1 00:00:00,240 --> 00:00:05,400 Speaker 1: Thirty, the Rural Report on Hither Duer see Allen Drive. 2 00:00:05,600 --> 00:00:07,800 Speaker 2: Now the milk powder price something we watched closely. There's 3 00:00:07,800 --> 00:00:11,160 Speaker 2: a dairy auction tonight and we know the last nine 4 00:00:11,200 --> 00:00:14,440 Speaker 2: auctions of twenty twenty five they went backwards. We've had 5 00:00:14,520 --> 00:00:17,720 Speaker 2: one increase since then, will we get another. Jamie mckaye 6 00:00:17,760 --> 00:00:19,800 Speaker 2: hosted the Country with us tonight, Jamie good evening. 7 00:00:20,640 --> 00:00:22,799 Speaker 1: Okay, Ryan, Hey, just before we get onto that, a 8 00:00:22,800 --> 00:00:26,240 Speaker 1: bit of a shout out to the farmers, especially in Northland. 9 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:28,520 Speaker 1: I've been hammered and they're going to get hammered again 10 00:00:28,560 --> 00:00:30,600 Speaker 1: tomorrow and some of that rain's going to spread to 11 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,519 Speaker 1: eastern parts of the of the rest of the North Island. 12 00:00:34,560 --> 00:00:38,800 Speaker 1: So our thoughts are with you, okay. So interestingly, yeah, 13 00:00:39,040 --> 00:00:41,839 Speaker 1: like nine in a row and then we had this 14 00:00:41,960 --> 00:00:45,400 Speaker 1: massive bounce back six point three percent in the index 15 00:00:45,520 --> 00:00:48,919 Speaker 1: seven point two percent for whole milk powder. Is it 16 00:00:48,960 --> 00:00:52,760 Speaker 1: a dead cat bounce or is it a correction? I 17 00:00:52,800 --> 00:00:56,680 Speaker 1: guess tonight will tell. Now. The futures market earlier this 18 00:00:56,760 --> 00:01:00,240 Speaker 1: afternoon was expecting a small rise about one and a 19 00:01:00,280 --> 00:01:03,200 Speaker 1: half percent for whole milk powder and two point three 20 00:01:03,240 --> 00:01:05,200 Speaker 1: percent for skim milk powder. I don't know how they 21 00:01:05,200 --> 00:01:07,759 Speaker 1: figure all that out, Ryan, but those were the numbers 22 00:01:07,959 --> 00:01:10,959 Speaker 1: given to me. However, at five o'clock this afternoon, we 23 00:01:11,080 --> 00:01:15,280 Speaker 1: got the milk production numbers in for December. They're up 24 00:01:15,440 --> 00:01:19,039 Speaker 1: three point one percent. Farmers are growing lots of grass 25 00:01:19,080 --> 00:01:22,559 Speaker 1: around the country, no real droughts on at the moment 26 00:01:23,000 --> 00:01:26,000 Speaker 1: with this sort of weather. And also they've been encouraged 27 00:01:26,040 --> 00:01:29,720 Speaker 1: to add supplements into the diet produce a bit more milk, 28 00:01:29,959 --> 00:01:32,080 Speaker 1: So that might send a signal to the buyers that 29 00:01:32,120 --> 00:01:35,080 Speaker 1: there's plenty of milk coming out of New Zealand. We 30 00:01:35,120 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: will wait and see on that one, but I put 31 00:01:37,400 --> 00:01:39,760 Speaker 1: it to you that even as steady as she goes 32 00:01:39,800 --> 00:01:41,479 Speaker 1: result tonight would be a good one. 33 00:01:41,680 --> 00:01:43,679 Speaker 2: Yeah, one hundred percent. The last thing we want is 34 00:01:43,760 --> 00:01:47,600 Speaker 2: more more collapse. Now, do you want to have a 35 00:01:47,640 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 2: look at the into the crystal ball for us, for 36 00:01:49,520 --> 00:01:51,360 Speaker 2: the rural sector more generally. 37 00:01:52,200 --> 00:01:55,760 Speaker 1: Well, why not, Ryan, you're reading my mind talking about 38 00:01:55,760 --> 00:01:59,200 Speaker 1: crystal balls. Okay, we'll start with dairy. That's the biggest 39 00:01:59,360 --> 00:02:02,400 Speaker 1: act in town. On I don't have a doubt that 40 00:02:02,440 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: it's got a great future. Although it is, it's not surprising, 41 00:02:07,040 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: but the ease at which other countries were able to 42 00:02:09,160 --> 00:02:12,120 Speaker 1: turn on the tap in response to these high global 43 00:02:12,160 --> 00:02:14,960 Speaker 1: prices we've had in the past. Season has yet another 44 00:02:15,040 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: salient reminder of the cyclical nature of commodity. So dairy yep, 45 00:02:20,280 --> 00:02:22,880 Speaker 1: it's calling its jets awee. But at the moment, but 46 00:02:23,240 --> 00:02:29,240 Speaker 1: good future. It's not so easy for competing nations to 47 00:02:29,320 --> 00:02:32,160 Speaker 1: turn on the tap when it comes to beef and 48 00:02:32,240 --> 00:02:34,680 Speaker 1: sheep meat production. You know, we've had drought in the 49 00:02:34,800 --> 00:02:38,680 Speaker 1: US and Australia. The resultant rebuilding of the herds and 50 00:02:38,720 --> 00:02:43,160 Speaker 1: the flocks has limited the number available for slaughter. We've 51 00:02:43,200 --> 00:02:46,799 Speaker 1: had disease outbreaks in South America. So I say good 52 00:02:46,840 --> 00:02:49,399 Speaker 1: on the sheep and beef farmers Ryan. For too long 53 00:02:49,440 --> 00:02:52,280 Speaker 1: they've been the poor relation of the dairy farmers. And 54 00:02:52,320 --> 00:02:55,280 Speaker 1: I hope, and I'm hoping like hell, the renaissance of 55 00:02:55,320 --> 00:02:59,560 Speaker 1: pastoral farming for red meat production will halt the ecological 56 00:02:59,600 --> 00:03:03,880 Speaker 1: disare that has been the planting of monoculture pines on 57 00:03:03,960 --> 00:03:07,600 Speaker 1: highly productive pastoral land and shock horor in some cases 58 00:03:07,639 --> 00:03:11,040 Speaker 1: arable land. Now I'll move to forestry, our fourth biggest 59 00:03:11,160 --> 00:03:14,520 Speaker 1: export earner. I reckon the world's a washed with trees, 60 00:03:14,560 --> 00:03:17,040 Speaker 1: and I'm a wee bit worried about the future for forestry, 61 00:03:17,960 --> 00:03:21,520 Speaker 1: and especially the future for sending unprocessed logs on a 62 00:03:21,639 --> 00:03:25,280 Speaker 1: slow boat to China. Will the cost out weigh the benefit. 63 00:03:25,400 --> 00:03:30,680 Speaker 1: This is high volume, lower value. We're sending them over 64 00:03:30,720 --> 00:03:33,520 Speaker 1: there to be boxing for building sites as surely a 65 00:03:33,600 --> 00:03:36,120 Speaker 1: rich irony in the fact that we're planting pine trees 66 00:03:36,200 --> 00:03:39,800 Speaker 1: for sequestration carbon farming. If you want, when we have 67 00:03:39,960 --> 00:03:43,320 Speaker 1: such a high carbon footprint, if we chop them down 68 00:03:43,640 --> 00:03:46,720 Speaker 1: and export them. But Ryan, I'll finish on this very 69 00:03:46,720 --> 00:03:49,360 Speaker 1: positive note. If I gaze into my crystal wall for 70 00:03:49,480 --> 00:03:52,920 Speaker 1: twenty to fifty, a quarter of a century from here, 71 00:03:53,240 --> 00:03:55,840 Speaker 1: I think the star of the stable will be horticulture, 72 00:03:55,920 --> 00:04:00,200 Speaker 1: more particularly kei we fruit. It's a nutritional super fur food. 73 00:04:00,600 --> 00:04:03,240 Speaker 1: It's ready packed for export. You don't have to wrap 74 00:04:03,240 --> 00:04:05,640 Speaker 1: anything around it. It's got a skin, and in a 75 00:04:05,680 --> 00:04:08,640 Speaker 1: world wanting to eat healthy, burgeoning middle class and the 76 00:04:08,760 --> 00:04:10,760 Speaker 1: likes of India where we've got a free trade deal, 77 00:04:11,120 --> 00:04:14,480 Speaker 1: kiwi fruit is ideally poised. And the other thing to 78 00:04:14,760 --> 00:04:17,719 Speaker 1: think of when you think of kiwi fruits, no animal 79 00:04:17,800 --> 00:04:21,200 Speaker 1: must make the ultimate sacrifice when you eat kiwi fruit. 80 00:04:21,279 --> 00:04:22,000 Speaker 1: There's my thoughts. 81 00:04:22,040 --> 00:04:24,520 Speaker 2: Ryan do you are you skin on or skin off? 82 00:04:24,520 --> 00:04:27,200 Speaker 2: Because someone told me that you should with kiwi fruit 83 00:04:27,240 --> 00:04:29,560 Speaker 2: always eat the skin, that's where most of the nutrient, says. 84 00:04:29,600 --> 00:04:30,640 Speaker 2: I don't know if that's true or not. 85 00:04:31,680 --> 00:04:35,600 Speaker 1: I'm skin off on that one. Although I used to 86 00:04:35,680 --> 00:04:38,599 Speaker 1: love kiwi fruit green, now I've progressed to kiwi fruit 87 00:04:38,640 --> 00:04:41,360 Speaker 1: gold and I can't go back to green. But apparently, 88 00:04:41,839 --> 00:04:43,960 Speaker 1: and the host tells me this, and he is the 89 00:04:44,040 --> 00:04:47,480 Speaker 1: drawing and of all health matters, that green kiwi fruit's 90 00:04:47,520 --> 00:04:50,719 Speaker 1: better for you than gold. The gold tastes better and 91 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:53,159 Speaker 1: the Asians love the red. And as long as we 92 00:04:53,200 --> 00:04:57,120 Speaker 1: don't get these terrible, terrible weather events, fingers crossed for 93 00:04:57,160 --> 00:04:59,599 Speaker 1: the North Island in the next couple of days. Look, 94 00:04:59,640 --> 00:05:02,440 Speaker 1: I reckon kiwifru. It's a super food that's got a 95 00:05:02,520 --> 00:05:03,159 Speaker 1: super future. 96 00:05:03,240 --> 00:05:05,720 Speaker 2: Okay, great, you're right here. If there was anyone was 97 00:05:05,760 --> 00:05:07,320 Speaker 2: going to know which of them you should eat for 98 00:05:07,400 --> 00:05:10,200 Speaker 2: health benefits, it would be it would be husking. Appreciate that, 99 00:05:10,320 --> 00:05:12,400 Speaker 2: thank you very much. That is Jamie mckaye, host of 100 00:05:12,440 --> 00:05:12,800 Speaker 2: the Country. 101 00:05:13,480 --> 00:05:16,640 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive listen live to 102 00:05:16,760 --> 00:05:17,279 Speaker 1: news talks. 103 00:05:17,279 --> 00:05:20,440 Speaker 2: It'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow the podcast 104 00:05:20,600 --> 00:05:21,560 Speaker 2: on iHeartRadio