1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,200 Speaker 1: Jeremy Hutton, Milford Asset Management is with us. 2 00:00:02,200 --> 00:00:05,000 Speaker 2: Hey, Jeremy, good evening, Heather. 3 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:06,720 Speaker 1: Ryman Healthcare. What's going on here? 4 00:00:08,600 --> 00:00:13,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, retirement village operator Ryman Healthcare. They're still languishing and 5 00:00:13,119 --> 00:00:15,800 Speaker 2: the share price is nearing a fifteen year low of 6 00:00:15,920 --> 00:00:20,279 Speaker 2: nearly two dollars now. Recall, Ryman has raised almost two 7 00:00:20,320 --> 00:00:23,560 Speaker 2: billion dollars of fresh equity from our investors over the 8 00:00:23,560 --> 00:00:26,520 Speaker 2: past few years, and half of that was in February 9 00:00:26,920 --> 00:00:28,680 Speaker 2: this year, and that was at a share price of 10 00:00:28,760 --> 00:00:32,600 Speaker 2: three dollars and five cents. So unfortunately, investors are already 11 00:00:32,640 --> 00:00:35,680 Speaker 2: down thirty percent on the fresh money they put in 12 00:00:35,760 --> 00:00:38,920 Speaker 2: this year alone. And part of the issue here is that, 13 00:00:39,080 --> 00:00:42,160 Speaker 2: you know, there's still limited good news story for Ryman 14 00:00:42,400 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 2: and a hard story for investors to back. And unfortunately 15 00:00:46,040 --> 00:00:49,040 Speaker 2: the update this week was a bit more of the same. 16 00:00:49,159 --> 00:00:52,319 Speaker 2: You know, Ryman's still struggling to clear some of its 17 00:00:52,360 --> 00:00:56,639 Speaker 2: excess retirement units and still asking for a bit more 18 00:00:56,680 --> 00:01:00,160 Speaker 2: patients from investors and trying to improve the profitability of 19 00:01:00,200 --> 00:01:02,600 Speaker 2: the business. So investors are going to have to wait 20 00:01:02,640 --> 00:01:05,040 Speaker 2: a little bit longer for the turnaround story here. 21 00:01:05,600 --> 00:01:07,560 Speaker 1: Jeremy, how much of the trouble that it is in 22 00:01:07,600 --> 00:01:11,279 Speaker 1: at the moment is caused by the slow local housing market. 23 00:01:12,800 --> 00:01:16,360 Speaker 2: Yeah, you're correct that the retirement village sector and companies 24 00:01:16,400 --> 00:01:20,040 Speaker 2: are heavily exposed to the housing market, and Rayman has 25 00:01:20,319 --> 00:01:22,840 Speaker 2: continued to call out that the conditions are still very 26 00:01:22,880 --> 00:01:26,399 Speaker 2: challenging for them. This impacts them as they do struggle 27 00:01:26,440 --> 00:01:28,920 Speaker 2: to sell the units that they're building every year, and 28 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 2: they do bring more to market every year, and they're 29 00:01:32,080 --> 00:01:35,679 Speaker 2: also struggling to get the prices that they want. Now Rayman, 30 00:01:35,680 --> 00:01:38,720 Speaker 2: they've responded, you know, they are reducing their build rate materially, 31 00:01:38,800 --> 00:01:42,440 Speaker 2: They've slashed this number, and they've also reduced some of 32 00:01:42,480 --> 00:01:44,680 Speaker 2: the big debt load that it has by those equity 33 00:01:44,760 --> 00:01:47,840 Speaker 2: raisers I mentioned earlier. But it still feels like the 34 00:01:47,840 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 2: company needs a much more buoyant property market to try 35 00:01:51,200 --> 00:01:54,240 Speaker 2: and regain some momentum. And I suppose the problem is 36 00:01:54,280 --> 00:01:56,600 Speaker 2: here is that you know, the data we're looking at 37 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:58,920 Speaker 2: and hearing is that despite you know, some of the 38 00:01:58,960 --> 00:02:02,960 Speaker 2: interest rates mortgagerate reductions coming through, it's still really hard 39 00:02:03,040 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 2: for the housing market out there. So perhaps you know 40 00:02:05,840 --> 00:02:08,000 Speaker 2: a bit more patients still required on Ryman. 41 00:02:07,960 --> 00:02:10,399 Speaker 1: I want to ask you about Infertill. I mean this 42 00:02:10,560 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: is a business that is exposed to a lot of 43 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:13,720 Speaker 1: the global themes at the moment. How do they go 44 00:02:13,800 --> 00:02:14,480 Speaker 1: in their results? 45 00:02:16,040 --> 00:02:18,800 Speaker 2: Yeah, Infratill has a great track record of investing in 46 00:02:18,840 --> 00:02:22,800 Speaker 2: businesses attached to those growing global themes. And one of 47 00:02:22,840 --> 00:02:26,360 Speaker 2: those and the most important investment they have is an 48 00:02:26,360 --> 00:02:29,720 Speaker 2: investment in Canberra Data centers and that's the market leader 49 00:02:29,760 --> 00:02:33,840 Speaker 2: in data center construction in Australia and New Zealand, and 50 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:37,040 Speaker 2: it's also directly exposed to that really hot AI theme. 51 00:02:38,160 --> 00:02:40,200 Speaker 2: Has been a little bit more volatile this year in 52 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:43,200 Speaker 2: AI with some of that spend slowing globally and that's 53 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:47,600 Speaker 2: impacted Camber Data Centers and therefore Infertil a little bit 54 00:02:47,600 --> 00:02:49,920 Speaker 2: as well. But the management team there they still remain 55 00:02:50,040 --> 00:02:53,840 Speaker 2: super confident in hitting their build program and if they 56 00:02:53,840 --> 00:02:55,560 Speaker 2: do hit those targets, there should be a lot of 57 00:02:55,639 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 2: upside and interest in the Infantile, in the Infantil stock 58 00:03:00,400 --> 00:03:01,160 Speaker 2: if that happens. 59 00:03:01,360 --> 00:03:03,359 Speaker 1: Good stuff. Hey, Jeremy, thank you so much for talking 60 00:03:03,480 --> 00:03:06,560 Speaker 1: us through that. That's Jeremy Hutton of Milford Asset Management. 61 00:03:07,080 --> 00:03:10,239 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 62 00:03:10,360 --> 00:03:13,400 Speaker 1: News Talks. It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 63 00:03:13,440 --> 00:03:15,200 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio