1 00:00:00,080 --> 00:00:02,080 Speaker 1: Oil price. At the moment, price of oil is falling, 2 00:00:02,120 --> 00:00:04,760 Speaker 1: as Andrew mentioned quite a bit. Sixty six yius WT 3 00:00:04,880 --> 00:00:07,600 Speaker 1: I sixty six YSS this morning and the Bretons Brent 4 00:00:07,680 --> 00:00:09,720 Speaker 1: is sitting at sixty nine or thereabouts. It means a 5 00:00:09,720 --> 00:00:11,280 Speaker 1: decent time with the pump, is what I'm trying to say. 6 00:00:11,280 --> 00:00:14,160 Speaker 1: Why time I group CEO Simon pirams with a Simon 7 00:00:14,240 --> 00:00:17,520 Speaker 1: very good morning to you. Should we have a warning 8 00:00:17,560 --> 00:00:19,720 Speaker 1: as we always do in terms of you know, the 9 00:00:19,760 --> 00:00:21,840 Speaker 1: oil price at any given time. That's not about what 10 00:00:21,880 --> 00:00:24,400 Speaker 1: the wtis or the brents. It's got a whole lot 11 00:00:24,400 --> 00:00:25,320 Speaker 1: of other factors in it. 12 00:00:26,440 --> 00:00:29,000 Speaker 2: Oh, there's certainly different factors at play, but I think 13 00:00:29,480 --> 00:00:31,840 Speaker 2: we will see an easy and fuel prices with all 14 00:00:31,840 --> 00:00:34,400 Speaker 2: those factors that are increasing supply and to demand. At 15 00:00:34,400 --> 00:00:37,159 Speaker 2: the moment. You know, we've already seen a ten cent 16 00:00:37,240 --> 00:00:41,240 Speaker 2: toleter drop since January, so those prices are definitely coming 17 00:00:41,240 --> 00:00:41,960 Speaker 2: through In New Zealand. 18 00:00:42,159 --> 00:00:44,880 Speaker 1: What's going on? Do you see a trend here, something 19 00:00:44,920 --> 00:00:46,680 Speaker 1: a little bit permanent for the year or at least 20 00:00:46,720 --> 00:00:47,440 Speaker 1: a few months or not? 21 00:00:48,440 --> 00:00:50,120 Speaker 2: Ah Well, I guess if you look at the two 22 00:00:50,200 --> 00:00:53,760 Speaker 2: key factors, the lower underlying crew price and you know, 23 00:00:53,840 --> 00:00:56,800 Speaker 2: that's lead by Trump and Opex. So on the Trump factors, 24 00:00:57,440 --> 00:01:01,000 Speaker 2: he famously said, drill, baby, drill, so we expect more 25 00:01:01,120 --> 00:01:04,640 Speaker 2: oil into that US market, so increased supply. Then there's tariff, 26 00:01:04,720 --> 00:01:06,960 Speaker 2: which you just talked about, so I guess the consensus 27 00:01:07,000 --> 00:01:09,280 Speaker 2: there is that tariffs are not good for trade and 28 00:01:09,319 --> 00:01:12,480 Speaker 2: that's leading to lower economic growth, which is a decreased demand. 29 00:01:12,720 --> 00:01:16,080 Speaker 2: And then finally Russia, you know, potential easing of sanctions 30 00:01:16,080 --> 00:01:20,080 Speaker 2: against Russia, which would leap to increased supply there. And 31 00:01:20,120 --> 00:01:22,360 Speaker 2: then on the Opex side, which is probably new to 32 00:01:23,080 --> 00:01:25,720 Speaker 2: a few of your listeners, is that they planted out 33 00:01:25,720 --> 00:01:28,199 Speaker 2: about one hundred and thirty eight thousand barrels a day 34 00:01:29,000 --> 00:01:32,000 Speaker 2: from April, so that's about another two percent increasing global supply. 35 00:01:32,280 --> 00:01:34,760 Speaker 1: So what's you feel on prices low as still or not? 36 00:01:35,959 --> 00:01:38,320 Speaker 2: Well, there's volatility, so I think it's going to sort 37 00:01:38,319 --> 00:01:41,520 Speaker 2: of hover about where we are. We are being sort 38 00:01:41,520 --> 00:01:43,480 Speaker 2: of held back a bit by that weak New Zealand 39 00:01:43,520 --> 00:01:46,319 Speaker 2: dollar at about fifty five cents to the dollar. You know, 40 00:01:46,400 --> 00:01:49,480 Speaker 2: that's really the damage is done has been done on 41 00:01:49,480 --> 00:01:51,440 Speaker 2: that for the last six to eight months. So I 42 00:01:51,440 --> 00:01:54,320 Speaker 2: would say we're probably in a period of good value 43 00:01:54,320 --> 00:01:55,360 Speaker 2: for the consumer at the moment. 44 00:01:55,480 --> 00:01:57,560 Speaker 1: Okay, good, while I've got you. There was a report 45 00:01:57,600 --> 00:02:02,320 Speaker 1: a couple of weeks ago on margins normally historically apparently 46 00:02:02,360 --> 00:02:05,080 Speaker 1: about eleven percent, they'd crept up to fifteen or sixteen. 47 00:02:05,080 --> 00:02:06,960 Speaker 1: Do you know what's going on and are you gouging? 48 00:02:08,320 --> 00:02:11,040 Speaker 2: There's certainly no gouging going on. I think there's sometimes 49 00:02:11,040 --> 00:02:14,200 Speaker 2: you see margins where they are potentially a little bit 50 00:02:14,280 --> 00:02:17,480 Speaker 2: higher than the average, and then they're lower. So you know, 51 00:02:17,560 --> 00:02:19,520 Speaker 2: you look across in the year and you always just 52 00:02:19,520 --> 00:02:21,079 Speaker 2: look at their average and what you can return for 53 00:02:21,160 --> 00:02:22,040 Speaker 2: the business. 54 00:02:21,880 --> 00:02:24,840 Speaker 1: And what happens. Who decides how many meetings are held 55 00:02:24,880 --> 00:02:27,040 Speaker 1: and why does that vary on any given day. 56 00:02:28,280 --> 00:02:30,160 Speaker 2: Ultimately it's the market that plays out. You know, we 57 00:02:30,560 --> 00:02:34,160 Speaker 2: look at trying to provide a sustainable price and we 58 00:02:34,200 --> 00:02:36,399 Speaker 2: want to be competitive in the market at markets where 59 00:02:36,440 --> 00:02:39,080 Speaker 2: we operate, so you know, we try to give the 60 00:02:39,080 --> 00:02:42,840 Speaker 2: best price we can and try to attract as many 61 00:02:42,880 --> 00:02:45,919 Speaker 2: custom as we can. That's with a competitive prices. 62 00:02:45,960 --> 00:02:47,280 Speaker 1: Pleasure to have you on the program. You have a 63 00:02:47,280 --> 00:02:49,000 Speaker 1: good week in Simon Perum, who's the one time O 64 00:02:49,120 --> 00:02:49,919 Speaker 1: Group CEO? 65 00:02:50,600 --> 00:02:53,480 Speaker 2: For more from the mic, asking Breakfast. Listen live to 66 00:02:53,639 --> 00:02:56,680 Speaker 2: news talks it'd be from six am weekdays, or follow 67 00:02:56,720 --> 00:02:58,240 Speaker 2: the podcast on iHeartRadio