1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,880 Speaker 1: We're looking back at the year that was on the 2 00:00:01,920 --> 00:00:04,400 Speaker 1: stock market, the Index fifty with the winners and losers 3 00:00:04,480 --> 00:00:07,840 Speaker 1: joining us Jeremy Hutton from Milford Asset Management, Jeremy good evening, 4 00:00:08,640 --> 00:00:12,240 Speaker 1: Good evening, Ryan, who is currently leading the indedex fifty 5 00:00:12,320 --> 00:00:14,400 Speaker 1: so far this year. Who are we crowning Number one? 6 00:00:15,960 --> 00:00:18,119 Speaker 2: Yeah, so far. The current leader on the insiet X 7 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:20,720 Speaker 2: fifty with about two trading weeks to go in twenty 8 00:00:20,760 --> 00:00:24,239 Speaker 2: twenty four is Tower Insurance. Now. Tower is up a 9 00:00:24,239 --> 00:00:28,320 Speaker 2: whopping one hundred and fifteen percent this year, albeit it 10 00:00:28,360 --> 00:00:29,720 Speaker 2: is coming off a bit of a low base with 11 00:00:29,760 --> 00:00:32,199 Speaker 2: a horrid twenty twenty three with some some of the 12 00:00:32,240 --> 00:00:35,040 Speaker 2: bad weather events which really hit all the insurers hard. 13 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:38,280 Speaker 2: But Tower has regained a lot of momentum, you know, 14 00:00:38,360 --> 00:00:41,440 Speaker 2: some more benign conditions in twenty twenty four and has 15 00:00:41,479 --> 00:00:44,440 Speaker 2: had some good operational improvements as well. So that has 16 00:00:44,479 --> 00:00:46,840 Speaker 2: led to a series of earnings upgrades throughout the year 17 00:00:47,320 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 2: and it's regained inclusion back in the very important incide 18 00:00:50,479 --> 00:00:53,480 Speaker 2: X fifty index. So that's been driving the really strong 19 00:00:53,520 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 2: share price performance from Tower and gin. 20 00:00:56,600 --> 00:00:59,160 Speaker 1: Track was the tech business we crowned last year. In 21 00:00:59,160 --> 00:01:01,200 Speaker 1: twenty twenty three. How did they perform this year? 22 00:01:02,360 --> 00:01:05,080 Speaker 2: Yeah, another very strong year for gen Track. It's up 23 00:01:05,319 --> 00:01:08,640 Speaker 2: one hundred and one percent in twenty twenty four, and 24 00:01:08,680 --> 00:01:11,560 Speaker 2: this follows a very strong and impressive one hundred and 25 00:01:11,560 --> 00:01:15,400 Speaker 2: sixty percent in twenty twenty three as well. So Genrack 26 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:18,800 Speaker 2: provides software to electricity retailers and it's had some really 27 00:01:18,880 --> 00:01:22,880 Speaker 2: good tailwinds of these retailers wanting to shift from older, 28 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:27,039 Speaker 2: clunkier systems onto gent tracks, more fit for purpose software. 29 00:01:27,640 --> 00:01:30,120 Speaker 2: It's been winning customers all around the world, many geographies, 30 00:01:30,560 --> 00:01:34,679 Speaker 2: growing revenue strongly and also in a big earnings upgrade cycle. 31 00:01:35,520 --> 00:01:39,039 Speaker 2: And with the electrification of everything in our economy, it 32 00:01:39,120 --> 00:01:41,840 Speaker 2: needs more smarts and more software to help deliver this. 33 00:01:42,520 --> 00:01:45,480 Speaker 2: So those tailwinds could continue. And it is great to 34 00:01:45,520 --> 00:01:48,400 Speaker 2: see a New Zealand tech business growing and doing really 35 00:01:48,440 --> 00:01:49,640 Speaker 2: well on the global stage. 36 00:01:49,800 --> 00:01:52,120 Speaker 1: It really is. It's a great story. Jeremy, Let's talk 37 00:01:52,120 --> 00:01:54,520 Speaker 1: about the losers, the not great stories which companies have 38 00:01:54,560 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 1: struggled this year. 39 00:01:56,880 --> 00:01:59,480 Speaker 2: Yeah, as we know, the domestic economy has been really 40 00:01:59,560 --> 00:02:03,520 Speaker 2: challenged with higher regious rates and consumer pockets getting squeezed, 41 00:02:04,040 --> 00:02:05,920 Speaker 2: and this has been reflected in the share prices of 42 00:02:05,960 --> 00:02:09,600 Speaker 2: companies that are exposed to sectors in this So with 43 00:02:09,720 --> 00:02:12,240 Speaker 2: that backdrop, we've had retail that's been hit really hard, 44 00:02:12,320 --> 00:02:15,840 Speaker 2: so Catmandu that's down forty eight percent this year, the 45 00:02:15,880 --> 00:02:19,080 Speaker 2: web House down thirty seven percent as well, and their 46 00:02:19,120 --> 00:02:21,760 Speaker 2: construction has been really tough, so that's affected Fletcher Building 47 00:02:21,840 --> 00:02:25,480 Speaker 2: that's down thirty eight percent, and then residential housing also 48 00:02:25,520 --> 00:02:28,960 Speaker 2: been pretty slow. Royman Healthcare has some exposure to that, 49 00:02:29,000 --> 00:02:32,000 Speaker 2: so that's down twenty seven percent. But then even Spark, 50 00:02:32,040 --> 00:02:34,880 Speaker 2: which is traditionally a very defensive business that's been hit 51 00:02:35,000 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 2: very hard with businesses and governments reducing their IT and 52 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:41,639 Speaker 2: mobile spend, and that stock that is down forty six 53 00:02:41,680 --> 00:02:42,880 Speaker 2: percent so far this year. 54 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:47,320 Speaker 1: Overall, the house the Injects fifty performed this year as 55 00:02:47,360 --> 00:02:50,079 Speaker 1: a whole is a collective, Yeah, I'd. 56 00:02:49,960 --> 00:02:51,800 Speaker 2: Say it's been a pass for the nxet X fifty. 57 00:02:51,880 --> 00:02:55,320 Speaker 2: It's up eight percent so far this year, and given 58 00:02:55,360 --> 00:02:57,920 Speaker 2: some of the constraints and the pressure on the local economy, 59 00:02:57,919 --> 00:03:01,200 Speaker 2: it's actually not too bad of a result. Unfortunately, it 60 00:03:01,280 --> 00:03:04,440 Speaker 2: is behind the very powerful US indexes, some of which 61 00:03:04,440 --> 00:03:07,560 Speaker 2: are up over twenty five percent, mainly on that magnificent 62 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:10,480 Speaker 2: seven and AI boom. But I think the setup for 63 00:03:10,520 --> 00:03:13,040 Speaker 2: New Zealand is improving into twenty twenty five. You know, 64 00:03:13,040 --> 00:03:16,080 Speaker 2: we've had some decent interest rate cuts delivered already and 65 00:03:16,240 --> 00:03:18,640 Speaker 2: likely some more to come, so we should start to 66 00:03:18,680 --> 00:03:21,919 Speaker 2: see some of these beaten up cyclical sectors turn much 67 00:03:21,919 --> 00:03:23,520 Speaker 2: more positive in twenty twenty five. 68 00:03:23,919 --> 00:03:26,200 Speaker 1: It's hope, so Jeremy, we need it very much. Jeremy 69 00:03:26,240 --> 00:03:29,919 Speaker 1: Hutton from Milford Asset Management. For more from Heather Duplessy 70 00:03:29,960 --> 00:03:32,799 Speaker 1: Allen Drive, Listen live to news Talks i'd Be from 71 00:03:32,880 --> 00:03:36,480 Speaker 1: four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio