1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:00,480 Speaker 1: With me. 2 00:00:00,520 --> 00:00:04,840 Speaker 2: Now is Jeremy Hutton, Milford Asset Management. Hey, Jeremy, Evening, Heather. 3 00:00:04,920 --> 00:00:06,840 Speaker 2: We'll talk a little bit about Spark. I haven't a 4 00:00:06,880 --> 00:00:08,799 Speaker 2: bad run that's been going on for a little while 5 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:10,360 Speaker 2: and it's just continued today, hasn't it. 6 00:00:11,880 --> 00:00:15,240 Speaker 1: Yeah, another earnings and also the dividend downgrade today and 7 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:19,480 Speaker 1: this was only two months after its previous financial result, 8 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:22,920 Speaker 1: and it's already downgraded as guidance for the FY twenty 9 00:00:22,920 --> 00:00:27,840 Speaker 1: five year, so it's preferred earnings metric ebitde by four 10 00:00:27,880 --> 00:00:31,600 Speaker 1: percent at the midpoint and disappointingly, just follows, as you said, 11 00:00:31,640 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 1: a series of downgrades already this calendar year. And these 12 00:00:35,800 --> 00:00:38,440 Speaker 1: earnings downgrades have been the main contributor to the stock 13 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:41,480 Speaker 1: being one of the worst performers on the Interdex this year. 14 00:00:41,640 --> 00:00:45,960 Speaker 1: So very unusual for a normally defensive blue tap telecoms 15 00:00:45,960 --> 00:00:47,080 Speaker 1: company like Spark. Yeah. 16 00:00:47,120 --> 00:00:48,479 Speaker 2: I mean, if you look at what's happened that the 17 00:00:48,479 --> 00:00:51,199 Speaker 2: share price is down well over forty percent, you know, 18 00:00:51,320 --> 00:00:53,080 Speaker 2: so far this year. So this is basically just a 19 00:00:53,159 --> 00:00:54,520 Speaker 2: run of the same kind of news, isn't it. 20 00:00:55,600 --> 00:00:57,760 Speaker 1: Yeah? A little bit parts of the updates were similar, 21 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:00,600 Speaker 1: but there was also some New News as well did 22 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:04,480 Speaker 1: highlight the continued slower mobile division growth, and this is 23 00:01:04,520 --> 00:01:07,520 Speaker 1: mainly competition from One New Zealand and two degrees impacting 24 00:01:08,200 --> 00:01:11,120 Speaker 1: and effectively. Corporates and government entities are still looking to 25 00:01:11,240 --> 00:01:16,600 Speaker 1: rationalize their spend, especially in mobile and IT services, looking 26 00:01:16,600 --> 00:01:19,360 Speaker 1: for some more value options and it's been in the 27 00:01:19,440 --> 00:01:22,600 Speaker 1: New News. Spark cut its ever important dividends as well 28 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:25,760 Speaker 1: by ten percent. This was down to twenty five cents 29 00:01:25,800 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 1: for next year expected. So the dividend has traditionally been 30 00:01:29,200 --> 00:01:33,120 Speaker 1: the most important value driver for Spark, so meaningful cut there. 31 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:36,920 Speaker 2: So what's the concern that's led them to the dividend cut? 32 00:01:38,360 --> 00:01:40,679 Speaker 1: Yeah, the biggest issue that the market has had is 33 00:01:40,720 --> 00:01:44,720 Speaker 1: over the sustainability of the dividend, and this is due 34 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,919 Speaker 1: to the competing demands on its cash flows. So Spark 35 00:01:47,960 --> 00:01:50,559 Speaker 1: has been investing a lot in building new data centers 36 00:01:50,560 --> 00:01:54,440 Speaker 1: which are pretty expensive. The operating performance has been struggling 37 00:01:54,640 --> 00:01:58,080 Speaker 1: as mentioned before, and it wants to maintain its investment 38 00:01:58,120 --> 00:02:01,880 Speaker 1: grade credit rating, so words have low debt levels, so 39 00:02:01,920 --> 00:02:05,760 Speaker 1: it's balancing a lot of demands. It did cut back 40 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:09,200 Speaker 1: its capital expensure guidance, but looking at it really simply 41 00:02:09,240 --> 00:02:12,200 Speaker 1: from here at three cash flow guide as a midpoint 42 00:02:12,200 --> 00:02:15,040 Speaker 1: of four hundred and twenty million, but the dividend at 43 00:02:15,080 --> 00:02:17,600 Speaker 1: twenty five cents, even at the reduced level, is still 44 00:02:17,600 --> 00:02:21,040 Speaker 1: costing four hundred and sixty million, so in theory it's 45 00:02:21,040 --> 00:02:22,680 Speaker 1: still borraling to pay this dividend. 46 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:25,240 Speaker 2: Very interesting. Again, the interesting things that the share price 47 00:02:25,280 --> 00:02:27,680 Speaker 2: didn't move very much today was that the market potentially 48 00:02:27,720 --> 00:02:29,120 Speaker 2: buying the last downgrade. 49 00:02:29,880 --> 00:02:32,760 Speaker 1: Yeah, certainly could have been especially given how much the 50 00:02:32,760 --> 00:02:36,480 Speaker 1: share price has fallen. Parts of this was expected, but 51 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:39,760 Speaker 1: it's probably more in relation to some other news. It's 52 00:02:39,800 --> 00:02:42,360 Speaker 1: looking to sell some of its non core assets, like 53 00:02:42,840 --> 00:02:46,519 Speaker 1: the remainder of its power CODs heat, and it's trying 54 00:02:46,520 --> 00:02:49,840 Speaker 1: to find a capital partner to help fund its data centers, 55 00:02:49,880 --> 00:02:52,320 Speaker 1: and both of these will relieve some of the pressure 56 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 1: on the balance sheet and cash flow. There is a 57 00:02:55,400 --> 00:02:59,200 Speaker 1: very large value case starting to emerge. Even on the 58 00:02:59,240 --> 00:03:02,720 Speaker 1: lower dividend. Cash yield is over eight percent per year, 59 00:03:03,320 --> 00:03:06,960 Speaker 1: and this lines up favorably versus other global telecoms peers, 60 00:03:07,760 --> 00:03:12,160 Speaker 1: other INJE ex dividend stocks, and also favorably against term deposits, 61 00:03:12,520 --> 00:03:16,880 Speaker 1: especially in a falling and gestrade environment. So some value emerging. 62 00:03:16,480 --> 00:03:19,600 Speaker 2: Here interesting, Jeremy, thanks very much, really appreciate it. Jeremy Hutton. 63 00:03:19,840 --> 00:03:23,960 Speaker 2: More for Acid Management. For more from Heather Duplessy Allen Drive, 64 00:03:24,120 --> 00:03:27,560 Speaker 2: Listen live to news Talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, 65 00:03:27,680 --> 00:03:29,840 Speaker 2: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio