1 00:00:00,880 --> 00:00:03,480 Speaker 1: Investing involves the risk you might lose the money you 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:06,760 Speaker 1: start with. We recommend talking to a licensed financial advisor. 3 00:00:07,520 --> 00:00:11,320 Speaker 1: We also recommend reading product disclosure documents before deciding to invest. 4 00:00:11,360 --> 00:00:15,200 Speaker 2: A good old share price every CEO's dread when somebody 5 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:18,000 Speaker 2: asks them, it's fair to say that it had a 6 00:00:18,000 --> 00:00:22,480 Speaker 2: bit of a beating when you did release your consolidated earnings. 7 00:00:23,200 --> 00:00:26,200 Speaker 2: I think it was down nearly six percent on the day. 8 00:00:26,239 --> 00:00:29,680 Speaker 2: I think it's recovered somewhat since. If we do look 9 00:00:29,720 --> 00:00:32,520 Speaker 2: at that, though, the shareholder return is minus two point 10 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:36,120 Speaker 2: six percent, I think is what I saw. I think 11 00:00:36,120 --> 00:00:38,200 Speaker 2: it was in the annual report that. 12 00:00:38,200 --> 00:00:39,640 Speaker 3: Was the twelve months to thirty or March. 13 00:00:39,920 --> 00:00:43,960 Speaker 2: Yeah, Now that does seem to be a discount, and 14 00:00:44,000 --> 00:00:46,360 Speaker 2: you do talk about this in their new report. Between 15 00:00:46,400 --> 00:00:50,800 Speaker 2: the share price and the asset values. What can be 16 00:00:50,880 --> 00:00:51,559 Speaker 2: done about that. 17 00:00:53,240 --> 00:00:53,720 Speaker 3: Discount? 18 00:00:53,800 --> 00:00:57,400 Speaker 4: And there is an interesting topic. I'd talk to at 19 00:00:57,480 --> 00:00:59,200 Speaker 4: least a third of people I'd talk to, So there's 20 00:00:59,240 --> 00:01:01,920 Speaker 4: no discount. It's always rome, which there's some truth to 21 00:01:01,960 --> 00:01:05,240 Speaker 4: that rome. And there's definitely a difference between the value 22 00:01:05,560 --> 00:01:09,480 Speaker 4: for one share today versus a majority or the whole 23 00:01:09,520 --> 00:01:11,640 Speaker 4: business in five years time. 24 00:01:11,880 --> 00:01:14,080 Speaker 3: Really the listed price is the price. 25 00:01:13,840 --> 00:01:16,440 Speaker 4: Today for any given volume of shares, right, So it's 26 00:01:16,480 --> 00:01:18,959 Speaker 4: not really the long term value of the assets, and 27 00:01:18,959 --> 00:01:20,760 Speaker 4: it's the difference between that long term value and the 28 00:01:20,800 --> 00:01:22,399 Speaker 4: current value that. 29 00:01:22,760 --> 00:01:24,119 Speaker 3: People talk about the discount. 30 00:01:24,920 --> 00:01:28,400 Speaker 4: For us, it's really a signal for us to think about, 31 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:31,920 Speaker 4: is there something about our business that's not understood well 32 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:36,240 Speaker 4: and should we therefore be issuing some communications or bringing 33 00:01:36,280 --> 00:01:39,000 Speaker 4: people into cur assets so that we can take that 34 00:01:39,040 --> 00:01:42,360 Speaker 4: stuff off the table and over. I think the start 35 00:01:42,400 --> 00:01:44,440 Speaker 4: of this year there was a lot of worries about 36 00:01:45,120 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 4: AI and deep seeking implications for CDC, which we thought 37 00:01:49,120 --> 00:01:51,840 Speaker 4: was what was going on with a number of share 38 00:01:51,840 --> 00:01:54,280 Speaker 4: prices in our sector at the time, and so through 39 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:56,240 Speaker 4: April we had a number of we hare to site 40 00:01:56,320 --> 00:02:00,920 Speaker 4: visit to our big development of Melbourne for CDC and 41 00:02:00,960 --> 00:02:03,560 Speaker 4: a few other communications with the team to try and 42 00:02:03,720 --> 00:02:06,920 Speaker 4: make sure people understood how CITYC was placed. 43 00:02:06,960 --> 00:02:08,160 Speaker 3: And actually that's you saw. 44 00:02:08,280 --> 00:02:10,520 Speaker 4: Actually I think the market react quite nicely did that 45 00:02:11,800 --> 00:02:13,640 Speaker 4: and the sharp post kind of move up. So really 46 00:02:13,840 --> 00:02:16,320 Speaker 4: it is for us it's where we should focus our communications. 47 00:02:16,320 --> 00:02:19,040 Speaker 4: Intention is where we first go to. Obviously, every day, 48 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,160 Speaker 4: like any normal human, you re examine every decision you 49 00:02:21,200 --> 00:02:24,280 Speaker 4: made the day before, so you do a bit of 50 00:02:24,280 --> 00:02:26,160 Speaker 4: that as well, but mostly it's for communications. 51 00:02:26,520 --> 00:02:29,560 Speaker 2: Say the well, CDC, it is now forty percent of 52 00:02:29,800 --> 00:02:33,000 Speaker 2: the portfolio. Is it a concentration risk? 53 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,440 Speaker 4: It is a big part of the portfolio. We've had 54 00:02:36,480 --> 00:02:39,120 Speaker 4: assets that have been a bigger proportion in the past. 55 00:02:39,160 --> 00:02:42,400 Speaker 4: So TrustPower is over fifty percent for a lot of 56 00:02:42,520 --> 00:02:46,120 Speaker 4: the early history of fort till I would say it's 57 00:02:46,120 --> 00:02:48,760 Speaker 4: about as big as you'd want it to be. If 58 00:02:48,800 --> 00:02:51,240 Speaker 4: you stood back over a long term period of time 59 00:02:51,760 --> 00:02:53,000 Speaker 4: we talked about the results. 60 00:02:53,880 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 3: We try and manage the stuff. 61 00:02:55,080 --> 00:02:59,320 Speaker 4: Over the medium term rather than really reacting really quickly 62 00:02:59,360 --> 00:03:02,160 Speaker 4: to these things. And what we do see is other 63 00:03:02,440 --> 00:03:05,919 Speaker 4: opportunities within the business growing, having the potential to grow 64 00:03:05,960 --> 00:03:08,120 Speaker 4: quite quickly I think over the next two or three years, 65 00:03:08,160 --> 00:03:13,320 Speaker 4: which should balance CDC's weight in the portfolio, if you like. 66 00:03:13,760 --> 00:03:17,079 Speaker 4: But if I stand back, you know, having a big 67 00:03:17,120 --> 00:03:21,280 Speaker 4: proportion of your portfolio and literally the most exciting investment 68 00:03:21,280 --> 00:03:23,040 Speaker 4: sector in the world at the moment. 69 00:03:24,280 --> 00:03:25,720 Speaker 3: Is actually a pretty good place to be. 70 00:03:26,680 --> 00:03:29,600 Speaker 4: And you know, you just have to ask yourself is 71 00:03:29,639 --> 00:03:31,760 Speaker 4: there going to be more or less AI tomorrow? And 72 00:03:31,800 --> 00:03:34,400 Speaker 4: you kind of know the answer, right and so I 73 00:03:34,440 --> 00:03:36,760 Speaker 4: think being right there in a business which, as I 74 00:03:36,800 --> 00:03:39,200 Speaker 4: said before, is incredibly well placed to just pick up 75 00:03:39,240 --> 00:03:43,160 Speaker 4: these contracts as and when they come, I'd still do 76 00:03:43,240 --> 00:03:44,640 Speaker 4: it every day of the week. 77 00:03:44,920 --> 00:03:50,280 Speaker 2: But I is volatile and risky and rapidly changing, as 78 00:03:50,280 --> 00:03:53,680 Speaker 2: you know, So there are surely there are risks there, 79 00:03:53,800 --> 00:03:56,600 Speaker 2: but it's what you're prepared to trade off. 80 00:03:56,840 --> 00:03:59,680 Speaker 4: Yeah, I think the risk is more timing, and even 81 00:03:59,720 --> 00:04:02,920 Speaker 4: then the risk is not very high, and that we 82 00:04:03,040 --> 00:04:05,560 Speaker 4: know where capacity is at with our clients. We know 83 00:04:05,640 --> 00:04:11,080 Speaker 4: that demand is growing incredibly strongly. Therefore there will be contracts, 84 00:04:11,240 --> 00:04:14,200 Speaker 4: and so really the question for us is we're doing 85 00:04:14,240 --> 00:04:17,640 Speaker 4: my weather contracts today, end of the year, early next year. No, 86 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:20,120 Speaker 4: if you put that in a thirty year valuation model, 87 00:04:20,440 --> 00:04:23,719 Speaker 4: that moves the valuation literally not at all. So as 88 00:04:23,760 --> 00:04:26,520 Speaker 4: long as you fundamentally believe AI is going to be 89 00:04:26,560 --> 00:04:29,200 Speaker 4: a thing and that CDC will pick up more than 90 00:04:29,200 --> 00:04:32,200 Speaker 4: its fair share, then we're on an incredibly great spot. 91 00:04:32,400 --> 00:04:34,480 Speaker 3: You know, I would be patient personally,