1 00:00:00,120 --> 00:00:03,440 Speaker 1: So our methane emissions targets may be lowered. A government 2 00:00:03,480 --> 00:00:06,640 Speaker 1: appointed scientific panel has found by reducing our twenty to 3 00:00:06,680 --> 00:00:11,480 Speaker 1: fifty methane emissions targets, we could still meet the goal 4 00:00:11,560 --> 00:00:15,280 Speaker 1: of not seeing additional warming above twenty seventeen levels. The 5 00:00:15,280 --> 00:00:17,880 Speaker 1: Climate Change Commission has warned that there is no evidence 6 00:00:17,920 --> 00:00:20,520 Speaker 1: to support changing the existing target of up to forty 7 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:23,759 Speaker 1: seven percent. The government is now going over the panel's 8 00:00:23,760 --> 00:00:26,320 Speaker 1: advice to decide on a new target from next year. 9 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,200 Speaker 1: Andrew Hoggart is the Associate Minister for Agriculture. He's with 10 00:00:29,240 --> 00:00:31,560 Speaker 1: me this morning, Andrew, Good morning, Good morning, right, could 11 00:00:31,600 --> 00:00:34,640 Speaker 1: have you on the show? Minister? Tell me are you 12 00:00:34,800 --> 00:00:37,479 Speaker 1: Are you basically saying you will love the targets. 13 00:00:38,440 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 2: No, this is just the scientific advice that we've received 14 00:00:41,520 --> 00:00:45,519 Speaker 2: and decisions will be made next year. We know from 15 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,320 Speaker 2: my previous role my thoughts coredy and where the targets 16 00:00:48,320 --> 00:00:53,040 Speaker 2: should be. So yeah, this is just scientific advice to 17 00:00:53,280 --> 00:00:56,400 Speaker 2: inform the policy decision that government will be making. 18 00:00:56,640 --> 00:00:59,080 Speaker 1: Do you concede that it's not as good for the 19 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:01,320 Speaker 1: planet but it's better for farmers? 20 00:01:03,040 --> 00:01:05,800 Speaker 2: Well, no, I mean what the science is saying here 21 00:01:05,880 --> 00:01:11,840 Speaker 2: is that no additional warming means that no additional warming. Basically, 22 00:01:12,040 --> 00:01:16,240 Speaker 2: the farming sector needs to reduce on what the world's 23 00:01:16,240 --> 00:01:19,959 Speaker 2: currently doing by fifteen percent, or if everyone else in 24 00:01:20,000 --> 00:01:21,840 Speaker 2: the world steps up, then we have to move up 25 00:01:21,840 --> 00:01:25,320 Speaker 2: to twenty four percent. But that's the sort of information 26 00:01:25,440 --> 00:01:27,959 Speaker 2: it's come back from this report, and you know, I 27 00:01:28,000 --> 00:01:30,959 Speaker 2: would think that our farmer is doing our part, not 28 00:01:31,080 --> 00:01:33,559 Speaker 2: adding to additional warming is what they want to be doing. 29 00:01:33,720 --> 00:01:36,720 Speaker 2: You know, parents A cords all about limiting additional warming 30 00:01:36,760 --> 00:01:40,080 Speaker 2: from one point five, we're saying for New Zealand agriculture, 31 00:01:40,200 --> 00:01:41,240 Speaker 2: what's the number for zero? 32 00:01:41,560 --> 00:01:43,520 Speaker 1: Yeah? This is the difference though, isn't it. It's the 33 00:01:43,560 --> 00:01:46,119 Speaker 1: expectation that the sort of parameters that have been set 34 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:51,160 Speaker 1: for this, because it's about not exceeding twenty seventeen levels 35 00:01:51,680 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 1: versus the current targets, which are more about calling the planet. 36 00:01:56,640 --> 00:01:59,920 Speaker 2: Well, I mean, well no, the current targets are about 37 00:02:00,720 --> 00:02:04,520 Speaker 2: stopping warming to one and a half an extra one 38 00:02:04,520 --> 00:02:09,400 Speaker 2: and a half degrees, and so we're saying, in effect, 39 00:02:09,560 --> 00:02:12,280 Speaker 2: we're not going to add to that at all? Is 40 00:02:12,400 --> 00:02:14,840 Speaker 2: what this you know, this question is in a haus 41 00:02:14,919 --> 00:02:17,680 Speaker 2: water is the number farmers need to achieved to say 42 00:02:17,720 --> 00:02:19,920 Speaker 2: that Hey, we haven't added to the problem. 43 00:02:21,000 --> 00:02:24,640 Speaker 1: You know, the farm land use changes that you've announced, 44 00:02:24,840 --> 00:02:27,880 Speaker 1: do you basely are you basically saying to farmers you 45 00:02:27,960 --> 00:02:29,600 Speaker 1: can do what you want with your land, but don't 46 00:02:29,639 --> 00:02:32,919 Speaker 1: expect carbon credits if it's productive farming land. 47 00:02:33,880 --> 00:02:35,240 Speaker 2: That's pretty much in a nutshell. 48 00:02:35,320 --> 00:02:40,240 Speaker 1: Yes, two hundred thousand hectares of productive sheep and beef 49 00:02:40,280 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: we're converted in the past five years. Do you have 50 00:02:43,240 --> 00:02:46,440 Speaker 1: an idea of what this change might mean for that 51 00:02:46,560 --> 00:02:47,760 Speaker 1: number going forward? 52 00:02:48,560 --> 00:02:54,639 Speaker 2: Well, obviously it'll reduce it. Then in terms of the 53 00:02:54,680 --> 00:02:57,600 Speaker 2: exact number, No, I wouldn't have that off the top 54 00:02:57,639 --> 00:03:00,680 Speaker 2: of my head, but it would sort of. You know, 55 00:03:00,880 --> 00:03:04,040 Speaker 2: what we've seen has been that the main driver for 56 00:03:04,120 --> 00:03:09,440 Speaker 2: a forestation has been the carbon price, and that's what's 57 00:03:09,520 --> 00:03:13,560 Speaker 2: driven a lot of their sales and changes of blanket 58 00:03:13,600 --> 00:03:18,240 Speaker 2: planting of farmland into forestry. And that's what's occurred. For 59 00:03:18,280 --> 00:03:19,880 Speaker 2: a number of years now. We've been hearing from those 60 00:03:19,919 --> 00:03:25,240 Speaker 2: real communities massive concern about going to the land effectively 61 00:03:25,280 --> 00:03:29,880 Speaker 2: into carbon forestry where there's no jobs, it's locked up 62 00:03:30,520 --> 00:03:32,959 Speaker 2: and becomes a bit of a fire risk and real 63 00:03:33,080 --> 00:03:34,200 Speaker 2: concern to their community. 64 00:03:34,400 --> 00:03:36,840 Speaker 1: Minister, just putting your biosecurity head on for a second. 65 00:03:36,840 --> 00:03:39,240 Speaker 1: What's the latest do you have testing results from that 66 00:03:39,320 --> 00:03:41,560 Speaker 1: second Dunedin farm that was being looked. 67 00:03:41,400 --> 00:03:44,360 Speaker 2: At no When I wake up, I checked my phone 68 00:03:44,360 --> 00:03:48,360 Speaker 2: and there was nothing came through overnight, So it should 69 00:03:48,400 --> 00:03:50,600 Speaker 2: be at some point this morning we'll get the update 70 00:03:50,680 --> 00:03:53,440 Speaker 2: on all those other farms, which will give us a 71 00:03:53,480 --> 00:03:59,040 Speaker 2: real indication as to what spread is and how quickly 72 00:03:59,120 --> 00:03:59,840 Speaker 2: we can tidy this. 73 00:03:59,880 --> 00:04:02,880 Speaker 1: Up if it's confirmed, like if it's if it's there, 74 00:04:03,280 --> 00:04:04,880 Speaker 1: is that really bad? 75 00:04:07,160 --> 00:04:10,320 Speaker 2: It'll depend on whether or not there's So this is 76 00:04:10,360 --> 00:04:14,880 Speaker 2: the Seeking farm south of Dnean. The question in my 77 00:04:15,000 --> 00:04:17,840 Speaker 2: mind will be do we have a trace between those 78 00:04:17,839 --> 00:04:21,880 Speaker 2: two properties? Is there a link between them? How if 79 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:25,800 Speaker 2: we can't find a link between them? And also there 80 00:04:25,920 --> 00:04:30,720 Speaker 2: is some difference in the sequencing in terms of the 81 00:04:31,120 --> 00:04:34,320 Speaker 2: na of the disease. That then adds another variable to 82 00:04:34,360 --> 00:04:38,479 Speaker 2: the resk of is there something in the natural environment 83 00:04:38,560 --> 00:04:39,600 Speaker 2: that's causing this? 84 00:04:39,920 --> 00:04:42,560 Speaker 1: Yeah, okay, and good to know. Andrew Haggard, thank you 85 00:04:42,640 --> 00:04:44,240 Speaker 1: very much for your time this morning. Really appreciate it. 86 00:04:44,279 --> 00:04:47,200 Speaker 1: The Associate Minister for Agriculture there on a range of issues. 87 00:04:47,920 --> 00:04:50,919 Speaker 2: For more from early edition with Ryan Bridge listen live 88 00:04:51,040 --> 00:04:54,039 Speaker 2: to news talks it'd be from five am weekdays, or 89 00:04:54,120 --> 00:04:55,960 Speaker 2: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio