1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:02,200 Speaker 1: Now there are some positive signs in the latest employment 2 00:00:02,279 --> 00:00:05,200 Speaker 1: data out today. Filled job numbers rowse zero point two 3 00:00:05,200 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 1: percent in March and primary industries lead the growth up 4 00:00:07,920 --> 00:00:11,800 Speaker 1: zero point four percent. Nick Brunsden is Infametrics principal economist 5 00:00:11,800 --> 00:00:15,480 Speaker 1: and with us Heynick, I mean it's pretty small. Is 6 00:00:15,480 --> 00:00:16,760 Speaker 1: it enough to get excited about? 7 00:00:18,680 --> 00:00:19,880 Speaker 2: Normally it wouldn't be. No. 8 00:00:20,600 --> 00:00:22,680 Speaker 3: I think the reason why we are getting a tiny 9 00:00:22,760 --> 00:00:25,079 Speaker 3: bit excited about it is that it comes after a 10 00:00:25,160 --> 00:00:28,480 Speaker 3: year of declines for a month on months, so it's 11 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:30,960 Speaker 3: the greenest of green shoots and that's sort of to 12 00:00:31,000 --> 00:00:35,800 Speaker 3: be celebrated after a fair period of decline. 13 00:00:35,479 --> 00:00:37,400 Speaker 1: In primary industries. Why is it doing so well? 14 00:00:39,360 --> 00:00:41,720 Speaker 2: Yeah, well, I was thinking about the expert data out 15 00:00:41,760 --> 00:00:42,080 Speaker 2: last week. 16 00:00:42,080 --> 00:00:44,040 Speaker 3: We'll got some really good returns coming through for the 17 00:00:44,040 --> 00:00:46,479 Speaker 3: primary sect or horticulture is doing really well. Jery prices 18 00:00:46,560 --> 00:00:49,600 Speaker 3: up and so that's supported those areas to hire a 19 00:00:49,680 --> 00:00:50,160 Speaker 3: little bit. 20 00:00:50,080 --> 00:00:52,920 Speaker 1: More and this is why the South Island's doing better. 21 00:00:54,360 --> 00:00:55,120 Speaker 2: Definitely. Yeah. 22 00:00:55,320 --> 00:00:57,280 Speaker 3: A curious result out of the data today was the 23 00:00:57,320 --> 00:01:00,560 Speaker 3: South Island is growing slightly faster than the North, again 24 00:01:00,680 --> 00:01:03,720 Speaker 3: underpinned by the primary sector and the North less primary 25 00:01:03,720 --> 00:01:07,160 Speaker 3: exposed more exposed to services and construction, and those areas 26 00:01:07,160 --> 00:01:08,800 Speaker 3: aren't doing quite so well at the moment. 27 00:01:09,240 --> 00:01:11,800 Speaker 1: Nick, is it I mean, it's really too early to 28 00:01:11,800 --> 00:01:13,800 Speaker 1: see a trend here and take too much heart from it. 29 00:01:13,880 --> 00:01:17,640 Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, that's fair. Yeah, no, it is a little 30 00:01:17,640 --> 00:01:19,280 Speaker 2: bit too early. It is a good sign. It is 31 00:01:19,720 --> 00:01:21,360 Speaker 2: broadly consistent with other measures though. 32 00:01:21,520 --> 00:01:24,800 Speaker 3: So we did see an uptick in job adds again, 33 00:01:24,880 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 3: a one month uptick in February. 34 00:01:26,520 --> 00:01:27,040 Speaker 2: So it does. 35 00:01:27,440 --> 00:01:29,040 Speaker 3: It does show that we are starting to come up 36 00:01:29,040 --> 00:01:31,880 Speaker 3: off the bottom, and all the other indicators lead us 37 00:01:31,880 --> 00:01:34,320 Speaker 3: to the conclusion that we are essentially at the bottom. 38 00:01:34,319 --> 00:01:36,559 Speaker 3: So it is a question of when we do start 39 00:01:36,600 --> 00:01:37,560 Speaker 3: coming up off the bottom. 40 00:01:38,160 --> 00:01:40,280 Speaker 1: Brilliant stuff. Hey, Nick, thanks very much, really appreciated. Nick 41 00:01:40,280 --> 00:01:45,440 Speaker 1: Brunson Informatrix Principle Economists. For more from Hither Duplassy Alan Drive, 42 00:01:45,600 --> 00:01:49,040 Speaker 1: listen live to news talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, 43 00:01:49,160 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.