0:04:07.960 really saturated, it becomes quite heavy and things could peel 0:04:08.040 --> 0:04:10.560 off and you get things falling from side the cliffs 0:04:10.600 --> 0:04:13.400 and higher elevation. So that's a really good point. Yeah, 0:04:13.600 --> 0:04:16.560 things like landslips, those kind of go part and parcel 0:04:16.600 --> 0:04:19.479 with the heavy rainfall. And with that heavy rainfall, the 0:04:19.600 --> 0:04:22.919 risk of flooding obviously becomes a real concern. As I mentioned, 0:04:23.160 --> 0:04:25.320 So we can look at where the potential of river 0:04:25.360 --> 0:04:28.240 flooding is most likely. So if you take the rainfall 0:04:28.320 --> 0:04:31.919 forecast and assuming that's reasonably accurate it's not way off, 0:04:32.400 --> 0:04:34.760 you can then put it into a river flow model 0:04:34.800 --> 0:04:37.760 and say, right, where are the flows likely to be, 0:04:37.839 --> 0:04:41.600 say above average or extremely high. And when you get 0:04:41.640 --> 0:04:45.000 into that extremely high category that is where river flooding 0:04:45.040 --> 0:04:49.360 becomes most likely, So places like Northland, the Coremandel Bay 0:04:49.400 --> 0:04:52.560 of Plenty, those are the areas worth watching for the 0:04:52.680 --> 0:04:56.000 river flooding. Other areas, I'm sure are candidates, but in 0:04:56.080 --> 0:04:59.200 terms of the highest risk likely in those areas, and 0:04:59.200 --> 0:05:01.320 that's where METS are us our friends at MET Service, 0:05:01.320 --> 0:05:03.880 and that's where they have those weather warnings. So obviously 0:05:03.920 --> 0:05:05.880 you want to stay on top of the warnings because 0:05:06.680 --> 0:05:08.520 those are the areas that are going to be of 0:05:08.600 --> 0:05:12.359 greatest risk for significant impacts such as the rain, but 0:05:12.440 --> 0:05:16.240 also the wind wind coming from the east, that's kind 0:05:16.240 --> 0:05:19.640 of an unusual wind direction. You combine in an usual 0:05:19.760 --> 0:05:23.880 wind direction with an extended period. We're talking twelve twenty 0:05:23.920 --> 0:05:27.320 four hours of wing GUS is sixty seventy and during 0:05:27.320 --> 0:05:30.159 the day on Wednesday could approach eighty ninety or one 0:05:30.240 --> 0:05:34.400 hundred kilometers per hour on wet soils. That does increase 0:05:34.600 --> 0:05:37.960 or elevate the odds for things like tree damage and 0:05:38.000 --> 0:05:39.680 power cuts, and we've already seen some of that. 0:05:39.920 --> 0:05:41.960 In terms of when we should see the worst of 0:05:42.000 --> 0:05:44.080 it and when we should be on the other side 0:05:44.080 --> 0:05:46.800 of it, is it really looking at Wednesday or tomorrow here. 0:05:47.080 --> 0:05:49.680 I think by Thursday morning we'll start to see some 0:05:49.720 --> 0:05:53.080 significant improvement for probably much of the country, much of 0:05:53.120 --> 0:05:55.599 the North Island. Keep in mind this is chiefly a 0:05:55.760 --> 0:06:00.440 North Island event. It is worth watching as look at 0:06:00.480 --> 0:06:02.040 some of the maps here. We will have to keep 0:06:02.080 --> 0:06:05.680 an eye on the eastern South Island. It is possible 0:06:05.839 --> 0:06:08.880 that they could see some heavy rain later on Thursday, 0:06:08.960 --> 0:06:12.640 so it's worth mentioning that. But I think once we 0:06:12.680 --> 0:06:16.600 get into Thursday afternoon we will start to see the 0:06:16.720 --> 0:06:20.320 certainly the rain go away. It's probably gonna remain a 0:06:20.320 --> 0:06:24.599 bit blustery, probably unfortunately for much of Thursday. I know 0:06:24.640 --> 0:06:27.280 we have a long weekend coming up for the Upper 0:06:27.320 --> 0:06:30.240 North Island Auckland anniversary and people are hoping for some 0:06:30.320 --> 0:06:33.440 good weather. Unfortunately that doesn't look to be the case. 0:06:33.480 --> 0:06:35.640 But we can maybe bookmark that and circle back to 0:06:35.640 --> 0:06:38.120 that if you want in a minute or two. But 0:06:38.400 --> 0:06:41.599 regarding this weather right now or the upcoming weather, I 0:06:41.640 --> 0:06:46.159 really think it's Wednesday into Wednesday night and too early Thursday, 0:06:46.720 --> 0:06:50.640 with the top of the country i e. Northland getting 0:06:50.680 --> 0:06:54.560 the worst weather first, and areas like Bay have plenty. 0:06:54.640 --> 0:06:57.760 Tadasa di Gisban that coming a bit later. But that 0:06:57.880 --> 0:07:01.320 also means Northland will likely say, see some improvement earlier 0:07:01.320 --> 0:07:04.919 because their weather will go downhill earlier as well. 0:07:06.040 --> 0:07:08.840 No, No, Chris, I wanted to talk about anniversary weekend. 0:07:09.000 --> 0:07:12.600 Now I tell you now, I mean, I suppose a 0:07:12.640 --> 0:07:17.760 lot of people have those bad memories from the Animalsary Day, floods, cyclone, Gabrielle. 0:07:18.000 --> 0:07:19.720 I mean, is this just what we're having to get 0:07:19.800 --> 0:07:20.920 used to at this time of year? 0:07:21.240 --> 0:07:24.440 As we all know, bad weather happens all the time. 0:07:24.720 --> 0:07:24.920 You know. 0:07:25.040 --> 0:07:27.080 When I say all the time, I mean it isn't like, 0:07:27.760 --> 0:07:30.200 oh my gosh, we haven't seen this in five years. 0:07:30.800 --> 0:07:33.880 Bad weather happens, you know, It's part of life. But 0:07:33.960 --> 0:07:37.280 what I can say is that when we get these 0:07:37.400 --> 0:07:42.240 big events, these higher end events, it is congruent with 0:07:42.360 --> 0:07:45.120 our expectations of a warming climate. What do I mean 0:07:45.160 --> 0:07:49.240 by that when our planet our temperature warms. What that 0:07:49.440 --> 0:07:51.520 does is that when you take a big weather event, 0:07:51.560 --> 0:07:55.080 which have always happened. But what climate change does. It 0:07:55.160 --> 0:07:58.720 makes three things. It makes the big weather event or 0:07:58.760 --> 0:08:03.840 the extreme weather event a more likely to happen. B 0:08:04.480 --> 0:08:09.120 it makes those events more frequent, and C it makes 0:08:09.160 --> 0:08:13.680 those big weather or extreme weather events more well extreme. 0:08:14.600 --> 0:08:17.760 So that is what is happening. And so when we 0:08:17.800 --> 0:08:21.280 get these weather events, if this same weather event were 0:08:21.360 --> 0:08:25.840 to occur fifty years from now, unfortunately, it's likely to 0:08:25.880 --> 0:08:29.800 produce even bigger impacts, more rain and things like that. 0:08:30.480 --> 0:08:33.920 So big weather events have always happened, but I think 0:08:34.000 --> 0:08:37.559 because of climate change, what we're seeing is that they 0:08:37.600 --> 0:08:40.520 tend to happen more frequently. That tend to happen, they 0:08:40.679 --> 0:08:43.320 tend to be more likely to occur, and when they 0:08:43.320 --> 0:08:45.600 do occur, they can run the risk of being even 0:08:45.640 --> 0:08:48.080 more extreme than they say. We're fifty years ago or 0:08:48.200 --> 0:08:53.920 one hundred years ago. 0:08:54.640 --> 0:08:56.920 So when people think of summer that I think of 0:08:57.080 --> 0:09:00.000 beach days and hanging your sheets out on the line 0:09:00.320 --> 0:09:02.720 and having them dry and five minutes of that kind 0:09:02.720 --> 0:09:05.599 of thing. I mean, when do you think, do you 0:09:05.679 --> 0:09:07.720 think summer is over in that respect? 0:09:08.000 --> 0:09:12.000 Gosh, oh no, no, no, no, summer is not. We're 0:09:12.040 --> 0:09:16.240 just getting started now. Look we're in mid January here, 0:09:16.320 --> 0:09:18.560 so we still have a good you know, ten days 0:09:18.679 --> 0:09:21.280 before the end of January, and we got all feb 0:09:21.320 --> 0:09:23.360 which I know is kind of a short month. There's 0:09:23.360 --> 0:09:27.520 no mistaking that. But keep in mind, here's a good 0:09:27.520 --> 0:09:30.480 thing about being an island nation. An island nation, we're 0:09:30.480 --> 0:09:33.800 surrounded by water. Right, here's a good thing. Our ocean 0:09:33.840 --> 0:09:39.480 temperatures reach their apex, reach their highest typically in about 0:09:39.520 --> 0:09:42.880 early mid February. Well, why is that a big deal? 0:09:43.520 --> 0:09:47.480 Because that helps to keep us warmer a bit longer. 0:09:47.559 --> 0:09:50.920 So as we go into March, our ocean temperatures are 0:09:50.960 --> 0:09:54.520 really quite warm still, they're coming off, you know, they're 0:09:54.559 --> 0:09:57.760 not too far removed from when they're at their highest, 0:09:58.400 --> 0:10:01.560 and as a consequence, that has an upward influence on 0:10:01.600 --> 0:10:04.800 our air temperatures. What am I saying? March can often 0:10:04.840 --> 0:10:07.960 be an extension of summer. You know, Yeah, the days 0:10:07.960 --> 0:10:10.360 are a bit shorter, but you can get some really 0:10:10.400 --> 0:10:13.240 warm temperature still in some really nice weather. So summer 0:10:13.600 --> 0:10:16.040 is not over now. It may feel like it. This weekend. 0:10:16.520 --> 0:10:19.680 I'm not gonna kid you there. This weekend is gonna 0:10:19.679 --> 0:10:23.120 be an apple how Doways say this. I want to 0:10:23.160 --> 0:10:26.239 keep it polite here. It's not gonna be pleasant Saturday. 0:10:26.360 --> 0:10:29.000 If look for those, whether it's a long weekend for 0:10:29.080 --> 0:10:34.319 you or not, Saturday looks absolutely it'll feel autumnal it's 0:10:34.320 --> 0:10:38.079 gonna feel like autumn. There's gonna be strong, gusty southwest winds, 0:10:38.120 --> 0:10:41.040 which is a cold winden direction, and this time of 0:10:41.040 --> 0:10:43.880 the year, when you get a chilly air in the 0:10:43.920 --> 0:10:46.480 middle of summer, the sun angle is still quite strong, 0:10:46.520 --> 0:10:49.600 as we know. That creates an environment where we get 0:10:49.600 --> 0:10:54.200 these really kind of gusty showers and thunderstorms. So I'm 0:10:54.200 --> 0:10:57.800 expecting on Saturday there is going to be across much 0:10:57.840 --> 0:11:01.960 of the North Island, especially the hours, thunderstorms, maybe even 0:11:02.000 --> 0:11:06.360 some hail. That is likely they persist into Sunday as well. 0:11:06.440 --> 0:11:10.400 So it's not looking good. I think Monday, the actual anniversary, 0:11:10.600 --> 0:11:13.160 maybe we can salvage it. Maybe one out of three 0:11:13.200 --> 0:11:16.720 is okay. So if you're looking to enjoy the weekend, 0:11:16.840 --> 0:11:20.240 it's gonna be chilly everywhere, unusually cool, and we're talking 0:11:20.320 --> 0:11:23.240 chili for Midsummer, okay, We're not talking like winter chill, 0:11:23.320 --> 0:11:25.640 though sudden they think it feels like it. I think 0:11:25.720 --> 0:11:28.080 if you're looking to find the best weather this weekend, 0:11:28.480 --> 0:11:31.280 where to go for that, it might actually be the 0:11:31.280 --> 0:11:35.720 top of the South Island or maybe the parts of Otago. 0:11:35.960 --> 0:11:38.360 They may sneak in a pretty good weekend, but those 0:11:38.480 --> 0:11:42.360 areas too are gonna be chilly now. It won't last forever. 0:11:42.840 --> 0:11:45.200 I think as we get into next week, we're likely 0:11:45.240 --> 0:11:48.480 to see a change in the weather pattern. Things will moderate. 0:11:48.679 --> 0:11:50.520 But I do think for those who are in the 0:11:50.559 --> 0:11:53.200 South Island or maybe going to do some holiday making 0:11:53.520 --> 0:11:56.400 in the South Island, as we get toward the end 0:11:56.480 --> 0:12:00.600 of January into early February, they're like they see some 0:12:00.679 --> 0:12:03.199 chillier days. I think the South Island is going to 0:12:03.280 --> 0:12:06.400 have days where it's chillier than usual, more of those 0:12:06.480 --> 0:12:09.600 days than say the North Island. And I'm pretty confident 0:12:09.600 --> 0:12:11.760 if we go farther out, if you want to talk 0:12:11.760 --> 0:12:15.320 about February, I do think February is shaping up to 0:12:15.360 --> 0:12:18.880 be more of a potentially a warmer month than what 0:12:19.040 --> 0:12:21.520 the last say, ten days of January are going to 0:12:21.559 --> 0:12:24.400 give us. I e that cold snap I just talked about. 0:12:24.679 --> 0:12:26.720 I do think we'll get into some warmer weather again. 0:12:26.760 --> 0:12:28.640 So this is no, the summer is not over, that 0:12:28.800 --> 0:12:31.000 is the short answer. I do think there's plenty more 0:12:31.040 --> 0:12:33.880 summer to come. But you know, we still have to 0:12:33.920 --> 0:12:36.000 keep our eyes to the north because anytime we get 0:12:36.040 --> 0:12:38.560 weather coming from the north, that is when we get 0:12:38.600 --> 0:12:42.240 these flooding events. That increases the odds or these flooding events. 0:12:42.440 --> 0:12:44.920 The north has all the moisture. That's all that moisture is, 0:12:44.920 --> 0:12:46.480 and that is fuel for heavy rain. 0:12:47.480 --> 0:12:50.760 Does all of this have anything to do with La Nania? 0:12:51.040 --> 0:12:53.640 Well done? Yeah, you've done your homework, so yes it does. 0:12:53.760 --> 0:12:56.880 I've spoken to you enough to know who what is? 0:12:57.800 --> 0:13:00.640 Yeah. So look for those who don't know what is, 0:13:00.920 --> 0:13:03.120 Laanini is a climate driver. So you may be thinking, 0:13:03.240 --> 0:13:06.160 what the heck's a climate driver? Basically a climate driver 0:13:06.240 --> 0:13:08.360 when we're doing these long range outlooks, you know, for 0:13:08.400 --> 0:13:10.120 the next two months, the next three months, and that 0:13:10.240 --> 0:13:12.679 that sort of thing we want to what we what 0:13:12.720 --> 0:13:16.640 we're trying to do is first things first, who's going 0:13:16.679 --> 0:13:19.880 to be driving Mother Nature's car. If you know who's 0:13:19.920 --> 0:13:22.680 driving Mother Nature's car, at least have a good idea, right, 0:13:23.440 --> 0:13:26.600 then you're in good position to understand what the themes 0:13:26.640 --> 0:13:29.280 are going to be like two months, three months. Again, 0:13:29.320 --> 0:13:31.840 we're talking themes. It's not a weather forecast, and La 0:13:31.920 --> 0:13:35.440 Nini is one of them. Linina is a climate driver, 0:13:35.559 --> 0:13:39.240 and history tells us when we have La Nina, here's 0:13:39.240 --> 0:13:42.920 what happens. We tend to get increased chances for lows 0:13:42.960 --> 0:13:47.000 coming from the north. Tick. That's what we're seeing today, 0:13:47.080 --> 0:13:49.920 tomorrow and through early Thursday, a low coming from the north. 0:13:50.200 --> 0:13:52.520 We tend to get more easterlies and we're going to 0:13:52.559 --> 0:13:55.160 be seeing that the next couple of days. Tick. It 0:13:55.160 --> 0:13:57.760 doesn't mean that happens all the time. It just means 0:13:57.800 --> 0:14:00.680 you get less of those westerly winds, which is what 0:14:00.720 --> 0:14:04.120 we typically see. You get a reduction of those, and 0:14:04.160 --> 0:14:07.480 you get an increase of easterly winds and visitors from 0:14:07.480 --> 0:14:09.480 the north. So an answer to your question, the short 0:14:09.480 --> 0:14:13.400 answer is yes, this is consistent and congruent with what 0:14:13.440 --> 0:14:16.959 we would expect with li Nina being at the steering 0:14:17.000 --> 0:14:21.360 wheel of Mother Nature's car. Now Linin is actually going away, 0:14:21.960 --> 0:14:25.640 it all takes some time for the weather to catch 0:14:25.720 --> 0:14:28.960 up to Linina going away. These climate drivers tend to 0:14:28.960 --> 0:14:32.360 have a long memory. They tend to you tend to 0:14:32.360 --> 0:14:36.160 get Linina like weather patterns even when Linina is officially 0:14:36.280 --> 0:14:38.840 or formally sort of in the rearview mirror or gone. 0:14:39.200 --> 0:14:41.040 So I do think we still have to keep our 0:14:41.080 --> 0:14:44.160 eyes to the north for these big weather, big rain 0:14:44.200 --> 0:14:48.560 makers right through the autumn season. But here's a little 0:14:48.600 --> 0:14:52.400 pro tip. Here's some Here's here's some behind the curtain 0:14:52.520 --> 0:14:56.040 speak as we go into winter, so we're going way 0:14:56.040 --> 0:14:59.640 out there and to spring. So later this year, you know, 0:14:59.720 --> 0:15:02.640 six seven, eight, and nine months from now, it looks 0:15:02.680 --> 0:15:05.360 like El Nino may be coming to the party, and 0:15:05.440 --> 0:15:09.360 it looks like El Nino maybe become a climate driver. 0:15:09.920 --> 0:15:12.760 What that looks like and what that means, we'll have 0:15:12.840 --> 0:15:14.920 to wait and see. But just a bit of a 0:15:15.000 --> 0:15:18.280 heads up. If that were to occur, that would obviously 0:15:18.320 --> 0:15:21.840 mean obviously mean different weather patterns than what is consistent 0:15:21.920 --> 0:15:25.160 with La Nina. If that makes sense, we'll. 0:15:24.920 --> 0:15:29.160 Have to speak about Nina's mate, Nino later this year. 0:15:30.000 --> 0:15:36.400 Brush your Spanish, Chris, if you had to describe this 0:15:37.080 --> 0:15:42.360 summer's weather sofar, how would you describe it in a sentence? 0:15:46.000 --> 0:15:48.440 Mixed? There's a word, oh you, I'll cut it down 0:15:48.440 --> 0:15:51.240 to one word. I would Yeah. Look, I know that's 0:15:51.320 --> 0:15:52.720 kind of a you know, a bit of a cop 0:15:52.720 --> 0:15:55.200 out potentially, but I mean, let's do a quick let's 0:15:55.240 --> 0:15:58.640 do a quick, quick recap. Okay, December was very warm. 0:15:58.680 --> 0:16:01.280 I mean, I'll just sheut to my colleague chester Chester. 0:16:01.360 --> 0:16:03.520 What was December? The December was that unusually? I was 0:16:03.520 --> 0:16:05.440 in a usually warm month? Was it? I? Was in 0:16:05.440 --> 0:16:07.200 the twenties. Yeah, I beg your party, but it was 0:16:07.240 --> 0:16:09.680 in the top twenty five or top thirty, whatever it was. 0:16:09.720 --> 0:16:13.200 So it was unusually warm December, so I mean, I 0:16:13.240 --> 0:16:15.880 feel like warmth. That was you know that happened. We 0:16:16.000 --> 0:16:18.920 had those really hot temperatures in the eastern part of 0:16:18.920 --> 0:16:22.880 both islands with those windy conditions, and then we had, 0:16:22.960 --> 0:16:25.840 you know, we had some pretty cold temperatures across the 0:16:25.880 --> 0:16:28.920 South Island after New Year's so it has been mixed. 0:16:28.960 --> 0:16:32.200 Now we're dealing with this big rainfall across the country, 0:16:32.280 --> 0:16:36.480 so it has been mixed. I do think, I do 0:16:36.560 --> 0:16:38.960 think somewhere is not over with. As I said before, Yes, 0:16:39.000 --> 0:16:42.760 it'll feel like it this weekend for Auckland Anniversary weekend, 0:16:43.640 --> 0:16:45.400 and it will feel like it at times for the 0:16:45.440 --> 0:16:47.800 South Island for the end of the month. But I 0:16:47.800 --> 0:16:49.960 think there's more summer to come, and I feel confident 0:16:49.960 --> 0:16:53.400 about that. Look, I'm a husband, I'm a father, and 0:16:53.400 --> 0:16:55.920 I'm a meteorologist, so I'm used to being wrong. But 0:16:56.000 --> 0:16:56.800 we'll see how we go. 0:16:58.120 --> 0:17:01.440 Well, I won't pack away my bag each blanket just yet. 0:17:01.560 --> 0:17:04.080 No, don't do that. That'd be silly. You'd be missing 0:17:04.080 --> 0:17:06.160 out there'd be some, especially for the North I think 0:17:06.200 --> 0:17:10.000 the North Island probably, Yeah, twenty seventh warmest, my colleague Chester, 0:17:10.080 --> 0:17:12.040 thank you for that. So you know, when you know, 0:17:12.040 --> 0:17:14.640 we think of one hundred and ten Decembers, twenty said 0:17:14.680 --> 0:17:17.639 with warmest, and that means something. But look, if you're 0:17:17.640 --> 0:17:19.440 in the North Island, I think you have the best 0:17:19.520 --> 0:17:25.879 chances for seeing more persistent summer type weather or you know, 0:17:26.200 --> 0:17:28.280 quick essential summer like weather, if that makes sense. 0:17:29.280 --> 0:17:31.040 Thanks for joining us, Chris. 0:17:31.560 --> 0:17:36.960 Thanks for having me. I enjoy coming on the program. 0:17:37.280 --> 0:17:40.399 That's it for this episode of the Front Page. You 0:17:40.440 --> 0:17:44.200 can read more about today's stories and extensive news coverage 0:17:44.240 --> 0:17:47.879 at enzidhrald dot co dot enz. The Front Page is 0:17:47.920 --> 0:17:51.919 hosted and produced by me Chelsea Daniels Caine. Dicky is 0:17:51.960 --> 0:17:56.119 our studio operator, Richard Martin, our producer and editor, and 0:17:56.160 --> 0:17:57.880 our executive producer. 0:17:57.560 --> 0:17:58.680 Is Jane Ye. 0:17:59.040 --> 0:18:02.080 Follow the Front Page on the iheartapp or wherever you 0:18:02.080 --> 0:18:02.520 get your. 0:18:02.400 --> 0:18:06.400 Podcasts, and join us next time for another look beyond 0:18:06.560 --> 0:18:07.480 the headlines.