1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,480 Speaker 1: If you weren't already feeling confident about twenty twenty six, 2 00:00:02,520 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 1: I've got two reasons that you should. At least two 3 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:07,880 Speaker 1: major retail banks see signs of an economic recovery next year. 4 00:00:08,080 --> 00:00:10,320 Speaker 1: And we have a new Reserve Bank governor. Now, no 5 00:00:10,440 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 1: pressure on Anna Bremen, but she hasn't arrived a day 6 00:00:13,080 --> 00:00:15,440 Speaker 1: too soon, given that the old lot was still managing 7 00:00:15,440 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: to stuff things up until literally the last chance they 8 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:20,759 Speaker 1: had with Christian hawksby saying whoopsie the wrong thing and 9 00:00:20,800 --> 00:00:23,079 Speaker 1: then sending the wholesale market rates and therefore the fixed 10 00:00:23,120 --> 00:00:25,319 Speaker 1: term interest rates up by thirty basis points. Now, to 11 00:00:25,360 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: be fair to him, he was only the fill in. 12 00:00:28,160 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: And if we're honest with ourselves, it's probably more hope 13 00:00:30,640 --> 00:00:33,440 Speaker 1: than certainty that the Swedish import will be any better 14 00:00:33,640 --> 00:00:36,200 Speaker 1: than hawksby and all. But then again, you could argue 15 00:00:36,200 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 1: it really would be hard to be worse given the 16 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:40,560 Speaker 1: last four years. But we're here for the good news 17 00:00:40,560 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 1: at the moment he hears the good news for you. 18 00:00:42,040 --> 00:00:44,320 Speaker 1: The good news is that Anna Bremen arriving as the 19 00:00:44,360 --> 00:00:47,840 Speaker 1: new broom coincides with ASB and now Kiwibank all saying 20 00:00:48,240 --> 00:00:51,320 Speaker 1: it's on the are seeing recovery signs for twenty twenty six. 21 00:00:51,640 --> 00:00:54,840 Speaker 1: Kiwibanks call arguably matters more than anyone out in any 22 00:00:54,880 --> 00:00:57,200 Speaker 1: one others because these guys have been the gloomiest. They've 23 00:00:57,240 --> 00:00:59,320 Speaker 1: been calling for more rate cuts than the Reserve Bank 24 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,720 Speaker 1: was prepared for, warning it was more grim out there 25 00:01:01,720 --> 00:01:04,040 Speaker 1: than the Wellington Bank has realized. And Kiwibank has been 26 00:01:04,080 --> 00:01:06,959 Speaker 1: right consistently, So here's hoping they're right again when they 27 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:09,800 Speaker 1: say sales are already up, and when sales go up, 28 00:01:09,800 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 1: everything else goes up. House prices are up two to 29 00:01:12,520 --> 00:01:15,240 Speaker 1: three percent next year, the economy is growing two point 30 00:01:15,240 --> 00:01:17,080 Speaker 1: four percent next year, and then it's three percent the 31 00:01:17,120 --> 00:01:19,920 Speaker 1: following year. Now, I don't know about you, but that combo, 32 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:22,200 Speaker 1: a new person in charge of the Central Bank and 33 00:01:22,240 --> 00:01:24,760 Speaker 1: growing consensus that the recovery is now on is probably 34 00:01:24,800 --> 00:01:27,440 Speaker 1: the best Christmas present I could have wished for. For 35 00:01:27,560 --> 00:01:30,600 Speaker 1: more from the Mic Asking Breakfast, listen live to news 36 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:33,560 Speaker 1: talks that'd be from six am weekdays, or follow the 37 00:01:33,600 --> 00:01:35,040 Speaker 1: podcast on iHeartRadio.