1 00:00:09,093 --> 00:00:11,972 Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talk sed B. 2 00:00:12,373 --> 00:00:16,173 Speaker 1: Follow this and our wide range of podcasts now on iHeartRadio. 3 00:00:16,733 --> 00:00:20,332 Speaker 2: Senior political correspondent Barry Soper in studio, Get a berry. 4 00:00:20,293 --> 00:00:22,013 Speaker 3: Good Ale, It's nice to be here again. 5 00:00:22,293 --> 00:00:25,173 Speaker 2: Great to see you too, Barry. So is it realistic 6 00:00:25,613 --> 00:00:29,453 Speaker 2: that Luxeon will be replaced anytime soon? And should national 7 00:00:29,533 --> 00:00:32,653 Speaker 2: be worried about a poll eighteen months out for the election? 8 00:00:32,893 --> 00:00:36,132 Speaker 3: Yeah, there are two quite distinct questions. I think there 9 00:00:36,173 --> 00:00:38,573 Speaker 3: will be worry in the National ranks, there's no doubt 10 00:00:38,573 --> 00:00:41,812 Speaker 3: about this. And don't forget this. Polster is their own polster, 11 00:00:41,933 --> 00:00:44,973 Speaker 3: the Curier pole, so it is their own. It's not 12 00:00:45,092 --> 00:00:47,693 Speaker 3: the Talbot pole, which is the Labor Party posters. So 13 00:00:48,173 --> 00:00:52,612 Speaker 3: it's put Labor marginally ahead of the National Party, even 14 00:00:52,613 --> 00:00:55,932 Speaker 3: though both main parties have gone up in their rankings. 15 00:00:55,933 --> 00:00:59,733 Speaker 3: But when it comes down to Chris Luxon, you know, look, 16 00:00:59,893 --> 00:01:02,893 Speaker 3: he's had one hell of a time since he took 17 00:01:02,973 --> 00:01:06,053 Speaker 3: over his primers. There was no it was a baptism afar, 18 00:01:06,213 --> 00:01:09,133 Speaker 3: there was no honeymoon. The gallery has been on his 19 00:01:09,293 --> 00:01:11,573 Speaker 3: case ever since he came in, and I think the 20 00:01:11,573 --> 00:01:16,413 Speaker 3: public has as well, because they believe that after these 21 00:01:16,533 --> 00:01:20,573 Speaker 3: dreadful three years that have just been through the COVID 22 00:01:20,652 --> 00:01:24,253 Speaker 3: years and post COVID that things should have been put 23 00:01:24,333 --> 00:01:27,853 Speaker 3: right almost immediately, and that's the expectation of the voter, 24 00:01:28,013 --> 00:01:31,453 Speaker 3: but they could never be. So you've got a government 25 00:01:31,493 --> 00:01:35,413 Speaker 3: here that really hasn't made significant gains and that's what 26 00:01:35,453 --> 00:01:38,413 Speaker 3: the public wants. So they're disappointed. And if an election 27 00:01:38,613 --> 00:01:42,892 Speaker 3: was held now, fortunately there won't be one. The center 28 00:01:42,973 --> 00:01:46,173 Speaker 3: left would have the numbers, the center right, even with 29 00:01:46,292 --> 00:01:49,573 Speaker 3: New Zealand first, wouldn't. So it's not good. Look at 30 00:01:49,573 --> 00:01:52,133 Speaker 3: the polls. Sorry, sorry, I'll just rave on about this 31 00:01:52,253 --> 00:01:55,093 Speaker 3: last bit. But if you look at the average of 32 00:01:55,093 --> 00:01:58,013 Speaker 3: a third prime minister through the ages, and I thought, 33 00:01:58,053 --> 00:02:01,133 Speaker 3: you know, it's interesting to see just how prime ministers 34 00:02:01,173 --> 00:02:04,573 Speaker 3: did poll. Look at Helen Clark that she used in 35 00:02:04,613 --> 00:02:10,093 Speaker 3: opposition poll appallingly she had an average of sixty four 36 00:02:10,173 --> 00:02:11,373 Speaker 3: percent in the nine years. 37 00:02:11,413 --> 00:02:14,613 Speaker 2: She was, Wow, far that something anything for those kind 38 00:02:14,613 --> 00:02:17,813 Speaker 2: of numbers now, absolutely, yeah, fascinating stuff. 39 00:02:17,853 --> 00:02:19,653 Speaker 1: Is always very good to see you again. We'll catch 40 00:02:19,693 --> 00:02:20,012 Speaker 1: up soon. 41 00:02:20,093 --> 00:02:22,293 Speaker 3: Sorry, didn't get a word in edgewise. Chaps. 42 00:02:22,293 --> 00:02:24,973 Speaker 1: For more from News Talks at b listen live on 43 00:02:25,053 --> 00:02:28,013 Speaker 1: air or online and keep our shows with you wherever 44 00:02:28,053 --> 00:02:30,653 Speaker 1: you go with our podcasts on iHeartRadio