1 00:00:00,160 --> 00:00:03,880 Speaker 1: Jamie McKay hosted the Countries with us. Right now, Hey, Jamie, diet, 2 00:00:03,960 --> 00:00:06,400 Speaker 1: I hear that red meat prices they finally recovering, are 3 00:00:06,440 --> 00:00:09,200 Speaker 1: they well, they're coming off the bottom of the cycle, 4 00:00:09,240 --> 00:00:13,880 Speaker 1: according to Silver Fern Farms Chief executive Dan Bolton. Interestingly, 5 00:00:13,920 --> 00:00:17,760 Speaker 1: when we crunched the August numbers from the Meat Industry Association, 6 00:00:18,440 --> 00:00:22,640 Speaker 1: our exports to China, as Trumpy would say, we're down 7 00:00:23,000 --> 00:00:25,479 Speaker 1: fifty percent to one hundred and seven million. But here's 8 00:00:25,520 --> 00:00:29,040 Speaker 1: the good news. Maybe short term. The United States was 9 00:00:29,080 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 1: again the largest market for New Zealand red meat in 10 00:00:32,520 --> 00:00:35,960 Speaker 1: August seven percent year on year increased to one hundred 11 00:00:35,960 --> 00:00:39,200 Speaker 1: and ninety eight million. What happens next week or after 12 00:00:39,280 --> 00:00:41,640 Speaker 1: next week, we don't know. So the poor old sheep 13 00:00:41,720 --> 00:00:43,640 Speaker 1: farmers here that they've had a hell of a time. 14 00:00:44,520 --> 00:00:46,559 Speaker 1: They're not getting much, or they weren't getting much for 15 00:00:46,640 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 1: their lamb, getting next to nothing for their wall. But 16 00:00:49,479 --> 00:00:51,920 Speaker 1: lamb is up about a dollar a kilo from this 17 00:00:52,040 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 1: time twelve months ago. We're starting to see some green shoots. 18 00:00:56,040 --> 00:00:59,280 Speaker 1: I know, you hate that word in China due to 19 00:00:59,320 --> 00:01:03,920 Speaker 1: the stimulus packages from the Chinese government and Silver Fern Farms, 20 00:01:04,040 --> 00:01:07,640 Speaker 1: who's half owned by the Chinese, is quite optimistic ahead 21 00:01:07,720 --> 00:01:11,200 Speaker 1: of the new year, so Bolton. Dan Bolton went on 22 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:15,440 Speaker 1: to say, look, China's back in the market. They're being competitive. 23 00:01:15,680 --> 00:01:18,279 Speaker 1: But here's the interesting thing. He said, the Middle East 24 00:01:18,360 --> 00:01:22,080 Speaker 1: growth for our red meat was just eye watering, and 25 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:26,760 Speaker 1: the United States was absolutely firing on all cylinders, pushing 26 00:01:26,800 --> 00:01:30,360 Speaker 1: up farm gate price for ball beef. So we literally 27 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: cannot supply them enough beef at the moment due to 28 00:01:33,640 --> 00:01:36,480 Speaker 1: the drought they're having over there. So better times ahead 29 00:01:36,520 --> 00:01:40,000 Speaker 1: for the red meat industry. What about strong Will, Well, 30 00:01:40,520 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: it's funny you ask that, Heather. It's been a dog 31 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,640 Speaker 1: for a number of years, but maybe there's some light 32 00:01:47,680 --> 00:01:50,200 Speaker 1: at the end of the tunnel for strong Wallet. Today's 33 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:53,640 Speaker 1: North Island Napier Sail. The strong Will indicator was up 34 00:01:53,760 --> 00:01:57,680 Speaker 1: ten cents to its highest point in the past three seasons. 35 00:01:58,800 --> 00:02:02,800 Speaker 1: Clearance rate lightly lower exchange rate is happening as well, 36 00:02:03,160 --> 00:02:06,000 Speaker 1: and some of the commentary from PGG Rights and Wall 37 00:02:06,040 --> 00:02:08,640 Speaker 1: and I has read their report was that some early 38 00:02:08,880 --> 00:02:12,040 Speaker 1: U sharing is underway and the quality thus far looks 39 00:02:12,080 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 1: to be excellent. So all in all, those two stories 40 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:17,200 Speaker 1: add up to a good news story for sheep farmers. Yeah, totally. 41 00:02:17,240 --> 00:02:19,840 Speaker 1: Hey listen, why isn't it broccoli might cost nine bucks ahead? 42 00:02:19,919 --> 00:02:22,760 Speaker 1: What's going on there? Yeah, weller, can you imagine that 43 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:26,960 Speaker 1: twenty seven dollars a kilo nine dollars ahead. There's a 44 00:02:27,000 --> 00:02:30,040 Speaker 1: new report out from the New Zealand Institute of Economic 45 00:02:30,120 --> 00:02:36,360 Speaker 1: Research which is warning fresh vegetable prices could increase, possibly dramatically, 46 00:02:36,720 --> 00:02:39,480 Speaker 1: if the government doesn't move to provide a clear and 47 00:02:39,560 --> 00:02:44,760 Speaker 1: workable regulatory pathway for vegetable production. Now I've quoted those numbers, 48 00:02:44,800 --> 00:02:48,480 Speaker 1: twenty seven dollars a kilo for broccoli, nine dollars ahead. 49 00:02:49,840 --> 00:02:54,440 Speaker 1: Those are the potential of vegetable production should I say, 50 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:57,160 Speaker 1: is cut by twenty percent as a result of proposed 51 00:02:57,200 --> 00:03:01,920 Speaker 1: regulations aimed at reducing night drogen runoffs. So this report 52 00:03:02,040 --> 00:03:05,560 Speaker 1: draws on research estimating that a twenty percent reduction and 53 00:03:05,639 --> 00:03:09,639 Speaker 1: vegetable supply should these regulations come, and could push vegetable 54 00:03:09,680 --> 00:03:13,760 Speaker 1: prices up by at least twenty percent, possibly one hundred percent. 55 00:03:14,240 --> 00:03:16,600 Speaker 1: So yeah, we've got to tread warily on that one. 56 00:03:16,639 --> 00:03:19,320 Speaker 1: On the other problem we've got with vegetables, Heather, is 57 00:03:19,360 --> 00:03:22,320 Speaker 1: that some of our best vegetable growing land in this 58 00:03:22,400 --> 00:03:26,680 Speaker 1: country has now growing houses A very good point, Jamie. 59 00:03:26,720 --> 00:03:29,280 Speaker 1: Thanks very much, mate, Jamie McKay, host of the Country. 60 00:03:30,040 --> 00:03:33,200 Speaker 1: For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 61 00:03:33,320 --> 00:03:36,320 Speaker 1: news talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 62 00:03:36,360 --> 00:03:38,120 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio