1 00:00:00,040 --> 00:00:01,520 Speaker 1: Tell you what. Polls are funny things at the best 2 00:00:01,520 --> 00:00:03,800 Speaker 1: of times, and despite plenty of evidence that they can 3 00:00:03,840 --> 00:00:05,440 Speaker 1: be as wrong as they can be right, we still 4 00:00:05,480 --> 00:00:08,240 Speaker 1: seem fascinated, if not obsessed, by them. There are a 5 00:00:08,240 --> 00:00:11,400 Speaker 1: couple of races at the moment being heavily polled, Australia 6 00:00:11,480 --> 00:00:14,560 Speaker 1: and Canada. Canada votes this Monday Australia in a couple 7 00:00:14,560 --> 00:00:17,360 Speaker 1: of weeks. Canada's way more interesting for no other reason 8 00:00:17,640 --> 00:00:20,599 Speaker 1: than the incumbents were losing by so far it wasn't funny, 9 00:00:21,000 --> 00:00:23,680 Speaker 1: but are now leading. The PM quit and the new 10 00:00:23,680 --> 00:00:25,720 Speaker 1: bloke Karney, who once ran the Bank of Canada and 11 00:00:25,760 --> 00:00:27,720 Speaker 1: the Bank of England, is now chasing the top job. 12 00:00:28,080 --> 00:00:31,240 Speaker 1: On the surface, that change of leadership by itself might 13 00:00:31,280 --> 00:00:34,920 Speaker 1: have played a part in voter's minds. Trudeau was passed 14 00:00:34,920 --> 00:00:38,400 Speaker 1: as used by Dayton, Jacinda Adern loved them, hated them 15 00:00:38,520 --> 00:00:41,080 Speaker 1: kind of way more likely south of the border, Trump 16 00:00:41,080 --> 00:00:43,400 Speaker 1: got elected. Tariffs became an issue when Carne looks like 17 00:00:43,440 --> 00:00:46,000 Speaker 1: the person who can better stand up to America. Polling 18 00:00:46,080 --> 00:00:49,680 Speaker 1: up yesterday says the Conservatives are closing as people refocus 19 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:52,400 Speaker 1: on local issues like housing and cost of living, but 20 00:00:52,440 --> 00:00:55,920 Speaker 1: the gap is still twelve points, which is amazing, an 21 00:00:55,920 --> 00:00:59,040 Speaker 1: amazing swing given the gap was twenty points the other 22 00:00:59,200 --> 00:01:02,320 Speaker 1: way until the tariff stole the headlines. Meantime, in Australia, 23 00:01:02,480 --> 00:01:04,400 Speaker 1: it's gone from a race where the incumbent would be 24 00:01:04,480 --> 00:01:08,560 Speaker 1: lucky to survive, far less thrive, where a hung parliament 25 00:01:08,600 --> 00:01:11,319 Speaker 1: was probable, requiring any number of accommodations with the Greens 26 00:01:11,319 --> 00:01:13,480 Speaker 1: and the Teals, and the independence given a minority was 27 00:01:13,480 --> 00:01:16,679 Speaker 1: the best that Albaneze could hope for, to what increasingly 28 00:01:16,720 --> 00:01:20,200 Speaker 1: looks like an easy romp home with a majority marginal seat. 29 00:01:20,200 --> 00:01:22,920 Speaker 1: Polling also out yesterday shows Labor with a three and 30 00:01:22,920 --> 00:01:27,000 Speaker 1: a half percent swing in the past week. Another pole 31 00:01:27,280 --> 00:01:29,160 Speaker 1: at forty five percent of voters saying they didn't like 32 00:01:29,240 --> 00:01:32,680 Speaker 1: Dutton's personality therefore they wouldn't vote. From competence, cost of living, 33 00:01:32,760 --> 00:01:34,480 Speaker 1: that apparently doesn't count. You look at him, you don't 34 00:01:34,520 --> 00:01:37,360 Speaker 1: like him. His taste hardly seems a sophisticated way to 35 00:01:37,440 --> 00:01:40,199 Speaker 1: decide the future of your nation. But then that's democracy, 36 00:01:40,240 --> 00:01:43,080 Speaker 1: isn't it. One argument says Elbow should win, of course, 37 00:01:43,120 --> 00:01:46,120 Speaker 1: because first term governments don't lose happened since the thirties. 38 00:01:46,280 --> 00:01:48,560 Speaker 1: But Canada tell you what if the Poles are right, 39 00:01:49,000 --> 00:01:51,280 Speaker 1: that would be a victory from the ashes. What happens 40 00:01:51,480 --> 00:01:55,480 Speaker 1: in another country, I e. America is so profound. The 41 00:01:55,520 --> 00:01:59,280 Speaker 1: party that was getting thrashed has their fortunes completely reversed. 42 00:01:59,480 --> 00:02:03,680 Speaker 1: That's one history books. For more from The Mic Asking Breakfast, 43 00:02:03,840 --> 00:02:07,160 Speaker 1: listen live to News Talks at B from six am weekdays, 44 00:02:07,400 --> 00:02:09,440 Speaker 1: or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.