1 00:00:00,200 --> 00:00:02,640 Speaker 1: So over the past year, thank god for the milk prices, right, 2 00:00:02,759 --> 00:00:05,320 Speaker 1: dairy prices well. A new report from Rubber Banks says 3 00:00:05,400 --> 00:00:08,240 Speaker 1: maybe there's too much milk for the market. Global dairy 4 00:00:08,280 --> 00:00:10,880 Speaker 1: prices are under pressure after surging New Zealand production through 5 00:00:10,920 --> 00:00:13,560 Speaker 1: the back half of the year, and rubber Bank says 6 00:00:13,600 --> 00:00:16,720 Speaker 1: the global dairy prices are set to weaken. Farmers have 7 00:00:16,760 --> 00:00:20,040 Speaker 1: been breaking records month after month. May through September. October 8 00:00:20,120 --> 00:00:23,439 Speaker 1: hit the third highest output ever. So joining us is 9 00:00:23,480 --> 00:00:26,400 Speaker 1: doctor Jacquelin Rath, a professor at Lincoln University. Good on 10 00:00:26,520 --> 00:00:26,680 Speaker 1: to you. 11 00:00:26,680 --> 00:00:28,960 Speaker 2: To Jackelin, good morning. 12 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:31,160 Speaker 1: So what's behind the increase of production? In fact, you've 13 00:00:31,200 --> 00:00:35,120 Speaker 1: described this report describes the global increase as stunning. 14 00:00:37,560 --> 00:00:40,000 Speaker 2: It's been building up for a while, and it's because 15 00:00:40,000 --> 00:00:42,440 Speaker 2: milk is a very good product and people want to 16 00:00:42,479 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 2: consume it, and it's good for so many different things, 17 00:00:45,400 --> 00:00:49,360 Speaker 2: and people sometimes forget the calcium various bitiments. So it's 18 00:00:49,440 --> 00:00:54,160 Speaker 2: wanted an increase in people around the world. It means 19 00:00:54,200 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 2: that they're looking for high quality protein, so milk's about 20 00:00:57,800 --> 00:01:01,040 Speaker 2: the best thing you can do. And for the protein, 21 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:04,560 Speaker 2: the amino acids, in particular the ones we need, it's 22 00:01:04,600 --> 00:01:09,520 Speaker 2: about the most environmentally It is the most environmentally sensible 23 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 2: food you can consume. 24 00:01:10,640 --> 00:01:13,039 Speaker 1: So go for it. Milk, yeah, exactly. So as the 25 00:01:13,040 --> 00:01:15,200 Speaker 1: price increases, of course the farmers say, oh, well, let's 26 00:01:15,200 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 1: pump out some more milk. But then that depresses the prices. 27 00:01:18,480 --> 00:01:22,120 Speaker 2: Well, this is a global thing, not just New Zealand, 28 00:01:22,520 --> 00:01:26,880 Speaker 2: and certainly we have been responding to signals about producing 29 00:01:26,920 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 2: more milk, but their world and other countries can do 30 00:01:30,160 --> 00:01:32,920 Speaker 2: it more quickly than we can because they aren't on 31 00:01:33,040 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 2: seasonal production in the same way that we are matching 32 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:40,240 Speaker 2: the grass curve. They they eat supplements. So our milk 33 00:01:40,319 --> 00:01:42,080 Speaker 2: is in demand because it's grass fed. 34 00:01:43,080 --> 00:01:45,400 Speaker 1: But this is not great use for farmers. Well, I 35 00:01:45,480 --> 00:01:47,080 Speaker 1: mean no, I had to put it into some sort 36 00:01:47,080 --> 00:01:49,560 Speaker 1: of context because at the moment it's brilliant for farmers. 37 00:01:49,560 --> 00:01:51,240 Speaker 1: So this is less brilliant now. 38 00:01:52,000 --> 00:01:54,920 Speaker 2: It's come off the peak at the moment, and we'll 39 00:01:54,960 --> 00:01:58,280 Speaker 2: see what happens next to you. But always farmers have 40 00:01:58,320 --> 00:02:01,120 Speaker 2: an eye on the cost of product. So at the 41 00:02:01,160 --> 00:02:04,160 Speaker 2: moment and for a while across the sector. So I'm 42 00:02:04,200 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 2: talking drive stock as well. People have wanted consumers have 43 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:11,560 Speaker 2: been prepared to pay more for our product. Than the 44 00:02:11,600 --> 00:02:14,880 Speaker 2: cost of producing it. So we keep an eye on 45 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,640 Speaker 2: the cost of production, and it's the margins. We should 46 00:02:17,680 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 2: always be looking at the difference between cost of production 47 00:02:20,080 --> 00:02:22,560 Speaker 2: and what people are prepared to pay, and that stuff 48 00:02:22,600 --> 00:02:25,440 Speaker 2: like trying to sell a house. When people want our product, 49 00:02:25,639 --> 00:02:28,680 Speaker 2: we feel good about it, but then the joy spreads 50 00:02:28,680 --> 00:02:30,519 Speaker 2: and other countries start producing it too. 51 00:02:31,040 --> 00:02:34,840 Speaker 1: We know it swings and roundabout absolutely, Doctor Jacqueline Routh, 52 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:36,680 Speaker 1: a profession Lincoln University. 53 00:02:37,280 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 2: For more fam earlier edition with Ryan Bridge, listen live 54 00:02:40,400 --> 00:02:43,400 Speaker 2: to news Talks. It'd be from five am weekdays, or 55 00:02:43,440 --> 00:02:45,359 Speaker 2: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio