1 00:00:00,000 --> 00:00:01,640 Speaker 1: Because now the government is being told it needs an 2 00:00:01,639 --> 00:00:04,520 Speaker 1: independent unit to make sure government spending is sustainable and 3 00:00:04,600 --> 00:00:07,720 Speaker 1: to check treasury forecasts and so on. Vast majority of 4 00:00:07,720 --> 00:00:10,119 Speaker 1: OECD countries do have this kind of institution, but the 5 00:00:10,119 --> 00:00:13,200 Speaker 1: Finance Minister isn't so key. The Herald's Wellington Business editor, 6 00:00:13,240 --> 00:00:16,000 Speaker 1: jenetib trainees with us, Hey, your name, hey, heav Why 7 00:00:16,040 --> 00:00:17,040 Speaker 1: doesn't she like the idea? 8 00:00:18,120 --> 00:00:21,680 Speaker 2: Well, Nikola Willis reckons that the Treasury does a good 9 00:00:21,760 --> 00:00:25,599 Speaker 2: job and also that the oversight provided by the Order 10 00:00:25,640 --> 00:00:28,560 Speaker 2: to General is good enough, although it could be beefed 11 00:00:28,640 --> 00:00:32,560 Speaker 2: up a little bit. Nichola Willis is open to establishing 12 00:00:32,560 --> 00:00:37,760 Speaker 2: a new unit that checks political parties policy costings. You know, 13 00:00:37,800 --> 00:00:40,080 Speaker 2: this is something that we've talked about quite a bit 14 00:00:40,120 --> 00:00:42,600 Speaker 2: because you know, every election parties come along and we 15 00:00:42,720 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 2: end up getting all tied up and whether their promises 16 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:48,199 Speaker 2: stack up in terms of the money, and you know 17 00:00:48,280 --> 00:00:51,520 Speaker 2: that's potentially a distraction from us actually discussing the policies. 18 00:00:51,720 --> 00:00:54,920 Speaker 2: So she is open to that, but she's not, you know, 19 00:00:55,160 --> 00:00:59,960 Speaker 2: particularly exercised to you know, progress something like that. 20 00:01:00,240 --> 00:01:02,680 Speaker 1: So would this just be an agency that has a 21 00:01:02,760 --> 00:01:04,720 Speaker 1: look if the government says we're going to do the 22 00:01:04,760 --> 00:01:06,640 Speaker 1: following thing for this much money. It checks it over 23 00:01:06,680 --> 00:01:09,000 Speaker 1: and goes, yep, that's reasonable. Is that basically what it 24 00:01:09,000 --> 00:01:09,399 Speaker 1: would do. 25 00:01:09,840 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 2: Well around the world. These sorts of institutions have different mandates, 26 00:01:14,600 --> 00:01:16,720 Speaker 2: so some of them just do that. But what the 27 00:01:16,760 --> 00:01:20,920 Speaker 2: OECD reckons and also someone who did a big review 28 00:01:20,959 --> 00:01:24,120 Speaker 2: of our budget processes, they believe that we need a 29 00:01:24,319 --> 00:01:28,040 Speaker 2: sort of more broader institution that checks the Treasury's forecast, 30 00:01:28,120 --> 00:01:30,520 Speaker 2: you know, checks that the finances are on track, and 31 00:01:30,640 --> 00:01:36,160 Speaker 2: also checks the political party's costings. Now Cameron Bagriy, an 32 00:01:36,160 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 2: economist Allisses might might have heard a bit from. He 33 00:01:40,680 --> 00:01:43,720 Speaker 2: made a point in a column recently. He noted that 34 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:46,800 Speaker 2: the Treasury at the budget assumed that in the future 35 00:01:47,000 --> 00:01:50,840 Speaker 2: our productivity growth would be pretty high, like thirty year 36 00:01:50,880 --> 00:01:55,880 Speaker 2: average high. But recently our productivity has been super low. 37 00:01:56,240 --> 00:01:59,040 Speaker 2: So he raised the point that if our productivity growth 38 00:01:59,080 --> 00:02:01,919 Speaker 2: continues to be as low as it's been in recent years, 39 00:02:02,240 --> 00:02:05,120 Speaker 2: we should forget about getting the books back in surplus. So, 40 00:02:05,280 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 2: you know, I thought that was quite a good point 41 00:02:07,000 --> 00:02:11,080 Speaker 2: that Cameron made, because the Treasury's modeling is based on 42 00:02:11,120 --> 00:02:13,800 Speaker 2: the assumption that productivity growth is going to improve, but 43 00:02:13,880 --> 00:02:17,080 Speaker 2: what if it doesn't improve. So this is the type 44 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:21,280 Speaker 2: of thing that the experts reckon. A independent unit could 45 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:24,000 Speaker 2: shed some light on interesting stuff. 46 00:02:24,040 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 1: Jennay, thank you. I really appreciate it. Jene tib Trainey, 47 00:02:26,400 --> 00:02:30,359 Speaker 1: the Heralds Wellington Business Editor. For more from Heather Duplessy 48 00:02:30,400 --> 00:02:33,160 Speaker 1: Allen Drive, listen live to news Talks 'd B from 49 00:02:33,280 --> 00:02:36,880 Speaker 1: four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.