1 00:00:00,600 --> 00:00:02,000 Speaker 1: Ever, duplicy Ellens. 2 00:00:02,240 --> 00:00:05,600 Speaker 2: Now MasterCard is a great example of what investors are 3 00:00:05,640 --> 00:00:08,560 Speaker 2: focused on globally right now. What they're focused on is 4 00:00:08,600 --> 00:00:12,560 Speaker 2: the slowdown in US economic growth expectations, regulatory risk and 5 00:00:12,560 --> 00:00:15,840 Speaker 2: how that impacts companies, and new technology like open banking 6 00:00:15,840 --> 00:00:18,239 Speaker 2: and neo banks and so on. Now, MasterCard, the reason 7 00:00:18,239 --> 00:00:20,080 Speaker 2: it's a great example is because it's influenced by all 8 00:00:20,079 --> 00:00:21,440 Speaker 2: of those things. And to talk us through it, we've 9 00:00:21,480 --> 00:00:23,759 Speaker 2: got Sam Dickey of Fisher Funds with us. Hey, Sam, 10 00:00:24,200 --> 00:00:26,279 Speaker 2: there is any So Sam, let's start by talking about 11 00:00:26,280 --> 00:00:29,240 Speaker 2: these themes. Okay, slow down in US growth expectations, what's 12 00:00:29,280 --> 00:00:29,920 Speaker 2: going on here? 13 00:00:30,920 --> 00:00:32,960 Speaker 1: Yeah, you and I talked about that last week. So 14 00:00:33,880 --> 00:00:37,240 Speaker 1: there has been a slow down US economic growth expectations, 15 00:00:37,360 --> 00:00:40,840 Speaker 1: still slowly growing, but just slowing slightly. And MISSUS care 16 00:00:40,960 --> 00:00:45,240 Speaker 1: because economic growth drives corporate earning growth and that drive 17 00:00:45,280 --> 00:00:46,440 Speaker 1: stock prices. 18 00:00:47,680 --> 00:00:50,440 Speaker 2: And then what about the regulatory risk? What are investors 19 00:00:50,440 --> 00:00:51,120 Speaker 2: thinking about this? 20 00:00:52,120 --> 00:00:55,760 Speaker 1: Well, that that is super interesting because ideally, of course, 21 00:00:55,800 --> 00:00:57,720 Speaker 1: you don't long own companies that run the risk that 22 00:00:57,760 --> 00:01:01,120 Speaker 1: the regulator might come knocking. It turns out that if 23 00:01:01,160 --> 00:01:02,880 Speaker 1: you aim to invest in some of the highest quality 24 00:01:02,880 --> 00:01:05,639 Speaker 1: companies in the world. They tend to attract the attention 25 00:01:05,680 --> 00:01:07,920 Speaker 1: they're regulator because they're just so large and important. So 26 00:01:08,000 --> 00:01:11,399 Speaker 1: think of companies like Google and Microsoft. They dominate their industries, 27 00:01:11,480 --> 00:01:14,600 Speaker 1: have been fabulous investments over time, and almost as night 28 00:01:14,680 --> 00:01:21,640 Speaker 1: follows day, attract the unwanted attention of the regulator. Open banking, Yeah, 29 00:01:21,680 --> 00:01:24,039 Speaker 1: think about open banking is just another I mean, innovation 30 00:01:24,200 --> 00:01:27,080 Speaker 1: is running at the fastest pace ever, which brings competition 31 00:01:27,160 --> 00:01:32,520 Speaker 1: and disruption, and open banking is no different an opportunity 32 00:01:32,560 --> 00:01:35,760 Speaker 1: and as you know, it allows competitors of or too 33 00:01:35,760 --> 00:01:39,800 Speaker 1: traditional banks with customer approval to easily access customer data 34 00:01:39,920 --> 00:01:43,280 Speaker 1: and offer new services to those customers. So I think 35 00:01:43,280 --> 00:01:46,080 Speaker 1: about that as an open up the competition to banks 36 00:01:46,120 --> 00:01:50,240 Speaker 1: and maybe some disintermediation of banks. And investors obviously pay 37 00:01:50,280 --> 00:01:52,520 Speaker 1: attention to that because banks are a big part of 38 00:01:52,800 --> 00:01:53,960 Speaker 1: global stock market. 39 00:01:54,880 --> 00:01:57,880 Speaker 2: And so how does master Card get affected by all 40 00:01:57,920 --> 00:01:58,840 Speaker 2: of these things? 41 00:02:00,280 --> 00:02:02,440 Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I think you did write the start the 42 00:02:02,600 --> 00:02:04,360 Speaker 1: best way to bring a live team that a vests 43 00:02:04,400 --> 00:02:05,800 Speaker 1: is focused on around the world, and it's through the 44 00:02:05,880 --> 00:02:09,120 Speaker 1: lend of a single company, and master Card is one 45 00:02:09,120 --> 00:02:12,520 Speaker 1: of a handful of global payments network companies. In fact, 46 00:02:12,520 --> 00:02:14,680 Speaker 1: with the second largest in the world mine Visa. It 47 00:02:14,680 --> 00:02:16,640 Speaker 1: doesn't isss. Your credit cards are controls of a very 48 00:02:16,720 --> 00:02:20,040 Speaker 1: valuable networks and routes the flow of money between so 49 00:02:20,200 --> 00:02:22,640 Speaker 1: you and I, the coffee shop down the road, and banks, 50 00:02:22,960 --> 00:02:25,000 Speaker 1: and it is getting buffeted by all three of those things. 51 00:02:25,040 --> 00:02:27,240 Speaker 1: So when you think about it slowing economy and how 52 00:02:27,280 --> 00:02:30,639 Speaker 1: that impacts MasterCard, If we spend one hundred dollars with 53 00:02:30,720 --> 00:02:34,000 Speaker 1: our our MasterCard this month, master card clips the ticket 54 00:02:34,000 --> 00:02:36,000 Speaker 1: to the tune of about twenty cents. Now, if we 55 00:02:36,080 --> 00:02:38,520 Speaker 1: parton our pelts and only spend ninety bucks next month, 56 00:02:38,960 --> 00:02:41,120 Speaker 1: master card and eclips eighteen cents of it's the sort 57 00:02:41,120 --> 00:02:43,600 Speaker 1: of a direct impact to the top line and then 58 00:02:43,600 --> 00:02:47,680 Speaker 1: gottomline you see about the regulator. Master part is kind 59 00:02:47,720 --> 00:02:49,440 Speaker 1: of in the round of those companies I talked about, 60 00:02:49,480 --> 00:02:53,200 Speaker 1: so Microsoft and Google. It is so critical to global 61 00:02:53,240 --> 00:02:55,400 Speaker 1: money flows as it does attract the attention of the 62 00:02:55,440 --> 00:03:01,240 Speaker 1: regulator via fines and law, legal cases, et cetera. And 63 00:03:01,240 --> 00:03:03,560 Speaker 1: when you think about disruption of opportunity that comes from 64 00:03:03,600 --> 00:03:06,720 Speaker 1: say open banking and neo banks, it might face more 65 00:03:06,760 --> 00:03:10,200 Speaker 1: competition from so neobanks, from virtual credit cards, for example, 66 00:03:10,919 --> 00:03:13,079 Speaker 1: but they can in fact be a beneficiary because these 67 00:03:13,120 --> 00:03:16,560 Speaker 1: neobanks don't have their own you know, these networks or 68 00:03:16,560 --> 00:03:19,440 Speaker 1: old money routes to control the fly of money. So 69 00:03:19,520 --> 00:03:21,600 Speaker 1: in fact, the neo banks will end up up using 70 00:03:21,680 --> 00:03:24,400 Speaker 1: master cards valuable networks. 71 00:03:24,680 --> 00:03:30,440 Speaker 2: So what does this all mean for investors in SAM. 72 00:03:28,560 --> 00:03:30,360 Speaker 1: I think most when you think about the economy, the 73 00:03:30,360 --> 00:03:33,960 Speaker 1: first one, most high quality companies globala are temporarily impacted 74 00:03:33,960 --> 00:03:37,400 Speaker 1: by back macro backdrop. But the trick is to invest 75 00:03:37,400 --> 00:03:41,400 Speaker 1: in companies with really long growth runways, almost in respect 76 00:03:41,440 --> 00:03:43,960 Speaker 1: of the economic backdrop. So if you take master Card 77 00:03:44,040 --> 00:03:46,680 Speaker 1: for example, it is directly impacted by the economy as 78 00:03:46,680 --> 00:03:48,280 Speaker 1: we see it as people tighten their belts, But on 79 00:03:48,280 --> 00:03:51,080 Speaker 1: a longer term view, there's still a very long runway 80 00:03:51,120 --> 00:03:53,800 Speaker 1: to go, believe it or not, of switching cash and 81 00:03:53,880 --> 00:03:56,360 Speaker 1: check payments to cards around the world. So take Europe, 82 00:03:56,760 --> 00:03:59,160 Speaker 1: which we thought was fairly developed. Still the has forty 83 00:03:59,200 --> 00:04:02,119 Speaker 1: percent of payment, particularly in Southern Europe, done by cash 84 00:04:02,200 --> 00:04:05,720 Speaker 1: and check. And when you think about regulatory risk, it 85 00:04:05,800 --> 00:04:08,200 Speaker 1: really just does go with a territory that most high 86 00:04:08,280 --> 00:04:11,560 Speaker 1: quality companies on Earth are tractical area the regulator we 87 00:04:11,640 --> 00:04:14,040 Speaker 1: do typically need these companies own. The market can get 88 00:04:14,040 --> 00:04:18,160 Speaker 1: overly concerned about regulation. And as for competition, it is 89 00:04:18,400 --> 00:04:21,720 Speaker 1: coming secker and faster than you ever given. Innovations running fast. 90 00:04:21,880 --> 00:04:24,120 Speaker 1: So make sure any company you invest in has a 91 00:04:24,160 --> 00:04:27,599 Speaker 1: really wide economic motivators business and has a service or 92 00:04:27,600 --> 00:04:29,880 Speaker 1: product that customers can't do without. 93 00:04:30,200 --> 00:04:32,640 Speaker 2: Oh that's really good advice, Sam, Thank you so much, 94 00:04:32,640 --> 00:04:34,400 Speaker 2: As always that Sam Dickie of Fisher Fun. 95 00:04:35,160 --> 00:04:38,320 Speaker 1: For more from Hither Duplessy Allen Drive, listen live to 96 00:04:38,440 --> 00:04:41,479 Speaker 1: news talks it'd be from four pm weekdays, or follow 97 00:04:41,520 --> 00:04:43,280 Speaker 1: the podcast on iHeartRadio