1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:02,240 Speaker 1: So where are we at with the fallout from yesterday's 2 00:00:02,240 --> 00:00:05,240 Speaker 1: page attack and hebel are in today's secondary attack on 3 00:00:05,280 --> 00:00:08,799 Speaker 1: these walkie talkies. The Israelis are, of course suspected. They've 4 00:00:08,800 --> 00:00:12,600 Speaker 1: officially said nothing, but a response must be pending on assuming. 5 00:00:12,640 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 1: Associate Professor of Politics and International Relations at Auckland University, 6 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: Stephen Hodley is back with a Stephen morning to you. 7 00:00:18,480 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 2: Good morning. Make interesting times. 8 00:00:20,200 --> 00:00:23,000 Speaker 1: Isn't it just the fact the Americans weren't clued in 9 00:00:23,079 --> 00:00:25,840 Speaker 1: specifically on this? Is this potentially a problem for Israel 10 00:00:25,880 --> 00:00:29,280 Speaker 1: and the Yaho if they claim it was them, Well, 11 00:00:29,320 --> 00:00:29,600 Speaker 1: if I. 12 00:00:29,640 --> 00:00:32,360 Speaker 2: Were a conspiracy e theorists, I would say that Israel's 13 00:00:32,400 --> 00:00:35,640 Speaker 2: trying to go the United States into helping Israel. If 14 00:00:35,920 --> 00:00:39,840 Speaker 2: Hasbilla attacks Israel in a serious way, it's a kind 15 00:00:39,840 --> 00:00:45,120 Speaker 2: of convoluted policy to induce support where it might not 16 00:00:45,479 --> 00:00:46,080 Speaker 2: want to be. 17 00:00:46,520 --> 00:00:49,920 Speaker 1: Does hezbela come back this because previously when these things 18 00:00:49,920 --> 00:00:53,239 Speaker 1: have happened, there's been plenty of talk and heat, but 19 00:00:53,320 --> 00:00:55,200 Speaker 1: at best. I mean, I think back to the drone 20 00:00:55,240 --> 00:00:57,680 Speaker 1: situation with the Iranians. They sort of telegraphed it. It 21 00:00:57,920 --> 00:00:59,360 Speaker 1: was a kind of a here we go, and it's 22 00:00:59,400 --> 00:01:01,240 Speaker 1: over on a sort of pizza. 23 00:01:02,240 --> 00:01:04,880 Speaker 2: Well, my first thought was, this is the preliade to 24 00:01:04,920 --> 00:01:08,959 Speaker 2: an attack in southern Lebanon to push the Hesboalav back 25 00:01:09,040 --> 00:01:13,600 Speaker 2: to the Litani River under Resolution seventeen oh one. But 26 00:01:14,280 --> 00:01:19,000 Speaker 2: apparently not apparently that the army is not mobilizing on 27 00:01:19,040 --> 00:01:22,679 Speaker 2: the border. There's still fifty thousand Israelis displaced from their 28 00:01:22,680 --> 00:01:27,360 Speaker 2: homes by Hesbelah rockets. This is unfinished business for Israel. 29 00:01:28,080 --> 00:01:31,400 Speaker 2: But it looks as if this may have been triggered 30 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:36,080 Speaker 2: by a disclosure that the Hesboalav may have found one 31 00:01:36,080 --> 00:01:40,120 Speaker 2: of the devices did have something odd like explosive in 32 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:43,200 Speaker 2: it and it was about to be exposed. So one 33 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:48,120 Speaker 2: theory by the BBC as Israel decided to detonate these 34 00:01:48,200 --> 00:01:52,720 Speaker 2: devices rather than have them disarmed before they could be effective. 35 00:01:53,000 --> 00:01:54,840 Speaker 1: So when does this all leave asleep? And I mean 36 00:01:55,120 --> 00:01:57,120 Speaker 1: like about a week ago. Yet again we're talking about 37 00:01:57,120 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 1: the possibility of a ceasefire. I mean that seems completely 38 00:01:59,480 --> 00:01:59,880 Speaker 1: out the door. 39 00:02:00,040 --> 00:02:04,600 Speaker 2: Yeah, absolutely, yes, Now it leaves us actually nowhere. This 40 00:02:04,640 --> 00:02:07,840 Speaker 2: war has been going on since nineteen eighty two. Then 41 00:02:07,880 --> 00:02:13,440 Speaker 2: the Israelis invaded Israel in Lebanon, sorry, and Hezbollah was 42 00:02:13,480 --> 00:02:17,040 Speaker 2: formed as a kind of militia to quote defend end 43 00:02:17,120 --> 00:02:21,480 Speaker 2: quote Lebanon. And so this is just another chapter, a 44 00:02:21,560 --> 00:02:25,840 Speaker 2: rather interesting technological chapter in a long saga. 45 00:02:25,919 --> 00:02:27,640 Speaker 1: I'm glad you said that because it allows me to 46 00:02:27,639 --> 00:02:30,520 Speaker 1: segue rather awkwardly into what really is and I don't 47 00:02:30,520 --> 00:02:33,080 Speaker 1: want to be too macalb about it. How they done 48 00:02:33,080 --> 00:02:37,000 Speaker 1: this is little short astonishing, isn't it. I mean, technologically 49 00:02:37,080 --> 00:02:40,640 Speaker 1: it's bordering on being genius without using the word incorrectly. 50 00:02:41,360 --> 00:02:45,280 Speaker 2: Yes, you have to admire the ingenuity of the Israelis 51 00:02:45,320 --> 00:02:49,960 Speaker 2: to do this. Because the supply chains started in Taiwan, 52 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:54,520 Speaker 2: went through Hungary. Maybe or maybe not, it was undetected 53 00:02:54,600 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 2: all these months and weeks. It hits right at the 54 00:02:58,280 --> 00:03:02,840 Speaker 2: heart of the communications at work of Hispellah. Yes, we 55 00:03:02,840 --> 00:03:06,240 Speaker 2: will look at this with admiration for some time, whether 56 00:03:06,320 --> 00:03:08,480 Speaker 2: we agree or not that this is a war crime. 57 00:03:09,080 --> 00:03:12,320 Speaker 2: Some academics are saying, look, it's these are booby traps, 58 00:03:12,760 --> 00:03:16,160 Speaker 2: illegal under international law. I would say, no, this is war. 59 00:03:16,680 --> 00:03:22,000 Speaker 2: The target was combatants. We regret deeply collateral damage and 60 00:03:22,080 --> 00:03:27,200 Speaker 2: injury to innocent civilians, But the target was Hisbollah fighters 61 00:03:27,440 --> 00:03:30,000 Speaker 2: that are pledged to destroy Israel. 62 00:03:30,400 --> 00:03:32,280 Speaker 1: Good to talk to you as always, Stephen Hadley out 63 00:03:32,320 --> 00:03:35,720 Speaker 1: of Oakland University. For more from the Mic Hosking Breakfast, 64 00:03:35,880 --> 00:03:39,320 Speaker 1: listen live to news talks. It'd be from six am weekdays, 65 00:03:39,440 --> 00:03:41,480 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio