1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,160 Speaker 1: So Europe on the brink jade advance rolls into town, 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 1: gives them a few home truths. The talks as regards 3 00:00:04,440 --> 00:00:07,680 Speaker 1: peace and Ukraine appear to possibly involve Europe, possibly not so. 4 00:00:07,760 --> 00:00:10,800 Speaker 1: The emergency Summitt hillbb A night, former BBC Foreign correspondent 5 00:00:10,840 --> 00:00:14,200 Speaker 1: Paul Woodsbeck, whether that's Paul, good morning, good morning. You've 6 00:00:14,200 --> 00:00:16,160 Speaker 1: seen a lot. Is this history in the making. 7 00:00:18,760 --> 00:00:21,040 Speaker 2: Well, if history has a lot of panic and scrambling 8 00:00:21,079 --> 00:00:24,560 Speaker 2: and trying to make yourself relevant, then yes, this is 9 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:30,200 Speaker 2: Europe completely alarmed by President Trump telephoning the Russian lead 10 00:00:30,200 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 2: of Vladimir Putin, apparently without consulting European allies. And you 11 00:00:34,520 --> 00:00:38,680 Speaker 2: said in your introduction, will Europe be involved in the talks? Well, 12 00:00:38,720 --> 00:00:41,800 Speaker 2: apparently they won't, but certainly not as they are getting 13 00:00:41,880 --> 00:00:44,879 Speaker 2: underway in Saudi Arabia. Now, what's happening in Saudi Arabia 14 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:48,680 Speaker 2: is much wider than just a Ukraine piece effort. This 15 00:00:48,760 --> 00:00:52,120 Speaker 2: is about the US resetting its relations with Russia. But 16 00:00:52,280 --> 00:00:56,000 Speaker 2: Europeans are worried that this will have huge implications, not 17 00:00:56,080 --> 00:00:58,760 Speaker 2: just for Ukraine but for European security. They're trying to 18 00:00:58,800 --> 00:01:00,840 Speaker 2: make themselves relevant. We'll have to see what they come up. 19 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:03,360 Speaker 1: The JD Van's comments the other day, the fear within, 20 00:01:03,440 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: the problems within, did he have a point? 21 00:01:07,480 --> 00:01:10,160 Speaker 2: I suppose it depends where you stand on theseues of 22 00:01:10,200 --> 00:01:13,399 Speaker 2: free speech in a range of European countries, Britain, Germany. 23 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:20,880 Speaker 2: He was making a point about Europe's worries over Ukraine. Well, 24 00:01:20,920 --> 00:01:24,360 Speaker 2: hang on a minute. He's saying, the enemy is really 25 00:01:24,360 --> 00:01:27,240 Speaker 2: within and it's your own weakness. So these are the 26 00:01:27,319 --> 00:01:32,720 Speaker 2: kind of almost trolleying comments that President Trump succeeds in making. 27 00:01:32,840 --> 00:01:35,320 Speaker 2: Very well, it's an attempt to throw the board up 28 00:01:35,319 --> 00:01:38,000 Speaker 2: in the air and reset the pieces. But certainly doing that, 29 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:41,880 Speaker 2: it's very hard to distinguish what is a negotiating tactic 30 00:01:41,920 --> 00:01:44,280 Speaker 2: on the behalf of the US government and what is 31 00:01:44,360 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 2: a really heartfelt position. But certainly it's having an effect. 32 00:01:47,880 --> 00:01:49,200 Speaker 2: That's why they're meeting in Paris. 33 00:01:49,240 --> 00:01:54,040 Speaker 1: Now, does this potentially in bolden Europe and NATO to go. 34 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,880 Speaker 1: We've been caught badly out here. We need for the 35 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:59,120 Speaker 1: future to do something more substantive than what we've been 36 00:01:59,120 --> 00:01:59,840 Speaker 1: doing or not. 37 00:02:02,000 --> 00:02:06,200 Speaker 2: Well. The Poonish leaders said that that the countries of Europe, 38 00:02:06,200 --> 00:02:08,919 Speaker 2: and I suppose that the UK as well UK's geographically 39 00:02:08,960 --> 00:02:11,079 Speaker 2: in Europe still but not politically. In Europe they will 40 00:02:11,080 --> 00:02:15,280 Speaker 2: go up there defense spending. But President Zelenski, for instance, 41 00:02:15,280 --> 00:02:18,079 Speaker 2: says it would take two hundred thousand troops to police 42 00:02:18,160 --> 00:02:21,600 Speaker 2: the fifteen hundred mile front line if there was a 43 00:02:21,600 --> 00:02:23,640 Speaker 2: peace agreement. And by the way, the Ukrainians say they 44 00:02:23,639 --> 00:02:25,600 Speaker 2: can be no peace agreement without them, and they're not 45 00:02:25,600 --> 00:02:29,079 Speaker 2: at the table. In Saudi Arabia, the former head of 46 00:02:29,120 --> 00:02:30,920 Speaker 2: the British Army, Lord Dana, says it would take one 47 00:02:30,960 --> 00:02:35,120 Speaker 2: hundred thousand. Well, Britain's got a pretty hollow army now 48 00:02:35,160 --> 00:02:39,360 Speaker 2: of seventy six thousand, and Britain, along with France, they're 49 00:02:39,360 --> 00:02:42,680 Speaker 2: the most effective armies in Europe. Where are these hundred 50 00:02:42,720 --> 00:02:44,720 Speaker 2: thousand or two hundred thousand going to come from? I 51 00:02:44,760 --> 00:02:47,399 Speaker 2: saw one estimate from one analyst saying that three brigades 52 00:02:47,440 --> 00:02:49,639 Speaker 2: or fifteen thousands all that Europe could come up with. 53 00:02:50,080 --> 00:02:52,919 Speaker 2: And then if Europe does send these troops, is America 54 00:02:52,960 --> 00:02:56,600 Speaker 2: going to backstop? That is this essentially NATO membership for 55 00:02:56,720 --> 00:03:01,000 Speaker 2: Ukraine and all but name. These are all questions which 56 00:03:01,040 --> 00:03:04,000 Speaker 2: I think show the huge mountain the Europeans have to climb. 57 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:06,120 Speaker 2: But at the moment, they're just scrambling to become relevant 58 00:03:06,520 --> 00:03:07,480 Speaker 2: by offering something. 59 00:03:08,240 --> 00:03:09,800 Speaker 1: Paul, good to have you on the program as always 60 00:03:09,800 --> 00:03:12,679 Speaker 1: appreciate your time for the BBC Foreign Correspondent, Paul would. 61 00:03:12,480 --> 00:03:15,000 Speaker 2: It's for more from the My Asking Breakfast. 62 00:03:15,160 --> 00:03:18,480 Speaker 1: Listen live to news talks it'd be from six am weekdays, 63 00:03:18,720 --> 00:03:20,760 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio